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A comparative assessment of accommodation strategies based on elevated buildings for coastal adaptation 对基于高架建筑物的适应沿海地区的容纳战略进行比较评估
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100655
Ulysse Pasquier , Robert J. Nicholls , Gonéri Le Cozannet , Paul Sayers
Elevating parts or the entirety of the structure of buildings in exposed coastal areas can be an effective way of managing the growing risks associated with climate change and sea level rise. While these accommodation measures are well known, there is little to no research on their role in coastal adaptation policy in Europe or on accommodation taking place at all. A systematic review of grey literature was carried out in metropolitan France, the UK and Ireland to assess the current state of structural accommodation. The analysis shows that although measures such as the raising of floor levels of new developments are common practice as part of property-level resilience and flood risk management on the coasts of the three studied countries, accommodation remains driven by local spatial planning and poorly integrated in overarching adaptation policies. Accommodation is found to be unevenly distributed along the assessed coasts and in many locations is happening in protected or sheltered locations to manage residual risk. Comparisons with the experience from the US – where elevated buildings have been an established strategy for over 50 years – suggest that accommodation could be enhanced by providing guidelines that better account for coastal processes such as the impacts of waves, as well as by promoting financial incentives through subsidies or insurance schemes. National coastal adaptation policies are rapidly evolving in Europe and could benefit from a better understanding of the advantages and limitations of accommodation by elevating buildings.
将暴露在沿海地区的建筑物的部分或全部结构抬高,可以有效地管理与气候变化和海平面上升相关的日益增长的风险。虽然这些加固措施已广为人知,但关于它们在欧洲沿海适应政策中的作用或加固措施的研究却少之又少。我们对法国、英国和爱尔兰大都市的灰色文献进行了系统回顾,以评估结构性调适的现状。分析结果表明,尽管在所研究的三个国家的沿海地区,提高新开发项目的楼面高度等措施已成为物业层面抗灾和洪水风险管理的常见做法,但调适仍受当地空间规划的驱动,与总体适应政策的结合程度较低。在所评估的沿海地区,住宿地的分布并不均匀,在许多地方,住宿地位于受保护或遮蔽的地点,以管理残余风险。与美国的经验相比--50 多年来,高架建筑一直是美国的既定战略--表明,可以通过提供更好地考虑沿海过程(如海浪的影响)的指南,以及通过补贴或保险计划促进财政激励,来加强适应性。欧洲的国家沿海适应政策正在迅速发展,如果能更好地了解通过抬高建筑物来适应的优势和局限性,将能从中受益。
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引用次数: 0
Apple farmer’s willingness to pay for RWBCIS: Determinants and empirical evidences from Jammu and Kashmir, India 苹果果农对 RWBCIS 的支付意愿:印度查谟和克什米尔地区的决定因素和经验证据
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100636
Pawan Kumar Sharma , Lyaqat Ali , Shilpa Sharma , Sidra Shafaqat , Vishal Mahajan , Berjesh Ajrawat , Mohammad Iqbal Bhat

Climate-induced extreme events are increasingly affecting farmers’ livelihoods through weather-related losses such as flash floods, hailstorms, and rising temperatures. In response to these challenges, the Central Government has introduced the voluntary Restructured Weather Based Crop Insurance Scheme (RWBCIS) as an effective risk management strategy. Under this scheme, farmers are required to pay a premium of 5 percent of the total compensation to avail the benefits. Apple, a major commercial crop in the north-western Himalayas, contributes 70 percent of India’s total apple production, with a significant share attributed to the Jammu and Kashmir Union Territory. This study aims to explore whether apple growers are willing to pay for RWBCIS and to identify the drivers influencing their decision to purchase such insurance products. Data were collected from 900 apple growers in the purposively selected districts of Baramulla and Budgam in Jammu and Kashmir. The findings indicate that while all farmers were willing to adopt the weather-based crop insurance scheme, the majority were unwilling to pay the current premium. The estimated mean willingness to pay (WTP) was Rs. 37.22 per tree without covariates and Rs. 17 with covariates, compared to the prevailing Rs. 53 in the neighboring state of Himachal Pradesh. Factors contributing to the low WTP included a lack of knowledge about the scheme’s modalities, basis risk, and distrust in both government and private insurance companies. The government should consider innovative methods to provide existing subsidies to achieve the targeted coverage of 25 percent of farmers under the scheme.

