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Enabling High-Fidelity Wave-Particle Interaction Studies: A Novel Filtering for Isolating Whistlers From Spacecraft Noise 实现高保真波粒相互作用研究:一种从航天器噪声中隔离哨声的新滤波方法
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl120170
Fulin Shi, Li Zeng, Yuhui Fu, Jinbin Cao, Zhima Zeren, Dapeng Liu, Dehe Yang
Resolving the mixture of natural plasma waves and persistent spacecraft interference is a fundamental challenge in space physics, as it obstructs the analysis of wave-particle interactions and energy transport processes. Traditional signal decomposition methods often fail to adequately separate these components due to their time-varying frequencies and overlapping spectra. We propose the instantaneous bandwidth Vold-Kalman Filtering (IB-VKF), which first defines the component-specific bandwidth weighting functions <span data-altimg="/cms/asset/75d03afa-aba2-4d0e-9914-f8b878ce198a/grl72092-math-0001.png"></span><mjx-container ctxtmenu_counter="66" ctxtmenu_oldtabindex="1" jax="CHTML" role="application" sre-explorer- style="font-size: 103%; position: relative;" tabindex="0"><mjx-math aria-hidden="true" location="graphic/grl72092-math-0001.png"><mjx-semantics><mjx-mrow data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-children="5,9" data-semantic-content="10,0" data-semantic- data-semantic-role="simple function" data-semantic-speech="r Subscript i comma IB Baseline left parenthesis n right parenthesis" data-semantic-type="appl"><mjx-msub data-semantic-children="0,4" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="11" data-semantic-role="simple function" data-semantic-type="subscript"><mjx-mi data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-font="italic" data-semantic- data-semantic-operator="appl" data-semantic-parent="5" data-semantic-role="simple function" data-semantic-type="identifier"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mi><mjx-script style="vertical-align: -0.15em;"><mjx-mrow data-semantic-children="1,2,3" data-semantic-content="2" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="5" data-semantic-role="sequence" data-semantic-type="punctuated" size="s"><mjx-mi data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-font="italic" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="4" data-semantic-role="latinletter" data-semantic-type="identifier"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mi><mjx-mo data-semantic- data-semantic-operator="punctuated" data-semantic-parent="4" data-semantic-role="comma" data-semantic-type="punctuation" rspace="1"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mo><mjx-mtext data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:unit" data-semantic-font="normal" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="4" data-semantic-role="unknown" data-semantic-type="text"><mjx-c></mjx-c><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mtext></mjx-mrow></mjx-script></mjx-msub><mjx-mo data-semantic-added="true" data-semantic- data-semantic-operator="appl" data-semantic-parent="11" data-semantic-role="application" data-semantic-type="punctuation" style="margin-left: 0.056em; margin-right: 0.056em;"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mo><mjx-mrow data-semantic-children="7" data-semantic-content="6,8" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="11" data-semantic-role="leftright" data-semantic-type="fenced"><mjx-mo data-semantic- data-semantic-operator="fenced" data-semantic-parent="9" data-semantic-role="open" data-semantic-type="fence" style="margin-left: 0.056em; margin-right:
解决自然等离子体波和持续航天器干扰的混合是空间物理学的一个基本挑战,因为它阻碍了波粒相互作用和能量输运过程的分析。传统的信号分解方法往往不能充分分离这些分量,因为它们的时变频率和重叠的频谱。我们提出了瞬时带宽Vold-Kalman滤波(IB- vkf),它首先定义了特定于组件的带宽加权函数ri,IB (n)${r}_{i,text{IB}}(n)$,允许对不同信号特征进行独立和精确的动态跟踪。我们使用CASSIOPE/Swarm-Echo和CSES任务的数据来演示该算法的地球物理实用性。IB-VKF成功地隔离了持续反应轮干扰,抑制比超过22 dB,更关键的是,从背景平台噪声中分离了瞬态哨声波,对自然波的抑制比达到9.34 dB。通过显著提高空间磁数据的保真度,IB-VKF为探测波粒耦合和磁层动力学提供了一个强大的新工具。
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引用次数: 0
Indo–Western Pacific Tropical Heating Anomalies Regulate the Cross-Pacific Atmospheric River Highways During Boreal Summer 印度-西太平洋热带加热异常调节北方夏季跨太平洋大气河流公路
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-28 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl120489
Yurong Song, Mengqian Lu, Yang Zhao
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) constitute a global, interconnected highway network rather than isolated regional events. In boreal summer, cross-Pacific ARs originate over Southeast Asia, are fueled by subtropical outflows from the Asian monsoon plume, transport warm, moist air across the North Pacific, and make landfall in North America (NA). Our results show that diabatic heating anomalies over the Indian summer monsoon region and the Philippine Sea–Western North Pacific area jointly modulate AR pathways and landfalls. Numerical experiments verify that distinct heating archetypes generate diverse downstream triple-pressure circulation structures, steering ARs toward different landfall locations. Cross-Pacific AR activity is also modulated by climate oscillations; different phases preferentially induce distinct Indo-Pacific heating patterns and thus redirect AR pathways. Therefore, tropical heating anomalies in Indo-Western Pacific are valuable predictors of boreal-summer AR activity. The interconnected “AR highways” linking Asian climate to NA and extend the predictability beyond Asia to the broader Pacific Rim.
