Climate Risk Management最新文献_第6页

Capacity building for community heat risk education: Insights from San Diego County, California, peer-trainers 社区热风险教育的能力建设：来自加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥县的同行培训师的见解

IF 5 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100774

Kristin VanderMolen , Yeongkwon Son , Terri Foster , Ariel Hamburger , Alexander Tardy

Capacity building is increasingly recognized as important for facilitating climate action, yet both the concept and practice have gone largely unquestioned. A primary critique of capacity building in this and other contexts is that it is often the capacitators alone who determine how it is enacted. In response to this critique, there are calls for alternative, solidarity-based approaches to capacity building that include beneficiaries as collaborators. This study relates the employment and outcomes of one such approach to capacity building in the context of heat risk education in San Diego County, California. Across 2022–2023, the authors worked with a local advisory group to co-develop a heat risk education curriculum for peer-trainers to teach to community audiences, as well as an instructional (or capacity building) workshop to prepare them for its use. There were three exploratory capacities of focus: knowledge, preparedness, and confidence. Through review of and reflection on video recordings and notes from meetings between the authors and the advisory group, and analysis of pre- and post-workshop surveys and follow-up semi-structured interviews conducted with peer-trainers, we recount how those capacities were defined, built, evaluated, and sustained. We also call attention to the systemic nature of capacity building by interweaving in that narrative the accompanying roles of pre-existing capacities at individual, organizational, and network scales. Our goal is to motivate similar empirical studies for comparative analysis. Such analysis is needed not only to improve understanding of the concept and practice of capacity building for climate action and for the development of associated frameworks, but also to identify particular approaches that hold promise for the replicability of results and the merit of investment.

人们越来越认识到能力建设对于促进气候行动的重要性，但其概念和实践在很大程度上都没有受到质疑。在这种情况和其他情况下，对能力建设的一个主要批评是，能力建设往往是由电容器单独决定如何实施的。针对这一批评，有人呼吁采取另一种基于团结的能力建设方法，将受益人作为合作者。本研究将这种方法的就业和结果与加州圣地亚哥县高温风险教育背景下的能力建设联系起来。在2022年至2023年期间，作者与当地一个咨询小组合作，共同开发了一套热风险教育课程，供同行培训师向社区受众授课，并举办了一个教学（或能力建设）研讨会，为他们的使用做好准备。专注的探索能力有三种：知识、准备和信心。通过对作者与咨询小组会议的录像和笔记的回顾和反思，以及对研讨会前后调查和与同行培训师进行的后续半结构化访谈的分析，我们叙述了这些能力是如何定义、建立、评估和维持的。我们还呼吁人们注意能力建设的系统性，将个人、组织和网络层面的既有能力的相关作用交织在一起。我们的目标是激发类似的实证研究进行比较分析。需要这样的分析，不仅是为了增进对气候行动能力建设的概念和实践的理解，也是为了制定相关框架，也是为了确定有希望实现成果可复制性和投资价值的具体方法。

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引用次数: 0

Risk archetypes for European airports: moving towards climate change adaptation 欧洲机场的风险原型：走向适应气候变化

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100717

Esther Barrios-Crespo, Saúl Torres-Ortega, Pedro Díaz-Simal

Critical infrastructures are potentially exposed elements to climate impacts, which implies consequences beyond the purely physical dimension, in the economic and social spheres. This study presents a multi-risk approach based on indicators that assesses multiple climate-related hazards, as well as the multiple dimensions of exposure and vulnerability, with European availability, under various climate change scenarios and time horizons. Based on this approach, an archetype-based critical infrastructure classification is proposed, which serves as a framework for designing adaptation strategies for these infrastructures. These archetypes facilitate the characterization of the different risk components —hazard, exposure, and vulnerability—individually, while maintaining a holistic perspective. Statistical and machine learning techniques are applied to the identification of patterns in the indicators defining the dimensions of risk and that characterize the risk archetypes. As a case study, this methodology is applied to airport infrastructures across Europe, resulting in an archetype-based classification that identifies 23 climate risk archetypes for European airports. The resulting archetypes not only enable the identification of analogous airports from a climate risk perspective but also highlight the primary sources of risk, serving as a valuable guide for adaptation decision-making.

