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Estimation of Wind Power Potential Using Weibull Distribution 利用威布尔分布估计风电电势
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490450647
A. Genç, Murat Erisoglu, A. Pekgor, G. Oturanç, A. Hepbasli, K. Ulgen
The main objective of the present study is to estimate wind power potential using the two Weibull parameters of the wind speed distribution function, the shape parameter k (dimensionless) and the scale parameter c (m/s). In this regard, a methodology that uses three various techniques (maximum likelihood, least squares, and method of moments) for estimating the Weibull parameters was given first. The methodology was then applied to a region in Turkey. Finally, the parameter techniques were compared to Monte-Carlo simulation in different sample sizes, and the best parameter estimation techniques belonging to the sample sizes were also determined.
本研究的主要目的是利用风速分布函数的两个威布尔参数,即形状参数k(无量纲)和尺度参数c (m/s)来估计风力发电潜力。在这方面,首先给出了一种使用三种不同技术(最大似然、最小二乘法和矩量法)估计威布尔参数的方法。然后将该方法应用于土耳其的一个地区。最后,将参数估计技术与蒙特卡罗模拟在不同样本量下进行了比较,确定了适合样本量的最佳参数估计技术。
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引用次数: 102
Measurement of the Wax Appearance Temperature of Gas-to-Liquids Products, Alaska North Slope Crude, and their Blends 阿拉斯加北坡原油及其混合物中气转液产品蜡样温度的测量
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490450737
Samuel U. Amadi, A. Dandekar, G. Chukwu, S. Khataniar, S. Patil, William F. Haslebacher, J. Chaddock
As part of a major project on studying the operational challenges in gas-to-liquids (GTL) transportation through the Trans Alaska Pipeline System (TAPS), the wax appearance temperatures (WAT) of GTL products and the Alaska North Slope Crude (ANSC) and their blends were measured. The WAT measurements of GTL products were based on the American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) D3117 standard, whereas the WAT measurements of ANSC and its blends with the GTL products were measured by the viscometry technique. The reliability of the viscometry technique was ascertained by comparing the WATs of the colorless GTL products measured by the ASTM D 3117 method. The WATs measured by the viscometry technique and the ASTM D3117 method were found to be in excellent agreement.
作为研究跨阿拉斯加管道系统(TAPS)气转液(GTL)运输操作挑战的主要项目的一部分,测量了GTL产品和阿拉斯加北坡原油(ANSC)及其混合物的蜡样温度(WAT)。GTL产品的WAT测量基于美国材料试验协会(ASTM) D3117标准,而ANSC及其与GTL产品的共混物的WAT测量采用粘度测定技术。通过比较ASTM D 3117法测定的无色GTL产品的WATs,确定了粘度测定技术的可靠性。用粘度法和ASTM D3117法测定的wts值非常吻合。
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引用次数: 2
Turkey's Oil and Natural Gas Pipelines System 土耳其的石油和天然气管道系统
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490449108
M. Balat, N. Ozdemir
Turkey's natural gas (NG) production is very small and is almost all imported. Turkish natural gas production in 2000, 23 billion cubic feet (Bcf), met around 4% of domestic natural gas consumption requirements. NG consumption is estimated at around 700 Bcf in year 2002, accounting for around 17% of Turkey's total energy consumption. Turkish natural gas demand had been projected to increase extremely rapidly in coming years. Country oil production is 50,674 barrels per day (bbl/d) of which 46,674 bbl/d was crude oil in 2002. In 2002, oil consumption was 635,000 bbl/d and net oil imports was 584,326 bbl/d in Turkey. Oil provides around 43% of Turkey's total energy requirements.
土耳其的天然气(NG)产量非常小,几乎全部进口。土耳其2000年的天然气产量为230亿立方英尺(Bcf),满足了国内天然气消费需求的4%左右。据估计,2002年的天然气消费量约为7000亿立方英尺,约占土耳其总能源消费量的17%。预计未来几年土耳其的天然气需求将以极快的速度增长。2002年,该国石油产量为50,674桶/天,其中46,674桶/天为原油。2002年,土耳其的石油消费量为63.5万桶/天,石油净进口量为584326桶/天。石油提供了土耳其总能源需求的43%。
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引用次数: 4
Modeling of Sectoral Energy and Exergy Utilization 部门能源和能源利用模型
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490448992
A. Hepbasli
Abstract For conventional energy technologies, energy and exergy analyses have been performed and have yielded useful results. Besides this, for advanced energy technologies, the use of energy and exergy analyses can be expected to provide meaningful insights into performance that will assist in achieving optimal designs. In this regard, this study describes the modeling and analysis of sectoral energy and exergy utilization. The sectors considered are subgrouped into four main sectors, namely, utility, industrial, commercial-residential and transportation. The modeling presented here is expected to assist in the simulation and optimization activities and also in the planned studies towards increasing energy efficiencies in the sectors studied.
