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EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION DURING THE PANDEMIC: INTEGRATION PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS 大流行时期的欧亚经济联盟:一体化问题与前景
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.07
D. Tyulebekova, S. Abildin, Y. Nechayeva, M. Dyussembekova
The article aims to assess the results of the development of the Eurasian Economic Union, including in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic. The theoretical and methodological foundation of the study of integration is based on studying the activity of various regional associations from the viewpoint of the integration levels and ultimate goals. Depending on the set goals, it is possible to predict and strategically calculate the consequences and possible benefits of economic integration. Using statistical analysis tools, the authors analyzed the key economic indicators affecting the development of the EAEU. Official data of international structures (World Bank, U.N., EAEU), government agencies, various reports and reviews were also used in the work. The studied indicators are presented in the article in tables and graphs, created by the authors for the purpose of visualizing the relevant processes. Logical reasoning is used to describe the results obtained. The article assesses the consequences of the pandemic for global trade and analyzes further ways of developing the world political process. Today, many countries face similar problems due to the pandemic, and take unprecedented measures in order to address them. Most countries have restricted the export of essential goods, such as medical supplies and food. Global economic ties aimed at liberalizing trade have been called into question, since each state is forced to ensure its own national security in the face of the pandemic. In this respect, the question of strength and stability of the globalization processes are in a changing world? Certain event scenarios are considered in the conclusion of the article, one of which is a transition to a policy of protectionism and import substitution.
本文旨在评估欧亚经济联盟的发展成果,包括在新冠肺炎大流行的背景下。一体化研究的理论和方法基础是从一体化水平和最终目标的角度研究各种区域协会的活动。根据既定目标,可以预测和战略性地计算经济一体化的后果和可能的好处。利用统计分析工具,作者分析了影响EAEU发展的关键经济指标。工作中还使用了国际机构(世界银行、联合国、EAEU)、政府机构、各种报告和审查的官方数据。研究的指标在文章中以表格和图表的形式呈现,由作者创建,目的是可视化相关过程。逻辑推理用于描述所获得的结果。文章评估了疫情对全球贸易的影响,并分析了发展世界政治进程的进一步途径。今天,许多国家因疫情而面临类似的问题,并采取了前所未有的措施来解决这些问题。大多数国家都限制了医疗用品和食品等必需品的出口。旨在实现贸易自由化的全球经济关系受到了质疑,因为面对疫情,每个国家都被迫确保自己的国家安全。在这方面,全球化进程的力量和稳定性问题是在一个不断变化的世界中吗?文章的结论考虑了某些事件场景,其中之一是向保护主义和进口替代政策的过渡。
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引用次数: 1
IDENTITY OF THE POPULATION OF THE MULTIETHNIC SOUTH OF RUSSIA IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIETAL INTEGRATION OF THE MACROREGION 大区域社会一体化背景下俄罗斯南部多民族人口的身份认同
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.011
L. Klimenko, Z. Zhade, Irina A. Petrulevich
The South of Russia is characterized by a complex structure, a contradictory history of interethnic relations and active migration processes. All of the above creates difficulties for the region’s societal integration and strengthening of macroregional ties. The state’s national strategy presupposes the formation of a positive civic identity of Russia’s population while preserving its ethnocultural diversity. The self-determination processes of ethnosocial groups in the post-Soviet space have revealed a competition between the civic and ethnic components in the identity of the national republics’ population. Therefore, the structural and dynamic dimension of the identity of the multiethnic population in the South of Russia is being actualized. The article empirically characterizes the complex identity of the population in the multiethnic subregions of the Russian South in terms of the region’s societal (macrolevel) integration. Based on the sociological research conducted in early 2021 in the Rostov region, the Republic of Adygea and the Republic of Daghestan, the nature of the local residents’ identity along the following axes is analyzed: (1) civic, regional and ethnic identifications; (2) I- and we-identifications; (3) primordial and constructed forms of identity. Modern sociological measurements demonstrate that in the structure of cognitive I-identifications of the population of the Russian South, primordial (gender, marital status) and constructed civic (Russian citizen) identity components prevail. In the Rostov region, the core of the respondents’ identity comprises a macroregional component (resident of the South of Russia). Whereas in the North Caucasian republics in question, ethnic (in Adygea and Daghestan), confessional and republican (in Daghestan) identifications compete with the all-Russian identity. At the emotional we-identity level, residents of the Russian South most often indicate affinity with groups of everyday communication (people of the same generation and occupation) and supra-ethnic constructed communities (citizens of Russia). A strong orientation towards the South Russian identity is also manifested among the Rostov residents, while ethnic, religious and republican identification complexes have greater significance in the national republics of the Northern Caucasus. Comparative analysis with the results of 2010-2011 studies (conducted using identical instruments in the Rostov region and Adygea) shows a stable predominance of constructed civic and macroregional identities in the subregions dominated by the Russian population, and ethnic and North Caucasian identities—in the republican segment. The continuing discrepancy in the identity content structure in the ethnoterritorial segments of the Russian South may have disintegration potential and slow down the formation of a supra-ethnic societal integrity of a multi-component macroregion.
