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Association between prior COVID-19 infection and acute mountain sickness on Jade Mountain: A prospective observational study (2023-2024). 玉山地区新冠肺炎感染与急性高山病的相关性:一项前瞻性观察研究(2023-2024)
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103152
Te-Chun Shen, Mei-Chen Lin, Bi-Kun Chuang, Bagkall Haivangang, Shui-Fei Lu

Background: Acute mountain sickness (AMS) is a frequent concern for climbers at high altitudes. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, questions have emerged regarding whether prior infection increases susceptibility to AMS.

Methods: We conducted a prospective observational study at the Paiyun Lodge medical station (3402 m) on Jade Mountain (Yushan, 3952 m) between 2023 and 2024. All climbers presenting for medical services were screened. Demographics, comorbidities, ascent characteristics, sleep duration, prophylactic medication, and self-reported COVID-19 history were recorded. AMS was diagnosed clinically and validated using the 2018 Lake Louise AMS Score. Logistic regression and multiple propensity score methods were used to assess associations between COVID-19 history and AMS occurrence and severity.

Results: A total of 871 patients were included; 52.4 % were aged 20-40 years, 57.3 % were male, and 74.7 % reported a history of COVID-19 infection. Clinically diagnosed AMS occurred in 64.1 % (n = 558), with 274 mild and 284 severe cases. Although crude analyses suggested a borderline association between COVID-19 history and AMS (OR = 1.36, 95 % CI: 1.00-1.87), this was not statistically significant after multivariable adjustment (adjusted OR = 1.34, 95 % CI: 0.96-1.88) or propensity score methods.

Conclusion: Prior COVID-19 infection was not significantly associated with the occurrence and severity of AMS among climbers who sought medical services on Jade Mountain. These findings suggest that a history of mild COVID-19 does not independently increase AMS susceptibility, providing reassurance to mountaineers and aligning with contemporary expert consensus.

背景:急性高原病(AMS)是高海拔登山者经常关注的问题。自COVID-19大流行以来,出现了关于先前感染是否会增加对AMS的易感性的问题。方法:于2023 - 2024年在玉山(玉山,3952 m)排云小屋医疗站(3402 m)进行前瞻性观察研究。所有前来就医的登山者都经过了筛查。记录人口统计学、合并症、上升特征、睡眠时间、预防性用药和自我报告的COVID-19病史。AMS被临床诊断并使用2018年路易斯湖AMS评分进行验证。采用Logistic回归和多重倾向评分方法评估COVID-19病史与AMS发生和严重程度之间的关系。结果:共纳入871例患者;52.4 %年龄在20 ~ 40岁之间,57.3% %为男性,74.7 %报告有COVID-19感染史。临床诊断为AMS的发生率为64.1 % (n = 558),其中轻度274例,重度284例。虽然初步分析表明COVID-19病史与AMS之间存在临界相关性(OR = 1.36, 95 % CI: 1.00-1.87),但经多变量调整(调整OR = 1.34, 95 % CI: 0.96-1.88)或倾向评分方法后,这一相关性无统计学意义。结论:玉山求医攀登者既往COVID-19感染与AMS发生及严重程度无显著相关性。这些发现表明,轻度COVID-19病史不会单独增加AMS的易感性,为登山者提供了保证,并与当代专家共识一致。
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引用次数: 0
Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as an independent predictor of severe pertussis in children: A 17-year retrospective cohort study. 中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率作为儿童严重百日咳的独立预测因子:一项17年回顾性队列研究。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103157
Chengxia Li, Caopei Zheng, Ling Zhang, Yu Wang, Miaotian Cai, Yulin Zhang

Background: Despite the widespread implementation of vaccination programs, pertussis continues to spread and remains a major health threat to infants. The present study aimed to identify risk factors of severe pertussis in children to inform clinical decision-making and the development of prevention strategies.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study included data from paediatric patients diagnosed with pertussis at Beijing You'an Hospital, Capital Medical University (Beijing, China), between January 2006 and December 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors of severe pertussis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess discriminative performance.

Results: Data from 219 children with pertussis were divided in 2 groups according to predefined clinical criteria: severe (n = 21) and non-severe (n = 198). Compared with non-severe cases, severe cases experienced longer hospital stays (median 12 versus [vs.] 8 days) and higher rates of fever, cyanosis, sputum production, and respiratory distress. Marked inflammatory differences were observed, as follows: higher neutrophil counts (median 6.83 vs. 3.65 ×10⁹/L); elevated C-reactive protein (median 3.50 vs. 1.00 mg/L); procalcitonin (median 0.12 vs. 0.04 ng/mL); increased neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; median 0.61 vs. 0.29); and a lower lymphocyte percentage (median 56.9 % vs. 69.5 %) (all p < 0.05). Multivariable analysis identified elevated NLR as an independent predictor of severe pertussis (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.884; 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.157-3.066; P = 0.011). ROC curve analysis yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.745 (95 % CI 0.640-0.850), with an optimal NLR cut-off of 0.475, yielding a sensitivity of 66.7 % and a specificity of 75.5 %.

Conclusion: Elevated NLR was an independent predictor of severe pertussis in children. Future multicentre prospective studies with standardised follow-up periods are warranted to validate these findings.