对于常规能源技术,已经进行了能源和火用分析,并产生了有用的结果。除此之外,对于先进的能源技术,能源和能源分析的使用可以提供有意义的性能见解,这将有助于实现最佳设计。在这方面,本研究描述了部门能源和能源利用的建模和分析。所考虑的部门被细分为四个主要部门,即公用事业、工业、商业住宅和运输。这里提出的模型预计将有助于模拟和优化活动,也有助于计划中的研究,以提高所研究部门的能源效率。
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引用次数: 21
Recycled Soybean Derived Cooking Oils as Blending Stocks for Middle Distillate Transportation Fuels 再生大豆油作为中间馏分运输燃料的调合原料
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490449360
G. Mushrush, J. Wynne, C. T. Lloyd, H. Willauer, J. Hughes
It has been proposed that biodiesel liquids be used as blending stocks for middle distillate ground transportation fuels by the Department of Defense. The U.S. Navy is considering allowing up to 20% biodiesel to be added as a blending stock to petroleum diesel fuels. It is important for operational consideration to look at the many problems this could present. Among the more important considerations are storage stability, filterability, fuel solubility, oxidative stability and induced instability reactions. This article reports on the use of recycled soybean derived fuel liquids. The fuel liquid was derived from recycled restaurant cooking oil with no added antioxidant after reprocessing. We compare this biodiesel in blends of both 10% and 20% with stable and unstable middle distillate fuels for storage stability, oxidative stability, solubility, and chemical instability results.
美国国防部建议将生物柴油液体用作中间馏分地面运输燃料的混合原料。美国海军正在考虑允许在石油柴油燃料中添加高达20%的生物柴油。考虑到这可能带来的许多问题,对业务考虑是很重要的。更重要的考虑因素是储存稳定性、过滤性、燃料溶解度、氧化稳定性和诱导不稳定性反应。本文报道了再生大豆衍生燃料液体的应用。该燃料液体是由回收的餐厅食用油中提取的,经过后处理后不添加抗氧化剂。我们将混合10%和20%的生物柴油与稳定和不稳定的中间馏分燃料进行了存储稳定性、氧化稳定性、溶解度和化学不稳定性的比较。
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引用次数: 3
Effect of Pressure on Combustion Kinetics of Heavy Oils 压力对重油燃烧动力学的影响
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490478791
S. Baǧci
In this study, 16 experiments were conducted to study the effects of pressure on crude oil oxidation in limestone medium. Karakus (29°API), Beykan (32°API), Bati Raman (12°API), Camurlu (12°API), Adiyaman (26°API), Garzan (28°API) and Raman (18°API) crude oil from Turkish oil fields were used. The mixture of limestone and the crude oil was subjected to a controlled heating schedule under a constant flow rate of air. The produced gas was analyzed for its oxygen and carbon oxides contents. The results of reaction kinetics showed that the molar CO2/CO ratio values of fuel combustion increased with increasing pressure. A decrease in the atomic H/C ratio with an increase in temperature was observed for all runs. Results indicate that oxygen consumed increases with increasing operating pressure. This means more fuel is burnt by increasing the pressure, which is due to the effect of pressure on the volatility of the oil components. Because increasing pressure will depress oil volatility, the fuel availability would increase. This also suggests that distillation might be the dominant mechanism for fuel deposition. A trend of increase in activation energy values by increasing pressure is observed.
本研究通过16个实验研究了压力对石灰岩介质中原油氧化的影响。采用土耳其油田的Karakus (API为29°)、Beykan (API为32°)、Bati Raman (API为12°)、Camurlu (API为12°)、Adiyaman (API为26°)、Garzan (API为28°)和Raman (API为18°)原油。将石灰石和原油的混合物在恒定的空气流速下进行控制加热。对产生的气体进行了氧和碳氧化物含量分析。反应动力学结果表明,燃料燃烧的摩尔CO2/CO比值随压力的增大而增大。在所有运行过程中,观察到原子H/C比随着温度的升高而降低。结果表明,氧气消耗量随操作压力的增加而增加。这意味着通过增加压力来燃烧更多的燃料,这是由于压力对油成分挥发性的影响。因为压力的增加会降低石油的波动性,燃料的可用性就会增加。这也表明蒸馏可能是燃料沉积的主要机制。观察到活化能值随压力的增加而增加的趋势。
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引用次数: 7
Turkey's Hydropower Potential and Electricity Generation Policy Overview Beginning in the Twenty-First Century 土耳其水电潜力和21世纪开始的发电政策概述
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490449081
M. Balat
With a young and growing population, low per capita electricity consumption, rapid urbanization and strong economic growth, for nearly two decades, Turkey has been one of the fastest growing power markets in the world. Projections by Turkey's Electricity Generating and Transmission Corporation (TEAŞ), a public company which owns and operates 15 thermal and 30 hydroelectric plants generating 91% of Turkey's electricity, indicate that rapid (as high as 10% annual) growth in electricity consumption will continue over the next 15 years. Turkey's electric production was 160 billion kilowatt-hours [kWh] in year 2002. Turkey may need to triple its total electric power generating capacity to around 64 gigawatts (GW) by 2010. According to the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources (MENR), this would also require investments of $4–$4.5 billion per year.
