Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100712
Zakia Sultana , Heleen L.P. Mees , Bishawjit Mallick , Peter P.J. Driessen , Ajay Bailey
Due to rising temperatures, heat stress affects nearly everyone’s way of living. Adapting to heat stress is very individual, but our understanding of the process and conditions that influence such individual adaptation remains fragmented and limited. To address this knowledge gap, we introduce a novel conceptual framework, “Everyone’s Adaptation (EoA),”. This framework integrates insights from a range of inter- and trans-disciplinary concepts and theories from the individual to the collective level to explore the conditions under which individuals of all ages, genders, ethnicities, cultural and socioeconomic backgrounds can adapt to heat stress. We argue that a better understanding of the key enabling and constraining conditions at individual and community levels, and fair and equitable governance, can inform sustainable, effective, and fair climate change adaptation policies. In this paper, we operationalize the EoA framework in the context of heat stress adaptation. We propose this framework can also be adapted for adaptation to other extreme climatic events in various local contexts.
{"title":"Everyone’s Adaptation: Exploring individual heat stress adaptation","authors":"Zakia Sultana , Heleen L.P. Mees , Bishawjit Mallick , Peter P.J. Driessen , Ajay Bailey","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100712","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100712","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Due to rising temperatures, heat stress affects nearly everyone’s way of living. Adapting to heat stress is very individual, but our understanding of the process and conditions that influence such individual adaptation remains fragmented and limited. To address this knowledge gap, we introduce a novel conceptual framework, “Everyone’s Adaptation (EoA),”. This framework integrates insights from a range of inter- and <em>trans</em>-disciplinary concepts and theories from the individual to the collective level to explore the conditions under which individuals of all ages, genders, ethnicities, cultural and socioeconomic backgrounds can adapt to heat stress. We argue that a better understanding of the key enabling and constraining conditions at individual and community levels, and fair and equitable governance, can inform sustainable, effective, and fair climate change adaptation policies. In this paper, we operationalize the EoA framework in the context of heat stress adaptation. We propose this framework can also be adapted for adaptation to other extreme climatic events in various local contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100712"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143891926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100717
Esther Barrios-Crespo, Saúl Torres-Ortega, Pedro Díaz-Simal
Critical infrastructures are potentially exposed elements to climate impacts, which implies consequences beyond the purely physical dimension, in the economic and social spheres. This study presents a multi-risk approach based on indicators that assesses multiple climate-related hazards, as well as the multiple dimensions of exposure and vulnerability, with European availability, under various climate change scenarios and time horizons. Based on this approach, an archetype-based critical infrastructure classification is proposed, which serves as a framework for designing adaptation strategies for these infrastructures. These archetypes facilitate the characterization of the different risk components —hazard, exposure, and vulnerability—individually, while maintaining a holistic perspective. Statistical and machine learning techniques are applied to the identification of patterns in the indicators defining the dimensions of risk and that characterize the risk archetypes. As a case study, this methodology is applied to airport infrastructures across Europe, resulting in an archetype-based classification that identifies 23 climate risk archetypes for European airports. The resulting archetypes not only enable the identification of analogous airports from a climate risk perspective but also highlight the primary sources of risk, serving as a valuable guide for adaptation decision-making.