背景:尽管广泛实施了疫苗接种计划,百日咳仍在继续传播,仍然是婴儿的主要健康威胁。本研究旨在确定儿童严重百日咳的危险因素,为临床决策和预防策略的制定提供信息。方法:本回顾性队列研究纳入了2006年1月至2023年12月在首都医科大学北京佑安医院诊断为百日咳的儿科患者的资料。采用多变量logistic回归来确定严重百日咳的独立预测因素,并采用受试者工作特征(ROC)分析来评估判别效果。结果:219例百日咳患儿数据根据预先设定的临床标准分为重度(n = 21)和非重度(n = 198)两组。与非重症病例相比,重症病例住院时间更长(中位数为12天,中位数为8天),发热、发绀、产痰和呼吸窘迫的发生率更高。观察到明显的炎症差异如下:中性粒细胞计数较高(中位数6.83 vs. 3.65 ×10⁹/L);c -反应蛋白升高(中位数3.50 vs 1.00 mg/L);降钙素原(中位数0.12 vs. 0.04 ng/mL);中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值增加(NLR;中位数0.61 vs 0.29);淋巴细胞百分比较低(中位数为56.9 % vs. 69.5 %)(均p )结论:NLR升高是儿童严重百日咳的独立预测因子。未来的多中心前瞻性研究需要标准化的随访期来验证这些发现。
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引用次数: 0
Burkholderia cepacia complex infections beyond hospital outbreaks: A 22-Year analysis of clinical characteristics, antimicrobial resistance, and mortality predictors. 洋葱伯克霍尔德菌复合感染超出医院暴发:22年的临床特征分析,抗菌素耐药性和死亡率预测因素。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103158
Marwan Jabr Alwazzeh, Amani Alnimr, Sara M Alwarthan, Mashael Alhajri, Jumanah Algazaq, Bashayer M AlShehail, Basel A Darweesh, Mohammed A Basheikh, Reem S AlSulaiman, Saud A Alamro, Jawad Ur Rahman, Mohammad T Al-Hariri

Background: Burkholderia cepacia complex bacteria are intrinsically multidrug-resistant opportunistic pathogens that pose a growing threat in hospital settings, particularly among immunocompromised patients. Despite its clinical significance, data on sporadic Burkholderia cepacia complex infections outside cystic fibrosis populations and hospital outbreaks remain limited.

Methods: A 22-year retrospective observational cohort study (May 2001-April 2023) was carried out at a tertiary care academic center in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia. Adults hospitalized with confirmed Burkholderia cepacia infection and ≥ 72 h of antibiotic therapy were included. Demographics, comorbidities, infection type, microbiological resistance profiles, treatment outcomes, and mortality predictors were analyzed using logistic regression and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.

Results: Of 189 identified cases, 151 patients met the inclusion criteria (mean age 53 ± 21 years; 57.6 % male). The majority of infections were hospital-acquired (84.8 %), with bloodstream infections (33.1 %) and ventilator-associated pneumonia (26.5 %) being the most prevalent. Resistance was high to piperacillin/tazobactam (73.6 %), ceftazidime (58.6 %), levofloxacin (57.4 %), carbapenems (42.0 %), and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (30.3 %). Clinical resolution was achieved in 82.1 %, but bacteriological eradication occurred in only 56.9 %, with a recurrence rate of 17.2 %. Mortality reached 9.9 % at 14 days, 17.2 % at 30 days, and 35.8 % at one year. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality included advanced age, critical care admission, central venous catheter insertion, mechanical ventilation, and resistance to fluoroquinolones or carbapenems.

Conclusions: Our findings indicate that Burkholderia cepacia complex infections represent a significant clinical challenge due to antibiotic resistance and elevated mortality rates. The data highlight the importance of improving diagnostic and treatment approaches, as well as implementing effective infection control policies, especially for vulnerable hospitalized populations.

背景:洋葱伯克霍尔德菌复合细菌本质上是多重耐药的机会性病原体,在医院环境中构成越来越大的威胁,特别是在免疫功能低下的患者中。尽管具有临床意义,但囊性纤维化人群和医院暴发之外的散发性洋葱伯克氏菌复合感染的数据仍然有限。方法:在沙特阿拉伯东部省的一个三级保健学术中心进行了一项22年回顾性观察队列研究(2001年5月- 2023年4月)。纳入确诊洋葱伯克氏菌感染且接受抗生素治疗≥ 72 h的住院成人。人口统计学、合并症、感染类型、微生物耐药概况、治疗结果和死亡率预测因素采用logistic回归和Kaplan-Meier生存估计进行分析。结果:189例确诊病例中,151例患者符合纳入标准(平均年龄53 ± 21岁;男性57.6 %)。大多数感染为医院获得性感染(84.8% %),血流感染(33.1% %)和呼吸机相关性肺炎(26.5% %)最为普遍。对哌拉西林/他唑巴坦(73.6 %)、头孢他啶(58.6 %)、左氧氟沙星(57.4 %)、碳青霉烯类(42.0 %)和甲氧苄啶-磺胺甲恶唑(30.3 %)的耐药率较高。临床治愈率为82.1% %,但细菌学根除率仅为56.9% %,复发率为17.2% %。14天死亡率为9.9 %,30天死亡率为17.2 %,1年死亡率为35.8 %。30天死亡率的独立预测因素包括高龄、危重病住院、中心静脉置管、机械通气和对氟喹诺酮类药物或碳青霉烯类药物的耐药性。结论:我们的研究结果表明,由于抗生素耐药性和死亡率升高,洋葱伯克氏菌复合感染是一个重大的临床挑战。这些数据强调了改进诊断和治疗方法以及实施有效的感染控制政策的重要性,特别是对弱势住院人群。
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引用次数: 0
Circular genome of human bocavirus 1 associated with high load of viral DNA, positive antigen and increased risk of severe pneumonia in children 人类波卡病毒1型环状基因组与病毒DNA高负荷、抗原阳性和儿童重症肺炎风险增加相关
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103156
Kexiang Zhang , Ri De , Zeng Li , Yanpeng Xu , Zhenzhi Han , Runan Zhu , Yu Sun , Liping Jia , Dongmei Chen , Yutong Zhou , Qi Guo , Yao Yao , Xiaolin Ma , Shuang Liu , Chunmei Zhu , Dong Qu , Linqing Zhao

Background

Human bocavirus 1 (HBoV1) causes acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in children, but its diagnosis is complicated by prolonged viral shedding. There are indications that the detection of a circular genome in a clinical specimens may be associated with acute infection.

