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Latently Mediating: A Bayesian Take on Causal Mediation Analysis with Structured Survey Data. 潜中介:利用结构化调查数据的贝叶斯因果中介分析。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-18 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2424514
Alessandro Varacca

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian causal mediation approach to the analysis of experimental data when both the outcome and the mediator are measured through structured questionnaires based on Likert-scaled inquiries. Our estimation strategy builds upon the error-in-variables literature and, specifically, it leverages Item Response Theory to explicitly model the observed surrogate mediator and outcome measures. We employ their elicited latent counterparts in a simple g-computation algorithm, where we exploit the fundamental identifying assumptions of causal mediation analysis to impute all the relevant counterfactuals and estimate the causal parameters of interest. We finally devise a sensitivity analysis procedure to test the robustness of the proposed methods to the restrictive requirement of mediator's conditional ignorability. We demonstrate the functioning of our proposed methodology through an empirical application using survey data from an online experiment on food purchasing intentions and the effect of different labeling regimes.

在本文中,我们提出了一种贝叶斯因果中介方法来分析实验数据,即通过基于李克特量表调查的结构化问卷来测量结果和中介。我们的估算策略建立在变量误差文献的基础上,具体来说,它利用项目反应理论(Item Response Theory)对观察到的中介变量和结果变量进行明确建模。我们在一个简单的 g 计算算法中使用了所激发的潜在对应变量,利用因果中介分析的基本识别假设来估算所有相关的反事实,并估算相关的因果参数。最后,我们设计了一个敏感性分析程序,以检验所提出的方法对中介人条件无知这一限制性要求的稳健性。我们通过一个关于食品购买意向和不同标签制度影响的在线实验调查数据的实证应用,证明了我们提出的方法的功能。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Estimation Procedures for Reducing Dimensionality in Psychological Network Modeling. 探索心理网络建模中降低维度的估算程序。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2395941
Dingjing Shi, Alexander P Christensen, Eric Anthony Day, Hudson F Golino, Luis Eduardo Garrido

To understand psychological data, it is crucial to examine the structure and dimensions of variables. In this study, we examined alternative estimation algorithms to the conventional GLASSO-based exploratory graph analysis (EGA) in network psychometric models to assess the dimensionality structure of the data. The study applied Bayesian conjugate or Jeffreys' priors to estimate the graphical structure and then used the Louvain community detection algorithm to partition and identify groups of nodes, which allowed the detection of the multi- and unidimensional factor structures. Monte Carlo simulations suggested that the two alternative Bayesian estimation algorithms had comparable or better performance when compared with the GLASSO-based EGA and conventional parallel analysis (PA). When estimating the multidimensional factor structure, the analytically based method (i.e., EGA.analytical) showed the best balance between accuracy and mean biased/absolute errors, with the highest accuracy tied with EGA but with the smallest errors. The sampling-based approach (EGA.sampling) yielded higher accuracy and smaller errors than PA; lower accuracy but also lower errors than EGA. Techniques from the two algorithms had more stable performance than EGA and PA across different data conditions. When estimating the unidimensional structure, the PA technique performed the best, followed closely by EGA, and then EGA.analytical and EGA.sampling. Furthermore, the study explored four full Bayesian techniques to assess dimensionality in network psychometrics. The results demonstrated superior performance when using Bayesian hypothesis testing or deriving posterior samples of graph structures under small sample sizes. The study recommends using the EGA.analytical technique as an alternative tool for assessing dimensionality and advocates for the usefulness of the EGA.sampling method as a valuable alternate technique. The findings also indicated encouraging results for extending the regularization-based network modeling EGA method to the Bayesian framework and discussed future directions in this line of work. The study illustrated the practical application of the techniques to two empirical examples in R.

