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The spatiotemporal heterogenous impact of urban multidimensional compactness on household carbon emissions in China 中国城市多维紧凑性对家庭碳排放的时空异质性影响
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05344-4
Mengnan Tian, Lijun Zhang, Yaochen Qin, Xiaowan Yang, Mengmeng Zhang, Jieran Duan

Compact city is considered an important planning approach to alleviate carbon emissions (CE) and achieve “carbon neutrality”. However, previous studies tended to intensively investigate the relationship between unidimensional urban compactness (urban form) and household carbon emissions (HCE). In fact, compact city is not only physical compactness but also economic, population, land use and infrastructure compactness. Therefore, the article constructed a multidimensional compactness index system to comprehensively investigate the influence of compact city on HCE in 286 cities in China, using DMSP-OLS/NPP-VIIRS nightlight data and socioeconomic data from 2000 to 2015. The Geographical and Temporal Weighted Regression (GTWR) model is employed in the study to examine the localized impact of different levels of compactness on HCE. The results found: (1) Economic compactness has a promoting effect on HCE in resource-endowed cities with well developed heavy industry and abundon fossil fuels, while economic compactness inhibits HCE in cities dominated by service and high-tech industry. (2) Cities with higher population carrying capacity are more easily to reduce HCE when cities become more compact. (3) For cities with large land carrying capacity and well-built road transportation facilities, the greater the compactness of land use, the more conducive to restraining an increase of HCE. (4) With the rational layout of infrastructure construction, the more compact the infrastructure, the more conducive to restraining the increase of HCE.

紧凑型城市被认为是减少碳排放(CE)和实现 "碳中和 "的重要规划方法。然而,以往的研究倾向于深入研究单维度城市紧凑性(城市形态)与家庭碳排放(HCE)之间的关系。事实上,紧凑型城市不仅是物理上的紧凑,还包括经济、人口、土地利用和基础设施的紧凑。因此,文章利用2000-2015年DMSP-OLS/NPP-VIIRS夜光数据和社会经济数据,构建了多维紧凑性指标体系,全面考察了中国286个城市紧凑型城市对HCE的影响。研究采用时空加权回归(GTWR)模型,考察不同紧凑程度对 HCE 的局部影响。结果发现:(1)在重工业发达、化石燃料丰富的资源禀赋型城市,经济紧凑程度对 HCE 有促进作用;而在服务业和高科技产业为主的城市,经济紧凑程度对 HCE 有抑制作用。(2) 人口承载能力较高的城市在城市变得更加紧凑时更容易减少 HCE。(3)对于土地承载能力大、道路交通设施完善的城市,土地利用的紧凑程度越高,越有利于抑制 HCE 的增加。(4) 基础设施建设布局合理,基础设施越紧凑,越有利于抑制 HCE 的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental kuznets curve in the iron and steel industry: evidence from 30 major steel-producing countries 钢铁工业的环境库兹涅茨曲线:来自 30 个主要钢铁生产国的证据
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05319-5
Yanmin Shao, Junlong Li, Yifei Wang

With the growing attention on carbon neutrality, the transformation to low-carbon production is the most pressing global mission today. The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) is frequently used to develop carbon neutrality roadmaps for various industries and even entire nations, but few scholars have applied it to the iron and steel industry (IaSI). According to the International Monetary Fund, the global IaSI accounts for 7% of total CO2 emissions, making it a key sector for emissions in manufacturing. Given the high industrial linkages of the IaSI, it’s crucial to focus on its CO2 emission patterns. This paper investigates the EKC hypothesis in the IaSI using data from 30 countries from 1990 to 2019. The results show that the EKC hypothesis is valid in the global IaSI. The study suggests that CO2 emissions of the IaSI will peak when the per capita real GDP reaches $17,535 (constant price in 2010). Unlike emerging economies, the IaSI in advanced economies has reached the carbon peak. The robustness of this result is verified by an appropriate U test. Our results also show that a 1% increase in crude steel production will increase the CO2 emissions of the IaSI by 0.675%; however, expanding the proportion of using electric arc furnaces to produce crude steel can substantially reduce CO2 emissions. Discussions on the EKC curve of IaSI reveal significant policy implications for countries striving to achieve carbon peaking and neutrality targets.

