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Everyone’s Adaptation: Exploring individual heat stress adaptation 每个人的适应:探索个体热应激适应
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100712
Zakia Sultana , Heleen L.P. Mees , Bishawjit Mallick , Peter P.J. Driessen , Ajay Bailey
Due to rising temperatures, heat stress affects nearly everyone’s way of living. Adapting to heat stress is very individual, but our understanding of the process and conditions that influence such individual adaptation remains fragmented and limited. To address this knowledge gap, we introduce a novel conceptual framework, “Everyone’s Adaptation (EoA),”. This framework integrates insights from a range of inter- and trans-disciplinary concepts and theories from the individual to the collective level to explore the conditions under which individuals of all ages, genders, ethnicities, cultural and socioeconomic backgrounds can adapt to heat stress. We argue that a better understanding of the key enabling and constraining conditions at individual and community levels, and fair and equitable governance, can inform sustainable, effective, and fair climate change adaptation policies. In this paper, we operationalize the EoA framework in the context of heat stress adaptation. We propose this framework can also be adapted for adaptation to other extreme climatic events in various local contexts.
由于气温上升,中暑影响了几乎每个人的生活方式。对热应激的适应是非常个体的,但我们对影响这种个体适应的过程和条件的理解仍然是零散和有限的。为了解决这一知识差距,我们引入了一个新的概念框架,即“每个人的适应(EoA)”。该框架整合了从个体到集体层面的一系列跨学科和跨学科概念和理论的见解,以探索所有年龄,性别,种族,文化和社会经济背景的个体能够适应热应激的条件。我们认为,更好地理解个人和社区层面的关键有利条件和制约条件,以及公平公正的治理,可以为可持续、有效和公平的气候变化适应政策提供信息。在本文中,我们在热应激适应的背景下操作EoA框架。我们认为,这一框架也可以用于适应不同地方背景下的其他极端气候事件。
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引用次数: 0
Risk archetypes for European airports: moving towards climate change adaptation 欧洲机场的风险原型:走向适应气候变化
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100717
Esther Barrios-Crespo, Saúl Torres-Ortega, Pedro Díaz-Simal
Critical infrastructures are potentially exposed elements to climate impacts, which implies consequences beyond the purely physical dimension, in the economic and social spheres. This study presents a multi-risk approach based on indicators that assesses multiple climate-related hazards, as well as the multiple dimensions of exposure and vulnerability, with European availability, under various climate change scenarios and time horizons. Based on this approach, an archetype-based critical infrastructure classification is proposed, which serves as a framework for designing adaptation strategies for these infrastructures. These archetypes facilitate the characterization of the different risk components —hazard, exposure, and vulnerability—individually, while maintaining a holistic perspective. Statistical and machine learning techniques are applied to the identification of patterns in the indicators defining the dimensions of risk and that characterize the risk archetypes. As a case study, this methodology is applied to airport infrastructures across Europe, resulting in an archetype-based classification that identifies 23 climate risk archetypes for European airports. The resulting archetypes not only enable the identification of analogous airports from a climate risk perspective but also highlight the primary sources of risk, serving as a valuable guide for adaptation decision-making.
关键基础设施是气候影响的潜在暴露因素,这意味着经济和社会领域的后果超出了纯粹的物理层面。本研究提出了一种基于指标的多风险方法,该方法评估了各种气候变化情景和时间范围下的多种气候相关危害,以及暴露和脆弱性的多个维度,并具有欧洲可用性。在此基础上,提出了一种基于原型的关键基础设施分类方法,并以此作为基础设施适应策略设计的框架。这些原型有助于分别描述不同的风险组件——危害、暴露和脆弱性,同时保持整体的视角。统计和机器学习技术被应用于识别定义风险维度和表征风险原型的指标中的模式。作为一个案例研究,该方法被应用于整个欧洲的机场基础设施,产生了基于原型的分类,确定了23个欧洲机场的气候风险原型。由此产生的原型不仅可以从气候风险的角度识别类似的机场,还可以突出风险的主要来源,为适应决策提供有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Capacity building for community heat risk education: Insights from San Diego County, California, peer-trainers 社区热风险教育的能力建设:来自加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥县的同行培训师的见解
IF 5 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100774
Kristin VanderMolen , Yeongkwon Son , Terri Foster , Ariel Hamburger , Alexander Tardy
Capacity building is increasingly recognized as important for facilitating climate action, yet both the concept and practice have gone largely unquestioned. A primary critique of capacity building in this and other contexts is that it is often the capacitators alone who determine how it is enacted. In response to this critique, there are calls for alternative, solidarity-based approaches to capacity building that include beneficiaries as collaborators. This study relates the employment and outcomes of one such approach to capacity building in the context of heat risk education in San Diego County, California. Across 2022–2023, the authors worked with a local advisory group to co-develop a heat risk education curriculum for peer-trainers to teach to community audiences, as well as an instructional (or capacity building) workshop to prepare them for its use. There were three exploratory capacities of focus: knowledge, preparedness, and confidence. Through review of and reflection on video recordings and notes from meetings between the authors and the advisory group, and analysis of pre- and post-workshop surveys and follow-up semi-structured interviews conducted with peer-trainers, we recount how those capacities were defined, built, evaluated, and sustained. We also call attention to the systemic nature of capacity building by interweaving in that narrative the accompanying roles of pre-existing capacities at individual, organizational, and network scales. Our goal is to motivate similar empirical studies for comparative analysis. Such analysis is needed not only to improve understanding of the concept and practice of capacity building for climate action and for the development of associated frameworks, but also to identify particular approaches that hold promise for the replicability of results and the merit of investment.
