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Long-term distribution and evolution trends of absorption aerosol optical depth with different chemical components in global and typical regions 全球和典型地区不同化学成分吸收气溶胶光学深度的长期分布及演变趋势
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107819
Hujia Zhao , Ke Gui , Yangfeng Wang , Yaqiang Wang , Hong Wang , Yu Zheng , Lei Li , Xiaofang Jia , Huizheng Che , Xiaoye Zhang
Different types of atmospheric aerosols have different climatic effects. In this study, MERRA-2 reanalysis data of absorption aerosol optical depth (AAOD) products at 550 nm from 1980 to 2018 were used to analyse the long-term distribution characteristics and evolution trends of the AAOD of different chemical components globally and in 12 typical study areas. We also analysed the seasonal and interannual monthly variations of the different chemical components of AAOD. In the 40-year study period from 1980 to 2018, the maximum value of total AAOD (TAAOD) appears in the southern regions of SD (Sahara Desert), CSA (Central Southern Africa), NC (Northern China), SC (Southern China), and SEA (Southeastern Asia) (> 0.040). The highest value of dust AAOD (DUAAOD) is in SD (0.030–0.040), and the contribution rate reaches 80 %; while in SC, SEA, and AMZ, black carbon AAOD (BCAAOD) contributes 80 %–90 %. The high-value area of DUAAOD in SD-ME-NWC expands in spring, and the dust belt formed in summer results in a larger DUAAOD (> 0.050). The proportion of BCAAOD in autumn and winter is larger in the dust belt, which is another major contributor to AAOD in this region. The monthly distributions of TAAOD in SEA, CSA, NC, and AMZ are mainly affected by biomass combustion, while the DU in ME (Middle East), NWC (Northwestern China), and SD has a greater effect on AAOD, and the TAAOD in NEA (Northeastern Asia), WEU (Western Europe), EUS (Eastern United States), SC, SA (Southern Asia), and other regions is mainly affected by both DU and BC + OC (in which OC refers to organic carbon). The interannual variations of BCAAOD and OCAAOD tend to be flat before 2000, and then show an increasing trend. BCAAOD has the largest relative contribution (at about 60 %), followed by DUAAOD (at about 30 %), and then OCAAOD has the smallest contribution (at less than 10 %). From a global perspective, AAOD shows different increasing trends during 1980–2018, 1980–1992, and 1993–2005, and decreases or even completely reverses during 2006–2018. This paper provides the distribution characteristics and evolutionary trends of different chemical components of AAOD, which can improve scientific understanding of global- and regional-scale aerosols and their climatic effects.
不同类型的大气气溶胶具有不同的气候效应。利用1980 - 2018年MERRA-2吸收气溶胶光学深度(AAOD)产品550 nm再分析数据,分析了全球和12个典型研究区不同化学成分的AAOD的长期分布特征和演变趋势。分析了不同化学成分AAOD的季节和年际月变化。在1980 - 2018年的40年研究期间,总AAOD (TAAOD)最大值出现在SD(撒哈拉沙漠)、CSA(非洲中部南部)、NC(中国北部)、SC(中国南部)和SEA(东南亚)的南部地区(>;0.040)。粉尘AAOD (DUAAOD)在SD值最高(0.030 ~ 0.040),贡献率达80%;而在SC、SEA和AMZ中,黑碳AAOD (BCAAOD)占80% - 90%。SD-ME-NWC DUAAOD高值区在春季扩大,夏季形成的沙尘带导致DUAAOD增大(>;0.050)。秋季和冬季BCAAOD在沙尘带的比例较大,是该地区AAOD的另一个主要来源。SEA、CSA、NC和AMZ地区TAAOD的月分布主要受生物质燃烧的影响,ME(中东)、NWC(中国西北)和SD地区的DU对TAAOD的影响较大,NEA(东北亚)、WEU(西欧)、EUS(美国东部)、SC、SA(南亚)等地区的TAAOD主要受DU和BC + OC (OC指有机碳)的影响。BCAAOD和OCAAOD的年际变化在2000年之前趋于平缓,之后呈增加趋势。BCAAOD的相对贡献最大(约为60%),其次是DUAAOD(约为30%),OCAAOD的相对贡献最小(小于10%)。从全球范围看,AAOD在1980—2018年、1980—1992年和1993—2005年呈现不同的增加趋势,在2006—2018年呈下降甚至完全逆转趋势。本文提供了AAOD不同化学成分的分布特征和演化趋势,有助于提高对全球和区域尺度气溶胶及其气候效应的科学认识。