Methods

Respiratory specimens collected from pediatric patients with ARIs during January 2021 to July 2024 were screened by a duplex qPCR, which was developed to distinguish circular genome from total viral genomes and evaluated by nested PCR and antigen test. Clinical data were collected from patients with single HBoV1 infection to reveal the association of circular genome with ARIs and the severity of pneumonia.

Results

Among 520 specimens positive for HBoV1 DNA, 206 (39.61 %) were positive for circular genomes as determined by duplex qPCR, with the median load of total genomes 1010.08 (IQR 109.26, 1010.62) copies/mL significantly higher than 107.81 (IQR 106.88, 108.60) copies/mL in the circular genome negative group (p < 0.0001). In the antigen-positive group, the positive rate for circular genomes was 78.57 % (44/56), significantly higher than 34.29 % (108/315) observed in the antigen-negative group. Among patients single positive for HBoV1, the circular genome-positive group (n = 106) showed more severe clinical manifestations and required more intensive treatment. Logistic regression analysis identified the circular genome as a strong independent risk factor for severe pneumonia (OR = 6.38, AUC = 0.82).

Conclusion

Circular genome of HBoV1 associated with high load of viral DNA, positive antigen and severe pneumonia in children may serve as a biomarker for acute HBoV1 infection and severe pneumonia.
人类bocavavirus 1 (HBoV1)在儿童中引起急性呼吸道感染(ARIs),但由于病毒长期脱落,其诊断变得复杂。有迹象表明,在临床标本中检测到环状基因组可能与急性感染有关。方法对2021年1月至2024年7月收集的急性呼吸道感染患儿呼吸道标本,采用区分环状基因组和总病毒基因组的双工qPCR方法进行筛选,并采用巢式PCR和抗原检测进行评价。收集单例HBoV1感染患者的临床数据,以揭示环基因组与ARIs和肺炎严重程度的关联。结果520份HBoV1 DNA阳性标本中,环状基因组阳性206份(39.61 %),总基因组中位数负荷1010.08 (IQR 109.26, 1010.62) copies/mL显著高于环状基因组阴性组的107.81 (IQR 106.88, 108.60) copies/mL (p <; 0.0001)。抗原阳性组环状基因组阳性率为78.57 %(44/56),显著高于抗原阴性组34.29 %(108/315)。在HBoV1单一阳性患者中,环状基因组阳性组(n = 106)临床表现更严重,需要更强化的治疗。Logistic回归分析发现,环状基因组是严重肺炎的一个强大的独立危险因素(OR = 6.38, AUC = 0.82)。结论儿童HBoV1环状基因组与病毒DNA高负荷、抗原阳性和重症肺炎相关,可作为急性HBoV1感染和重症肺炎的生物标志物。
{"title":"Circular genome of human bocavirus 1 associated with high load of viral DNA, positive antigen and increased risk of severe pneumonia in children","authors":"Kexiang Zhang ,&nbsp;Ri De ,&nbsp;Zeng Li ,&nbsp;Yanpeng Xu ,&nbsp;Zhenzhi Han ,&nbsp;Runan Zhu ,&nbsp;Yu Sun ,&nbsp;Liping Jia ,&nbsp;Dongmei Chen ,&nbsp;Yutong Zhou ,&nbsp;Qi Guo ,&nbsp;Yao Yao ,&nbsp;Xiaolin Ma ,&nbsp;Shuang Liu ,&nbsp;Chunmei Zhu ,&nbsp;Dong Qu ,&nbsp;Linqing Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103156","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103156","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Human bocavirus 1 (HBoV1) causes acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in children, but its diagnosis is complicated by prolonged viral shedding. There are indications that the detection of a circular genome in a clinical specimens may be associated with acute infection.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Respiratory specimens collected from pediatric patients with ARIs during January 2021 to July 2024 were screened by a duplex qPCR, which was developed to distinguish circular genome from total viral genomes and evaluated by nested PCR and antigen test. Clinical data were collected from patients with single HBoV1 infection to reveal the association of circular genome with ARIs and the severity of pneumonia.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among 520 specimens positive for HBoV1 DNA, 206 (39.61 %) were positive for circular genomes as determined by duplex qPCR, with the median load of total genomes 10<sup>10.08</sup> (IQR 10<sup>9.26</sup>, 10<sup>10.62</sup>) copies/mL significantly higher than 10<sup>7.81</sup> (IQR 10<sup>6.88</sup>, 10<sup>8.60</sup>) copies/mL in the circular genome negative group (<em>p</em> &lt; 0.0001). In the antigen-positive group, the positive rate for circular genomes was 78.57 % (44/56), significantly higher than 34.29 % (108/315) observed in the antigen-negative group. Among patients single positive for HBoV1, the circular genome-positive group (n = 106) showed more severe clinical manifestations and required more intensive treatment. Logistic regression analysis identified the circular genome as a strong independent risk factor for severe pneumonia (OR = 6.38, AUC = 0.82).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Circular genome of HBoV1 associated with high load of viral DNA, positive antigen and severe pneumonia in children may serve as a biomarker for acute HBoV1 infection and severe pneumonia.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"Article 103156"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146102488","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Digital twin of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection: Integrating immune dynamics and pathogen adaptation for precision therapy. 结核分枝杆菌感染的数字双胞胎:整合免疫动力学和病原体适应精确治疗。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103154
Ruqaiyyah Siddiqui, Naveed Ahmed Khan

