Pub Date : 2026-01-17DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103152
Te-Chun Shen, Mei-Chen Lin, Bi-Kun Chuang, Bagkall Haivangang, Shui-Fei Lu
Background: Acute mountain sickness (AMS) is a frequent concern for climbers at high altitudes. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, questions have emerged regarding whether prior infection increases susceptibility to AMS.
Methods: We conducted a prospective observational study at the Paiyun Lodge medical station (3402 m) on Jade Mountain (Yushan, 3952 m) between 2023 and 2024. All climbers presenting for medical services were screened. Demographics, comorbidities, ascent characteristics, sleep duration, prophylactic medication, and self-reported COVID-19 history were recorded. AMS was diagnosed clinically and validated using the 2018 Lake Louise AMS Score. Logistic regression and multiple propensity score methods were used to assess associations between COVID-19 history and AMS occurrence and severity.
Results: A total of 871 patients were included; 52.4 % were aged 20-40 years, 57.3 % were male, and 74.7 % reported a history of COVID-19 infection. Clinically diagnosed AMS occurred in 64.1 % (n = 558), with 274 mild and 284 severe cases. Although crude analyses suggested a borderline association between COVID-19 history and AMS (OR = 1.36, 95 % CI: 1.00-1.87), this was not statistically significant after multivariable adjustment (adjusted OR = 1.34, 95 % CI: 0.96-1.88) or propensity score methods.
Conclusion: Prior COVID-19 infection was not significantly associated with the occurrence and severity of AMS among climbers who sought medical services on Jade Mountain. These findings suggest that a history of mild COVID-19 does not independently increase AMS susceptibility, providing reassurance to mountaineers and aligning with contemporary expert consensus.
{"title":"Association between prior COVID-19 infection and acute mountain sickness on Jade Mountain: A prospective observational study (2023-2024).","authors":"Te-Chun Shen, Mei-Chen Lin, Bi-Kun Chuang, Bagkall Haivangang, Shui-Fei Lu","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103152","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103152","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Acute mountain sickness (AMS) is a frequent concern for climbers at high altitudes. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, questions have emerged regarding whether prior infection increases susceptibility to AMS.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a prospective observational study at the Paiyun Lodge medical station (3402 m) on Jade Mountain (Yushan, 3952 m) between 2023 and 2024. All climbers presenting for medical services were screened. Demographics, comorbidities, ascent characteristics, sleep duration, prophylactic medication, and self-reported COVID-19 history were recorded. AMS was diagnosed clinically and validated using the 2018 Lake Louise AMS Score. Logistic regression and multiple propensity score methods were used to assess associations between COVID-19 history and AMS occurrence and severity.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 871 patients were included; 52.4 % were aged 20-40 years, 57.3 % were male, and 74.7 % reported a history of COVID-19 infection. Clinically diagnosed AMS occurred in 64.1 % (n = 558), with 274 mild and 284 severe cases. Although crude analyses suggested a borderline association between COVID-19 history and AMS (OR = 1.36, 95 % CI: 1.00-1.87), this was not statistically significant after multivariable adjustment (adjusted OR = 1.34, 95 % CI: 0.96-1.88) or propensity score methods.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Prior COVID-19 infection was not significantly associated with the occurrence and severity of AMS among climbers who sought medical services on Jade Mountain. These findings suggest that a history of mild COVID-19 does not independently increase AMS susceptibility, providing reassurance to mountaineers and aligning with contemporary expert consensus.</p>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"103152"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146125361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Despite the widespread implementation of vaccination programs, pertussis continues to spread and remains a major health threat to infants. The present study aimed to identify risk factors of severe pertussis in children to inform clinical decision-making and the development of prevention strategies.
Methods: This retrospective cohort study included data from paediatric patients diagnosed with pertussis at Beijing You'an Hospital, Capital Medical University (Beijing, China), between January 2006 and December 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors of severe pertussis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess discriminative performance.
Results: Data from 219 children with pertussis were divided in 2 groups according to predefined clinical criteria: severe (n = 21) and non-severe (n = 198). Compared with non-severe cases, severe cases experienced longer hospital stays (median 12 versus [vs.] 8 days) and higher rates of fever, cyanosis, sputum production, and respiratory distress. Marked inflammatory differences were observed, as follows: higher neutrophil counts (median 6.83 vs. 3.65 ×10⁹/L); elevated C-reactive protein (median 3.50 vs. 1.00 mg/L); procalcitonin (median 0.12 vs. 0.04 ng/mL); increased neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; median 0.61 vs. 0.29); and a lower lymphocyte percentage (median 56.9 % vs. 69.5 %) (all p < 0.05). Multivariable analysis identified elevated NLR as an independent predictor of severe pertussis (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.884; 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.157-3.066; P = 0.011). ROC curve analysis yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.745 (95 % CI 0.640-0.850), with an optimal NLR cut-off of 0.475, yielding a sensitivity of 66.7 % and a specificity of 75.5 %.