关键基础设施是气候影响的潜在暴露因素，这意味着经济和社会领域的后果超出了纯粹的物理层面。本研究提出了一种基于指标的多风险方法，该方法评估了各种气候变化情景和时间范围下的多种气候相关危害，以及暴露和脆弱性的多个维度，并具有欧洲可用性。在此基础上，提出了一种基于原型的关键基础设施分类方法，并以此作为基础设施适应策略设计的框架。这些原型有助于分别描述不同的风险组件——危害、暴露和脆弱性，同时保持整体的视角。统计和机器学习技术被应用于识别定义风险维度和表征风险原型的指标中的模式。作为一个案例研究，该方法被应用于整个欧洲的机场基础设施，产生了基于原型的分类，确定了23个欧洲机场的气候风险原型。由此产生的原型不仅可以从气候风险的角度识别类似的机场，还可以突出风险的主要来源，为适应决策提供有价值的指导。

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引用次数: 0

Farmers’ climate change perceptions in central Colombia: A propensity score matching approach using protection motivation theory and psychological distance 哥伦比亚中部农民对气候变化的认知：基于保护动机理论和心理距离的倾向得分匹配方法

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100720

Alexander Cano , Bente Castro-Campos

This study investigates how farmers’ experiences with extreme weather events, specifically landslides and droughts, shape their perceptions of climate change in central Colombia, and their implications for climate risk management. Using Protection Motivation Theory and psychological distance as frameworks, we surveyed 360 farmers in 2022–2023 to assess their perceptions of climate change severity, vulnerability, and proximity. To control for confounding factors, we employed propensity score matching, comparing farmers in villages affected by landslides and droughts with those in unaffected villages. Our findings reveal that while landslides do not significantly alter farmers’ perceptions, droughts heighten awareness of climate change, with statistically significant differences observed in 10 out of 16 perception categories. This suggests that the nature of extreme weather events plays a crucial role in shaping climate change perceptions. Notably, farmers affected by drought perceive climate change as more severe, feel more vulnerable, and report closer psychological distance to its impacts compared to those in landslide-affected areas. These results imply that climate risk management strategies should be tailored to the specific types of extreme weather events affecting a region. Furthermore, by comparing drought and landslide events, this study provides new insight into how different climatic shocks shape farmers’ perceptions, contributing to a more nuanced understanding of climate change adaptation. This research highlights how propensity score matching, by better balancing groups and reducing bias from confounding, offers a methodological improvement over conventional approaches in climate perception studies.

本研究调查了哥伦比亚中部农民遭遇极端天气事件（特别是山体滑坡和干旱）的经历如何影响他们对气候变化的看法，以及这些事件对气候风险管理的影响。利用保护动机理论和心理距离作为框架，我们在2022-2023年对360名农民进行了调查，以评估他们对气候变化严重性、脆弱性和接近性的看法。为了控制混杂因素，我们采用倾向得分匹配，比较受滑坡和干旱影响的村庄的农民与未受影响的村庄的农民。我们的研究结果表明，虽然山体滑坡不会显著改变农民的认知，但干旱会提高农民对气候变化的认识，在16个认知类别中，有10个类别存在统计学上的显著差异。这表明，极端天气事件的性质在形成对气候变化的看法方面起着至关重要的作用。值得注意的是，受干旱影响的农民认为气候变化更严重，感觉更脆弱，与受滑坡影响地区的农民相比，他们对其影响的心理距离更近。这些结果表明，气候风险管理策略应该针对影响一个地区的特定类型的极端天气事件进行调整。此外，通过比较干旱和滑坡事件，本研究提供了新的见解，了解不同的气候冲击如何影响农民的看法，有助于更细致入微地了解气候变化适应。这项研究强调了倾向得分匹配，通过更好地平衡群体和减少混杂的偏差，在气候感知研究中提供了一种优于传统方法的方法。