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引用次数: 0
Atmospheric CO2 column concentration over Iran: Emissions, GOSAT satellite observations, and WRF-GHG model simulations 伊朗上空大气CO2柱浓度:排放、GOSAT卫星观测和WRF-GHG模式模拟
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107818
Samira Karbasi , Amir Hossein Abdi , Hossein Malakooti , Jose Antonio Garcia Orza
<div><div>Regarding global warming and climate change, carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) is one of the most important greenhouse gases. Simulating CO<sub>2</sub> gas at hourly/weekly time intervals and desired vertical resolution is challenging due to the coarse horizontal resolution of global models. In this study, both column-averaged CO<sub>2</sub> mixing ratio (XCO<sub>2</sub>) and vertical cross sections of CO<sub>2</sub> mixing ratio were simulated by the Weather Research and Forecast Green House gas (WRF-GHG) model at spatial resolutions of 30 and 10 km for the Middle East region as the first domain, and Iran as the second domain. Simulations consider the primary CO<sub>2</sub> sources (anthropogenic, biogenic, fire, and oceanic) and the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) dataset. XCO<sub>2</sub> retrieved from GOSAT satellite observations was employed to evaluate the simulation results of the column-averaged CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations in February and August 2010. The evaluations showed that the spatiotemporal variability of meteorological variables was well simulated by WRF-GHG with correlation coefficients r of 0.86–0.92, 0.67–0.75, and 0.76–0.82 for temperature, wind, and relative humidity, respectively, during February and August 2010. The evaluations also indicated that the WRF-GHG simulations outperformed the global model TM3, with mean bias error values of − 0.79 and 0.45 PPMV for WRF-GHG in February and August, respectively. The percentage contribution of net CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from human activities in Iran was calculated as (38.33 % and 23.70 %) of the total emissions, respectively, with values of 4.4 and 0.85 kg/km<sup>2</sup> in each month. The net emissions contributions of biogenic, fire, and oceanic sources were evaluated in February and August, with biogenic emissions contributing (31.901 % and 27.66 %), biogenic absorption contributing (24.07 % and 46.63 %), fire emissions contributing (5.7 % and 2.064 %), and oceanic emissions contributing (3.23 × 10<sup>−6</sup> % and 2.23 × 10<sup>−6</sup> %). Large-scale circulations and biogenic activity are responsible for the major features of the spatial and seasonal distribution of CO<sub>2</sub> in the area. In February, column mixing ratios are higher in more northern latitudes; in August, they are higher to the south. Furthermore, the simulated vertical cross sections show high CO<sub>2</sub> mixing ratios in the mid-lower troposphere and northerly/northeasterly advection in February; the vertical profile is inverted in August with high concentrations in the lower stratosphere associated with southwesterly advection. However, the interaction between the synoptic and sub-synoptic features with the topography determines the precise dispersion and distribution of CO<sub>2</sub>. Despite the negligible emissions in central and eastern Iran, these factors play an important role in the observed concentrations in February and August. In August, the areas between the