大气河流(ARs)构成了一个全球性的、相互关联的公路网络,而不是孤立的区域事件。在寒带夏季,跨太平洋风暴起源于东南亚,在亚洲季风羽流的副热带流出的推动下,将温暖潮湿的空气输送到北太平洋,并在北美登陆。研究结果表明,印度夏季风区和菲律宾-北太平洋西部地区的非绝热加热异常共同调节了AR路径和登陆。数值实验证实,不同的加热原型产生了不同的下游三压环流结构,将ARs导向不同的登陆位置。气候振荡也可调节跨太平洋的AR活动;不同阶段优先诱导不同的印度-太平洋加热模式,从而改变AR路径。因此,印度洋-西太平洋的热带加热异常是北方-夏季AR活动的有价值的预测因子。互联的“AR高速公路”将亚洲气候与北美连接起来,并将可预测性从亚洲扩展到更广阔的环太平洋地区。
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引用次数: 0
Anisotropic Melt Inclusions as a Confounding Signal for Ice-Penetrating Radar Observations 各向异性熔体包裹体作为探冰雷达观测的干扰信号
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl120182
A. H. Cheng, D. M. Schroeder, N. S. Wolfenbarger, R. Shaper, C. Seltzer, B. Hills
Ice-penetrating radar is a powerful geophysical tool for understanding the subsurfaces of Earth, Mars, and icy moons. Radar reflectivity, attenuation, and birefringence are used to infer subsurface hydrology, englacial temperature, water content, and crystal orientation fabric. However, conventional radar sounding analyses either ignore melt or use classical mixing models which assume spherical melt inclusions, obscuring anisotropic contributions of melt. Here, we use geometric mixing models to calculate the reflectivity, attenuation, and birefringence of temperate ice containing anisotropic melt. We find that anisotropic melt can introduce significant deviations in radar measurements. For instance, melt anisotropy may impact reflectivity-based estimates of water content by up to 30% volume fraction, while attenuation-based estimates may vary by up to 43%. Critically, a melt volume fraction of just <span data-altimg="/cms/asset/f3e438ac-93f6-4268-a177-ac7ea2bb7f69/grl72146-math-0001.png"></span><mjx-container ctxtmenu_counter="221" ctxtmenu_oldtabindex="1" jax="CHTML" role="application" sre-explorer- style="font-size: 103%; position: relative;" tabindex="0"><mjx-math aria-hidden="true" location="graphic/grl72146-math-0001.png"><mjx-semantics><mjx-mrow data-semantic-children="0,9" data-semantic-content="1" data-semantic- data-semantic-role="equality" data-semantic-speech="f tilde 1 0 Superscript negative 5" data-semantic-type="relseq"><mjx-mi data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-font="italic" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="10" data-semantic-role="latinletter" data-semantic-type="identifier"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mi><mjx-mo data-semantic- data-semantic-operator="relseq,∼" data-semantic-parent="10" data-semantic-role="equality" data-semantic-type="relation" rspace="5" space="5"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mo><mjx-mrow data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:unit" data-semantic-children="2,7" data-semantic-content="8" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="10" data-semantic-role="implicit" data-semantic-type="infixop"><mjx-mn data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-font="normal" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="9" data-semantic-role="integer" data-semantic-type="number"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mn><mjx-mo data-semantic-added="true" data-semantic- data-semantic-operator="infixop,⁢" data-semantic-parent="9" data-semantic-role="multiplication" data-semantic-type="operator" style="margin-left: 0.056em; margin-right: 0.056em;"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mo><mjx-msup data-semantic-children="3,6" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="9" data-semantic-role="integer" data-semantic-type="superscript"><mjx-mn data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-font="normal" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="7" data-semantic-role="integer" data-semantic-type="number"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mn><mjx-script style="vertical-align: 0.363em;"><mjx-mrow data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-children="5" data-seman