Mycobacterium tuberculosis remains one of the world's most persistent pathogens, responsible for over a million deaths each year despite effective drugs and decades of research. Disease progression varies widely among individuals, reflecting interactions between pathogen, physiology, host immunity, and pharmacological response. We propose a digital twin framework for tuberculosis that integrates clinical, immunological, and pharmacokinetic data into a continuously adaptive computational model. The twin would simulate host-pathogen dynamics from granuloma formation to systemic immune regulation, linking these processes with individualised drug exposure and treatment response. By forecasting outcomes and identifying early indicators of relapse or resistance, such a system could guide precision therapy and accelerate discovery of host-directed interventions. The tuberculosis digital twin thus represents a bridge between infection biology, computation, and clinical translation, presenting an evolving model capable of transforming how this ancient disease is understood and managed. However, translation will require further longitudinal clinical and immunological datasets and systematic validation of model predictions in real-world treatment settings.

尽管有有效的药物和数十年的研究,但结核分枝杆菌仍然是世界上最顽固的病原体之一,每年造成100多万人死亡。疾病进展因人而异,反映了病原体、生理、宿主免疫和药理反应之间的相互作用。我们提出了一个结核病的数字孪生框架,将临床、免疫学和药代动力学数据集成到一个连续自适应的计算模型中。双胞胎将模拟从肉芽肿形成到全身免疫调节的宿主-病原体动力学,将这些过程与个体化药物暴露和治疗反应联系起来。通过预测结果和识别复发或耐药性的早期指标,这样的系统可以指导精确治疗并加速发现宿主导向的干预措施。因此,结核病数字双胞胎代表了感染生物学、计算和临床转化之间的桥梁,呈现了一个能够改变这种古老疾病的理解和管理方式的不断发展的模型。然而,翻译将需要进一步的纵向临床和免疫学数据集,以及在现实世界治疗环境中对模型预测的系统验证。
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引用次数: 0
The role of changes in lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels in predicting COVID-19 severity and mortality: A biomarker analysis. 乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)水平变化在预测COVID-19严重程度和死亡率中的作用:一项生物标志物分析
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103153
Seyed Hassan Saadat, Behzad Einollahi, Hadi Norouzi, Mohammad Farjami, Nematollah Jonaidi Jafari, Shahla Afsharpeyman, Fahime Shahjooie, Ali Bahrami Far, Kiavash Hushmandi

Background: Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) has emerged as a potential biomarker for COVID-19 severity, but the diagnostic value of its dynamic changes (ΔLDH) remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the predictive value of ΔLDH for clinical outcomes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 5635 adults with confirmed COVID-19, analyzing LDH measurements. The patients were stratified by ΔLDH quartiles (Q1-Q4). Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the associations with mortality and ICU admission, while ROC analysis was used to determine the predictive performance.

Results: A U-shaped relationship was observed, with both extreme reductions (Q1: ΔLDH ≤ -196 U/L) and elevations (Q4: ΔLDH ≥ 108 U/L) predicting adverse outcomes. Q4 patients had a higher risk of mortality (aOR = 6.72, 95 % CI: 5.31-8.51) and a higher risk of ICU admission (aOR = 6.63, 95 % CI: 5.26-8.36) compared to Q1. ΔLDH revealed excellent discrimination for mortality (AUC = 0.78) with an optimal cutoff at 181.5 U/L (sensitivity = 66.7 %, specificity = 88.9 %).

Conclusion: ΔLDH is a powerful, independent predictor of COVID-19 severity, revealing a novel U-shaped risk pattern. The 181.5 U/L threshold offers clinically actionable guidance for risk stratification. These findings support the incorporation of serial LDH monitoring into COVID-19 management protocols.

