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Dermatopathic lymphadenopathy without cutaneous manifestations presenting as fever of unknown origin: A rare case report 以不明原因发热为无皮肤表现之皮肤病性淋巴结病:罕见病例报告
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103180
Wen Wang , Xinyuan Chen , Wei Cui
Dermatopathic lymphadenopathy (DL) is a reactive lymphadenopathy typically associated with chronic dermatoses. However, DL presenting with isolated fever and no cutaneous manifestations is exceptionally rare and diagnostically challenging. We report a 73-year-old male with a history of hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis, diabetes mellitus, and prior eczema who presented with recurrent high-grade fever (39–39.5 ℃) unresponsive to empiric antibiotics and antifungals. Extensive workup, including negative infectious and autoimmune serologies, elevated inflammatory markers (ESR 73 mm/h, CRP 42.4 mg/L), and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET-CT) findings of hypermetabolic lymphadenopathy, initially obscured the diagnosis. The diagnosis was ultimately confirmed by lymph node biopsy, which showed the characteristic histopathological features of DL, including pigment-laden histiocytes and polyclonal plasma cell proliferation. Fever resolved spontaneously one month post-biopsy, with no recurrence during one-year follow-up. Our experience reinforces that DL must be considered in the differential diagnosis of Fever of unknown origin (FUO), and biopsy is key to its identification.
皮肤病淋巴结病(DL)是一种反应性淋巴结病,通常与慢性皮肤病有关。然而,DL表现为孤立的发热和无皮肤表现是非常罕见的,诊断具有挑战性。我们报告一位73岁男性患者,既往有乙型肝炎相关肝硬化、糖尿病和湿疹病史,并伴有复发性高热(39-39.5℃),对经典性抗生素和抗真菌药物无反应。广泛的检查,包括阴性的感染和自身免疫血清学,升高的炎症标志物(ESR 73 mm/h, CRP 42.4 mg/L),以及高代谢性淋巴结病的正电子发射断层扫描/计算机断层扫描(PET-CT)结果,最初模糊了诊断。最终通过淋巴结活检证实了诊断,显示DL的典型组织病理学特征,包括色素丰富的组织细胞和多克隆浆细胞增殖。活检后1个月发热自行消退,1年随访无复发。我们的经验强调,在不明原因发热(FUO)的鉴别诊断中必须考虑DL,活检是其鉴别的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Trends in dengue incidence and disease burden in South Asia with special reference to India: Insights from the global burden of disease data, 1990–2021 南亚登革热发病率和疾病负担趋势,特别是印度:1990-2021年全球疾病负担数据的见解。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103142
Ravichandiran Velayutham , Sheetal Kalra , Sheetal Yadav , Abhishek Dadhich , Prabodh Chander Sharma , Sapna Yadav , Palka Mittal , Aditya Kukreti , Priyansh Ajmera , Puneeta Ajmera , Mohammad Miraj , Riyaz Ahamed Shaik , Abeer Al-Maamari

Background

Dengue fever has become a significant public health issue worldwide, especially in tropical and subtropical regions. In 2000, 505,430 cases of dengue were reported worldwide, and by 2023, the number of cases had increased to nearly 6.5 million. The present study aims to examine the temporal trends in dengue incidence and disability-adjusted life years from 1990 to 2021 using Global Burden of Disease 2021 data across South Asian countries while identifying geographic, gender, and age-related disparities with a specific focus on trends and spatial variations in India.

Methods

The GBD 2021 database was used to extract data on age-standardized incidence rates, DALYs, and ASDRs. Joinpoint regression was used to examine the trends and annual and average annual percentage changes. We also performed spatial and age-group analyses to explore the differences in disease burden across different geographical and demographic groups.

