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Uncovering the relationship between incidental emotion toward a disaster and stock market fluctuations: Evidence from the US market 揭示对灾难的偶然情绪与股市波动之间的关系:来自美国市场的证据
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114213
Tao Yang , T. Robert Yu , Huimin Zhao

Despite having potentially important implications, there has been little research on the relationship between the public's incidental emotion and the stock market. To that end, we construct a valence-based measure of incidental emotion using BERTweet's sentiment analysis and empirically investigate the association between collective incidental emotion toward the COVID-19 pandemic and the U.S. stock market. We employ multivariate time series autoregressive models to test the relationship between emotion polarity and stock market returns or trading volumes. The results reveal that societal sentiment toward the pandemic has a significant effect on the returns of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500. In contrast, the macro-level emotion does not significantly affect the return for NASDAQ 100. The findings also suggest a significant association between incidental emotion and trading volumes. We conduct a battery of sensitivity tests that further support our conjecture. The study underscores the robust role of incidental emotion in investment decision-making, highlighting its significance as a distinctive feature that should be incorporated into financial decision support systems.

尽管具有潜在的重要影响,但有关公众偶然情绪与股票市场之间关系的研究却很少。为此,我们利用 BERTweet 的情感分析方法构建了一种基于价态的偶发情绪测量方法,并对 COVID-19 大流行病的集体偶发情绪与美国股市之间的关系进行了实证研究。我们采用多变量时间序列自回归模型来检验情绪极性与股市收益或交易量之间的关系。结果显示,社会对大流行病的情绪对道琼斯工业平均指数和 S&P 500 指数的收益率有显著影响。相比之下,宏观层面的情绪对纳斯达克 100 指数的回报率影响不大。研究结果还表明,偶发情绪与交易量之间存在显著关联。我们进行了一系列敏感性测试,进一步证实了我们的猜想。本研究强调了偶发情绪在投资决策中的重要作用,突出了偶发情绪作为一种独特特征的重要性,应将其纳入金融决策支持系统。
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引用次数: 0
D3S: Decision support system for sectorization D3S:部门化决策支持系统
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114211
Elif Göksu Öztürk , Pedro Rocha , Ana Maria Rodrigues , José Soeiro Ferreira , Cristina Lopes , Cristina Oliveira , Ana Catarina Nunes

Sectorization problems refer to dividing a large set, area or network into smaller parts concerning one or more objectives. A decision support system (DSS) is a relevant tool for solving these problems, improving optimisation procedures, and finding feasible solutions more efficiently. This paper presents a new web-based Decision Support System for Sectorization (D3S). D3S is designed to solve sectorization problems in various areas, such as school and health districting,planning sales territories and maintenance operations zones, or political districting. Due to its generic design, D3S bridges the gap between sectorization problems and a state-of-the-art decision support tool. The paper aims to present the generic and technical attributes of D3S by providing detailed information regarding the problem-solution approach (based on Evolutionary Algorithms), objectives (most common in sectorization), constraints, structure and performance.

部门化问题指的是将一个大型集合、区域或网络划分为与一个或多个目标相关的较小部分。决策支持系统(DSS)是解决这些问题、改进优化程序和更有效地找到可行解决方案的相关工具。本文介绍了一种新的基于网络的部门化决策支持系统(D3S)。D3S 设计用于解决不同领域的分区问题,如学校和卫生分区、销售区域和维修作业区规划或政治分区。由于其通用设计,D3S 在分区问题与最先进的决策支持工具之间架起了一座桥梁。本文旨在通过提供有关问题解决方法(基于进化算法)、目标(部门化中最常见的目标)、约束条件、结构和性能的详细信息,介绍 D3S 的通用和技术属性。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of enterprise social media use on employee improvisation ability through psychological conditions: The moderating role of enterprise social media policy 企业社交媒体的使用通过心理条件对员工随机应变能力的影响:企业社交媒体政策的调节作用
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114212
Mengyi Zhu , Yuan Sun , Justin Zuopeng Zhang , Jindi Fu , Bo Yang

The emergence of enterprise social media (ESM) allows enterprises to develop employee improvisation ability for effective decision-making in various emergencies. However, it remains unclear how the use of ESM by employees affects their ability to improvise. Based on the job demands-resources model and Kahn's psychological conditions framework, this study constructs a theoretical model capturing two types of ESM usage—work-related and social-related—and examines their impact on employee improvisation ability. Through the analysis of 307 paired data collected from multi-wave and multi-source questionnaires using Smart-PLS software, the results show that both work-related and social-related ESM use can promote employees' psychological meaningfulness, availability, and safety, thus further stimulating employees' improvisation ability. ESM policies only significantly moderated the effects of work-related ESM use on the three psychological conditions of employees. Moreover, there are significant differences in the intensity of the influence of the two types of ESM uses on the psychological conditions of employees. This study not only enriches and promotes the existing research on ESM usage, psychological conditions, and employee improvisation ability but also helps enterprise management effectively guide employees to use ESM to promote their improvisation ability.