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引用次数: 0

Climate Ireland: A comprehensive evaluation of local authority climate action training 爱尔兰气候：对地方当局气候行动培训的综合评估

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100729

Christopher Phillips, Lydia Cumiskey, Cathal O’Mahony, Catriona Reid, Denise McCullagh

Governments in Europe must adjust to the changing climate, which necessitates building public sector capacity for climate action (European Commission, 2021). The Climate Ireland knowledge platform is a crucial national online resource providing climate data and information to decision-makers. Collaborating with Climate Action Regional Offices and the Local Authority Services National Training Group it delivered the “Raising Awareness” climate training programme which has been instrumental in increasing local government knowledge of climate change. The lack of consistency in training initiatives and the knowledge gap for decision-makers have been addressed in large part by Climate Ireland’s rise as a trustworthy training and information platform.

We analysed quantitative survey data from the Raising Awareness training programme, completed by 15,295 participants from local authorities across Ireland, using statistical methods to assess the training’s impact on participants’ understanding, knowledge acquisition, awareness, and decision-making abilities. The training programme was effective in increasing climate awareness, engaging with participants and improving knowledge acquisition. Strong correlations were also found between satisfaction, engagement and personal/professional relatability of the content. Most participants also reported increased feelings of confidence regarding the implementation of climate actions. Our findings suggest that engaging and personally relatable content leads to better satisfaction and learning outcomes. This study offers insights for shaping future climate action training that aligns with national and international commitments to train, empower and enhance capacity of decision-makers. It demonstrates the importance of ongoing training to build adaptive responses to climate change challenges, contributing to Ireland’s resilience and sustainability efforts.

欧洲各国政府必须适应不断变化的气候，这就需要建设公共部门的气候行动能力（欧盟委员会，2021年）。爱尔兰气候知识平台是一个重要的国家在线资源，为决策者提供气候数据和信息。它与气候行动区域办事处和地方当局服务国家培训小组合作，提供了“提高认识”气候培训方案，该方案有助于提高地方政府对气候变化的认识。培训计划缺乏一致性和决策者的知识差距在很大程度上已经通过气候爱尔兰作为一个值得信赖的培训和信息平台的崛起得到了解决。我们分析了来自提高意识培训计划的定量调查数据，该计划由来自爱尔兰各地地方当局的15,295名参与者完成，使用统计方法评估培训对参与者的理解、知识获取、意识和决策能力的影响。培训方案有效地提高了对气候的认识，促进了参与者的参与和知识的获取。满意度、参与度和内容的个人/专业相关性之间也存在很强的相关性。大多数与会者还报告说，他们对实施气候行动的信心有所增强。我们的研究结果表明，引人入胜和个人相关的内容会带来更好的满意度和学习成果。这项研究为塑造未来的气候行动培训提供了见解，这些培训与国家和国际对培训、赋权和提高决策者能力的承诺相一致。它展示了持续培训的重要性，以建立适应气候变化挑战的反应，有助于爱尔兰的复原力和可持续性努力。

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引用次数: 0

Strategic marketing capacities for climate change resilience: A framework for business-to-business sectors 应对气候变化的战略营销能力：企业对企业部门的框架

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100700

Maryam Asgharinajib , Davood Feiz , Morteza Maleki MinBashRazgah , Azim Zarei , Shahryar Sorooshian

This study examines business-to-business (B2B) marketing capabilities about climate change and aims to fill gaps in the strategic marketing literature. Using a grounded theory approach and conducting in-depth interviews with B2B company executives in Iran, three key capabilities were identified: climate capacity building, communication catalyst, and Climatic Greenism. Climate capacity building focuses on risk awareness and strengthening infrastructure, communication catalyst focuses on mobilizing sustainable narratives and engaging with stakeholders, and Climatic Greenism emphasizes supply chain innovation and product development. Findings suggest that these capabilities synergistically contribute to strengthening the resilience and sustainability of companies. This research adds to the scientific discourse on B2B marketing and climate change. It provides practical insights to help B2B companies, especially in developing countries, adapt their strategies to environmental conditions and ensure sustainable performance.