随着碳中和问题日益受到关注,向低碳生产转型已成为当今最紧迫的全球任务。环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)经常被用来为各行各业甚至整个国家制定碳中和路线图,但很少有学者将其应用于钢铁工业(IaSI)。根据国际货币基金组织的数据,全球钢铁工业(IaSI)的二氧化碳排放量占总排放量的 7%,是制造业排放的关键部门。鉴于 IaSI 的高度产业关联性,关注其二氧化碳排放模式至关重要。本文利用 1990 年至 2019 年 30 个国家的数据研究了 IaSI 中的 EKC 假设。结果表明,EKC 假说在全球 IaSI 中是有效的。研究表明,当人均实际 GDP 达到 17,535 美元(2010 年不变价格)时,IaSI 的二氧化碳排放量将达到峰值。与新兴经济体不同,发达经济体的 IaSI 已达到碳排放峰值。这一结果的稳健性通过适当的 U 检验得到了验证。我们的结果还显示,粗钢产量每增加 1%,IaSI 的二氧化碳排放量将增加 0.675%;然而,扩大使用电弧炉生产粗钢的比例可大幅减少二氧化碳排放量。关于 IaSI 的 EKC 曲线的讨论揭示了对努力实现碳峰值和碳中和目标的国家具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
Timely achievement of carbon peak for China: evidence from major energy-consuming industries 中国碳峰值的及时实现:来自主要高耗能行业的证据
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05330-w
Haize Pan, Chuan Liu, Jian He, Zhenhua Luo, Chengjin Wu, Jiayi Tan

The time of carbon peak for major energy-consuming industries determines whether China can meet its carbon peak commitment. Therefore, studying the carbon emissions of major energy-consuming industries is necessary. However, few studies have translated China’s carbon peak goal into the goal of major energy-consuming industries. Using the emission factor method and the Kaya-LMDI model to account for and decompose carbon emissions from 1999 to 2020 and using scenario analysis and the Monte Carlo algorithm to predict the trend of carbon emissions from 2021 to 2030 under different scenarios, we drew vital conclusions. Reduction of energy intensity of production industries and the shift of economic structure to tertiary industry will inhibit the growth of carbon emissions from major energy-consuming industries, with average annual contributions of − 23.27% and − 36.94%, respectively. The growth of per capita industry output and total population will promote the growth of carbon emissions, with average annual contributions of 83.45% and 6.55%, respectively. Production and Supply of Electric Power and Heat has the greatest carbon reduction potential. The energy-saving scenario is most likely to achieve the carbon peak goal, with a carbon peak date of 2028 and carbon emissions from major energy-consuming industries of 13,773 Mt . This means that China will need to make more efforts. This study provides a unique research perspective on carbon peak at the industry level in China, offering new insights into resource allocation and policy preferences, and serving as a reference for other countries aiming to translate carbon peak goal from the national level to the industry level.

Graphical abstract

主要高耗能行业的碳峰值时间决定了中国能否实现碳峰值承诺。因此,研究主要高耗能行业的碳排放情况十分必要。然而,很少有研究将中国的碳峰值目标转化为主要耗能行业的碳峰值目标。利用排放因子法和 Kaya-LMDI 模型对 1999 年至 2020 年的碳排放量进行核算和分解,并利用情景分析和蒙特卡洛算法预测 2021 年至 2030 年不同情景下的碳排放趋势,我们得出了重要结论。生产行业能源强度的降低和经济结构向第三产业的转移将抑制主要高耗能行业碳排放量的增长,年均贡献率分别为-23.27%和-36.94%。人均工业产值和总人口的增长将促进碳排放量的增长,年均贡献率分别为 83.45%和 6.55%。电力和热力的生产和供应具有最大的碳减排潜力。节能情景最有可能实现碳峰值目标,碳峰值日期为 2028 年,主要高耗能行业的碳排放量为 137.73 亿吨。这意味着中国需要做出更多努力。本研究为中国行业层面的碳峰值提供了一个独特的研究视角,为资源配置和政策偏好提供了新的见解,也为其他国家将碳峰值目标从国家层面转化到行业层面提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
Urban scaling of air pollutants in Israel 以色列城市空气污染物规模
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05337-3
Or Yatzkan, Itzhak Omer, David Burg

