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On the Knowledge of Knowledge Itself 论知识本身的知识
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093055
Wang Lu
Abstract Metaphysics or the knowledge of knowledge itself is one of the main threads in the history of philosophy. Metaphysics is distinguished from “adding word” philosophy in that the latter is knowledge related to what the added words express. The essence of the distinction here is that metaphysics deals with what is a priori, while the study of adding word philosophies is empirical. Metaphysical inquiry always revolves around sentences, for knowledge is expressed in language, and sentences are the basic unit for the expression of knowledge. Sentences involve three aspects: at the linguistic level, the basic sentence pattern is “S is P”; at the level of sense, it is what language expresses; and at the reference level, the core concept is “truth.” Metaphysical inquiry always revolves around “being” and “truth,” and concerns the three levels above. The third level in particular reveals the conditions for the truth of a sentence, and helps explain the first two levels. We need to grasp the essence and characteristics of metaphysics and develop the study of metaphysics as a means of advancing philosophical research.
抽象形而上学或知识本身的知识是哲学史上的主线之一。形而上学与“加词”哲学的区别在于,后者是与加词所表达的内容相关的知识。这里区别的本质是,形而上学处理的是先验的东西,而哲学这个词的研究是实证的。形而上学探究总是围绕着句子展开,因为知识是用语言表达的,而句子是表达知识的基本单元。句子涉及三个方面:在语言学层面,基本的句式是“S即P”;在意义层面上,它是语言所表达的;在参照层面,其核心概念是“真理”。形而上学探究始终围绕着“存在”和“真理”展开,并涉及到以上三个层面。第三个层次尤其揭示了句子真实性的条件,并有助于解释前两个层次。我们需要把握形而上学的本质和特点,把形而上学研究作为推进哲学研究的一种手段。
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引用次数: 0
“Sounds of Nature” and “Works of Authorship”: The Formation of Two Concepts of Text Production “自然之声”与“作者作品”:两种文本生产观念的形成
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093057
Cheng Sudong
Abstract The generative mechanism of the Book of Songs, the Classic of Music, the Book of Changes, the Spring and Autumn Annals and other texts attracted the attention of learned men during the Warring States period and the Qin and Han dynasties. Two views gradually took shape. One emphasized that texts display natural human emotions, and the generation of the text participates in the generation process in a natural, irrational way; the text is thus something natural. This view can be called the “sounds of nature” theory. The other emphasized that the text is the carrier of humankind’s rational spirit and independent character, and that the generation of text is a highly individualized, rational and technical process, so the resulting text is something man-made. This view can be called the “works of authorship” theory. The two conceptions of text production present different textual values and aesthetics. As seminal ideas, they have had a significant influence on the development of Chinese literary history, and their competition and convergence have constituted one of the driving forces behind its development.
摘要《诗经》、《乐经》、《周易》、《春秋》等文本的生成机制在战国秦汉时期引起了学人的关注。两种观点逐渐形成。一种强调文本表现了人类的自然情感,文本的生成以一种自然的、非理性的方式参与了生成过程;因此,文本是自然的。这种观点可以称为“天籁”理论。另一种则强调文本是人类理性精神和独立人格的载体,文本的生成是一个高度个人化、理性化和技术化的过程,因此产生的文本是人为的。这种观点可以称为“作者作品”理论。这两种文本生产观呈现出不同的文本价值和美学。它们作为一种开创性的思想,对中国文学史的发展产生了重大影响,它们的竞争与融合构成了中国文学史发展的动力之一。
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引用次数: 0
Stigmatization and Scientific Inquiry in the Tracing of the Origin of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in the United States 1918年美国流感大流行起源追踪中的污名化与科学探究
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093063
Tao Feiya, Zou Zetao, Yang Enlu
Abstract The United States was hard hit by the great influenza pandemic of 1918. The national policy of putting the war first, the unprecedented scale of military training, and the worldwide troop movements and engagement created the conditions for the spread of the pandemic and at the same time seriously weakened US preparedness. The unprecedented pandemic threw American society into extreme panic and spawned all kinds of hypotheses about the pandemic’s geographic origin. Some of the press turned scientifically “tracing the flu” into a succession of pejorative geopolitical exonyms, stigmatizing it as “Spanish flu,” “Russian flu,” “German poisoning,” “Chinese plague,” etc. The groundless ascription of a geographic origin to the influenza pandemic was questioned at the time by insightful American medical professionals and even by Chinese medical experts. In the aftermath of the pandemic, tracking its source became a professional issue of pure medical science, with the search for the pathogen of the pandemic becoming a priority. The discovery and genetic sequencing of the 1918 influenza virus by scientists in the US and other countries led to landmark advances in the discovery of the pathogen, so the importance of tracing it back to its place of origin has taken a back seat. Although evidence of the geographic origin of the 1918 influenza pandemic is not conclusive, medical science has developed enough to disprove the ridiculous “geographic tracking” in the US during the pandemic.