气候引起的极端事件正日益影响农民的生计,造成与天气有关的损失,如山洪暴发、冰雹和气温升高。为应对这些挑战,中央政府推出了自愿性的 "基于天气的作物保险重组计划"(RWBCIS),作为一项有效的风险管理战略。根据该计划,农民需要支付总赔偿额 5% 的保费,才能获得赔付。苹果是喜马拉雅山西北部的主要经济作物,占印度苹果总产量的 70%,其中查谟和克什米尔联邦直辖区占了很大份额。本研究旨在探讨苹果种植者是否愿意支付 RWBCIS,并确定影响他们决定购买此类保险产品的驱动因素。研究从查谟和克什米尔特意选定的巴拉穆拉和布德加姆地区的 900 名苹果种植者那里收集了数据。研究结果表明,虽然所有农户都愿意采用基于天气的农作物保险计划,但大多数农户不愿意支付当前的保费。估计的平均支付意愿(WTP)为每棵树 37.22 卢比(不含协变量)和 17 卢比(含协变量),而邻近的喜马偕尔邦则普遍为 53 卢比。导致 WTP 较低的因素包括对该计划的模式缺乏了解、基础风险以及对政府和私营保险公司的不信任。政府应考虑以创新方法提供现有补贴,以实现该计划覆盖 25% 农民的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Expansive learning of climate scientists towards transdisciplinarity 气候科学家为实现跨学科性而进行的拓展性学习
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100642
Alice McClure , Gina Ziervogel , Zarina Patel

Expansive learning theory was deployed in this study to explore how climate scientists can learn from working in a transdisciplinary mode, particularly to co-produce knowledge and navigate complex climate risks with other actors. A qualitative case study methodology was used to investigate expansive learning for climate scientists involved in the Future Resilience of African CiTies and Lands (FRACTAL) project. Findings from the study show how several major tensions of the cultural and historical work environment of scientists limit their potential to effectively produce scientific climate change information to inform decision making in complex African cities. Novel learning aspects were introduced during transdisciplinarity, which helped the scientists grapple with these tensions. They spent much time in cities with different groups of actors learning about the complex and dynamic drivers of risks in African cities and how these might change into the future. They also learned about the diverse subjectivities, priorities and values that influence African urban decision making. The group of scientists took learning actions to change their approach for co-producing knowledge with other actors in contexts of such complexity. These learning actions demonstrate transformative agency of climate scientists to expand their activities to collaboratively navigate complex African urban climate change risks.

本研究采用了扩展性学习理论,以探讨气候科学家如何从跨学科工作模式中学习,特别是与其他参与者共同创造知识和驾驭复杂的气候风险。本研究采用定性案例研究的方法,对参与 "非洲国家和地区未来复原力"(FRACTAL)项目的气候科学家的拓展性学习进行了调查。研究结果表明,科学家的文化和历史工作环境中存在的几大矛盾如何限制了他们的潜力,使他们无法有效地提供科学的气候变化信息,为复杂的非洲城市的决策提供依据。在跨学科过程中引入了新的学习内容,这有助于科学家们应对这些紧张局势。他们花了大量时间在城市中与不同的参与者群体一起学习非洲城市复杂多变的风险驱动因素,以及这些因素在未来可能发生的变化。他们还了解了影响非洲城市决策的各种主观性、优先事项和价值观。科学家小组采取了学习行动,以改变他们在如此复杂的环境中与其他参与者共同创造知识的方法。这些学习行动展示了气候科学家的变革能力,以扩大他们的活动范围,共同应对复杂的非洲城市气候变化风险。
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引用次数: 0
Dealing with uncertainty in flood risk management and land use planning decisions: Insights from Aotearoa New Zealand 应对洪水风险管理和土地使用规划决策中的不确定性:新西兰奥特亚罗瓦的启示
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100666
Sepideh Afsari Bajestani , Silvia Serrao-Neumann , Christina Hanna , Xinyu Fu
Flooding with increasing intensity and frequency is presenting significant challenges for risk management and land use planning in urban areas. This is further exacerbated by uncertainties regarding how flood patterns are changing because of climate change. However, how such uncertainties are considered to inform flood risk management and land use planning decisions can vary largely from place to place and remain unclear in the literature. This paper contributes to this by examining how uncertainty is dealt with in flood risk management and land use planning in Aotearoa New Zealand. Drawing on empirical data at the local level, findings indicate that Aotearoa New Zealand’s decision-makers face challenges in considering and communicating uncertainty due to the prevalence of outdated approaches and regulatory constraints, fragmented risk governance, and lack of appropriate understanding of different perceptions and assumptions regarding flood risk between different stakeholders. Based on findings, the paper discusses the critical role of a national-level adaptive flood risk governance in helping to ensure consistency and coherency across different jurisdictions and levels of government, regarding the incorporation of uncertainty into flood risk management and land use planning. This includes the provision of national directives for incorporating uncertainty in decision-making whilst leaving room for innovation and targeted variability at the local level.