俄罗斯南部的特点是结构复杂,种族间关系的历史矛盾,移民过程活跃。所有这些都给该地区的社会融合和加强宏观区域关系带来了困难。该国的国家战略以俄罗斯人口形成积极的公民身份为前提,同时保持其民族文化多样性。后苏联时代民族社会群体的自决进程揭示了民族共和国人口身份中公民和种族成分之间的竞争。因此,俄罗斯南部多民族人口身份的结构和动态维度正在实现。文章从俄罗斯南部多民族次区域的社会(宏观层面)一体化的角度,实证地描述了该地区人口的复杂身份。基于2021年初在罗斯托夫地区、阿迪加共和国和达吉斯坦共和国进行的社会学研究,分析了当地居民身份认同的性质,主要沿着以下轴线进行:(1)公民、地区和民族认同;(2) 我和我们的身份;(3) 原始和构建的身份形式。现代社会学测量表明,在俄罗斯南方人口的认知身份结构中,原始(性别、婚姻状况)和构建的公民(俄罗斯公民)身份成分占主导地位。在罗斯托夫地区,受访者身份的核心包括一个宏观地区组成部分(俄罗斯南部居民)。而在所讨论的北高加索共和国,种族认同(在阿迪加和达吉斯坦)、忏悔认同和共和认同(在达吉斯坦)和全俄罗斯认同相竞争。在情感和身份层面上,俄罗斯南部的居民通常表示与日常交流群体(同一代人和同一职业的人)和超种族构建的社区(俄罗斯公民)有密切关系。罗斯托夫居民也表现出对南俄身份的强烈倾向,而种族、宗教和共和身份认同情结在北高加索各民族共和国具有更大的意义。与2010-2011年研究结果的比较分析(在罗斯托夫地区和阿迪加使用相同的工具进行)显示,在以俄罗斯人口为主的次区域,以及在共和国部分,构建的公民和宏观区域身份以及种族和北高加索身份稳定占主导地位。俄罗斯南部民族领土部分身份内容结构的持续差异可能具有解体的潜力,并减缓多成分宏观区域超民族社会完整性的形成。
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引用次数: 0
ISLAMIC REVIVAL IN KAZAKHSTAN: STATE POLICY 哈萨克斯坦的伊斯兰复兴:国家政策
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.014
Ruslan M. Sarsembayev, N. Aitymbetov, S. Tleubayev, Zh.E. Aldiyarova
It is widely known that Islamic revival is behind numerous national security threats, religious tension and political challenges. This is confirmed by the fact that practically all terrorist acts are committed by extremist and terrorist groups, which reproduce and execute specific projects of Islamic revival, the Islamic Caliphate being one of the pertinent examples. Fully aware of the threats rooted in the radical and extremist ideas of Islamic revival, the state has no choice but an active and determined opposition. In the 2005-2020, Kazakhstan adopted several normative legal program documents and took certain organizational measures to improve the regulation of the religious situation in the Republic of Kazakhstan. Many of these laws and organizational measures, however, stirred up heated discussions: the opposition insisted that the state should secularize the society, securitize Islam, etc. Much has been said about the efficiency of opposition to radical and extremist models of Islamic revival. Together, this creates a varied and even contradictory background for the state policy related to Islamic revival and calls for closer attention to the situation unfolding among the Muslims of Kazakhstan. We are already in the third decade of the 21st century, an important stage at which the religious and political environment created by Islamic revival and the relations between the state and confessions should be assessed. In this article, we analyze the state policy in the context of Islamic revival and offer its conceptual analysis as a multifaceted phenomenon. A modernist trend, which often prevails, is developing along with the fundamentalist trend within the framework of the Islamic revival. Accordingly, the authors argue that state policy is not directed against the Islamic revival as such and does not aim for the securitization of Islam or the secularization of society; on the contrary, it seeks to preserve the historically formed recontextualized Islam, which is rooted in the fundamentals of Islam and is simultaneously consistent with modernization and national heritage. In the concluding part of the article the authors touch upon a scholarly discussion of whether state policy of opposing the extremist Islamic revival models is efficient and to which extent. Our discussion and conclusions are supported by sociological data on the religious situation in the Muslim community, obtained through comparison of the religiosity level and the extent of people’s respect for the country’s authorities.
