International Journal of Biometeorology最新文献

Despite many advances in medicine, there is still a strong relationship between human health and atmospheric conditions. This study determines the effects of thermal comfort conditions on the causes of death in the province of Amasya, which is located in the Mediterranean basin. Meteorological data and monthly mortality data were used as material. As a method, thermal comfort conditions were determined by the Rayman model according to the PET index. Pearson correlation analysis and linear regression analysis methods were used to determine the effects of air temperature and thermal comfort conditions on the causes of death. In conclusion, it has been determined that thermal comfort conditions are effective on the total number of deaths, deaths due to external injuries and poisonings, deaths due to circulatory, and respiratory system diseases, but not for deaths due to other causes. These findings are important for early warning systems, preventive, and protective measures in health systems.

This study aimed to assess the influence of the high biodiversity silvopastoral system (SPSnu) on the microclimate, pasture production, and pasture chemical composition. Microclimate variables and pasture production and chemical composition were measured in pared paddocks under SPSnu and treeless pasture (TLP) in a commercial farm during four seasons in Southern Brazil. SPSnu measurements were subdivided into two areas: around the nuclei (AN) and area inter-nuclei (IN). In the TLP paddocks, we plotted fictitious nuclei with the same areas and distributions of SPSnu, however without trees. For the microclimate measurements, these areas were noted when shaded or unshaded by the nuclei trees. In each season, the microclimate variables air temperature (AT, °C), relative humidity (RH, %), illuminance (Ilu, lux), wind speed (WS, m/s), and soil surface temperature (SST, °C) were measured. In addition, botanical composition (%), pasture production (kg/DM/ ha), and pasture chemical composition were evaluated. The SPSnu provided the lowest values of microclimate variables in all seasons (p < 0.05), except for the relative humidity. Winter had the highest thermal amplitude in the systems. The highest difference between SPSnu and TLP for AT (4.3 °C) and SST (5.2 °C) was measured during the hot seasons (spring and summer). In contrast, during cold seasons (autumn and winter) it observed highest thermal amplitude between SPSnu and TLP. Overall, the highest annual pasture production was observed in the SPSnu (p < 0.05). During the summer, the SPSnu areas showed the highest values of crude protein and dry matter (p < 0.05). During the winter, the TLP showed the lowest values (p < 0.05) of pasture production and dry matter. It was observed that SPSnu improved the microclimate at the pasture level, influencing pasture production and pasture chemical composition. The enhanced microclimate can partially mitigate some of the effects of climate change on pastoral agroecosystems, creating conditions for ecological rehabilitation of ecosystem processes and services. These conditions could be amplified to a biome level through a payment for ecosystem services program.

Defoliation caused by strong tropical cyclones can modify the partitioning of incident solar radiation between the sensible, latent, and substrate heat fluxes. While previous work has shown hurricane defoliation to warm near-surface air temperature along its track, this study more directly contextualizes the warming to human heat stress and exposure via the heat index (HI). For this case study, the spatial extent and temporal persistence of defoliation produced by Hurricane Laura (2020) in southwestern Louisiana was characterized using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The defoliated land surface was then assimilated into the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.2 and compared to a control, normal-foliage simulation for the 30 days following landfall. Over southwest Louisiana, the largest HI increase occurred at 0600 UTC (1:00 AM LT) with an average increase of + 0.25 °C, and the exposure time to HI ≥ 30 °C increased by 8.1% after accounting for the defoliated landscape. Meanwhile, Cameron, Louisiana, the site of Laura’s landfall where defoliation was most severe, cumulatively experienced an extra 33 h of HI values exceeding 26 °C, while mean HI increased by 1.2 °C at 0300 UTC. Additional WRF experiments were performed with altered “landfall” years of 2017 and 2018 to determine the sensitivity of defoliation-driven HI changes to the ambient synoptic conditions. While synoptic conditions modulated the magnitude of increase, HIs nonetheless experienced statistically significant increases in both hypothetical “landfall” years. Such findings are valuable for emergency managers and community health officials because overnight minimum temperatures are a strong indicator of heat mortality.

Dengue fever is a rapidly spreading mosquito-borne contagion. However, the effects of extreme rainfall events on dengue occurrences have not been widely evaluated. With their immense precipitation and high winds, typhoons may have distinct effects on dengue occurrence from those during other heavy rain events. Frequented by typhoons and situated in the tropical climate zone, southern Taiwan is an appropriate study area due to its isolated geographic environment. Each subject to distinct orographic effects on typhoon structure and typhoon-induced precipitation, 9 typhoon trajectories around Taiwan have not been observed until now. This study analyzes typhoon-induced precipitation and examines historical typhoon events by trajectory to determine the effects of typhoons on dengue occurrences in different urban contexts of Tainan and Kaohsiung in high-epidemic southern Taiwan. We employed data from 1998 to 2019 and developed logistic regression models for modeling dengue occurrence while taking 28-day lag effects into account. We considered factors including typhoon trajectory, occurrence, and typhoon-induced precipitation to dengue occurrences. Our results indicate that typhoon trajectories are a significant risk factor for dengue occurrence. Typhoons affect dengue occurrence differently by trajectory. One out of four northbound (along the Taiwan Strait) and four out of five westbound (across Taiwan) typhoons were found to be positively correlated with dengue occurrences in southern Taiwan. We observe that typhoon-induced precipitation is not associated with dengue occurrence in southern Taiwan, which suggests that wind destruction during typhoon events may serve as the primary cause for their positive effects by leaving debris suitable for mosquito habitats. Our findings provide insights into the impact of typhoons by trajectory on dengue occurrence, which can improve the accuracy of future dengue forecasts in neighboring regions with similar climatic contexts.

