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Sensitivity of Statistical Models for Extremes Rainfall Adjustment Regarding Data Size: Case of Ivory Coast 极端降水调整统计模型对数据量的敏感性:以象牙海岸为例
Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.138035
Relwindé Abdoul-Karim Nassa, A. M. Kouassi, Makouin Louise Toure
The objective of this study is to analyze the sensitivity of the statistical models regarding the size of samples. The study carried out in Ivory Coast is based on annual maximum daily rainfall data collected from 26 stations. The methodological approach is based on the statistical modeling of maximum daily rainfall. Adjustments were made on several sample sizes and several return periods (2, 5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 years). The main results have shown that the 30 years series (1931-1960; 1961-1990; 1991-2020) are better adjusted by the Gumbel (26.92% - 53.85%) and Inverse Gamma (26.92% - 46.15%). Concerning the 60-years series (1931-1990; 1961-2020), they are better adjusted by the Inverse Gamma (30.77%), Gamma (15.38% - 46.15%) and Gumbel (15.38% - 42.31%). The full chronicle 1931-2020 (90 years) presents a notable supremacy of 50% of Gumbel model over the Gamma (34.62%) and Gamma Inverse (15.38%) model. It is noted that the Gumbel is the most dominant model overall and more particularly in wet periods. The data for periods with normal and dry trends were better fitted by Gamma and Inverse Gamma.
本研究的目的是分析统计模型对样本大小的敏感性。在科特迪瓦进行的这项研究基于从26个站点收集的年最大日降雨量数据。方法方法是基于最大日降雨量的统计模型。对若干样本量和若干回复期(2、5、10、20、50和100年)进行了调整。主要结果表明:30年序列(1931-1960;1961 - 1990;Gumbel(26.92% ~ 53.85%)和Inverse Gamma(26.92% ~ 46.15%)的校正效果较好。关于60年系列(1931-1990);逆伽玛(30.77%)、伽玛(15.38% ~ 46.15%)和Gumbel(15.38% ~ 42.31%)对它们的调节效果较好。1931-2020年(90年)的完整编年史显示,Gumbel模型的优势明显高于Gamma模型(34.62%)和Gamma逆模型(15.38%)。值得注意的是,Gumbel模式总体上是最主要的模式,特别是在潮湿时期。正常趋势期和干燥趋势期的数据用Gamma和逆Gamma拟合得较好。
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引用次数: 1
The Industrial Production of Water Dedicated to Absorption of Gases 用于吸收气体的水的工业生产
Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.138034
Ihar Yelkin, Edward Reszke, Grzegorz Binkiewicz, G. Schroeder
The paper presents a flow plasma reactor permitting modification of the properties of water/aqueous solutions by stochastic resonance amplification of vibrations of selected chemical species in water with electromagnetic noise generated during a plasma discharge. The main parameters characterizing the quality for super-pure water, tap water and water from the intake in Besko (Poland) before and after the process in the plasma reactor were presented for comparison. In addition, the 17O NMR (the full width at half maximum) and electrospray ionization mass spectrometry (ESI MS) methods were used to determine differences in physicochemical parameters between the untreated and plasma-treated water. It has been established that the water subjected to plasma treatment shows much different gas absorption properties than the untreated water samples, as a function of temperature and pressure, in this paper we report exemplary data for CO2, oxygen and acetylene. The improved gas absorption properties of the plasma-treated water make it attractive for the use in industrial processes. It is worth pointing to a great capacity of the new reactor (4000 l/h), and low energy consumption (20 MJ/h) for the treatment of the above mentioned volume flow rate of water.