众所周知,伊斯兰复兴是许多国家安全威胁、宗教紧张和政治挑战的背后原因。事实证明,几乎所有恐怖主义行为都是极端主义和恐怖主义集团所为,他们复制和执行伊斯兰复兴的具体项目,伊斯兰哈里发就是一个有关的例子。充分意识到伊斯兰复兴的激进和极端思想所带来的威胁,国家别无选择,只能积极坚决地反对。2005-2020年,哈萨克斯坦通过了若干规范性的法律规划文件,并采取了一定的组织措施,完善了对哈萨克斯坦共和国宗教状况的管理。然而,这些法律和组织措施中的许多都激起了激烈的讨论:反对派坚持认为国家应该将社会世俗化,将伊斯兰教证券化等等。关于反对伊斯兰复兴的激进和极端主义模式的有效性,人们已经说了很多。总之,这为有关伊斯兰复兴的国家政策创造了一个不同的、甚至是相互矛盾的背景,并要求更密切地关注哈萨克斯坦穆斯林中正在发生的局势。我们已经进入21世纪的第三个十年,这是一个重要的阶段,应该评估伊斯兰复兴所创造的宗教和政治环境以及国家与教派之间的关系。在本文中,我们分析了伊斯兰复兴背景下的国家政策,并将其作为一个多方面的现象进行了概念分析。在伊斯兰复兴的框架内,经常盛行的现代主义趋势与原教旨主义趋势一起发展。因此,作者认为,国家政策并不针对伊斯兰复兴本身,也不以伊斯兰教的证券化或社会的世俗化为目的;相反,它寻求保存历史上形成的重新背景化的伊斯兰教,这种伊斯兰教植根于伊斯兰教的基本原则,同时符合现代化和民族传统。在文章的最后部分,作者对反对伊斯兰极端主义复兴模式的国家政策是否有效以及在何种程度上有效进行了学术讨论。我们的讨论和结论得到了关于穆斯林社区宗教状况的社会学数据的支持,这些数据是通过比较宗教虔诚程度和人们对国家当局的尊重程度获得的。
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引用次数: 0
EXTERNAL ACTORS IN CENTRAL ASIA: MULTILATERAL COOPERATION MECHANISMS 中亚的外部行为者:多边合作机制
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.02
S. Zhiltsov
The highly favorable geographic location and rich natural resources are the main attractions of post-Soviet Central Asia. After the disintegration of the U.S.S.R, it became clear that different actors operated differently in this strategically important region. This area occupied different places in their strategies, and their goals were realized using different instruments. Regional disunity (Central Asian states then failed to tune up multilateral cooperation) brought grist to the mill of extra-regional players. Mutual political claims and personal ambitions of the regional leaders made it hard or even impossible to initiate common regional projects. Local contradictions in the water and energy sphere became a serious obstacle on the road towards political interaction when dealing with regional problems, environmental protection being one of them. In short, at that time, Central Asian countries did not yet master the art of pushing aside disagreements and problems for the sake of positive actions. Extra-regional actors capitalized on this fact without reservations. The U.S., the EU, Russia, China, India, Japan, and Turkey proceeded from their long-term interests when they tried to impose their political agenda on the local states and draw them into the sphere of their economic interests. Apparently, they preferred bilateral agreements with each of the Central Asian states, since their importance for each of the external players depended on their economic development, geopolitical significance and natural resources that they possessed. In recent years, the extra-regional states have revised and readjusted their Central Asian politics. Today, they prefer multilateral relations; in some cases, this format has been used for a long time, while other extra-regional countries have only recently employed the “5 + an extra-regional actor” format. Turkey and Japan are two leaders in this respect: they were the first to suggest this format, and others followed suit. Many countries limit their multilateral formats to the foreign minister level and, therefore, to declarations and joint statements. Regional states prefer this format, which allows them to balance out external players and address their own problems. Predictably, Central Asian countries are ready to be involved in multilateral formats.
