Jiannong Quan, Yangang Liu, Yang Gao, Tianning Su, Yubing Pan, Pengkun Ma, Qianqian Wang, Xingcan Jia
The radiative effect of aerosol on cloud albedo via altering cloud droplet effective radius (re) is a major uncertainty in the Earth's climate system. Remote sensing studies have reported either negative or positive relationships between re and aerosol number concentration (Na) or other aerosol proxies. However, there are much fewer in situ observational evidences and physical explanation remains elusive for the contrasting Na-re relationships. Here we quantify the Na-re relationship by using in situ aircraft measurements, together with a re decomposition method. Our analysis reveals that the cloud-planetary boundary layer (PBL) coupling plays a pivotal role on the Na-re relationship. Quantitative re decomposition indicates that the contrasting Na-re relationships in two cloud-PBL coupling regimes result from different balances of four distinct aspects. The widely recognized number effect may be outweighed by the joint effects of the remaining three that have been rarely investigated and largely ignored in Na-re parameterizations.
{"title":"Pivotal Role of Cloud-Planetary Boundary Layer Coupling to Explain Contrasting Aerosol-Cloud Relationships","authors":"Jiannong Quan, Yangang Liu, Yang Gao, Tianning Su, Yubing Pan, Pengkun Ma, Qianqian Wang, Xingcan Jia","doi":"10.1029/2025GL119748","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL119748","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The radiative effect of aerosol on cloud albedo via altering cloud droplet effective radius (<i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub>) is a major uncertainty in the Earth's climate system. Remote sensing studies have reported either negative or positive relationships between <i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub> and aerosol number concentration (<i>N</i><sub><i>a</i></sub>) or other aerosol proxies. However, there are much fewer in situ observational evidences and physical explanation remains elusive for the contrasting <i>N</i><sub><i>a</i></sub>-<i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub> relationships. Here we quantify the <i>N</i><sub><i>a</i></sub>-<i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub> relationship by using in situ aircraft measurements, together with a <i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub> decomposition method. Our analysis reveals that the cloud-planetary boundary layer (<i>PBL</i>) coupling plays a pivotal role on the <i>N</i><sub><i>a</i></sub>-<i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub> relationship. Quantitative <i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub> decomposition indicates that the contrasting <i>N</i><sub><i>a</i></sub>-<i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub> relationships in two cloud-<i>PBL</i> coupling regimes result from different balances of four distinct aspects. The widely recognized number effect may be outweighed by the joint effects of the remaining three that have been rarely investigated and largely ignored in <i>N</i><sub><i>a</i></sub>-<i>r</i><sub><i>e</i></sub> parameterizations.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL119748","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146153412","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Giuseppe Costantino, Mathilde Radiguet, Zaccaria El Yousfi, Anne Socquet
Slow, aseismic fault slip has emerged as a significant contributor to the seismic cycle. However, whether slow and fast slip arise from similar physical processes remains unresolved, due to detection biases affecting noisy surface measurements and the analysis of the source properties of slow slip. Using daily geodetic time series denoised with a deep learning model, we invert for 15 years of slow slip evolution on the Cascadia subduction with unprecedented temporal resolution. Our observations show that an upper bound for slow-slip moment rates exists, and that scaling laws are strongly influenced by the chosen detection threshold and the signal-to-noise ratio. Moment rate functions evolve with magnitude: slow slip nucleates as a two-dimensional expanding crack, propagating laterally when encountering the along-dip limits of the transition zone. Our findings highlight a continuum of slow slip events of various sizes controlled by subduction interface geometrical constraints.