在全球变暖和气候变化中,二氧化碳(CO2)是最重要的温室气体之一。由于全球模式的水平分辨率较差,因此以每小时/每周的时间间隔和所需的垂直分辨率模拟CO2气体具有挑战性。本文采用气候研究与预报温室气体(WRF-GHG)模式在30和10 km空间分辨率下模拟了中东地区为第一域,伊朗为第二域的柱平均CO2混合比(XCO2)和CO2混合比的垂直截面。模拟考虑了二氧化碳的主要来源(人为、生物、火灾和海洋)和哥白尼大气监测服务(CAMS)数据集。利用GOSAT卫星观测反演的XCO2对2010年2月和8月柱平均CO2浓度的模拟结果进行了评价。结果表明,WRF-GHG能较好地模拟2010年2月和8月气温、风和相对湿度的时空变异性,相关系数r分别为0.86 ~ 0.92、0.67 ~ 0.75和0.76 ~ 0.82。WRF-GHG模拟在2月和8月的平均偏差分别为- 0.79和0.45 PPMV,优于全球模式TM3。伊朗人类活动净CO2排放的贡献率分别为38.33%和23.70%,每月分别为4.4和0.85 kg/km2。2月和8月对生物源、火灾源和海洋源的净排放贡献进行了评价,其中生物源排放贡献(31.901%和27.66%),生物源吸收贡献(24.07%和46.63%),火灾排放贡献(5.7%和2.064%),海洋排放贡献(3.23 × 10−6%和2.23 × 10−6%)。大尺度环流和生物活动是该区CO2空间和季节分布的主要特征。2月份,北纬地区柱状混合比较高;在八月,它们在南方更高。此外,模拟的垂直剖面显示,2月份对流层中下层和偏北/偏东北平流的CO2混合比较高;垂直剖面在8月倒转,平流层低层高浓度,与西南平流有关。然而,天气和次天气特征与地形的相互作用决定了CO2的精确弥散和分布。尽管伊朗中部和东部的排放量可以忽略不计,但这些因素在2月和8月的观测浓度中发挥了重要作用。8月,伊朗东部锡斯坦的120天低层季风气流与伊朗西部/西南部和扎格罗斯山脉的西风带之间的区域与伊朗平原的热低压和阿拉伯副热带高压相互作用。2月,西亚主要风向为西风,主要污染源来自东北地区,流向伊朗中东部。极地急流向赤道移动和冬季来自西部的低压系统的通过导致了CO2浓度的暂时降低。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation of the meteorological conditions, dynamical, and microphysical characteristics of convective precipitation over the rainfall center of South China in the Pre-summer Rainy Season 夏季前雨季华南降水中心对流降水的气象条件、动力和微物理特征研究
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107823
Haoyang Wei , Min Wen , Zheng Ruan , Haoran Li , Xiaohui Shi , Ziheng Huang
This study investigates the meteorological conditions, dynamics, and microphysical characteristics of convective precipitation in Longmen, South China, during the Pre-summer Rainy Season (PRS) from 2016 to 2020, focusing on the influence of the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) onset. Utilizing the ERA5 reanalysis dataset and observations from the C-band Vertical Pointing Radar (VPRC) and Two-Dimensional Video Disdrometer (2DVD), we analyzed 4560 Convective Precipitation Features (CPFs) and classified them into shallow convection (SC), middle convection (MC), and deep convection (DC) based on the maximum height of 35 dBZ echo-top. Key findings reveal that the onset of the SCSSM significantly enhances convective rainfall. Specifically, it increases the proportion of convective rainfall by 11 % and intensifies rainfall duration and intensity by approximately 2.2 times. Enhanced moisture convergence and stronger convective instability drive these changes. The microphysical processes are distinct across different CPF types. SCs display warm-rain processes, MCs indicate mixed-phase processes, and DCs are associated with ice-phase processes. Each type contributes uniquely to precipitation characteristics, vertical reflectivity profiles, and raindrop size distributions. These insights emphasize the SCSSM's critical role in regional precipitation patterns and provide valuable insights into the underlying processes affecting convective systems in South China, ultimately contributing to improving the capabilities of prediction in atmospheric research.