Conclusion: Elevated NLR was an independent predictor of severe pertussis in children. Future multicentre prospective studies with standardised follow-up periods are warranted to validate these findings.
背景:尽管广泛实施了疫苗接种计划,百日咳仍在继续传播,仍然是婴儿的主要健康威胁。本研究旨在确定儿童严重百日咳的危险因素,为临床决策和预防策略的制定提供信息。方法:本回顾性队列研究纳入了2006年1月至2023年12月在首都医科大学北京佑安医院诊断为百日咳的儿科患者的资料。采用多变量logistic回归来确定严重百日咳的独立预测因素,并采用受试者工作特征(ROC)分析来评估判别效果。结果:219例百日咳患儿数据根据预先设定的临床标准分为重度(n = 21)和非重度(n = 198)两组。与非重症病例相比,重症病例住院时间更长(中位数为12天,中位数为8天),发热、发绀、产痰和呼吸窘迫的发生率更高。观察到明显的炎症差异如下:中性粒细胞计数较高(中位数6.83 vs. 3.65 ×10⁹/L);c -反应蛋白升高(中位数3.50 vs 1.00 mg/L);降钙素原(中位数0.12 vs. 0.04 ng/mL);中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值增加(NLR;中位数0.61 vs 0.29);淋巴细胞百分比较低(中位数为56.9 % vs. 69.5 %)(均p )结论:NLR升高是儿童严重百日咳的独立预测因子。未来的多中心前瞻性研究需要标准化的随访期来验证这些发现。
{"title":"Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as an independent predictor of severe pertussis in children: A 17-year retrospective cohort study.","authors":"Chengxia Li, Caopei Zheng, Ling Zhang, Yu Wang, Miaotian Cai, Yulin Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103157","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103157","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Despite the widespread implementation of vaccination programs, pertussis continues to spread and remains a major health threat to infants. The present study aimed to identify risk factors of severe pertussis in children to inform clinical decision-making and the development of prevention strategies.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective cohort study included data from paediatric patients diagnosed with pertussis at Beijing You'an Hospital, Capital Medical University (Beijing, China), between January 2006 and December 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors of severe pertussis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess discriminative performance.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Data from 219 children with pertussis were divided in 2 groups according to predefined clinical criteria: severe (n = 21) and non-severe (n = 198). Compared with non-severe cases, severe cases experienced longer hospital stays (median 12 versus [vs.] 8 days) and higher rates of fever, cyanosis, sputum production, and respiratory distress. Marked inflammatory differences were observed, as follows: higher neutrophil counts (median 6.83 vs. 3.65 ×10⁹/L); elevated C-reactive protein (median 3.50 vs. 1.00 mg/L); procalcitonin (median 0.12 vs. 0.04 ng/mL); increased neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; median 0.61 vs. 0.29); and a lower lymphocyte percentage (median 56.9 % vs. 69.5 %) (all p < 0.05). Multivariable analysis identified elevated NLR as an independent predictor of severe pertussis (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.884; 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.157-3.066; P = 0.011). ROC curve analysis yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.745 (95 % CI 0.640-0.850), with an optimal NLR cut-off of 0.475, yielding a sensitivity of 66.7 % and a specificity of 75.5 %.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Elevated NLR was an independent predictor of severe pertussis in children. Future multicentre prospective studies with standardised follow-up periods are warranted to validate these findings.</p>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"103157"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146125314","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-16DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103158
Marwan Jabr Alwazzeh, Amani Alnimr, Sara M Alwarthan, Mashael Alhajri, Jumanah Algazaq, Bashayer M AlShehail, Basel A Darweesh, Mohammed A Basheikh, Reem S AlSulaiman, Saud A Alamro, Jawad Ur Rahman, Mohammad T Al-Hariri
Background: Burkholderia cepacia complex bacteria are intrinsically multidrug-resistant opportunistic pathogens that pose a growing threat in hospital settings, particularly among immunocompromised patients. Despite its clinical significance, data on sporadic Burkholderia cepacia complex infections outside cystic fibrosis populations and hospital outbreaks remain limited.
