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The Effects of European Monetary Union on Macroeconomic Performance 欧洲货币联盟对宏观经济表现的影响
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.46036
Durmuş Yıldırım
The purpose of this study is to show the effect of monetary union on macroeconomic performance for 24 OECD countries during the period 1988-2009. According to the findings, the European Monetary Union has a positive effect on foreign trade. On the other hand, it has a negative effect. The monetary union set up without a financial union has a negative effect on macroeconomic performance by limiting the implementations of policy makers even if it has a positive contribution on trade. Thus, monetary policy implementations not supported with financial policy have a negative effect on macroeconomic performance.
本研究的目的是展示货币联盟对经济合作与发展组织(OECD) 24个成员国1988-2009年期间宏观经济绩效的影响。根据研究结果,欧洲货币联盟对对外贸易有积极的影响。另一方面,它也有负面影响。在没有金融联盟的情况下建立货币联盟,即使对贸易有积极贡献,也会限制政策制定者的执行,从而对宏观经济表现产生负面影响。因此,没有金融政策支持的货币政策实施会对宏观经济表现产生负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Arab Public Opinion and NATO after the International Military Operations in Libya 利比亚国际军事行动后的阿拉伯舆论与北约
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.21599/atjir.20782
Said Saddiki
Although, NATO has always taken into account public opinion in its member states, the emergence of new Information and Communication Technologies and the extension of its out-of- area operations have given NATO a new impetus to extend the space of communication beyond the Alliance countries.With regard to the NATO's partnership with Arab countries, the Arab spring uprisings have created a new political atmosphere in which many signs of a positive perception of NATO and its members states have been expressed, and can be flourished with more support to new governments arising from this unprecedented political and social mobility in the region. So, giving the growing influence of Arab public opinion on the region countries' foreign policies, in the post-Arab spring era, getting public support is one of the fundamental preconditions for the success of the NATO cooperation initiatives in the Arab world.The article aims to give an approximate picture of the current Arab public's perception of NATO. It deals with the vision of the Arab elites and public opinion on the Alliance after its participation in overthrowing the Gaddafi regime, surveys the opinion of some segments of Moroccan public opinion, and explores some possible kinds of relations between Arab countries and NATO viewed by the Arab public.
尽管北约一直考虑成员国的民意,但新的信息和通信技术的出现及其域外行动的延伸给北约提供了将通信空间扩展到联盟国家之外的新动力。关于北约与阿拉伯国家的伙伴关系,阿拉伯之春起义创造了一种新的政治气氛,在这种气氛中,许多对北约及其成员国的积极看法已经表达出来,并且可以通过对该地区前所未有的政治和社会流动性所产生的新政府的更多支持而蓬勃发展。因此,鉴于阿拉伯民意对该地区国家外交政策的影响越来越大,在后阿拉伯之春时代,获得公众支持是北约在阿拉伯世界合作倡议成功的基本前提之一。这篇文章旨在大致描述当前阿拉伯公众对北约的看法。本文探讨了在北约参与推翻卡扎菲政权后,阿拉伯精英和公众对北约的看法,调查了摩洛哥部分公众的意见,并探讨了阿拉伯公众眼中阿拉伯国家与北约之间可能存在的关系。
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引用次数: 1
Religious Conversion: An Ethnographic Analysis 宗教皈依:民族志分析
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.61750
Tuba Boz
This paper examines the impact of religious conversion on the identity, perceptions and everyday life of Australian converts to Islam in Melbourne. Based on ethnographic research, the paper draws upon qualitative data collected in 2002 a time when the supposed inherent conflict between 'Islam and the West' became even more prevalent in the political, academia and media milieu. I gathered qualitative data to study the experiences of forty Australian Muslim converts in order to examine the perceived conflict between being Muslim, Australian and 'Western'. It is significant to examine how these perceived tensions are managed in everyday life. While it is a scholarly significant research question to examine why people convert to Islam, it is equally of importance to examine what happens to Muslim converts post-conversion. What impact does converting to Islam have on one's identity, perceptions and everyday life How are such changes managed and 'negotiated' An ethnographic analysis and the experiences relayed by the participants in this study indicate that, research participants on the whole reflected significant changes to everyday life and worldviews but less change is experienced with regard to their personal 'identity' and personality.
