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Discharge estimation in compound channels with converging and diverging floodplains an using an optimised Gradient Boosting Algorithm 使用优化梯度提升算法估算具有汇聚和发散洪泛区的复合渠道中的排水量
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.292
Shashank Shekhar Sandilya, Bhabani Shankar Das, Dr. Sébastien Proust, Divyanshu Shekhar
River discharge estimation is vital for effective flood management and infrastructure planning. River systems consist of a main channel and floodplains, collectively forming a compound channel, posing challenges in discharge calculation, particularly when floodplains converge or diverge. Numerical models for discharge prediction require the solution of complex non-linear equations while traditional approaches often yield unreliable results with significant errors. To solve these complex non-linear problems, various machine learning (ML) approaches becoming popular. In the present study, ML algorithms, such as XGBoost, CatBoost and LightGBM, were developed to predict discharge in a compound channel. The PSO algorithm is applied for the optimisThe eesults show that all three gradient boosting algorithms effectively predict discharge in compound channels and are further enhanced by the application of the PSO algorithm. The R2 values for XGBoost, PSO-XGBoost, CatBoost and PSO-CatBoost exceed 0.95, whereas they are above 0.85 for LightBoost and PSO-LightBoost.The findings of this study validate the suitability of the proposed models, especially optimised with PSO is recommended for predicting discharge in a compound channel.
河流排量估算对于有效的洪水管理和基础设施规划至关重要。河流系统由主河道和冲积平原组成,共同构成一个复合河道,这给排泄量计算带来了挑战,尤其是当冲积平原汇聚或分流时。用于排水量预测的数值模型需要求解复杂的非线性方程,而传统方法往往得出不可靠的结果,误差很大。为了解决这些复杂的非线性问题,各种机器学习(ML)方法开始流行起来。在本研究中,开发了 XGBoost、CatBoost 和 LightGBM 等 ML 算法来预测复合通道中的放电情况。结果表明,这三种梯度提升算法都能有效预测复合通道中的放电量,并在应用 PSO 算法后得到进一步提高。XGBoost、PSO-XGBoost、CatBoost 和 PSO-CatBoost 的 R2 值均超过 0.95,而 LightBoost 和 PSO-LightBoost 的 R2 值均超过 0.85。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrovars: an R tool to collect hydrological variables Hydrovars:收集水文变量的 R 工具
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.293
Alejandro Sánchez-Gómez, Katrin Bieger, Christoph Schürz, S. Martínez-Pérez, Hendrik Rathjens, Eugenio Molina-Navarro
Hydrological models can benefit from soft calibration, a process by which the proper simulation of hydrological variables is proved while or before addressing hard calibration. Soft calibration reduces the probability of obtaining a statistically accurate but unrealistic model. However, it requires soft data, which is often hard to acquire or unavailable. This work presents HydRoVars, an R tool developed to facilitate the estimation of data which can be implemented in a soft calibration procedure. It allows to estimate two key hydrological indices (the runoff coefficient and the baseflow index) and weather-related variables at the catchment scale for one or numerous basins. The runoff coefficient is calculated automatically from precipitation and streamflow datasets. Groundwater contribution is estimated through a semi-automatic process based on a baseflow filter which considers hydrogeological properties. Modellers would benefit from incorporating soft calibration in their calibration procedures, and this tool might help to estimate these relevant hydrological variables in their modelled area. The tool has been tested in 19 subbasins of the Tagus River basin (Spain) located in different geological regions. In the test cases, we demonstrate the usefulness of this tool to improve the model representation and gain an understanding of the catchments' hydrology.