Cities have been shown to exhibit empirical scaling behavior where numerous variables of urban performance are allometric, like greenhouse gas emissions. Polluting emissions have negative environmental and health impacts. This paper will elucidate the empirical urban scaling of atmospheric emissions for the Israeli urban system. It has been shown that cities may be environmentally efficient with CO2 emissions that seem to be sub-linear, so large cities are more “green”. However, other reports suggest a super-linear relationship with respect to population size, so the large cities are less “green”. We report here for the first time the results of the nonlinear allometric power-law properties of multiple air pollutants, expanding the analysis to include electricity consumption and atmospheric emissions of CO2, NOx, SO2, CO, NMVOC, PM10, PM2.5, Benzene and 1,3-Butadiene together in one study in the case of Israel. They show the recurring mathematical patterns of cities similar to those reported elsewhere. Electricity usage is super-linear. Pollutant emissions of these greenhouse gases tend to exhibit significant super-linear dynamics (β > 1), though NMVOC and Benzene were linear. These results were conserved when regressing against the urban vehicle fleet size. This evidence supports the hypothesis that large cities may be less “green”. Indeed, different urban characteristics such as geography, local climate and weather conditions, population density, may also affect the pollution levels of cities. Taken together these results give evidence to the effect of urban agglomerations on the environment.

事实证明,城市表现出经验性的缩放行为,城市绩效的许多变量都是异速变化的,如温室气体排放。污染排放会对环境和健康产生负面影响。本文将阐明以色列城市系统大气排放的经验城市比例。有研究表明,城市的二氧化碳排放量似乎呈亚线性关系,因此大城市更 "绿色",城市的环境效率也更高。然而,其他报告表明,人口规模与二氧化碳排放量之间存在超线性关系,因此大城市的 "绿色 "程度较低。我们在此首次报告了多种空气污染物的非线性计量幂律特性的结果,并将分析范围扩大到以色列的用电量和二氧化碳、氮氧化物、二氧化硫、一氧化碳、非甲烷总挥发性有机化合物、可吸入颗粒物 10、可吸入颗粒物 2.5、苯和 1,3-丁二烯的大气排放量。它们显示了城市中反复出现的数学模式,与其他地方报告的模式相似。用电量是超线性的。尽管 NMVOC 和苯是线性的,但这些温室气体的污染物排放往往表现出显著的超线性动态(β >1)。在对城市车辆规模进行回归时,这些结果保持不变。这一证据支持了大城市可能不那么 "绿色 "的假设。事实上,不同的城市特征,如地理位置、当地气候和天气条件、人口密度等,也可能影响城市的污染水平。总之,这些结果证明了城市群对环境的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing fuel cell power: an online energy management strategy for extended range in fuel cell hybrid electric vehicles 优化燃料电池功率:延长燃料电池混合动力电动汽车续航里程的在线能量管理策略
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05279-w
K. Paul Joshua, A. Manjula, V. Jegathesan, S. Prabagaran

The automotive business is growing continuously along with the global economy. One way to lessen environmental pollution in recent times is to look for clean energy to replace traditional fossil fuels as the vehicle’s power source. This is because there is a lack of environmental energy among other issues. This manuscript proposes an Energy Management Strategy of Fuel Cell Hybrid Electric Vehicles. The proposed hybrid technique is the joint execution of both the Giant Trevally Optimizer (GTO) and Hierarchically Gated Recurrent Neural Network (HGRNN). Hence, it is named as GTO-HGRNN technique. This proposed method’s principal objective is to reduce hydrogen use and raise battery longevity. The proposed GTO approach is used to optimize the DC/DC converter parameter and fuel consumption and the HGRNN approach is used to predict the optimal parameter of the DC/DC converter parameter. By then, the MATLAB platform has the proposed method been implemented, and the existing method is used to compute the execution. Better outcomes are shown by the proposed strategy in all existing systems like Genetic Algorithm, Global Optimisation Algorithms, and Particle Swarm Optimization. The existing method shows hydrogen consumption of 0.4%, 0.3%, and 0.2% the proposed method shows a hydrogen consumption of 0.1% which is lower than another existing system. The existing method shows the cost of 14.90$, 15.90$, and 16.90$ the proposed method shows the cost of 13.90$, which is lower than another existing system.