本研究考察了企业对企业（B2B）关于气候变化的营销能力，旨在填补战略营销文献中的空白。采用扎根理论方法并对伊朗B2B公司高管进行深入访谈，确定了三个关键能力：气候能力建设、沟通催化剂和气候绿色主义。气候能力建设侧重于风险意识和加强基础设施，沟通催化剂侧重于动员可持续叙事和与利益攸关方接触，气候绿色主义强调供应链创新和产品开发。研究结果表明，这些能力协同作用有助于增强公司的弹性和可持续性。这项研究增加了B2B营销和气候变化的科学论述。它提供了实用的见解，以帮助B2B公司，特别是发展中国家的公司，调整其战略以适应环境条件并确保可持续的绩效。

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引用次数: 0

The role of social capital in strengthening community resilience against floods: A case study of Mumbai, India 社会资本在加强社区抗洪能力中的作用：以印度孟买为例

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100685

Jaideep Visave , Daniel P. Aldrich

This study examines the role of social capital in shaping flood resilience within Mumbai’s Sahakar Nagar, a coastal community vulnerable to flooding. Through surveys of 100 residents, we find a positive correlation between trust in community members and the adoption of resilience strategies (r = 0.219, p < 0.05). Trust in neighbors emerges as a key predictor of proactive coping (β = 1.23, p < 0.001), seeking social support (β = 1.32, p < 0.001), and positive reappraisal (β = 1.45, p < 0.001). K-means clustering reveals three distinct community groups (“High Trust Proactive”, “Moderate Trust Networkers”, and “Low Trust Individualists”) exhibiting varying levels of social capital and resilience strategies, reflecting the community’s diverse socioeconomic context, with bimodal income peaks at INR 40,000 and INR 100,000. Social network analysis identifies 12 interconnected sub-communities, highlighting the importance of information hubs within the network. Our findings underscore the critical role of trust in fostering community resilience, suggesting that interventions aimed at building and strengthening trust can enhance flood preparedness and response in urban coastal communities.

本研究考察了社会资本在孟买的Sahakar Nagar（一个易受洪水影响的沿海社区）形成抗洪能力方面的作用。通过对100名居民的调查，我们发现对社区成员的信任与弹性策略的采用呈正相关(r = 0.219, p <；0.05)。对邻居的信任是积极应对的关键预测因子(β = 1.23, p <；0.001)，寻求社会支持(β = 1.32, p <；0.001)，阳性的重新评价(β = 1.45, p <；0.001)。K-means聚类揭示了三个不同的社区群体（“高信任主动者”、“中等信任网络者”和“低信任个人主义者”）表现出不同水平的社会资本和弹性策略，反映了社区多样化的社会经济背景，双峰收入峰值分别为4万卢比和10万卢比。社会网络分析确定了12个相互关联的子社区，突出了网络中信息中心的重要性。我们的研究结果强调了信任在促进社区恢复力方面的关键作用，表明旨在建立和加强信任的干预措施可以提高城市沿海社区的洪水准备和应对能力。

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引用次数: 0

The correlates of climate change concern in Guatemala 气候变化对危地马拉的影响

IF 5 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100747

Ludovico Feoli , Moisés Arce , Tofigh Maboudi , Todd Eisenstadt , Felipe Girón

Climate change concern is believed to promote environmentally friendly behavior and the support of ameliorative environmental policies. Understanding the causes of this concern is therefore a precondition for its mobilization in favor of ameliorative environmental practices. This paper leverages empirical findings from a nationally representative survey to explore the correlates of climate change concern in Guatemala. It finds that direct and indirect experiences with climate impacts are the main correlates of climate change concern. Low levels of public trust and a sense of agency in reacting to disasters also contribute to concern levels. Measures taken to increase the linkage of weather impacts and anthropogenic actions to climate change, and to foster a sense of climate agency in citizens, can help highly vulnerable countries like Guatemala confront the challenges of climate change by contributing to create conditions that are more conducive to pro-environmental behavior and policy change.