{"title":"Risk archetypes for European airports: moving towards climate change adaptation","authors":"Esther Barrios-Crespo, Saúl Torres-Ortega, Pedro Díaz-Simal","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100717","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100717","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Critical infrastructures are potentially exposed elements to climate impacts, which implies consequences beyond the purely physical dimension, in the economic and social spheres. This study presents a multi-risk approach based on indicators that assesses multiple climate-related hazards, as well as the multiple dimensions of exposure and vulnerability, with European availability, under various climate change scenarios and time horizons. Based on this approach, an archetype-based critical infrastructure classification is proposed, which serves as a framework for designing adaptation strategies for these infrastructures. These archetypes facilitate the characterization of the different risk components —hazard, exposure, and vulnerability—individually, while maintaining a holistic perspective. Statistical and machine learning techniques are applied to the identification of patterns in the indicators defining the dimensions of risk and that characterize the risk archetypes. As a case study, this methodology is applied to airport infrastructures across Europe, resulting in an archetype-based classification that identifies 23 climate risk archetypes for European airports. The resulting archetypes not only enable the identification of analogous airports from a climate risk perspective but also highlight the primary sources of risk, serving as a valuable guide for adaptation decision-making.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100717"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144106092","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100774
Kristin VanderMolen , Yeongkwon Son , Terri Foster , Ariel Hamburger , Alexander Tardy
Capacity building is increasingly recognized as important for facilitating climate action, yet both the concept and practice have gone largely unquestioned. A primary critique of capacity building in this and other contexts is that it is often the capacitators alone who determine how it is enacted. In response to this critique, there are calls for alternative, solidarity-based approaches to capacity building that include beneficiaries as collaborators. This study relates the employment and outcomes of one such approach to capacity building in the context of heat risk education in San Diego County, California. Across 2022–2023, the authors worked with a local advisory group to co-develop a heat risk education curriculum for peer-trainers to teach to community audiences, as well as an instructional (or capacity building) workshop to prepare them for its use. There were three exploratory capacities of focus: knowledge, preparedness, and confidence. Through review of and reflection on video recordings and notes from meetings between the authors and the advisory group, and analysis of pre- and post-workshop surveys and follow-up semi-structured interviews conducted with peer-trainers, we recount how those capacities were defined, built, evaluated, and sustained. We also call attention to the systemic nature of capacity building by interweaving in that narrative the accompanying roles of pre-existing capacities at individual, organizational, and network scales. Our goal is to motivate similar empirical studies for comparative analysis. Such analysis is needed not only to improve understanding of the concept and practice of capacity building for climate action and for the development of associated frameworks, but also to identify particular approaches that hold promise for the replicability of results and the merit of investment.
{"title":"Capacity building for community heat risk education: Insights from San Diego County, California, peer-trainers","authors":"Kristin VanderMolen , Yeongkwon Son , Terri Foster , Ariel Hamburger , Alexander Tardy","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100774","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100774","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Capacity building is increasingly recognized as important for facilitating climate action, yet both the concept and practice have gone largely unquestioned. A primary critique of capacity building in this and other contexts is that it is often the capacitators alone who determine how it is enacted. In response to this critique, there are calls for alternative, solidarity-based approaches to capacity building that include beneficiaries as collaborators. This study relates the employment and outcomes of one such approach to capacity building in the context of heat risk education in San Diego County, California. Across 2022–2023, the authors worked with a local advisory group to co-develop a heat risk education curriculum for peer-trainers to teach to community audiences, as well as an instructional (or capacity building) workshop to prepare them for its use. There were three exploratory capacities of focus: knowledge, preparedness, and confidence. Through review of and reflection on video recordings and notes from meetings between the authors and the advisory group, and analysis of pre- and post-workshop surveys and follow-up semi-structured interviews conducted with peer-trainers, we recount how those capacities were defined, built, evaluated, and sustained. We also call attention to the systemic nature of capacity building by interweaving in that narrative the accompanying roles of pre-existing capacities at individual, organizational, and network scales. Our goal is to motivate similar empirical studies for comparative analysis. Such analysis is needed not only to improve understanding of the concept and practice of capacity building for climate action and for the development of associated frameworks, but also to identify particular approaches that hold promise for the replicability of results and the merit of investment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100774"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145684758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100697
Yu Yang , Yang Zhang , Jiajun Zhou , Yang Liu , Linshan Lin , Shijia Kang , Gaofei Yang , Johannes Sauer
Understanding the mechanisms by which technological advancements like ICT influence adaptive actions is crucial for smallholder farmers confronting climate change. This study analyzes data from rural areas in China’s Yangtze River Delta to examine how ICT affects farmers’ adaptive investments. The findings reveal that ICT does not directly increase adaptive investments among smallholders. Instead, it indirectly influences these investments by enhancing farmers’ perceptions of climate risks, thereby addressing debates over ICT’s effectiveness in promoting adaptive actions. By categorizing smallholder farmers’ climate change risk perceptions into sixteen distinct subtypes and measuring them, we provide a understanding how ICT elevates risk awareness. This work extends the model of private proactive adaptation to climate change (MPPACC) by demonstrating that technological advancements influence climate change risk perception, expanding its scope from social discourse to include objective adaptive capacity. Practically, these findings underscore the critical role of risk perception in devising effective adaptation policies. By considering risk perception as a key factor in ICT policy formulation, policymakers can effectively enhance smallholders’ adaptive actions.