本文提出了一种流动等离子体反应器,通过随机共振放大等离子体放电时产生的电磁噪声对水中选定化学物质的振动,可以改变水/水溶液的性质。介绍了等离子体反应器处理前后超纯水、自来水和波兰贝斯科(Besko)取水水质的主要参数,并进行了比较。此外,采用17O NMR(全宽半最大值)和电喷雾电离质谱(ESI MS)方法测定了未经处理和等离子体处理的水在物理化学参数上的差异。经等离子体处理的水与未经处理的水样相比,其气体吸收特性随温度和压力的变化有很大的不同,本文报告了CO2、氧气和乙炔的示例性数据。等离子体处理后的水的气体吸收性能得到改善,这使得它在工业过程中具有吸引力。值得指出的是,新反应器处理上述体积流量的水量大(4000 l/h),能耗低(20 MJ/h)。
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引用次数: 1
Effects of Urban Metabolism on the Well Water Quality in Cotonou (Benin) and Lomé (Togo) 城市代谢对科托努(贝宁)和洛美(多哥)井水水质的影响
Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.138030
Henri S. Totin Vodounon, K. Z. Houédakor, E. Amoussou, Adrien C. Dossou-Yovo
Urban metabolism, a process of material, energy and water flows, consumption or transformation in the cities and outflows of wastes, has impacts on the shallow groundwater. This study addressed the relationship between the urban metabolic system and well water physicochemical and bacteriological quality in the coastal cities of Cotonou and Lome. A participatory transdisciplinary approach, involving non-academics and academics stakeholders was used to analyse urban inflows and outflows related to groundwater quality. Standard methods were used to measure well water quality from 100 seasonal samples. Waste management revealed poor sanitation and hence a linear urban metabolism with no solid and liquid wastes and excreta recycling. This form of city metabolism reinforced by the seawater inflow is the main source of groundwater quality deterioration in Cotonou and Lome. The principal water types Ca2+–Mg2+–Cl-– SO2-4 (48.21%), Na+–K+–Cl-–SO2-4 (65.9%) and the Gibbs diagram suggested water-rock interactions and dominance of cations exchange on the hydrogeological compositions, also seasonally controlled by saltwater intrusion or anthropogenic salinization. The water quality index on the range of 35.90 to 169.60 in Cotonou and 82.94 to 364.68 in Lome indicated well water very poor quality to unsuitable for drinking. Moreover, the bacteriological quality was bad due to total coliforms (112 - 1812; 1 - 1000 UFC/100 mL respectively in Cotonou and Lome), Escherichia coli (40 - 780; 1 - 112 UFC/100 mL), faecal enterococci/streptococcus (18 - 736; 1 - 118 UFC/100 mL). The findings could help to sustain groundwater quality by controlling the pollution sources linked to urban metabolism.
城市代谢是物质、能源和水在城市中流动、消耗或转化以及废物流出的过程,对浅层地下水有影响。本研究探讨了沿海城市科托努和洛美的城市代谢系统与井水理化和细菌质量之间的关系。采用非学术界和学术界利益攸关方参与的跨学科方法来分析与地下水质量有关的城市流入和流出。采用标准方法测量了100个季节性样本的井水水质。废物管理显示卫生条件差,因此城市新陈代谢呈线性,没有固体和液体废物以及排泄物回收。这种由海水流入加强的城市新陈代谢形式是科托努和洛美地下水质量恶化的主要来源。主要水类型Ca2+–Mg2+–Cl-–SO2-4(48.21%)、Na+–K+–Cl-—SO2-4(65.9%)和吉布斯图表明,水-岩相互作用和阳离子交换对水文地质组成的主导作用,也受盐水入侵或人为盐碱化的季节性控制。科托努的水质指数在35.90至169.60之间,洛美的水质指数为82.94至364.68之间,表明井水水质极差,不适合饮用。此外,由于总大肠菌群(112-1812;科托努和洛美分别为1-1000 UFC/100 mL)、大肠杆菌(40-780;1-112 UFC/100 mL)、粪肠球菌/链球菌(18-736;1-118 UFC/100毫升),细菌质量较差。这些发现可以通过控制与城市新陈代谢相关的污染源来帮助维持地下水质量。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of Impending Drought Scenarios Based on Surface and Subsurface Parameters in a Selected Region of Tropical Queensland, Australia 基于地表和地下参数的澳大利亚昆士兰热带地区即将来临的干旱情景预测
Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.138033
B. Datta, D. Roy, J. Kelley, B. Stevens
Droughts occur in all climatic regions around the world costing a large expense to global economies. Reasonably accurate prediction of drought events helps water managers proper planning for utilization of limited water resources and distribution of available waters to different sectors and avoid catastrophic consequences. Therefore, a means to create a simplistic approach for forecasting drought conditions with easily accessible parameters is highly desirable. This study proposes and evaluates newly developed accurate prediction models utilizing various hydrologic, meteorological, and geohydrology parameters along with the use of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models with various forecast lead times. The present study develops a multitude of forecasting models to predict drought indices such as the Standard Precipitation Index with a lead-time of up to 6 months, and the Soil Moisture Index with a lead-time of 3 months. Furthermore, prediction models with the capability of approximating surface and groundwater storage levels including the Ross River Dam level have been developed with relatively high accuracy with a lead-time of 3 months. The results obtained from these models were compared to current values, revealing that ANN based approach can be used as a simple and effective predictive model that can be utilized for prediction of different aspects of drought scenarios in a typical study area like Townsville, North Queensland, Australia which had suffered severe recent drought conditions for almost six recent years (2014 to early 2019).