人们越来越认识到能力建设对于促进气候行动的重要性,但其概念和实践在很大程度上都没有受到质疑。在这种情况和其他情况下,对能力建设的一个主要批评是,能力建设往往是由电容器单独决定如何实施的。针对这一批评,有人呼吁采取另一种基于团结的能力建设方法,将受益人作为合作者。本研究将这种方法的就业和结果与加州圣地亚哥县高温风险教育背景下的能力建设联系起来。在2022年至2023年期间,作者与当地一个咨询小组合作,共同开发了一套热风险教育课程,供同行培训师向社区受众授课,并举办了一个教学(或能力建设)研讨会,为他们的使用做好准备。专注的探索能力有三种:知识、准备和信心。通过对作者与咨询小组会议的录像和笔记的回顾和反思,以及对研讨会前后调查和与同行培训师进行的后续半结构化访谈的分析,我们叙述了这些能力是如何定义、建立、评估和维持的。我们还呼吁人们注意能力建设的系统性,将个人、组织和网络层面的既有能力的相关作用交织在一起。我们的目标是激发类似的实证研究进行比较分析。需要这样的分析,不仅是为了增进对气候行动能力建设的概念和实践的理解,也是为了制定相关框架,也是为了确定有希望实现成果可复制性和投资价值的具体方法。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change risk perception as a catalyst for adaptive effect of ICT: The case in rural Eastern China 气候变化风险认知对信息通信技术适应效应的促进作用:以中国东部农村为例
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100697
Yu Yang , Yang Zhang , Jiajun Zhou , Yang Liu , Linshan Lin , Shijia Kang , Gaofei Yang , Johannes Sauer
Understanding the mechanisms by which technological advancements like ICT influence adaptive actions is crucial for smallholder farmers confronting climate change. This study analyzes data from rural areas in China’s Yangtze River Delta to examine how ICT affects farmers’ adaptive investments. The findings reveal that ICT does not directly increase adaptive investments among smallholders. Instead, it indirectly influences these investments by enhancing farmers’ perceptions of climate risks, thereby addressing debates over ICT’s effectiveness in promoting adaptive actions. By categorizing smallholder farmers’ climate change risk perceptions into sixteen distinct subtypes and measuring them, we provide a understanding how ICT elevates risk awareness. This work extends the model of private proactive adaptation to climate change (MPPACC) by demonstrating that technological advancements influence climate change risk perception, expanding its scope from social discourse to include objective adaptive capacity. Practically, these findings underscore the critical role of risk perception in devising effective adaptation policies. By considering risk perception as a key factor in ICT policy formulation, policymakers can effectively enhance smallholders’ adaptive actions.