企业社交媒体(ESM)的出现使企业能够培养员工的随机应变能力,以便在各种紧急情况下做出有效决策。然而,员工使用 ESM 对其随机应变能力有何影响仍不清楚。本研究基于工作需求-资源模型和卡恩的心理条件框架,构建了一个理论模型,捕捉了与工作相关和与社交相关的两种ESM使用方式,并考察了它们对员工即兴发挥能力的影响。通过使用 Smart-PLS 软件对多波次、多来源问卷中收集的 307 个配对数据进行分析,结果表明,与工作相关和与社交相关的无害环境管理使用都能促进员工的心理意义、可用性和安全性,从而进一步激发员工的即兴发挥能力。ESM政策仅对工作相关的ESM使用对员工三种心理状况的影响有明显的调节作用。此外,两种ESM使用方式对员工心理状况的影响强度存在明显差异。本研究不仅丰富和促进了现有关于ESM使用、心理状况和员工临场应变能力的研究,而且有助于企业管理层有效地指导员工使用ESM以促进其临场应变能力。
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引用次数: 0
How does escapism foster game experience and game use? 逃避现实如何促进游戏体验和游戏使用?
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114207
Tzu-Ling Huang , Jin-Rong Yeh , Gen-Yih Liao , T.C.E. Cheng , Yan-Cheng Chang , Ching-I Teng

Online games represent a rapidly growing and competitive global market for technology firms. Games are viewed as places where people can temporarily escape from reality. However, it is unclear how game escapism fosters game experience and game use, thus indicating a research gap. This gap keeps decision-makers (i.e., firms and policy-makers) in the dark regarding how game escapism affects gameplay, thus hindering effective decision-making. To fill this gap, uses and gratification theory is applied to build a model for explaining the mechanism underlying the influence of game escapism and telepresence on game experience and game use. We collect 1347 online gamer responses with which to test the model. The results indicate that game escapism improves all game experiences, while only enjoyment and concentration increase game use. Moreover, telepresence strengthens the impact of game escapism on enjoyment, concentration, and fantasy. Our findings offer insights for decision-makers, enabling them to leverage game mechanisms to either provide or negate the impact of game escapism, thus changing game use.

对于技术公司来说,网络游戏是一个快速增长、竞争激烈的全球市场。游戏被视为人们暂时逃避现实的场所。然而,目前还不清楚游戏逃避现实是如何促进游戏体验和游戏使用的,因此存在研究空白。这一空白使决策者(即企业和政策制定者)对游戏逃避现实如何影响游戏性一无所知,从而阻碍了有效的决策。为了填补这一空白,我们运用使用和满足理论建立了一个模型,用于解释游戏逃避现实和远程呈现对游戏体验和游戏使用的影响机制。我们收集了 1347 份在线游戏玩家的回复,并以此检验模型。结果表明,游戏逃避能改善所有游戏体验,而只有享受和专注能提高游戏使用率。此外,远程呈现加强了游戏逃避对享受、专注和幻想的影响。我们的研究结果为决策者提供了启示,使他们能够利用游戏机制来提供或抵消游戏逃避现实的影响,从而改变游戏的使用。
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引用次数: 0
Towards fair decision: A novel representation method for debiasing pre-trained models 实现公平决策:消除预训练模型缺陷的新型表示方法
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114208
Junheng He , Nankai Lin , Qifeng Bai , Haoyu Liang , Dong Zhou , Aimin Yang