1918年美国遭受了大流感的严重打击。以战争为先的国策、空前规模的军事训练、世界范围内的军队调动和参与,为疫情的蔓延创造了条件,同时也严重削弱了美国的防范能力。这场前所未有的大流行使美国社会陷入极度恐慌,并催生了各种关于大流行地理起源的假设。一些媒体把科学上的“追踪流感”变成了一系列带有贬义的地缘政治同义词,将其污名化为“西班牙流感”、“俄罗斯流感”、“德国中毒”、“中国瘟疫”等。这种毫无根据地将流感大流行归因于地理原因的说法,当时受到了有见地的美国医学专家甚至中国医学专家的质疑。在大流行之后,追踪其来源成为纯医学科学的专业问题,寻找大流行的病原体成为优先事项。美国和其他国家的科学家发现了1918年流感病毒并对其进行了基因测序,从而在发现这种病原体方面取得了里程碑式的进展,因此,追踪其起源的重要性已经退居次要地位。尽管关于1918年流感大流行的地理起源的证据并不确凿,但医学科学已经发展到足以反驳美国在大流行期间荒谬的“地理追踪”。
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引用次数: 0
A Theoretical Outline for National Security Studies for the New Era 新时代国家安全研究理论纲要
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093060
Zhang Yuyan, F. Weijiang
Abstract China is tasked with attaining the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and facing global changes unseen in a century. To this end, a pressing task for China’s national security studies in the new era, under the guidance of a holistic concept of national security, is to provide an analytical framework and scholarly insights. Seven theoretical propositions can be derived when we clarify the relationships between security level, security capability, and security threats. They are: absolute security is out of reach; growing security investment that eyes absolute security will create a security dilemma; under closed conditions, the country should put the brakes on building relative security when it achieves equilibrium security; under open conditions, hegemonic powers may generate security capabilities that exceed equilibrium security and tend to “protect” or prey on countries whose development has relatively high output efficiency rather than those whose security capabilities have relatively high output efficiency; and following separate technical routes for dealing with intentional and unintentional threats may achieve a higher security level than managing in an undifferentiated way. The “Great Yu Improvement” pattern is pivotal to “Building a Community with a Shared Future for Mankind” as it can transform other actors’ capacity to address intentional threats into a capacity for shielding oneself against unintentional threats; and appropriate allocation of excessive security capability and stronger national system security capability are major solutions to the uncertain nature of security threats.
中国面临着实现中华民族伟大复兴的艰巨任务,面临着百年未有之大变局。为此,在整体国家安全观的指导下,新时期中国国家安全研究的紧迫任务是提供分析框架和学术见解。澄清安全级别、安全能力和安全威胁之间的关系,可以得出七个理论命题。它们是:绝对安全遥不可及;日益增长的安全投资认为,眼睛绝对安全将造成安全困境;在封闭条件下,国家在达到均衡安全时,应停止构建相对安全;在开放条件下,霸权国家可能产生超越均衡安全的安全能力,倾向于“保护”或掠夺发展产出效率相对较高的国家,而不是安全能力产出效率相对较高的国家;采用不同的技术路线来处理有意和无意的威胁,可能比以无差别的方式进行管理实现更高的安全级别。“大禹改良”模式是构建人类命运共同体的关键,它可以将其他行为体应对有意威胁的能力转化为自身抵御无意威胁的能力;合理配置过剩的安全能力,增强国家系统安全能力,是解决安全威胁不确定性的主要途径。
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引用次数: 0
China’s Systemic Financial Risk: Basic Dimensions, Key Areas, and Evolving Trends 中国系统性金融风险:基本维度、重点领域与演变趋势
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093069
Hu Bin, Zheng Liansheng, Li Juncheng
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic, the regulation of real estate, and external uncertainties are the core variables in the recent evolution of China’s financial risks, and overall planning and structural deployment are the key guarantees for China’s financial stability. From an aggregate perspective, China’s systemic financial risk tended to ease overall in 2021, but remained high. The risk profile of China’s financial system in 2021 presented five important features. First, the macro leverage ratio fell slightly, but exposed the hidden dangers of balance sheet recession. Second, there was a certain blockage in the transmission of financial system liquidity to the real economy. Third, the fragility of the financial system was further exposed, the bond default balance reached a new high, the structural differentiation of bonds between state-owned and private enterprises became prominent, and private enterprise default became more serious. Fourth, the contagion effect of domestic cross-market financial risks remained significant. Fifth, the international political and economic situation was volatile, and spillover effects such as the rising prices of raw materials, the inauguration of a new US administration, and the shift of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy were significantly strengthened. In terms of key risk areas, the risks of the real estate market, hidden government debt, and small- and medium-sized domestic banks were quite prominent. in 2022, pandemic prevention and control, economic recovery, and structural upgrading will remain the main themes of China’s development. China’s financial risks are generally under control, but the country will still face major risks such as a high macro leverage ratio, tight market liquidity, increasing debt vulnerability, significant spillover effects, and rising volatility in the international market.