本文研究了2016 - 2020年夏季前雨季(Pre-summer Rainy Season, PRS)期间华南龙门对流降水的气象条件、动力和微物理特征,重点研究了南海夏季风(SCSSM)爆发的影响。利用ERA5再分析数据,结合c波段垂直指向雷达(VPRC)和二维视频Disdrometer (2DVD)观测资料,对4560个对流降水特征(CPFs)进行了分析,并基于35 dBZ回波顶最大高度将其分为浅对流(SC)、中对流(MC)和深对流(DC)。主要研究结果显示,南海高压的出现显著增强了对流降雨。具体而言,它使对流降雨的比例增加了11%,降雨持续时间和强度增加了约2.2倍。水汽辐合增强和对流不稳定性增强驱动了这些变化。不同CPF类型的微物理过程是不同的。SCs显示暖雨过程,MCs显示混合相过程,而DCs与冰相过程有关。每种类型对降水特征、垂直反射率曲线和雨滴大小分布都有独特的贡献。这些发现强调了SCSSM在区域降水模式中的关键作用,并对影响华南对流系统的潜在过程提供了有价值的见解,最终有助于提高大气研究中的预测能力。
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引用次数: 0
Towards an understanding of uncertainties in the Lagrangian analysis of moisture sources for tropical cyclone precipitation through a study case 通过研究案例了解热带气旋降水水汽源拉格朗日分析的不确定性
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107822
Albenis Pérez-Alarcón , Marta Vázquez , Ricardo M. Trigo , Raquel Nieto , Luis Gimeno
Despite the increasing number of atmospheric moisture tracking tools, their validation is challenging due to the lack of observations. This work contributes to a better understanding of uncertainties in the moisture sources analysis for the precipitation of tropical cyclones (TCs) by assessing eight combinations of threshold values in tracking methods based on the Lagrangian water budget equation. We selected as a study case Hurricane Ida that formed in the North Atlantic basin in late August 2021 and extracted the air parcel trajectories from the global outputs of the Lagrangian FLEXPART model. Results indicate that the choice of relative humidity (RH) threshold for filtering precipitating parcels has a noticeable impact on the Lagrangian precipitation estimates. In addition, methods applying the atmospheric boundary layer restriction produce a weaker moisture source pattern than those accounting for moisture uptakes in the whole atmospheric column. In particular, methods imposing an RH restriction along the air parcel trajectories to filter out noise in moisture losses outperform the others, providing more reliable moisture source contributions. We also introduced a simple bias correction approach that further improves the reliability of moisture source representation.
尽管大气水汽跟踪工具的数量在不断增加,但由于缺乏观测资料,对这些工具的验证仍具有挑战性。这项工作通过评估基于拉格朗日水预算方程的跟踪方法中的八个阈值组合,有助于更好地理解热带气旋降水的水汽源分析中的不确定性。我们选择了 2021 年 8 月底在北大西洋海盆形成的飓风艾达作为研究案例,并从拉格朗日 FLEXPART 模式的全球输出中提取了空气包裹轨迹。结果表明,过滤降水包裹的相对湿度(RH)阈值的选择对拉格朗日降水量估计值有明显影响。此外,应用大气边界层限制的方法产生的水汽源模式要弱于考虑整个大气柱水汽吸收的方法。特别是,沿空气包裹轨迹施加相对湿度限制以过滤水汽损失噪声的方法优于其他方法,提供了更可靠的水汽源贡献。我们还引入了一种简单的偏差校正方法,进一步提高了水汽源表示的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Regional differences in the effects of atmospheric moisture residence time on precipitation isotopes over Eurasia 大气水汽停留时间对欧亚大陆降水同位素影响的区域差异
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107813
Qinqin Wang , Yuwei Liu , Guofeng Zhu , Siyu Lu , Longhu Chen , Yinying Jiao , Wenmin Li , Wentong Li , Yuhao Wang
Regional variations in atmospheric moisture residence time (RT) highlight the need to obtain independent observation indexes to constrain different model-based estimates. Stable isotopes of oxygen and hydrogen naturally exist in water molecules that can provide such observational constraints. We analyzed the relationship between RT and precipitation isotopes (δ2H and δ18O) across different climatic zones in Eurasia from 1980 to 2020. Our analysis reveals that: (1) Both precipitation isotopes and RT showed significant increasing trends during 1980–2020. The increase in RT corresponds to weakened net isotopic distillation over Eurasia, suggesting reduced atmospheric circulation intensity under warming conditions. (2) The spatial patterns of RT and precipitation isotopes vary significantly among different moisture source regions, reflecting distinct moisture transport and precipitation formation processes. (3) On long-term scales, RT generally shows positive correlations with precipitation isotopes, except in plateau regions. The RT-δ18O relationship exhibits latitude-dependent variations, with similar slopes in regions sharing common moisture sources. These findings enhance our understanding of the long-term controls on precipitation isotopic composition and atmospheric moisture cycling patterns across Eurasia.
