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Innovative Approach to the Analysis of Enterprise's Competitive Capacity 企业竞争力分析的创新方法
Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.13189/aeb.2018.060302
Valery Roldugin, R. Kayumov
Nowadays it is recognized that entrepreneurship and innovation lie at the heart of economic growth. In the article the authors research an innovative approach to the analysis activity of the Uzbekistan enterprises with international companies. The purpose of this article consists in a research of theoretical problems which are connected with competitiveness of the international organizations. The formation and the development of funding infrastructure to support international companies in the early stages is a complex process that depends on a number of factors, requiring the special approach to the analysis of enterprise's financial performance. Additionally, it presumes high business activity to creating new businesses, some of which succeed and some fail trying to overcome the uncertainties of the enterprise risks and profitableness. In progress of the thesis, different scientific methods of research have been used, including: system analysis, formalization and modeling.
如今,人们认识到创业和创新是经济增长的核心。在本文中,作者研究了一种创新的方法来分析乌兹别克斯坦企业与国际公司的活动。本文的目的在于研究与国际组织竞争力相关的理论问题。在早期阶段支持国际公司的融资基础设施的形成和发展是一个复杂的过程,取决于许多因素,需要对企业的财务业绩采取特殊的分析方法。此外,它假设高商业活动是为了创建新的业务,其中一些成功了,另一些失败了,试图克服企业风险和盈利能力的不确定性。在论文的研究过程中,使用了不同的科学研究方法,包括:系统分析、形式化和建模。
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引用次数: 1
Recent Issues on Human Capital Formation and Development of the Nigerian Economy 尼日利亚人力资本形成与经济发展的最新问题
Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.13189/aeb.2018.060301
H. Abdullahi, Gylych Jelilov, Selman Tetik
The role of human capital formation in economic growth and development has been highly underestimated in Nigeria. The study at this moment attempts to create an insight into the importance of human capital formation using real GDP per capita, government expenditure on health, government expenditure on education and primary school enrolment in the case of Nigeria. It used time series data from 1980 to 2017 and employed OLS regression technique, Johanssen cointegration and Granger causality test. The results from the various methods utilized affirmed the importance of human capital formation towards actualizing economic growth and development in Nigeria. The ordinary least square regression result showed a positive relationship between Government capital expenditure on health, Education and primary school enrolment. The Johanssen cointegration result showed cointegrating vectors in both the trace and maximum Eigenvalue test. The results from the Granger causality test indicated a bi-directional between primary school enrolment and Real GDP, a Uni-directional relationship between real GDP and government capital expenditure on health and education. The study strongly recommends a more budgetary capital allocation to health and education. The study went further to suggest strategies that would ensure the increase in primary school enrolment.
尼日利亚严重低估了人力资本形成在经济增长和发展中的作用。目前的研究试图利用尼日利亚的实际人均国内生产总值、政府卫生支出、政府教育支出和小学入学率来深入了解人力资本形成的重要性。它使用了1980-2017年的时间序列数据,并采用了OLS回归技术、Johanssen协整和Granger因果关系检验。所使用的各种方法的结果肯定了人力资本形成对实现尼日利亚经济增长和发展的重要性。普通最小二乘回归结果显示,政府在卫生、教育方面的资本支出与小学入学率呈正相关。Johanssen协整结果在迹和最大特征值检验中都显示了协整向量。格兰杰因果检验的结果表明,小学入学率和实际GDP之间是双向的,实际GDP和政府在卫生和教育方面的资本支出之间是单向的。该研究强烈建议将更多的预算资本分配给卫生和教育。该研究进一步提出了确保小学入学率提高的战略。
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引用次数: 0
The Bankruptcy Forecasting Model of Hungarian Enterprises 匈牙利企业破产预测模型
Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.13189/aeb.2018.060304
A. Baranyi, Csaba Faragó, C. Fekete, Z. Széles
The SME sector is really important for the Hungarian economy. In our analysis, we had a closer look at the publicly accessible version of Altman's Z-score bankruptcy forecast model for companies not quoted on the Stock Exchange together with the original and the modified, adjusted Springate bankruptcy prediction model. The adjusted Springate model regarded only 37% of the companies having gone bankrupt in real as insolvent, while the justified Altman Z-score model was able to identify only 46% of the stable ongoing firms. The variance analysis could not detect any correlations between the phenomenon of bankruptcy and financial types. By means of logistic regression, we managed to create a model that can forecast solvency for the examined enterprises with a probability of 78%. In the last part of our research, we were dealing with teaching artificial intelligence and creating decision trees based on neural network. Even by means of the first bankruptcy forecast model based on decision trees, a more efficient predicting system was gained than by using any other methods. We assume that only the decision tree made up by using artificial intelligence is efficient in forecasting bankruptcy of all the examined models.