Methods: A 22-year retrospective observational cohort study (May 2001-April 2023) was carried out at a tertiary care academic center in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia. Adults hospitalized with confirmed Burkholderia cepacia infection and ≥ 72 h of antibiotic therapy were included. Demographics, comorbidities, infection type, microbiological resistance profiles, treatment outcomes, and mortality predictors were analyzed using logistic regression and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.
Results: Of 189 identified cases, 151 patients met the inclusion criteria (mean age 53 ± 21 years; 57.6 % male). The majority of infections were hospital-acquired (84.8 %), with bloodstream infections (33.1 %) and ventilator-associated pneumonia (26.5 %) being the most prevalent. Resistance was high to piperacillin/tazobactam (73.6 %), ceftazidime (58.6 %), levofloxacin (57.4 %), carbapenems (42.0 %), and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (30.3 %). Clinical resolution was achieved in 82.1 %, but bacteriological eradication occurred in only 56.9 %, with a recurrence rate of 17.2 %. Mortality reached 9.9 % at 14 days, 17.2 % at 30 days, and 35.8 % at one year. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality included advanced age, critical care admission, central venous catheter insertion, mechanical ventilation, and resistance to fluoroquinolones or carbapenems.
Conclusions: Our findings indicate that Burkholderia cepacia complex infections represent a significant clinical challenge due to antibiotic resistance and elevated mortality rates. The data highlight the importance of improving diagnostic and treatment approaches, as well as implementing effective infection control policies, especially for vulnerable hospitalized populations.
{"title":"Burkholderia cepacia complex infections beyond hospital outbreaks: A 22-Year analysis of clinical characteristics, antimicrobial resistance, and mortality predictors.","authors":"Marwan Jabr Alwazzeh, Amani Alnimr, Sara M Alwarthan, Mashael Alhajri, Jumanah Algazaq, Bashayer M AlShehail, Basel A Darweesh, Mohammed A Basheikh, Reem S AlSulaiman, Saud A Alamro, Jawad Ur Rahman, Mohammad T Al-Hariri","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103158","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103158","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Burkholderia cepacia complex bacteria are intrinsically multidrug-resistant opportunistic pathogens that pose a growing threat in hospital settings, particularly among immunocompromised patients. Despite its clinical significance, data on sporadic Burkholderia cepacia complex infections outside cystic fibrosis populations and hospital outbreaks remain limited.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A 22-year retrospective observational cohort study (May 2001-April 2023) was carried out at a tertiary care academic center in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia. Adults hospitalized with confirmed Burkholderia cepacia infection and ≥ 72 h of antibiotic therapy were included. Demographics, comorbidities, infection type, microbiological resistance profiles, treatment outcomes, and mortality predictors were analyzed using logistic regression and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 189 identified cases, 151 patients met the inclusion criteria (mean age 53 ± 21 years; 57.6 % male). The majority of infections were hospital-acquired (84.8 %), with bloodstream infections (33.1 %) and ventilator-associated pneumonia (26.5 %) being the most prevalent. Resistance was high to piperacillin/tazobactam (73.6 %), ceftazidime (58.6 %), levofloxacin (57.4 %), carbapenems (42.0 %), and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (30.3 %). Clinical resolution was achieved in 82.1 %, but bacteriological eradication occurred in only 56.9 %, with a recurrence rate of 17.2 %. Mortality reached 9.9 % at 14 days, 17.2 % at 30 days, and 35.8 % at one year. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality included advanced age, critical care admission, central venous catheter insertion, mechanical ventilation, and resistance to fluoroquinolones or carbapenems.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our findings indicate that Burkholderia cepacia complex infections represent a significant clinical challenge due to antibiotic resistance and elevated mortality rates. The data highlight the importance of improving diagnostic and treatment approaches, as well as implementing effective infection control policies, especially for vulnerable hospitalized populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"103158"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146131087","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-16DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103156
Kexiang Zhang , Ri De , Zeng Li , Yanpeng Xu , Zhenzhi Han , Runan Zhu , Yu Sun , Liping Jia , Dongmei Chen , Yutong Zhou , Qi Guo , Yao Yao , Xiaolin Ma , Shuang Liu , Chunmei Zhu , Dong Qu , Linqing Zhao
Background
Human bocavirus 1 (HBoV1) causes acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in children, but its diagnosis is complicated by prolonged viral shedding. There are indications that the detection of a circular genome in a clinical specimens may be associated with acute infection.