新冠肺炎疫情、房地产调控和外部不确定性是近期中国金融风险演变的核心变量,统筹规划和结构部署是中国金融稳定的关键保障。从总量看,2021年中国系统性金融风险总体趋缓,但仍处于高位。2021年中国金融体系风险概况呈现五大特征。一是宏观杠杆率小幅下降,但暴露出资产负债表衰退隐患。二是金融体系流动性向实体经济传导存在一定阻塞。三是金融体系脆弱性进一步暴露,债券违约余额再创新高,国有企业与民营企业债券结构分化突出,民营企业违约更加严重。四是国内跨市场金融风险的传染效应依然显著。五是国际政治经济形势动荡,原材料价格上涨、美国新政府上台、美联储货币政策转向等外溢效应明显加强。重点风险领域方面,房地产市场风险、隐性国债风险、国内中小银行风险较为突出。2022年,疫情防控、经济复苏、结构升级仍将是中国发展的主旋律。中国金融风险总体可控,但仍面临宏观杠杆率偏高、市场流动性偏紧、债务脆弱性加大、外溢效应显著、国际市场波动加剧等重大风险。
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引用次数: 0
The Numeric Characteristics of Chinese A-Share Market Index Volatility, Model Simulation, and Forecasting 中国A股市场指数波动的数值特征、模型模拟与预测
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093072
Feng Yongfu, Hua Xia, Gao Jinkang
Abstract This study investigates the basic numeric characteristics of Chinese A-share market index volatility (i.e., the clustering, heteroscedasticity, and jumps) from the perspective of data mining. It presents a theoretical-empirical model based on these three major characteristics and conducts a maximum likelihood estimation to study Chinese A-share market return data empirically. Results show that, in full-sample or special periods, this model calibrates the A-share index volatility well and simulates in-sample volatility better than the four major empirical models adopted to study volatility. In out-of-sample forecasts, this model performs better than the other four models on the value-at-risk dates, which are the volatile days. This model can also decompose and explain the volatility of the Chinese A-share index. On the basis of GARCH, this study revises the volatility model proposed by Maheu and extends Engle’s research framework. Thus, this model is of theoretical significance. This model’s simulation and forecast functioning can contribute to regulatory expectation management and investment portfolio construction.