Pretrained language models (PLMs) are frequently employed in Decision Support Systems (DSSs) due to their strong performance. However, recent studies have revealed that these PLMs can exhibit social biases, leading to unfair decisions that harm vulnerable groups. Sensitive information contained in sentences from training data is the primary source of bias. Previously proposed debiasing methods based on contrastive disentanglement have proven highly effective. In these methods, PLMs can disentangle sensitive information from non-sensitive information in sentence embedding, and then adapts non-sensitive information only for downstream tasks. Such approaches hinge on having good sentence embedding as input. However, recent research found that most non-fine-tuned PLMs such as BERT produce poor sentence embedding. Disentangling based on these embedding will lead to unsatisfactory debiasing results. Taking a finer-grained perspective, we propose PCFR (Prompt and Contrastive-based Fair Representation), a novel disentanglement method integrating prompt and contrastive learning to debias PLMs. We employ prompt learning to represent information as sensitive embedding and subsequently apply contrastive learning to contrast these information embedding rather than the sentence embedding. PCFR encourages similarity among different non-sensitive information embedding and dissimilarity between sensitive and non-sensitive information embedding. We mitigate gender and religion biases in two prominent PLMs, namely BERT and GPT-2. To comprehensively assess debiasing efficacy of PCFR, we employ multiple fairness metrics. Experimental results consistently demonstrate the superior performance of PCFR compared to representative baseline methods. Additionally, when applied to specific downstream decision tasks, PCFR not only shows strong de-biasing capability but also significantly preserves task performance.

预训练语言模型(PLM)因其强大的性能,经常被用于决策支持系统(DSS)中。然而,最近的研究发现,这些 PLM 可能会表现出社会偏见,从而导致不公平的决策,损害弱势群体的利益。训练数据中的句子所包含的敏感信息是偏见的主要来源。之前提出的基于对比分解的去偏差方法被证明非常有效。在这些方法中,PLM 可以将句子嵌入中的敏感信息与非敏感信息分离开来,然后只在下游任务中使用非敏感信息。这些方法的前提是要有良好的句子嵌入作为输入。然而,最近的研究发现,大多数非微调 PLM(如 BERT)产生的句子嵌入效果不佳。根据这些嵌入进行解刨会导致令人不满意的解刨结果。从更精细的角度出发,我们提出了 PCFR(基于提示和对比的公平表征),这是一种整合了提示学习和对比学习的新型解缠方法,可用于去除 PLM。我们利用提示学习将信息表述为敏感嵌入,然后应用对比学习来对比这些信息嵌入而不是句子嵌入。PCFR 鼓励不同非敏感信息嵌入之间的相似性以及敏感和非敏感信息嵌入之间的差异性。我们在两个著名的 PLM(即 BERT 和 GPT-2)中减轻了性别和宗教偏见。为了全面评估 PCFR 的消除偏差效果,我们采用了多种公平性指标。实验结果一致表明,与具有代表性的基线方法相比,PCFR 的性能更加优越。此外,当应用于特定的下游决策任务时,PCFR 不仅显示出强大的去偏差能力,还能显著保持任务性能。
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引用次数: 0
To be honest or positive? The effect of Airbnb host description on consumer behavior 诚实还是积极?Airbnb 房东描述对消费者行为的影响
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114200
Xinyu Sun, Li Gui, Bin Cai

On accommodation-sharing platform, host self-description influence consumer behavior as an important information. Based on the Perceived Value Theory and the Expectation Confirmation Theory, we developed an analytical framework to investigate the relationship between host description strategies and consumer behavior of room booking and satisfaction. We measured host description strategies (honest description and positive description) using machine learning and rule-based text analysis methods. Then we verified the different effects of two host description strategies on each of consumer behaviors based on a panel dataset from Airbnb. Positive description and honest description have a positive impact on room booking and consumer satisfaction respectively. Room price moderates the relationship between host descriptions and consumer behaviors. A highly positive description strategy can promote bookings for high-priced listings but decrease satisfaction. The honest description strategy has a positive effect on the bookings of low-priced listings. This study contributes to tourism literature and property hosts in practice.

在住宿共享平台上,房东自我描述是影响消费者行为的重要信息。基于感知价值理论(Perceived Value Theory)和期望确认理论(Expectation Confirmation Theory),我们建立了一个分析框架来研究房东描述策略与消费者订房行为和满意度之间的关系。我们使用机器学习和基于规则的文本分析方法测量了房东描述策略(和)。然后,我们基于 Airbnb 的面板数据集,验证了两种房东描述策略对消费者行为的不同影响。房间价格调节了房东描述与消费者行为之间的关系。高价策略可以促进高价房源的预订,但会降低满意度。该策略对低价房源的预订有积极影响。本研究对旅游文献和房东实践都有贡献。
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引用次数: 0
How self-selection Bias in online reviews affects buyer satisfaction: A product type perspective 在线评论中的自我选择偏差如何影响买家满意度?产品类型视角
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114199
Yancong Xie , William Yeoh , Jingguo Wang