大气湿气停留时间(RT)的区域性变化突出表明,需要获得独立的观测指标来制约不同的基于模式的估算。水分子中天然存在的氧和氢的稳定同位素可以提供这种观测约束。我们分析了 1980 年至 2020 年欧亚大陆不同气候带 RT 与降水同位素(δ2H 和 δ18O)之间的关系。我们的分析表明(1) 1980-2020 年间,降水同位素和 RT 均呈显著上升趋势。RT的增加与欧亚大陆上空净同位素蒸馏的减弱相对应,表明在气候变暖条件下大气环流强度减弱。(2)RT 和降水同位素的空间模式在不同水汽源区之间存在显著差异,反映了不同的水汽输送和降水形成过程。(3)在长期尺度上,除高原地区外,RT 一般与降水同位素呈正相关。RT 与δ18O 的关系呈现出纬度依赖性变化,在具有共同水汽来源的地区,两者的斜率相似。这些发现加深了我们对整个欧亚大陆降水同位素组成和大气水汽循环模式的长期控制的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Sensitivity of dust event simulation to dust emission schemes and meteorological forcing datasets in the Belt and Road regions: A case study “一带一路”地区沙尘事件模拟对沙尘排放方案和气象强迫数据集的敏感性研究
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107817
Naidi Ren , Tie Dai , Yueming Cheng , Guangyu Shi
This study investigates the sensitivity of dust event simulation to dust emission schemes and meteorological forcing datasets in the Belt and Road regions, which we divided into three dust-affected regions: North Africa, the Middle East-central Asia, and East Asia. The Weather Research and Forecasting model with online coupled chemistry (WRF-Chem) is used to simulate a dust event in the Belt and Road regions from June 15 to 20, 2016. Nine experiments were conducted using three sets of dust emission schemes (GOCART, Goddard Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport; AFWA, Air Force Weather Agency; UoC, University of Cologne) and three meteorological forcing datasets (NCEP FNL, National Centers for Environmental Prediction Final; ECMWF ERA5, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5; JMA JRA-55, Japan Meteorological Agency 55-year Reanalysis). The accuracy and applicability of the schemes and datasets were verified and evaluated by the global atmospheric reanalysis data, Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), as well as observed data from the AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) and CloudAerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP). The main conclusions drawn from the simulation of this dust event are as follows: In the Middle East-central Asia and East Asia, the uncertainty in the dust emission schemes is greater than that in the meteorological forcing datasets, while in North Africa, they are comparable. Among the schemes, GOCART is generally more applicable across the three dust-affected regions compared to AFWA and UoC. Additionally, JRA-55 shows a slight advantage over FNL and ERA5 in North Africa and the Middle East-central Asia. Significant differences in the spatial distribution of dust emissions are observed among experiments using different dust emission schemes, whereas slight differences are noted among those with different meteorological forcing datasets; notably, dust optical depth (DOD) distribution closely aligns with dust emissions.