{"title":"Climate change risk perception as a catalyst for adaptive effect of ICT: The case in rural Eastern China","authors":"Yu Yang , Yang Zhang , Jiajun Zhou , Yang Liu , Linshan Lin , Shijia Kang , Gaofei Yang , Johannes Sauer","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100697","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100697","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the mechanisms by which technological advancements like ICT influence adaptive actions is crucial for smallholder farmers confronting climate change. This study analyzes data from rural areas in China’s Yangtze River Delta to examine how ICT affects farmers’ adaptive investments. The findings reveal that ICT does not directly increase adaptive investments among smallholders. Instead, it indirectly influences these investments by enhancing farmers’ perceptions of climate risks, thereby addressing debates over ICT’s effectiveness in promoting adaptive actions. By categorizing smallholder farmers’ climate change risk perceptions into sixteen distinct subtypes and measuring them, we provide a understanding how ICT elevates risk awareness. This work extends the model of private proactive adaptation to climate change (MPPACC) by demonstrating that technological advancements influence climate change risk perception, expanding its scope from social discourse to include objective adaptive capacity. Practically, these findings underscore the critical role of risk perception in devising effective adaptation policies. By considering risk perception as a key factor in ICT policy formulation, policymakers can effectively enhance smallholders’ adaptive actions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100697"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143528689","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100706
Maria Rossana D. de Veluz , Ardvin Kester S. Ong , Anak Agung Ngurah Perwira Redi , Renato R. Maaliw , Pitz Gerald Lagrazon , Charlotte N. Monetiro
The Philippines is a country that has a high risk of climate-related calamities. The most frequent natural hazard in the nation is believed to be typhoons, and countries that experience numerous typhoons are vulnerable to floods. Quezon, one of the country’s provinces located in the eastern part of the Philippines, has had this critical problem. To comprehend how the source of influence affects disaster preparedness behavior, this study incorporated and extended the integrated theories of protection motivation and planned behavior. A total of 525 people responded to an online survey with 45 modified adapted questions that was carried out in the municipalities of Quezon. According to the structural equation modeling, the latent variables, including family and community, media information, and prior experiences, are all reflective of the source of influence. Additionally, the source of influence has a significant and direct impact on perceived vulnerability, perceived severity, attitude toward behavior, perceived behavioral control, and subjective norms. It also indirectly affects the intention to evacuate. This study could not only broaden our understanding of how to prepare for typhoons and floods, but it also offers guidance for planning and managing natural hazard mitigation and disaster risk preparedness in Quezon, Philippines.
{"title":"Expanding integrated protection motivation theory and theory of planned behavior: The role of source of influence in flood and typhoon risk preparedness intentions in Quezon Province, Philippines","authors":"Maria Rossana D. de Veluz , Ardvin Kester S. Ong , Anak Agung Ngurah Perwira Redi , Renato R. Maaliw , Pitz Gerald Lagrazon , Charlotte N. Monetiro","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100706","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100706","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Philippines is a country that has a high risk of climate-related calamities. The most frequent natural hazard in the nation is believed to be typhoons, and countries that experience numerous typhoons are vulnerable to floods. Quezon, one of the country’s provinces located in the eastern part of the Philippines, has had this critical problem. To comprehend how the source of influence affects disaster preparedness behavior, this study incorporated and extended the integrated theories of protection motivation and planned behavior. A total of 525 people responded to an online survey with 45 modified adapted questions that was carried out in the municipalities of Quezon. According to the structural equation modeling, the latent variables, including family and community, media information, and prior experiences, are all reflective of the source of influence. Additionally, the source of influence has a significant and direct impact on perceived vulnerability, perceived severity, attitude toward behavior, perceived behavioral control, and subjective norms. It also indirectly affects the intention to evacuate. This study could not only broaden our understanding of how to prepare for typhoons and floods, but it also offers guidance for planning and managing natural hazard mitigation and disaster risk preparedness in Quezon, Philippines.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100706"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143834283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100738
Naud Aude , Navarro Oscar , Chotard Manon , Juigner Martin , Robin Marc , Chadenas Céline , Fleury-Bahi Ghozlane
This study firstly aims to understand the impacts of map representations of coastal erosion on risk perception and affects of lay citizens. Secondly, it aims to study the effect of differing design of cartographic features on observation and interpretation of the message conveyed by different maps. Seven maps were presented to the participants (N = 50), varying according endogenous (abstraction, regalian cartridge) and exogenous characteristics (background, colours). A questionnaire interrogated risk perception and affect before and after observation, while eye-tracking data were recorded during the observation of each map. This experiment shows that communicating erosion risk by maps reduces perceived knowledge of risk but also reduces fear of the risk. The abstraction level significantly impacts observation patterns: correlation maps seem to guide visual attention in a more relevant way and to convey the message more clearly and effectively than other types of maps. But there is no influence of the other characteristics even if interviews show that colours seem to influence the message interpretation.
