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Heterogeneity in mesocarnivore occupancy highlights the complexity of biodiversity changes in a threatened ecoregion 中食肉动物占有的异质性凸显了受威胁生态区生物多样性变化的复杂性
IF 3.5 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.06.006
Marília Marques , Marcelo Magioli , Pedro Monterroso , Gonçalo Curveira-Santos , Camila Righetto Cassano
Mesocarnivores are sensitive to global environmental changes, thereby serving as valuable sentinel species for assessing the ecological effects of anthropogenic disturbances. In human-modified landscapes, understanding mesocarnivore community structure and species habitat use is useful for guiding conservation strategies and preserving key ecosystem functions and services. Using camera-trap data, we evaluated the occupancy and detection probabilities of mesocarnivore assemblages in two protected areas of the Atlantic Forest, northeastern Brazil: RPPN Estação Veracel (sustainable-use) and Pau Brasil National Park (strictly protected). Ten mesocarnivore species were recorded, with higher species richness and occupancy rates in the strictly protected area. Occupancy and detection probabilities varied substantially among species and over time, with no strong responses to site-scale covariates. Nasua nasua was favored in sites with larger tree basal area, while Cerdocyon thous avoided these sites. Didelphis aurita was more common in sites distant from roads, contrasting with C. thous. All species, particularly Leopardus sp. and N. nasua, tended to use areas near reserve boundaries. Despite the high species diversity, low average occupancy suggests barriers limiting population growth, with some species benefiting from anthropogenic disturbance, underscoring the complexity of mesocarnivore roles in tropical ecosystems.
中食性动物对全球环境变化非常敏感,因此是评估人为干扰生态影响的宝贵哨兵物种。在人类改造景观中,了解中食肉动物群落结构和物种栖息地利用对指导保护策略和保护关键生态系统功能和服务具有重要意义。利用摄像机-诱捕器数据,对巴西东北部两个大西洋森林保护区:RPPN esta o Veracel(可持续利用)和Pau Brasil国家公园(严格保护)的中食肉动物种群的占用率和检测概率进行了评估。中食性动物10种,在严格保护区内具有较高的物种丰富度和占用率。占用率和检测概率在不同物种和时间之间存在很大差异,对场地尺度协变量没有强烈的响应。在树基面积较大的地点,纳苏亚(Nasua Nasua)较受欢迎,而尾龙(Cerdocyon)则避开这些地点。在远离道路的地方,与C. thous相比,Didelphis aurita更常见。所有物种,尤其是豹和纳苏亚豹,都倾向于使用保护区边界附近的区域。尽管物种多样性高,但低平均占用率表明限制了种群增长的障碍,一些物种受益于人为干扰,强调了热带生态系统中食肉动物角色的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
Forest fragmentation in the Brazilian Amazon: Trends and conservation strategies 巴西亚马逊森林破碎化:趋势和保护策略
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.04.001
Pedro Trejo , Claudia Azevedo-Ramos , Felipe Lenti
Tropical forests have experienced increasing fragmentation. The trajectory of forest fragmentation (sequence, permanence, and location) offers valuable insights for shaping environmental strategies. We examined fragmentation trends and metrics in the Brazilian Amazon over a 34-year period, encompassing its macroregions: Western (WA), Central (CA), and Eastern Amazon (EA). The findings reveal an ongoing fragmentation, characterized by an increase in fragment numbers (WA: +37%, from 49,871 to 68,067 fragments; CA: +82%, 72,463–132,051 fragments; EA: +178%, 164,249–456,399 fragments) and a reduction in mean fragment size (WA: −28%, from 2825.7–2036.8 ha; CA: −48%, 1747.4–905.4 ha; EA: −75%, 651.8–162.3 ha), particularly in the east. Transitions occurred across few forest classes, typically, from forest Core to connecting forest, and eventually to anthropogenic areas. The Core class's permanence was longest in WA (32 years), while anthropogenic areas had the highest permanence in EA (7.6 years) and the lowest in WA (<1 year). Intermediate fragmentation classes were more prevalent in EA, which also demonstrated higher entropy. CA requires immediate attention actions from decision-makers to prevent the intense fragmentation shown in EA. We suggested strategies to mitigate Amazon fragmentation, emphasizing integrated metrics and region-specific approaches for enhanced connectivity and reduced forest loss.