探冰雷达是一种强大的地球物理工具,可以用来了解地球、火星和冰冻卫星的地下。雷达反射率、衰减和双折射用于推断地下水文、冰川温度、含水量和晶体取向结构。然而,传统的雷达测深分析要么忽略熔体,要么采用假设熔体包裹体为球形的经典混合模型,从而模糊了熔体的各向异性贡献。本文采用几何混合模型计算了含各向异性熔体的温带冰的反射率、衰减和双折射。我们发现各向异性熔体会在雷达测量中引入显著的偏差。例如,熔体各向异性可能会对基于反射率的含水量估计值产生高达30%的影响,而基于衰减的估计值可能会产生高达43%的影响。关键的是,熔体体积分数仅为f ~ 1¹0−5$fsim 1{0}^{-5}$就能再现先前归因于冰结构的双折射信号。我们得出结论,融水各向异性可能会显著影响冰川水文、冰下水文和冰构的分析。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating Ice Cover on the Great Lakes Using Seismic Ambient Noise 利用地震环境噪声估算五大湖冰盖
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl120498
Joshua B. Russell, Christopher J. W. Carchedi
Lake ice impacts seismic noise on nearby seismometers, and therefore seismic observations can be used to monitor ice changes. However, the transfer function describing how lake-microseism noise covaries with ice cover has not been quantified. We use seismic data from a long-operating station near Lake Superior and satellite-derived lake ice cover from 2009 to 2024 to determine their covariance. A linear model calibrated using annual ice cover averaged during the coldest months (15 February–9 March) explains ∼87% of the variance in 0.5–2 Hz seismic noise averaged during the same period. This 15-year-calibrated model is used to predict daily ice cover during the 2014 Polar Vortex with reasonable accuracy, explaining ∼58% variance in the daily 0.5–2 Hz noise. One season of daily lake ice cover data is sufficient to calibrate the model. During unfrozen periods, 0.25–0.5 Hz lake-wave power explains ∼75% of the variance in the daily averaged 0.5–1 Hz seismic noise, consistent with the secondary microseism mechanism.
湖冰会影响附近地震仪的地震噪声,因此地震观测可以用来监测冰的变化。然而,描述湖泊微震噪声随冰盖变化的传递函数尚未量化。我们使用苏必利尔湖附近一个长期运行台站的地震数据和2009年至2024年卫星获得的湖泊冰盖来确定它们的协方差。使用最冷月份(2月15日至3月9日)的年平均冰盖校准的线性模型解释了同期平均0.5-2 Hz地震噪声方差的约87%。这个经过15年校准的模型用于预测2014年极地涡旋期间的日冰覆盖,具有合理的精度,解释了每日0.5-2 Hz噪声中约58%的方差。每日一个季节的湖冰覆盖数据足以对模型进行校正。在非冻结期,0.25-0.5 Hz湖波能解释了日平均0.5-1 Hz地震噪声方差的约75%,与次级微震机制一致。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Controls on the Seasonal and Spatial Variability of Submesoscale Thermal Air–Sea Coupling Over the Gulf Stream 墨西哥湾流上空亚中尺度热海气耦合季节和空间变化的环境控制
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl120700
Lionel Renault, Carlos Conejero, Fabien Desbiolles
Using an ocean-atmosphere coupled simulation, we investigate the seasonal variability of the low-level wind response to submesoscale (O(1–10 km)) sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the Gulf Stream, focusing on the respective roles of the downwind momentum mixing (DMM) and pressure adjustment (PA) mechanisms. The wind response to submesoscale SST anomalies exhibits a strong seasonal cycle, with larger coupling in summer and pronounced spatial heterogeneity—significant north of the Gulf Stream but weak to the south. We furthermore show that the DMM dominates the coupling. Background atmospheric stability and wind speed control the seasonal modulation by driving the sensitivity of winds to SST perturbations. The spatial heterogeneity arises from the weak SST gradients south of the Gulf Stream. Two distinct regimes are found: (a) unstable conditions and weak winds, favoring a primarily divergent response, and (b) near-stable conditions with moderate to strong winds, yielding both divergent and rotational response.