{"title":"A Continuum of Slow Slip Events in the Cascadia Subduction Zone Illuminated by High-Resolution Deep-Learning Denoising","authors":"Giuseppe Costantino, Mathilde Radiguet, Zaccaria El Yousfi, Anne Socquet","doi":"10.1029/2025GL117446","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL117446","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Slow, aseismic fault slip has emerged as a significant contributor to the seismic cycle. However, whether slow and fast slip arise from similar physical processes remains unresolved, due to detection biases affecting noisy surface measurements and the analysis of the source properties of slow slip. Using daily geodetic time series denoised with a deep learning model, we invert for 15 years of slow slip evolution on the Cascadia subduction with unprecedented temporal resolution. Our observations show that an upper bound for slow-slip moment rates exists, and that scaling laws are strongly influenced by the chosen detection threshold and the signal-to-noise ratio. Moment rate functions evolve with magnitude: slow slip nucleates as a two-dimensional expanding crack, propagating laterally when encountering the along-dip limits of the transition zone. Our findings highlight a continuum of slow slip events of various sizes controlled by subduction interface geometrical constraints.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL117446","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146146316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Bursty bulk flows (BBFs) play a significant role in transporting plasma earthward in the magnetotail. While their properties have been extensively studied, their behavior during geomagnetic storms needs further understanding. In this study, we investigate the stormtime characteristics of BBFs, and compare them to non-stormtime, by performing a superposed epoch analysis using data from ISAS/NASA's Geotail mission. Our results show that the properties of BBFs during stormtime and non-stormtime remain largely consistent relative to the background plasma sheet conditions. The convection electric field is higher for stormtime BBFs which is primarily associated with an elevated magnetic field in the plasma sheet during storms. Moreover, stormtime plasma sheet conditions, such as an enhanced magnetic field and an elevated ion temperature, are reflected in the properties of BBFs indicating the strong influence of the background plasma environment on BBF dynamics.
{"title":"Statistical Characteristics of Stormtime Bursty Bulk Flows","authors":"Anusree P. Devanandan, Amy Keesee, Savvas Raptis, Shinichi Ohtani, Viacheslav Merkin, Matina Gkioulidou","doi":"10.1029/2025GL119632","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL119632","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Bursty bulk flows (BBFs) play a significant role in transporting plasma earthward in the magnetotail. While their properties have been extensively studied, their behavior during geomagnetic storms needs further understanding. In this study, we investigate the stormtime characteristics of BBFs, and compare them to non-stormtime, by performing a superposed epoch analysis using data from ISAS/NASA's Geotail mission. Our results show that the properties of BBFs during stormtime and non-stormtime remain largely consistent relative to the background plasma sheet conditions. The convection electric field is higher for stormtime BBFs which is primarily associated with an elevated magnetic field in the plasma sheet during storms. Moreover, stormtime plasma sheet conditions, such as an enhanced magnetic field and an elevated ion temperature, are reflected in the properties of BBFs indicating the strong influence of the background plasma environment on BBF dynamics.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL119632","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146146318","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hanii Takahashi, Catherine M. Naud, Derek J. Posselt
Using satellite observations, ice water path (IWP), liquid water path (LWP), and surface precipitation across warm frontal regions are examined in the Northern (NH) and Southern (SH) Hemispheres, accounting for the life stages and characteristics of extratropical cyclones (ETCs). Focusing only on oceanic ETCs over a 4-year period, composite transects of the observations reveal that most hemispheric differences in warm frontal IWP, LWP, and precipitation align with variations in precipitable water, cyclone strength, and storm maturity. However, for similar cyclone strength and environmental moisture, NH warm fronts during early development contain more ice but are less efficient at precipitating than those in the SH. Higher dust concentrations in NH might explain the greater ice amounts, while higher sea-salt concentrations in SH might explain the greater precipitation efficiency in their respective warm frontal regions.
{"title":"Northern Hemisphere Warm Fronts Are Less Efficient at Precipitating Ice Than Their Southern Hemisphere Counterparts","authors":"Hanii Takahashi, Catherine M. Naud, Derek J. Posselt","doi":"10.1029/2025GL119494","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL119494","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Using satellite observations, ice water path (IWP), liquid water path (LWP), and surface precipitation across warm frontal regions are examined in the Northern (NH) and Southern (SH) Hemispheres, accounting for the life stages and characteristics of extratropical cyclones (ETCs). Focusing only on oceanic ETCs over a 4-year period, composite transects of the observations reveal that most hemispheric differences in warm frontal IWP, LWP, and precipitation align with variations in precipitable water, cyclone strength, and storm maturity. However, for similar cyclone strength and environmental moisture, NH warm fronts during early development contain more ice but are less efficient at precipitating than those in the SH. Higher dust concentrations in NH might explain the greater ice amounts, while higher sea-salt concentrations in SH might explain the greater precipitation efficiency in their respective warm frontal regions.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL119494","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146138454","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Bing-Zheng Wu, Jiarui Liu, Guang-Chao Zhuang, Xiting Liu, Zhen Zhou, Andreas P. Teske, Samantha B. Joye
Carbon mobilization and sulfur transformation play a significant role in deep carbon and sulfur cycling. However, sulfur biogeochemistry and its coupling with carbon and iron cycling remain poorly constrained in hydrothermal sediments. We investigated the effect of temperature on carbon-sulfur-iron diagenesis in subsurface sediments (≤370 m depth) of the Guaymas Basin, Gulf of California. Sediments have a low average carbon-to-sulfur ratio (∼1.6), especially at hydrothermal active sites (1.3–0.67). These values are well below the typical value of 2.8 for marine sediment and could reflect carbon release and relative sulfur enrichment. Elevated temperatures accelerate the thermal breakdown of sedimentary organic matter, leading to hydrocarbon expulsion, increased dissolved organic carbon release, and ultimately carbon loss. Elemental sulfur content correlates positively with reactive iron, indicating iron oxides facilitate elemental sulfur accumulation. These results highlight the temperature effect on carbon storage and iron redox chemistry control on sulfur dynamics in hydrothermal systems.
