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Advancing integrated river basin management and flood forecasting in the Cagne catchment: a combined approach using deterministic distributed models 在Cagne流域推进一体化流域管理和洪水预报:使用确定性分布式模型的组合方法
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.100
Mingyan Wang, Paguédame Game, Philippe Gourbesville
Abstract To achieve an integrated river basin management for the Cagne catchment (France) and better predict the flood, various modeling tools are integrated within a unified framework, forming a decision support system (DSS). In the paper, an integrated modeling approach employing deterministic distributed hydrological (MIKE SHE), hydraulic (MIKE 21 FM), and hydrogeological (FEFLOW) models is presented. The hydrological model was validated with recorded data and following a sensitivity analysis for optimizing grid resolution with 20 m. The hydraulic model based on MIKE 21 FM utilizes the results generated by the MIKE SHE model as boundary conditions, producing inundation maps for both normal and extreme periods. The hydrogeological model addresses the various complex relationships taking place within the catchment and was validated with piezometer data. The integration of these three models into a DSS provides a valuable tool for decision-makers to manage the Cagne catchment and the water-related issues more effectively during various hydrological situations. This comprehensive modeling framework underscores the importance of interdisciplinary approaches for addressing complex hydrological processes and contributes to improved flood management strategies in the catchment.
为了实现法国Cagne流域的流域综合管理,更好地预测洪水,将各种建模工具集成在一个统一的框架内,形成决策支持系统(DSS)。本文提出了一种采用确定性分布式水文(MIKE SHE)、水力(MIKE 21 FM)和水文地质(FEFLOW)模型的综合建模方法。利用记录数据验证了水文模型,并进行了灵敏度分析,以优化20米的网格分辨率。基于MIKE 21 FM的水力模型利用MIKE SHE模型生成的结果作为边界条件,生成正常和极端时期的淹没图。该水文地质模型处理了流域内发生的各种复杂关系,并通过水压计数据进行了验证。将这三个模型整合到一个决策支持系统中,为决策者在各种水文情况下更有效地管理Cagne流域和与水有关的问题提供了一个有价值的工具。这一全面的建模框架强调了解决复杂水文过程的跨学科方法的重要性,并有助于改善集水区的洪水管理策略。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrodynamics of laminar pipe flow through an extended partial blockage by CFD 基于CFD的扩展部分堵塞层流管道流体力学研究
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.042
Nuno M. C. Martins, Dídia I. C. Covas, Silvia Meniconi, Caterina Capponi, Bruno Brunone
Abstract In this paper, an advanced three-dimensional (3D) computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model is used to analyse the steady-state hydrodynamics of laminar flow through an extended partial blockage (PB) in a pressurised pipe. PB corresponds to one of the main faults affecting pipelines. In fact, it reduces its carrying capacity with economic consequences, and as it does not give rise to any external evidence, its detection can be very challenging. The performance of the model is evaluated by comparing the numerical results with the available experimental data from the literature. Subsequently, the velocity and pressure distributions are analysed, and the main features of the flow field are described in terms of both local and global dimensionless parameters. Furthermore, the behaviour of the discharge coefficient is also investigated. The obtained results confirm that steady-state measurements can identify the presence of PB and follow its evolution over time but cannot detect its location and size. On the other hand, the location and severity of PBs can be provided by means of transient tests.
摘要本文采用先进的三维计算流体力学(CFD)模型,分析了层流在加压管道中通过扩展部分堵塞(PB)的稳态流体力学。PB对应于影响管道的主要故障之一。事实上,它会降低其承载能力,并带来经济后果,而且由于它不会产生任何外部证据,因此检测它可能非常具有挑战性。通过将数值结果与文献中已有的实验数据进行比较,对模型的性能进行了评价。随后,分析了流场的速度和压力分布,并从局部和全局无量纲参数两方面描述了流场的主要特征。此外,还研究了流量系数的变化规律。得到的结果证实,稳态测量可以识别PB的存在并跟踪其随时间的演变,但不能检测其位置和大小。另一方面,通过瞬态试验可以提供PBs的位置和严重程度。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling of a hybrid wind power generator–water distillation system using a Venturi tunnel 采用文丘里隧道的混合式风力发电机-水蒸馏系统建模
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.269
Malak I. Naji, M. A. Al-Nimr
Abstract This study presents the development of a novel hybrid wind power generator–water distillation system with the objective of providing sustainable solutions for impoverished isolated communities facing limited resources. The advantage of the proposed system is its ability to operate day and night; therefore, it produces larger quantities of distilled water even on cloudy days with winds. The system comprises a Venturi tunnel integrated with a wind turbine, an attached impure water tank, and a condenser located at the end section. The accelerated airflow at the throat section serves two purposes: water evaporation from the tank and power generation through the wind turbine. The evaporated water is subsequently collected as the airflow decelerates and the pressure decreases along the diverging section. Theoretical and computational modelling is employed to design the system by examining air speed, area ratio, relative humidity, as well as air, and water temperatures. The system exhibits enhanced performance under warm and dry weather conditions, thereby optimizing its performance. Conversely, temperature and relative humidity do not affect power generation; it was increased by higher air speeds and larger area ratios. This data-driven approach ensures optimal design parameters are selected, aligning the system's capabilities with the specific freshwater demand.