要理解心理数据,研究变量的结构和维度至关重要。在本研究中,我们研究了网络心理测量模型中基于传统 GLASSO 的探索性图分析(EGA)的替代估计算法,以评估数据的维度结构。研究采用贝叶斯共轭或杰弗里斯先验来估计图结构,然后使用卢万群落检测算法来划分和识别节点群,从而检测出多维和单维因子结构。蒙特卡罗模拟表明,与基于 GLASSO 的 EGA 和传统的并行分析(PA)相比,这两种贝叶斯估计算法的性能相当或更好。在估计多维因子结构时,基于分析的方法(即 EGA.analytical)在准确性和平均偏差/绝对误差之间表现出最佳平衡,准确性与 EGA 并列最高,但误差最小。与 PA 相比,基于采样的方法(EGA.采样)精度更高,误差更小;与 EGA 相比,精度较低,但误差也较小。在不同的数据条件下,这两种算法的技术比 EGA 和 PA 具有更稳定的性能。在估计单维结构时,PA 技术表现最好,紧随其后的是 EGA,然后是 EGA.分析和 EGA.采样。此外,研究还探索了四种完整的贝叶斯技术,以评估网络心理测量学中的维度。结果表明,在样本量较小的情况下,使用贝叶斯假设检验或推导图结构的后验样本时,效果更佳。研究建议使用 EGA.分析技术作为评估维度的替代工具,并主张将 EGA.抽样方法作为一种有价值的替代技术。研究结果还表明,将基于正则化的网络建模 EGA 方法扩展到贝叶斯框架取得了令人鼓舞的成果,并讨论了这一工作领域的未来方向。该研究以 R 语言中的两个经验实例说明了这些技术的实际应用。
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引用次数: 0
Make Some Noise: Generating Data from Imperfect Factor Models. 制造噪音从不完全性因子模型中生成数据。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2410760
Justin D Kracht, Niels G Waller

Researchers simulating covariance structure models sometimes add model error to their data to produce model misfit. Presently, the most popular methods for generating error-perturbed data are those by Tucker, Koopman, and Linn (TKL), Cudeck and Browne (CB), and Wu and Browne (WB). Although all of these methods include parameters that control the degree of model misfit, none can generate data that reproduce multiple fit indices. To address this issue, we describe a multiple-target TKL method that can generate error-perturbed data that will reproduce target RMSEA and CFI values either individually or together. To evaluate this method, we simulated error-perturbed correlation matrices for an array of factor analysis models using the multiple-target TKL method, the CB method, and the WB method. Our results indicated that the multiple-target TKL method produced solutions with RMSEA and CFI values that were closer to their target values than those of the alternative methods. Thus, the multiple-target TKL method should be a useful tool for researchers who wish to generate error-perturbed correlation matrices with a known degree of model error. All functions that are described in this work are available in the fungible R library. Additional materials (e.g., R code, supplemental results) are available at https://osf.io/vxr8d/.

模拟协方差结构模型的研究人员有时会在数据中加入模型误差,以产生模型失配。目前,最流行的误差扰动数据生成方法是 Tucker、Koopman 和 Linn(TKL)、Cudeck 和 Browne(CB)以及 Wu 和 Browne(WB)的方法。虽然所有这些方法都包含控制模型不拟合程度的参数,但没有一种方法能生成重现多重拟合指数的数据。为了解决这个问题,我们介绍了一种多目标 TKL 方法,它可以生成误差扰动数据,从而单独或共同再现目标 RMSEA 和 CFI 值。为了评估这种方法,我们使用多目标 TKL 方法、CB 方法和 WB 方法模拟了一系列因子分析模型的误差扰动相关矩阵。结果表明,与其他方法相比,多目标 TKL 方法产生的解的 RMSEA 值和 CFI 值更接近目标值。因此,多目标 TKL 方法对于希望生成具有已知模型误差的误差扰动相关矩阵的研究人员来说,应该是一个有用的工具。本研究中描述的所有函数均可在可互换的 R 库中找到。更多资料(如 R 代码、补充结果)可从 https://osf.io/vxr8d/ 获取。
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引用次数: 0
On the Latent Structure of Responses and Response Times from Multidimensional Personality Measurement with Ordinal Rating Scales. 基于顺序评定量表的多维人格测量反应的潜在结构和反应时间。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-23 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2436406
Inhan Kang

In this article, we propose latent variable models that jointly account for responses and response times (RTs) in multidimensional personality measurements. We address two key research questions regarding the latent structure of RT distributions through model comparisons. First, we decompose RT into decision and non-decision times by incorporating irreducible minimum shifts in RT distributions, as done in cognitive decision-making models. Second, we investigate whether the speed factor underlying decision times should be multidimensional with the same latent structure as personality traits, or, if a unidimensional speed factor suffices. Comprehensive model comparisons across four distinct datasets suggest that a joint model with person-specific parameters to account for shifts in RT distributions and a unidimensional speed factor provides the best account for ordinal responses and RTs. Posterior predictive checks further confirm these findings. Additionally, simulation studies validate the parameter recovery of the proposed models and support the empirical results. Most importantly, failing to account for the irreducible minimum shift in RT distributions leads to systematic biases in other model components and severe underestimation of the nonlinear relationship between responses and RTs.