{"title":"Temperature Controls on Carbon-Sulfur Diagenesis in Deep Hydrothermal Subseafloor Sediments","authors":"Bing-Zheng Wu, Jiarui Liu, Guang-Chao Zhuang, Xiting Liu, Zhen Zhou, Andreas P. Teske, Samantha B. Joye","doi":"10.1029/2025GL119353","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL119353","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Carbon mobilization and sulfur transformation play a significant role in deep carbon and sulfur cycling. However, sulfur biogeochemistry and its coupling with carbon and iron cycling remain poorly constrained in hydrothermal sediments. We investigated the effect of temperature on carbon-sulfur-iron diagenesis in subsurface sediments (≤370 m depth) of the Guaymas Basin, Gulf of California. Sediments have a low average carbon-to-sulfur ratio (∼1.6), especially at hydrothermal active sites (1.3–0.67). These values are well below the typical value of 2.8 for marine sediment and could reflect carbon release and relative sulfur enrichment. Elevated temperatures accelerate the thermal breakdown of sedimentary organic matter, leading to hydrocarbon expulsion, increased dissolved organic carbon release, and ultimately carbon loss. Elemental sulfur content correlates positively with reactive iron, indicating iron oxides facilitate elemental sulfur accumulation. These results highlight the temperature effect on carbon storage and iron redox chemistry control on sulfur dynamics in hydrothermal systems.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL119353","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146138452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Carola Ferronato, Martin Saraceno, Valeria A. Guinder
Exchanges between continental shelves and open ocean basins regulate the transport of heat, salt, and nutrients. In the Southwestern Atlantic, the western boundary current known as the Malvinas Current (MC) fertilizes the outer shelf through recurrent slope-water intrusions. Here we analyze the 2003–2024 interannual variability of satellite chlorophyll-a around 41°S, where the inflection of the 100-m isobath promotes these incursions. The first Empirical Orthogonal Function mode explains 43% of the variance and exhibits a spatial pattern consistent with the MC intrusion zone. Backward Lagrangian simulations reveal that low-chlorophyll periods correspond to waters advected by the onshore MC jet, whereas high-chlorophyll years are linked to offshore-origin parcels likely richer in nutrients. Sea-level anomaly composites indicate that mesoscale eddies near 40°S can block or deflect the MC, favoring intrusions onto the shelf. These results provide new quantitative evidence that variability in boundary-current pathways strongly modulates interannual changes in chlorophyll-a over continental shelves.
{"title":"On the Role of Western Boundary Currents to Fertilize Adjacent Continental Shelves at Interannual Scales: A Case Study in the Southwestern Atlantic","authors":"Carola Ferronato, Martin Saraceno, Valeria A. Guinder","doi":"10.1029/2025GL120186","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL120186","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Exchanges between continental shelves and open ocean basins regulate the transport of heat, salt, and nutrients. In the Southwestern Atlantic, the western boundary current known as the Malvinas Current (MC) fertilizes the outer shelf through recurrent slope-water intrusions. Here we analyze the 2003–2024 interannual variability of satellite chlorophyll-<i>a</i> around 41°S, where the inflection of the 100-m isobath promotes these incursions. The first Empirical Orthogonal Function mode explains 43% of the variance and exhibits a spatial pattern consistent with the MC intrusion zone. Backward Lagrangian simulations reveal that low-chlorophyll periods correspond to waters advected by the onshore MC jet, whereas high-chlorophyll years are linked to offshore-origin parcels likely richer in nutrients. Sea-level anomaly composites indicate that mesoscale eddies near 40°S can block or deflect the MC, favoring intrusions onto the shelf. These results provide new quantitative evidence that variability in boundary-current pathways strongly modulates interannual changes in chlorophyll-<i>a</i> over continental shelves.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL120186","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146146315","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Earthquakes can grow either monotonically from a single, stressed patch or through linking multiple stressed regions. The distinction has implications for magnitude predictability with single ruptures requiring knowledge of the local stress state, while linked ruptures require knowing the global stress and energy distribution. Here, we use a laboratory fault that allows direct observation of slip to determine which fault conditions promote linked ruptures, and how to observationally evaluate their likelihood. Higher concentrations of normal stress due to increased normal force, applied stress asperities, or larger heterogeneity between the samples, all lead to significant increases in linked rupture likelihood. The mean radiated energy enhancement factor (REEF) of large events is an excellent proxy for linked event likelihood, and a combination of REEF and duration can identify the rupture style of some but not all events. The results imply that globally observed variations of REEF can be interpreted as variations in stress concentration.