背景:乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)已成为COVID-19严重程度的潜在生物标志物,但其动态变化的诊断价值尚不清楚(ΔLDH)。本研究旨在确定ΔLDH对COVID-19住院患者临床结局的预测价值。方法:对5635例确诊COVID-19的成年人进行回顾性队列研究,分析LDH测量值。患者按ΔLDH四分位数(Q1-Q4)分层。采用多变量logistic回归评估与死亡率和ICU入院的关系,采用ROC分析确定预测效果。结果:观察到U型关系,极端降低(Q1: ΔLDH≤ -196 U/L)和升高(Q4: ΔLDH≥108 U/L)预测不良结局。Q4患者的死亡风险(aOR = 6.72, 95 % CI: 5.31-8.51)和ICU入院风险(aOR = 6.63, 95 % CI: 5.26-8.36)高于Q1。ΔLDH对死亡率有很好的鉴别(AUC = 0.78),最佳截止值为181.5 U/L(敏感性= 66.7 %,特异性= 88.9 %)。结论:ΔLDH是一个强大的、独立的COVID-19严重程度预测因子,揭示了一种新的u型风险模式。181.5 U/L阈值为风险分层提供了临床可操作的指导。这些发现支持将LDH连续监测纳入COVID-19管理方案。
{"title":"The role of changes in lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels in predicting COVID-19 severity and mortality: A biomarker analysis.","authors":"Seyed Hassan Saadat, Behzad Einollahi, Hadi Norouzi, Mohammad Farjami, Nematollah Jonaidi Jafari, Shahla Afsharpeyman, Fahime Shahjooie, Ali Bahrami Far, Kiavash Hushmandi","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103153","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103153","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) has emerged as a potential biomarker for COVID-19 severity, but the diagnostic value of its dynamic changes (ΔLDH) remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the predictive value of ΔLDH for clinical outcomes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We performed a retrospective cohort study of 5635 adults with confirmed COVID-19, analyzing LDH measurements. The patients were stratified by ΔLDH quartiles (Q1-Q4). Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the associations with mortality and ICU admission, while ROC analysis was used to determine the predictive performance.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A U-shaped relationship was observed, with both extreme reductions (Q1: ΔLDH ≤ -196 U/L) and elevations (Q4: ΔLDH ≥ 108 U/L) predicting adverse outcomes. Q4 patients had a higher risk of mortality (aOR = 6.72, 95 % CI: 5.31-8.51) and a higher risk of ICU admission (aOR = 6.63, 95 % CI: 5.26-8.36) compared to Q1. ΔLDH revealed excellent discrimination for mortality (AUC = 0.78) with an optimal cutoff at 181.5 U/L (sensitivity = 66.7 %, specificity = 88.9 %).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>ΔLDH is a powerful, independent predictor of COVID-19 severity, revealing a novel U-shaped risk pattern. The 181.5 U/L threshold offers clinically actionable guidance for risk stratification. These findings support the incorporation of serial LDH monitoring into COVID-19 management protocols.</p>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"103153"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146156772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A structured-data algorithm for semiautomated surveillance of surgical site infection after colorectal surgery: A diagnostic accuracy study 结直肠术后手术部位感染半自动监测的结构化数据算法:诊断准确性研究
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103151
Daniel Casanova-Portoles , Josep M. Badia , Carlos G. Forero , Néstor Sánchez-Martínez , Manel Romero , Toni Alonso-Solís , Enric Limón , Miquel Pujol , Joan Sancho

Background

Manual surveillance of surgical site infections (SSIs) after colorectal surgery is resource-intensive, limiting scalability. Semiautomated algorithms based on structured electronic health record (EHR) data may maintain high case-finding sensitivity while reducing workload.

Methods

A retrospective diagnostic-accuracy study was conducted in a teaching hospital participating in a nationwide SSI surveillance programme. All elective colorectal procedures performed between January 2010 and December 2023 were included. SSIs were classified according to CDC-NHSN/ECDC criteria. Eight binary EHR-derived “alerts” were combined into a composite rule (any alert positive). Manual surveillance served as the reference standard. Performance was assessed overall, by SSI depth (superficial, deep, organ/space), and by procedure type (colon vs rectal). Discrimination (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

A total of 1213 patients (1085 colon; 128 rectal) were included. The overall SSI incidence was 11.2 % (3.1 % superficial, 1.2 % deep, 6.8 % organ/space). The composite alert achieved an AUC of 0.859 (95 % CI 0.838–0.878) for any SSI, with sensitivity 0.721, specificity 0.876, PPV 0.424, and NPV 0.961. At this operating point, 19 % of procedures would be flagged for manual verification, corresponding to an estimated 81 % reduction in full chart reviews. Discrimination was highest for organ/space infections (AUC 0.919; sensitivity 0.831; specificity 0.911). Performance for deep SSI was intermediate (AUC 0.805), and for superficial SSI, more limited (AUC 0.571). Sensitivity was higher for colon surgery (AUC 0.853) and specificity higher for rectal surgery (AUC 0.881).