本文研究了“一带一路”地区沙尘事件模拟对沙尘排放方案和气象强迫数据集的敏感性,并将其划分为北非、中东-中亚和东亚3个沙尘影响区。利用在线耦合化学天气研究与预报模型(WRF-Chem)对2016年6月15日至20日“一带一路”地区的一次沙尘事件进行了模拟。采用GOCART、Goddard全球臭氧化学气溶胶辐射和传输方案;美国空军气象局;UoC,科隆大学)和三个气象强迫数据集(NCEP FNL,国家环境预测最终中心;欧洲中期天气预报再分析中心(ECMWF ERA5);JMA JRA-55,日本气象厅55年再分析。利用全球大气再分析资料《现代回顾分析研究与应用》第2版(MERRA-2)以及气溶胶机器人网络(AERONET)和云溶胶正交偏振激光雷达(CALIOP)的观测数据,验证了方案和数据集的准确性和适用性。本次沙尘事件模拟的主要结论是:在中东-中亚和东亚,沙尘排放方案的不确定性大于气象强迫资料集的不确定性,而在北非,它们具有可比性。其中,与AFWA和UoC相比,GOCART总体上更适用于三个沙尘影响地区。此外,JRA-55在北非和中东-中亚地区比民族解放力量和ERA5略有优势。不同沙尘排放方案试验的沙尘排放空间分布差异显著,不同气象强迫资料试验的沙尘排放空间分布差异不大;值得注意的是,尘埃光学深度(DOD)分布与尘埃发射密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
The modulation effect of the Victoria mode on the uncertainty connection between ENSO and winter European surface air temperature 维多利亚模式对厄尔尼诺/南方涛动与冬季欧洲地表气温之间不确定性联系的调节作用
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107815
Kai Ji , Ruiqiang Ding , Linlu Mei
While El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has widespread impacts on the climate around the Pacific and North America, the relationship between ENSO and winter surface air temperature (SAT) in Europe is less well established. This study investigates the modulation effects of the spring Victoria mode (VM) on the weak ENSO–SAT connection in the following winter based on reanalysis data and numerical experiments. It is shown that the connection between ENSO and the winter SAT in central Europe has a significant and positive (negative) correlation during the positive (negative) VM phase. Further analysis shows that the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with ENSO play an important role in the VM modulation. For the positive VM phase, ENSO combined with the SST warming mode in the western North Pacific induces the East Atlantic teleconnection pattern, which strengthens the anomalous warm advection and leads to the positive SAT anomalies in central Europe. In contrast, for the negative VM phase, ENSO could trigger a negative North Atlantic Oscillation pattern through intermediate SST anomalies in the tropical North Pacific, favoring the formation of the negative central European SAT anomalies. The remarkable modulation effect of the VM on the connection between ENSO and winter central European SAT is further verified through forced experiments using an atmospheric model. This could provide hope that ENSO can make predictions for the winter SAT in central Europe, considering the phase of the preceding spring VM.
厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)对太平洋和北美气候的影响十分广泛,但欧洲ENSO与冬季地表气温(SAT)之间的关系却不太明确。本研究基于再分析数据和数值试验,研究了春季维多利亚模式(VM)对翌年冬季 ENSO 与 SAT 之间微弱联系的调节作用。结果表明,在维多利亚模式正(负)阶段,厄尔尼诺/南方涛动与欧洲中部冬季 SAT 之间的联系具有显著的正(负)相关性。进一步的分析表明,与厄尔尼诺/南方涛动相关的海面温度(SST)异常在 VM 调节中发挥了重要作用。在正的 VM 阶段,厄尔尼诺/南方涛动与北太平洋西部的海面温度变暖模式相结合,诱发了东大西洋远缘连接模式,从而加强了异常暖平流,导致欧洲中部出现正的 SAT 异常。相反,在负的 VM 阶段,厄尔尼诺/南方涛动可通过热带北太平洋的中间海温异常触发负的北大西洋涛动模式,有利于形成负的欧洲中部 SAT 异常。通过使用大气模型进行强迫实验,进一步验证了 VM 对厄尔尼诺/南方涛动与冬季欧洲中部 SAT 之间联系的显著调节作用。这为厄尔尼诺/南方涛动能够预测欧洲中部冬季 SAT 带来了希望,同时考虑到之前春季 VM 的阶段。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of climate trends on the heavy precipitation event associated with Typhoon Doksuri in Northern China 气候趋势对与台风 "杜苏芮 "有关的华北强降水事件的影响
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107816
Ziyu Yan , Zhuo Wang , Melinda Peng
The remnant inland circulation of Typhoon Doksuri induced catastrophic heavy precipitation in July 2023 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area of China. The role of climate trends in this event is investigated using the pseudo-global warming approach. The control experiment driven by the ERA5 reanalysis captures the intensity and spatial distribution of the heavy precipitation reasonably well. The effects of climate trends are investigated by removing climate trends in various variables from the boundary and initial conditions of the sensitivity experiments. The warming trend of sea surface temperature is found to enhance extreme precipitation intensity, while the specific humidity trend, which is positive over the ocean but negative in some inland regions, has negligible impacts on inland extreme precipitation. The impacts of atmospheric dynamic trends are found to be predominant, which alter the track of the remnant circulation, reduce precipitation intensity, and substantially change the spatial distribution of precipitation. This study highlights the importance of considering atmospheric dynamic trends when assessing the impacts of climate trends on typhoon remnant circulations over land, which may lead to extreme precipitation in regions that have rarely experienced such extremes before.