干旱发生在世界各地的气候区域,给全球经济造成了巨大损失。对干旱事件的合理准确预测有助于水资源管理者正确规划有限水资源的利用和向不同部门分配可用水,避免灾难性后果。因此,创建一种简单的方法来预测干旱条件,并使用易于获取的参数是非常可取的。本研究提出并评估了新开发的准确预测模型,该模型利用了各种水文、气象和地质水文参数,并使用了具有各种预测提前期的人工神经网络(ANN)模型。本研究开发了多种预测模型来预测干旱指数,如提前6个月的标准降水指数和提前3个月的土壤湿度指数。此外,已经开发了具有近似地表和地下水蓄水位(包括罗斯河大坝水位)能力的预测模型,预测精度相对较高,提前时间为3个月。将从这些模型中获得的结果与当前值进行了比较,表明基于人工神经网络的方法可以作为一种简单有效的预测模型,用于预测典型研究地区的干旱情景的不同方面,如北昆士兰的汤斯维尔,澳大利亚最近近六年(2014年至2019年初)遭受了严重的干旱。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying Nonpoint Sources of Phosphorus and Nitrogen: A Case Study of Pollution That Enters a Freshwater Wetland (Laguna Cartagena, Puerto Rico) 识别磷和氮的非点源:进入淡水湿地的污染案例研究(波多黎各拉古纳卡塔赫纳)
Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.138032
Yashira Marie Sánchez-Colón, F. Schaffner
Point and nonpoint sources of phosphorus (P) and nitrogen (N) can cause reductions in water quality, including eutrophication. Nonpoint pollution represents a special challenge because of dispersed not easily identifiable sources such as the runoff from soil, nutrients, and other chemicals from agricultural fields and residential areas. Laguna Cartagena is a tropical freshwater wetland, situated in southwestern Puerto Rico. It is a eutrophic ecosystem, and its eutrophication is caused by both external nutrient loading and internal, mainly by phosphorus. This wetland has been affected by phosphorus loading from inorganic agricultural fertilizer in this historically oligotrophic wetland system until the end of subsidized fertilizer use and sugar cane cultivation in the late 1990s. This study identifies: 1) nonpoint sources of phosphorus (SRP, Soluble Reactive Phosphorus and TP, Total Phosphorus) and nitrogen (nitrate, nitrite, and ammonia) that enter Laguna Cartagena; and 2) the role of precipitation events on the contributions of phosphorus and nitrogen loading to ecosystems. Herein we assess water samples from five channelized external sources of P and N that enter Laguna Cartagena at two-week intervals from October 2013 through November 2014. Rainfall data were obtained weekly from a rain gauge. Standard methods were used for all chemical analyses. Results showed that the channelized waterways that carry water to the lagoon can be classified as hypereutrophic (>100 μg/L) for TP concentrations and oligotrophic (<200 μg/L) for nitrogen concentrations. Currently agriculture (rice and cattle) is the predominant land use at the nearby University of Puerto Rico (UPR) Lajas Agricultural Experiment Substation, the predominant nonpoint source of nutrient pollution (SRP, TP and ammonia) in the principal channelized water sources to the lagoon. Current nutrient loads are likely derived from fertilizers applied to the Substation’s rice fields, and a high density livestock. The second important cause of external surface water degradation (SRP, TP and ammonia) is the discharge from rural households in the drainage basin that discharge greywater directly to the environment, as indicated by the results from Cerro Alto hills immediately to the north of the lagoon. Precipitation also was associated with SRP, TP and ammonia loads.