水文模型可以从软校准中获益,软校准是在进行硬校准的同时或之前证明水文变量模拟正确的过程。软校准可降低获得统计上准确但不现实的模型的概率。不过,这需要软数据,而这些数据往往很难获取或无法获得。本研究介绍了一种 R 工具 HydRoVars,该工具旨在帮助估算可在软校准程序中实施的数据。它可以估算一个或多个流域的两个关键水文指数(径流系数和基流指数)以及流域尺度上的天气相关变量。径流系数根据降水和溪流数据集自动计算。地下水的贡献是通过考虑水文地质特性的基流过滤器进行半自动估算的。将软校准纳入校准程序将使建模人员受益匪浅,该工具可能有助于估算建模区域内的相关水文变量。该工具已在位于不同地质区域的塔霍河流域(西班牙)的 19 个子流域进行了测试。在测试案例中,我们展示了该工具在改进模型表现和了解流域水文情况方面的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Utilizing waveform synthesis in harmonic oscillator seasonal trend model for short- and long-term streamflow drought modeling and forecasting 利用谐波振荡器季节趋势模型中的波形合成进行短期和长期河水流量干旱建模和预测
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.229
K. Raczyński, J. Dyer
This study introduces an improved version of the harmonic oscillator seasonal trend (HOST) model framework to accurately simulate medium- and long-term changes in extreme events, focusing on streamflow droughts in the Mobile River catchment. Performance of the model relative to the initial framework was enhanced through the inclusion of new mathematical models and waveform synthesis. The updated framework successfully captures long-term and seasonal patterns with a Kling–Gupta efficiency exceeding 0.5 for seasonal fluctuations and over 0.9 for trends. The best-fit model explains around 98% of long-term and approximately 55% of seasonal variance. Test sets show slightly lower accuracies, with about 20% of nodes underperforming due to the absence of drought during the test phase resulting in false-positive model forecasts. The newly developed weighted occurrence classification outperforms the binary classification occurrence model. In addition, application of an automatic period multiplier for decomposition using the seasonal trend decomposition using LOESS method improves test dataset performance and reduces false-positive forecasts. The improved framework provides valuable insights for extreme flow distribution, offering potential for improved water management planning, and the combination of the HOST model with physical models can address short-term drivers of extreme events, enhancing drought occurrence forecasting and water resource management strategies.
本研究介绍了谐波振荡器季节趋势(HOST)模型框架的改进版本,以准确模拟极端事件的中长期变化,重点是莫比尔河流域的河水干旱。通过加入新的数学模型和波形合成,该模型相对于初始框架的性能得到了提高。更新后的框架成功地捕捉到了长期和季节性模式,季节性波动的 Kling-Gupta 效率超过 0.5,趋势的 Kling-Gupta 效率超过 0.9。最佳拟合模型解释了约 98% 的长期变化和约 55% 的季节变化。测试集显示的准确率略低,约 20% 的节点表现不佳,原因是测试阶段没有干旱,导致模型预测为假阳性。新开发的加权发生率分类法优于二元分类发生率模型。此外,利用 LOESS 方法的季节趋势分解应用自动周期乘法器进行分解,提高了测试数据集的性能,减少了假阳性预测。改进后的框架为极端流量分布提供了有价值的见解,为改进水资源管理规划提供了潜力,HOST 模型与物理模型的结合可以解决极端事件的短期驱动因素,从而加强干旱发生预测和水资源管理策略。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning approaches for anomalous storm pattern identification 异常风暴模式识别的机器学习方法
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.238
David Sharp, A. P. Barnes
Anomaly detection is used to explore the link between data-driven anomalous storms and their socio-economic impact on countries within the North-West Pacific. Three anomaly detection models are trialled using three distinct algorithms on the storm tracks and temperature profiles of storms. A feature-based comparison of the top 5% of anomalous storms from each model is used to reveal variations in anomalous storm activity. Further to this, the socio-economic impact of the anomalous storms is assessed, revealing a link between the anomalous behaviour of storms and the impact experienced by countries on their path. A final cross-comparison shows that the k-Nearest Neighbour and Isolation Forest algorithms succeeded at identifying high-impacting storms. However, the agglomerative clustering model found many unique storms that had low impact. This highlights the importance of considering both trajectory and temperature in determining the severity and impact of erroneous storms.