摘要本研究提出了一种新型混合风力发电-水蒸馏系统的开发,旨在为资源有限的贫困偏远社区提供可持续的解决方案。该系统的优点是能够昼夜运行;因此,即使在有风的阴天,它也能产生更多的蒸馏水。该系统包括与风力涡轮机集成的文丘里隧道、附加的不纯水箱和位于末端的冷凝器。喉部的加速气流有两个目的:从水箱中蒸发水分和通过风力涡轮机发电。随着气流减速和沿分流段的压力减小,蒸发的水随后被收集起来。通过检查空气速度、面积比、相对湿度以及空气和水温,采用理论和计算模型来设计系统。该系统在温暖和干燥的天气条件下表现出增强的性能,从而优化了其性能。反之,温度和相对湿度不影响发电;更高的空气速度和更大的面积比增加了它。这种数据驱动的方法确保了最佳设计参数的选择,使系统的能力与特定的淡水需求保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal charging station placement for autonomous robots in drinking water networks 饮水管网中自主机器人的最佳充电站布局
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.040
Mario Castro-Gama, Yvonne Hassink-Mulder
Drinking water utilities and commercial vendors are developing battery-powered autonomous robots for the internal inspection of pipelines. However, these robots require nearby charging stations next to the pipelines of the water distribution networks (WDN). This prompts practical questions about the minimal number of charging stations and robots required. To address the questions, an integer linear programming optimization is formulated, akin to set covering, based on the shortest path of the charging stations to each node along a pipeline. The optimization decisions revolve around designating nodes as charging stations, considering the maximum distance (δmax) at which a robot can cover a hard constraint. For optimal placement, two objective formulations are proposed: (i) minimize the total number of stations, representing total cost; and (ii) maximize the total redundancy of the system. The methodology is applied to three WDN topologies (i.e. Modena, Five Reservoirs, and E−Town). Results show the influence of topology on the total number of stations, the number of robots, and the redundancy of the charging stations network. A trade-off between δmax and total number of stations emphasizes robot battery capacity's significance mariocastrogama.
饮用水公司和商业供应商正在开发电池供电的自主机器人,用于管道的内部检查。然而,这些机器人需要附近的充电站靠近供水网络(WDN)的管道。这就引发了有关充电站和机器人最少数量的实际问题。为了解决这些问题,基于充电站沿管道到每个节点的最短路径,制定了一个整数线性规划优化,类似于集覆盖。优化决策围绕着将节点指定为充电站,考虑机器人可以覆盖硬约束的最大距离(δmax)。对于最优安置,提出了两个目标公式:(i)尽量减少站的总数,代表总成本;(ii)最大化系统的总冗余。该方法应用于三种WDN拓扑结构(即摩德纳、五水库和E - Town)。结果表明,拓扑结构对充电站网络的总充电站数量、机器人数量和冗余度的影响。δmax和总台数之间的权衡强调了机器人电池容量的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Data-driven and echo state network-based prediction of wave propagation behavior in dam-break flood 基于数据驱动和回波状态网络的溃坝洪水波浪传播特性预测
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.035
Changli Li, Zheng Han, Yange Li, Ming Li, Weidong Wang, Ningsheng Chen, Guisheng Hu
Abstract The computational prediction of wave propagation in dam-break floods is a long-standing problem in hydrodynamics and hydrology. We show that a reservoir computing echo state network (RC-ESN) that is well-trained on a minimal amount of data can accurately predict the long-term dynamic behavior of a one-dimensional dam-break flood. We solve the de Saint-Venant equations for a one-dimensional dam-break flood scenario using the Lax–Wendroff numerical scheme and train the RC-ESN model. The results demonstrate that the RC-ESN model has good prediction ability, as it predicts wave propagation behavior 286 time-steps ahead with a root mean square error smaller than 0.01, outperforming the conventional long short-term memory (LSTM) model, which only predicts 81 time-steps ahead. We also provide a sensitivity analysis of prediction accuracy for RC-ESN's key parameters such as training set size, reservoir size, and spectral radius. Results indicate that the RC-ESN is less dependent on training set size, with a medium reservoir size of 1,200–2,600 sufficient. We confirm that the spectral radius has a complex influence on the prediction accuracy and currently recommend a smaller spectral radius. Even when the initial flow depth of the dam break is changed, the prediction horizon of RC-ESN remains greater than that of LSTM.