Findings

In 2021, 32.3 million cases of dengue were reported in South Asia, indicating a 152.9 % increase from 1990. With an estimated annual percentage change of 1.5 %, the ASIR increased from 1141.7 to 1704.9 per 100,000 people. At 944,761, DALYs almost doubled, whereas ASDRs increased at a rate of 1.87 % each year. A total of 28.2 million of these cases were in India, followed by Pakistan and Bangladesh. The increase in dengue cases in India has been reported as 11.2 million in 1990–28.2 million in 2021, with DALYs increasing by 2.86 % annually and an increase in the ASIR of 1.55 %.

Conclusion

The findings highlight a substantial increase in dengue burden across South Asia. The rising burden of incidence and disability requires public health initiatives, such as robust surveillance, targeted vector control, and improved treatment strategies, to reduce its impact effectively.
背景:登革热已成为世界范围内的重大公共卫生问题,特别是在热带和亚热带地区。2000年,全世界报告了505,430例登革热病例,到2023年,病例数已增加到近650万例。本研究旨在利用2021年全球疾病负担数据,研究1990年至2021年南亚国家登革热发病率和残疾调整寿命年的时间趋势,同时确定与地理、性别和年龄相关的差异,特别关注印度的趋势和空间变化。方法:使用GBD 2021数据库提取年龄标准化发病率、DALYs和asdr数据。联结点回归用于检验趋势和年度和平均年度百分比变化。我们还进行了空间和年龄组分析,以探讨不同地理和人口群体之间疾病负担的差异。研究结果:2021年,南亚报告了3230万登革热病例,比1990年增加了152.9 %。估计每年的百分比变化为1.5 %,ASIR从每10万人1141.7增加到1704.9。DALYs为944,761,几乎翻了一番,而asdr每年以1.87 %的速度增长。其中2820万例发生在印度,其次是巴基斯坦和孟加拉国。据报告,印度登革热病例在1990年至2021年期间增加了1120万例,至2820万 万例,伤残调整生命年每年增加2.86 %,ASIR增加1.55 %。结论:研究结果突出了南亚地区登革热负担的大幅增加。发病率和残疾负担日益加重,需要采取公共卫生举措,如强有力的监测、有针对性的病媒控制和改进的治疗战略,以有效减少其影响。
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引用次数: 0
Early risk assessment of severe outcomes in patients with suspected infection in the emergency department using clinical scores in a multicenter international validation 在多中心国际验证中使用临床评分对急诊科疑似感染患者严重结局的早期风险评估
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103170
Carolina Hincapié-Osorno , Tamar J. van der Aart , Raymond J. van Wijk , Konstantin Föhse , Jacobien J. Hoogerwerf , Fabián Jaimes , Jacqueline Koeze , Adam Linder , Marco van Londen , Jan C. ter Maaten , Lisa Mellhammar , Renée A.M. Tuinte , Jaap ten Oever , Carlos E. Vallejo , Douwe F. Postma , Hjalmar R. Bouma

Background

Early identification of patients with suspected infection who are at risk of clinical deterioration in the Emergency Department (ED) is challenging, yet crucial for timely initiation of appropriate care and prevention of clinical deterioration. This multicenter international study evaluates the performance of established scores (SIRS, LODS, qSOFA, SOFA, NEWS) in predicting severe outcomes in ED patients with suspected infection.

Methods

We combined data from five different ED cohort studies (n = 4044 adult patients) from the Netherlands and Sweden. Suspected infection was defined as obtaining a microbiological culture combined with starting antibiotics. The scores were evaluated for their accuracy in predicting the composite outcome of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and in-hospital mortality.

Findings

Of 4044 patients, 655 (16 %) experienced a severe outcome, defined as ICU admission (n = 429, 11 %) or in-hospital mortality (n = 327, 8 %). SOFA (AUC 0.75 [95 %CI:0.73–0.77]) and LODS (AUC 0.73 [95 %CI:0.71–0.75]) showed the highest predictive accuracy. NEWS ≥ 5 yielded fair sensitivity (78 %) but low specificity (40 %), whereas NEWS ≥ 7 (sensitivity 71 %, specificity 59 %) performed similarly to SOFA ≥ 2 (69 %, 68 %) and LODS ≥ 2 (70 %, 66 %). In contrast, qSOFA (AUC 0.66 [95 %CI:0.64–0.69]) and SIRS (AUC 0.54 [95 %CI:0.52–0.57]) performed poorly for ED risk stratification.