异常检测用于探索数据驱动的异常风暴与其对西北太平洋国家的社会经济影响之间的联系。在风暴轨迹和风暴温度曲线上使用三种不同的算法试用了三种异常检测模型。对每个模型中前 5%的异常风暴进行基于特征的比较,以揭示异常风暴活动的变化。此外,还对异常风暴的社会经济影响进行了评估,揭示了风暴的异常行为与风暴路径上的国家所受影响之间的联系。最后的交叉比较结果表明,k-近邻算法和隔离森林算法成功地识别出了影响较大的风暴。然而,聚类模型发现了许多独特的低影响风暴。这突出表明,在确定错误风暴的严重程度和影响时,同时考虑轨迹和温度非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of the discharge capacity of piano key weirs using artificial neural networks 利用人工神经网络预测钢琴键围堰的泄洪能力
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.303
Mujahid Iqbal, Usman Ghani
The discharge capacity of the piano key weir (PKW) is an important flow feature which ultimately decides the type and geometric design of PKWs. In the present research work, the different architecture of artificial neural networks (ANNs) was employed to predict the discharge capacity of the trapezoidal piano key weir (TPKW) by varying geometric parameters (Si/So, Wi/Wo, Bi/Bo, L/W and α). Furthermore, adaptive neuro-fuzzy interference system (ANFIS), support vector machines (SVMs) and non-linear regression (RM) techniques were also applied to compare the performance of best ANN models. The performance of each model was evaluated using statistical indices including scatter index (SI); coefficient of determination (R2), and mean square error (MSE). The prediction capability of all the models was found to be satisfactory. However, results predicted by ANN-22(H-15) [R2 = 0.998, MSE = 0.0024, SI = 0.0177] was more accurate than ANFIS (R2 = 0.995, MSE = 0.00039, SI = 0.0256), SVM (R2 = 0.982, MSE = 0.000864, SI = 0.0395) and RM (R2 = 0.978, MSE = 0.001, SI = 0.0411). It was observed that Si/So, Wi/Wo and L/W geometric ratios have the greatest effect on the discharge performance of TPKW. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis confirmed that h/P is the most influencing ratio which may considerably affect the discharge efficiency of the TPKW. It was found that ANN models having a single hidden layer and keeping neurons three times of input parameters in hidden layers generated better results.
琴键堰(PKW)的泄流能力是一个重要的水流特征,它最终决定了琴键堰的类型和几何设计。在本研究工作中,采用了不同结构的人工神经网络(ANN),通过改变几何参数(Si/So、Wi/Wo、Bi/Bo、L/W 和 α)来预测梯形琴键堰(TPKW)的排水能力。此外,还应用了自适应神经模糊干扰系统(ANFIS)、支持向量机(SVM)和非线性回归(RM)技术来比较最佳 ANN 模型的性能。每个模型的性能都通过统计指数进行了评估,包括散点指数(SI)、决定系数(R2)和均方误差(MSE)。所有模型的预测能力都令人满意。然而,ANN-22(H-15)[R2 = 0.998,MSE = 0.0024,SI = 0.0177]的预测结果比 ANFIS(R2 = 0.995,MSE = 0.00039,SI = 0.0256)、SVM(R2 = 0.982,MSE = 0.000864,SI = 0.0395)和 RM(R2 = 0.978,MSE = 0.001,SI = 0.0411)更准确。据观察,Si/So、Wi/Wo 和 L/W 几何比率对 TPKW 的放电性能影响最大。此外,灵敏度分析证实,h/P 是影响最大的比率,可能会严重影响 TPKW 的排放效率。研究发现,具有单个隐藏层并在隐藏层中保持三倍于输入参数的神经元的 ANN 模型能产生更好的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Definition and application of the Péclet number threshold for water quality analysis in water distribution networks 输水管网水质分析中佩克莱特数阈值的定义和应用
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.102
Stefania Piazza, Mariacrocetta Sambito, Gabriele Freni
To assess the water quality within the distribution networks, simplified models are used, which adopt an advective–reactive approach and neglect diffusion–dispersion phenomena. Although such simplifications can be sufficiently accurate in complete turbulent uniform flow regimes, literature works demonstrated that they could produce wrong results in laminar and transitional regimes that are relevant when analysing low flows, dead-end pipes in looped distribution networks or service connections. On the other hand, advective simplification allows for considerable computational savings during the simulation of large networks. Therefore, a criterion is needed for better discriminate pipes in which the advective approach is sufficient or the diffusive approach is required. The present study aims to investigate the use of the Péclet number to discriminate the use of advective simplification both adopting the two-dimensional (2D) advection–dispersion equation and the one-dimensional (1D) cross-section averaged advection–dispersion equation. The numerical analysis was applied to a linear pipeline using the EPANET, 1D advective–dispersive–reactive, and EPANET-DD (Dynamic–Dispersion) models. The results showed the inadequacy of the Péclet number in discriminating the dominance of the advective–dispersive process in real systems, as it is linked to the pipe's length, regardless of the flow regime occurring on the pipeline.