Conclusions

The structured-data algorithm demonstrated strong overall discrimination and excellent performance for organ/space infections, supporting the feasibility of semiautomated surveillance without compromising detection quality. External and prospective validation, definition of diagnostic safety thresholds, and workload-reduction analyses are required to optimise implementation. Exploration of NLP add-ons may be considered where resources permit. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT07130656.
背景:人工监测结直肠手术后手术部位感染(ssi)是资源密集型的,限制了可扩展性。基于结构化电子健康记录(EHR)数据的半自动算法可以在减少工作量的同时保持较高的病例查找灵敏度。方法在参与全国SSI监测项目的某教学医院进行回顾性诊断准确性研究。包括2010年1月至2023年12月期间进行的所有择期结直肠手术。根据CDC-NHSN/ECDC标准对ssi进行分类。8个由ehr衍生的二元“警报”被合并成一个复合规则(任何阳性警报)。人工监测作为参考标准。通过SSI深度(浅表、深部、器官/空间)和手术类型(结肠和直肠)对性能进行总体评估。以95% %置信区间(ci)计算辨别力(AUC)、敏感性、特异性、阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV)。结果共纳入1213例患者,其中结肠1085例,直肠128例。SSI的总发生率为11.2 %(3.1 %浅表,1.2 %深部,6.8 %器官/间隙)。对于任何SSI,复合预警的AUC为0.859(95 % CI 0.838-0.878),敏感性0.721,特异性0.876,PPV 0.424, NPV 0.961。在这个操作点,19% %的程序将被标记为手动验证,对应于完整图表审查的估计减少81% %。脏器/空间感染的鉴别率最高(AUC 0.919,敏感性0.831,特异性0.911)。深度SSI的性能为中等(AUC为0.805),浅表SSI的性能更有限(AUC为0.571)。结肠手术的敏感性较高(AUC 0.853),直肠手术的特异性较高(AUC 0.881)。结论结构化数据算法对器官/空间感染具有较强的整体判别能力和优异的检测性能,支持在不影响检测质量的情况下实现半自动监测的可行性。需要外部和前瞻性验证、诊断安全阈值的定义以及工作量减少分析来优化实施。在资源允许的情况下,可以考虑对NLP附加组件进行勘探。ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT07130656。
{"title":"A structured-data algorithm for semiautomated surveillance of surgical site infection after colorectal surgery: A diagnostic accuracy study","authors":"Daniel Casanova-Portoles ,&nbsp;Josep M. Badia ,&nbsp;Carlos G. Forero ,&nbsp;Néstor Sánchez-Martínez ,&nbsp;Manel Romero ,&nbsp;Toni Alonso-Solís ,&nbsp;Enric Limón ,&nbsp;Miquel Pujol ,&nbsp;Joan Sancho","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103151","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103151","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Manual surveillance of surgical site infections (SSIs) after colorectal surgery is resource-intensive, limiting scalability. Semiautomated algorithms based on structured electronic health record (EHR) data may maintain high case-finding sensitivity while reducing workload.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A retrospective diagnostic-accuracy study was conducted in a teaching hospital participating in a nationwide SSI surveillance programme. All elective colorectal procedures performed between January 2010 and December 2023 were included. SSIs were classified according to CDC-NHSN/ECDC criteria. Eight binary EHR-derived “alerts” were combined into a composite rule (any alert positive). Manual surveillance served as the reference standard. Performance was assessed overall, by SSI depth (superficial, deep, organ/space), and by procedure type (colon vs rectal). Discrimination (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs).</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>A total of 1213 patients (1085 colon; 128 rectal) were included. The overall SSI incidence was 11.2 % (3.1 % superficial, 1.2 % deep, 6.8 % organ/space). The composite alert achieved an AUC of 0.859 (95 % CI 0.838–0.878) for any SSI, with sensitivity 0.721, specificity 0.876, PPV 0.424, and NPV 0.961. At this operating point, 19 % of procedures would be flagged for manual verification, corresponding to an estimated 81 % reduction in full chart reviews. Discrimination was highest for organ/space infections (AUC 0.919; sensitivity 0.831; specificity 0.911). Performance for deep SSI was intermediate (AUC 0.805), and for superficial SSI, more limited (AUC 0.571). Sensitivity was higher for colon surgery (AUC 0.853) and specificity higher for rectal surgery (AUC 0.881).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>The structured-data algorithm demonstrated strong overall discrimination and excellent performance for organ/space infections, supporting the feasibility of semiautomated surveillance without compromising detection quality. External and prospective validation, definition of diagnostic safety thresholds, and workload-reduction analyses are required to optimise implementation. Exploration of NLP add-ons may be considered where resources permit. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT07130656.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"Article 103151"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146102489","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Post-exposure prophylaxis with favipiravir among household close contacts to confirmed COVID-19 cases: A cluster-randomized trial (PEPfavi) COVID-19确诊病例家庭密切接触者的法匹拉韦暴露后预防:一项聚类随机试验(PEPfavi)
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103150
Taweegrit Siripongboonsitti , Teerapat Ungtrakul , Kriangkrai Tawinprai , Krongkwan Niemsorn , Kunsuda Punjachaipornpol , Worrawat Sangwipasnapaporn , Natcha Wattanapokasilp , Marisa Muadchimkaew , Saowanee Wongpatcharawarakul , Kamonwan Soonklang , Nithi Mahanonda

Background

Household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 remains a key driver of community spread, with secondary attack rates in Thai households reaching approximately 50 %. There is limited evidence supporting the efficacy of antiviral post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) in this context.

Methods

The phase 2/3, open-label, (1:1) cluster-randomized controlled trial in Thailand, 168 household close contacts from 76 index cases were enrolled to receive either favipiravir-PEP (FPV-PEP) (1600–2000 mg/day for 7 days) or usual care. The efficacy of FPV-PEP was investigated in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection after contact with index cases.

Results

The incidence of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection was lower in the FPV-PEP group than in the usual care group (7.32 % vs. 14.47 %), although the difference was not statistically significant. A trend toward fewer early positive rapid diagnostic test results on day 3 was observed in the FPV-PEP group. Symptom development was less frequent among FPV-PEP recipients, with fewer cases of fever, rhinorrhea, and myalgia. A significantly higher probability of remaining asymptomatic and delayed symptom onset was observed in the FPV-PEP group. No participants developed severe COVID-19 or required hospitalization.