Interpretation

SOFA and LODS showed the highest accuracy but are limited by their complexity and the requirement for laboratory data. The NEWS score, simpler and more accessible, is a practical tool for rapid ED screening with comparable accuracy as SOFA and LODS.
背景:在急诊科(ED)早期识别有临床恶化风险的疑似感染患者是具有挑战性的,但对于及时启动适当的护理和预防临床恶化至关重要。这项多中心国际研究评估了既定评分(SIRS、LODS、qSOFA、SOFA、NEWS)在预测疑似感染的ED患者严重结局方面的表现。方法:我们结合了来自荷兰和瑞典的五项不同ED队列研究(n = 4044名成年患者)的数据。疑似感染定义为获得微生物培养并开始使用抗生素。评估评分在预测重症监护病房(ICU)入院和住院死亡率的综合结果方面的准确性。结果:在4044例患者中,655例(16 %)出现严重结局,定义为ICU住院(n = 429,11 %)或住院死亡率(n = 327,8 %)。SOFA (AUC 0.75[95 %CI:0.73-0.77])和LODS (AUC 0.73[95 %CI:0.71-0.75])的预测准确率最高。新闻≥5 产生公平敏感性(78 %),但低特异性(40 %),而新闻≥ 7(敏感性71 %,特异性59 %)执行类似沙发≥ 2(69 %、68 %)和钟表≥ 2(70 %、66 %)。相比之下,qSOFA (AUC 0.66[95 %CI:0.64-0.69])和SIRS (AUC 0.54[95 %CI:0.52-0.57])在ED风险分层方面表现不佳。解释:SOFA和LODS显示出最高的准确性,但受其复杂性和实验室数据要求的限制。NEWS评分更简单、更容易获得,是快速筛查ED的实用工具,其准确性与SOFA和LODS相当。
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引用次数: 0
Epidemiological characteristics of respiratory viruses in children with community-acquired pneumonia in Guangzhou, 2023-2024. 2023-2024年广州市社区获得性肺炎患儿呼吸道病毒流行病学特征
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103193
Tiantian Xu, Lu Kuang, Yi Chen, Jiamin Zhang, Yihong Zhou, Xiangyuan Hou, Changbing Wang, Yuqing Yan, Misi Xiao, Yingying Zhang, Xiaomin Liu, Jiahui Xie, Bing Zhu

Background: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in children is a major public health issue due to its morbidity and economic impact, primarily caused by viral pathogens, highlighting the need to understand their prevalence and patterns for effective management and strategies.

Methods: This study analyzed 14,442 pediatric CAP patients in Guangzhou from 2023 to 2024 to evaluate viral prevalence, demographics, and seasonal trends, and their association with disease severity to elucidate their impact on children's health outcomes.

Results: Our analysis found 5610 positive viral cases, with a 38.85% positivity rate; RSV was the most common at 26.58%, followed by ADV (18.42%) and RHV (15.67%). Infection rates for ADV and RHV rose in 2024. Children aged 0-3 made up 68.2% of cases, with severe CAP mainly affecting males (62.4%) and infants (57.3%). RSV peaked in winter, while ADV and RHV peaked in spring.

Conclusions: The study highlights the dynamic viral epidemiology in pediatric CAP, emphasizing RSV's threat and emerging risks from RHV and ADV, advocating for better diagnostics and targeted vaccinations for vulnerable groups to improve clinical management and reduce the misuse of antibiotics.

