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Large-Scale Topographic Changes at Erupting Volcanoes Measured by the TanDEM-X Digital Change Map TanDEM-X数字变化图测量的大尺度火山喷发地形变化
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004614
Rebecca Edwards, Juliet Biggs

Volcanic eruptions cause large-scale topographic changes, through the emplacement of lava flows and lava domes, the formation of craters and calderas, and thick ash and pyroclastic deposits. Here we analyze the TanDEM-X Digital Change Map (DCM), which compares the DEM produced during 2010–2015 with satellite acquisitions collected in 2016–2022. The DCM covers 159 eruptions at 103 volcanoes; the data was good quality at 44 of these but not useable at 28. Topographic changes associated with volcanic activity was visible at 58 volcanoes including lava flows, domes, intrusions, pyroclastic flows, lahars, tephra fall, crater formation and landslides. We analyze five case studies in detail: Sierra Negra, Galápagos; Erta Ale, Ethiopia; Sangay, Ecuador; Ebeko, Russia; and Nabro, Eritrea. Our measurements of the lava flows at Sierra Negra and Nabro and crater formation at Ebeko agree to within 15% of previous measurements, confirming the accuracy of the TanDEM-X DCM in volcanic areas. At Erta Ale, we find maximum lava thickness of >40 m, greatly exceeding previous field-based estimates (<2.5 m); consequently, our total volume estimate is an order of magnitude higher. At Sangay, the patterns of height change are consistent with local reports, but our measurements have high uncertainties due to the prevalence of vegetative noise and steep topography. Overall, we demonstrate that the TanDEM-X DCM can measure topographic changes at volcanoes, and in many cases allows us to make new measurements. Finally, we discuss the lessons learned from the TanDEM-X DCM for planning future satellite missions, including the upcoming European Space Agency Harmony Mission.

火山爆发引起大规模的地形变化,通过熔岩流和熔岩穹丘的就位,形成火山口和破火山口,以及厚厚的火山灰和火山碎屑沉积物。在这里,我们分析了TanDEM-X数字变化地图(DCM),该地图将2010-2015年生成的DEM与2016-2022年收集的卫星数据进行了比较。DCM涵盖了103座火山的159次喷发;其中44个项目的数据质量良好,但28个项目的数据不可用。与火山活动相关的地形变化在58座火山中可见,包括熔岩流、圆顶、侵入、火山碎屑流、火山泥流、火山泥流、火山瀑布、火山口形成和山体滑坡。我们详细分析了五个案例研究:Sierra Negra, Galápagos;埃塔阿莱,埃塞俄比亚;桑杰,厄瓜多尔;Ebeko、俄罗斯;以及厄立特里亚的纳布罗。我们对Sierra Negra和Nabro的熔岩流和Ebeko的火山口形成的测量结果与之前的测量结果一致,误差在15%以内,证实了TanDEM-X DCM在火山地区的准确性。在Erta Ale,我们发现最大熔岩厚度为40 m,大大超过了以前基于现场的估计(2.5 m);因此,我们的总体积估计值要高一个数量级。在洛桑格,高度变化的模式与当地报告一致,但由于植物噪声的普遍存在和陡峭的地形,我们的测量具有很高的不确定性。总的来说,我们证明了TanDEM-X DCM可以测量火山的地形变化,并且在许多情况下允许我们进行新的测量。最后,我们讨论了从TanDEM-X DCM中吸取的经验教训,以规划未来的卫星任务,包括即将到来的欧洲航天局和谐任务。
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引用次数: 0
Climate-Driven Changes in Spring Dust Emissions Over China: WRF-Chem Projections Under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 Scenarios 中国春季沙尘排放的气候驱动变化:SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下WRF-Chem预估
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004440
Hongquan Song, Qianlong Xing