本文考察了宗教皈依对墨尔本皈依伊斯兰教的澳大利亚人的身份、观念和日常生活的影响。基于民族志研究,本文借鉴了2002年收集的定性数据,当时“伊斯兰与西方”之间的内在冲突在政治、学术界和媒体环境中变得更加普遍。我收集了定性数据来研究40名澳大利亚穆斯林皈依者的经历,以检验穆斯林、澳大利亚人和“西方人”之间的感知冲突。研究如何在日常生活中管理这些感知到的紧张关系是很重要的。虽然研究人们为什么皈依伊斯兰教是一个重要的学术研究问题,但研究穆斯林皈依后发生了什么也同样重要。皈依伊斯兰教对一个人的身份、观念和日常生活有什么影响?这些变化是如何管理和“协商”的?人种学分析和本研究参与者传递的经验表明,研究参与者总体上反映了日常生活和世界观的重大变化,但他们的个人“身份”和个性方面的变化较少。
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引用次数: 0
Turkish-Armenian Relations and the Issue of the Recognition of the claims of the Armenian genocide 土耳其-亚美尼亚关系和承认亚美尼亚种族灭绝主张的问题
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.23835
Alica Vidlickov
This article examines the Turkish-Armenian relations, its development throughout the history and the situation between those two countries since Recep Tayyip Erdogan became the prime minister of Turkey in 2003 resulting in the change of the Turkish foreign policy. The main focus is on the problems between Turkey and Armenia stemming out from the different view on the happenings in 1915 and the recognition of the so called Armenian genocide. The article analyzes the decision-making of the individuals, the international organizations and the states when it comes to the question of the so called Armenian genocide and the reasons of the decisions made by individuals and states. These decisions are subjected to criticism on the basis of the reality image theory by Ibrahim Canbolat (1993) and the Thomas theorem (1928) as well as other criteria. States are the most important actors in the article because they form the foreign policy and the influence of this particular problem of the decisions of states influences the relations between Turkey and the EU as well as other world powers. Turkey's importance and image are still worsened due to these reasons and unfortunately, it seems that states have no interest in finding the truth.
本文检视土耳其与亚美尼亚的关系、历史发展,以及自雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安(Recep Tayyip Erdogan)在2003年成为土耳其总理后,导致土耳其外交政策改变后,两国间的情势。主要焦点是土耳其和亚美尼亚之间的问题,这些问题是由于对1915年发生的事件的不同看法和对所谓亚美尼亚种族灭绝的承认而产生的。本文分析了个人、国际组织和国家在所谓亚美尼亚种族灭绝问题上的决策,以及个人和国家决策的原因。这些决定在Ibrahim Canbolat(1993)的现实形象理论和Thomas定理(1928)以及其他标准的基础上受到批评。国家是文章中最重要的角色,因为它们形成了外交政策,国家决策这一特定问题的影响影响了土耳其与欧盟以及其他世界大国之间的关系。由于这些原因,土耳其的重要性和形象仍然恶化,不幸的是,各国似乎对寻找真相没有兴趣。
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引用次数: 1
Transformation of Turkish Foreign Policy Toward the Middle East : From Non-Involvement to a Leading Role 土耳其对中东外交政策的转变:从不参与到主导
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.83368
Cengiz Dinc and Mustafa Yetim
Turkey's foreign policy toward the Middle East has gone through a radical change over the decades. Earlier periods were marked by almost a complete neglect. However, since Uzal, Turkey's interest toward the region has constantly increased. Especially in the last few years of the AKP government, in line with the new foreign policy vision, the Middle East has started to occupy a central place in Turkish foreign policy. In this article, underlying factors of this changing policy and newly envisioned regional role for Turkey will be analyzed. Turkey now pursues a pro-active and multidimensional foreign policy; and the Middle East seems to be the most suitable area for Turkey to implement a successful foreign policy based upon its new parameters.