强度和频率不断增加的洪水给城市地区的风险管理和土地利用规划带来了巨大挑战。气候变化导致的洪水模式变化的不确定性进一步加剧了这一挑战。然而,如何考虑这些不确定性,为洪水风险管理和土地利用规划决策提供信息,各地情况大不相同,文献中也没有明确的说明。本文通过研究新西兰奥特亚罗瓦地区在洪水风险管理和土地利用规划中如何处理不确定性,对此有所贡献。根据地方层面的经验数据,研究结果表明,新西兰奥特亚罗瓦的决策者在考虑和交流不确定性方面面临挑战,原因是普遍存在过时的方法和监管限制、分散的风险治理,以及缺乏对不同利益相关者对洪水风险的不同看法和假设的适当理解。根据研究结果,本文讨论了国家级适应性洪水风险治理在帮助确保不同辖区和各级政府在将不确定性纳入洪水风险管理和土地利用规划方面的一致性和连贯性方面的关键作用。这包括提供将不确定性纳入决策的国家指令,同时为地方层面的创新和有针对性的可变性留有余地。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping the integration of climate considerations in social protection in LMICs: An assessment of ninety-eight climate-relevant social protection programs 绘制低收入和中等收入国家将气候因素纳入社会保护的图景:对 98 个气候相关社会保护计划的评估
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100660
Cecilia Costella , Abhinav Banthiya , Rachel Reilly , Sajanika Sivanu , Rachel Slater , Yola Georgiadou , Maarten van Aalst
Social protection can be a key policy tool for managing the socioeconomic impacts of climate change, including poverty and inequality. Despite growing interest from policy makers and academics, a systematic effort to document and analyze the integration of climate considerations in social protection programs is lacking. This understanding is crucial for designing policies and programs that more effectively address the impacts of climate change.
Our research provides a first systematic mapping of climate considerations integration in social protection programs in low- and middle-income countries. Using a mixed-methods approach, we identify 98 climate-relevant social protection programs and gather data on over 70 variables related to their scope and climate relevance at policy, design, and implementation level. We aim to answer the question: to what extent and how are social protection programs in LMICs climate-relevant?
We find a significant number of long-standing climate-relevant social protection programs that reach large populations and involve substantial financial investments globally. At the policy and program design level, climate considerations in these programs remain relatively limited and vary based on the sector of the lead agency. At the implementation level, most programs typically focus on shock response, though our findings show they already support broader climate functions. Our results empirically substantiate assumptions about climate-relevant social protection, offer key new policy insights, and identify areas for further research. We also make the database openly available for use by researchers and practitioners.
社会保护可以成为管理气候变化的社会经济影响(包括贫困和不平等)的重要政策工具。尽管政策制定者和学术界的兴趣与日俱增,但仍缺乏系统性的工作来记录和分析将气候因素纳入社会保护计划的情况。我们的研究首次对中低收入国家的社会保护项目中纳入气候因素的情况进行了系统性分析。我们采用混合方法,确定了 98 项与气候相关的社会保护计划,并收集了与这些计划的范围以及政策、设计和实施层面的气候相关性有关的 70 多个变量的数据。我们的目标是回答这样一个问题:在低收入和中等收入国家,社会保护项目在多大程度上与气候相关,以及如何与气候相关?我们发现了大量长期存在的与气候相关的社会保护项目,这些项目在全球范围内覆盖了大量人口,并涉及大量资金投入。在政策和项目设计层面,这些项目中的气候考虑因素仍然相对有限,而且因牵头机构的部门而异。在实施层面,大多数计划通常侧重于冲击响应,尽管我们的研究结果表明它们已经支持更广泛的气候功能。我们的结果从经验上证实了与气候相关的社会保护假设,提供了关键的新政策见解,并确定了进一步研究的领域。我们还开放了数据库,供研究人员和从业人员使用。
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引用次数: 0
The politics of local climate risk management – A comparison of risk logic in the Netherlands, Norway, and Sweden 地方气候风险管理政治--荷兰、挪威和瑞典的风险逻辑比较
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100626
Cathrine Witnes Karlson, Claudia Morsut, Ole Andreas Hegland Engen

Drawing on the securitisation and riskification of climate change literature, this paper investigates local governments’ climate risk management following a comparative analysis of three cases in the Netherlands, Norway, and Sweden. The comparative analysis reveals how unwanted consequences of climate change are translated into climate risks, identifying the actors involved in these translations. The analysis then determines the means through which the translations occur, following a risk logic that underpins a particular governmental response to climate change. The findings of this analysis have been contrasted in terms of effects and side effects of the risk logic, showing that the three local cases follow a similar pattern. This paper contributes to understanding the challenges of climate risk management in terms of fortifying existing risk practices, expert-led responses with limited citizen involvement, and long-term societal engineering.