Global climate change is significantly impacting dust emission patterns in arid and semi-arid regions, posing challenges to environmental quality and human health. However, the impacts of future climate change on dust emissions in China remain insufficiently understood. This study employed the Weather Research and Forecasting coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model to project future dust emissions in China under two climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) for the years 2030, 2060, and 2090. Results indicated that in the near term (2030 and 2060), dust emissions were projected to be higher under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario compared to the moderate-emission SSP2-4.5 scenario. This suggests that increased greenhouse gas concentrations and associated climatic changes may enhance conditions favorable for dust generation, such as elevated temperatures and reduced soil moisture. By 2090, however, this trend may reverse, with SSP2-4.5 exhibiting higher dust emissions than SSP5-8.5. This reversal highlights the complex, non-linear interactions between long-term climate variables and dust emission processes, potentially due to changes in precipitation patterns, atmospheric circulation, and vegetation cover. The spatial distribution of dust emissions consistently remains concentrated in northwestern China and southern Mongolia across all scenarios and time periods, emphasizing the persistent role of major dust source regions like the Taklamakan Desert and the Gobi Desert. These findings underscore the need for targeted mitigation and adaptation strategies to manage the environmental and health impacts associated with dust emissions in the context of climate change.

全球气候变化正在严重影响干旱和半干旱地区的粉尘排放模式,对环境质量和人类健康构成挑战。然而,未来气候变化对中国粉尘排放的影响仍未得到充分认识。本研究采用气象研究与预报耦合化学(WRF-Chem)模式预测了2030、2060和2090年两种气候情景(SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5)下中国未来的沙尘排放。结果表明,近期(2030年和2060年),高排放情景下的沙尘排放量高于中等排放情景下的沙尘排放量。这表明温室气体浓度的增加和相关的气候变化可能会增强有利于粉尘产生的条件,例如温度升高和土壤湿度降低。然而,到2090年,这一趋势可能会逆转,SSP2-4.5的粉尘排放量将高于SSP5-8.5。这种逆转强调了长期气候变量与沙尘排放过程之间复杂的非线性相互作用,这可能是由于降水模式、大气环流和植被覆盖的变化。在所有情景和时间段中,沙尘排放的空间分布始终集中在中国西北部和蒙古南部,强调了塔克拉玛干沙漠和戈壁沙漠等主要沙尘源区的持续作用。这些调查结果强调,需要制定有针对性的缓解和适应战略,以管理气候变化背景下与粉尘排放有关的环境和健康影响。
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引用次数: 0
Airborne Remote Sensing of Concurrent Submesoscale Dynamics and Phytoplankton 亚中尺度动态与浮游植物同步的航空遥感
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004285
Sarah E. Lang, Melissa M. Omand, Luc Lenain

Submesoscale dynamics can induce significant vertical fluxes of phytoplankton, nutrients, and carbon, resulting in biological and climatological impacts such as enhanced phytoplankton production, phytoplankton community shifts, and carbon export. However, resolving these dynamics is challenging due to their rapid evolution (hours to days) and small spatial scales (1–10 km) of variability. The Modular Aerial Sensing System (MASS), an airborne instrument package measuring concurrent ocean dynamics and hyperspectral ocean color, provides a powerful tool to study the influence of submesoscale dynamics on phytoplankton and carbon. In this study, we present the first airborne observations pairing snapshots of sub-kilometer ocean velocities and their derivatives (i.e., vorticity, divergence, and strain) with concurrent ocean color and sea surface temperature. We developed airborne proxies of chlorophyll-a and particulate organic carbon, which explained about 66.2% and 56.2% of in situ variability without atmospheric correction, suggesting that MASS can capture phytoplankton variability. We also explored relationships between concurrent vorticity, divergence, strain, sea surface temperature, chlorophyll-a, and hyperspectral variables to illuminate the submesoscale processes that alter phytoplankton distributions. This study demonstrates the value of merging bio-optical and physical airborne remote sensing data to better understand the influence of submesoscale dynamics on oceanic ecosystems and organic carbon. We highlight the potential for suborbital remote sensing for studying processes that impact phytoplankton ecosystems and carbon transport without the spatiotemporal aliasing affecting in situ sensors.