为了评估配水管网中的水质,我们使用了简化模型,这些模型采用了平流-反应方法,忽略了扩散-弥散现象。虽然这种简化方法在完全湍动的均匀流状态下具有足够的准确性,但文献研究表明,在层流和过渡状态下可能会产生错误的结果,而在分析低流量、环状配水管网中的死角管道或服务连接时,层流和过渡状态是非常重要的。另一方面,平动简化可在大型网络模拟中节省大量计算量。因此,需要一个标准来更好地区分哪些管道采用平动方法就足够了,哪些管道需要采用扩散方法。本研究旨在探讨如何使用佩克莱特数来区分采用二维(2D)平流-扩散方程和一维(1D)横截面平均平流-扩散方程的平流简化。使用 EPANET、一维平流-分散-反应模型和 EPANET-DD(动态-分散)模型对线性管道进行了数值分析。结果表明,在实际系统中,佩克莱特数不足以区分平流-分散过程的主导地位,因为它与管道的长度有关,与管道上发生的流态无关。
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引用次数: 0
Deep learning for automated trash screen blockage detection using cameras: Actionable information for flood risk management 利用摄像头进行垃圾屏堵塞自动检测的深度学习:洪水风险管理的实用信息
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.013
Rémy Vandaele, Sarah Lance Dance, Varun Ojha
Trash screens are used to prevent debris from entering critical parts of rivers. However, debris can accumulate on the screen and generate floods. This makes their monitoring critical both for maintenance and flood modeling purposes (e.g., local forecasts may change because the trash screen is blocked). We developed three novel deep learning methods for trash screen maintenance management consisting of automatically detecting trash screen blockage using cameras: a method based on image classification, a method based on image similarity matching, and a method based on anomaly detection. To facilitate their use by end users, these methods are designed so that they can be directly applied to any new trash screen camera installed by the end users. We have built a new dataset of labeled trash screen images to train and evaluate the efficiency of our methods, in terms of both accuracy and implications for end users. This dataset consists of 80,452 trash screen images from 54 cameras installed by the Environment Agency (UK). This work demonstrates that trash screen blockage detection can be automated using trash screen cameras and deep learning, which could have an impact on both trash screen management and flood modeling.
垃圾滤网用于防止垃圾进入河流的重要部分。然而,垃圾可能会堆积在滤网上并引发洪水。这就使得对它们的监测对于维护和洪水建模都至关重要(例如,当地的预测可能会因为垃圾屏被堵塞而发生变化)。我们开发了三种新颖的深度学习方法,用于垃圾屏幕的维护管理,包括使用摄像头自动检测垃圾屏幕的堵塞情况:基于图像分类的方法、基于图像相似性匹配的方法和基于异常检测的方法。为了便于终端用户使用,这些方法可以直接应用于终端用户安装的任何新的垃圾屏蔽摄像头。我们建立了一个标有垃圾屏幕图像的新数据集,用于训练和评估我们的方法在准确性和对终端用户的影响方面的效率。该数据集由英国环境署安装的 54 台摄像机拍摄的 80,452 幅垃圾屏蔽图像组成。这项工作表明,垃圾围网堵塞检测可以利用垃圾围网摄像机和深度学习实现自动化,这将对垃圾围网管理和洪水建模产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Water quality emergency monitoring networks: a method for identifying non-critical variables based on Shannon's entropy 水质应急监测网络:基于香农熵的非关键变量识别方法
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.256
Fábio Cruz, Talita Fernanda das Graças Silva
In the occurrence of environmental disasters involving water resources, deploying an emergency monitoring network for assessing water quality is within the first measures to be taken. Emergency networks usually cover a large set of water quality variables and monitoring stations along the watershed. Focusing on variables that represent greater risk to the environment and have less predictable spatial and temporal distribution is a strategy to optimize efforts on monitoring. The goal of this study is to assess the use of Shannon's entropy to identify non-critical water quality variables in an emergency monitoring network implemented in a watershed impacted by the collapse of a mining iron tailing dam, the Doce River watershed (Brazil). Monitoring stations were grouped into water quality subregions through cluster analysis and Shannon's entropy was used to estimate information redundancy of monitored variables. From information redundancy and after checking for compliance with environment normative, non-critical water quality variables were identified. Results indicated that non-critical variables represent 32–50% of the variables monitored. Emergency network managers find in this method a robust tool to improve the network performance. However, special attention should be paid to outliers' presence that can bias analyses based on Shannon's entropy.