了解信息通信技术等技术进步影响适应性行动的机制对于小农应对气候变化至关重要。本研究分析了中国长三角农村地区的数据,以检验信息通信技术如何影响农民的适应性投资。研究结果表明,信息通信技术并没有直接增加小农的适应性投资。相反,它通过提高农民对气候风险的认识,从而间接影响这些投资,从而解决了关于信息通信技术在促进适应行动方面有效性的争论。通过将小农的气候变化风险感知分为16个不同的亚型并进行测量,我们了解了ICT如何提高风险意识。本研究通过证明技术进步影响气候变化风险感知,扩展了私人主动适应气候变化(MPPACC)模型,将其范围从社会话语扩展到包括客观适应能力。实际上,这些发现强调了风险感知在制定有效的适应政策中的关键作用。通过将风险认知作为信息通信技术政策制定的关键因素,政策制定者可以有效地提高小农的适应性行动。
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引用次数: 0
Expanding integrated protection motivation theory and theory of planned behavior: The role of source of influence in flood and typhoon risk preparedness intentions in Quezon Province, Philippines 扩展综合保护动机理论与计划行为理论:影响源在菲律宾奎松省洪水和台风风险准备意愿中的作用
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100706
Maria Rossana D. de Veluz , Ardvin Kester S. Ong , Anak Agung Ngurah Perwira Redi , Renato R. Maaliw , Pitz Gerald Lagrazon , Charlotte N. Monetiro
The Philippines is a country that has a high risk of climate-related calamities. The most frequent natural hazard in the nation is believed to be typhoons, and countries that experience numerous typhoons are vulnerable to floods. Quezon, one of the country’s provinces located in the eastern part of the Philippines, has had this critical problem. To comprehend how the source of influence affects disaster preparedness behavior, this study incorporated and extended the integrated theories of protection motivation and planned behavior. A total of 525 people responded to an online survey with 45 modified adapted questions that was carried out in the municipalities of Quezon. According to the structural equation modeling, the latent variables, including family and community, media information, and prior experiences, are all reflective of the source of influence. Additionally, the source of influence has a significant and direct impact on perceived vulnerability, perceived severity, attitude toward behavior, perceived behavioral control, and subjective norms. It also indirectly affects the intention to evacuate. This study could not only broaden our understanding of how to prepare for typhoons and floods, but it also offers guidance for planning and managing natural hazard mitigation and disaster risk preparedness in Quezon, Philippines.
菲律宾是一个气候相关灾害风险很高的国家。在这个国家,最常见的自然灾害被认为是台风,而经历过多次台风的国家很容易发生洪水。位于菲律宾东部的奎松省就有这个严重的问题。为了理解影响源如何影响备灾行为,本研究将保护动机和计划行为的整合理论纳入并扩展。共有525人参与了一项在线调查,其中包括45个经过修改的问题,该调查在奎松市开展。根据结构方程模型,家庭和社区、媒体信息、先前经历等潜在变量都能反映影响来源。此外,影响源对感知脆弱性、感知严重性、感知行为态度、感知行为控制和主观规范有显著而直接的影响。这也间接影响了撤离的意图。这项研究不仅可以扩大我们对如何防备台风和洪水的理解,而且还可以为菲律宾奎松省的自然灾害减灾和灾害风险防备规划和管理提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
Communicating the risk of erosion: the effects of map-based communication on risk perception and affect 传达侵蚀风险:基于地图的沟通对风险感知和影响的影响
IF 5 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100738
Naud Aude , Navarro Oscar , Chotard Manon , Juigner Martin , Robin Marc , Chadenas Céline , Fleury-Bahi Ghozlane
This study firstly aims to understand the impacts of map representations of coastal erosion on risk perception and affects of lay citizens. Secondly, it aims to study the effect of differing design of cartographic features on observation and interpretation of the message conveyed by different maps. Seven maps were presented to the participants (N = 50), varying according endogenous (abstraction, regalian cartridge) and exogenous characteristics (background, colours). A questionnaire interrogated risk perception and affect before and after observation, while eye-tracking data were recorded during the observation of each map. This experiment shows that communicating erosion risk by maps reduces perceived knowledge of risk but also reduces fear of the risk. The abstraction level significantly impacts observation patterns: correlation maps seem to guide visual attention in a more relevant way and to convey the message more clearly and effectively than other types of maps. But there is no influence of the other characteristics even if interviews show that colours seem to influence the message interpretation.