亚中尺度动态可以诱导浮游植物、营养物质和碳的显著垂直通量,从而产生生物和气候影响,如浮游植物产量增加、浮游植物群落转移和碳输出。然而,由于其快速演变(几小时到几天)和小空间尺度(1-10公里)的变异性,解决这些动态是具有挑战性的。模块化航空遥感系统(MASS)是一种可同时测量海洋动力和高光谱海洋颜色的机载仪器包,为研究亚中尺度动力对浮游植物和碳的影响提供了有力的工具。在这项研究中,我们首次提出了亚千米海洋速度及其导数(即涡度、散度和应变)与海洋颜色和海面温度同步的航空观测快照。我们开发了叶绿素-a和颗粒有机碳的空气代用指标,它们分别解释了66.2%和56.2%的原位变异,表明MASS可以捕获浮游植物的变异。我们还探讨了同步涡度、散度、应变、海面温度、叶绿素-a和高光谱变量之间的关系,以阐明改变浮游植物分布的亚中尺度过程。本研究证明了融合生物光学和物理航空遥感数据对更好地了解亚中尺度动力学对海洋生态系统和有机碳的影响的价值。我们强调了亚轨道遥感在研究影响浮游植物生态系统和碳运输的过程中没有时空混叠影响原位传感器的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of SRTM and ASTER Terrain Models on Geoid Determination: A Case Study in the High-Mountainous Region SRTM和ASTER地形模型对高山区大地水准面确定的影响
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1029/2024EA004000
Leyla Cakir

An accurate geoid has important consequences for many fields such as engineering applications, underground resource exploration, geophysical surveys, etc. Its precise determination relies on two key data sets: gravity measurements and high-resolution elevation data, both of which are critical for achieving reliable results. In particular, accurate elevation data is indispensable for geoid modeling, as it is required for various computational steps, including the prediction of the free-air gravity anomalies, terrain corrections, and the calculation of complete Bouguer gravity anomalies. In the absence of accurate regional elevation data, the digital elevation model (DEM) generated by the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) is commonly used as a reliable alternative. Additionally, researchers from Japan and the United States have released a new DEM generated from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER), which provides an alternative to the widely used SRTM DEM. This study explores the consequence of the ASTER DEM on estimating mean free-air gravity anomalies in geoid determination, focusing on the Colorado experiment area, which is characterized by mountainous and rugged terrain. Numerical results indicate that the ASTER DEM yields less favorable statistics compared to the SRTM DEM in terms of height accuracy. The use of ASTER DEM introduces discrepancies (compared to SRTM DEM) ranging from −2 to 4 mGal in the interpolation of free-air gravity anomalies. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that the geoid differences resulting from the use of ASTER DEM are within a few centimeters, remaining below the accuracy level of external GNSS-leveling data.

精确的大地水准面在工程应用、地下资源勘探、地球物理测量等领域具有重要意义。它的精确测定依赖于两个关键数据集:重力测量和高分辨率高程数据,这两个数据集对于获得可靠的结果至关重要。特别是在大地水准面建模中,精确的高程数据是必不可少的,因为在自由空气重力异常的预测、地形修正和完整布格重力异常的计算等各个计算步骤中都需要精确的高程数据。在缺乏精确的区域高程数据的情况下,由航天飞机雷达地形任务(SRTM)生成的数字高程模型(DEM)通常被用作可靠的替代方案。此外,来自日本和美国的研究人员发布了由先进星载热发射和反射辐射计(ASTER)生成的新DEM,该DEM提供了广泛使用的SRTM DEM的替代方案。本研究以科罗拉多实验区为研究对象,探讨了ASTER DEM在大地水准面确定中对平均自由空气重力异常估计的影响。数值结果表明,与SRTM DEM相比,ASTER DEM在高程精度方面的统计数据较差。与SRTM DEM相比,ASTER DEM的使用在自由空气重力异常插值中引入了−2到4 mGal的差异。ASTER DEM的大地水准面差在几厘米以内,仍低于外部gnss水准数据的精度水平。
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引用次数: 0
Commentary on Paper by Matoza et al. (2021): Catalog Revision to a Common Depth Datum 对Matoza等人(2021)的论文的评论:对共同深度基准的目录修订
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004754
Robin S. Matoza, Peter M. Shearer, Jefferson C. Chang, Paul G. Okubo