Conclusion

FPV-PEP was associated with a lower incidence of fever, rhinorrhea, and myalgia among household contacts. While a reduction in secondary transmission was observed, it did not reach statistical significance. Further large-scale studies are warranted to clarify its role in preventing household transmission.
SARS-CoV-2的家庭传播仍然是社区传播的主要驱动因素,泰国家庭的二次发病率约为50% %。在这种情况下,支持抗病毒暴露后预防(PEP)有效性的证据有限。方法在泰国进行2/3期、开放标签、(1:1)聚类随机对照试验,选取76例家庭密切接触者中的168例,分别接受favipirvir - pep (FPV-PEP) (1600 ~ 2000 mg/d,连用7 d)或常规护理。观察FPV-PEP在接触指示病例后预防SARS-CoV-2感染的效果。结果FPV-PEP组确诊SARS-CoV-2感染发生率低于常规护理组(7.32 %比14.47 %),但差异无统计学意义。在FPV-PEP组中,观察到第3天早期阳性快速诊断试验结果较少的趋势。FPV-PEP受者的症状发展较少,发热、鼻流和肌痛的病例较少。在FPV-PEP组中观察到明显更高的剩余无症状和延迟症状发作的可能性。没有参与者出现严重的COVID-19或需要住院治疗。结论fpv - pep与家庭接触者发热、流鼻、肌痛发生率较低有关。虽然观察到二次传播的减少,但没有达到统计学意义。有必要进一步进行大规模研究,以阐明其在预防家庭传播方面的作用。
{"title":"Post-exposure prophylaxis with favipiravir among household close contacts to confirmed COVID-19 cases: A cluster-randomized trial (PEPfavi)","authors":"Taweegrit Siripongboonsitti ,&nbsp;Teerapat Ungtrakul ,&nbsp;Kriangkrai Tawinprai ,&nbsp;Krongkwan Niemsorn ,&nbsp;Kunsuda Punjachaipornpol ,&nbsp;Worrawat Sangwipasnapaporn ,&nbsp;Natcha Wattanapokasilp ,&nbsp;Marisa Muadchimkaew ,&nbsp;Saowanee Wongpatcharawarakul ,&nbsp;Kamonwan Soonklang ,&nbsp;Nithi Mahanonda","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103150","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 remains a key driver of community spread, with secondary attack rates in Thai households reaching approximately 50 %. There is limited evidence supporting the efficacy of antiviral post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) in this context.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>The phase 2/3, open-label, (1:1) cluster-randomized controlled trial in Thailand, 168 household close contacts from 76 index cases were enrolled to receive either favipiravir-PEP (FPV-PEP) (1600–2000 mg/day for 7 days) or usual care. The efficacy of FPV-PEP was investigated in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection after contact with index cases.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The incidence of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection was lower in the FPV-PEP group than in the usual care group (7.32 % vs. 14.47 %), although the difference was not statistically significant. A trend toward fewer early positive rapid diagnostic test results on day 3 was observed in the FPV-PEP group. Symptom development was less frequent among FPV-PEP recipients, with fewer cases of fever, rhinorrhea, and myalgia. A significantly higher probability of remaining asymptomatic and delayed symptom onset was observed in the FPV-PEP group. No participants developed severe COVID-19 or required hospitalization.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>FPV-PEP was associated with a lower incidence of fever, rhinorrhea, and myalgia among household contacts. While a reduction in secondary transmission was observed, it did not reach statistical significance. Further large-scale studies are warranted to clarify its role in preventing household transmission.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"Article 103150"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146102486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The emergence of JN.1 variant resurgent COVID-19 wave in India and South Asia is a global public health concern 在印度和南亚出现的新型冠状病毒1型变体再次出现是一个全球性的公共卫生问题
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103146
Najibah Nasrin , Asfia Hasan Mumu , Abir Hasan Pranto , Md. Rabiul Islam
The emergence of the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 has heightened global health concerns. Here, we aimed to evaluate viral characteristics, epidemiology, transmissibility, infectivity, immune evasion, effectiveness of current antiviral therapies, immunization options, genomic surveillance and public awareness against the stealthy JN.1. We searched across key databases to identify recent insights regarding JN.1 variant. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the virological characteristics and public health implications. Early genomic analyses reveal notable mutations in the spike protein, which may enhance viral transmissibility and immune escape. The findings indicate JN.1 to exhibit greater infectivity and enhanced ability to circumvent immune defenses attributable to one mutation identified as L455S. Public health agencies worldwide are enhancing monitoring, genomic surveillance, data sharing, revising containment strategies, promoting booster vaccination campaigns Furthermore, it is imperative to promote public adherence and global collaboration in encouraging the practice of preventive strategies to mitigate potential threat posed by JN.1.
SARS-CoV-2的JN.1变种的出现加剧了全球卫生问题。在这里,我们的目的是评估病毒的特征、流行病学、传播性、传染性、免疫逃避、当前抗病毒治疗的有效性、免疫选择、基因组监测和公众对隐形JN.1的认识。我们搜索了关键数据库,以确定关于JN.1变体的最新见解。这篇综述提供了病毒学特征和公共卫生影响的全面概述。早期基因组分析揭示了刺突蛋白的显著突变,这可能增强病毒的传播性和免疫逃逸。研究结果表明,JN.1表现出更强的传染性,并且由于一个被鉴定为L455S的突变而增强了规避免疫防御的能力。世界各地的公共卫生机构正在加强监测、基因组监测、数据共享、修订遏制战略、促进加强疫苗接种运动。此外,必须促进公众遵守和全球合作,鼓励采取预防战略,以减轻新冠病毒1造成的潜在威胁。
{"title":"The emergence of JN.1 variant resurgent COVID-19 wave in India and South Asia is a global public health concern","authors":"Najibah Nasrin ,&nbsp;Asfia Hasan Mumu ,&nbsp;Abir Hasan Pranto ,&nbsp;Md. Rabiul Islam","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103146","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103146","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The emergence of the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 has heightened global health concerns. Here, we aimed to evaluate viral characteristics, epidemiology, transmissibility, infectivity, immune evasion, effectiveness of current antiviral therapies, immunization options, genomic surveillance and public awareness against the stealthy JN.1. We searched across key databases to identify recent insights regarding JN.1 variant. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the virological characteristics and public health implications. Early genomic analyses reveal notable mutations in the spike protein, which may enhance viral transmissibility and immune escape. The findings indicate JN.1 to exhibit greater infectivity and enhanced ability to circumvent immune defenses attributable to one mutation identified as L455S. Public health agencies worldwide are enhancing monitoring, genomic surveillance, data sharing, revising containment strategies, promoting booster vaccination campaigns Furthermore, it is imperative to promote public adherence and global collaboration in encouraging the practice of preventive strategies to mitigate potential threat posed by JN.1.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 3","pages":"Article 103146"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977974","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Serological and molecular investigation of suspected chickenpox cases from India, 2016–2025 2016-2025年印度水痘疑似病例血清学和分子调查
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103147
Sunil R. Vaidya, Sarang S. Kamble, Madhukar B. Kamble, Roben P. George, Pankaj G. Pandey, Atul M. Walimbe