随着全球经济的发展,汽车业务也在不断增长。近来,减少环境污染的方法之一是寻找清洁能源,以取代传统的化石燃料作为汽车的动力源。这是因为环境能源缺乏等问题。本手稿提出了燃料电池混合动力电动汽车的能源管理战略。所提出的混合技术是巨钳优化器(GTO)和分层门控循环神经网络(HGRNN)的联合执行。因此,它被命名为 GTO-HGRNN 技术。该方法的主要目标是减少氢气使用量,提高电池寿命。提出的 GTO 方法用于优化 DC/DC 转换器参数和燃料消耗,HGRNN 方法用于预测 DC/DC 转换器参数的最佳参数。然后,在 MATLAB 平台上实现了提议的方法,并使用现有方法计算执行情况。在所有现有系统(如遗传算法、全局优化算法和粒子群优化)中,建议的策略都能取得更好的结果。现有方法的氢气消耗量分别为 0.4%、0.3% 和 0.2%,而拟议方法的氢气消耗量为 0.1%,低于其他现有系统。现有方法的成本分别为 14.90 美元、15.90 美元和 16.90 美元,而建议方法的成本为 13.90 美元,低于另一种现有系统。
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引用次数: 0
How producer services agglomeration affects urban green innovation efficiency in China: a spatial correlation and nonlinear perspective 生产者服务集聚如何影响中国城市绿色创新效率:空间相关性和非线性视角
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05324-8
Lijuan Si, Chaoqun Wang, Haoyu Cao, Xiaoqiang Yao

The pursuit of urban green innovation efficiency (UGIE) has emerged as a pivotal driver for attaining green economic growth. It is crucial to improve UGIE through the producer services agglomeration (PSA) for China. Based on the perspective of spatial correlation, we investigate the spatial spillover effect, mechanism, and nonlinear characteristics of PSA on UGIE. The results indicate that: (1) China’s UGIE exhibits an upward trend with fluctuations, with growth poles in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, Yangtze River Delta, and Bohai Rim. China’s PSA initially declines, gradually increases, and then decreases. There is still room for progress in both UGIE and PSA. (2) The direct and spatial spillover effects of PSA on UGIE exhibit a U-shaped pattern, initially inhibiting and then promoting. However, the spatial spillover effects are only observed within a geographical range of 350 km. Cities in the eastern region or with advanced high-end producer services have lower inflection points. (3) PSA can enhance UGIE in local cities by facilitating knowledge spillover and optimizing labor allocation, while also impacting UGIE in neighboring cities through improved capital allocation. (4) Under varying levels of industrial agglomeration and marketization, the nonlinear impact of PSA on UGIE exhibits a single threshold effect and a double threshold effect, respectively. When the threshold value of PSA reaches 0.548 and the threshold values of marketization reach 8.269 and 11.373, the impact of PSA on UGIE gradually transitions from inhibition to promotion. This study provides insights for rationalizing the layout of urban producer services to enhance green innovation.

追求城市绿色创新效率(UGIE)已成为实现绿色经济增长的关键驱动力。对中国而言,通过生产者服务集聚(PSA)提高城市绿色创新效率至关重要。基于空间相关性视角,我们研究了生产者服务集聚对城市创新效率的空间溢出效应、作用机制和非线性特征。结果表明(1)中国 UGIE 呈波动上升趋势,增长极在粤港澳大湾区、长三角和环渤海地区。中国的 PSA 初降、渐升、再降。UGIE 和 PSA 仍有进步空间。(2) PSA 对 UGIE 的直接溢出效应和空间溢出效应呈 U 型,先抑后扬。然而,空间溢出效应只在 350 公里的地理范围内出现。东部地区或拥有先进高端生产者服务的城市的拐点较低。(3) PSA 可以通过促进知识溢出和优化劳动力配置来提高本地城市的 UGIE,同时也可以通过改善资本配置来影响周边城市的 UGIE。(4) 在不同的产业集聚和市场化水平下,PSA 对 UGIE 的非线性影响分别表现为单门槛效应和双门槛效应。当 PSA 临界值达到 0.548,市场化临界值达到 8.269 和 11.373 时,PSA 对 UGIE 的影响由抑制逐渐过渡到促进。本研究为合理布局城市生产者服务,提升绿色创新能力提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Has a dedicated biodiversity offsets policy improved the environmental and social compensation outcomes of development in Australia? 专门的生物多样性补偿政策是否改善了澳大利亚发展的环境和社会补偿结果?
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05108-0
Linda J. Abdo, Sandy Griffin, Annabeth Kemp, Grey Coupland

Biodiversity offsets are used worldwide to provide environmental compensation for the impacts of development and to meet the goals of sustainable development. Australia has embraced the use of offsets and its offset methodologies have been used as models by other jurisdictions. However, the maturity of offset requirements in Australia is unknown. To understand this, development referrals submitted under the Australian Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 (Commonwealth) between October 2011 and September 2017 were reviewed to determine if offset requirements in Australia were improving in complexity, transparency and/or environmental outcomes (termed maturity) over time. Despite the implementation of dedicated policy in Australia in 2012, our analysis showed that offset requirements were not on a trajectory towards improvement (maturity) over the 6-year period examined. There was no evidence to suggest the type of offsets required and compensation for impacts to specific species and habitats increased in complexity over time. The level of detail included for offset requirements, mandatory commencement dates and requirements for ecological outcomes similarly did not increase over time. Consequently, dedicated legislation for offsets is recommended to remedy these omissions and enable effective functionality for biodiversity offsets through the protection of the environment and conservation of biodiversity, ecosystem function and ecosystem services.