中小企业对匈牙利经济非常重要。在我们的分析中,我们仔细研究了Altman的Z-score破产预测模型的公开版本,该模型适用于未在证券交易所上市的公司,以及原始的和经过修改、调整的Springate破产预测模型。调整后的Springate模型仅将37%的实际破产公司视为资不抵债,而经过验证的Altman Z-score模型仅能够识别出46%的稳定的正在进行的公司。方差分析未发现破产现象与金融类型之间存在相关性。通过逻辑回归,我们成功地建立了一个模型,该模型可以以78%的概率预测被检查企业的偿付能力。在我们研究的最后一部分,我们研究了基于神经网络的教学人工智能和创建决策树。即使使用基于决策树的第一个破产预测模型,也比使用其他方法获得了更有效的预测系统。我们假设只有使用人工智能组成的决策树才能有效地预测所有被检验模型的破产。
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引用次数: 0
North East Region and Arunachal Pradesh (India) - Looking beyond & within in Pursuit to Promote Entrepreneurship 东北地区和印控"阿鲁纳恰尔邦"(印度)-在追求促进创业的过程中超越和超越
Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.13189/aeb.2018.060305
S. Deb
Entrepreneurs shape economic destiny of nations. Their innovative ideas are major source of competitiveness in an increasingly globalizing world economy. Without a strong entrepreneurial community the developing countries will not prosper despite their rich resource endowments. India is a young country with about 63 per cent population in the working age group. This demographic dividend needs to be en-cashed with priorities. Engagements of the youths in creative pursuits, embracing entrepreneurship will bring steadiness to the growth curve and socio-economic transformation. Regional disparities of this country are an issue of concern. In this context focus on the North East Region in general and the state of Arunachal Pradesh in particular are more relevant. The problem of this region can be tackled by harnessing entrepreneurship, by promoting Micro and Small Enterprises. This needs creation of an ecosystem grooming the youths with the relevant skills, inspiring motivation, igniting entrepreneurship and innovations. The present century has thrown up unfamiliar challenges. The pace of change has been fast and our youths have to synchronize them to face these challenges at fast track. An essential way to motivate youths is to celebrate their entrepreneurship, their innovations and their stories of success need to be told.
企业家决定着国家的经济命运。在日益全球化的世界经济中,他们的创新理念是竞争力的主要来源。发展中国家虽然拥有丰富的资源禀赋,但如果没有强大的企业家社会,就不会繁荣。印度是一个年轻的国家,大约63%的人口处于工作年龄。这种人口红利需要优先兑现。青年参与创新追求,拥抱创业精神,将为增长曲线和社会经济转型带来稳定。这个国家的地区差异是一个令人担忧的问题。在这方面,把重点放在东北地区,特别是**州更有意义。这个地区的问题可以通过利用企业家精神,通过促进微型和小型企业来解决。这需要建立一个生态系统,培养年轻人的相关技能,激发他们的积极性,激发他们的创业精神和创新精神。本世纪出现了许多不熟悉的挑战。变化的速度很快,我们的年轻人必须与之同步,以快速应对这些挑战。激励年轻人的一个重要方式是庆祝他们的创业精神,他们的创新和他们的成功故事需要被告知。
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引用次数: 2
The Structural Differences in Consumption Taxes and Their Financial Fractional Distribution Effects in OECD Countries 经合组织国家消费税的结构差异及其财政分配效应
Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.13189/aeb.2018.060206
A. N. Özker
In this study, we aim to put forth the effective levels of the consumption taxes both different application structures and disintegration effects as subjected different applications in OECD countries. As is known to all the consuming taxes seem difference in both situations as the taxes applications and structural financial formation according to the related countries, which mean also to the varieties of financial institutionally dynamics in term with regard to the developed levels of these countries based. In this context, the financial fractionally effects can be accepted as the important fact, especially in OECD countries, because the consumption taxes towards households' purchasing powers are affected by the rates of consuming taxes in the process of increasing indirectly. In addition, the differences in each other of consumption taxes in OECD contribute on GDP, especially based on the value added, are connected with the countries' different developed levels, and this fact ensure to deal over the financial confused towards economic integration unities. However, the structural difference of consumption taxes in practices that are especially in the international area put forth not positive financial effects sometimes due to cause the financial disintegrate in order to ensure the financial units. It appears that it should be formatted balances between the national tax practices and the global tax practices to positive distribution of the tax burden. In this context, the main problem with the consumption taxes approach is how to interpret the results obtained according to evaluating distributional impact of consumption taxes across households.