对气候变化的关注被认为能促进环境友好行为和支持改善环境的政策。因此，了解这种关切的原因是动员各国支持改善环境作法的先决条件。本文利用一项具有全国代表性的调查的实证结果，探讨危地马拉气候变化问题的相关关系。报告发现，气候影响的直接和间接经验是气候变化关注的主要相关因素。公众信任度低以及在应对灾害时缺乏能动性，也导致了人们的担忧程度。采取措施加强天气影响和人为活动与气候变化之间的联系，并培养公民的气候机构意识，可以通过创造更有利于环保行为和政策变化的条件，帮助危地马拉等高度脆弱的国家应对气候变化的挑战。

引用次数: 0

Efficacy analysis of cloud seeding program in Kansas agriculture 堪萨斯州农业播云计划的效果分析

IF 5 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100756

Pei-Jyun Lu , Mark Skidmore

Hailstorms cause significant economic losses worldwide, with the central United States particularly vulnerable due to the frequency and intensity of sever hail events. Cloud seeding, a weather modification technology, has been adopted for hail suppression in more than 50 countries since the 1970s. While existing research predominantly focuses on assessing the impact of cloud seeding on hailstone size or storm frequency, its effects on crop damage and productivity remain understudied. This study evaluates the effectiveness of cloud seeding in Kansas using county-level data from 2002 to 2020, considering a broader set of measurements: hail size, hail frequency, crop damage, crop yields, and potential downwind effects. The findings reveal that cloud seeding reduces hailstone size in target areas but does not significantly decrease crop damage from hail or drought. Conversely, it is associated with increased flood damage to crops. Additionally, cloud seeding enhances corn productivity in target areas but negatively affects sorghum productivity in downwind regions, suggesting potential spillover effects. A cost-benefit analysis indicates positive net present value overall, though several downwind counties experience net losses. These findings highlight the limitation of traditional evaluation metrics and underscore the need for comprehensive assessments of weather modification programs. By integrating agricultural and economic outcomes, this study provides new evidence to guide policy decisions on cloud seeding for hail suppression.

冰雹在全球范围内造成重大经济损失，由于严重冰雹事件的频率和强度，美国中部特别脆弱。自20世纪70年代以来，50多个国家采用人工影响天气的人工降雨技术来抑制冰雹。虽然现有的研究主要集中在评估云播对冰雹大小或风暴频率的影响，但其对作物损害和生产力的影响仍未得到充分研究。本研究利用2002年至2020年的县级数据评估了堪萨斯州云播的有效性，考虑了更广泛的测量数据：冰雹大小、冰雹频率、作物损害、作物产量和潜在的下风影响。研究结果表明，云播可以减少目标地区冰雹的大小，但不能显著减少冰雹或干旱对作物的损害。相反，它与洪水对农作物的破坏增加有关。此外，云播提高了目标区域的玉米产量，但对下风区域的高粱产量产生了负面影响，表明存在潜在的溢出效应。成本效益分析表明，净现值总体为正，尽管几个顺风县经历净亏损。这些发现突出了传统评估指标的局限性，并强调了对人工影响天气项目进行全面评估的必要性。通过综合农业和经济成果，本研究为人工降雨降雹的政策决策提供了新的依据。

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引用次数: 0

Expanding integrated protection motivation theory and theory of planned behavior: The role of source of influence in flood and typhoon risk preparedness intentions in Quezon Province, Philippines 扩展综合保护动机理论与计划行为理论：影响源在菲律宾奎松省洪水和台风风险准备意愿中的作用

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100706

Maria Rossana D. de Veluz , Ardvin Kester S. Ong , Anak Agung Ngurah Perwira Redi , Renato R. Maaliw , Pitz Gerald Lagrazon , Charlotte N. Monetiro