摘要本文从数据挖掘的角度研究了中国A股市场指数波动的基本数值特征(即聚类性、异方差性和跳跃性)。基于这三个主要特征,提出了一个理论实证模型,并对中国a股市场收益率数据进行了最大似然估计。结果表明,无论是在全样本还是特殊时期,该模型都能很好地校准A股指数的波动率,并且比研究波动率的四个主要实证模型更好地模拟样本内的波动率。在样本外预测中,该模型在风险日(即波动日)的价值方面比其他四个模型表现更好。该模型还可以分解和解释中国A股指数的波动性。本研究在GARCH的基础上,对Maheu提出的波动率模型进行了修正,扩展了Engle的研究框架。因此,该模型具有一定的理论意义。该模型的模拟和预测功能有助于监管预期管理和投资组合构建。
{"title":"The Numeric Characteristics of Chinese A-Share Market Index Volatility, Model Simulation, and Forecasting","authors":"Feng Yongfu, Hua Xia, Gao Jinkang","doi":"10.1080/02529203.2022.2093072","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02529203.2022.2093072","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This study investigates the basic numeric characteristics of Chinese A-share market index volatility (i.e., the clustering, heteroscedasticity, and jumps) from the perspective of data mining. It presents a theoretical-empirical model based on these three major characteristics and conducts a maximum likelihood estimation to study Chinese A-share market return data empirically. Results show that, in full-sample or special periods, this model calibrates the A-share index volatility well and simulates in-sample volatility better than the four major empirical models adopted to study volatility. In out-of-sample forecasts, this model performs better than the other four models on the value-at-risk dates, which are the volatile days. This model can also decompose and explain the volatility of the Chinese A-share index. On the basis of GARCH, this study revises the volatility model proposed by Maheu and extends Engle’s research framework. Thus, this model is of theoretical significance. This model’s simulation and forecast functioning can contribute to regulatory expectation management and investment portfolio construction.","PeriodicalId":51743,"journal":{"name":"中国社会科学","volume":"43 1","pages":"161 - 179"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2022-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43006385","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Financial Resources Allocation and Its Economic Impact in Belt and Road Countries “一带一路”国家金融资源配置及其经济影响
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093070
L. Xin, Tao Ran, Z. Lü
Abstract The purpose of this paper is to explore a model of efficient allocation of financial resources in China and other Belt and Road countries to ensure it plays the most effective economic role. In terms of financial resources, this paper uses a fixed effects model to conduct an empirical study of 2006-2019 panel data on the financial resources of Belt and Road countries. The paper finds that the role of financial resources varies from country to country along the Belt and Road. 1) In some regions, increased bank credit is playing a less important role in driving the economy; 2) Securities markets have an important role in promoting economic growth; 3) The insurance industry has great potential for economic development; 4) Foreign direct investment has boosted economic development. Hence we need to face up to the fact that the role of financial resources in economic growth varies from country to country along the Belt and Road, so we need to formulate the corresponding strategies to optimize financial resources and promote the sustainable development of Belt and Road economies.
摘要本文旨在探索中国与其他“一带一路”国家的金融资源有效配置模式,以确保其发挥最有效的经济作用。在金融资源方面,本文采用固定效应模型对2006-2019年“一带一路”国家金融资源面板数据进行实证研究。研究发现,“一带一路”沿线各国金融资源的作用存在差异:1)在一些地区,银行信贷增长对经济的拉动作用正在减弱;2)证券市场对经济增长具有重要的促进作用;3)保险业经济发展潜力巨大;(四)外商直接投资促进了经济发展。因此,我们需要正视“一带一路”沿线各国金融资源在经济增长中的作用存在差异,需要制定相应的战略,优化金融资源,促进“一带一路”经济的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 1
Is the Renminbi a Global Currency? An Evaluation Based on Offshore Foreign Exchange Market Trading Patterns 人民币是全球货币吗?基于离岸外汇市场交易模式的评估
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093071
Cheng Lian, Luo Junru, Liu Lin
Abstract This article provides a new framework to evaluate the status of Renminbi internationalization. It proposes that the trading patterns of a currency in the global foreign exchange market embody the currency’s position in the international monetary system. Based on foreign exchange trading data provided by CLS Group, the article constructs a ranking of major international currencies including the Renminbi. It finds that the Renminbi shares more similarities in foreign exchange trading patterns with the established global currencies like the US dollar and the Euro than with those regional currencies. The article also explores the policy implications that the new evaluation approach provides.
