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The politics of international testing 国际测试的政治
Pub Date : 2023-06-20 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09494-4
Rie Kijima, Phillip Y. Lipscy

How does quantifying and ranking national performance influence state behavior? Cross-national assessments in education, such as the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) promoted by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), have become increasingly prominent in recent years. However, cross-national assessments are politically contentious, and their impact remains underexplored. We argue that assessment participation has a meaningful, positive impact on education outcomes and evaluate three hypotheses related to elite, domestic, and transnational mechanisms. Our mixed-method approach draws on a panel dataset covering all cross-national assessments and all countries as well as an original survey of education officials directly responsible for planning and implementation in 46 countries. We find that assessment participation increases net secondary enrollment rates even after accounting for potential self-selection. The magnitude of this increase is large: on a global basis, it is equivalent to improved access to higher education for 27–32 million students annually. The empirical evidence suggests elite-level mechanisms are primarily responsible for these findings.

量化和排名国家绩效如何影响国家行为?教育领域的跨国评估,如经济合作与发展组织(OECD)推动的国际学生评估项目(PISA),近年来变得越来越突出。然而,跨国评估在政治上存在争议,其影响仍未得到充分探讨。我们认为评估参与对教育结果有意义的积极影响,并评估了与精英、国内和跨国机制相关的三种假设。我们的混合方法借鉴了涵盖所有跨国评估和所有国家的面板数据集,以及对46个国家直接负责规划和实施的教育官员的原始调查。我们发现,即使考虑到潜在的自我选择,评估参与也会增加中学净入学率。这一增长幅度很大:在全球范围内,这相当于每年为2700万至3200万学生增加了接受高等教育的机会。经验证据表明,精英层面的机制对这些发现负有主要责任。
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引用次数: 0
Introducing the Intergovernmental Policy Output Dataset (IPOD). 介绍政府间政策产出数据集。
Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09492-6
Magnus Lundgren, Theresa Squatrito, Thomas Sommerer, Jonas Tallberg

There is a growing recognition that international organizations (IOs) formulate and adopt policy in a wide range of areas. IOs have emerged as key venues for states seeking joint solutions to contemporary challenges such as climate change or COVID-19, and to establish frameworks to bolster trade, development, security, and more. In this capacity, IOs produce both extraordinary and routine policy output with a multitude of purposes, ranging from policies of historic significance like admitting new members to the more mundane tasks of administering IO staff. This article introduces the Intergovernmental Policy Output Dataset (IPOD), which covers close to 37,000 individual policy acts of 13 multi-issue IOs in the 1980-2015 period. The dataset fills a gap in the growing body of literature on the comparative study of IOs, providing researchers with a fine-grained perspective on the structure of IO policy output and data for comparisons across time, policy areas, and organizations. This article describes the construction and coverage of the dataset and identifies key temporal and cross-sectional patterns revealed by the data. In a concise illustration of the dataset's utility, we apply models of punctuated equilibria in a comparative study of the relationship between institutional features and broad policy agenda dynamics. Overall, the Intergovernmental Policy Output Dataset offers a unique resource for researchers to analyze IO policy output in a granular manner and to explore questions of responsiveness, performance, and legitimacy of IOs.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11558-023-09492-6.

人们越来越认识到,国际组织在广泛的领域制定和通过政策。国际组织已成为各国寻求共同解决气候变化或新冠肺炎等当代挑战的关键场所,并建立支持贸易、发展、安全等的框架。在这种能力下,IO产生了具有多种目的的特殊和常规政策输出,从具有历史意义的政策(如接纳新成员)到管理IO工作人员的更平凡的任务。本文介绍了政府间政策产出数据集(IPOD),该数据集涵盖了1980-2015年期间13个多问题IO的近37000项个人政策行为。该数据集填补了越来越多的IO比较研究文献中的空白,为研究人员提供了一个关于IO政策输出结构的细粒度视角,以及跨时间、政策领域和组织进行比较的数据。本文描述了数据集的构建和覆盖范围,并确定了数据所揭示的关键时间和横截面模式。在数据集效用的简明说明中,我们将间断均衡模型应用于制度特征与广泛政策议程动态之间关系的比较研究。总的来说,政府间政策输出数据集为研究人员提供了一个独特的资源,可以以细粒度的方式分析IO政策输出,并探索IO的响应性、性能和合法性问题。补充信息:在线版本包含补充材料,可访问10.1007/s11558-023-09492-6。
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引用次数: 1
The comparative constitutional compliance database 比较宪法遵从数据库
Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09491-7
Jerg Gutmann, Katarzyna Metelska-Szaniawska, Stefan Voigt

This article introduces a novel database that measures governments’ compliance with national constitutions. It combines information on de jure constitutional rules with data on their de facto implementation. The individual compliance indicators can be grouped into four categories that we aggregate into an overall indicator of constitutional compliance: property rights and the rule of law, political rights, civil rights, and basic human rights. The database covers 175 countries over the period 1900 to 2020 and can be used by researchers interested in studying the determinants or the effects of (non)compliance with constitutions. Our investigation of the stylized facts of constitutional compliance reveals a long-term increase in compliance, which occurred primarily around the year 1990. The Americas experienced the steepest increase in compliance, but also Africa and Europe improved particularly at the end of the Cold War. Democracies – particularly those with parliamentary and mixed systems – show more constitutional compliance than nondemocracies, among which military dictatorships perform the worst. Constitutional design also matters: Constitutions that allow for the dismissal of the head of state or government for violating constitutional rules are being complied with more.