在本研究中,我们旨在提出经合组织国家消费税的有效水平,包括不同的适用结构和不同应用情况下的分解效应。众所周知,根据相关国家的税收应用和结构性金融形成,消费税在这两种情况下似乎都有所不同,这也意味着就这些国家的发达水平而言,金融制度动态的多样性。在这种情况下,金融部分效应可以被视为一个重要事实,尤其是在经合组织国家,因为对家庭购买力的消费税在间接增加的过程中受到消费税税率的影响。此外,经合组织消费税对GDP的贡献,特别是基于增加值的差异,与各国不同的发达水平有关,这一事实确保了应对经济一体化的金融混乱。然而,消费税在实践中的结构性差异,尤其是在国际上,有时会导致金融解体以确保金融单位,从而产生不积极的金融影响。似乎应该在国家税收做法和全球税收做法之间形成平衡,以实现税负的正分配。在这种情况下,消费税方法的主要问题是如何根据评估消费税对家庭的分配影响来解释所获得的结果。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Common External Tariffs on Household’s Welfare in a Rich African Country with Poor People 共同对外关税对非洲富国穷人家庭福利的影响
Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.13189/AEB.2018.060204
O. I. Kareem
The poverty impact of trade policy has been ambiguous because of their differential effects on economic agents due to the transmission mechanism through which they operate. In this context, this paper uses Nigeria’s micro- and macro-economic data to investigate the poverty effects of Common External Tariff (CET) of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). The poverty effects were evaluated from the perspective of households as producers and consumers. The empirical strategy proceeds with two steps: first, by determining the extent of the tariff pass-through to domestic prices; and lastly, evaluating the impact of the price change on household welfare. The findings indicate that domestic prices declined due to the higher tariff pass-through. This decline was higher in states closer to ports and borders, which face lower trade costs. The ECOWAS CET had net positive effects on the welfare of households, largely due to the gains from the expenditure basket. The expenditure gains from the adoption of the trade policy outweigh losses incurred in their purchasing power through lower income. Therefore, this study provides evidence that the price transmission mechanism, household characteristics and geographical location are important determinants in assessing trade policy effects in Nigeria.
贸易政策对贫困的影响是模糊的,因为由于其运作的传导机制,它们对经济主体的影响是不同的。在此背景下,本文利用尼日利亚的微观和宏观经济数据,研究了西非国家经济共同体(ECOWAS)共同对外关税(CET)对贫困的影响。从家庭作为生产者和消费者的角度对贫困影响进行了评价。实证策略分为两步:首先,确定关税对国内价格的传导程度;最后,评估价格变化对家庭福利的影响。研究结果表明,由于更高的关税传递,国内价格下降。在靠近港口和边境的州,这种下降幅度更大,因为这些州的贸易成本更低。西非经共体CET对家庭福利的净积极影响,主要是由于一揽子支出的收益。采用贸易政策所带来的支出收益,超过了因收入减少而对其购买力造成的损失。因此,本研究提供的证据表明,价格传导机制、家庭特征和地理位置是评估尼日利亚贸易政策影响的重要决定因素。
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引用次数: 2
Relevant Aspects in the Commercial and Financial Relations between Mexico and the USA and Its Continuity in the New Trump Administration 墨西哥与美国商业和金融关系的相关方面及其在特朗普新政府中的延续
Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.13189/aeb.2018.060205
J. Durán
The banking system that operates in the country will not have major changes, with the arrival of Trump to the presidency of the USA. Surely, it will continue to operate as it has until now, concentrating the financing to large companies and the government; providing credit on payroll and mortgage are the least risky and most profitable; managing derivative products (even in dollars given the strong expected volatility), and charging all kinds of commissions. It is even envisaged that its dominance could be expanded by deregulation of the rules adopted since the financial crises of 2007-2009. This paper analyzes three aspects: some minskian theoretical views on debt, economic openness and financial instability; some economic - financial links between Mexico and the United States, and the recent situation of banking at the international level and in Mexico. The method used is simple, based on a heterodox theoretical framework, a statistical analysis is carried out that allows identifying economic and financial variables that allow valuing the strong relations between both countries. With this diagnosis its possible glimpse some trends. It is concluded that it is difficult for Mexico to make significant changes in its economic and financial position, unless there is a change in the negotiation of NAFTA or in the economic policy of both countries.