{"title":"Distinguishing Single and Linked Ruptures in the Laboratory and Nature","authors":"Will Steinhardt, Emily E. Brodsky","doi":"10.1029/2025GL120688","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL120688","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Earthquakes can grow either monotonically from a single, stressed patch or through linking multiple stressed regions. The distinction has implications for magnitude predictability with single ruptures requiring knowledge of the local stress state, while linked ruptures require knowing the global stress and energy distribution. Here, we use a laboratory fault that allows direct observation of slip to determine which fault conditions promote linked ruptures, and how to observationally evaluate their likelihood. Higher concentrations of normal stress due to increased normal force, applied stress asperities, or larger heterogeneity between the samples, all lead to significant increases in linked rupture likelihood. The mean radiated energy enhancement factor (REEF) of large events is an excellent proxy for linked event likelihood, and a combination of REEF and duration can identify the rupture style of some but not all events. The results imply that globally observed variations of REEF can be interpreted as variations in stress concentration.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL120688","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146138453","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Seismological observations in the lunar mantle, in conjunction with experimental knowledge on the elastic wave velocities and density of lunar mantle minerals, provide important constraints on the composition and mineralogy of the lunar mantle. Here we report elastic wave velocities and density of a lunar orthopyroxene (Mg0.84Fe0.13Ca0.03SiO3) up to 5.5 GPa and 1,273 K. The result shows that the bulk and shear moduli of orthopyroxene decrease with increasing iron content. Based on the mineral elasticity data, we modeled the P- and S-wave velocities and density of petrologically suggested lunar upper mantle rock composition. The petrological lunar upper mantle rock model shows consistent seismic wave velocities with those observed in the lunar upper mantle whereas markedly lower density. Our modeling suggests an iron-rich (Fe/(Mg + Fe) = 0.20) lunar upper mantle to explain P- and S-wave velocities and density of the lunar upper mantle at 40–740 km depth.
{"title":"P- and S-wave Velocity Measurement of Lunar Orthopyroxene up to 5.5 GPa and 1,273 K: Implication for the Iron Content of the Lunar Upper Mantle","authors":"Yoshihiro Inoue, Yoshio Kono, Steeve Gréaux, Jie-Jun Jing, Sho Kakizawa, Itaru Ohira, Noriyoshi Tsujino, Yuji Higo","doi":"10.1029/2025GL118120","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL118120","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Seismological observations in the lunar mantle, in conjunction with experimental knowledge on the elastic wave velocities and density of lunar mantle minerals, provide important constraints on the composition and mineralogy of the lunar mantle. Here we report elastic wave velocities and density of a lunar orthopyroxene (Mg<sub>0.84</sub>Fe<sub>0.13</sub>Ca<sub>0.03</sub>SiO<sub>3</sub>) up to 5.5 GPa and 1,273 K. The result shows that the bulk and shear moduli of orthopyroxene decrease with increasing iron content. Based on the mineral elasticity data, we modeled the P- and S-wave velocities and density of petrologically suggested lunar upper mantle rock composition. The petrological lunar upper mantle rock model shows consistent seismic wave velocities with those observed in the lunar upper mantle whereas markedly lower density. Our modeling suggests an iron-rich (Fe/(Mg + Fe) = 0.20) lunar upper mantle to explain P- and S-wave velocities and density of the lunar upper mantle at 40–740 km depth.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL118120","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139030","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
We estimate the fault geometry and coseismic slip of the 2025 Myanmar earthquake using multi-source satellite observations, revealing a nine-segment rupture structure that transitions from eastward-dipping in the north to westward-dipping in the south, with peak slip of ∼6 m and negligible shallow slip deficit. We model Coulomb pre-stress evolution along the Sagaing Fault from 1839 to 2025, incorporating coseismic stress transfer from 10 M ≥ 6.5 earthquakes and interseismic tectonic loading, to investigate their influences on the 2025 rupture. Results show that the 1839 Ava earthquake could have cast a long-lasting pre-stress shadow at both ends of the 2025 rupture, provided it ruptured the same seismogenic fault. Dynamic triggering effects, fault geometry complexity, and stress localization may explain rupture within these shadow zones. Further southward rupture propagation of the 2025 rupture into the Bago segment is likely inhibited by a combination of geometric and pre-stress barriers, preventing a larger rupture.