在本文中,我们提出了潜在变量模型,共同解释多维人格测量中的反应和反应时间(RTs)。我们通过模型比较解决了关于RT分布潜在结构的两个关键研究问题。首先,我们将RT分解为决策时间和非决策时间,通过纳入RT分布中不可约的最小位移,就像在认知决策模型中所做的那样。其次,我们研究决策时间的速度因子是否应该是多维的,具有与人格特质相同的潜在结构,或者如果一个单维的速度因子就足够了。对四个不同数据集的综合模型比较表明,考虑RT分布变化的个体参数和一维速度因子的联合模型最能解释有序响应和RT。后验预测检查进一步证实了这些发现。此外,仿真研究验证了所提出模型的参数恢复,并支持了实证结果。最重要的是,未能考虑到RT分布中不可约的最小位移会导致其他模型成分的系统性偏差,并严重低估响应与RT之间的非线性关系。
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引用次数: 0
A Gentle Introduction and Application of Feature-Based Clustering with Psychological Time Series. 基于心理时间序列的特征聚类及其应用。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-11 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2432918
Jannis Kreienkamp, Maximilian Agostini, Rei Monden, Kai Epstude, Peter de Jonge, Laura F Bringmann

Psychological researchers and practitioners collect increasingly complex time series data aimed at identifying differences between the developments of participants or patients. Past research has proposed a number of dynamic measures that describe meaningful developmental patterns for psychological data (e.g., instability, inertia, linear trend). Yet, commonly used clustering approaches are often not able to include these meaningful measures (e.g., due to model assumptions). We propose feature-based time series clustering as a flexible, transparent, and well-grounded approach that clusters participants based on the dynamic measures directly using common clustering algorithms. We introduce the approach and illustrate the utility of the method with real-world empirical data that highlight common ESM challenges of multivariate conceptualizations, structural missingness, and non-stationary trends. We use the data to showcase the main steps of input selection, feature extraction, feature reduction, feature clustering, and cluster evaluation. We also provide practical algorithm overviews and readily available code for data preparation, analysis, and interpretation.

心理学研究人员和从业人员收集越来越复杂的时间序列数据,旨在识别参与者或患者发展之间的差异。过去的研究提出了一些动态测量方法来描述有意义的心理数据发展模式(如不稳定性、惯性、线性趋势)。然而,常用的聚类方法通常不能包括这些有意义的度量(例如,由于模型假设)。我们提出基于特征的时间序列聚类是一种灵活、透明和有充分基础的方法,它直接使用常见的聚类算法基于动态度量对参与者进行聚类。我们介绍了该方法,并用现实世界的经验数据说明了该方法的实用性,这些数据突出了多变量概念化、结构缺失和非平稳趋势等常见的ESM挑战。我们使用这些数据来展示输入选择、特征提取、特征约简、特征聚类和聚类评估的主要步骤。我们还提供实用的算法概述和现成的数据准备、分析和解释代码。
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引用次数: 0
Killing Two Birds with One Stone: Accounting for Unfolding Item Response Process and Response Styles Using Unfolding Item Response Tree Models. 一石二鸟:使用展开式项目反应树模型考虑展开式项目反应过程和反应风格。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2394607
Zhaojun Li, Lingyue Li, Bo Zhang, Mengyang Cao, Louis Tay

Two research streams on responses to Likert-type items have been developing in parallel: (a) unfolding models and (b) individual response styles (RSs). To accurately understand Likert-type item responding, it is vital to parse unfolding responses from RSs. Therefore, we propose the Unfolding Item Response Tree (UIRTree) model. First, we conducted a Monte Carlo simulation study to examine the performance of the UIRTree model compared to three other models - Samejima's Graded Response Model, Generalized Graded Unfolding Model, and Dominance Item Response Tree model, for Likert-type responses. Results showed that when data followed an unfolding response process and contained RSs, AIC was able to select the UIRTree model, while BIC was biased toward the DIRTree model in many conditions. In addition, model parameters in the UIRTree model could be accurately recovered under realistic conditions, and mis-specifying item response process or wrongly ignoring RSs was detrimental to the estimation of key parameters. Then, we used datasets from empirical studies to show that the UIRTree model could fit personality datasets well and produced more reasonable parameter estimates compared to competing models. A strong presence of RS(s) was also revealed by the UIRTree model. Finally, we provided examples with R code for UIRTree model estimation to facilitate the modeling of responses to Likert-type items in future studies.