本文借鉴气候变化安全化和风险化的文献,通过对荷兰、挪威和瑞典三个案例的比较分析,研究了地方政府的气候风险管理。比较分析揭示了气候变化的不良后果是如何转化为气候风险的,并确定了参与这些转化的行动者。然后,分析确定了转化发生的手段,即政府应对气候变化的特定风险逻辑。分析结果在风险逻辑的效果和副作用方面进行了对比,表明三个地方案例遵循类似的模式。本文有助于理解气候风险管理在以下方面面临的挑战:强化现有的风险做法、由专家主导、公民参与有限的应对措施以及长期的社会工程。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the economic and climate adaptation benefits of land conservation strategies in urban coastal regions of the U.S. and China 评估中美城市沿海地区土地保护战略的经济和气候适应效益
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100632
Longfeng Wu , Seung Kyum Kim

Land conservation has been recognized as a multifunctional adaptive strategy to tackle climate change as it includes the ability to mitigate risk and enhance biodiversity. However, limited empirical studies focus on the climatic adaptive functions of land conservation. Employing various geospatial and statistical techniques, including remote sensing, logistic regression, and landscape metrics, we investigate the effects of land conservation’s spatial characteristics. These characteristics affect the functional efficacy of climate adaptation in urban coastal regions, influencing regional economic vitality in the United States and China. Empirical results indicate that regional economic vitality is positively affected by parks and grassland, patch growth patterns, higher urban density, and closer proximities to coastlines and major roads. In contrast, the core growth form of land conservation has a negative economic effect. Among the estimated variables, we find that the patch growth form of land conservation and closer proximity to higher urban density have the largest positive effects on economic vitality across the study sites. Our findings contribute to both land conservation policy and the climate change literature by uncovering the spatially explicit effects of land conservation related to climate change adaptation.

土地保护被认为是应对气候变化的一种多功能适应战略,因为它具有减轻风险和提高生物多样性的能力。然而,关注土地保护的气候适应功能的实证研究却十分有限。利用遥感、逻辑回归和景观度量等多种地理空间和统计技术,我们研究了土地保护空间特征的影响。这些特征会影响城市沿海地区气候适应的功能效果,进而影响美国和中国的地区经济活力。实证结果表明,公园和草地、片状增长模式、较高的城市密度以及与海岸线和主要道路的距离较近,都会对区域经济活力产生积极影响。相比之下,土地保护的核心增长形式对经济产生了负面影响。在估算的变量中,我们发现土地保护的成片增长形式和更接近更高的城市密度对整个研究地点的经济活力具有最大的积极影响。我们的研究结果揭示了与适应气候变化相关的土地保护的空间效应,为土地保护政策和气候变化文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Unpacking the theory-practice gap in climate adaptation” [Clim. Risk Manage. 42 (2023) 100567] 揭开气候适应理论与实践之间的差距 "的更正 《气候风险管理》第 42 (2023) 100567 期
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100620
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引用次数: 0
Unseen suffering: Social injustice among women during climate-induced migration in Pakistan 看不见的痛苦:巴基斯坦妇女在气候导致的移徙中遭受的社会不公
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100663
Wahid Ullah , Haijun Dong , Ashfaq Ahmad Shah , Bader Alhafi Alotaibi , Muhammad Khursid , Takaaki Nihei
Women are highly exposed to climate-induced natural disasters in Pakistan due to socio-cultural barriers resulting in heightened social injustice among them. This paper investigates the drivers of social injustice during forced migration among women living in vulnerable areas of Pakistan. The study utilized data from fifteen key informants’ interviews by employing a systematic narrative analysis to investigate women’s responses towards migration and gender dimensions of adverse climatic events. The results show that economic, socio-cultural, and health related factors were among the key contributors exposing women to social injustice during migration while in search for better life. The findings further unveiled that decisions regarding migration were mainly taken by the household heads especially who in most cases were the male family members. In all circumstances, securing lives, livelihoods, and properties, access to better education, healthcare facilities, and to overall improve socioeconomic situation of the household, were the primary goals of deciding to move to newfound. Given that some members of the household pursue migration as a result of adverse climatic events, government strategies are required to mitigate risks at destinations and create opportunities for the displaced populations.