Methods
Respiratory specimens collected from pediatric patients with ARIs during January 2021 to July 2024 were screened by a duplex qPCR, which was developed to distinguish circular genome from total viral genomes and evaluated by nested PCR and antigen test. Clinical data were collected from patients with single HBoV1 infection to reveal the association of circular genome with ARIs and the severity of pneumonia.
Results
Among 520 specimens positive for HBoV1 DNA, 206 (39.61 %) were positive for circular genomes as determined by duplex qPCR, with the median load of total genomes 1010.08 (IQR 109.26, 1010.62) copies/mL significantly higher than 107.81 (IQR 106.88, 108.60) copies/mL in the circular genome negative group (p < 0.0001). In the antigen-positive group, the positive rate for circular genomes was 78.57 % (44/56), significantly higher than 34.29 % (108/315) observed in the antigen-negative group. Among patients single positive for HBoV1, the circular genome-positive group (n = 106) showed more severe clinical manifestations and required more intensive treatment. Logistic regression analysis identified the circular genome as a strong independent risk factor for severe pneumonia (OR = 6.38, AUC = 0.82).
Conclusion
Circular genome of HBoV1 associated with high load of viral DNA, positive antigen and severe pneumonia in children may serve as a biomarker for acute HBoV1 infection and severe pneumonia.
{"title":"Circular genome of human bocavirus 1 associated with high load of viral DNA, positive antigen and increased risk of severe pneumonia in children","authors":"Kexiang Zhang , Ri De , Zeng Li , Yanpeng Xu , Zhenzhi Han , Runan Zhu , Yu Sun , Liping Jia , Dongmei Chen , Yutong Zhou , Qi Guo , Yao Yao , Xiaolin Ma , Shuang Liu , Chunmei Zhu , Dong Qu , Linqing Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103156","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103156","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Human bocavirus 1 (HBoV1) causes acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in children, but its diagnosis is complicated by prolonged viral shedding. There are indications that the detection of a circular genome in a clinical specimens may be associated with acute infection.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Respiratory specimens collected from pediatric patients with ARIs during January 2021 to July 2024 were screened by a duplex qPCR, which was developed to distinguish circular genome from total viral genomes and evaluated by nested PCR and antigen test. Clinical data were collected from patients with single HBoV1 infection to reveal the association of circular genome with ARIs and the severity of pneumonia.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among 520 specimens positive for HBoV1 DNA, 206 (39.61 %) were positive for circular genomes as determined by duplex qPCR, with the median load of total genomes 10<sup>10.08</sup> (IQR 10<sup>9.26</sup>, 10<sup>10.62</sup>) copies/mL significantly higher than 10<sup>7.81</sup> (IQR 10<sup>6.88</sup>, 10<sup>8.60</sup>) copies/mL in the circular genome negative group (<em>p</em> < 0.0001). In the antigen-positive group, the positive rate for circular genomes was 78.57 % (44/56), significantly higher than 34.29 % (108/315) observed in the antigen-negative group. Among patients single positive for HBoV1, the circular genome-positive group (n = 106) showed more severe clinical manifestations and required more intensive treatment. Logistic regression analysis identified the circular genome as a strong independent risk factor for severe pneumonia (OR = 6.38, AUC = 0.82).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Circular genome of HBoV1 associated with high load of viral DNA, positive antigen and severe pneumonia in children may serve as a biomarker for acute HBoV1 infection and severe pneumonia.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"Article 103156"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146102488","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-15DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103154
Ruqaiyyah Siddiqui, Naveed Ahmed Khan
Mycobacterium tuberculosis remains one of the world's most persistent pathogens, responsible for over a million deaths each year despite effective drugs and decades of research. Disease progression varies widely among individuals, reflecting interactions between pathogen, physiology, host immunity, and pharmacological response. We propose a digital twin framework for tuberculosis that integrates clinical, immunological, and pharmacokinetic data into a continuously adaptive computational model. The twin would simulate host-pathogen dynamics from granuloma formation to systemic immune regulation, linking these processes with individualised drug exposure and treatment response. By forecasting outcomes and identifying early indicators of relapse or resistance, such a system could guide precision therapy and accelerate discovery of host-directed interventions. The tuberculosis digital twin thus represents a bridge between infection biology, computation, and clinical translation, presenting an evolving model capable of transforming how this ancient disease is understood and managed. However, translation will require further longitudinal clinical and immunological datasets and systematic validation of model predictions in real-world treatment settings.