台风 "杜苏芮 "的残余内陆环流于 2023 年 7 月在中国京津冀地区引发了灾难性的强降水。本文采用伪全球变暖方法研究了气候趋势在此次事件中的作用。由ERA5再分析驱动的对照实验较好地捕捉了强降水的强度和空间分布。通过从敏感性实验的边界和初始条件中剔除各种变量的气候趋势,研究了气候趋势的影响。结果发现,海面温度的变暖趋势会增强极端降水强度,而比湿度的变化趋势对内陆极端降水的影响微乎其微。大气动态趋势的影响占主导地位,它改变了残余环流的轨迹,降低了降水强度,并极大地改变了降水的空间分布。这项研究强调了在评估气候趋势对陆地台风残余环流的影响时考虑大气动态趋势的重要性,这可能会导致以前很少经历极端降水的地区出现极端降水。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the ALADIN-climate model reanalysis over Central Europe 评估 ALADIN-中欧气候模型再分析
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107809
Romana Beranová , Michal Belda , Radmila Brožková , Lucie Pokorná , Jana Popová , Zuzana Rulfová , Zbyněk Sokol
Reanalysis is a well-established tool for monitoring the state of the atmosphere. This study aims at validating the ALADIN-Climate (AC) model reanalysis over Europe with a focus on Central Europe. The AC model is based on the ALARO model configuration and belongs to convection permitting models. Its horizontal resolution is 2.3 km. We evaluated a 25-year long period (1990–2014) and we performed the validation process using measurements from ground-based meteorological data over Europe to assess the ability of the AC model to simulate temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, wind speed, and global radiation. The AC model reanalysis tends to overestimate minimum daily temperature and underestimate maximum daily temperature, with larger differences observed during summer. Winter precipitation totals are overestimated by nearly 50 %, partly due to an overestimation of wet days, while summer precipitation is less overestimated (by 13 %). Relative humidity is consistently overestimated across the model domain in winter, whereas in summer it is variable. Wind speed is overestimated in both summer and winter, and global radiation is also overestimated, especially in winter. Although some variables, like winter precipitation, exhibit significant biases, the overall differences between the AC model reanalysis and station data are consistent with other reanalyses, such as CERRA and ERA5. Biases in the AC model reanalysis are not only caused by the model's imperfections and errors, but also by potential systematic errors at measuring stations. Given its high spatial resolution, this AC regional reanalysis offers a valuable source for further climate studies in Central Europe.