摘要溃坝洪水波浪传播的计算预测是水动力学和水文学领域一个长期存在的问题。研究表明,水库计算回声状态网络(RC-ESN)经过少量数据的良好训练,可以准确预测一维溃坝洪水的长期动态行为。采用Lax-Wendroff数值格式求解一维溃坝洪水情景的de Saint-Venant方程,并训练RC-ESN模型。结果表明,RC-ESN模型具有较好的预测能力,可以提前286个时间步预测波的传播行为,且均方根误差小于0.01,优于仅提前81个时间步的传统长短期记忆(LSTM)模型。本文还对RC-ESN的训练集大小、储层大小、谱半径等关键参数的预测精度进行了敏感性分析。结果表明,RC-ESN对训练集大小的依赖较小,1,200-2,600的中等库大小就足够了。我们确认谱半径对预测精度有复杂的影响,目前推荐较小的谱半径。即使改变溃坝初始流深,RC-ESN的预测范围仍大于LSTM的预测范围。
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引用次数: 0
A methodology for integrating time-lagged rainfall and river flow data into machine learning models to improve prediction of quality parameters of raw water supplying a treatment plant 一种将时间滞后的降雨和河流流量数据整合到机器学习模型中的方法,以改进对处理厂原水质量参数的预测
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.122
Christian Ortiz-Lopez, Andres Torres, Christian Bouchard, Manuel Rodriguez
Abstract Rainfall and increased river flow can deteriorate raw water (RW) quality parameters such as turbidity and UV absorbance at 254 nm. This study aims to develop a methodology for integrating both time-lagged watershed rainfall and river flow data into machine learning models of the quality of RW supplying a drinking water treatment plant (DWTP). Spearman's rank non-parametric cross-correlation analyses were performed using both river flow and rain in the watershed and RW data from the water intake. Then, RW turbidity and RW UV254 were modelled, using a support vector regression (SVR) and an artificial neural network (ANN) under several prediction scenarios with time-lagged variables. River flow presented a very strong correlation with RW quality, whereas rainfall showed a moderate correlation. Time lags with maximum correlations between flow data and turbidity were a few hours, while for UV254, they were between 2 and 4 days, demonstrating varied time lags and a complex behaviour. The best performing scenario was the one that used time-lagged watershed rainfall and river flow as input data. ANN performed better for both turbidity and UV254 than SVR. Results from this study suggest the possibility for new modelling strategies and more accurate chemical dosing for the removal of key contaminants.
降雨和河流流量的增加会使原水(RW)的浊度和254 nm波段的紫外线吸收度等水质参数恶化。本研究旨在开发一种方法,将时间滞后的流域降雨和河流流量数据整合到提供饮用水处理厂(DWTP)的废水质量的机器学习模型中。使用流域的河流流量和雨水以及取水的RW数据进行了Spearman秩非参数交叉相关分析。然后,利用支持向量回归(SVR)和人工神经网络(ANN)对RW浊度和RW UV254在多个具有时间滞后变量的预测情景下进行建模。河流流量与RW质量的相关性非常强,而降雨量与RW质量的相关性中等。流量数据和浊度之间的最大相关性的时间滞后是几个小时,而对于UV254,它们在2到4天之间,表现出不同的时间滞后和复杂的行为。表现最好的场景是使用时间滞后的分水岭降雨量和河流流量作为输入数据的场景。人工神经网络在浊度和UV254上的表现都优于SVR。这项研究的结果表明了新的建模策略和更准确的化学剂量去除关键污染物的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling ion constituents in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta using multiple machine learning approaches 使用多种机器学习方法对萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲的离子成分进行建模
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.158
Peyman Namadi, Minxue He, Prabhjot Sandhu
Abstract Salinity is of paramount importance in shaping water quality, ecosystem health, and the capacity to sustain diverse human and environmental demands in estuarine environments. Electrical conductivity (EC) is commonly utilized as an indirect measure of salinity, serving as a proxy for estimating other ion constituents within the Delta. This study investigates and contrasts four machine learning (ML) models for approximating ion constituent concentrations based on EC measurements, emphasizing the enhancement of conversion for constituents exhibiting pronounced non-linear relationships with EC. Among the four models, the artificial neural network (ANN) model outshines the others in predicting ion constituents from EC, especially for those displaying strong non-linear relationships with EC. All four ML models surpass traditional parametric regression equations in terms of accuracy in estimating ion concentrations. The K-fold cross-validation method is utilized to evaluate the reliability of the ANN model, ensuring a comprehensive appraisal of its performance. Furthermore, an interactive web-browser-based dashboard is developed, catering to users with or without programming expertise, enabling ion level simulation within the Delta. By furnishing more precise ion constituent estimations, this research enriches the understanding of salinity's effects on water quality in the Delta and fosters well-informed water management decisions.