{"title":"Digital twin of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection: Integrating immune dynamics and pathogen adaptation for precision therapy.","authors":"Ruqaiyyah Siddiqui, Naveed Ahmed Khan","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103154","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103154","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Mycobacterium tuberculosis remains one of the world's most persistent pathogens, responsible for over a million deaths each year despite effective drugs and decades of research. Disease progression varies widely among individuals, reflecting interactions between pathogen, physiology, host immunity, and pharmacological response. We propose a digital twin framework for tuberculosis that integrates clinical, immunological, and pharmacokinetic data into a continuously adaptive computational model. The twin would simulate host-pathogen dynamics from granuloma formation to systemic immune regulation, linking these processes with individualised drug exposure and treatment response. By forecasting outcomes and identifying early indicators of relapse or resistance, such a system could guide precision therapy and accelerate discovery of host-directed interventions. The tuberculosis digital twin thus represents a bridge between infection biology, computation, and clinical translation, presenting an evolving model capable of transforming how this ancient disease is understood and managed. However, translation will require further longitudinal clinical and immunological datasets and systematic validation of model predictions in real-world treatment settings.</p>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"103154"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146131392","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-15DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103153
Seyed Hassan Saadat, Behzad Einollahi, Hadi Norouzi, Mohammad Farjami, Nematollah Jonaidi Jafari, Shahla Afsharpeyman, Fahime Shahjooie, Ali Bahrami Far, Kiavash Hushmandi
Background: Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) has emerged as a potential biomarker for COVID-19 severity, but the diagnostic value of its dynamic changes (ΔLDH) remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the predictive value of ΔLDH for clinical outcomes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.
Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 5635 adults with confirmed COVID-19, analyzing LDH measurements. The patients were stratified by ΔLDH quartiles (Q1-Q4). Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the associations with mortality and ICU admission, while ROC analysis was used to determine the predictive performance.
Results: A U-shaped relationship was observed, with both extreme reductions (Q1: ΔLDH ≤ -196 U/L) and elevations (Q4: ΔLDH ≥ 108 U/L) predicting adverse outcomes. Q4 patients had a higher risk of mortality (aOR = 6.72, 95 % CI: 5.31-8.51) and a higher risk of ICU admission (aOR = 6.63, 95 % CI: 5.26-8.36) compared to Q1. ΔLDH revealed excellent discrimination for mortality (AUC = 0.78) with an optimal cutoff at 181.5 U/L (sensitivity = 66.7 %, specificity = 88.9 %).
Conclusion: ΔLDH is a powerful, independent predictor of COVID-19 severity, revealing a novel U-shaped risk pattern. The 181.5 U/L threshold offers clinically actionable guidance for risk stratification. These findings support the incorporation of serial LDH monitoring into COVID-19 management protocols.
{"title":"The role of changes in lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels in predicting COVID-19 severity and mortality: A biomarker analysis.","authors":"Seyed Hassan Saadat, Behzad Einollahi, Hadi Norouzi, Mohammad Farjami, Nematollah Jonaidi Jafari, Shahla Afsharpeyman, Fahime Shahjooie, Ali Bahrami Far, Kiavash Hushmandi","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103153","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103153","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) has emerged as a potential biomarker for COVID-19 severity, but the diagnostic value of its dynamic changes (ΔLDH) remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the predictive value of ΔLDH for clinical outcomes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We performed a retrospective cohort study of 5635 adults with confirmed COVID-19, analyzing LDH measurements. The patients were stratified by ΔLDH quartiles (Q1-Q4). Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the associations with mortality and ICU admission, while ROC analysis was used to determine the predictive performance.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A U-shaped relationship was observed, with both extreme reductions (Q1: ΔLDH ≤ -196 U/L) and elevations (Q4: ΔLDH ≥ 108 U/L) predicting adverse outcomes. Q4 patients had a higher risk of mortality (aOR = 6.72, 95 % CI: 5.31-8.51) and a higher risk of ICU admission (aOR = 6.63, 95 % CI: 5.26-8.36) compared to Q1. ΔLDH revealed excellent discrimination for mortality (AUC = 0.78) with an optimal cutoff at 181.5 U/L (sensitivity = 66.7 %, specificity = 88.9 %).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>ΔLDH is a powerful, independent predictor of COVID-19 severity, revealing a novel U-shaped risk pattern. The 181.5 U/L threshold offers clinically actionable guidance for risk stratification. These findings support the incorporation of serial LDH monitoring into COVID-19 management protocols.</p>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"103153"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146156772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-15DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103151
Daniel Casanova-Portoles , Josep M. Badia , Carlos G. Forero , Néstor Sánchez-Martínez , Manel Romero , Toni Alonso-Solís , Enric Limón , Miquel Pujol , Joan Sancho
Background
Manual surveillance of surgical site infections (SSIs) after colorectal surgery is resource-intensive, limiting scalability. Semiautomated algorithms based on structured electronic health record (EHR) data may maintain high case-finding sensitivity while reducing workload.