生物多样性抵消在全球范围内被用于为发展带来的影响提供环境补偿,并实现可持续发展的目标。澳大利亚已开始使用抵消,其抵消方法也被其他司法管辖区作为范例。然而,抵消要求在澳大利亚的成熟度尚不可知。为了了解这一点,我们对 2011 年 10 月至 2017 年 9 月期间根据《1999 年澳大利亚环境保护和生物多样性保护法》(联邦)提交的开发推荐进行了审查,以确定澳大利亚的抵消要求是否随着时间的推移在复杂性、透明度和/或环境成果(称为成熟度)方面有所改善。尽管澳大利亚于 2012 年实施了专门政策,但我们的分析表明,在审查的 6 年时间里,抵消要求并没有朝着改进(成熟)的方向发展。没有证据表明抵消要求的类型以及对特定物种和栖息地影响的补偿随着时间的推移而变得更加复杂。抵消要求、强制开始日期和生态结果要求的详细程度同样没有随着时间的推移而增加。因此,建议制定专门的抵消立法,以弥补这些遗漏,并通过保护环境、保护生物多样性、生态系统功能和生态系统服务,实现生物多样性抵消的有效功能。
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引用次数: 0
History and future of business ecosystem: a bibliometric analysis and visualization 商业生态系统的历史与未来:文献计量分析与可视化
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05318-6
Xia Zhang, Yue Yang, Yun Chen

The business ecosystem theory has developed rapidly in recent years and has become a hot topic in the field of business and management. However, the use of this concept is controversial. This study systematically reviewed literature published spanning nearly three decades from 1993 to 2022. In this paper, researchers designed an improved traceability method to retrieve literature based on data sources form Web of Science. VOSviewer and CiteSpace are adopted as two scientific atlas tools for information processing and visualization to evaluate the relationship between sub fields of business ecosystem. The findings show that the four branches of business ecosystem, i.e., innovation, platform, entrepreneurship and service, absorb theoretical ideas to varying degrees. Among them, the theoretical inheritance relationship of innovation branch is most clear, and gradually grows into the backbone of ecosystem research. Major contribution of this study is reflected in three aspects: Firstly, the improved traceability method provides a repeatable quantitative description process on the basis of significantly reducing researchers’ subjective participation. Secondly, from perspective of bibliometrics, the branch direction and key nodes of theory development are identified. Thirdly, the study helps identify the future development directions of business ecosystem, including innovation, digitalization, entrepreneurship, self-organization and the strategic transformation guided by emerging technologies.

商业生态系统理论近年来发展迅速,已成为商业和管理领域的热门话题。然而,这一概念的使用却存在争议。本研究系统回顾了从 1993 年到 2022 年近三十年间发表的文献。在本文中,研究人员基于 Web of Science 的数据源设计了一种改进的溯源方法来检索文献。采用 VOSviewer 和 CiteSpace 这两种科学图集工具进行信息处理和可视化,以评估商业生态系统各子领域之间的关系。研究结果表明,商业生态系统的四个分支,即创新、平台、创业和服务,都不同程度地吸收了相关理论观点。其中,创新分支的理论传承关系最为清晰,并逐渐成长为生态系统研究的中坚力量。本研究的主要贡献体现在三个方面:首先,改进后的溯源方法在大幅减少研究者主观参与的基础上,提供了可重复的定量描述过程。第二,从文献计量学的角度,确定了理论发展的分支方向和关键节点。第三,本研究有助于确定商业生态系统的未来发展方向,包括创新、数字化、创业、自组织以及新兴技术引导下的战略转型。
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引用次数: 0
Does carbon emission trading scheme improve corporate green mergers and acquisitions? Evidence from Chinese industrial enterprises 碳排放权交易制度能否改善企业绿色并购?来自中国工业企业的证据
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05327-5
Ling Zou, Jiejing Ma