Background

Varicella, commonly known as chickenpox is a neglected disease in India with numerous outbreaks reported in the last decade. Unfortunately, varicella vaccine is not included in India’s Universal Immunization Program (UIP), and active surveillance is not in place. Investigation of suspected varicella cases from various Indian regions was done to understand disease burden and molecular epidemiology.

Methods

Between 2016 and 2025, 195 clinical cases from suspected chickenpox cases were referred for virological investigation from five States and one Union Territory of India. Samples were analyzed for Varicella-Zoster Virus (VZV) using IgM-EIA and/or conventional PCR. Virus isolation was attempted on Vero, MRC-5, and WI-38 cell lines. PCR-positive products were sequenced for phylogenetic analysis to identify circulating VZV clades.

Results

Of the 195 suspected cases, 159 (81.53 %) were confirmed by serological or molecular methods. Majority of the cases (n = 152, 77.94 %) occurred in individuals under 18 years of age, with higher incidence among males (n = 119) than females (n = 76). Of 58 diverse clinical specimens, 43 showed VZV DNA. Sequencing of representative PCR products showed circulation of VZV clade-5 in 29 cases and clade-9 in a single case. Unfortunately, attempts at VZV isolation were not successful.

Conclusion

The study confirms a high laboratory-confirmed rate of varicella among suspected cases in India, with children being the most affected. Molecular data identified VZV clade-5 as primary circulating genotype. These findings highlight a significant burden of chickenpox and provide molecular evidence to support inclusion of the varicella vaccine in India’s Universal Immunization Program.
水痘,俗称水痘,在印度是一种被忽视的疾病,在过去十年中报道了多次暴发。不幸的是,水痘疫苗不包括在印度的普遍免疫规划(UIP)中,也没有开展主动监测。对来自印度不同地区的水痘疑似病例进行调查,以了解疾病负担和分子流行病学。方法对2016 - 2025年来自印度5个邦和1个联邦直辖区的195例疑似水痘临床病例进行病毒学调查。采用IgM-EIA和/或常规PCR对样品进行水痘-带状疱疹病毒(VZV)检测。在Vero、MRC-5和WI-38细胞系上尝试分离病毒。pcr阳性产物测序用于系统发育分析,以确定循环VZV支系。结果195例疑似病例中,经血清学或分子检测确诊159例(81.53 %)。大多数病例(n = 152,77.94 %)发生在18岁以下的个体,男性发病率(n = 119)高于女性(n = 76)。在58份不同的临床标本中,43份显示VZV DNA。代表性PCR产物测序结果显示,29例病例中存在VZV分支枝-5,1例病例中存在分支枝-9。不幸的是,隔离VZV的尝试没有成功。结论:该研究证实,印度水痘疑似病例的实验室确诊率很高,儿童受影响最大。分子数据鉴定VZV clade-5为主要的循环基因型。这些发现突出了水痘的重大负担,并提供了分子证据,支持将水痘疫苗纳入印度的普遍免疫规划。
{"title":"Serological and molecular investigation of suspected chickenpox cases from India, 2016–2025","authors":"Sunil R. Vaidya,&nbsp;Sarang S. Kamble,&nbsp;Madhukar B. Kamble,&nbsp;Roben P. George,&nbsp;Pankaj G. Pandey,&nbsp;Atul M. Walimbe","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103147","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103147","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Varicella, commonly known as chickenpox is a neglected disease in India with numerous outbreaks reported in the last decade. Unfortunately, varicella vaccine is not included in India’s Universal Immunization Program (UIP), and active surveillance is not in place. Investigation of suspected varicella cases from various Indian regions was done to understand disease burden and molecular epidemiology.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Between 2016 and 2025, 195 clinical cases from suspected chickenpox cases were referred for virological investigation from five States and one Union Territory of India. Samples were analyzed for Varicella-Zoster Virus (VZV) using IgM-EIA and/or conventional PCR. Virus isolation was attempted on Vero, MRC-5, and WI-38 cell lines. PCR-positive products were sequenced for phylogenetic analysis to identify circulating VZV clades.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Of the 195 suspected cases, 159 (81.53 %) were confirmed by serological or molecular methods. Majority of the cases (n = 152, 77.94 %) occurred in individuals under 18 years of age, with higher incidence among males (n = 119) than females (n = 76). Of 58 diverse clinical specimens, 43 showed VZV DNA. Sequencing of representative PCR products showed circulation of VZV clade-5 in 29 cases and clade-9 in a single case. Unfortunately, attempts at VZV isolation were not successful.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>The study confirms a high laboratory-confirmed rate of varicella among suspected cases in India, with children being the most affected. Molecular data identified VZV clade-5 as primary circulating genotype. These findings highlight a significant burden of chickenpox and provide molecular evidence to support inclusion of the varicella vaccine in India’s Universal Immunization Program.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 3","pages":"Article 103147"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of Infection and Public Health
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