Methods
A retrospective diagnostic-accuracy study was conducted in a teaching hospital participating in a nationwide SSI surveillance programme. All elective colorectal procedures performed between January 2010 and December 2023 were included. SSIs were classified according to CDC-NHSN/ECDC criteria. Eight binary EHR-derived “alerts” were combined into a composite rule (any alert positive). Manual surveillance served as the reference standard. Performance was assessed overall, by SSI depth (superficial, deep, organ/space), and by procedure type (colon vs rectal). Discrimination (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs).
Results
A total of 1213 patients (1085 colon; 128 rectal) were included. The overall SSI incidence was 11.2 % (3.1 % superficial, 1.2 % deep, 6.8 % organ/space). The composite alert achieved an AUC of 0.859 (95 % CI 0.838–0.878) for any SSI, with sensitivity 0.721, specificity 0.876, PPV 0.424, and NPV 0.961. At this operating point, 19 % of procedures would be flagged for manual verification, corresponding to an estimated 81 % reduction in full chart reviews. Discrimination was highest for organ/space infections (AUC 0.919; sensitivity 0.831; specificity 0.911). Performance for deep SSI was intermediate (AUC 0.805), and for superficial SSI, more limited (AUC 0.571). Sensitivity was higher for colon surgery (AUC 0.853) and specificity higher for rectal surgery (AUC 0.881).
Conclusions
The structured-data algorithm demonstrated strong overall discrimination and excellent performance for organ/space infections, supporting the feasibility of semiautomated surveillance without compromising detection quality. External and prospective validation, definition of diagnostic safety thresholds, and workload-reduction analyses are required to optimise implementation. Exploration of NLP add-ons may be considered where resources permit. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT07130656.
{"title":"A structured-data algorithm for semiautomated surveillance of surgical site infection after colorectal surgery: A diagnostic accuracy study","authors":"Daniel Casanova-Portoles , Josep M. Badia , Carlos G. Forero , Néstor Sánchez-Martínez , Manel Romero , Toni Alonso-Solís , Enric Limón , Miquel Pujol , Joan Sancho","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103151","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103151","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Manual surveillance of surgical site infections (SSIs) after colorectal surgery is resource-intensive, limiting scalability. Semiautomated algorithms based on structured electronic health record (EHR) data may maintain high case-finding sensitivity while reducing workload.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A retrospective diagnostic-accuracy study was conducted in a teaching hospital participating in a nationwide SSI surveillance programme. All elective colorectal procedures performed between January 2010 and December 2023 were included. SSIs were classified according to CDC-NHSN/ECDC criteria. Eight binary EHR-derived “alerts” were combined into a composite rule (any alert positive). Manual surveillance served as the reference standard. Performance was assessed overall, by SSI depth (superficial, deep, organ/space), and by procedure type (colon vs rectal). Discrimination (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs).</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>A total of 1213 patients (1085 colon; 128 rectal) were included. The overall SSI incidence was 11.2 % (3.1 % superficial, 1.2 % deep, 6.8 % organ/space). The composite alert achieved an AUC of 0.859 (95 % CI 0.838–0.878) for any SSI, with sensitivity 0.721, specificity 0.876, PPV 0.424, and NPV 0.961. At this operating point, 19 % of procedures would be flagged for manual verification, corresponding to an estimated 81 % reduction in full chart reviews. Discrimination was highest for organ/space infections (AUC 0.919; sensitivity 0.831; specificity 0.911). Performance for deep SSI was intermediate (AUC 0.805), and for superficial SSI, more limited (AUC 0.571). Sensitivity was higher for colon surgery (AUC 0.853) and specificity higher for rectal surgery (AUC 0.881).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>The structured-data algorithm demonstrated strong overall discrimination and excellent performance for organ/space infections, supporting the feasibility of semiautomated surveillance without compromising detection quality. External and prospective validation, definition of diagnostic safety thresholds, and workload-reduction analyses are required to optimise implementation. Exploration of NLP add-ons may be considered where resources permit. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT07130656.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"Article 103151"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146102489","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 remains a key driver of community spread, with secondary attack rates in Thai households reaching approximately 50 %. There is limited evidence supporting the efficacy of antiviral post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) in this context.