磷(P)和氮(N)的点源和非点源会导致水质下降,包括富营养化。非点污染是一个特殊的挑战,因为来源分散,不易识别,如土壤径流、农田和居民区的营养物质和其他化学物质。卡塔赫纳湖是一个热带淡水湿地,位于波多黎各西南部。它是一个富营养化生态系统,其富营养化是由外部营养负荷和内部营养负荷引起的,主要是由磷引起的。该湿地一直受到历史上贫营养湿地系统中无机农业肥料的磷负荷的影响,直到20世纪90年代末补贴化肥使用和甘蔗种植结束。本研究确定:1)进入卡塔赫纳拉古纳的磷(SRP、可溶性活性磷和TP、总磷)和氮(硝酸盐、亚硝酸盐和氨)的非点源;以及2)降水事件对磷和氮负荷对生态系统的贡献的作用。在此,我们评估了从2013年10月至2014年11月每隔两周进入卡塔赫纳拉古纳的五个P和N通道化外部来源的水样。每周从雨量计上获取降雨量数据。所有化学分析均采用标准方法。结果表明,向泻湖输水的渠化水道在TP浓度方面可分为超富营养水道(>100μg/L),在氮浓度方面则可分为贫营养水道(<200μg/L)。目前,农业(水稻和牛)是附近波多黎各大学(UPR)拉哈斯农业实验变电站的主要土地利用,也是通往泻湖的主要渠化水源中营养污染(SRP、TP和氨)的主要非点源。目前的营养负荷可能来自变电站稻田施用的化肥和高密度牲畜。外部地表水退化的第二个重要原因(SRP、TP和氨)是流域中农村家庭的排放,这些家庭将灰水直接排放到环境中,正如泻湖北部Cerro Alto丘陵的结果所示。降水量也与SRP、TP和氨负荷有关。
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引用次数: 7
Compatibility of Drought Magnitude Based Method With Spa for Assessing Reservoir Volumes: Analysis Using Canadian River Flows 基于干旱程度的Spa方法与水库容量评估的兼容性:基于加拿大河流流量的分析
Pub Date : 2021-07-13 DOI: 10.20944/PREPRINTS202107.0301.V1
T. Sharma, U. Panu
The traditional sequent peak algorithm (SPA) was used to assess the reservoir volume (VR) for comparison with deficit volume, DT, (subscript T representing the return period) obtained from the drought magnitude (DM) based method with draft level set at the mean annual flow on 15 rivers across Canada. At an annual scale, the SPA based estimates were found to be larger with an average of nearly 70% compared to DM based estimates. To ramp up DM based estimates to be in parity with SPA based values, the analysis was carried out through the counting and the analytical procedures involving only the annual SHI (standardized hydrological index, i.e. standardized values of annual flows) sequences. It was found that MA2 or MA3 (moving average of 2 or 3 consecutive values) of SHI sequences were required to match the counted values of DT to VR. Further, the inclusion of mean, as well as the variance of the drought intensity in the analytical procedure, with aforesaid smoothing led DT comparable to VR. The distinctive point in the DM based method is that no assumption is necessary such as the reservoir being full at the beginning of the analysis - as is the case with SPA.
采用传统的序峰算法(SPA)对水库容积(VR)进行评估,并与基于干旱程度(DM)的方法获得的赤字容积DT(下标T表示回归期)进行比较,该方法以加拿大15条河流的年平均流量为水位设置。在年尺度上,发现基于SPA的估计值比基于DM的估计值平均大近70%。为了使基于DM的估计值与基于SPA的估计值相等,通过仅涉及年度SHI(标准化水文指数,即年流量的标准化值)序列的计数和分析程序进行了分析。发现SHI序列的MA2或MA3(连续2或3个值的移动平均值)需要将DT的计数值与VR匹配。此外,在分析过程中纳入了干旱强度的平均值和方差,并进行了上述平滑处理,导致DT与VR相当。基于DM的方法的独特之处在于,在分析开始时不需要假设储层是满的——就像SPA的情况一样。
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引用次数: 1
Removal of Copper from Acid Mine Drainage (AMD) or Acid Rock Drainage (ARD) 从酸性矿山排水(AMD)或酸性岩石排水(ARD)中去除铜
Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.137026
Agabu Shane, Xinyang Xu, J. Siame, Alick Nguvulu, Tewodros M. Tena, Musango Lungu, Sydney Chinyanta, Jackson Kawala, Victor Mwango Bowa, Brian Chirambo
Acid mine drainage is wastewater from a mine having a low pH and an elevated level of dissolved heavy metals. These metals are harmful to aquatic, animal and human life. This paper looks at the removal of copper from acid mine drainage using ion exchange to less than 1 mg/l. A weak acidic cation resin was used. Spectrophotometric determination of copper with sodium diethyldithiocarbamate was used to determine the copper concentrations in the treated water. Using regression analysis, the experimental results gave a correlation coefficient of 0.977 and a coefficient of determination of 99.5%. Results indicated that the higher the flows rate the shorter the period after which the copper concentration in the treated water reaches 1 mg/l. At pH 3.85 and 5.09, the resin performed better and at pH above 6.62 and between pH 3.0 and below the resin’s does not perform well. The higher the resin height the greater is the resin exchange capacity and the longer it takes for the copper concentration to reach 1 mg/l in the treated water. The higher the wastewater copper concentration the shorter the time it takes the resin to reach 1 mg/l. The results for this experiment indicated that acid mine drainage can be treated well by ion exchange resins, but it is also very important to establish suitable operating conditions.