在发生涉及水资源的环境灾难时,部署应急监测网络以评估水质是首先要采取的措施。应急网络通常覆盖流域内的大量水质变量和监测站点。将重点放在对环境危害较大、空间和时间分布较难预测的变量上,是优化监测工作的一种策略。本研究的目的是评估香农熵的使用情况,以确定在受采矿铁尾矿坝溃坝影响的多塞河流域(巴西)实施的应急监测网络中的非关键水质变量。通过聚类分析将监测站划分为水质子区域,并使用香农熵估算监测变量的信息冗余。根据信息冗余并检查是否符合环境规范后,确定了非关键水质变量。结果表明,非关键变量占监测变量的 32-50%。应急网络管理人员发现,这种方法是提高网络性能的有力工具。不过,应特别注意异常值的存在,因为它可能会使基于香农熵的分析产生偏差。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of characteristic index and prediction of river bottom tearing scour in the Yellow River 黄河河底撕裂冲刷特征指标分析与预测
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.247
Longfei Sun, Yanhui Liu, Yuanjian Wang, Qinghao Dong, Wanjie Zhao
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River bottom tearing scour (RBTS) has a strong effect on the scouring and moulding of channel in the Yellow River. Due to the special forming conditions, complex influencing factors, and limited observed data, it is difficult to predict whether RBTS will occur accurately. By collecting and disposing of the hydrodynamic, sediment, and initial boundary data of 246 flood events related to RBTS in three typical reaches of the Yellow River basin, the correlation between different characteristi

View largeDownload slideView largeDownload slide Close modal河底撕裂冲刷(RBTS)对黄河河道的冲淤成型影响很大。由于黄河河道形成条件特殊、影响因素复杂、观测资料有限,很难准确预测河底撕裂冲刷是否会发生。通过收集和处理黄河流域三个典型河段 246 次与 RBTS 相关洪水事件的水动力、泥沙和初界数据,分析了不同特征影响因素与 RBTS 发生与否的相关性,并构建了基于机器学习算法的预测模型。结果表明,在现有数据条件下,最大泥沙浓度 Sm、平均泥沙浓度 Sp、洪水增长率 ν 和形状系数 δ 是较易区分 RBTS 是否发生的四个关键指标。在给定的水和泥沙条件下,与其他模型相比,支持向量机算法模型的性能结果最好,在预测其发生方面表现出更高的准确度和精确度。本研究提出的方法为准确预测黄河 RBTS 提供了一种新方法。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the impact of population dynamics on water use utilizing multi-source big data 利用多源大数据了解人口动态对用水的影响
IF 2.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2024.179
Guihuan Zhou, Zhanjie Li, Wei Wang, Qianyang Wang, Jingshan Yu

Population movement, such as commuting, can affect water supply pressure and efficiency in modern cities. However, there is a gap in the research concerning the relationship between water use and population mobility, which is of great significance for urban sustainable development. In this study, we analyzed the spatial–temporal dynamics of the population and its underlying mechanisms, using multi-source geospatial big data, including Baidu heat maps (BHMs), land use parcels, and point of interest. Combined with water consumption, sewage volume, and river depth data, the impact of population dynamics on water use was investigated. The results showed that there were obvious differences in population dynamics between weekdays and weekends with a ratio of 1.11 for the total population. Spatially, the population concentration was mainly observed in areas associated with enterprises, industries, shopping, and leisure activities during the daytime, while at nighttime, it primarily centered around residential areas. Moreover, the population showed a significant impact on water use, resulting in co-periods of 24 h and 7 days, and the water consumption as well as the wastewater production were observed to be proportional to the population density. This study can offer valuable implications for urban water resource allocation strategies.

通勤等人口流动会影响现代城市的供水压力和效率。然而,关于用水与人口流动之间关系的研究还存在空白,而这对城市可持续发展具有重要意义。在本研究中,我们利用百度热力图(BHM)、土地利用地块和兴趣点等多源地理空间大数据,分析了人口的时空动态及其内在机制。结合用水量、污水量和河流深度数据,研究了人口动态对水资源利用的影响。结果表明,工作日和周末的人口动态存在明显差异,总人口比为 1.11。从空间上看,白天人口主要集中在与企业、工业、购物和休闲活动相关的区域,而夜间则主要集中在居民区。此外,人口对用水量也有显著影响,造成了 24 小时和 7 天的共同周期,并且观察到用水量和废水产生量与人口密度成正比。这项研究可为城市水资源分配战略提供有价值的启示。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Hydroinformatics
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