本研究首先旨在了解海岸侵蚀地图表征对非专业公民风险感知和影响的影响。其次,研究不同地图学特征的设计对观察和解读不同地图所传达信息的影响。向参与者(N = 50)展示了七张地图,根据内源性(抽象,帝王墨盒)和外源性特征(背景,颜色)而变化。通过问卷调查,对观察前后的风险感知和影响进行调查,同时在观察每张地图的过程中记录眼动数据。这个实验表明,通过地图传达侵蚀风险减少了对风险的认知,但也减少了对风险的恐惧。抽象水平显著影响观察模式:相关性图似乎以一种更相关的方式引导视觉注意力,并且比其他类型的图更清晰有效地传达信息。但是,即使采访显示颜色似乎影响了信息的解释,其他特征也没有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental justice lens as a necessity and an opportunity in relocation: The case of the Noordwaard and the Eferding Basin 环境正义作为搬迁的必要性和机遇:以诺德沃德和埃弗丁盆地为例
IF 5 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100740
Chloé ten Brink , Idowu Ajibade , Caroline Zickgraf
Environmental relocation presents a form of risk management that requires organized movement of communities but are complex to carry out and can have inequitable results. A careful examination of the ethical dimensions of relocation from planning to implementation to outcomes offers an avenue for understanding and addressing potential injustices. Using a deductive environmental justice framework, we analyzed two compensation-based relocations, also understood as buyouts: the 2013 Danube flood relocation in Austria’s Eferding Basin and the Noordwaard de-poldering in the Netherlands’ Room for the River program. We combined document analysis (n = 62) and semi-structured interviews (n = 20) to assess justice concerns, focusing on distributive, procedural, and ecological dimensions. Distributive justice was primarily addressed through financial compensation, offering 100 % market value in the Noordwaard and 80 % in the Eferding Basin, but non-monetary considerations were relatively neglected. Procedural justice, particularly transparency and citizen participation, were insufficient. Considerations of ecological justice were absent in the Eferding Basin but the Noordwaard’s use of nature-based solutions and prioritization of spatial quality led to multiple environmental benefits. Overall, this paper argues that justice should not be viewed simply as a criterion to be fulfilled, but rather as a guiding principle for addressing the broader, short and long-term impacts, and well-being related to relocation. By adopting this perspective, justice can be understood as an opportunity for positive transformation, allowing environmental relocation to be framed as a process with the potential for meaningful, beneficial change rather than solely a response to current or future flood risk.
环境重新安置是一种风险管理形式,需要有组织的社区移动,但执行起来很复杂,可能产生不公平的结果。从规划到实施再到结果,仔细检查搬迁的道德层面,为理解和解决潜在的不公正提供了途径。使用演绎环境正义框架,我们分析了两个基于补偿的搬迁,也被理解为买断:2013年奥地利埃费丁盆地的多瑙河洪水搬迁和荷兰河流空间计划的北向去圩田。我们结合文献分析(n = 62)和半结构化访谈(n = 20)来评估司法问题,重点关注分配、程序和生态维度。分配公平主要通过经济补偿来解决,在noordward提供100%的市场价值,在Eferding盆地提供80%的市场价值,但非货币考虑相对被忽视。程序公正,特别是透明度和公民参与是不够的。Eferding盆地缺乏对生态正义的考虑,但noordward使用基于自然的解决方案和空间质量的优先级带来了多重环境效益。总体而言,本文认为,公正不应被简单地视为一项需要实现的标准,而应被视为一项指导原则,以解决与搬迁有关的更广泛、短期和长期影响以及福祉。通过采用这种观点,正义可以被理解为一个积极转变的机会,使环境重新安置成为一个有可能产生有意义的有益变化的过程,而不仅仅是对当前或未来洪水风险的回应。
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引用次数: 0
The role of social capital in strengthening community resilience against floods: A case study of Mumbai, India 社会资本在加强社区抗洪能力中的作用:以印度孟买为例
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100685
Jaideep Visave , Daniel P. Aldrich
This study examines the role of social capital in shaping flood resilience within Mumbai’s Sahakar Nagar, a coastal community vulnerable to flooding. Through surveys of 100 residents, we find a positive correlation between trust in community members and the adoption of resilience strategies (r = 0.219, p < 0.05). Trust in neighbors emerges as a key predictor of proactive coping (β = 1.23, p < 0.001), seeking social support (β = 1.32, p < 0.001), and positive reappraisal (β = 1.45, p < 0.001). K-means clustering reveals three distinct community groups (“High Trust Proactive”, “Moderate Trust Networkers”, and “Low Trust Individualists”) exhibiting varying levels of social capital and resilience strategies, reflecting the community’s diverse socioeconomic context, with bimodal income peaks at INR 40,000 and INR 100,000. Social network analysis identifies 12 interconnected sub-communities, highlighting the importance of information hubs within the network. Our findings underscore the critical role of trust in fostering community resilience, suggesting that interventions aimed at building and strengthening trust can enhance flood preparedness and response in urban coastal communities.