酸性矿山排水是来自矿山的具有低pH值和高溶解重金属水平的废水。这些金属对水生生物、动物和人类生命有害。本文研究了使用离子交换将酸性矿井排水中的铜去除至小于1mg/l。使用弱酸性阳离子树脂。用二乙基二硫代氨基甲酸钠分光光度法测定处理水中的铜浓度。通过回归分析,实验结果的相关系数为0.977,测定系数为99.5%。结果表明,流速越高,处理水中铜浓度达到1mg/l的时间越短。在pH 3.85和5.09下,树脂表现更好,在pH 6.62以上和pH 3.0及以下时,树脂表现不佳。树脂高度越高,树脂交换能力就越大,处理水中铜浓度达到1mg/l所需的时间就越长。废水铜浓度越高,树脂达到1mg/l所需的时间就越短。实验结果表明,离子交换树脂可以很好地处理酸性矿井排水,但建立合适的操作条件也很重要。
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引用次数: 1
Evaluation of Transboundary Water Resource Development in Mekong River Basin: The Application of Analytic Hierarchy Process in the Context of Water Cooperation 湄公河流域跨界水资源开发评价:层次分析法在水资源合作背景下的应用
Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.137029
Nguyen Thi Phuong Lan
Mekong River is one of the major international freshwater sources in the world. The Lower Mekong Basin (LMB) comprised of four downstream countries, including Thailand, Lao PDR, Cambodia, and Vietnam. The utilization of the basin’s water brings not only substantial benefits to the region ranging from hydropower to navigation, but also negative impacts caused by the unbalanced water using. The essential role of Mekong River requires all member nations to cooperate effectively for the sustainable development of the region. One of the most popular methods in the field of water resource management is a trustable tool called the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). AHP is much appropriate for water resource policymaking. The literature, however, points out that there is no study to both structure the water using hierarchy and employ quantitative (objective) criteria to the AHP model in LMB case. With regard to water resource management, there are no previous studies applying AHP models to evaluating sustainable development of transboundary water resource in LMB case. This paper explores the evolution of water cooperation among Mekong countries and subsequently evaluates the water development scenarios in the LMB based on the water cooperation preferences of four LMB countries This study proposes a novel approach to analyzing, assessing water resource development scenarios characterized by sustainability indicators and to assisting in developing a suitable water policy in LMB according to the best cooperation scenario.
湄公河是世界上主要的国际淡水资源之一。湄公河下游流域由四个下游国家组成,包括泰国、老挝、柬埔寨和越南。流域水资源的利用不仅给该地区带来了从水电到航运的巨大利益,而且也带来了用水不平衡带来的负面影响。湄公河的重要作用要求所有成员国为该地区的可持续发展进行有效合作。水资源管理领域最流行的方法之一是一种可靠的工具,称为层次分析法(AHP)。AHP非常适合水资源决策。然而,文献指出,在LMB的情况下,还没有对用水层次结构和AHP模型采用定量(客观)标准进行研究。关于水资源管理,以前没有研究将AHP模型应用于LMB案例中跨界水资源可持续发展的评估。本文探讨了湄公河国家间水合作的演变,并随后基于四个湄公河流域国家的水合作偏好评估了湄公河流域的水开发情景。本研究提出了一种新的分析方法,评估以可持续性指标为特征的水资源开发情景,并根据最佳合作情景协助LMB制定适当的水政策。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Hydraulic Parameters and Protection Zones of Catchment Aquifers for Water Supply Network in Ndé Division, West-Cameroon (Central Africa) 喀麦隆西部(中非)NdéDivision供水网络的水力参数和集水区含水层保护区评估
Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.137028
Roger Feumba, Kemgang Dongmo Tchouta, Jean Ghislain Tabué Youmbi, V.Y.E Mvondo, Depesquidoux I. Tchaptchet Tchato, B. N. Ngatcha
Nde Division in West-Cameroon is facing with water supply although many attempts of restoring existing SCANWATER facilities by Bangangte Municipality. In order to address the issue, we assess the exploitable pumping flow rate of catchment aquifers and its hydraulic properties by using Jacob and Theis method, and define protection zones with Hoffman and Lillich method. It emerges that the hydraulic conductivity of aquifer is in the order of 10-4 m/sec, transmissivity varies from 10-4 to 10-6 m2/sec. Aquifer pumping flow rate (Q) varies between 1.5 and 10.5 m3/h. In volcanic rocks, aquifer is more productive (4.5 ≤ Q ≤ 10.5 m3/h). Transfer time of pollutants to aquifer varies from 3 to 56 days depending on rock-types and groundwater slope (0.03 - 0.13 m/m). Furthermore, 113,624 m and 1123 m are radius to be implemented for a better protection of groundwater against any form of pollutant.