背景:儿童社区获得性肺炎(CAP)由于其发病率和经济影响是一个主要的公共卫生问题,主要由病毒性病原体引起,强调需要了解其流行情况和有效管理和战略的模式。方法:本研究分析了广州市2023 - 2024年14442例小儿CAP患者,评估病毒流行、人口统计学、季节性趋势及其与疾病严重程度的关系,以阐明其对儿童健康结局的影响。结果:分析发现病毒阳性5610例,阳性率38.85%;RSV最常见,占26.58%,其次是ADV(18.42%)和RHV(15.67%)。ADV和RHV的感染率在2024年有所上升。0-3岁儿童占68.2%,重症主要影响男性(62.4%)和婴儿(57.3%)。RSV在冬季达到高峰,而ADV和RHV在春季达到高峰。结论:本研究强调了小儿CAP的动态病毒流行病学,强调了RSV的威胁以及来自RHV和ADV的新风险,倡导对弱势群体进行更好的诊断和针对性接种,以改善临床管理,减少抗生素的滥用。
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引用次数: 0
Use of long-acting therapies for the HIV treatment in the Spanish pediatric cohort (CoRISpe). 在西班牙儿科队列(CoRISpe)中使用长效疗法治疗HIV。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-03-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103207
Beatriz Lazaro-Martin, Laura Tarancon-Diez, Joaquín Burgos, Beatriz Álvarez Vallejo, Sofía Ibarra, Elisa Garrote, Cristina Epalza, Laura Bermejo, Sergio Reus, Maria Del Carmen Vicent Castelló, José Antonio Iribarren, Eider Oñate Vergara, Miguel Torralba, Javier García-Abellán, María José Galindo, José Rafael Bretón-Martínez, Dolores Merino, José Tomás Ramos, Maria Luisa Navarro Gómez

Introduction: Adolescents and young adults living with HIV (AYHIV) face complex psychosocial and adherence challenges that compromise long-term treatment success. Long-acting injectable therapies (LA-ART), such as cabotegravir and rilpivirine, may improve adherence, reduce stigma, and facilitate treatment retention.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective, multicenter study of AYHIV enrolled in the Spanish pediatric HIV cohort (CoRISpe) and its adult extension (CoRISpe-FARO), who initiated LA-ART. Demographic, clinical, virological, immunological and biochemical data were analyzed up to March 2025. Outcomes before and after LA-ART initiation were analyzed, including CD4/CD8 ratio, viral suppression, and body mass index (BMI).

Results: Among 681 individuals in active follow-up, 26 AYHIV (65.4% women, median age 28) initiated LA-ART, primarily for treatment simplification. Most had acquired HIV perinatally and had extensive ART histories; 30% had received more than ten different ART regimens. Twenty-one patients had documented virological failures prior to LA-ART. Despite this, all patients achieved or maintained virological suppression after a median follow-up of 11 months. This included three individuals who initiated LA-ART with detectable viral load. CD4 and CD8 counts remained stable; the CD4/CD8 ratio showed an upward trend (p = 0.057), suggesting improved immune balance. Notably, AYHIV with BMI < 30 kg/m² showed significant increases in CD4 count, CD4%, and CD4/CD8 ratio. Overall BMI increased post-LA-ART (p = 0.036), especially in women. Treatment was well tolerated, with only one discontinuation due to injection site pain.

Conclusions: LA-ART was safe, well tolerated, and effective in maintaining virological suppression, and showed positive immunological trends in AYHIV, including those with prior adherence issues or detectable viral load at baseline. These results support the potential of LA-ART as a valuable therapeutic strategy in AYHIV, especially in those with complex treatment histories and adherence challenges. Further prospective studies are warranted to confirm long-term outcomes.