摘要本文为评估人民币国际化状况提供了一个新的框架。它提出,一种货币在全球外汇市场上的交易模式体现了该货币在国际货币体系中的地位。基于里昂证券集团提供的外汇交易数据,本文构建了包括人民币在内的主要国际货币的排名。研究发现,人民币在外汇交易模式上与美元和欧元等既定的全球货币相比,与这些地区货币有更多相似之处。文章还探讨了新的评估方法所提供的政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
The Bundle of Personal Information Rights from the Perspective of State Protection 国家保护视角下的个人信息权利捆绑
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093062
Wang Xixin
Abstract The bundle of personal information rights refers to a set of rights belonging to the subject of personal information, including the right to know, decide, inquire, correct, copy, delete, etc. Such a bundle of rights is usually understood in Chinese civil rights legal circles as a civil right falling under the paradigm of individual autonomy and control, and is interpreted as a specific right to personal information. This understanding somewhat misinterprets the nature and function of the bundle of personal information rights. In terms of its nature, the bundle of personal information rights is the outcome of the state’s obligation to actively protect and empower individuals through institutional safeguards, and is thus essentially a means and a tool of protection granted to individuals by the state under the concept of protective law. In terms of its function, the bundle of personal information rights is both a tool enabling individuals to check and counterbalance processors of information and a strategy for the state to regulate data processors. Understanding the nature and functions of the bundle of rights from the perspective of state protection and regulation strategies helps to construct a fairer, more transparent and rational order of public law data governance under the concept of protective law and promotes the structural optimization and capacity enhancement of the data governance system. As an instrumental right under the state’s regulatory strategy, the implementation of the bundle of personal information rights needs to focus on facilitating the individual’s knowledge, participation and ability to negotiate under procedural justice, as well as the reasonable allocation of rights and obligations between individuals and information processors under distributive justice, with a view to continuously developing and enhancing the state’s regulatory rationality.
摘要个人信息权利束是指属于个人信息主体的一组权利,包括知情权、决定权、查询权、更正权、复制权、删除权等。这种权利束在中国民权法学界通常被理解为属于个人自主和控制范式下的公民权利,并被解释为一种具体的个人信息权。这种认识在一定程度上曲解了个人信息权利束的性质和功能。就其性质而言,个人信息权利束是国家通过制度保障积极保护和赋能个人的义务的产物,本质上是国家在保护法的概念下赋予个人的一种保护手段和工具。就其功能而言,个人信息权利束既是个人制衡信息处理者的工具,也是国家规制数据处理者的策略。从国家保护和监管战略的角度理解权利束的性质和功能,有助于构建保护法律理念下更加公平、透明、合理的公法数据治理秩序,促进数据治理体系的结构优化和能力提升。作为国家监管战略下的工具性权利,个人信息权利束的实施需要注重在程序正义下促进个人的知识、参与和协商能力,注重在分配正义下促进个人与信息处理者之间权利义务的合理配置,以不断发展和增强国家的监管理性。
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引用次数: 0
The Dynamic Relationship of China’s Financial Sub-Markets: From the Perspective of Risk and Stability 中国金融子市场的动态关系:基于风险与稳定的视角
IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02529203.2022.2093073
L. Bai, Zhang Ailian, Pan Mengmeng
Abstract The development of financial technology has made financial sub-markets increasingly interconnected, and this interdependence magnifies the instability of financial markets and the possibility of risk. The literature documents the relation of financial sub-markets from time domain, but empirical evidence that effectively identify the patterns of co-movement of multiple financial sub-markets from frequency domain is lacking. This study assesses the dynamic relationship among interest rates, stock prices and exchange rates in China from January 2006 to December 2021 using the Wavelet model. Furthermore, we introduce the TVP-VAR-SV model to study whether the dynamic relationship has changed structurally under the impact of COVID-19. We find the following: 1) with the deepening of the financial market and the improvement of the informatization level, the frequency of risk transmission among financial sub-markets decreases, and the linkage relationship changes from frequent linkage in the medium term to relatively stable linkage relationship in the long term; 2) the relationship between the three variables in short-term fluctuations is more complex, while the relationship between financial variables in long-term fluctuations is more stable; 3) after the outbreak of COVID-19, the positive impact of interest rates and stock prices has brought about a larger range of changes in exchange rate volatility, with a longer impact period and a stronger linkage.
金融科技的发展使得金融子市场之间的联系越来越紧密,这种相互依赖放大了金融市场的不稳定性和风险发生的可能性。文献从时域记录了金融子市场之间的关系,但缺乏从频域有效识别多个金融子市场共同运动模式的经验证据。本文利用小波模型对2006年1月至2021年12月期间中国利率、股价和汇率之间的动态关系进行了评估。此外,我们引入了TVP-VAR-SV模型,研究在新冠肺炎的影响下,动态关系是否发生了结构性变化。研究发现:1)随着金融市场的深化和信息化水平的提高,金融子市场之间的风险传导频率降低,联动关系由中期的频繁联动变为长期的相对稳定的联动关系;2)三个变量在短期波动中的关系较为复杂,而金融变量在长期波动中的关系较为稳定;3)新冠肺炎疫情爆发后,利率和股价的积极影响带来的汇率波动变化幅度更大,影响周期更长,联动性更强。
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引用次数: 0
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中国社会科学
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