热带森林日益破碎化。森林破碎化的轨迹(序列、持久性和位置)为制定环境战略提供了有价值的见解。我们研究了34年来巴西亚马逊地区的碎片化趋势和指标,包括其宏观区域:西部(WA)、中部(CA)和东部亚马逊(EA)。研究结果显示了持续的碎片化,其特征是片段数量增加(WA: +37%,从49,871个片段增加到68,067个片段;CA: +82%, 72,463-132,051个片段;EA: +178%, 164,249-456,399个片段),平均片段大小减少(WA: - 28%,从2825.7-2036.8 ha;CA:−48%,1747.4-905.4 ha;EA:−75%,651.8-162.3 ha),特别是在东部。过渡发生在少数森林类别之间,通常是从森林核心到连接森林,并最终到人为区域。核心类在西澳的持续时间最长(32年),人为区在东澳的持续时间最长(7.6年),西澳的持续时间最短(1年)。中间碎片类在EA中更为普遍,也表现出更高的熵。CA需要决策者立即采取行动,以防止EA中显示的强烈碎片化。我们提出了减轻亚马逊碎片化的策略,强调综合指标和区域特定方法,以增强连通性和减少森林损失。
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引用次数: 0
Prioritizing fire management goals in a biodiversity hotspot 优先考虑生物多样性热点地区的火灾管理目标
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.03.005
Heitor C. Sousa , Guarino R. Colli , Adriana Malvasio
Understanding the priorities and motivations of key actors is essential to setting fire management goals toward sustainability and resilience in a changing world. To investigate how key actors in fire management, rural residents and environmental specialists, prioritize fire management goals and assess their attitudes regarding fire use, fire regime effects, and Integrated Fire Management (IFM) in the Brazilian Cerrado savannas, we used an Analytic Hierarchy Process framework and Bayesian multilevel models. We identified minor differences in prioritizing fire management goals between rural interviewees and environmental specialists. Both groups independently regarded (1) pest control and farming as the lowest priorities and (2) protecting water resources and biodiversity conservation as the most important compared to other fire management goals. Despite the similarities, participants with higher education prioritized conserving biodiversity and its traditional use while emphasizing the importance of controlled fire use. Most specialists approved the use of IFM in protected areas (91.84%) and private areas (79.59%). Specialists also suggested improvements to IFM regarding mobilization and education, laws and regulations, surveillance, fund-raising, and scientific research. Our findings show that we should expect minor tradeoffs between key actors and their fire management goals, revealing a fruitful path for implementing a large-scale IFM in Cerrado that is aligned with the needs of local communities and avoiding conflicts.