利用海洋-大气耦合模拟,研究了墨西哥湾流低空风对亚中尺度(0 (1-10 km))海表温度(SST)异常响应的季节变化,重点研究了下风动量混合(DMM)和压力调节(PA)机制各自的作用。亚中尺度海温异常的风响应表现出强烈的季节循环,夏季耦合较大,空间异质性明显,墨西哥湾流北部明显,南部弱。进一步证明了DMM在耦合中起主导作用。背景大气稳定性和风速通过驱动风对海温扰动的敏感性来控制季节调制。其空间异质性源于墨西哥湾流以南较弱的海温梯度。发现了两种不同的状态:(a)不稳定条件和弱风,有利于主要的辐散响应;(b)中等至强风的接近稳定条件,产生辐散和旋转响应。
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引用次数: 0
Quasi-Periodic Behavior of Tropical Cyclone Precursors and Its Phase Matching With the Insolation Diurnal Cycle 热带气旋前兆的准周期行为及其与日照日循环的相位匹配
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl121568
Bolei Yang, Ji Nie, Zhe-Min Tan, Juan Fang, William R. Boos
The formation of tropical cyclones (TCs) remains a significant scientific challenge. Here, we demonstrate that robust quasi-periodic behavior (QPB) emerges during TC genesis with idealized numerical simulations. The QPB is an internal mode of the TC precursor, whose underlying mechanism is a convectively coupled inertia-gravity oscillation. With typical environmental parameters and the spatial scale of TC precursors, the period of oscillation is around daily timescale. When the phase of the QPB and the solar diurnal cycle match, the coupling between the two oscillations accelerates TC genesis due to the state-dependent responses of precursors to diurnal radiation. This research unveils a potentially important mechanism for TC genesis in the real world: the diurnal cycle partially strengthens the TC seeds with matched phases among those from natural variability. Thus, our results have significant implications for understanding TC dynamics and improving predictions.
热带气旋的形成仍然是一个重大的科学挑战。本文通过理想化的数值模拟,证明了在TC发生过程中出现的鲁棒拟周期行为。QPB是TC前驱体的内模态,其基本机制是对流耦合惯性-重力振荡。在典型的环境参数和TC前体的空间尺度下,振荡周期在日尺度附近。当QPB的相位与太阳日周期相匹配时,由于前体对日辐射的状态依赖响应,两者之间的耦合加速了TC的发生。这项研究揭示了现实世界中TC发生的一个潜在的重要机制:在自然变异中,日循环部分加强了具有匹配阶段的TC种子。因此,我们的研究结果对理解TC动态和改进预测具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetry in ENSO Prediction Skill Linked to Consecutive La Niña Events Within the IRI Real-Time Forecast System IRI实时预报系统中与连续La Niña事件相关的ENSO预测技能的不对称性
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl118767
Wenchang Ge, Han-Ching Chen, Wenjun Zhang, Yu-Heng Tseng, Fei-Fei Jin
Accurately predicting the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains a key challenge in climate science. An evaluation of the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) real-time ENSO forecast system reveals an asymmetry in prediction skill linked to consecutive La Niña events. ENSO forecasts show consistently high skill for El Niño events, whereas La Niña forecasts exhibit greater uncertainty. Specifically, first-year La Niña events demonstrate prediction skill comparable to that of El Niño events; however, most consecutive La Niña events display much lower predictability. This asymmetry is related to differences in ENSO dynamics. El Niño and first-year La Niña events typically follow the linear recharge–discharge oscillator framework, supporting their high predictability. In contrast, consecutive La Niña events tend to deviate from this framework, likely due to enhanced nonlinear processes that constrain their forecast skill. Improved representation of these nonlinear processes may help enhance prediction skill for consecutive La Niña events.