关于李克特类型项目反应的两个研究流一直在并行发展:(a) 展开模型和 (b) 个人反应风格 (RS)。为了准确理解李克特类型项目的反应,从 RSs 中解析展开式反应至关重要。因此,我们提出了展开项目反应树(UIRTree)模型。首先,我们进行了蒙特卡罗模拟研究,考察了 UIRTree 模型与其他三种模型(Samejima 的分级反应模型、广义分级展开模型和优势项目反应树模型)相比在李克特型反应方面的性能。结果表明,当数据遵循展开式反应过程并包含 RS 时,AIC 能够选择 UIRTree 模型,而 BIC 在许多情况下偏向于 DIRTree 模型。此外,在现实条件下,UIRTree 模型中的模型参数可以准确恢复,而错误地指定项目反应过程或错误地忽略 RSs 则不利于关键参数的估计。然后,我们利用实证研究的数据集表明,UIRTree 模型能很好地拟合个性数据集,与其他竞争模型相比,它能产生更合理的参数估计。UIRTree 模型还揭示了 RS(s)的强烈存在。最后,我们提供了 UIRTree 模型估计的 R 代码示例,以方便在未来的研究中对李克特类型项目的反应进行建模。
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引用次数: 0
Using Projective IRT to Evaluate the Effects of Multidimensionality on Unidimensional IRT Model Parameters. 利用射影IRT评价多维度对一维IRT模型参数的影响。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2430630
Steven P Reise, Jared M Block, Maxwell Mansolf, Mark G Haviland, Benjamin D Schalet, Rachel Kimerling

The application of unidimensional IRT models requires item response data to be unidimensional. Often, however, item response data contain a dominant dimension, as well as one or more nuisance dimensions caused by content clusters. Applying a unidimensional IRT model to multidimensional data causes violations of local independence, which can vitiate IRT applications. To evaluate and, possibly, remedy the problems caused by forcing unidimensional models onto multidimensional data, we consider the creation of a projected unidimensional IRT model, where the multidimensionality caused by nuisance dimensions is controlled for by integrating them out from the model. Specifically, when item response data have a bifactor structure, one can create a unidimensional model based on projecting to the general factor. Importantly, the projected unidimensional IRT model can be used as a benchmark for comparison to a unidimensional model to judge the practical consequences of multidimensionality. Limitations of the proposed approach are detailed.

一维IRT模型的应用要求项目反应数据是一维的。然而,项目响应数据通常包含一个主要维度,以及一个或多个由内容集群引起的麻烦维度。将一维IRT模型应用于多维数据会导致违反本地独立性,从而破坏IRT应用程序。为了评估并可能补救将一维模型强制应用于多维数据所造成的问题,我们考虑创建一个投影的一维IRT模型,其中通过将有害维度从模型中集成出来来控制由它们引起的多维度。具体来说,当项目反应数据具有双因素结构时,可以基于对一般因素的投影来创建一维模型。重要的是,投影的一维IRT模型可以作为与一维模型比较的基准,以判断多维的实际后果。本文详细介绍了该方法的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Equivalence Testing Based Fit Index: Standardized Root Mean Squared Residual. 基于等效检验的拟合指数:标准化均方根残差。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2386686
Nataly Beribisky, Robert A Cribbie

A popular measure of model fit in structural equation modeling (SEM) is the standardized root mean squared residual (SRMR) fit index. Equivalence testing has been used to evaluate model fit in structural equation modeling (SEM) but has yet to be applied to SRMR. Accordingly, the present study proposed equivalence-testing based fit tests for the SRMR (ESRMR). Several variations of ESRMR were introduced, incorporating different equivalence bounds and methods of computing confidence intervals. A Monte Carlo simulation study compared these novel tests with traditional methods for evaluating model fit. The results demonstrated that certain ESRMR tests based on an analytic computation of the confidence interval correctly reject poor-fitting models and are well-powered for detecting good-fitting models. We also present an illustrative example with real data to demonstrate how ESRMR may be incorporated into model fit evaluation and reporting. Our recommendation is that ESRMR tests be presented in addition to descriptive fit indices for model fit reporting in SEM.