We present a revision and update to the high-precision relocated seismicity catalog presented by Matoza et al. (2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253) for the Island of Hawai'i from 1986 to 2018. The starting catalog of hypocenters (input data), on which the study by Matoza et al. (2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253) was based, contained an inconsistent depth datum for events before and after 00:00 UT, 29 December 2017. Here we present a recomputed version of the catalog using a consistent reference depth. We corrected the starting catalog to a common depth datum (all events now use the model depth reference datum) and re-ran the entire workflow as described in the paper by Matoza et al. (2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253). This included pairing, cross-correlating, and relocating all seismic events again based on the updated starting catalog. We consider 347,446 events representing 32 years of seismicity on and around the island from 1986 to 2018. We now successfully relocate 299,966 (86%) events using ∼2.53 billion differential times (P and S) from ∼194 million similar-event pairs, derived from cross-correlations between ∼887 million event pairs total, a significant increase from our original analysis. The resolution of fine-scale seismicity features is improved and the median depth of shallow events (<5 km) under Kaluapele (Kīlauea summit caldera) in 2018 is shifted 926 m deeper as a result of the change. The interpretations and other major conclusions in the paper by Matoza et al. (2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253) are unchanged.

我们提出了对Matoza等人(2021,https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253) 1986年至2018年夏威夷岛高精度重新定位地震活动目录的修订和更新。Matoza等人(2021,https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253)的研究所基于的震源起始目录(输入数据)包含了2017年12月29日00:00 UT之前和之后事件的不一致深度数据。在这里,我们提出了一个重新计算版本的目录使用一致的参考深度。我们将起始目录更正为公共深度基准(所有事件现在都使用模型深度参考基准),并重新运行Matoza等人(2021,https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253)在论文中描述的整个工作流程。这包括配对、交叉相关,以及基于更新的起始目录重新定位所有地震事件。我们考虑了347,446次事件,代表了1986年至2018年该岛及其周围32年的地震活动。现在,我们利用~ 25.3亿次差分时间(P和S)从~ 1.94亿个相似事件对中成功地重新定位了299,966个(86%)事件,这些事件来自于总共约8.87亿个事件对之间的相互关联,这比我们最初的分析有了显著的增加。这一变化提高了精细尺度地震活动特征的分辨率,并使2018年Kaluapele (kk - lauea山顶火山口)浅层事件(<5 km)的中位深度深移了926 m。Matoza et al. (2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253)在论文中的解释和其他主要结论保持不变。
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引用次数: 0
Geometric Phase Sensing of Environmental Conditions Using Ambient Seismic Noise: An Application From Southwest Iceland 基于环境地震噪声的环境条件几何相位传感:来自冰岛西南部的应用
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004509
Bingxu Luo, Pierre A. Deymier, Susan L. Beck, Keith Runge, Falk Huettmann, Skyler DeVaughn, Marat I. Latypov

We leverage ambient seismic noise to implement a novel geometric phase sensing method for investigating the effects of environmental conditions on near-surface ground properties. The geometric phase, derived from topological acoustics, characterizes the geometry of a wavefield by incorporating cross-correlation information between seismic sensors. Changes in geometric phase, Δη ${Delta }eta $, are expressed as changes in vectorial orientation, describing the wavefield evolution over time. To demonstrate the method, we designed an end-to-end workflow by applying an open access temporal high-resolution data from a seismic array in southwest Iceland and measured Δη ${Delta }eta $ over a 2-year period. We observe that the seasonal fluctuations of Δη ${Delta }eta $ are highly correlated with surface air temperature, reflecting changes in ground properties during the freeze-thaw cycle. We assess the seasonal stability of the noise source distribution and conduct a numerical test to verify that the seasonal pattern in Δη ${Delta }eta $ is minimally affected by shifts in noise source direction. Several advantages of geometric phase measurements, including the elimination of lag window selection and reduced computational costs, suggest their strong effectiveness in monitoring changes in ground properties with time. We suggest that the geometric phase can play a significant role in the future of environmental monitoring.