{"title":"Communicating the risk of erosion: the effects of map-based communication on risk perception and affect","authors":"Naud Aude , Navarro Oscar , Chotard Manon , Juigner Martin , Robin Marc , Chadenas Céline , Fleury-Bahi Ghozlane","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100738","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100738","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study firstly aims to understand the impacts of map representations of coastal erosion on risk perception and affects of lay citizens. Secondly, it aims to study the effect of differing design of cartographic features on observation and interpretation of the message conveyed by different maps. Seven maps were presented to the participants (N = 50), varying according endogenous (abstraction, regalian cartridge) and exogenous characteristics (background, colours). A questionnaire interrogated risk perception and affect before and after observation, while eye-tracking data were recorded during the observation of each map. This experiment shows that communicating erosion risk by maps reduces perceived knowledge of risk but also reduces fear of the risk. The abstraction level significantly impacts observation patterns: correlation maps seem to guide visual attention in a more relevant way and to convey the message more clearly and effectively than other types of maps. But there is no influence of the other characteristics even if interviews show that colours seem to influence the message interpretation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100738"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144912169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100740
Chloé ten Brink , Idowu Ajibade , Caroline Zickgraf
Environmental relocation presents a form of risk management that requires organized movement of communities but are complex to carry out and can have inequitable results. A careful examination of the ethical dimensions of relocation from planning to implementation to outcomes offers an avenue for understanding and addressing potential injustices. Using a deductive environmental justice framework, we analyzed two compensation-based relocations, also understood as buyouts: the 2013 Danube flood relocation in Austria’s Eferding Basin and the Noordwaard de-poldering in the Netherlands’ Room for the River program. We combined document analysis (n = 62) and semi-structured interviews (n = 20) to assess justice concerns, focusing on distributive, procedural, and ecological dimensions. Distributive justice was primarily addressed through financial compensation, offering 100 % market value in the Noordwaard and 80 % in the Eferding Basin, but non-monetary considerations were relatively neglected. Procedural justice, particularly transparency and citizen participation, were insufficient. Considerations of ecological justice were absent in the Eferding Basin but the Noordwaard’s use of nature-based solutions and prioritization of spatial quality led to multiple environmental benefits. Overall, this paper argues that justice should not be viewed simply as a criterion to be fulfilled, but rather as a guiding principle for addressing the broader, short and long-term impacts, and well-being related to relocation. By adopting this perspective, justice can be understood as an opportunity for positive transformation, allowing environmental relocation to be framed as a process with the potential for meaningful, beneficial change rather than solely a response to current or future flood risk.