感染艾滋病毒(AYHIV)的青少年和年轻成人面临复杂的社会心理和依从性挑战,这些挑战影响了长期治疗的成功。长效注射疗法(LA-ART),如卡波特韦和利匹韦林,可以改善依从性,减少耻辱感,并促进治疗保留。方法:我们进行了一项针对AYHIV的回顾性多中心研究,纳入了西班牙儿童HIV队列(CoRISpe)及其成人扩展组(CoRISpe- faro),他们开始了LA-ART治疗。统计、临床、病毒学、免疫学和生化数据分析截止到2025年3月。分析LA-ART启动前后的结果,包括CD4/CD8比值、病毒抑制和体重指数(BMI)。结果:在681名积极随访的患者中,26名AYHIV患者(65.4%为女性,中位年龄28岁)开始了LA-ART治疗,主要是为了简化治疗。大多数是围产期感染艾滋病毒,并有广泛的抗逆转录病毒治疗史;30%接受了10种以上不同的抗逆转录病毒治疗方案。21例患者在LA-ART治疗前有病毒学失败记录。尽管如此,所有患者在中位随访11个月后均达到或维持病毒学抑制。其中包括三名病毒载量可检测的开始LA-ART治疗的患者。CD4和CD8计数保持稳定;CD4/CD8比值呈上升趋势(p = 0.057),提示免疫平衡改善。结论:LA-ART是安全的,耐受性良好,并有效地维持病毒学抑制,并且在AYHIV中显示出阳性的免疫学趋势,包括那些先前有依从性问题或基线时可检测到病毒载量的患者。这些结果支持LA-ART作为AYHIV的一种有价值的治疗策略的潜力,特别是对于那些有复杂治疗史和依从性挑战的患者。需要进一步的前瞻性研究来确认长期结果。
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引用次数: 0
High prevalence of asymptomatic Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli carriers among food handlers in a hospital foodborne outbreak. 在一起医院食源性暴发中,食品处理人员中无症状产肠毒素大肠杆菌携带者的高发率。
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103194
Yu Mi Wi, Jong Hyun Shin, Ji Young Choi, Jung Min Shin, Cheon Hoo Jeon, Si-Ho Kim, Young-Sun Kim, Kwan Soo Ko

Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) commonly causes diarrheal disease, but little is known about the contribution of asymptomatic carriers to foodborne outbreaks. We investigated an ETEC outbreak at a 760-bed hospital in South Korea in June 2024. A confirmed cases were defined as an individual with ETEC detection by PCR and gastrointestinal symptoms or fever. We screened all 61 food handlers for ETEC regardless of whether they had symptoms, and we sampled environmental surfaces and preserved food items. Of 1606 employees, 77 met the symptomatic case definition. The most frequent symptoms were diarrhoea (98.7%), abdominal pain (87.0%), and fever (28.6%). Cold buckwheat noodles were identified as the probable vehicle in multivariable analysis (adjusted OR=3.00, 95% CI 1.34-6.55, p = 0.006). ETEC was not recovered from any environmental or food samples. Among 61 food handlers, 13 asymptomatic cases were identified. (21.3%, 13/61) and only two of them had eaten cold buckwheat noodles. Kitchen inspection revealed inadequate handwashing station capacity. A 21.3% asymptomatic carriage rate among food handlers point to a contamination route that symptom-based screening would miss. Strict hand hygiene is especially important when handling cold dishes without further heat treatment.