随着特朗普成为美国总统,该国的银行体系不会发生重大变化。当然,它将继续像现在这样运作,将融资集中于大企业和政府;发放工资和抵押贷款是风险最低、利润最高的;管理衍生品(即使是美元衍生品,考虑到预期的剧烈波动),收取各种佣金。甚至有人设想,通过放松自2007-2009年金融危机以来采用的规则,它的主导地位可能会扩大。本文分析了三个方面:明斯基关于债务、经济开放和金融不稳定的一些理论观点;墨西哥和美国之间的一些经济金融联系,以及国际层面和墨西哥银行业的最新情况。使用的方法很简单,基于一个非正统的理论框架,进行统计分析,以确定经济和金融变量,从而评估两国之间的牢固关系。有了这个诊断,它就有可能窥见一些趋势。结论是,除非北美自由贸易协定的谈判或两国的经济政策发生变化,否则墨西哥很难在其经济和金融地位上做出重大改变。
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引用次数: 0
Financing Cost and Private Investment in Ghana 加纳的融资成本和私人投资
Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.13189/AEB.2018.060203
J. Ababio, Emmanuel Sarpong Kumankoma, K. A. Osei
This study has investigated empirically the effect of financing cost on private investment in Ghana, over the period 1970 to 2010. To this end, the variables employed were classified as cost factors (interest rate, exchange rate, inflation rate) and non-cost factors (public investment, output, credit availability, external debt) of private investment. The Johansen co-integration technique was used to estimate the long-run private investment function for Ghana. Also, the Error Correction Model was used to determine the short-run dynamics. The study finds that all the cost factors had negative and statistically significant impact on private investment in Ghana, in the long-run. On the other hand, in the long-run, the non-cost factors impacted positively on private investment in Ghana, but external debt had an adverse effect. It also, finds that all the variables used, co-integrated with private investment in the long-run. This study provides original evidence that high cost of financing is associated with low private sector participation in investment activities in Ghana. Accordingly, the study recommends among others that long term policies should be directed towards cost control and macroeconomic stabilization in order to boost private investment activities or programs in developing nations particularly, Ghana.
本研究实证研究了1970年至2010年期间加纳融资成本对私人投资的影响。为此,所采用的变量被归类为私人投资的成本因素(利率、汇率、通货膨胀率)和非成本因素(公共投资、产出、信贷可用性、外债)。Johansen协整技术用于估计加纳的长期私人投资函数。此外,误差校正模型被用于确定短期动力学。研究发现,从长远来看,所有成本因素都对加纳的私人投资产生了负面的、统计上显著的影响。另一方面,从长期来看,非成本因素对加纳的私人投资产生了积极影响,但外债产生了不利影响。它还发现,从长远来看,所有使用的变量都与私人投资相结合。这项研究提供了原始证据,证明融资成本高与私营部门参与加纳投资活动的程度低有关。因此,该研究建议,除其他外,长期政策应指向成本控制和宏观经济稳定,以促进发展中国家,特别是加纳的私人投资活动或计划。
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引用次数: 3
The Relationship between Knowledge Management and Organizational Performance of Malaysian Private Colleges: A Mediating Role of Managing Talent Practices 马来西亚私立大学知识管理与组织绩效的关系:管理人才实践的中介作用
Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.13189/AEB.2018.060201
Khor Kok Keat, A. Lin
Knowledge management plays a vital role in sustaining organizational performance of private academic institutions over time. Nonetheless the linkage between knowledge management, managing talent practices and organizational performance is not adequately addressed. This study therefore is aimed to investigate the relationship between knowledge management and organizational performance of Malaysian private colleges and whether managing talent practices, namely managing talent development and talent retention mediate the relationship between knowledge management and organizational performance of Malaysian private colleges. PLS-SEM technique is deployed to test the hypothesized relationships in the model. Data to all variables of interest studied is collected through a survey using structured questionnaires. A total of 785 sets of questionnaires was distributed to academic and non-academic staff above the executive level from 157 selected private colleges in Malaysia, out of which 243 (31%) of them were valid and useable to this study. Empirical findings in this study highlight that knowledge management has a significant positive relationship with organizational performance of private colleges. Managing talent development rather than talent retention is found to have a significant direct positive influence on organizational performance of private colleges. In addition, knowledge management is predicted to have a significance positive influence on talent development and talent retention respectively. The mediation effects of talent development is statistically significant and in this regard, talent development is shown to have partially mediated the relationship between knowledge management and organizational performance of Malaysian private colleges. Both limitations and managerial implications are also highlighted in this paper.