Methods
The phase 2/3, open-label, (1:1) cluster-randomized controlled trial in Thailand, 168 household close contacts from 76 index cases were enrolled to receive either favipiravir-PEP (FPV-PEP) (1600–2000 mg/day for 7 days) or usual care. The efficacy of FPV-PEP was investigated in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection after contact with index cases.
Results
The incidence of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection was lower in the FPV-PEP group than in the usual care group (7.32 % vs. 14.47 %), although the difference was not statistically significant. A trend toward fewer early positive rapid diagnostic test results on day 3 was observed in the FPV-PEP group. Symptom development was less frequent among FPV-PEP recipients, with fewer cases of fever, rhinorrhea, and myalgia. A significantly higher probability of remaining asymptomatic and delayed symptom onset was observed in the FPV-PEP group. No participants developed severe COVID-19 or required hospitalization.
Conclusion
FPV-PEP was associated with a lower incidence of fever, rhinorrhea, and myalgia among household contacts. While a reduction in secondary transmission was observed, it did not reach statistical significance. Further large-scale studies are warranted to clarify its role in preventing household transmission.
{"title":"Post-exposure prophylaxis with favipiravir among household close contacts to confirmed COVID-19 cases: A cluster-randomized trial (PEPfavi)","authors":"Taweegrit Siripongboonsitti , Teerapat Ungtrakul , Kriangkrai Tawinprai , Krongkwan Niemsorn , Kunsuda Punjachaipornpol , Worrawat Sangwipasnapaporn , Natcha Wattanapokasilp , Marisa Muadchimkaew , Saowanee Wongpatcharawarakul , Kamonwan Soonklang , Nithi Mahanonda","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103150","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 remains a key driver of community spread, with secondary attack rates in Thai households reaching approximately 50 %. There is limited evidence supporting the efficacy of antiviral post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) in this context.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>The phase 2/3, open-label, (1:1) cluster-randomized controlled trial in Thailand, 168 household close contacts from 76 index cases were enrolled to receive either favipiravir-PEP (FPV-PEP) (1600–2000 mg/day for 7 days) or usual care. The efficacy of FPV-PEP was investigated in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection after contact with index cases.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The incidence of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection was lower in the FPV-PEP group than in the usual care group (7.32 % vs. 14.47 %), although the difference was not statistically significant. A trend toward fewer early positive rapid diagnostic test results on day 3 was observed in the FPV-PEP group. Symptom development was less frequent among FPV-PEP recipients, with fewer cases of fever, rhinorrhea, and myalgia. A significantly higher probability of remaining asymptomatic and delayed symptom onset was observed in the FPV-PEP group. No participants developed severe COVID-19 or required hospitalization.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>FPV-PEP was associated with a lower incidence of fever, rhinorrhea, and myalgia among household contacts. While a reduction in secondary transmission was observed, it did not reach statistical significance. Further large-scale studies are warranted to clarify its role in preventing household transmission.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 4","pages":"Article 103150"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146102486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-13DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103146
Najibah Nasrin , Asfia Hasan Mumu , Abir Hasan Pranto , Md. Rabiul Islam
The emergence of the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 has heightened global health concerns. Here, we aimed to evaluate viral characteristics, epidemiology, transmissibility, infectivity, immune evasion, effectiveness of current antiviral therapies, immunization options, genomic surveillance and public awareness against the stealthy JN.1. We searched across key databases to identify recent insights regarding JN.1 variant. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the virological characteristics and public health implications. Early genomic analyses reveal notable mutations in the spike protein, which may enhance viral transmissibility and immune escape. The findings indicate JN.1 to exhibit greater infectivity and enhanced ability to circumvent immune defenses attributable to one mutation identified as L455S. Public health agencies worldwide are enhancing monitoring, genomic surveillance, data sharing, revising containment strategies, promoting booster vaccination campaigns Furthermore, it is imperative to promote public adherence and global collaboration in encouraging the practice of preventive strategies to mitigate potential threat posed by JN.1.