尽管班甘特市政府多次试图恢复现有的SCANWATER设施,但喀麦隆西部的Nde分部仍面临供水问题。为了解决这一问题,我们使用Jacob和Theis方法评估了集水区含水层的可开采抽水流量及其水力特性,并使用Hoffman和Lillich方法确定了保护区。结果表明,含水层的导水率约为10-4米/秒,透射率在10-4至10-6米/秒内变化。含水层泵送流速(Q)在1.5至10.5 m3/h之间变化。在火山岩中,含水层的生产力更高(4.5≤Q≤10.5 m3/h)。污染物向含水层的转移时间从3天到56天不等,具体取决于岩石类型和地下水坡度(0.03-0.13 m/m)。此外,113624米和1123米是要实施的半径,以更好地保护地下水免受任何形式的污染物的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Hydrological Modelling of Small Gauged and Ungauged Mountainous Watersheds Using SWAT—A Case of Western Ghats in India 使用SWAT对小型有测量和无测量的山区流域进行水文建模——以印度西高止山脉为例
Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2021.137027
K. Narula, S. Nischal
Mountainous forested watersheds are important hydrologic systems that are responsible for much of the water supply and run-of-the-river hy-dropower schemes in many parts of the world. In India, the Western Ghats are one of such important hydrologic systems located in southern peninsular region. Several of these watersheds are ungauged. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been used to model streamflows for two mountainous forested watersheds, namely, Gurupur (699 km2) (a gauged watershed) and Upper Payaswini (44.6 km2) (an ungauged wa-tershed). Model calibration and validation are performed using monthly and daily streamflow data for the gauged watershed. Sample flow values obtained over a limited period were used for validation of ungauged wa-tershed. Flow duration curves (FDCs) have been derived to assess per-centile flow distributions. Model performance is evaluated using Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (ENS), percent bias (PBIAS), coefficient of de-termination (R2) and comparison of percentile flow values obtained from observed and simulated FDCs. Sensitivity analysis with Latin Hypercube One-factor-At-a-Time (LH-OAT) indicates five soil-land use related pa-rameters namely, soil available water capacity (SOL_AWC), soil evapora-tion compensation factor (ESCO), soil depth (SOL_Z) and layers, groundwater baseflow (ALPHA_BF), and curve number (CN2 (forest & agriculture)), to be sensitive for simulating both gauged and ungauged wet mountainous forested watersheds. Study shows that lateral flows from dynamic sub-surface zones in such watersheds contribute substan-tially to the total water yield.
山区森林流域是重要的水文系统,负责世界许多地区的大部分供水和径流计划。在印度,西高止山脉是位于半岛南部地区的重要水文系统之一。这些流域中有几个是未经测量的。土壤和水评估工具(SWAT)已用于模拟两个山区森林流域的流量,即古鲁普尔(699平方公里)(一个测量流域)和上帕亚斯维尼(44.6平方公里)。使用测量流域的月流量和日流量数据进行模型校准和验证。在有限的时间内获得的样本流量值用于验证未经测量的流量。流量-持续时间曲线(FDCs)已被导出以评估每厘米的流量分布。使用Nash-Sutcliffe系数(ENS)、百分比偏差(PBIAS)、终止系数(R2)以及从观察到的和模拟的FDC获得的百分比流量值的比较来评估模型性能。用Latin Hypercube One-factor-At-Time(LH-OAT)进行的敏感性分析指出了五个与土壤土地利用相关的参数,即土壤有效水容量(SOL_AWC)、土壤蒸发补偿因子(ESCO)、土壤深度(SOL_Z)和层、地下水基流(ALPHA_BF)和曲线数(CN2(森林和农业)),敏感地模拟测量和未测量的潮湿山地森林流域。研究表明,在这种流域中,来自动态亚表层区域的横向流对总产水量有着实质性的贡献。
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引用次数: 3
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水资源与保护(英文)
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