几十年来,土耳其对中东的外交政策发生了翻天覆地的变化。较早时期的特点是几乎完全被忽视。然而,自乌扎尔以来,土耳其对该地区的兴趣不断增加。特别是在正义与发展党(AKP)政府执政的最后几年,与新的外交政策愿景一致,中东已开始在土耳其外交政策中占据中心位置。在本文中,将分析这一政策变化的潜在因素和土耳其新设想的区域作用。土耳其现在奉行积极主动和多方面的外交政策;中东似乎是土耳其实施基于其新参数的成功外交政策的最合适地区。
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引用次数: 11
The Effects of Security Problems on the USA- Uzbekistan Relations 安全问题对美乌关系的影响
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.21599/atjir.83468
A. Sönmez
One of the factors effective in determining foreign policies of the countries is the issues of national security. This is especially true of the bilateral relations of countries which experience common security problems and affected by this situation. After its independence the Uzbekistani administration perceived their basic threat as 'fundamentalism'. Thus in the first years of independence, Tashkent tried to come closer to The United States of America (USA) so as to overcome this threat. In response to this, the USA, did not develop a comprehensive policy towards Uzbekistan. But the USA faced a similar security threat with September 11th attacks. Along with the increase of the Central Asia's geopolitical importance following the September 11th attacks, Washington increased its relations with Uzbekistan and bilateral relations reached to the level of strategic partnership. Because of the common threat perception, the USA overcame the Taliban by taking advantage of Uzbekistan's geopolitical position. Meanwhile the Uzbekistani administration largely avoided 'radical' movements through this war. However, emergence of the Colour Revolutions in the former Soviet republics, supported by the USA, destructed these relations. But in recent years both Kerimov and Obama administrations have tried to amend Uzbek American relations. Some positive developments have been witnessed since 2011. Because the USA, who has problematic relations with Pakistan administration, needs Uzbekistan's land again. In this study, the bilateral relations between the US, which became the sole super power in the post-Cold War period, and Uzbekistan, the most powerful country in Central Asia, are analyzed in the context of security issues
国家安全问题是决定各国外交政策的有效因素之一。面临共同安全问题并受这种局势影响的国家之间的双边关系尤其如此。独立后,乌兹别克斯坦政府认为他们的基本威胁是“原教旨主义”。因此,在独立的头几年,塔什干试图接近美利坚合众国(美国),以克服这一威胁。对此,美国并没有制定对乌兹别克斯坦的全面政策。但美国在911袭击事件中也面临着类似的安全威胁。随着“9·11”恐怖袭击后中亚地缘政治重要性的提升,华盛顿加强了与乌兹别克斯坦的关系,双边关系达到了战略伙伴关系的水平。由于共同的威胁意识,美国利用乌兹别克斯坦的地缘政治地位战胜了塔利班。与此同时,乌兹别克斯坦政府通过这场战争基本上避免了“激进”运动。然而,在美国的支持下,前苏联共和国出现的颜色革命破坏了这种关系。但近年来克里莫夫和奥巴马政府都试图改善乌美关系。自2011年以来,出现了一些积极的进展。因为与巴基斯坦政府关系有问题的美国再次需要乌兹别克斯坦的土地。本研究将在后冷战时期成为唯一超级大国的美国与中亚最强大国家乌兹别克斯坦的双边关系置于安全问题的背景下进行分析
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引用次数: 0
American Democracy Promotion In The Arabian Gulf 美国民主在阿拉伯海湾的推广
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.07438
Muhammad Amir Ahmad Khan
Advanced democracies, including the United States, have been championing democratic promotion around the world. In the past, American policy towards the Arab Middle East, however, had been mainly based on just paying lip-service to democracy sans concrete measures for promoting a democratic culture in the region. The events of 9/11 marked a watershed in the history of US foreign policy towards the region. Facing calls for a democratic Arab World from home and abroad in the wake of 9/11 the US government raised the ante for pushing democracy in the Arab Middle East. The rhetoric and emphasis laid on 'democracy in the Arab World' by the American leadership over the years after 9/11 was unprecedented. This study deals with the visible shift in US foreign policy vis-A -vis democracy in the region, focusing on the six GCC states, namely Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. In addition to American approach and strategy, practical measures taken in the areas of politics, economy, education, media, civil society, and human rights is also furnished. An effort is made to understand and highlight the methods and tools employed by the foreign democracy promoters, both at the levels of state and society. However, a large part of the study appertains to the activities conducted at the grass-roots level. The study is comparative in its nature, based on empirical analysis.