了解关键参与者的优先事项和动机对于在不断变化的世界中设定可持续和弹性的火灾管理目标至关重要。为了调查火灾管理的关键参与者、农村居民和环境专家如何优先考虑火灾管理目标,并评估他们对巴西塞拉多稀树草原火灾使用、火灾制度影响和综合火灾管理(IFM)的态度,我们使用了层次分析法框架和贝叶斯多层模型。我们确定了农村受访者和环境专家在优先考虑火灾管理目标方面的细微差异。两组人都独立地认为(1)害虫控制和农业是最不重要的,(2)与其他火灾管理目标相比,保护水资源和生物多样性是最重要的。尽管有相似之处,受过高等教育的参与者优先考虑保护生物多样性及其传统用途,同时强调控制使用火的重要性。大多数专家同意在保护区(91.84%)和私人地区(79.59%)使用IFM。专家们还建议国际货币基金组织在动员和教育、法律法规、监督、筹资和科学研究等方面进行改进。我们的研究结果表明,我们应该期待关键参与者及其火灾管理目标之间的微小权衡,为在塞拉多实施符合当地社区需求并避免冲突的大规模IFM提供了一条富有成效的道路。
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引用次数: 0
Landscape structure coupled to instream features shape freshwater biodiversity in Cerrado agricultural landscapes 景观结构与溪流特征的耦合塑造了塞拉多农业景观中的淡水生物多样性
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.03.002
Juliana Silveira dos Santos , Erica Hasui , Fabrício Barreto Teresa , João Carlos Nabout , Karine Borges Machado , Felipe Martello , Ludgero Cardoso Galli Vieira , Rosane Garcia Collevatti
Freshwater biodiversity is threatened at global scale, thus, understanding how it responds to anthropogenic interferences is critical, especially in regions where human disturbances have quickly altered natural ecosystems. Here, we address the effects of landscape structure in Brazilian Cerrado on freshwater community diversity of phytoplankton, periphyton, zooplankton and fish, and instream’s features (physicochemical and biological indicators of water quality, and water velocity), and the effects of instream’s features on freshwater community diversity. We analyzed the data at different spatial scales (50, 100, 150, and 200 m, and watershed level), using structural equation modeling. We found that percentage of native vegetation (%NV) at watershed level explained Cladocera’s abundance and Shannon-wiener with a negative relationship. Landscape compositional heterogeneity (SHDI) at 200 m explained Periphyton abundance with a positive relationship. %NV at 50 m explained dissolved oxygen with a positive relationship. Total coliforms explained Cladoceras’s abundance with a positive relationship. Conductivity explained Cladocera’s abundance and richness with a negative relationship. Our findings show that landscape changes are favoring some biological groups, which can lead to freshwater biotic homogenization. Thus, the unsustainable expansion of agriculture can compromise freshwater biodiversity and water quality in Cerrado.
淡水生物多样性在全球范围内受到威胁,因此,了解它如何对人为干扰作出反应至关重要,特别是在人类干扰迅速改变自然生态系统的地区。本文研究了巴西塞拉多地区景观结构对淡水浮游植物、周边植物、浮游动物和鱼类群落多样性的影响,以及河流特征(水质的理化和生物指标、流速)和河流特征对淡水群落多样性的影响。采用结构方程模型对不同空间尺度(50、100、150、200 m和流域)的数据进行分析。发现原生植被百分比(%NV)在流域水平上解释了Cladocera丰度与Shannon-wiener呈负相关关系。200 m的景观组成异质性(SHDI)与浮游植物丰度呈正相关。50 m处的%NV与溶解氧呈正相关。总大肠菌群与枝角龙的丰度呈正相关。电导率解释了枝角藻的丰度与丰富度呈负相关关系。我们的研究结果表明,景观变化有利于某些生物类群,这可能导致淡水生物同质化。因此,不可持续的农业扩张会损害塞拉多的淡水生物多样性和水质。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and biodiversity in Brazil: What we know, what we don’t, and Paris Agreement’s risk reduction potential 巴西的气候变化和生物多样性:我们知道什么,我们不知道什么,以及《巴黎协定》降低风险的潜力
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.03.004
Artur Malecha , Stella Manes , Mariana M. Vale
Over recent decades, Brazil has amassed a wealth of knowledge regarding the potential effects of climate change on its biodiversity. Studies have predicted mostly negative impacts and some positive ones, and it is time to synthesize this information. We did a systematic review of the literature and quantitative analysis, gathering 20,582 risk projections from 131 papers. We then estimated the effect size of the projected risks. We found that climate change impacts on biodiversity vary spatially. The Pantanal wetlands are predicted to experience the most significant negative impacts, followed by the Amazon and the Atlantic Forest, while the Pampa grasslands are expected to see lower impacts. Our analysis also reveals biases and knowledge gaps. For example, the shortage of studies on marine environments precluded their inclusion in the analysis, and there was a strong bias towards the Amazon and the Atlantic Forest, with a shortage of studies on the Pantanal and the Pampa. Moreover, there was a taxonomic bias towards plants and terrestrial vertebrates, which comprised >90% of the data. Finally, while adherence to the Paris Agreement is unlikely to eliminate climate change impacts on biodiversity, our analysis predicts that it could reduce these impacts by 20% and halve the number of species at risk of extinction from climate change in Brazil.