本文介绍了一个衡量政府遵守国家宪法的新数据库。它将关于法律上的宪法规则的资料与关于其实际执行情况的数据结合起来。个别的合规性指标可以分为四类,我们将它们汇总成一个总体的合规性指标:财产权和法治、政治权利、公民权利和基本人权。该数据库涵盖了1900年至2020年期间175个国家,可供有兴趣研究(不)遵守宪法的决定因素或影响的研究人员使用。我们对遵守宪法的程式化事实的调查显示,遵守宪法的情况长期增加,这主要发生在1990年左右。美洲在遵守方面的增幅最大,但非洲和欧洲在冷战结束后也有所改善。民主国家——尤其是议会制和混合制国家——比非民主国家更遵守宪法,而军事独裁在非民主国家中表现最差。宪法设计也很重要:允许因违反宪法规定而罢免国家元首或政府首脑的宪法得到了更多的遵守。
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引用次数: 0
Public preferences for international law compliance: Respecting legal obligations or conforming to common practices? 公众对遵守国际法的偏好:尊重法律义务还是遵循惯例?
Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09487-3
Saki Kuzushima, Kenneth Mori McElwain, Yuki Shiraito

Despite significant debate about the ability of international law to constrain state behavior, recent research points to domestic mechanisms that deter non-compliance, most notably public disapproval of governments that violate treaty agreements. However, existing studies have not explicitly differentiated two distinct, theoretically important motivations that underlie this disapproval: respect for legal obligations versus the desire to follow common global practices. We design an innovative survey experiment in Japan that manipulates information about these two potential channels directly. We examine attitudes towards four controversial practices that fall afoul of international law—same-surname marriage, whaling, hate speech regulation, and capital punishment—and find that the legal obligation cue has a stronger effect on respondent attitudes than the common practices cue. We also show subgroup differences based on partisanship and identification with global civil society. These results demonstrate that the legal nature of international law is crucial to domestic compliance pull.

尽管关于国际法约束国家行为的能力存在重大争议,但最近的研究指出,国内机制可以阻止不遵守,最明显的是公众对违反条约协议的政府的反对。然而,现有的研究并没有明确区分这种反对背后的两种不同的、理论上重要的动机:尊重法律义务与遵循共同的全球惯例的愿望。我们在日本设计了一个创新的调查实验,直接操纵关于这两个潜在渠道的信息。我们研究了人们对四种有争议的做法的态度,这些做法违反了国际法——同姓婚姻、捕鲸、仇恨言论管制和死刑——并发现法律义务线索对受访者态度的影响比常见做法线索更大。我们还展示了基于党派关系和对全球公民社会的认同的亚群体差异。这些结果表明,国际法的法律性质对国内合规拉动至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
The performance of international organizations: a new measure and dataset based on computational text analysis of evaluation reports 国际组织绩效:基于评估报告计算文本分析的新测度和数据集
Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09489-1
Steffen Eckhard, Vytautas Jankauskas, Elena Leuschner, Ian Burton, Tilman Kerl, Rita Sevastjanova

International organizations (IOs) of the United Nations (UN) system publish around 750 evaluation reports per year, offering insights on their performance across project, program, institutional, and thematic activities. So far, it was not feasible to extract quantitative performance measures from these text-based reports. Using deep learning, this article presents a novel text-based performance metric: We classify individual sentences as containing a negative, positive, or neutral assessment of the evaluated IO activity and then compute the share of positive sentences per report. Content validation yields that the measure adequately reflects the underlying concept of performance; convergent validation finds high correlation with human-provided performance scores by the World Bank; and construct validation shows that our measure has theoretically expected results. Based on this, we present a novel dataset with performance measures for 1,082 evaluated activities implemented by nine UN system IOs and discuss avenues for further research.

联合国系统各国际组织每年发布约750份评估报告,对其在项目、方案、机构和专题活动方面的表现提供见解。到目前为止,从这些基于文本的报告中提取定量的绩效度量是不可行的。使用深度学习,本文提出了一种新的基于文本的性能度量:我们将单个句子分类为包含对被评估的IO活动的消极、积极或中立评估,然后计算每个报告中积极句子的份额。内容验证产生度量充分反映性能的基本概念;收敛验证发现与世界银行人为提供的绩效分数高度相关;结构验证表明,我们的方法在理论上达到了预期的效果。在此基础上,我们提出了一个新的数据集,其中包含了9个联合国系统国际组织实施的1,082项评估活动的绩效指标,并讨论了进一步研究的途径。
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引用次数: 2
Can IOs influence attitudes about regulating "Big Tech"? IOs能否影响监管“大科技”的态度?
Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09490-8
Terrence L Chapman, Huimin Li