{"title":"Environmental justice lens as a necessity and an opportunity in relocation: The case of the Noordwaard and the Eferding Basin","authors":"Chloé ten Brink , Idowu Ajibade , Caroline Zickgraf","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100740","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100740","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Environmental relocation presents a form of risk management that requires organized movement of communities but are complex to carry out and can have inequitable results. A careful examination of the ethical dimensions of relocation from planning to implementation to outcomes offers an avenue for understanding and addressing potential injustices. Using a deductive environmental justice framework, we analyzed two compensation-based relocations, also understood as buyouts: the 2013 Danube flood relocation in Austria’s Eferding Basin and the Noordwaard de-poldering in the Netherlands’ Room for the River program. We combined document analysis (n = 62) and semi-structured interviews (n = 20) to assess justice concerns, focusing on distributive, procedural, and ecological dimensions. Distributive justice was primarily addressed through financial compensation, offering 100 % market value in the Noordwaard and 80 % in the Eferding Basin, but non-monetary considerations were relatively neglected. Procedural justice, particularly transparency and citizen participation, were insufficient. Considerations of ecological justice were absent in the Eferding Basin but the Noordwaard’s use of nature-based solutions and prioritization of spatial quality led to multiple environmental benefits. Overall, this paper argues that justice should not be viewed simply as a criterion to be fulfilled, but rather as a guiding principle for addressing the broader, short and long-term impacts, and well-being related to relocation. By adopting this perspective, justice can be understood as an opportunity for positive transformation, allowing environmental relocation to be framed as a process with the potential for meaningful, beneficial change rather than solely a response to current or future flood risk.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100740"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144890460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100685
Jaideep Visave , Daniel P. Aldrich
This study examines the role of social capital in shaping flood resilience within Mumbai’s Sahakar Nagar, a coastal community vulnerable to flooding. Through surveys of 100 residents, we find a positive correlation between trust in community members and the adoption of resilience strategies (r = 0.219, p < 0.05). Trust in neighbors emerges as a key predictor of proactive coping (β = 1.23, p < 0.001), seeking social support (β = 1.32, p < 0.001), and positive reappraisal (β = 1.45, p < 0.001). K-means clustering reveals three distinct community groups (“High Trust Proactive”, “Moderate Trust Networkers”, and “Low Trust Individualists”) exhibiting varying levels of social capital and resilience strategies, reflecting the community’s diverse socioeconomic context, with bimodal income peaks at INR 40,000 and INR 100,000. Social network analysis identifies 12 interconnected sub-communities, highlighting the importance of information hubs within the network. Our findings underscore the critical role of trust in fostering community resilience, suggesting that interventions aimed at building and strengthening trust can enhance flood preparedness and response in urban coastal communities.
本研究考察了社会资本在孟买的Sahakar Nagar(一个易受洪水影响的沿海社区)形成抗洪能力方面的作用。通过对100名居民的调查,我们发现对社区成员的信任与弹性策略的采用呈正相关(r = 0.219, p <;0.05)。对邻居的信任是积极应对的关键预测因子(β = 1.23, p <;0.001),寻求社会支持(β = 1.32, p <;0.001),阳性的重新评价(β = 1.45, p <;0.001)。K-means聚类揭示了三个不同的社区群体(“高信任主动者”、“中等信任网络者”和“低信任个人主义者”)表现出不同水平的社会资本和弹性策略,反映了社区多样化的社会经济背景,双峰收入峰值分别为4万卢比和10万卢比。社会网络分析确定了12个相互关联的子社区,突出了网络中信息中心的重要性。我们的研究结果强调了信任在促进社区恢复力方面的关键作用,表明旨在建立和加强信任的干预措施可以提高城市沿海社区的洪水准备和应对能力。
{"title":"The role of social capital in strengthening community resilience against floods: A case study of Mumbai, India","authors":"Jaideep Visave , Daniel P. Aldrich","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100685","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100685","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the role of social capital in shaping flood resilience within Mumbai’s Sahakar Nagar, a coastal community vulnerable to flooding. Through surveys of 100 residents, we find a positive correlation between trust in community members and the adoption of resilience strategies (r = 0.219, p < 0.05). Trust in neighbors emerges as a key predictor of proactive coping (β = 1.23, p < 0.001), seeking social support (β = 1.32, p < 0.001), and positive reappraisal (β = 1.45, p < 0.001). K-means clustering reveals three distinct community groups (“High Trust Proactive”, “Moderate Trust Networkers”, and “Low Trust Individualists”) exhibiting varying levels of social capital and resilience strategies, reflecting the community’s diverse socioeconomic context, with bimodal income peaks at INR 40,000 and INR 100,000. Social network analysis identifies 12 interconnected sub-communities, highlighting the importance of information hubs within the network. Our findings underscore the critical role of trust in fostering community resilience, suggesting that interventions aimed at building and strengthening trust can enhance flood preparedness and response in urban coastal communities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100685"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143168408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100756
Pei-Jyun Lu , Mark Skidmore
Hailstorms cause significant economic losses worldwide, with the central United States particularly vulnerable due to the frequency and intensity of sever hail events. Cloud seeding, a weather modification technology, has been adopted for hail suppression in more than 50 countries since the 1970s. While existing research predominantly focuses on assessing the impact of cloud seeding on hailstone size or storm frequency, its effects on crop damage and productivity remain understudied. This study evaluates the effectiveness of cloud seeding in Kansas using county-level data from 2002 to 2020, considering a broader set of measurements: hail size, hail frequency, crop damage, crop yields, and potential downwind effects. The findings reveal that cloud seeding reduces hailstone size in target areas but does not significantly decrease crop damage from hail or drought. Conversely, it is associated with increased flood damage to crops. Additionally, cloud seeding enhances corn productivity in target areas but negatively affects sorghum productivity in downwind regions, suggesting potential spillover effects. A cost-benefit analysis indicates positive net present value overall, though several downwind counties experience net losses. These findings highlight the limitation of traditional evaluation metrics and underscore the need for comprehensive assessments of weather modification programs. By integrating agricultural and economic outcomes, this study provides new evidence to guide policy decisions on cloud seeding for hail suppression.