我们利用环境地震噪声来实现一种新的几何相位传感方法,用于研究环境条件对近地表地面性质的影响。几何相位来源于拓扑声学,通过结合地震传感器之间的相互关联信息来表征波场的几何形状。几何相位的变化Δ η ${Delta}eta $表示为矢量方向的变化,描述了波场随时间的演变。为了证明该方法,我们设计了一个端到端工作流程,通过应用冰岛西南部地震阵列的开放获取时间高分辨率数据,并在2年内测量Δ η ${Delta}eta $。我们观察到Δ η ${Delta}eta $的季节波动与地表气温高度相关,反映了冻融循环过程中地面性质的变化。我们评估了噪声源分布的季节性稳定性,并进行了数值试验,以验证Δ η ${Delta}eta $的季节性模式受噪声源方向变化的影响最小。几何相位测量的几个优点,包括消除滞后窗口选择和减少计算成本,表明它们在监测地面性质随时间变化方面具有很强的有效性。我们认为几何相位在未来的环境监测中可以发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
A Deep Generative Model for the Simulation of Discrete Karst Networks 离散岩溶网络模拟的深度生成模型
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-25 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004360
Dany Lauzon, Julien Straubhaar, Philippe Renard

The simulation of discrete karst networks presents a significant challenge due to the complexity of the physicochemical processes at their origin, occurring within various geological and hydrogeological contexts over extended periods. This complex interplay leads to a wide variety of karst network patterns, each intricately linked to specific hydrogeological conditions. We explore a novel approach that represents karst networks as graphs and applies graph generative models (deep learning techniques) to capture the intricate nature of karst environments. In this representation, nodes retain spatial information and properties, while edges signify connections between nodes. Our generative process consists of two main steps. First, we utilize graph recurrent neural networks (GraphRNN) to learn the topological distribution of karst networks. GraphRNN decomposes the graph simulation into a sequential generation of nodes and edges, informed by previously generated structures. Second, we employ denoising diffusion probabilistic models on graphs (G-DDPM) to learn node features (spatial coordinates and other properties). G-DDPMs enable the generation of nodes features on the graphs produced by the GraphRNN that adhere to the learned statistical properties by sampling from the derived probability distribution, ensuring that the generated graphs are realistic and capture the essential features of the original data. We test our approach using real-world karst networks and compare generated subgraphs with actual subgraphs from the database, by using geometry and topology metrics. Our methodology allows stochastic simulation of discrete karst networks across various types of formations, a useful tool for studying the behavior of physical processes such as flow and transport.

离散岩溶网络的模拟提出了一个重大挑战,因为其起源的物理化学过程的复杂性,发生在不同的地质和水文地质背景下,持续很长一段时间。这种复杂的相互作用导致了各种各样的喀斯特网络模式,每种模式都与特定的水文地质条件错综复杂地联系在一起。我们探索了一种将喀斯特网络表示为图的新方法,并应用图生成模型(深度学习技术)来捕捉喀斯特环境的复杂本质。在这种表示中,节点保留空间信息和属性,而边表示节点之间的连接。我们的生成过程包括两个主要步骤。首先,我们利用图递归神经网络(GraphRNN)学习喀斯特网络的拓扑分布。GraphRNN将图形模拟分解为节点和边的连续生成,并根据先前生成的结构提供信息。其次,我们使用去噪扩散概率模型(G-DDPM)来学习节点特征(空间坐标和其他属性)。g - ddpm能够在GraphRNN生成的图上生成节点特征,这些特征通过从派生的概率分布中采样来坚持学习到的统计属性,确保生成的图是真实的,并捕获了原始数据的基本特征。我们使用真实的喀斯特网络来测试我们的方法,并通过使用几何和拓扑度量将生成的子图与数据库中的实际子图进行比较。我们的方法允许对不同类型地层的离散岩溶网络进行随机模拟,这是研究流动和运输等物理过程行为的有用工具。
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引用次数: 0
ICESat-2 Coastal and Nearshore Bathymetry Product Algorithm Development ICESat-2海岸和近岸测深产品算法开发
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-21 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004390
Lori Magruder, Christopher Parrish, Jeff Perry, Matthew Holwill, J. P. Swinski, Keana Kief