盐度在塑造水质、生态系统健康以及维持河口环境中各种人类和环境需求的能力方面具有至关重要的作用。电导率(EC)通常被用作盐度的间接测量,作为估计三角洲内其他离子成分的代理。本研究调查并对比了四种机器学习(ML)模型,用于基于EC测量近似离子成分浓度,强调了与EC表现出明显非线性关系的成分的转换增强。在四种模型中,人工神经网络(ANN)模型在预测电导率离子成分方面表现突出,特别是对那些与电导率表现出强烈非线性关系的模型。在估计离子浓度的准确性方面,所有四种ML模型都超过了传统的参数回归方程。采用K-fold交叉验证方法评估人工神经网络模型的可靠性,确保对其性能进行全面评价。此外,还开发了一个交互式的基于web浏览器的仪表板,以满足具有或不具有编程专业知识的用户的需求,从而在Delta中实现离子水平模拟。通过提供更精确的离子成分估计,本研究丰富了对盐度对三角洲水质影响的理解,并促进了明智的水管理决策。
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引用次数: 0
A new stable and interpretable flood forecasting model combining multi-head attention mechanism and multiple linear regression 多头关注机制与多元线性回归相结合的稳定可解释性洪水预报新模型
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.160
Yi-yang Wang, Wenchuan Wang, Kwok-wing Chau, Dong-mei Xu, Hong-fei Zang, Chang-jun Liu, Qiang Ma
Abstract This article proposes a multi-head attention flood forecasting model (MHAFFM) that combines a multi-head attention mechanism with multiple linear regression for flood forecasting. Compared to LSTM-based models, MHAFFM enables precise and stable multi-hour flood forecasting while maintaining an interpretable forecasting process. First, the model utilizes characteristics of full-batch stable input data in multiple linear regression to solve the problem of oscillation in the prediction results of existing models. Second, full-batch information is connected to the multi-head attention architecture to improve the model's ability to process and interpret high-dimensional information. Finally, the model accurately and stably predicts future flood processes through linear layers. The model is applied to Dawen River Basin in Shandong, China, and experimental results show that the MHAFFM model, compared to three benchmarking models, namely, LSTM, BOA-LSTM, and MHAM-LSTM, significantly improves the prediction performance under different lead time scenarios while maintaining good stability and interpretability. Taking Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency index as an example, under a lead time of 3 h, the MHAFFM model exhibits improvements of 8.85, 3.71, and 10.29% compared to the three benchmarking models, respectively. In conclusion, this research enhances the credibility of deep learning in the field of hydrology and provides a new approach for its application.