The Philippines is a country that has a high risk of climate-related calamities. The most frequent natural hazard in the nation is believed to be typhoons, and countries that experience numerous typhoons are vulnerable to floods. Quezon, one of the country’s provinces located in the eastern part of the Philippines, has had this critical problem. To comprehend how the source of influence affects disaster preparedness behavior, this study incorporated and extended the integrated theories of protection motivation and planned behavior. A total of 525 people responded to an online survey with 45 modified adapted questions that was carried out in the municipalities of Quezon. According to the structural equation modeling, the latent variables, including family and community, media information, and prior experiences, are all reflective of the source of influence. Additionally, the source of influence has a significant and direct impact on perceived vulnerability, perceived severity, attitude toward behavior, perceived behavioral control, and subjective norms. It also indirectly affects the intention to evacuate. This study could not only broaden our understanding of how to prepare for typhoons and floods, but it also offers guidance for planning and managing natural hazard mitigation and disaster risk preparedness in Quezon, Philippines.

菲律宾是一个气候相关灾害风险很高的国家。在这个国家，最常见的自然灾害被认为是台风，而经历过多次台风的国家很容易发生洪水。位于菲律宾东部的奎松省就有这个严重的问题。为了理解影响源如何影响备灾行为，本研究将保护动机和计划行为的整合理论纳入并扩展。共有525人参与了一项在线调查，其中包括45个经过修改的问题，该调查在奎松市开展。根据结构方程模型，家庭和社区、媒体信息、先前经历等潜在变量都能反映影响来源。此外，影响源对感知脆弱性、感知严重性、感知行为态度、感知行为控制和主观规范有显著而直接的影响。这也间接影响了撤离的意图。这项研究不仅可以扩大我们对如何防备台风和洪水的理解，而且还可以为菲律宾奎松省的自然灾害减灾和灾害风险防备规划和管理提供指导。

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引用次数: 0

A review on machine learning models for drought monitoring and forecasting 干旱监测与预报机器学习模型研究进展

IF 5 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Climate Risk Management

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100758

Ahmedbahaaaldin Ibrahem Ahmed Osman , Nouar AlDahoul , Kai Lun Chong , Yuk Feng Huang , Jing Lin Ng , Ahmed Elshafie , Mohsen Sherif , Ali Najah Ahmed

Drought, driven by shifting climate patterns, increasingly threatens hydropower, agriculture, and water supply systems, necessitating robust early detection and forecasting frameworks. This review critically examines recent machine learning (ML) approaches to drought prediction, focusing on meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought types across diverse temporal and spatial scales. We analyze the influence of input variables, such as precipitation, streamflow, climate indices, and remote sensing data, on model performance, and identify key trends including the rise of hybrid and deep learning models for capturing nonlinear dependencies and long-term patterns. Unique contributions include a comparative evaluation of model interpretability, scalability, and data requirements, as well as the identification of persistent gaps such as limited regional transferability and underrepresentation of socio-environmental factors. By proposing a framework for selecting optimal models based on data availability, complexity, and operational constraints, this review offers actionable insights for researchers and policymakers seeking to develop adaptive, context-aware drought mitigation strategies that ensure long-term water sustainability.

气候模式变化导致的干旱日益威胁水电、农业和供水系统，因此需要强有力的早期检测和预测框架。这篇综述严格审查了最近的机器学习（ML）干旱预测方法，重点关注不同时空尺度的气象、水文和农业干旱类型。我们分析了输入变量（如降水、流量、气候指数和遥感数据）对模型性能的影响，并确定了关键趋势，包括用于捕获非线性依赖关系和长期模式的混合和深度学习模型的兴起。独特的贡献包括对模型可解释性、可扩展性和数据需求的比较评估，以及对持续差距的识别，如有限的区域可转移性和社会环境因素代表性不足。通过提出一个基于数据可用性、复杂性和操作约束选择最佳模型的框架，本综述为寻求制定适应性、情境感知的干旱缓解战略以确保长期水资源可持续性的研究人员和政策制定者提供了可行的见解。

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引用次数: 0