优越的地理位置和丰富的自然资源是后苏联中亚的主要吸引力。在苏联解体后,很明显,不同的参与者在这一具有重要战略意义的地区采取了不同的行动。这一领域在他们的战略中占据了不同的位置,他们的目标是通过不同的手段实现的。地区不统一(中亚国家当时未能协调多边合作)给地区外的参与者带来了机遇。区域领导人的相互政治要求和个人野心使得很难甚至不可能启动共同的区域项目。在处理区域问题时,水和能源领域的地方矛盾成为政治互动道路上的严重障碍,环境保护就是其中之一。总之,当时中亚国家还没有掌握搁置分歧和问题、采取积极行动的艺术。区域外行为者毫无保留地利用了这一事实。美国、欧盟、俄罗斯、中国、印度、日本和土耳其从他们的长期利益出发,试图将他们的政治议程强加给当地国家,并将它们拉入他们的经济利益范围。显然,他们更喜欢与每个中亚国家签订双边协议,因为它们对每个外部参与者的重要性取决于它们的经济发展、地缘政治意义和它们拥有的自然资源。近年来,域外国家对中亚政策进行了调整和调整。今天,他们更喜欢多边关系;在某些情况下,这种格式已经使用了很长时间,而其他区域外国家只是最近才采用“5 +一个区域外行动者”格式。土耳其和日本是这方面的两个领导者:他们首先提出了这种形式,其他国家也纷纷效仿。许多国家将其多边形式限制在外交部长级别,因此仅限于声明和联合声明。地区国家更喜欢这种模式,因为这种模式使它们能够平衡外部参与者并解决自己的问题。可以预见,中亚国家已经做好了参与多边形式的准备。
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引用次数: 0
PROSPECTS FOR ECONOMIC COOPERATION IN CENTRAL ASIA 中亚经济合作前景
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.08
K. Mukhtarova, K. Makasheva, Z. Kenzhebaeva, M. Sadyrova
This research article examines the state and prospects of economic cooperation among the countries of Central Asia (CA). As history would have it, economic cooperation within the CA region was previously limited, and investments in Central Asia were mainly concentrated in the mining sector of the economy. Demographic and economic trends in the region have led to an expansion of the internal market; most Central Asian states have implemented wide-ranging reforms, which have improved the overall investment climate; and the CA states have stepped up the development of multilateral trade and economic relations, laying the groundwork for broader cooperation. The article also covers recent problems related to the economic situation in the region. For example, the current situation associated with COVID-19 has had an impact on economic relations between the CA countries. In the view of international experts, this crisis has not provided any new reasons for integration in the region. The quarantine measures taken in various Central Asian countries have had a negative effect on their foreign trade and thus on intra-regional trade and economic cooperation in general. The authors also examine other problems, such as those caused by the CA countries’ economic dependence on other countries, namely their dependence on imports from outside the region. These problems also affect the prospects of economic cooperation in Central Asia. All countries, including those rich in natural resources, want to produce and export finished goods with high value added. The production of high value added products and services enables a country to earn more revenue and reduce its dependence on primary commodity exports. The Central Asian countries are no exception. But for many reasons their finished products are often insufficiently competitive in countries outside the region. Despite the existence of economic problems connected with the need to improve the economic aspects of cooperation, there is a clear trend towards diversification of the economy of the CA countries caused by a desire to develop various specializations. These include agricultural processing, production of consumer goods for the population, development of the service sector, and other areas. Thus, the choice of a new model for the development of multilateral relations and the emerging trend towards economic growth in the region have made it possible to lay the foundation for long-term cooperation among the Central Asian states. Keywords: regional cooperation, Central Asia region, diversification of the economy, trade regimes, external economic policy, region, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan.