在巴基斯坦,由于社会文化方面的障碍,妇女极易受到气候引起的自然灾害的影响,从而加剧了她们之间的社会不公。本文调查了生活在巴基斯坦脆弱地区的妇女被迫迁徙期间社会不公的驱动因素。研究利用 15 个关键信息提供者的访谈数据,通过系统的叙事分析,调查了妇女对迁移的反应以及不利气候事件的性别层面。研究结果表明,经济、社会文化和健康相关因素是导致妇女在寻求更好生活的移徙过程中遭受社会不公的主要原因。研究结果进一步揭示,有关迁移的决定主要由户主做出,特别是在大多数情况下,户主都是男性家庭成员。在所有情况下,确保生命、生计和财产安全,获得更好的教育和医疗设施,以及全面改善家庭 的社会经济状况,都是决定迁往新地方的首要目标。鉴于一些家庭成员因不利气候事件而迁移,政府需要制定战略,以降低目的地的风险,并为流离失所者创造机会。
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引用次数: 0
Using social-network analysis to map institutional actors’ links with vulnerable municipalities under climate change in Honduras’ dry corridor. Pathways towards improved cooperation and territorial interventions 利用社会网络分析绘制洪都拉斯干旱走廊气候变化下机构参与者与脆弱城市的联系图。改善合作和地区干预的途径
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100664
Carlos Eduardo Gonzalez-Rodriguez , Irma Ayes-Rivera , Jean-Francois Le Coq , Rafael Renteria-Ramos , Johana Marcela Castillo-Rivera
The Honduras dry corridor, located in Central America’s Pacific region, has high natural climate variability. Nearly half of the Honduran population depends on socio-economic activities linked to agriculture, making climate-change adaptation crucial for the agricultural sector to ensure food and nutrition security. This research analyzes how institutional structures function and interact as a network to investigate the spatial coherence and relevance of public- and private-sector interventions related to agriculture, climate change, and food security in 153 municipalities of Honduras’ dry corridor. We employed a Social Network Analysis (SNA) approach to examine these interactions over the territories, revealing two network patterns: the first favors a single municipality, observed only in the Central District where Honduras’ capital is located; the second is an egocentric network, favoring a single institution, observed in four cases, particularly in municipalities bordering with El Salvador and Guatemala. The SNA results reveal a spatial misalignment, where only 9% of interventions linked to climate-change adaptation are conducted in the highly vulnerable, outlying zones located farthest from the capital. The study highlights the need for improved coordination and strategic prioritization of interventions in the most vulnerable municipalities within the Honduras dry corridor, specifically improvement in collaborative actions, use of resources, and setting strategic priorities in regions where future demand will require progressively mobilizing institutional capabilities. By identifying the current gaps and misalignments in institutional actions, this research provides valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders to enhance collaborative efforts to ensure that climate-change adaptation measures effectively target the most vulnerable areas.
洪都拉斯干旱走廊位于中美洲太平洋地区,自然气候变异性大。洪都拉斯近一半的人口依赖与农业相关的社会经济活动,因此适应气候变化对农业部门确保粮食和营养安全至关重要。本研究分析了洪都拉斯干旱走廊 153 个城市的制度结构如何作为一个网络发挥作用和互动,以调查与农业、气候变化和粮食安全相关的公共和私营部门干预措施的空间一致性和相关性。我们采用了社会网络分析(SNA)方法来研究这些地区的互动情况,发现了两种网络模式:第一种模式有利于单一市镇,仅在洪都拉斯首都所在的中央区观察到;第二种是以自我为中心的网络,有利于单一机构,在四个案例中观察到,特别是在与萨尔瓦多和危地马拉接壤的市镇。国民账户体系的结果揭示了一种空间错位,即只有 9% 与适应气候变化有关的干预措施是在离首都最远的高度脆弱的外围地区实施的。这项研究强调,有必要在洪都拉斯干旱走廊内最脆弱的城市加强协调,并对干预措施进行战略优先排序,特别是在未来需求需要逐步调动机构能力的地区,改进合作行动、资源利用和战略优先排序。通过确定当前机构行动中的差距和失调,本研究为政策制定者和利益相关者提供了宝贵的见解,以加强合作努力,确保气候变化适应措施有效地针对最脆弱的地区。
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引用次数: 0
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Climate Risk Management
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