Utilizing the implementation of the Carbon Emission Trading Scheme (CETS) as an external change, we employ a difference-in-difference model to examine its impact and mechanisms on corporate green mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Our study uses a sample of A-share listed companies in the industrial sector from 2007 to 2020. Empirical findings indicate that the CETS significantly promotes corporate green M&A. Further analysis suggests that the CETS promotes corporate green M&A by alleviating financing constraints and increasing media attention. This effect is particularly pronounced in regions with lower marketization degrees, within manufacturing industries, and among non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs). Additionally, the CETS primarily promotes corporate mixed green M&As. Notably, the green M&A supported by CETS is larger in scale and leads to improvements in both green innovation performance and overall financial performance post-implementation. This evidence underscores the dual benefits of CETS-induced green M&A, providing both environmental and economic advantages.

以碳排放交易计划(CETS)的实施作为外部变化,我们采用差分模型来研究其对企业绿色并购(M&A)的影响和机制。我们的研究以 2007 年至 2020 年的 A 股工业上市公司为样本。实证研究结果表明,CETS 显著促进了企业绿色并购。进一步分析表明,CETS 通过缓解融资限制和提高媒体关注度来促进企业绿色 M&A。这种效应在市场化程度较低的地区、制造业和非国有企业中尤为明显。此外,CETS 主要促进企业混合绿色 M&As。值得注意的是,CETS 支持的绿色 M&A 规模更大,实施后绿色创新绩效和整体财务绩效均有所改善。这些证据强调了 CETS 引发的绿色 M&A 带来的双重效益,即环境优势和经济优势。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of abatement technology difference on optimal allowance trading scheme under the stability of international environmental agreement 国际环境协定稳定性下减排技术差异对最优配额交易方案的影响
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05307-9
Xinyue Wang, Tai-Liang Chen

The unrelenting surge in global warming in the current era requires the inevitable needs for international cooperation to mitigate the escalating carbon emissions. While theoretical researches have examined potential frameworks as to an international environmental agreement (IEA) to mitigate global warming problem, none considered the impact of asymmetric technology difference on the optimal allowance trading scheme when forming a stable IEA. By using the method of participation game theory and numerical simulations, this paper envisages a set of countries with asymmetric abatement technology in a noncooperative participation game to study the various impacts of the magnitude of technology difference among countries, the scope of the “allowances to emit” trading, the decision orders and the number of total countries on the optimal trading scheme under the stability of IEA. It characterizes three trading scenarios in a participation game and analyzes in detail that the magnitude of technology difference and the coverage of trading system have impacts on the optimal coalition size as well as the feature of coalition member. The quantitative findings show that if the technology gap is sufficiently small/large, the largest/smallest abatement achieves under a worldwide trading system instead of a trading system within the IEA members. From the perspective of social welfare, the upshot of optimal IEA size as well as trading scheme is provided upon the magnitude of technology difference. In sum, a comprehensive global environmental convention with a worldwide “allowances to emit” trading system is overarching and optimal for the global society. These findings drive towards some key policy implications that establish a sound trading scheme allowing fair participation for all countries and encourage innovation activities in abatement technologies and so on.

当今时代,全球变暖的趋势愈演愈烈,这就不可避免地需要开展国际合作,以减缓不断攀升的碳排放量。虽然理论研究已经探讨了缓解全球变暖问题的国际环境协定(IEA)的潜在框架,但没有研究在形成稳定的国际环境协定时,非对称技术差异对最优配额交易方案的影响。本文运用参与博弈论和数值模拟的方法,设想一组减排技术不对称的国家进行非合作参与博弈,研究国家间技术差异大小、"排放配额 "交易范围、决策顺序和国家总数等因素对国际环境协定稳定性下最优交易方案的各种影响。研究描述了参与博弈中的三种交易方案,并详细分析了技术差异的大小和交易系统的覆盖范围对最优联盟规模以及联盟成员特征的影响。定量研究结果表明,如果技术差距足够小/大,那么在全球范围的贸易体系下,而不是在国际能源机构成员内部的贸易体系下,减排量最大/最小。从社会福利的角度来看,最佳的国际能源机构规模和贸易计划的结果取决于技术差距的大小。总之,一个全面的全球环境公约和一个世界范围的 "排放配额 "交易系统是最重要的,也是全球社会的最佳选择。这些研究结果提出了一些重要的政策影响,包括建立健全的交易计划,允许所有国家公平参与,鼓励减排技术的创新活动等。
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Environment, Development and Sustainability
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