本文考察了中亚国家间经济合作的现状和前景。历史上,中亚地区的经济合作以前是有限的,对中亚的投资主要集中在经济的采矿部门。该区域的人口和经济趋势导致内部市场的扩大;大多数中亚国家实施了广泛的改革,改善了整体投资环境;中加国家加快发展多边经贸关系,为扩大合作奠定了基础。文章还介绍了最近与该地区经济形势有关的问题。例如,与新冠肺炎相关的当前形势对中非国家之间的经济关系产生了影响。国际专家认为,这场危机没有为该区域一体化提供任何新的理由。中亚各国采取的隔离措施对其对外贸易产生了负面影响,从而对区域内贸易和经济合作产生了总体影响。作者还研究了其他问题,例如CA国家对其他国家的经济依赖所造成的问题,即它们对区域外进口的依赖。这些问题也影响到中亚经济合作的前景。所有国家,包括那些自然资源丰富的国家,都希望生产和出口高附加值的成品。高附加值产品和服务的生产使一个国家能够赚取更多收入,减少对初级商品出口的依赖。中亚国家也不例外。但由于许多原因,他们的成品在该地区以外的国家往往缺乏竞争力。尽管存在与需要改善合作的经济方面有关的经济问题,但由于希望发展各种专业化,中非共和国的经济出现了明显的多样化趋势。其中包括农业加工、人口消费品生产、服务业发展和其他领域。因此,选择发展多边关系的新模式和该地区经济增长的新趋势,为中亚国家之间的长期合作奠定了基础。关键词:区域合作,中亚地区,经济多样化,贸易制度,对外经济政策,地区,哈萨克斯坦,乌兹别克斯坦,塔吉克斯坦,土库曼斯坦,吉尔吉斯斯坦。
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引用次数: 1
IRAN, SAUDI ARABIA AND TURKEY: EMERGING RELIGIOUS IDENTITY OF AZERBAIJAN 伊朗、沙特阿拉伯和土耳其:阿塞拜疆新兴的宗教身份
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.013
A. Battalov, S. Kozhirova, Tleutai Suleimenov
The authors discuss the evolution of religious identity of Azerbaijan and the impact of Middle Eastern actors (Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey) on the process. Today, the pro-Islamic leaders of the Middle East are attempting, with the persistence that can hardly be overestimated, to move into the Southern Caucasus, one of the world’s strategically important regions. Thus, the uncompromising rivalry of religious ideologies is hardly surprising. It means that the national and religious identities of post-Soviet Azerbaijan have come to the fore in the context of Iranian-Turkic, Iranian-Arab and Shi‘a-Sunni confrontation. Today, there are enough drivers behind the already obvious awareness of their religious identity among young Azeris. The complicated search for national and religious identities in independent Azerbaijan is driven by an outburst of national and religious sentiments during the protracted Karabakh conflict and two wars with Armenia (in 1992-1994 and 2020). The process is unfolding under the huge influence of theocratic Shi‘a Iran, the closest neighbor with its twenty-five million-strong Azeri diaspora; proliferation of the puritanical Wahhabi teaching of Saudi Arabia and Salafism as its export variant throughout the Caucasus, and, last but not least, strategic rapprochement with Turkey that is moving away from nationalism towards Islamism. This has made Azerbaijan a fertile soil for a confrontation within the multipolar Islamic world, which is expanding the geography of its conflicts to the Southern Caucasus. The proxy wars in Syria and Iraq, in which the Shi‘a-Sunni confrontation is also obvious may destabilize the Caucasus in the future. Here the authors assess the impact of the Middle Eastern heavyweights—Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey— on the process of shaping the Azeri religious identity as an Islamic political factor.