Can international organizations (IOs) influence attitudes about regulating "Big Tech?" Recent tech sector activity engenders multiple concerns, including the appropriate use of user data and monopolistic business practices. IOs have entered the debate, advocating for increased regulations to protect digital privacy and often framing the issue as a threat to fundamental human rights. Does this advocacy matter? We hypothesize individuals that score high on measures of internationalism will respond positively to calls for increased regulation that come from IOs and INGOs. We further predict Liberals and Democrats will be more receptive to IO and NGO messaging, especially when it emphasizes human rights, while Conservatives and Republicans will be more receptive to messaging from domestic institutions that emphasize antitrust actions. To assess these arguments, we fielded a nationally-representative survey experiment in the U.S. in July 2021 that varied the source and framing of a message about the dangers posed by tech firms, then asked respondents about support for increased regulation. The average treatment effect of international sources is largest for respondents who score high on an index of internationalism and for respondents on the left of the political spectrum. Contrary to expectations, we found few significant differences across human rights and anti-trust framings. Our results suggest the ability of IOs to influence attitudes about tech regulation may be limited in an era of polarization, but that individuals who value multilateralism may still be influenced by IO campaigns.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11558-023-09490-8.

国际组织能否影响对监管“大型科技”的态度?最近科技行业的活动引发了多重担忧,包括用户数据的适当使用和垄断商业行为。国际组织也加入了这场辩论,主张加强监管以保护数字隐私,并经常将这一问题视为对基本人权的威胁。这种宣传有意义吗?我们假设,在国际主义衡量标准上得分较高的个人将积极回应国际组织和国际非政府组织提出的加强监管的呼吁。我们进一步预测,自由党和民主党人将更容易接受IO和非政府组织的信息,特别是当它强调人权时,而保守党和共和党人将更愿意接受来自强调反垄断行动的国内机构的信息。为了评估这些论点,我们于2021年7月在美国进行了一项具有全国代表性的调查实验,该实验改变了关于科技公司构成的危险的信息的来源和框架,然后询问受访者是否支持加强监管。在国际主义指数上得分较高的受访者和政治光谱中处于左翼的受访者,国际来源的平均待遇效果最大。与预期相反,我们发现人权和反信任框架之间几乎没有显著差异。我们的研究结果表明,在两极分化的时代,IO影响对技术监管态度的能力可能有限,但重视多边主义的个人可能仍会受到IO运动的影响。补充信息:在线版本包含补充材料,可访问10.1007/s11558-023-09490-8。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional Overlap in Global Governance and the Design of Intergovernmental Organizations 全球治理中的机构重叠与政府间组织的设计
Pub Date : 2023-03-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09488-2
B. Reinsberg, Oliver Westerwinter
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引用次数: 2
Protecting home: how firms’ investment plans affect the formation of bilateral investment treaties 保护家园:企业的投资计划如何影响双边投资协定的形成
Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09486-4
Seungjung Kim
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引用次数: 1
Lisa Dellmuth, Jan Aart Scholte, Jonas Tallberg and Soetkin Verhaegen. 2022. Citizens, Elites, and the Legitimacy of Global Governance. (Oxford: Oxford University Press) Lisa delmuth, Jan Aart Scholte, Jonas Tallberg和Soetkin Verhaegen, 2022。公民、精英和全球治理的合法性。(牛津:牛津大学出版社)
Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-022-09485-x
Matthias Ecker-Ehrhardt
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引用次数: 0
Public responses to foreign protectionism: Evidence from the US-China trade war. 公众对外国保护主义的反应:来自中美贸易战的证据。
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-022-09468-y
David A Steinberg, Yeling Tan

America's recent turn towards protectionism has raised concerns over the future viability of the liberal international trading system. This study examines how and why public attitudes towards international trade change when one's country is targeted by protectionist measures from abroad. To address this question, we fielded three original survey experiments in the country most affected by US protectionism: China. First, we find consistent evidence that US protectionism reduces support for trade among Chinese citizens. We replicate this finding in parallel experiments on technology cooperation, and provide further external validation with a survey experiment in Argentina. Second, we show that responses to US protectionism reflect both a "direct reciprocity" logic, whereby citizens want to retaliate against the US specifically, as well as a "generalized reciprocity" logic that reduces support for trade on a broader, systemic, basis.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11558-022-09468-y.

美国最近转向保护主义,引发了人们对自由国际贸易体系未来可行性的担忧。本研究探讨了当一个国家成为国外保护主义措施的目标时,公众对国际贸易的态度如何以及为什么会发生变化。为了回答这个问题,我们在受美国保护主义影响最严重的国家——中国——进行了三项原创调查实验。首先,我们发现一致的证据表明,美国的保护主义减少了中国公民对贸易的支持。我们在技术合作的平行实验中重复了这一发现,并通过在阿根廷进行的调查实验提供了进一步的外部验证。其次,我们表明,对美国保护主义的反应既反映了“直接互惠”逻辑,即公民希望专门对美国进行报复,也反映了“广义互惠”逻辑,即在更广泛、系统性的基础上减少对贸易的支持。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,获取地址为10.1007/s11558-022-09468-y。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
The review of international organizations
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