随着时间的推移,知识管理在维持私立学术机构的组织绩效方面发挥着至关重要的作用。尽管如此,知识管理、人才管理实践和组织绩效之间的联系没有得到充分解决。因此,本研究旨在调查马来西亚私立大学的知识管理与组织绩效之间的关系,以及管理人才实践,即管理人才发展和人才保留,是否调节了马来西亚私立大学知识管理与机构绩效之间的关系。PLS-SEM技术用于测试模型中假设的关系。所研究的所有感兴趣变量的数据都是通过使用结构化问卷的调查收集的。共向来自马来西亚157所私立大学的行政级别以上的学术和非学术人员分发了785份问卷,其中243份(31%)是有效的,可用于本研究。本研究的实证结果表明,知识管理与民办高校的组织绩效存在显著的正相关关系。研究发现,管理人才发展而非人才保留对私立大学的组织绩效有显著的直接正向影响。此外,预测知识管理对人才发展和人才留住分别具有显著的正向影响。人才发展的中介效应具有统计学意义,在这方面,人才发展在一定程度上中介了马来西亚私立大学知识管理与组织绩效之间的关系。本文还强调了其局限性和管理意义。
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引用次数: 5
Deleveraging of the Central-Eastern-European Countries' Bank Systems during and after the Economic Crisis 经济危机期间及之后中东欧国家银行体系的去杠杆化
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.13189/aeb.2018.060102
S. Bozsik
The economic crisis broke out in the most developed part of the world in 2008 affected seriously to the Central-Eastern-European bank systems. It wasn't a wonder, because these economies were closely linked to the developed countries. Firstly the Central-Eastern-European banks were mostly owned by large Western-European banks, and the management of these subsidiaries became tougher due to the asset management problems of their mother banks (Tressel, 2010). The current paper examines the deleveraging of bank systems of this area during the crisis and thereafter. A special northern-southern division can be observed among the Central-Eastern-European bank systems, where the border is unfortunately at the northern border of Hungary. During the crisis, the amount of private loan was mostly determined by the economic growth, the starting state of loan-deposit ratio, as well as the uncertainty of sovereign CDS spread. In the after-crisis period the change in private loan stock is especially the function of non-performing loan ratio and the change in loan-deposit ratio. Hungary is an 'off-line' country in case of all strong correlated variable pair, so the decrease of private loan may have country-specific reasons besides the general theoretical variables.
2008年在世界最发达地区爆发的经济危机对中东欧银行体系造成了严重影响。这并不奇怪,因为这些经济体与发达国家紧密相连。首先,中东欧银行大多为西欧大型银行所有,由于母银行的资产管理问题,这些子公司的管理变得更加困难(Tressel, 2010)。本文考察了该地区银行体系在危机期间及其后的去杠杆化过程。在中欧-东欧的银行体系中,可以观察到一个特殊的南北划分,不幸的是,边界位于匈牙利的北部边界。在危机期间,民间贷款的规模主要由经济增长、存贷比的启动状态以及主权CDS价差的不确定性决定。后危机时期民间贷款存量的变化主要是不良贷款率和存贷比变化的函数。在所有强相关变量对的情况下,匈牙利是一个“离线”的国家,因此私人贷款的减少除了一般的理论变量外,可能还有国家特有的原因。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Advances in economics and business
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