再分析是一种成熟的大气状态监测工具。这项研究旨在验证欧洲上空的 ALADIN-气候(AC)模式再分析,重点是中欧。AC 模式基于 ALARO 模式配置,属于对流允许模式。其水平分辨率为 2.3 千米。我们评估了长达 25 年的时间(1990-2014 年),并利用欧洲上空的地面气象数据进行了验证,以评估 AC 模式模拟温度、降水、相对湿度、风速和全球辐射的能力。AC 模式再分析倾向于高估日最低气温和低估日最高气温,夏季观测到的差异更大。冬季降水总量被高估了近 50%,部分原因是高估了潮湿天数,而夏季降水量被高估的程度较小(13%)。冬季整个模式域的相对湿度一直被高估,而夏季则不尽相同。风速在夏季和冬季都被高估,全球辐射也被高估,尤其是在冬季。虽然某些变量(如冬季降水量)存在明显偏差,但 AC 模式再分析与站点数据之间的总体差异与其他再分析(如 CERRA 和 ERA5)是一致的。AC 模式再分析的偏差不仅是由模式的不完善和误差造成的,也是由测站潜在的系统误差造成的。鉴于其较高的空间分辨率,AC 区域再分析为进一步研究中欧气候提供了宝贵的资料来源。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of radiative effects of deep convective cloud cores using SAPHIR & ScaRaB onboard Megha-Tropiques satellite 利用 Megha-Tropiques 卫星上的 SAPHIR 和 ScaRaB 估算深对流云核的辐射效应
IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107803
Sisma Samuel , Nizy Mathew , V. Sathiyamoorthy
The instantaneous radiative effects of cores of deep convective clouds (CDCCs) linked to well-organised long-lived convective system over the tropics is estimated for the first time using Megha-Tropiques (MT) during 2012‐–2018. Sondeur Atmosphérique du Profil d'Humidité Intertropicale par Radiométrie (SAPHIR) and Scanner for Radiation Budget (ScaRaB) onboard MT provides collocated and concurrent observations of CDCCs and associated fluxes on top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA), respectively. The vertical extent of CDCCs is estimated using collocated and concurrent CloudSat and SAPHIR observations. The CDCCs have a vertical extent above 10 km and their frequency of occurrence peaks between 13 and 16 km. CDCCs exert significant longwave radiative effect over the tropical Africa, northwest Pacific Ocean and northern Bay of Bengal during June–August with values ranging between 160 Wm−2 and 180 Wm−2. Over the convective core regions, the magnitude of day time (08–17 Local time) shortwave radiative effect of CDCCs (SWREC) ranges from −250 Wm−2 to −650 Wm−2 with peak values over northern Bay of Bengal and west Pacific Ocean during June to August. The SWREC aligns with both the incoming solar radiation and the occurrence frequency of CDCCs (OFCs), while the diurnal cycle of LWREC follows the OFCs, with a more pronounced variation over land. A diurnal amplitude of 30–40 Wm−2 is observed in LWREC over the ocean, 60 Wm−2 over land. The CDCCs exert a net radiative cooling ranging from −200 Wm−2 to −550 Wm−2 during daytime and a net warming during night time that reaches as high as 160 Wm−2.
在 2012-2018 年期间,利用热带云(Megha-Tropiques,MT)首次估算了热带地区与组织良好的长寿命对流系统相关的深对流云(CDCCs)核心的瞬时辐射效应。MT上的Sondeur Atmosphérique du Profil d'Humidité Intertropicale par Radiométrie (SAPHIR)和Scanner for Radiation Budget (ScaRaB)分别提供了对CDCCs和相关通量在大气层顶部(TOA)的协同和同步观测。CDCCs 的垂直范围是利用同地和同期的 CloudSat 和 SAPHIR 观测数据估算的。CDCC的垂直范围在10千米以上,出现频率在13到16千米之间达到峰值。6-8月期间,CDCC在热带非洲、西北太平洋和孟加拉湾北部产生了明显的长波辐射效应,其值在160 Wm-2和180 Wm-2之间。在对流核心区域,白天(当地时间 08-17 点)的短波辐射效应(SWREC)在-250 Wm-2 到 -650 Wm-2 之间,6-8 月间在孟加拉湾北部和西太平洋达到峰值。SWREC与太阳辐射入射值和CDCC发生频率(OFCs)一致,而LWREC的昼夜周期与OFCs一致,在陆地上的变化更为明显。在海洋上观测到的 LWREC 日振幅为 30-40 Wm-2,在陆地上为∼60 Wm-2。CDCCs在白天会产生-200 Wm-2到-550 Wm-2的净辐射冷却,而在夜间则会产生高达160 Wm-2的净升温。
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Atmospheric Research
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