摘要本文提出了将多头注意机制与多元线性回归相结合的多头注意洪水预测模型(MHAFFM)。与基于lstm的模型相比,MHAFFM在保持可解释的预报过程的同时,可以实现精确和稳定的多小时洪水预报。首先,该模型利用多元线性回归中全批稳定输入数据的特点,解决了现有模型预测结果振荡的问题。其次,将全批信息与多头注意架构相连接,提高模型对高维信息的处理和解释能力。最后,该模型通过线性层准确、稳定地预测未来洪水过程。将该模型应用于山东大文河流域,实验结果表明,与LSTM、BOA-LSTM和MHAM-LSTM 3种基准模型相比,MHAFFM模型在不同提前期情景下的预测性能显著提高,同时保持了良好的稳定性和可解释性。以Nash-Sutcliffe效率指数为例,在提前期为3 h的情况下,MHAFFM模型比三种基准模型分别提高了8.85、3.71和10.29%。总之,本研究增强了深度学习在水文领域的可信度,为其应用提供了新的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a lightweight convolutional neural network-based visual model for sediment concentration prediction by incorporating the IoT concept 通过结合物联网概念,开发了一种基于卷积神经网络的轻量级沉积物浓度预测视觉模型
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.215
ChengChia Huang, Che-Cheng Chang, Chiao-Ming Chang, Ming-Han Tsai
Abstract Sediment concentration (SC) monitoring has always been a pressing issue in water resource management, as many existing instruments still face challenges in accurately measuring due to environmental factors and instrument limitations. A robust technology is worth presenting to apply in the field site. This study firstly uses mean-absolute-error (MAE), root-mean-square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (CC), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) to describe the performance of the proposed convolutional neural network (CNN). Moreover, adapting the ensemble learning concept to compare the multiple machine learning (ML) approaches, the CNN presents the highest predicted accuracy, 91%, better than SVM (79%), VGG19 (63%) and ResNet50 (35%). As a result, the proposed CNN framework can appropriately apply the monitoring needs. The primary purpose is to develop a simple, accurate, and stable SC monitoring technology. Instead of some complex architectures, a simple and small neural network is adopted to implement real-time application (RTA). Via our design, such a traditional but critical issue can be improved to a new state. For example, by incorporating the concept of the Internet of Things (IoT) with our design, the distributed computing system for large-scale environmental monitoring can be realized quickly and easily.
摘要沉积物浓度监测一直是水资源管理中的一个紧迫问题,但由于环境因素和仪器的限制,现有的许多仪器在准确测量中仍面临挑战。一种健壮的技术值得在现场应用。本研究首先使用平均绝对误差(MAE)、均方根误差(RMSE)、相关系数(CC)和纳什-苏特克利夫效率系数(NSE)来描述所提出的卷积神经网络(CNN)的性能。此外,采用集成学习概念来比较多种机器学习(ML)方法,CNN的预测准确率最高,为91%,优于SVM (79%), VGG19(63%)和ResNet50(35%)。因此,所提出的CNN框架可以很好地应用于监控需求。主要目的是开发一种简单、准确、稳定的SC监测技术。采用简单、小型的神经网络来实现实时应用(RTA),而不是一些复杂的体系结构。通过我们的设计,这样一个传统但关键的问题可以改善到一个新的状态。例如,通过将物联网(IoT)的概念与我们的设计相结合,可以快速轻松地实现大规模环境监测的分布式计算系统。
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引用次数: 0
Quantitative estimation and fusion optimization of radar rainfall in the Duanzhuang watershed at the eastern foot of the Taihang Mountains 太行山东麓端庄流域雷达降水定量估算与融合优化
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2023.058
Ting Zhang, Yi Li, Jianzhu Li, Zhixia Li, Congmei Wang, Jin Liu
The temporal and spatial resolutions of rainfall data directly affect the accuracy of hydrological simulation. Weather radar has been used in business in China, but the uncertainty of data is large. At present, research on radar data and fusion in small and medium-sized basins in China is very weak. In this paper, taking the Duanzhuang watershed as an example, based on station data, Shijiazhuang's radar data are preprocessed, optimized and fused. Eleven rainfall events are selected for fusion by three methods and quality evaluation, and three flood simulations are used to test their effect. The results show that preprocessing and initial optimization have poor effects on radar data improvement. The rainfall proportional coefficient fusion method performs best in rainfall spatial estimation, where the R2 values of the three inspection stations are increased to 0.51, 0.78 and 0.82. Three fusion datasets in the peak flow and flood volume of flood simulation perform better than station data. For example, in the No.20210721 flood, the NSE of the three fusion data increased by 39, 30 and 48%. This shows that the fusion method can effectively improve the data accuracy of radar and can obtain high temporal and spatial resolution rainfall data.
降雨数据的时空分辨率直接影响水文模拟的精度。气象雷达在中国已经应用于商业,但数据的不确定性较大。目前,中国中小流域的雷达数据融合研究非常薄弱。本文以端庄流域为例,在台站数据的基础上,对石家庄市雷达数据进行预处理、优化和融合。通过三种方法和质量评价选择了11个降雨事件进行融合,并通过3次洪水模拟对其效果进行了测试。结果表明,预处理和初始优化对雷达数据的改进效果较差。降雨比例系数融合法在降雨空间估计中表现最好,3个监测站的R2值分别提高到0.51、0.78和0.82。3个融合数据在洪峰流量和洪量模拟中均优于台站数据。例如,在No.20210721洪水中,三个融合数据的NSE分别增加了39%、30%和48%。这表明融合方法可以有效地提高雷达数据精度,可以获得高时空分辨率的降雨数据。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Hydroinformatics
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