准确预测厄尔尼诺Niño-Southern涛动(ENSO)仍然是气候科学的一个关键挑战。对国际气候与社会研究所(IRI)实时ENSO预测系统的评估显示,与La Niña连续事件相关的预测技能存在不对称性。ENSO对El Niño事件的预测始终显示出较高的准确性,而La Niña事件的预测则显示出更大的不确定性。具体来说,第一年的La Niña事件的预测能力与El Niño事件相当;然而,大多数连续的La Niña事件的可预测性要低得多。这种不对称性与ENSO动力学的差异有关。El Niño和第一年的La Niña事件通常遵循线性充放电振荡器框架,支持其高可预测性。相比之下,连续的La Niña事件往往偏离这个框架,可能是由于增强的非线性过程限制了它们的预测技能。这些非线性过程的改进表示可能有助于提高对连续La Niña事件的预测技能。
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引用次数: 0
Surface Observations From Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Sites Constrain the Anthropogenic Contribution to Cloud Droplet Number 大气辐射测量站的地面观测限制了人为对云滴数的贡献
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl121383
Dani B. Jones, Hunter Y. Brown, Jacqueline M. Nugent, August Mikkelsen, Ci Song, Damao Zhang, Susannah M. Burrows, Hamish Gordon, Andrew Kirby, Daniel T. McCoy
Uncertainty in anthropogenic forcing driven by aerosol-cloud interactions (aci) limits our ability to infer the sensitivity of the Earth system to forcing from historical records. The driver of aci is the change in cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) due to changes in aerosol serving as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN). Here, we combine a perturbed parameter ensemble run in a global Earth system model with observations of CCN and single-layer-cloud Nd at surface sites in the Azores, the Southern Great Plains, and Ascension Island to provide a constraint on the anthropogenic contribution to present-day Nd. These observational lines of evidence constrain the preindustrial to present-day change in Nd to be between 11 and 43 cm−3. This is consistent with the upper end of some previous estimates but has a higher minimum perturbation, pointing to a stronger historical aerosol cooling.
气溶胶-云相互作用(aci)驱动的人为强迫的不确定性限制了我们根据历史记录推断地球系统对强迫的敏感性的能力。aci的驱动因素是作为云凝结核(CCN)的气溶胶的变化引起的云滴数浓度(Nd)的变化。在这里,我们将全球地球系统模式的扰动参数集合与亚速尔群岛、南部大平原和阿森松岛地面站点的CCN和单层云Nd观测相结合,以提供对当今Nd的人为贡献的约束。这些观测到的证据表明,从工业化前到现在,钕的变化在11 ~ 43 cm−3之间。这与以前一些估计的上端一致,但具有更高的最小扰动,表明历史上的气溶胶冷却作用更强。
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引用次数: 0
North Pacific Model Biases Influence Kuroshio Extension Atmospheric Circulation Patterns 北太平洋模式偏差影响黑潮扩展大气环流型
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl118765
Se-Yong Song, Samantha Stevenson, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Matthew Newman, Antonietta Capotondi, Niklas Schneider
The Kuroshio Extension (KE) system significantly impacts decadal North Pacific climate variability by modulating downstream atmospheric circulation patterns. Using satellite-derived and reanalysis products, and simulations from the High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project within the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, we evaluate how well coupled models reproduce KE atmospheric circulation patterns and their mechanisms. Observational KE regression patterns show that warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension (KOE) enhance local surface evaporation and lower-tropospheric diabatic heating, accompanied by downstream cyclonic circulation anomalies over the North Pacific. In coupled models, a stronger latent heat flux response is linked to better simulation of these mechanisms and circulation patterns, whereas models with cold SST biases over the KOE region systematically underperform. Increasing resolution does not consistently alleviate these biases, reflecting structural issues across models that may obscure the potential benefits of higher resolution.