包括美国在内的先进民主国家一直在世界各地倡导民主。然而,在过去,美国对阿拉伯中东的政策主要是基于口头上的民主,而不是在该地区促进民主文化的具体措施。9/11事件标志着美国对该地区外交政策历史上的一个分水岭。911事件后,面对国内外要求阿拉伯世界民主的呼声,美国政府加大了在中东阿拉伯地区推动民主的力度。在911之后的几年里,美国领导层对“阿拉伯世界民主”的言辞和强调是前所未有的。本研究涉及美国外交政策对该地区民主的明显转变,重点关注六个海湾合作委员会国家,即巴林、科威特、阿曼、卡塔尔、沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国。除了美国的方法和战略外,还提供了在政治、经济、教育、媒体、公民社会、人权等领域采取的实际措施。我们努力了解和突出外国民主促进者在国家和社会两级所采用的方法和工具。但是,研究报告的很大一部分是关于在基层一级进行的活动。本研究是基于实证分析的比较研究。
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引用次数: 0
The Sudanese Conflict: War Crimes and International Criminal Court 苏丹冲突:战争罪与国际刑事法庭
Pub Date : 2011-08-01 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.16362
Kudzaishe Marecha and Percyslage Chigora
The International Criminal Court (ICC) was created to facilitate the prosecution of perpetrators of international humanitarian law something not within the jurisdiction of the International Court of Justice. As an international court, it was not restricted by head of state or diplomatic immunity. In March 2005, the United Nations Security Council under Chapter VII of the UN Charter adopted resolution 1593 which referred the situation in Darfur, Sudan to the International Criminal Court Prosecutor, effectively giving the ICC jurisdiction over Sudan even though Sudan is not part to the Rome Statute. The Resolution is binding on all UN member states, including Sudan. On March 4 2009, ICC judges issued a warrant for the arrest of Sudanese President Omar Hassan al- Bashir. The warrant holds that there are reasonable grounds to believe that Bashir is criminally responsible for five counts of crimes against humanity and two counts of war crimes, referring to alleged attacks by Sudanese security forces and pro- government militia in the Darfur region of Sudan during the government's seven year counter insurgency campaign. This ability to indict a head of state in office raised debates and animosity between the court and African leaders as well as Arab leaders after it indicted Hassan Omar Al-Bashir, the Sudanese head of state. The paper seeks to analyse the extent to which the Sudanese conflict gave rise to situation that constitute war crimes and examine the extent to which the laws have been applied worldwide. In essence, the paper makes an exposition about the law's applicability in the contemporary world. The paper espouse that the Sudanese sets as a test case were a sitting head of state could be brought before the ICC
国际刑事法院(国际刑事法院)的设立是为了便利起诉违反国际人道主义法的人——这是不属于国际法院管辖范围的事。作为一个国际法院,它不受国家元首或外交豁免的限制。2005年3月,联合国安理会根据《联合国宪章》第七章通过第1593号决议,将苏丹达尔富尔局势移交国际刑事法院检察官,使国际刑事法院对苏丹拥有管辖权,尽管苏丹并不是《罗马规约》的缔约国。该决议对包括苏丹在内的所有联合国成员国都具有约束力。2009年3月4日,国际刑事法院法官发布了对苏丹总统奥马尔·哈桑·巴希尔的逮捕令。逮捕令认为,有合理的理由相信巴希尔对五项反人类罪和两项战争罪负有刑事责任,这些罪行指的是苏丹安全部队和亲政府民兵在苏丹达尔富尔地区七年的反叛乱运动期间发动的袭击。在国际刑事法院起诉苏丹国家元首哈桑·奥马尔·巴希尔(Hassan Omar Al-Bashir)后,这种起诉在任国家元首的能力引发了国际刑事法院与非洲领导人以及阿拉伯领导人之间的争论和敌意。本文试图分析苏丹冲突在多大程度上造成了构成战争罪的局势,并审查这些法律在世界范围内的适用程度。从本质上讲,本文是对该法律在当代世界的适用性进行论述。该报纸支持苏丹的案例作为一个试金性案例,即在任的国家元首可以被带到国际刑事法院
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引用次数: 3
Toward Equality in a Highly Unequal World: The Fate of the LDCs 在高度不平等的世界中走向平等:最不发达国家的命运
Pub Date : 2011-08-01 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.47807
Hilal Elver
This article deals with the future of the Least Developed Countries in economically and politically highly uneven and unequal current world order. First, I will discuss how categorization of the United Nations (UN) on the Least Developed Countries (LDC) took place, and the influence of the economic globalization and free market liberalism impacted on the UN's mainstream policies on this matter. Under this framework, history of the UN categorization of the LDC, and indicators of such categorization will be re-evaluated and the necessity of a new paradigm, especially in relation to concept of 'graduation' will be discussed. Recent discussions on inability to evaluate countries' economic success and its irrelevance on happiness of citizens with GDP in some developed countries, such as France and the U.K. is a good reason to think new alternatives for the LDCs. Secondly, the article will deal with global poverty as one of the major obstacles in 21st Century, and increasing gap between rich and poor countries. Thirdly, the current economic, climatic, institutional, economic and social conditions and difficulties of the LDCs will be evaluated under the framework of the historical reasons such as colonialism and exploitation by the Western powers. At the end, the most recent catastrophic famine that hit Somalia, one of the poorest members of the LDC will be discussed as an extreme example of a failed state. Somalia is a poster child of colonialism, imperialism, environmental degradation, climate change and religious extremism. It is a wake up call for the world community. If the policies of the LDC will not be revitalized and developed countries will not be genuinely committed to change current trade and climate change policies in order to include the needs of the LDCs, and if they will not consider LDC as partner rather than charity receivers such catastrophic famine will be more and more part of the reality for the LDCs and world peace will be significantly jeopardized through internal and international political conflicts.