作者讨论了阿塞拜疆宗教身份的演变以及中东行为者(伊朗、沙特阿拉伯和土耳其)对这一进程的影响。今天,中东亲伊斯兰的领导人正以难以高估的毅力,试图进入世界上具有重要战略意义的地区之一南高加索。因此,宗教意识形态之间毫不妥协的竞争也就不足为奇了。这意味着后苏联时期阿塞拜疆的民族和宗教身份在伊朗-突厥、伊朗-阿拉伯和什叶派的对抗中凸显出来。如今,年轻的阿塞拜疆人已经明显意识到自己的宗教身份,背后有足够多的驱动力。在旷日持久的卡拉巴赫冲突和与亚美尼亚的两场战争(1992-1994年和2020年)中,民族和宗教情绪的爆发推动了独立的阿塞拜疆对民族和宗教身份的复杂探索。这一进程是在神权统治的什叶派伊朗的巨大影响下展开的,什叶派是拥有2500万阿塞拜疆侨民的最亲密邻国;将沙特阿拉伯和萨拉菲主义作为其出口变体的清教徒瓦哈比派教义在整个高加索地区的扩散,最后但并非最不重要的是,与土耳其的战略和解正在从民族主义转向伊斯兰主义。这使阿塞拜疆成为多极伊斯兰世界对抗的沃土,伊斯兰世界正在将冲突的地理范围扩大到南高加索。叙利亚和伊拉克的代理人战争,其中什叶派与苏尼派的对抗也很明显,可能会在未来破坏高加索地区的稳定。在这里,作者评估了中东重量级人物——伊朗、沙特阿拉伯和土耳其——对将阿塞拜疆宗教身份塑造为伊斯兰政治因素的过程的影响。
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引用次数: 0
SOCIO-ECONOMIC POTENTIAL OF THE ARMENIAN DIASPORA IN THE CONTEXT OF EAEU INTEGRATION 亚美尼亚侨民在欧亚经济联盟一体化背景下的社会经济潜力
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.09
A. Topilin, G. Pogosyan, G. Osadchaya, N. Ryazantsev
The problems in the formation of the diaspora’s socio-economic potential are poorly studied by modern science. The article defines the notion of the diaspora’s socio-economic potential. The factors that determine the uniqueness of the Armenian diaspora phenomenon are identified, including professional specialization specifics, labor skills, ethnic entrepreneurship, aggregation of property and capital, socio-demographic structure, corporatism, social solidarity and cohesion and social capital. The Armenian diaspora, which formed in Russia in the 17th century, is a conventional diaspora with deep historical roots. Its influence on the economy, social policy, culture, interethnic relations and other spheres of life of the population in the host country and country of origin is steadily increasing. New opportunities for continued development of the Armenian diaspora opened up along with the creation of the Eurasian Economic Union in the post-Soviet space and Armenia’s accession to the EAEU. The secret of the advancement of the Armenian diaspora as an ethnocultural and ethnopolitical phenomenon is rooted in the peculiarities of formation of its socio-economic potential throughout the entire history of good-neighborly relations between Russia and Armenia. A methodological strategy and an applied sociological research model, as well as tools for studying the Armenian diaspora’s socio-economic potential in the context of EAEU integration processes have been created. In order to study the problem further, authors intend to conduct a questionnaire survey and in-depth interviews in the Moscow agglomeration, Krasnoyarsk and Stavropol regions, which will allow to reveal the attitude of members of the Armenian diaspora to various aspects of life: migration and repatriation intentions, the degree of cohesion and corporatism, subjective assessments of the contribution of the Armenian diaspora to Russia’s and Armenia’s socio-economic development, as well as to assess the EAEU integration trends. Based on the results of the sociological study, scientific recommendations will be developed to improve the efficiency of using the Armenian diaspora’s socio-economic potential for the sake of improving the quality of life and social well-being of citizens of Russia and Armenia, and the advancement of EAEU integration processes.