Online reviews play a crucial role in shaping buyers' purchase decisions. However, previous research has highlighted the existence of self-selection biases among buyers who contribute to reviews, which in turn leads to biased distributions of review ratings. This research aims to explore the further influences of self-selection bias on buyer satisfaction through agent-based modeling, considering two product differentiations: search and experience differentiation, as well as vertical and horizontal differentiation. Our findings reveal that self-selection bias can have varying positive and negative effects on the usefulness of online reviews in suggesting product quality (i.e., review utility) to buyers, thus affecting buyer satisfaction. While self-selection bias tends to decrease review utility in most scenarios, interestingly, it can also increase review utility by enabling a “screening” function of online reviews in addition to its normal “measuring” function. We also find that the varying effects of self-selection bias on buyer satisfaction are contingent upon the type of products under scrutiny and the interaction of different types of self-selection bias. This research makes valuable contributions to the existing literature on online reviews by introducing a novel theory to explain the effects of self-selection bias on buyer satisfaction.

在线评论在影响买家购买决策方面起着至关重要的作用。然而,以往的研究已经强调了在提供评论的买家中存在的自我选择偏差,这反过来又导致了评论评分分布的偏差。本研究旨在通过基于代理的建模,考虑两种产品差异:搜索和体验差异,以及纵向和横向差异,探索自我选择偏差对买家满意度的进一步影响。我们的研究结果表明,自我选择偏差会对在线评论在向买家提示产品质量(即评论效用)方面的作用产生不同程度的积极和消极影响,从而影响买家满意度。虽然在大多数情况下,自我选择偏差往往会降低评论效用,但有趣的是,它也会增加评论效用,因为除了正常的 "衡量 "功能外,它还能实现在线评论的 "筛选 "功能。我们还发现,自我选择偏差对买家满意度的不同影响取决于受审查产品的类型以及不同类型自我选择偏差的相互作用。这项研究引入了一种新的理论来解释自我选择偏差对买家满意度的影响,为现有的在线评论文献做出了宝贵的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Developing a goal-driven data integration framework for effective data analytics 开发目标驱动的数据整合框架,实现有效的数据分析
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114197
Dapeng Liu , Victoria Y. Yoon

Data integration plays a crucial role in business intelligence, aiding decision-makers by consolidating data from heterogeneous sources to provide deep insights into business operations and performance. In the big data era, automated data integration solutions need to process high volumes of disparate data robustly and seamlessly for various analytical needs or operational actions. Existing data integration solutions exhibit limited capabilities for capturing and modeling users' needs to execute on-demand data integration. This study, underpinned by affordance theory and the goal definition principles from the Goal-Question-Metric approach, designs and instantiates a goal-driven data integration framework for data analytics. The proposed innovative design automates data integration for non-technical data users. Specifically, it demonstrates how to elicit and ontologize users' data-analytic goals and addresses semantic heterogeneity, thereby recognizing goal-relevant datasets. In a structured evaluation using the context of counter-terrorism analytics, our design artifact shows promising performance in capturing diverse and dynamic user goals for data analytics and in generating integrated data tailored to these goals. Our research establishes a theoretical framework to guide future scholars and practitioners in building smart, goal-driven data integration.

数据集成在商业智能中发挥着至关重要的作用,它通过整合来自不同来源的数据,帮助决策者深入洞察业务运营和绩效。在大数据时代,自动化数据集成解决方案需要稳健、无缝地处理大量不同的数据,以满足各种分析需求或操作行动。现有的数据集成解决方案在捕捉和模拟用户需求以执行按需数据集成方面能力有限。本研究以承受能力理论和目标-问题-度量方法中的目标定义原则为基础,设计并实例化了用于数据分析的目标驱动型数据集成框架。所提出的创新设计为非技术数据用户实现了数据整合自动化。具体来说,它展示了如何激发用户的数据分析目标并将其本体化,以及如何解决语义异质性问题,从而识别目标相关的数据集。在以反恐分析为背景的结构化评估中,我们的设计工件在捕捉多样化和动态的用户数据分析目标以及生成适合这些目标的综合数据方面表现出了良好的性能。我们的研究建立了一个理论框架,可指导未来的学者和从业人员建立智能、目标驱动的数据集成。
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引用次数: 0
Responsible machine learning for United States Air Force pilot candidate selection 为美国空军飞行员候选人选拔提供负责任的机器学习
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114198
Devin Wasilefsky , William N. Caballero , Chancellor Johnstone , Nathan Gaw , Phillip R. Jenkins