近几十年来,巴西积累了大量关于气候变化对其生物多样性潜在影响的知识。研究预测的影响大多是负面的,也有一些是积极的,是时候综合这些信息了。我们对文献进行了系统回顾和定量分析,从131篇论文中收集了20,582个风险预测。然后我们估计了预测风险的效应大小。研究发现,气候变化对生物多样性的影响存在空间差异。潘塔纳尔湿地预计将遭受最严重的负面影响,其次是亚马逊和大西洋森林,而潘帕草原预计会受到较小的影响。我们的分析也揭示了偏见和知识差距。例如,由于缺乏对海洋环境的研究,无法将其纳入分析,而且对亚马逊和大西洋森林有强烈的偏见,缺乏对潘塔纳尔河和潘帕草原的研究。此外,对植物和陆生脊椎动物的分类倾向占数据的90%。最后,虽然遵守《巴黎协定》不太可能消除气候变化对生物多样性的影响,但我们的分析预测,它可以将这些影响减少20%,并将巴西因气候变化而面临灭绝风险的物种数量减少一半。
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引用次数: 0
Conceptual system maps to guide research and management of multiple ecosystem services and disservices 概念系统图用于指导多种生态系统服务和危害的研究和管理
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.04.004
Pablo García-Díaz , Yohana G. Jimenez , Carlos Molineri , María G. Quintana , Ezequiel Aráoz , Agustina Malizia , Oriana Osinaga Acosta , Priscila A. Powell , Cecilia Blundo , Sergio J. Ceballos , Ana D. Fuenzalida , M. de Lourdes Gultemirian , Guillermo Hankel , Giselle A. Rodríguez , Sebastián Albanesi , Ignacio Gasparri , Alfredo Grau , Miguel Lurgi , Julieta Carilla
Integrated assessments of multiple natural capital and ecosystem services and disservices (ESD) are needed to guide research and management in South America. Unfortunately, a poor understanding of the drivers of ESD and a scarcity of data undermine these efforts. Here, we combine expert knowledge and network analyses to create conceptual system maps to support the research and management of multiple ESD. Using the example of the Lules River watershed (northwestern Argentina), we integrated the biotic, abiotic, socio-economic, and policy drivers of five ESD selected due to their relevance to human well-being and biodiversity conservation in the area: (i) aboveground carbon stock; (ii) water quality; (iii) water quantity; (iv) dengue transmission; and (v) leishmaniasis transmission. Through facilitated activities, we encoded expert knowledge into networks representing drivers and causal interactions between those drivers. We recorded 43 drivers, of which 18 were identified as key drivers based on network metrics. The majority of key drivers were abiotic and socio-economic drivers (38.9% and 33.3% of 18, respectively), and we found potential information sources for all of these key drivers. Conceptual system maps provided significant benefits for guiding ESD research and ecosystem-based management. First, they formalised our current understanding of the system and provided a model that can be updated with new information. Second, they can be analysed through established network metrics to uncover relationships critical to effective system-level management and identify key drivers for data-gathering efforts. These maps offer a rapid and interdisciplinary tool to overcome existing barriers to integrated assessments in data-poor areas and are a powerful method to support system-based approaches to environmental management.