现代科学对侨民社会经济潜力形成过程中的问题研究甚少。这篇文章定义了侨民的社会经济潜力这一概念。确定了决定亚美尼亚侨民现象独特性的因素,包括专业专业化特点、劳动技能、民族企业家精神、财产和资本的聚集、社会人口结构、社团主义、社会团结和凝聚力以及社会资本。亚美尼亚流散于17世纪在俄罗斯形成,是一个传统的流散,有着深厚的历史根源。它对东道国和原籍国人口的经济、社会政策、文化、族裔间关系和其他生活领域的影响正在稳步增加。随着后苏联时代欧亚经济联盟的建立和亚美尼亚加入欧亚经济联盟,亚美尼亚侨民继续发展的新机会也随之出现。亚美尼亚侨民作为一种民族文化和民族政治现象取得进步的秘密在于,在俄罗斯和亚美尼亚睦邻关系的整个历史中,其社会经济潜力形成的特殊性。制定了一项方法学战略和一项应用社会学研究模式,以及在欧亚经济联盟一体化进程背景下研究亚美尼亚侨民社会经济潜力的工具。为了进一步研究这个问题,作者打算在莫斯科地区、克拉斯诺亚尔斯克和斯塔夫罗波尔地区进行问卷调查和深入访谈,从而揭示亚美尼亚侨民对生活各个方面的态度:移民和遣返意愿,凝聚力和社团主义程度,对亚美尼亚侨民对俄罗斯和亚美尼亚社会经济发展贡献的主观评估,以及评估欧亚经济联盟一体化趋势。根据社会学研究的结果,将制定科学建议,以提高利用亚美尼亚侨民的社会经济潜力的效率,以提高俄罗斯和亚美尼亚公民的生活质量和社会福利,并推进欧亚经济联盟一体化进程。
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引用次数: 0
EXPECTATIONS AND PREDICTABILITY OF THE ACCUMULATED COOPERATION EXPERIENCE: KAZAKHSTAN AND UZBEKISTAN 哈萨克斯坦与乌兹别克斯坦合作经验的预期与可预测性
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.06
Zh.S. Sembayeva, Zarema Shaymordanova
The authors present their attempt at rethinking the development of interaction between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan against the background of a change in political elites in both countries. The interaction of the two countries, which received a new impetus after several years of stagnation, is viewed as a factor of partnership, which, in turn, can be considered the first step towards full-fledged integration. The accumulated experience demonstrates that the intensification of international cooperation between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan is an objective process with its own logic. This process, analyzed on the basis of empirical, general scientific and general logical research methods, has both positive and negative aspects. The data obtained in the course of in-person and correspondence questionnaires (100 respondents from Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan each) allowed to formulate ​​the expectations of both the expert community and the wider circles for subsequent manifestations of the accumulated cooperation experience in the process of changing political elites and generations, and the subsequent transformation of public consciousness. The authors believe that the historical moment will come in the course of the generational change when the process of consolidation of the Central Asian countries will become natural, practically spontaneous and recognized.
作者试图在哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦政治精英发生变化的背景下,重新思考哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦之间互动的发展。两国之间的互动在经历了几年的停滞之后获得了新的动力,被视为伙伴关系的一个因素,而这反过来又可以被视为迈向全面一体化的第一步。积累的经验表明,哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦加强国际合作是一个客观的过程,有其自身的逻辑。这一过程,基于实证、一般科学和一般逻辑的研究方法进行分析,既有积极的一面,也有消极的一面。在面对面和通信问卷调查过程中获得的数据(哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦各有100名受访者)允许制定​​专家界和更广泛的圈子对政治精英和世代更迭过程中积累的合作经验的后续表现以及随后公众意识的转变的期望。作者认为,历史时刻将出现在世代交替的过程中,届时中亚国家的巩固进程将变得自然、实际自发并得到承认。
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引用次数: 0
EUROPEAN UNION’S SECURITY POLICY IN REGARD TO CENTRAL ASIA WITHIN THE EU STRATEGY FOR CA 在欧盟战略框架内,欧盟对中亚的安全政策
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.01
Zh. Zharmakhanova, S. Nurdavletova, L. Akhmetzhanova
As Central Asia undergoes a rapid transformation process, political, economic and security developments remain uncertain and difficult to predict. External actors will play a key role in defining the contours of transformation in Central Asia. In recent years, a number of powerful countries—mainly China, the Russian Federation and, to a lesser extent, the United States, Japan and Turkey—have sought to increase their influence in Central Asia. There was a timely initiative proposed by Germany, which presided over the European Union at the time, to launch the process of rethinking EU participation in Central Asia, culminating in the development of a Strategy for Central Asia. Thus, the European Union has reinforced its presence at a strategic moment for Central Asia. The Strategy for a New Partnership, adopted by the European Council on 21-22 June, 2007, became the main document for the significant and decisive strengthening of EU policy in Central Asia. The strategy represents the most ambitious EU project in the region and demonstrates a significant improvement in relations. The EU has the needed resources and, in line with the Strategy, it wants to do its part to transform the region into a secure and well-governed area, which is also in the interests of Central Asians. In 2019, in order to intensify cooperation, the EU updated and launched the new Strategy for Central Asia. It should be noted that security is a particularly important issue. In both the first Strategy 2007 and the updated Strategy 2019, the theme of security is reflected in various EU programs and projects. Thus, the article will provide a general analysis of EU’s security programs in Central Asia.