{"title":"The emergence of JN.1 variant resurgent COVID-19 wave in India and South Asia is a global public health concern","authors":"Najibah Nasrin , Asfia Hasan Mumu , Abir Hasan Pranto , Md. Rabiul Islam","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103146","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103146","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The emergence of the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 has heightened global health concerns. Here, we aimed to evaluate viral characteristics, epidemiology, transmissibility, infectivity, immune evasion, effectiveness of current antiviral therapies, immunization options, genomic surveillance and public awareness against the stealthy JN.1. We searched across key databases to identify recent insights regarding JN.1 variant. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the virological characteristics and public health implications. Early genomic analyses reveal notable mutations in the spike protein, which may enhance viral transmissibility and immune escape. The findings indicate JN.1 to exhibit greater infectivity and enhanced ability to circumvent immune defenses attributable to one mutation identified as L455S. Public health agencies worldwide are enhancing monitoring, genomic surveillance, data sharing, revising containment strategies, promoting booster vaccination campaigns Furthermore, it is imperative to promote public adherence and global collaboration in encouraging the practice of preventive strategies to mitigate potential threat posed by JN.1.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 3","pages":"Article 103146"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977974","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-12DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103147
Sunil R. Vaidya, Sarang S. Kamble, Madhukar B. Kamble, Roben P. George, Pankaj G. Pandey, Atul M. Walimbe
Background
Varicella, commonly known as chickenpox is a neglected disease in India with numerous outbreaks reported in the last decade. Unfortunately, varicella vaccine is not included in India’s Universal Immunization Program (UIP), and active surveillance is not in place. Investigation of suspected varicella cases from various Indian regions was done to understand disease burden and molecular epidemiology.
Methods
Between 2016 and 2025, 195 clinical cases from suspected chickenpox cases were referred for virological investigation from five States and one Union Territory of India. Samples were analyzed for Varicella-Zoster Virus (VZV) using IgM-EIA and/or conventional PCR. Virus isolation was attempted on Vero, MRC-5, and WI-38 cell lines. PCR-positive products were sequenced for phylogenetic analysis to identify circulating VZV clades.
Results
Of the 195 suspected cases, 159 (81.53 %) were confirmed by serological or molecular methods. Majority of the cases (n = 152, 77.94 %) occurred in individuals under 18 years of age, with higher incidence among males (n = 119) than females (n = 76). Of 58 diverse clinical specimens, 43 showed VZV DNA. Sequencing of representative PCR products showed circulation of VZV clade-5 in 29 cases and clade-9 in a single case. Unfortunately, attempts at VZV isolation were not successful.
Conclusion
The study confirms a high laboratory-confirmed rate of varicella among suspected cases in India, with children being the most affected. Molecular data identified VZV clade-5 as primary circulating genotype. These findings highlight a significant burden of chickenpox and provide molecular evidence to support inclusion of the varicella vaccine in India’s Universal Immunization Program.
{"title":"Serological and molecular investigation of suspected chickenpox cases from India, 2016–2025","authors":"Sunil R. Vaidya, Sarang S. Kamble, Madhukar B. Kamble, Roben P. George, Pankaj G. Pandey, Atul M. Walimbe","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103147","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103147","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Varicella, commonly known as chickenpox is a neglected disease in India with numerous outbreaks reported in the last decade. Unfortunately, varicella vaccine is not included in India’s Universal Immunization Program (UIP), and active surveillance is not in place. Investigation of suspected varicella cases from various Indian regions was done to understand disease burden and molecular epidemiology.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Between 2016 and 2025, 195 clinical cases from suspected chickenpox cases were referred for virological investigation from five States and one Union Territory of India. Samples were analyzed for Varicella-Zoster Virus (VZV) using IgM-EIA and/or conventional PCR. Virus isolation was attempted on Vero, MRC-5, and WI-38 cell lines. PCR-positive products were sequenced for phylogenetic analysis to identify circulating VZV clades.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Of the 195 suspected cases, 159 (81.53 %) were confirmed by serological or molecular methods. Majority of the cases (n = 152, 77.94 %) occurred in individuals under 18 years of age, with higher incidence among males (n = 119) than females (n = 76). Of 58 diverse clinical specimens, 43 showed VZV DNA. Sequencing of representative PCR products showed circulation of VZV clade-5 in 29 cases and clade-9 in a single case. Unfortunately, attempts at VZV isolation were not successful.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>The study confirms a high laboratory-confirmed rate of varicella among suspected cases in India, with children being the most affected. Molecular data identified VZV clade-5 as primary circulating genotype. These findings highlight a significant burden of chickenpox and provide molecular evidence to support inclusion of the varicella vaccine in India’s Universal Immunization Program.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 3","pages":"Article 103147"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}