The United States Air Force (USAF) continues to be plagued by a chronic pilot shortage, one that could be exacerbated by an accompanying shortfall in the commercial airlines. As a result, efforts have increased to alleviate this shortage by finding methods to reduce pilot training attrition. We contribute to these efforts by setting forth a decision support system (DSS) for pilot candidate selection using modern machine learning techniques. In view of the recent Responsible Artificial Intelligence Strategy published by the United States Department of Defense, this research leverages interpretable and explainable machine learning methods to create traceable and equitable models that may be responsibly and reliably governed. These models are used to regress candidates’ average merit assignment selection system scores based on information available for selection and prior to training. More specifically, using data provided by the USAF from 2010 to 2018, this paper develops and analyzes multiple interpretable models based on Gaussian Bayesian networks, as well as multiple black-box models rendered explainable by SHAP values and conformal prediction. A preferred pair of interpretable and explainable models is selected and embedded within a DSS for USAF pilot candidate selection boards: the Air Force Pilot Applicant Selection System. The utilization of this DSS is explored, the analyses it enables are discussed, and relevant USAF policymaking issues are examined.

美国空军(USAF)长期以来一直受到飞行员短缺的困扰,而商业航空公司的飞行员短缺可能会加剧这一问题。因此,通过寻找减少飞行员培训自然减员的方法来缓解这一短缺问题的努力不断增加。我们利用现代机器学习技术,为飞行员候选人的选择建立了一个决策支持系统(DSS),从而为这些努力做出了贡献。鉴于美国国防部最近发布的 "负责任的人工智能战略",这项研究利用可解释和可说明的机器学习方法来创建可追溯和公平的模型,并对其进行负责任和可靠的管理。这些模型用于根据选拔和培训前的可用信息,对候选人的平均择优分配选拔系统得分进行回归。更具体地说,利用美国空军提供的 2010 年至 2018 年的数据,本文开发并分析了基于高斯贝叶斯网络的多个可解释模型,以及由 SHAP 值和符合性预测呈现的多个可解释黑箱模型。本文选择了一对首选的可解释和可解释模型,并将其嵌入美国空军飞行员候选人遴选委员会的 DSS 系统:空军飞行员申请人遴选系统。本文探讨了该 DSS 的使用情况,讨论了它所支持的分析,并研究了美国空军的相关决策问题。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating autonomy and control in human-AI delegation: User responses to technology- versus user-invoked task allocation 人机交互中的自主与控制:用户对技术与用户诱发的任务分配的反应
IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2024.114193
Martin Adam , Christopher Diebel , Marc Goutier , Alexander Benlian

Users can increasingly delegate to information systems (IS) – that is transferring rights and responsibilities regarding certain tasks – even to the degree that IS can act autonomously (i.e., without the intervention or supervision of users). What is more, IS increasingly offer to assume the rights and responsibilities for a task not only in response to user prompts (i.e., user-invoked delegation) but also without user prompts (i.e., IS-invoked delegation). Yet, little is known about whether, how, and why users agree to delegation when they are asked by the IS in contrast to when they self-initiate the delegation. Drawing on self-affirmation theory, we investigate user acceptance of IS- versus user-invoked delegation in two complementary online experiments in software development. Our core findings reveal that IS-invoked (vs. user-invoked) delegation increases users' perceived self-threat and thus decreases their willingness to accept delegation. This threatening effect is larger the less (vs. more) the user perceives control after the potential delegation. Taken together, we uncover defensive user responses to IS-invoked delegation. Furthermore, we shed light on the underlying and moderating mechanisms representing the reasons and contextual features that explain and mitigate these defensive measures. These findings have significant implications for IS designers seeking to improve user-IS collaboration and outcomes by employing IS-invoked delegation.

用户可以越来越多地向信息系统(IS)授权--即转移某些任务的权利和责任--甚至到了 IS 可以自主行动(即无需用户干预或监督)的程度。此外,越来越多的信息系统不仅根据用户的提示(即用户授权),而且在没有用户提示的情况下(即信息系统授权),主动承担任务的权利和责任。然而,人们对用户是否同意、如何同意以及为什么同意由 IS 提出的委托与用户自己发起的委托形成鲜明对比知之甚少。借鉴自我肯定理论,我们在两个互补的软件开发在线实验中调查了用户对 IS 委托与用户主动委托的接受程度。我们的核心研究结果表明,由 IS(相对于由用户)发起的委托会增加用户感知到的自我威胁,从而降低他们接受委托的意愿。用户对潜在授权后的控制感知越少(与越多),这种威胁效应就越大。综上所述,我们揭示了用户对 IS 诱导的授权的防御性反应。此外,我们还揭示了代表解释和减轻这些防御措施的原因和背景特征的基本机制和调节机制。这些研究结果对于寻求通过采用 IS 诱导授权来改善用户与 IS 之间的协作和结果的 IS 设计者具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Decision Support Systems
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