需要对多种自然资本和生态系统服务与危害(ESD)进行综合评估,以指导南美洲的研究和管理。不幸的是,对ESD驱动因素的理解不足和数据的缺乏破坏了这些努力。在这里,我们结合专家知识和网络分析来创建概念系统图,以支持多个ESD的研究和管理。以Lules河流域(阿根廷西北部)为例,我们综合了五个可持续发展生态系统的生物、非生物、社会经济和政策驱动因素,因为它们与该地区的人类福祉和生物多样性保护相关:(i)地上碳储量;(ii)水质;(三)水量;登革热传播;(五)利什曼病传播。通过促进活动,我们将专业知识编码为代表驱动因素和这些驱动因素之间因果关系的网络。我们记录了43个驱动因素,其中18个被确定为基于网络指标的关键驱动因素。大多数关键驱动因素是非生物和社会经济驱动因素(分别为38.9%和33.3%),我们发现了所有这些关键驱动因素的潜在信息源。概念系统图为指导ESD研究和基于生态系统的管理提供了显著的好处。首先,他们形式化了我们目前对系统的理解,并提供了一个可以用新信息更新的模型。其次,它们可以通过已建立的网络指标进行分析,以揭示对有效的系统级管理至关重要的关系,并确定数据收集工作的关键驱动因素。这些地图提供了一种快速和跨学科的工具,以克服在数据贫乏地区进行综合评估的现有障碍,并且是支持基于系统的环境管理方法的有力方法。
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引用次数: 0
The comeback of a top predator and its effects on a population of feral horses 顶级掠食者的回归及其对野马种群的影响
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.05.001
Franco Bostal, Alberto L. Scorolli, Sergio M. Zalba
The absence of top predators can lead to significant ecological consequences, especially in association with changes in bottom-up ecosystem regulation. In the context of biological invasions, the enemy release hypothesis explains how invasive alien species can reach high densities in the absence of natural antagonists, often leading to negative effects on biodiversity and ecosystem services. Feral equids frequently reach problematic densities in natural environments, where their management faces operational and communication challenges. In this study, we evaluated the impact of puma (Puma concolor) presence on the demography of a feral horse (Equus caballus) population in an Argentinian grassland nature reserve. We compared periods with (2023–2024) and without predation (1995–2002). Foal survival was significantly lower in 2023–2024, while adult survival increased compared to 1995–2002. These changes, coupled with direct evidence of puma predation on young horse carcasses, suggest that pumas are affecting population growth rates by reducing recruitment, and may limit population size. Concomitantly, mean female body condition improved in 2023–2024, suggesting that the loss of foals to predation may reduce lactation-related energy costs. These findings suggest that pumas could play an important role in the dynamics of feral horse populations, marking the first documented case of such a regulation in South America. Incorporating predator activity into management strategies could reduce the need for direct interventions, offering a more sustainable approach to controlling the ecological impacts of feral horse populations.
顶级捕食者的缺失可能导致重大的生态后果,特别是与自下而上的生态系统调节的变化有关。在生物入侵的背景下,敌人释放假说解释了外来入侵物种如何在没有天然拮抗剂的情况下达到高密度,往往导致对生物多样性和生态系统服务的负面影响。野生马科动物在自然环境中经常达到有问题的密度,它们的管理面临着操作和沟通方面的挑战。在这项研究中,我们评估了美洲狮(puma concolor)的存在对阿根廷草原自然保护区野马(Equus caballus)种群的人口统计学影响。我们比较了有(2023-2024)和没有捕食(1995-2002)的时期。2023-2024年马驹存活率显著降低,而成年马驹存活率较1995-2002年有所增加。这些变化,再加上美洲狮捕食幼马尸体的直接证据,表明美洲狮通过减少招募来影响种群增长率,并可能限制种群规模。与此同时,2023-2024年雌马的平均身体状况有所改善,这表明因捕食而失去马驹可能会降低与哺乳相关的能量消耗。这些发现表明,美洲狮可能在野马种群的动态中发挥重要作用,这是南美洲首次记录在案的此类监管案例。将捕食者活动纳入管理策略可以减少对直接干预的需求,为控制野马种群的生态影响提供更可持续的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Filling knowledge gaps: A methodological approach for the rapid investigation of species with restricted populations 填补知识空白:限制种群物种快速调查的方法学方法
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.04.003