NASA's ICESat-2 (Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite-2) satellite launched in 2018, carrying a single instrument, the Advanced Topographic Laser Altimeter System (ATLAS). The Level 1 science objectives of the mission focus primarily on the cryosphere, with specific interest in monitoring changes in polar ice sheets, glaciers and sea ice. However, in addition to planned observations and data products for polar, land, vegetation, ocean and the atmosphere, ATLAS's photon-counting, green-wavelength instrumentation enables impressive bathymetric measurement capability. Most of the ICESat-2 along-track data products were developed during pre-launch studies, without a dedicated effort focused on bathymetry. The absence of a dedicated bathymetry product has required the scientific community to develop independent, individual algorithms for bathymetric signal extraction, most often tailored to local or regional studies. No existing approaches have been proven applicable to global application. Over the last 3 years, the ICESat-2 Project Science Office has sought to address the need for coastal and nearshore bathymetry through the development of a Level 3a, along-track data product for global shallow-water bathymetry (ATL24). The ATL24 workflow embraces several independent signal extraction algorithms in a machine learning ensemble to provide robust signal extraction of the sea floor and sea surface heights in variable environmental conditions and water quality. This paper explains the approach to the algorithms and an assessment of the algorithm performance to evaluate the usefulness for high-priority science and application use cases.

NASA的ICESat-2(冰、云和陆地高程卫星-2)卫星于2018年发射,携带单一仪器,即先进地形激光高度计系统(ATLAS)。该任务的一级科学目标主要集中在冰冻圈,特别关注监测极地冰盖、冰川和海冰的变化。然而,除了对极地、陆地、植被、海洋和大气的计划观测和数据产品外,ATLAS的光子计数、绿色波长仪器还具有令人印象深刻的测深能力。大多数ICESat-2轨道数据产品是在发射前研究期间开发的,没有专门致力于水深测量。由于缺乏专门的测深产品,科学界需要开发独立的、个性化的算法来提取测深信号,这些算法通常是为当地或区域研究量身定制的。没有任何现有的方法被证明适用于全球应用。在过去的3年里,ICESat-2项目科学办公室通过开发全球浅水测深(ATL24)的3a级跟踪数据产品,试图解决沿海和近岸测深的需求。ATL24工作流程在机器学习集成中包含了几种独立的信号提取算法,可以在可变环境条件和水质下提供海底和海面高度的鲁棒信号提取。本文解释了算法的方法和算法性能的评估,以评估高优先级科学和应用用例的有用性。
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引用次数: 0
Vegetation Restoration Potential and Its Hydrological Trade-Offs in Global Drylands Under Historical and Future Climate Scenarios 历史和未来气候情景下全球旱地植被恢复潜力及其水文权衡
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004564
Dameng Zhang, Yiyan Huang, Jinghua Xiong, Yuting Yang

Vegetation restoration in arid and semi-arid regions holds significant promise for climate change mitigation and ecosystem enhancement. However, limited water availability poses fundamental constraints. Here, we assess restoration potential and its hydrological impacts across global drylands using three Eco-Evolutionary Optimality (EEO) models—the Eagleson model, Yang-Medlyn model, and P model—under both historical (2001–2020) and future (2021–2100) climate conditions. Restoration potential was evaluated by expanding existing vegetation types, with water availability impacts quantified using a modified Budyko framework incorporating atmospheric moisture feedback. Results show that restoration potential increases from 97.3 ± 3.4 million hectares historically to ∼603 ± 46 million hectares under the high-emissions SSP5-8.5 scenario by the end of the century. While increased vegetation cover significantly enhances evapotranspiration and reduces water availability—especially during dry seasons in the Northern Hemisphere—future water stress is partly mitigated by projected precipitation increases and enhanced plant water-use efficiency under elevated CO2. These findings underscore the need for region-specific, adaptive restoration strategies that balance ecological gains with water sustainability in a changing climate.