{"title":"Coulomb Pre-Stress Changes Modulate Coseismic Rupture Kinematics of the 2025 Mw7.7 Myanmar Earthquake Revealed by Space Geodesy","authors":"Lijia He, Rino Salman, Bryan Marfito, Guangcai Feng, Hongbo Jiang, Wenxin Wang, Zhiqiang Xiong, Kai Sun, Yuedong Wang, Sang-Ho Yun","doi":"10.1029/2025GL120587","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL120587","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We estimate the fault geometry and coseismic slip of the 2025 Myanmar earthquake using multi-source satellite observations, revealing a nine-segment rupture structure that transitions from eastward-dipping in the north to westward-dipping in the south, with peak slip of ∼6 m and negligible shallow slip deficit. We model Coulomb pre-stress evolution along the Sagaing Fault from 1839 to 2025, incorporating coseismic stress transfer from 10 <i>M</i> ≥ 6.5 earthquakes and interseismic tectonic loading, to investigate their influences on the 2025 rupture. Results show that the 1839 Ava earthquake could have cast a long-lasting pre-stress shadow at both ends of the 2025 rupture, provided it ruptured the same seismogenic fault. Dynamic triggering effects, fault geometry complexity, and stress localization may explain rupture within these shadow zones. Further southward rupture propagation of the 2025 rupture into the Bago segment is likely inhibited by a combination of geometric and pre-stress barriers, preventing a larger rupture.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL120587","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146146362","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Shauna Ndoping, Jamie Robson, Lualawi Mareshet Admasu, Timothy C. Y. Chui, Rosie Howard, Rachel H. White
In late June 2021, the Pacific Northwest experienced a severe heatwave, shattering temperature records and making worldwide news. The extreme temperatures have been attributed to an anomalously strong atmospheric block, high moisture content of upstream air, and dry soils. We present the first study quantifying the impact of the near-maximum incoming solar radiation resulting from the event's proximity to the summer solstice. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting model, we contrast the observed heatwave with meteorologically identical heatwaves, but with incoming solar radiation of 30 (+30 days) and 60 days (+60 days) later. Spatially averaged mean heatwave temperatures are reduced by 1.5°C (4.8°C) in +30 days (+60 days), and the spatial area over which records were broken is reduced by 25% (81%). Although our results imply that the heatwave would still have broken 80-year records even in our +60 days simulation, heatwave timing likely played a significant role in the maximum heatwave temperatures.
{"title":"The Role of Near Solstice Solar Radiation on the Pacific Northwest Heatwave of June 2021","authors":"Shauna Ndoping, Jamie Robson, Lualawi Mareshet Admasu, Timothy C. Y. Chui, Rosie Howard, Rachel H. White","doi":"10.1029/2025GL119909","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL119909","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In late June 2021, the Pacific Northwest experienced a severe heatwave, shattering temperature records and making worldwide news. The extreme temperatures have been attributed to an anomalously strong atmospheric block, high moisture content of upstream air, and dry soils. We present the first study quantifying the impact of the near-maximum incoming solar radiation resulting from the event's proximity to the summer solstice. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting model, we contrast the observed heatwave with meteorologically identical heatwaves, but with incoming solar radiation of 30 (+30 days) and 60 days (+60 days) later. Spatially averaged mean heatwave temperatures are reduced by 1.5°C (4.8°C) in +30 days (+60 days), and the spatial area over which records were broken is reduced by 25% (81%). Although our results imply that the heatwave would still have broken 80-year records even in our +60 days simulation, heatwave timing likely played a significant role in the maximum heatwave temperatures.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL119909","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146138455","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}