André Cesar Furlaneto Sampaio , Pablo Melo Hoffmann , Elivelton Marcos Gurski , Ollyver Rech Bizarro , Santiago José Elías Velazco , Marcos Bergmann Carlucci , Marília Borgo , Mayara Monteiro Ferreira , Alessandro Camargo Angelo , Christopher Thomas Blum
Gaps in geographic, genetic, and ecological data persist for many plant species, particularly those with restricted populations that are often rare and endangered. This lack of data hampers conservation efforts, especially in regions facing rapid habitat degradation and limited research investment. Additionally, technological, methodological, financial, and governmental challenges further hinder data collection. To address this issue, we developed the Multi-Scale Habitat and Population Rapid Assessment (MHPR) methodology, integrating widely tested, low-cost, and rapid-application technologies to assess distribution, demography, and population decline risks in species with restricted populations. We applied this approach to Butia pubispatha, a critically endangered dwarf palm endemic to the southern Brazilian grasslands, known from a single recorded population. In the first phase, we used Landsat satellite imagery and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to analyze habitat degradation between 2013 and 2021. Using landscape ecology principles, we identified the focal habitat patch with the highest potential to support the species. In the second phase, we conducted systematic transects and distance sampling within this area, mapping the population and identifying less degraded sectors. The highest-density sector was censused. In the third phase, we analyzed spatial patterns using Morisita’s Index and Ripley’s K function. Our method proved highly effective and replicable. NDVI successfully detected habitat changes over time, revealing an 86.7% reduction in the focal habitat patch from 2013 to 2021, underscoring the species’ critical threat due to habitat degradation. We recorded 1,615 individuals, with an estimated density of 81.2 in/ha and a dispersal range of 145 m. A second population was identified in this study. Our findings provide key insights for phenological studies, seedling production, genetic research, and public policies aimed at establishing protected areas and translocating individuals for the conservation of Butia pubispatha.
许多植物物种在地理、遗传和生态数据方面仍然存在差距,特别是那些通常稀有和濒危的有限种群。这种数据的缺乏阻碍了保护工作,特别是在面临栖息地迅速退化和研究投资有限的地区。此外,技术、方法、财政和政府方面的挑战进一步阻碍了数据收集。为了解决这一问题,我们开发了多尺度生境和种群快速评估(MHPR)方法,该方法整合了广泛测试、低成本和快速应用的技术,以评估种群限制物种的分布、人口和种群下降风险。我们将这种方法应用于Butia pubispatha,这是一种巴西南部草原特有的极度濒危的矮棕榈,从一个单一的记录种群中已知。在第一阶段,我们利用Landsat卫星图像和归一化植被指数(NDVI)分析了2013 - 2021年的栖息地退化情况。利用景观生态学原理,我们确定了具有最高支持潜力的焦点生境斑块。在第二阶段,我们在该区域内进行了系统的样带和距离采样,绘制了种群图并确定了退化程度较低的区域。对人口密度最高的部门进行了普查。在第三阶段,我们利用Morisita指数和Ripley的K函数分析空间格局。我们的方法被证明是非常有效和可复制的。NDVI成功地检测到栖息地随时间的变化,显示2013年至2021年焦点栖息地斑块减少了86.7%,突显了该物种因栖息地退化而面临的严重威胁。共录得种群1615只,种群密度81.2 in/ha,分布范围145 m。在这项研究中发现了第二种人群。本研究结果为植物物候学研究、苗木生产、遗传研究以及建立保护区和转移个体保护的公共政策提供了重要的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial networks reveal how forest cover decreases the spread of agricultural pests 空间网络揭示了森林覆盖如何减少农业害虫的传播
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.03.006
Débora C. Rother , Leandro G. Cosmo , Julia Tavella , Fredric M. Windsor , Mariano Devoto , Darren M. Evans , Paulo R. Guimarães Jr.