Seed rain phenology (the start and end date of seed rain) is an essential component of plant phenology, critical for understanding population regeneration and community dynamics. However, intra- and inter-annual changes of seed rain phenology along environmental gradients have rarely been studied and the responses of seed rain phenology to climate variations are unclear. We monitored seed rain phenology of four forest communities in four years at different elevations (900 m, 1450 m, 1650 m, 1900 m a.s.l.) of a subtropical mountain in Central China. We analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of seed rain phenology of 29 common woody plant species (total observed species in the seed rain), and related the phenological variations to seed number and climatic variables using mixed-effect models with the correlation matrix of phylogeny. We found that changes in the period length were mainly driven by the end rather than the start date. The end date and the period length of seed rain were significantly different between the mast and non-mast seeding years, while no significant elevation-related trend was detected in seed rain phenology variation. Seed number, mean temperature in spring (T_spr), and winter (T_win), summer precipitation (P_sum) had significant effects on seed rain phenology. When T_spr increased, the start date of seed rain advanced, while the end date was delayed and the seed rain period length was mainly prolonged by a higher seed number, T_win and P_sum. Forest canopy might have a buffering effect on understory climatic conditions, especially in precipitation that lead to difference in seed rain phenology between canopy and shrub species. Our novel evidence of seed rain phenology can improve prediction of community regeneration dynamics in responding to climate changes.

This study investigated the applicability of expanded metal meshes (EMMs) in horizontal shading devices. We performed simulations and experiments with EMMs with different opening ratios and directions. We established various experimental and control groups to measure air temperature, surface temperature, and black globe temperature. After the comparison of simulation and experimental data, we used Grasshopper to simulate long-term climate situations. The research results can serve as reference for users in Tainan and provide customized suggestions. The findings can serve as a paradigm for parametric design to analyze EMMs. In design projects involving outdoor horizontal shading devices, these results can be used in the design phase for evaluation. Full-day measurements revealed that EMMs with small openings exhibited favorable shading effects. In the Tainan area, we suggest using north-facing EMMs; in our simulations result, 70% of sunshine did not pass through the mesh in a day. For shading equipment in the morning, west-facing EMMs should be used because they blocked 50–90% of sunshine. For recreational areas in the afternoon and evening, east-facing EMMs can block 50–90% of sunshine after noon. In Taiwan, south-facing EMMs are not advised because their shading performance is suboptimal in the morning and afternoon.

Abstract

Heat stress presents one of the most urgent challenges to modern dairy farming, having major detrimental impacts on cow welfare, health, and production. Understanding the effect of cow factors (reproductive status, parity, and lactation stage) on the physiological and behavioural response to hot weather conditions is essential for the accurate detection and practical application of heat mitigation strategies. To study this, collars with commercial accelerometer-based sensors were fitted on 48 lactation dairy cows to record behaviour and heavy breathing from late spring to late summer. The temperature-humidity index (THI) was calculated from measurements of 8 barn sensors. We found that, above a THI of 84, cows in advanced pregnancy (>90 days) spent more time breathing heavily and less time eating and in low activity than other cows, while cows in early pregnancy (≤90 days) spent less time breathing heavily, more time eating and in low activity. Cows with 3+ lactations showed less time breathing heavily and in high activity and more time ruminating and in low activity than cows with fewer lactations. Although lactation stage interacted significantly with THI on time spent breathing heavily, ruminating, eating, and in low activity, there was no clear indication at which lactation stage cows were more sensitive to heat. These findings show that cow factors affect the cow’s physiological and behavioural response to heat, which could be used to provide group-specific heat abatement strategies, thereby improving heat stress management.

The aim of this study was to determine the effects of 6 h/day cold (35.0 °C) acclimatization between the 9^th and 15^th days of incubation of Japanese quail embryos on hatchability, livability, chick quality, developmental stability, fear response, live weight, and slaughter-carcass characteristics. Two homologous incubators and a total of 500 hatching eggs were used in the study. Randomly selected half of the eggs were exposed to cold according to the eggshell temperature. The cold acclimation of Japanese quail embryos had no adverse effects on all mentioned traits, except for chick quality. Chicks in the control group had higher Tona scores (99.46) than those exposed to cold (99.00) (P < 0.05). In addition, there were differences among the treatment groups in terms of the parameters of mature weight (β₀), instantaneous growth rate (β₂), and inflection point coordinates of the Gompertz growth model (P < 0.05 for all). It was found that exposing embryos to cold during the incubation changed the shape of the growth curve. As the development of embryos exposed to cold slows down, a compensatory growth occurs in the early posthatch period. Thus, the growth rate increased in the period before the inflection point of the growth curve.

The Caribbean fruit fly, Anastrepha suspensa (Lower, 1862) (Diptera: Tephritidae), is a pest of significant economic importance in Central America and Florida (USA). This study was carried out to examine the influence of climate change on the space–time distribution of A. suspensa on temporal and spatial scales. The CLIMEX software was used to model the current distribution and for climate change. The future distribution was performed using two global climate models (GCMs), CSIRO-Mk3.0 (CS) and MIROC-H (MR), under the emission scenarios (SRES) A2 and A1B for the years 2050, 2080, and 2100. The results indicate a low potential for global distribution of A. suspensa in all scenarios studied. However, tropical areas were identified with high climatic suitability for A. suspensa in South America, Central America, Africa, and Oceania until the end of the century. Projections of areas with climatic suitability for A. suspensa can provide helpful information to develop preventive strategies of phytosanitary management avoiding economic impacts with the introduction of the species.