{"title":"Efficacy analysis of cloud seeding program in Kansas agriculture","authors":"Pei-Jyun Lu , Mark Skidmore","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100756","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100756","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Hailstorms cause significant economic losses worldwide, with the central United States particularly vulnerable due to the frequency and intensity of sever hail events. Cloud seeding, a weather modification technology, has been adopted for hail suppression in more than 50 countries since the 1970s. While existing research predominantly focuses on assessing the impact of cloud seeding on hailstone size or storm frequency, its effects on crop damage and productivity remain understudied. This study evaluates the effectiveness of cloud seeding in Kansas using county-level data from 2002 to 2020, considering a broader set of measurements: hail size, hail frequency, crop damage, crop yields, and potential downwind effects. The findings reveal that cloud seeding reduces hailstone size in target areas but does not significantly decrease crop damage from hail or drought. Conversely, it is associated with increased flood damage to crops. Additionally, cloud seeding enhances corn productivity in target areas but negatively affects sorghum productivity in downwind regions, suggesting potential spillover effects. A cost-benefit analysis indicates positive net present value overall, though several downwind counties experience net losses. These findings highlight the limitation of traditional evaluation metrics and underscore the need for comprehensive assessments of weather modification programs. By integrating agricultural and economic outcomes, this study provides new evidence to guide policy decisions on cloud seeding for hail suppression.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100756"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145320079","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100747
Ludovico Feoli , Moisés Arce , Tofigh Maboudi , Todd Eisenstadt , Felipe Girón
Climate change concern is believed to promote environmentally friendly behavior and the support of ameliorative environmental policies. Understanding the causes of this concern is therefore a precondition for its mobilization in favor of ameliorative environmental practices. This paper leverages empirical findings from a nationally representative survey to explore the correlates of climate change concern in Guatemala. It finds that direct and indirect experiences with climate impacts are the main correlates of climate change concern. Low levels of public trust and a sense of agency in reacting to disasters also contribute to concern levels. Measures taken to increase the linkage of weather impacts and anthropogenic actions to climate change, and to foster a sense of climate agency in citizens, can help highly vulnerable countries like Guatemala confront the challenges of climate change by contributing to create conditions that are more conducive to pro-environmental behavior and policy change.
{"title":"The correlates of climate change concern in Guatemala","authors":"Ludovico Feoli , Moisés Arce , Tofigh Maboudi , Todd Eisenstadt , Felipe Girón","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100747","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100747","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change concern is believed to promote environmentally friendly behavior and the support of ameliorative environmental policies. Understanding the causes of this concern is therefore a precondition for its mobilization in favor of ameliorative environmental practices. This paper leverages empirical findings from a nationally representative survey to explore the correlates of climate change concern in Guatemala. It finds that direct and indirect experiences with climate impacts are the main correlates of climate change concern. Low levels of public trust and a sense of agency in reacting to disasters also contribute to concern levels. Measures taken to increase the linkage of weather impacts and anthropogenic actions to climate change, and to foster a sense of climate agency in citizens, can help highly vulnerable countries like Guatemala confront the challenges of climate change by contributing to create conditions that are more conducive to pro-environmental behavior and policy change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100747"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145109520","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}