由于中亚正在经历快速转型进程,政治、经济和安全发展仍然不确定,难以预测。外部行动者将在确定中亚转型的轮廓方面发挥关键作用。近年来,一些强大的国家——主要是中国、俄罗斯联邦,其次是美国、日本和土耳其——都在寻求增加它们在中亚的影响力。当时担任欧盟轮值主席国的德国及时提出倡议,启动重新思考欧盟参与中亚事务的进程,最终制定了《中亚战略》。因此,欧洲联盟在中亚的一个战略时刻加强了它的存在。2007年6月21日至22日,欧洲理事会通过了《新型伙伴关系战略》,成为欧盟加强中亚政策的重要文件。该战略是欧盟在该地区最雄心勃勃的项目,表明双方关系有了显著改善。欧盟拥有所需的资源,并且根据该战略,它希望尽自己的一份力量将该地区转变为一个安全和治理良好的地区,这也符合中亚人的利益。2019年,为加强合作,欧盟更新并发布了新的《中亚战略》。应该指出的是,安全是一个特别重要的问题。在第一个《2007年战略》和更新的《2019年战略》中,安全主题反映在欧盟的各种计划和项目中。因此,本文将对欧盟在中亚的安全计划进行总体分析。
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引用次数: 0
MILITARY POWER OF THE REPUBLIC OF TURKEY IN REGIONAL PROJECTIONS OF TRANSBORDER MILITARY OPERATIONS 土耳其共和国在跨境军事行动区域预测中的军事实力
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.37178/ca-c.21.3.05
T. Ganiev, V. Karyakin
The article examines the modern military power of the Turkish Republic and its role in ensuring national security and advancing Turkey on the path of regional leadership. An analysis of Turkey’s geopolitical and strategic military position in the Middle East, as well as the geopolitical and strategic military views of the Turkish leadership, is presented. The article examines the potential of the sides and possible scenarios in the event of a hypothetical military conflict between Turkey and Iran, Egypt and Israel. The goals and methods of military operations conducted by the Turkish armed forces in Syria and Northern Iraq, Turkey’s participation in the civil war in Libya and its assistance to Azerbaijan in the war to liberate Nagorno-Karabakh are analyzed. The article concludes that Turkey’s modern armed forces, despite certain difficulties in development, are the most combat-ready in the NATO bloc and in the Middle East region and provide the Turkish leadership with a solution to all military and political problems.
本文考察了土耳其共和国的现代军事力量及其在确保国家安全和推动土耳其走上地区领导道路方面的作用。分析了土耳其在中东的地缘政治和战略军事地位,以及土耳其领导层的地缘政治和战略军事观点。本文考察了双方的潜力,以及土耳其与伊朗、埃及和以色列之间发生军事冲突的可能情况。分析了土耳其武装部队在叙利亚和伊拉克北部进行军事行动的目标和方法,土耳其参与利比亚内战以及在解放纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫的战争中援助阿塞拜疆。文章的结论是,土耳其的现代化武装部队,尽管在发展中遇到了一些困难,但在北约集团和中东地区是最具战备能力的,并为土耳其领导人提供了解决所有军事和政治问题的办法。
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引用次数: 0
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Central Asia and the Caucasus
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