This study examines how people with disabilities and chronic health conditions-members of a large and diverse group often overlooked by Canadian public policy-are making sense of the Canadian federal government's response to COVID-19. Using original national online survey data collected in June 2020 (N = 1,027), we investigate how members of this group view the government's overall response. Although survey results show broad support for the federal government's pandemic response, findings also indicate fractures based on disability type and specific health condition, political partisanship, region, and experiences with COVID-19. Among these, identification with the Liberal party and receipt of CERB stand out as associated with more positive views. Further examination of qualitative responses shows that these views are also linked to differing perspectives surrounding government benefits and spending, partisan divisions, and other social and cultural cleavages.
To prevent exponential spread of COVID-19, many governments restricted economic activity through lockdowns. We model these restrictions as shocks to productivity by sector and trace total equilibrium effects across the economy using techniques from production network economics. We combine this economic model with an epidemiological model of income shocks to long-term health. On both long-run health and economic grounds, it is better to keep upstream sectors such as transportation, manufacturing, and wholesale open than consumer-facing sectors such as retail and restaurants.
Poor labour market conditions at the start of a worker's career can result in earnings losses for many years. The 2021 cohort of Canadian high school and post-secondary students have seen employment prospects diminish amid economic lockdowns to contain the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The goal of this article is to predict earnings losses for this cohort. We use Census of Population data to show that a 1 percent increase in unemployment at the time of graduation leads to a 1.5-4 percent average decrease in earnings. Then, using unemployment rate forecasts from various sources, we predict how this year's graduating class is expected to fare. Our approach assumes previous recessions are informative about the effects of the current recession. We estimate that a typical 2021 graduate loses 5-12 percent of the amount they would have earned over the first few years if the pandemic had not occurred.
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