在结构方程建模(SEM)中,衡量模型拟合度的常用指标是标准化均方根残差(SRMR)拟合指数。等效检验已被用于评估结构方程建模(SEM)中的模型拟合度,但尚未应用于 SRMR。因此,本研究提出了基于等效检验的 SRMR(ESRMR)拟合检验。本研究引入了 ESRMR 的几种变体,结合了不同的等效边界和计算置信区间的方法。蒙特卡罗模拟研究将这些新型检验与传统的模型拟合度评估方法进行了比较。结果表明,某些基于置信区间分析计算的 ESRMR 检验能正确拒绝拟合度较差的模型,并能很好地检测拟合度较好的模型。我们还用真实数据举例说明了如何将 ESRMR 纳入模型拟合度评估和报告中。我们的建议是,在 SEM 的模型拟合报告中,除了描述性拟合指数外,还应提供 ESRMR 检验。
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引用次数: 0
Causal Latent Class Analysis with Distal Outcomes: A Modified Three-Step Method Using Inverse Propensity Weighting. 远端结果的因果潜类分析:使用反倾向加权的修正三步法。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2367485
Trà T Lê, Felix J Clouth, Jeroen K Vermunt

Bias-adjusted three-step latent class (LC) analysis is a popular technique for estimating the relationship between LC membership and distal outcomes. Since it is impossible to randomize LC membership, causal inference techniques are needed to estimate causal effects leveraging observational data. This paper proposes two novel strategies that make use of propensity scores to estimate the causal effect of LC membership on a distal outcome variable. Both strategies modify the bias-adjusted three-step approach by using propensity scores in the last step to control for confounding. The first strategy utilizes inverse propensity weighting (IPW), whereas the second strategy includes the propensity scores as control variables. Classification errors are accounted for using the BCH or ML corrections. We evaluate the performance of these methods in a simulation study by comparing it with three existing approaches that also use propensity scores in a stepwise LC analysis. Both of our newly proposed methods return essentially unbiased parameter estimates outperforming previously proposed methods. However, for smaller sample sizes our IPW based approach shows large variability in the estimates and can be prone to non-convergence. Furthermore, the use of these newly proposed methods is illustrated using data from the LISS panel.

经过偏差调整的三步潜类(LC)分析是估算 LC 成员与远端结果之间关系的常用技术。由于不可能随机化 LC 成员,因此需要因果推断技术来利用观察数据估计因果效应。本文提出了两种新策略,利用倾向分数来估计 LC 成员资格对远端结果变量的因果效应。这两种策略都修改了偏差调整三步法,在最后一步使用倾向分数来控制混杂因素。第一种策略采用反倾向加权法(IPW),而第二种策略则将倾向得分作为控制变量。分类误差采用 BCH 或 ML 校正。我们在模拟研究中评估了这些方法的性能,并将其与同样在逐步 LC 分析中使用倾向分数的三种现有方法进行了比较。我们新提出的两种方法都能返回基本无偏的参数估计值,优于之前提出的方法。然而,对于较小的样本量,我们基于 IPW 的方法在估计值上显示出较大的变异性,并且容易出现不收敛现象。此外,我们还利用 LISS 面板数据说明了这些新提出方法的使用情况。
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引用次数: 0
Latent Reciprocal Engagement and Accuracy Variables in Social Relations Structural Equation Modeling. 社会关系结构方程模型中的潜在互惠参与和准确性变量。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2024.2386060
David Jendryczko, Fridtjof W Nussbeck

The social relations model (SRM) is the standard approach for analyzing dyadic data stemming from round-robin designs. The model can be used to estimate correlation-coefficients that reflect the overall reciprocity or accuracy of judgements for individual and dyads on the sample- or population level. Within the social relations structural equation modeling framework and on the statistical grounding of stochastic measurement and classical test theory, we show how the multiple indicator SRM can be modified to capture inter-individual and inter-dyadic differences in reciprocal engagement or inter-individual differences in reciprocal accuracy. All models are illustrated on an open-access round-robin data set containing measures of mimicry, liking, and meta-liking (the belief to be liked). Results suggest that people who engage more strongly in reciprocal mimicry are liked more after an interaction with someone and that overestimating one's own popularity is strongly associated with being liked less. Further applications, advantages and limitations of the models are discussed.

社会关系模型(SRM)是分析由循环设计产生的二元数据的标准方法。该模型可用于估算相关系数,以反映样本或总体层面上个体和二元组判断的整体互惠性或准确性。在社会关系结构方程模型框架内,基于随机测量和经典测试理论的统计基础,我们展示了如何对多指标 SRM 进行修改,以捕捉互惠参与的个体间和社群间差异或互惠准确性的个体间差异。所有模型都在一个包含模仿、喜欢和元喜欢(被喜欢的信念)测量指标的开放式循环数据集上进行了说明。结果表明,参与互惠模仿的人在与某人互动后会得到更多的喜欢,而高估自己的受欢迎程度与被人喜欢的程度较低密切相关。本文讨论了模型的进一步应用、优势和局限性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Multivariate Behavioral Research
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