干旱和半干旱地区的植被恢复对减缓气候变化和增强生态系统具有重大希望。然而,有限的水资源供应构成了根本性的制约。本文在历史(2001-2020年)和未来(2021-2100年)气候条件下,采用Eagleson模型、Yang-Medlyn模型和P模型三种生态进化最优(EEO)模型评估了全球旱地的恢复潜力及其水文影响。通过扩大现有植被类型来评估恢复潜力,并使用改进的Budyko框架结合大气湿度反馈来量化水分可用性影响。结果表明,到本世纪末,高排放SSP5-8.5情景下的恢复潜力从历史上的9730±340万公顷增加到~ 603±4600万公顷。虽然植被覆盖的增加显著增加了蒸散作用并降低了水分有效性——尤其是在北半球的旱季,但在二氧化碳升高的情况下,预计降水的增加和植物水分利用效率的提高将部分缓解未来的水分胁迫。这些发现强调了在不断变化的气候条件下,需要制定针对特定区域的适应性恢复战略,以平衡生态收益与水的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-Instrument Investigation of the Pre-Seismic Ionospheric Response to 2021 Haiti Earthquake 2021年海地地震震前电离层响应的多仪器研究
IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004394
Sreeba Sreekumar, G. Manju, Tarun K. Pant

The study of pre-seismic variations in the ionosphere due to 2021 Haiti earthquake (Mw = 7.2) is carried out using ground and space-based instruments. The day time ionospheric response is analyzed using Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) from IGS stations and electron density from Swarm satellite data. Results demonstrate that bandpass filtered VTEC reveals clear, pronounced, pre - seismic oscillations of peak magnitudes of ∼0.2 TECU on 05 August 2021, that is, 9 days before the earthquake for stations near and just outside the earthquake preparation zone. Similarly, enhanced wave-like oscillations are also evident in the filtered VTEC data near the conjugate stations on the same day. Another unique feature during 05 August 2021 is the anomalous enhancement of northern Equatorial Ionization Anomaly crest shown by Swarm electron density data. Such an enhancement is not observed for other days during August. This is also concurrent with the drop in Relative humidity occurred during the same day near the impending epicenter region. Hence the concomitant anomalies found in various atmospheric and ionospheric parameters suggest that the anomalies found on 05 August 2021 is plausibly related to the Haiti 2021 earthquake. This study also sheds some light into similarities with the Haiti 2010 event which occurred very close to the epicenter of 2021 event, hence emphasizing the need of detailed study of the Earthquake prone regions of Haiti using multiple precursor parameters.

利用地面和天基仪器对2021年海地地震(Mw = 7.2)引起的电离层震前变化进行了研究。利用IGS站点的垂直总电子含量(VTEC)和Swarm卫星数据的电子密度分析了白天电离层响应。结果表明,带通滤波后的VTEC在2021年8月5日,即地震前9天,在地震准备区外和附近的台站,显示出清晰、明显的震级峰值为~ 0.2 TECU的震前振荡。同样,在当天共轭台站附近经过滤波的VTEC数据中也可以明显地看到增强的波状振荡。2021年8月5日的另一个独特特征是群电子密度数据显示的北赤道电离异常峰的异常增强。在8月份的其他日子没有观察到这种增强。这也与同一天接近震中区域的相对湿度下降同时发生。因此,在各种大气和电离层参数中发现的伴随异常表明,2021年8月5日发现的异常可能与2021年海地地震有关。这项研究还揭示了2010年海地地震与2021年海地地震的相似之处,2010年海地地震发生在离震中很近的地方,因此强调了使用多个前兆参数对海地地震易发地区进行详细研究的必要性。
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Earth and Space Science
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