Landscape homogenization, caused by monocultures, can provide optimal conditions for the spread of crop pests. Increasing habitat heterogeneity and complexity within landscapes could slow pest spread. A next step in understanding the role of habitat heterogeneity in affecting pest spread is to understand how landscape features directly and indirectly affect spatial infestation patterns. We developed a spatial network approach to explore how landscape complexity, generated by forest patch cover, affects the pest spread in agricultural landscapes. As a studied system, we used information on the spatial distribution of traps and dispersal distance of the sugarcane borer Diatraea saccharalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) from a sugarcane agro-ecosystem in Brazil. Network analysis reveals that modeling pest spread was an outcome of both direct and indirect pathways connecting sugarcane fields. Therefore, using only information about the direct and indirect pathways of the spatial network and the initial focus of infestation, we were able to predict with nearly 80% accuracy the most susceptible sites to pest spread in the simulated landscape. By adjusting parameters such as pest mobility, and interaction with landscape features, our model can simulate different agricultural systems and pest behaviors, showing that forest cover can be used to control pest occurrence and that direct and indirect pathways in spatial networks can be used as a predictive tool to manage the pest spread in agricultural landscapes.
单一栽培造成的景观同质化为作物害虫的传播提供了最优条件。增加生境的异质性和景观的复杂性可以减缓害虫的传播。了解生境异质性在影响害虫传播中的作用的下一步是了解景观特征如何直接和间接影响空间侵染模式。我们开发了一个空间网络方法来探索由森林斑块覆盖产生的景观复杂性如何影响害虫在农业景观中的传播。以巴西甘蔗农业生态系统为研究对象,利用甘蔗螟虫(鳞翅目:革蛾科)诱捕器的空间分布和传播距离信息。网络分析表明,模拟害虫传播是甘蔗田直接和间接途径连接的结果。因此,仅使用空间网络的直接和间接路径以及侵染的初始焦点信息,我们就能够以接近80%的准确率预测模拟景观中最容易发生害虫传播的地点。通过调整病虫害迁移和与景观特征的相互作用等参数,该模型可以模拟不同的农业系统和病虫害行为,表明森林覆盖可以控制病虫害的发生,空间网络中的直接和间接路径可以作为预测工具来管理病虫害在农业景观中的传播。
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引用次数: 0
Green royalties: Keeping offshore Amazon free of oil 绿色特许权使用费:让亚马逊近海地区远离石油
IF 4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pecon.2025.03.003
André L. Guimarães , Álvaro M. Batista , Yuri Telles , Anna C.F. Aguiar , Fabio R. Scarano , Paulo Moutinho
While the world urgently hopes to reduce GHG emissions from fossil fuels and deforestation, the Brazilian Amazon offshore potentially becomes a new frontier for oil companies. The expected impact of oil royalties on the regional GDP is a political driving force pro-exploration. We advocate that the Brazilian Amazon offshore must remain oil exploration-free and that the country could give up its sovereign right to explore oil locally while replacing oil royalties with "green royalties". Therefore, we propose that the region could benefit from creating a trust fund covering the same amount of royalties that the area would receive from the country's decision not to allow oil exploration in the region.
当世界迫切希望减少化石燃料和森林砍伐造成的温室气体排放时,巴西亚马逊近海可能成为石油公司的新前沿。石油特许权使用费对地区GDP的预期影响是支持勘探的政治驱动力。我们主张,巴西亚马逊近海必须保持无石油勘探,该国可以放弃在当地勘探石油的主权权利,同时用“绿色特许权使用费”取代石油特许权使用费。因此,我们建议,该地区可以从建立一个信托基金中受益,该基金将涵盖该地区从该国不允许在该地区进行石油勘探的决定中获得的相同数量的特许权使用费。
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Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation
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