本研究考察了社会资本在孟买的Sahakar Nagar(一个易受洪水影响的沿海社区)形成抗洪能力方面的作用。通过对100名居民的调查,我们发现对社区成员的信任与弹性策略的采用呈正相关(r = 0.219, p <;0.05)。对邻居的信任是积极应对的关键预测因子(β = 1.23, p <;0.001),寻求社会支持(β = 1.32, p <;0.001),阳性的重新评价(β = 1.45, p <;0.001)。K-means聚类揭示了三个不同的社区群体(“高信任主动者”、“中等信任网络者”和“低信任个人主义者”)表现出不同水平的社会资本和弹性策略,反映了社区多样化的社会经济背景,双峰收入峰值分别为4万卢比和10万卢比。社会网络分析确定了12个相互关联的子社区,突出了网络中信息中心的重要性。我们的研究结果强调了信任在促进社区恢复力方面的关键作用,表明旨在建立和加强信任的干预措施可以提高城市沿海社区的洪水准备和应对能力。
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引用次数: 0
Efficacy analysis of cloud seeding program in Kansas agriculture 堪萨斯州农业播云计划的效果分析
IF 5 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100756
Pei-Jyun Lu , Mark Skidmore
Hailstorms cause significant economic losses worldwide, with the central United States particularly vulnerable due to the frequency and intensity of sever hail events. Cloud seeding, a weather modification technology, has been adopted for hail suppression in more than 50 countries since the 1970s. While existing research predominantly focuses on assessing the impact of cloud seeding on hailstone size or storm frequency, its effects on crop damage and productivity remain understudied. This study evaluates the effectiveness of cloud seeding in Kansas using county-level data from 2002 to 2020, considering a broader set of measurements: hail size, hail frequency, crop damage, crop yields, and potential downwind effects. The findings reveal that cloud seeding reduces hailstone size in target areas but does not significantly decrease crop damage from hail or drought. Conversely, it is associated with increased flood damage to crops. Additionally, cloud seeding enhances corn productivity in target areas but negatively affects sorghum productivity in downwind regions, suggesting potential spillover effects. A cost-benefit analysis indicates positive net present value overall, though several downwind counties experience net losses. These findings highlight the limitation of traditional evaluation metrics and underscore the need for comprehensive assessments of weather modification programs. By integrating agricultural and economic outcomes, this study provides new evidence to guide policy decisions on cloud seeding for hail suppression.
冰雹在全球范围内造成重大经济损失,由于严重冰雹事件的频率和强度,美国中部特别脆弱。自20世纪70年代以来,50多个国家采用人工影响天气的人工降雨技术来抑制冰雹。虽然现有的研究主要集中在评估云播对冰雹大小或风暴频率的影响,但其对作物损害和生产力的影响仍未得到充分研究。本研究利用2002年至2020年的县级数据评估了堪萨斯州云播的有效性,考虑了更广泛的测量数据:冰雹大小、冰雹频率、作物损害、作物产量和潜在的下风影响。研究结果表明,云播可以减少目标地区冰雹的大小,但不能显著减少冰雹或干旱对作物的损害。相反,它与洪水对农作物的破坏增加有关。此外,云播提高了目标区域的玉米产量,但对下风区域的高粱产量产生了负面影响,表明存在潜在的溢出效应。成本效益分析表明,净现值总体为正,尽管几个顺风县经历净亏损。这些发现突出了传统评估指标的局限性,并强调了对人工影响天气项目进行全面评估的必要性。通过综合农业和经济成果,本研究为人工降雨降雹的政策决策提供了新的依据。
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引用次数: 0
The correlates of climate change concern in Guatemala 气候变化对危地马拉的影响
IF 5 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100747
Ludovico Feoli , Moisés Arce , Tofigh Maboudi , Todd Eisenstadt , Felipe Girón
Climate change concern is believed to promote environmentally friendly behavior and the support of ameliorative environmental policies. Understanding the causes of this concern is therefore a precondition for its mobilization in favor of ameliorative environmental practices. This paper leverages empirical findings from a nationally representative survey to explore the correlates of climate change concern in Guatemala. It finds that direct and indirect experiences with climate impacts are the main correlates of climate change concern. Low levels of public trust and a sense of agency in reacting to disasters also contribute to concern levels. Measures taken to increase the linkage of weather impacts and anthropogenic actions to climate change, and to foster a sense of climate agency in citizens, can help highly vulnerable countries like Guatemala confront the challenges of climate change by contributing to create conditions that are more conducive to pro-environmental behavior and policy change.
对气候变化的关注被认为能促进环境友好行为和支持改善环境的政策。因此,了解这种关切的原因是动员各国支持改善环境作法的先决条件。本文利用一项具有全国代表性的调查的实证结果,探讨危地马拉气候变化问题的相关关系。报告发现,气候影响的直接和间接经验是气候变化关注的主要相关因素。公众信任度低以及在应对灾害时缺乏能动性,也导致了人们的担忧程度。采取措施加强天气影响和人为活动与气候变化之间的联系,并培养公民的气候机构意识,可以通过创造更有利于环保行为和政策变化的条件,帮助危地马拉等高度脆弱的国家应对气候变化的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
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Climate Risk Management
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