黑潮延伸(KE)系统通过调节下游大气环流模式,显著影响北太平洋气候年代际变率。利用卫星衍生产品和再分析产品,以及耦合模式比对项目第6阶段的高分辨率模式比对项目的模拟,我们评估了耦合模式对KE大气环流模式及其机制的良好再现。观测的KE回归模式表明,黑潮-亲潮延伸区(KOE)的暖海表温度(SST)异常增强了局部地表蒸发和对流层下层非绝热加热,并伴随北太平洋下游气旋环流异常。在耦合模式中,更强的潜热通量响应与这些机制和环流模式的更好模拟有关,而在KOE区域具有冷海温偏差的模式系统表现不佳。提高分辨率并不能始终如一地减轻这些偏差,这反映了模型之间的结构问题,这些问题可能会掩盖高分辨率的潜在好处。
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引用次数: 0
Constraints on Past CO2 and Climate Sensitivity From Global Temperature and Sea Level Reconstructions Across the Plio-Pleistocene 上新世-更新世全球温度和海平面重建对过去CO2和气候敏感性的约束
IF 5.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-02-27 DOI: 10.1029/2025gl120608
Peter Köhler, Peter U. Clark
In contrast to previous approaches, new reconstructions of changes in global mean surface temperature and global mean sea level (GMSL) include large variability in GMSL throughout the Pleistocene. Here we assess these reconstructions from an energy balance perspective by using them to force a global carbon cycle model in different scenarios that capture the spread in existing <span data-altimg="/cms/asset/023f1201-60ec-4f04-bdba-501218de21d8/grl72158-math-0001.png"></span><mjx-container ctxtmenu_counter="204" ctxtmenu_oldtabindex="1" jax="CHTML" role="application" sre-explorer- style="font-size: 103%; position: relative;" tabindex="0"><mjx-math aria-hidden="true" location="graphic/grl72158-math-0001.png"><mjx-semantics><mjx-mrow><mjx-msub data-semantic-children="0,1" data-semantic- data-semantic-role="unknown" data-semantic-speech="CO Subscript 2" data-semantic-type="subscript"><mjx-mtext data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:unit" data-semantic-font="normal" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="2" data-semantic-role="unknown" data-semantic-type="text"><mjx-c></mjx-c><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mtext><mjx-script style="vertical-align: -0.15em;"><mjx-mn data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-font="normal" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="2" data-semantic-role="integer" data-semantic-type="number" size="s"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mn></mjx-script></mjx-msub></mjx-mrow></mjx-semantics></mjx-math><mjx-assistive-mml display="inline" unselectable="on"><math altimg="urn:x-wiley:00948276:media:grl72158:grl72158-math-0001" display="inline" location="graphic/grl72158-math-0001.png" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><semantics><mrow><msub data-semantic-="" data-semantic-children="0,1" data-semantic-role="unknown" data-semantic-speech="CO Subscript 2" data-semantic-type="subscript"><mtext data-semantic-="" data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:unit" data-semantic-font="normal" data-semantic-parent="2" data-semantic-role="unknown" data-semantic-type="text">CO</mtext><mn data-semantic-="" data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:simple" data-semantic-font="normal" data-semantic-parent="2" data-semantic-role="integer" data-semantic-type="number">2</mn></msub></mrow>${text{CO}}_{2}$</annotation></semantics></math></mjx-assistive-mml></mjx-container> reconstructions. Results suggests that a high <span data-altimg="/cms/asset/41ff9736-e664-4a46-b6dc-7ad63f19e118/grl72158-math-0002.png"></span><mjx-container ctxtmenu_counter="205" ctxtmenu_oldtabindex="1" jax="CHTML" role="application" sre-explorer- style="font-size: 103%; position: relative;" tabindex="0"><mjx-math aria-hidden="true" location="graphic/grl72158-math-0002.png"><mjx-semantics><mjx-mrow><mjx-msub data-semantic-children="0,1" data-semantic- data-semantic-role="unknown" data-semantic-speech="CO Subscript 2" data-semantic-type="subscript"><mjx-mtext data-semantic-annotation="clearspeak:unit" data-semantic-font="normal" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent="2" data-semantic-role="unknown" d
与以往的方法相比,新的全球平均地表温度和全球平均海平面(GMSL)的变化重建包括了更新世全球平均海平面的大变幅。在这里,我们从能量平衡的角度对这些重建进行评估,利用它们来强制建立不同情景下的全球碳循环模型,这些模型捕获了现有CO2重建中的扩散。结果表明,高CO2情景(200万年前300-450 ppm)与新的气候重建最为一致。当根据其他强迫和反馈校正高CO2情景的辐射强迫和由新的GMSL重建得到的陆冰反照率,但忽略任何状态依赖性时,这些结果表明过去400万年的平衡气候敏感性为1.8-1.9 K,略低于最近使用其他方法估计的5%-95%的置信范围(2.1-4.0 K)。
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引用次数: 0
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Geophysical Research Letters
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