本文论述了最不发达国家在经济和政治高度不平衡和不平等的当前世界秩序中的未来。首先,我将讨论联合国对最不发达国家的分类是如何进行的,以及经济全球化和自由市场自由主义对联合国在这一问题上的主流政策的影响。在此框架下,将重新评估联合国最不发达国家分类的历史和分类指标,并讨论新范式的必要性,特别是与“毕业”概念相关的必要性。最近关于一些发达国家(如法国和英国)无法评估国家经济成功及其与国民幸福与GDP无关的讨论,是为最不发达国家考虑新的替代方案的一个很好的理由。其次,文章将处理全球贫困作为21世纪的主要障碍之一,以及贫富国家之间日益扩大的差距。第三,在西方列强殖民主义和剥削等历史原因的框架下,对最不发达国家当前的经济、气候、体制、经济和社会状况和困难进行评价。最后,作为最不发达国家中最贫穷的成员之一,最近发生在索马里的灾难性饥荒将作为失败国家的一个极端例子进行讨论。索马里是殖民主义、帝国主义、环境恶化、气候变化和宗教极端主义的典型代表。这给国际社会敲响了警钟。如果最不发达国家的政策不被振兴,发达国家不会真正致力于改变当前的贸易和气候变化政策,以包括最不发达国家的需求,如果他们不把最不发达国家视为合作伙伴而不是慈善接受者,这种灾难性的饥荒将越来越多地成为最不发达国家现实的一部分,世界和平将因国内和国际政治冲突而受到严重损害。
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引用次数: 1
Good Governance and Development in the Least Developed Countries 最不发达国家的善治与发展
Pub Date : 2011-08-01 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.38518
J. K. Chowdhury
The paper highlights the conceptual limitations or lack of the clarity of ' good governance' concept favoured by the donor community and debunks its central hypothesis that good governance causes economic growth. Good governance can mean many things and countries possessing features of good governance can be different both structurally and institutionally. Countries that are developed recently did not have the ideal features of good governance ' these features evolved with economic growth. Donors should not impose onerous good governance conditions with the expectation that developing countries must all look the same in the image of the recent developed countries. Most poor countries do not have administrative and financial capacity to achieve these reforms or institutions; hence, the donor conditionality often becomes a recipe for failure. Therefore, the reform agenda should aim at strategic bottlenecks for development and enhance state capacity and capabilities to deal with these bottlenecks.
这篇论文强调了捐赠界青睐的“善治”概念在概念上的局限性或缺乏明确性,并揭穿了其善治导致经济增长的核心假设。善治可以意味着许多事情,具有善治特征的国家可以在结构和制度上有所不同。最近发展起来的国家并不具备良好治理的理想特征——这些特征是随着经济增长而演变的。捐助者不应强加繁重的善政条件,期望所有发展中国家都必须与最近的发达国家的形象相同。大多数贫穷国家没有行政和财政能力来实现这些改革或机构;因此,捐助者的条件往往成为失败的秘诀。因此,改革议程应瞄准发展的战略瓶颈,提高国家应对这些瓶颈的能力和能力。
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引用次数: 4
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Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Relations
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