土耳其人口年轻且不断增长,人均用电量低,城市化速度快,经济增长强劲,近二十年来一直是世界上增长最快的电力市场之一。土耳其发电和输电公司(TEAŞ)是一家拥有并运营15座火电厂和30座水力发电厂的上市公司,发电量占土耳其总发电量的91%。该公司的预测表明,未来15年,电力消耗将继续快速增长(年增长率高达10%)。2002年土耳其的发电量为1600亿千瓦时(kWh)。到2010年,土耳其可能需要将其总发电量增加三倍,达到64千兆瓦(GW)左右。根据能源和自然资源部(MENR)的说法,这还需要每年投资40 - 45亿美元。
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引用次数: 11
Limitations of Three-Phase Buckley-Leverett Theory 三相巴克利-莱弗里特理论的局限性
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490450845
S. Akin, M. Demiral
The broad objective of this study is to determine the limitations of the three-phase relative permeability estimation technique by using the experimental approach. In order to achieve this goal, three-phase relative permeability experiments were conducted on a Berea sandstone core plug by using brine, hexane and nitrogen gas. An unsteady-state analytical technique and a numerical technique where a black oil simulator was coupled with a global optimization algorithm in a least squares manner was used to compute three-phase relative permeabilities. It has been found that basic assumptions of linear flow and monotonic saturation changes, required for three-phase extensions of two-phase Johnson-Bossler-Nauman (JBN) theory, are violated in the displacement experiments, leading to errors in computed relative permeabilites even at high rates.
本研究的主要目的是通过实验方法确定三相相对渗透率估计技术的局限性。为了实现这一目标,在Berea砂岩岩心塞上进行了盐水、己烷和氮气三相相对渗透率实验。采用非稳态分析技术和数值方法,将黑油模拟器与最小二乘全局优化算法相结合,计算了三相相对渗透率。研究发现,驱油实验违背了两相Johnson-Bossler-Nauman (JBN)理论三相扩展所要求的线性流动和单调饱和度变化的基本假设,导致即使在高速率下计算出的相对渗透率也存在误差。
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引用次数: 2
Biomass Energy in the World, Use of Biomass and Potential Trends 世界生物质能,生物质能的利用和潜在趋势
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490449045
M. Balat, G. Ayar
Abstract The aim of biomass development projects is to identify whether it is possible to utilize biomass in the energy production sector by substituting a portion of conventional fuel by biomass to perform combined combustion. Electricity production from biomass has been found to be a promising method in the near future. The world production of biomass is estimated at 146 billion metric tons a year, mostly wild plant growth. Biomass accounts for 35% of primary energy consumption in developing countries, raising the world total to 14% of primary energy consumption. In the future, biomass has the potential to provide a cost-effective and sustainable supply of energy, while at the same time aiding countries in meeting their greenhouse gas reduction targets. By the year 2050, it is estimated that 90% of the world population will live in developing countries.
生物质开发项目的目的是确定是否有可能在能源生产部门利用生物质,用生物质代替一部分常规燃料进行组合燃烧。在不久的将来,生物质发电被认为是一种很有前途的方法。世界生物质产量估计为每年1460亿公吨,主要是野生植物生长。生物质能占发展中国家一次能源消费的35%,使世界一次能源消费总量达到14%。在未来,生物质能有潜力提供具有成本效益和可持续的能源供应,同时帮助各国实现其温室气体减排目标。据估计,到2050年,世界人口的90%将生活在发展中国家。
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引用次数: 236
World Natural Gas (NG) Reserves, NG Production and Consumption Trends and Future Appearance 世界天然气储量、生产和消费趋势及未来展望
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00908310490449027
M. Balat
Abstract Natural gas is the fastest growing primary energy source in the world. Because it is a cleaner fuel than oil or coal and not as controversial as nuclear power, gas is expected to be the fuel of choice for many countries in the future. Positive contribution of NG on environmental pollution must also be considered in economical aspects. NG is widely available. CO 2 emission of NG is lower than both diesel fuel and gasoline, which makes NG engines favorable also in terms of the greenhouse effect. The correlation equations for production and consumption trends of natural gas (VNG) versus year (Y) are:
天然气是世界上增长最快的一次能源。由于天然气是一种比石油或煤炭更清洁的燃料,而且不像核能那样有争议,因此预计天然气将成为许多国家未来的首选燃料。天然气对环境污染的积极贡献也必须在经济方面加以考虑。NG广泛可用。天然气的二氧化碳排放量比柴油和汽油都低,这使得天然气发动机在温室效应方面也很有利。天然气(VNG)生产和消费趋势与年(Y)的相关方程为:
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引用次数: 12
期刊
Energy Sources
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