产肠毒素大肠杆菌(ETEC)通常引起腹泻疾病,但对无症状携带者对食源性暴发的贡献知之甚少。我们调查了韩国一家拥有760个床位的医院于2024年6月爆发的ETEC疫情。确诊病例定义为PCR检测出ETEC并出现胃肠道症状或发热的个体。我们对所有61名食品处理人员进行了ETEC筛查,无论他们是否有症状,我们对环境表面和保存的食品进行了采样。在1606名员工中,有77人符合症状病例定义。最常见的症状是腹泻(98.7%)、腹痛(87.0%)和发烧(28.6%)。在多变量分析中,冷荞麦面被确定为可能的载体(调整OR=3.00, 95% CI 1.34-6.55, p = 0.006)。没有从任何环境或食品样品中回收ETEC。在61名食品处理人员中,发现13例无症状病例。(21.3%, 13/61),其中只有2人吃过冷荞麦面。厨房检查发现洗手站容量不足。食品处理人员中21.3%的无症状携带率表明了一种基于症状的筛查可能错过的污染途径,在处理未经进一步热处理的冷菜时,严格的手部卫生尤为重要。
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引用次数: 0
Corneal transplantation strategies for Acanthamoeba Keratitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis 棘阿米巴角膜炎的角膜移植策略:系统回顾和荟萃分析
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2025.103114
Shangyang Jiang , Leying Wang , Zijun Zhang, Zhenyu Wei, Kai Cao, Qingfeng Liang
Acanthamoeba keratitis (AK) is an uncommon yet vision-threatening corneal infection, and the lack of an international consensus on its surgical management often complicates clinical decision-making. To address this gap, a comprehensive literature review was conducted across PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library from database inception to July 1, 2025, focusing on clinical studies that reported outcomes of keratoplasty. The analysis included 24 studies encompassing 487 eyes and compared different keratoplasty techniques, specifically therapeutic penetrating keratoplasty (TPK), optical penetrating keratoplasty (OPK), and therapeutic deep anterior lamellar keratoplasty (TDALK). The data indicated that Acanthamoeba infection control sufficient to permit OPK was associated with the most favorable results. In eyes with infection confined to the anterior stroma and thus eligible for TDALK, graft survival was higher and postoperative complications were fewer. In cases with persistent full-thickness infection, TPK was required and was associated with poorer visual recovery and higher rates of graft failure, recurrent infection, and regrafting.
棘阿米巴角膜炎(AK)是一种罕见但威胁视力的角膜感染,其手术治疗缺乏国际共识,往往使临床决策复杂化。为了解决这一差距,我们对PubMed、EMBASE、Web of Science和Cochrane图书馆从数据库建立到2025年7月1日进行了全面的文献综述,重点关注报道角膜移植结果的临床研究。该分析包括24项研究,涵盖487只眼睛,并比较了不同的角膜移植技术,特别是治疗性穿透性角膜移植(TPK)、光学穿透性角膜移植(OPK)和治疗性深前板层角膜移植(TDALK)。数据表明,棘阿米巴感染控制足以允许OPK与最有利的结果相关。在感染局限于前基质的眼睛中,适合进行TDALK,移植物存活率较高,术后并发症较少。在持续性全层感染的病例中,TPK是必需的,并且与较差的视力恢复和较高的移植物失败、复发感染和再移植率相关。
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引用次数: 0
Time-series evaluation of an ED-based syndromic alarm system before and during the COVID-19 pandemic 在COVID-19大流行之前和期间对基于ed的综合征警报系统进行时间序列评估
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103149
Jeongmin Moon , Youn Young Choi , Hye Sook Min , Ho Kyung Sung , Kyung-Shin Lee

Objective

To evaluate the performance and limitations of an emergency department (ED)-based syndromic surveillance (SyS) model for detecting respiratory infection outbreaks in Korea, across distinct age groups and epidemiological contexts before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective time-series analysis using nationwide data from Level 1 and 2 EDs between January 2017 and December 2022. Syndromic visits were defined as those with fever (≥38.0 °C) or respiratory symptoms. Age-stratified autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were trained on data from January 2017–December 2018 and January 2020–December 2021 to forecast syndromic ED visits in January–December 2019 and January–December 2022, respectively. Alarms were triggered when observed visit counts exceeded both the model’s 95th percentile prediction interval and historical day-of-week thresholds. Alarm performance was assessed against ED discharge diagnoses of respiratory infectious diseases.

Results

The system performed well under stable pre-pandemic conditions, particularly among children aged 0–4 years (3-day alarm sensitivity: 1.000; specificity: 0.964), and moderately among adults aged 65 years and older. In contrast, model performance deteriorated in 2022 under pandemic conditions, especially among adults aged 20–64 years, with alarm sensitivity dropping below 0.300. The decline was driven by persistently elevated syndromic activity during the Omicron wave, which overwhelmed the static thresholds of the ARIMA models.

Conclusion

ED-based SyS can offer timely and specific early warning for seasonal respiratory outbreaks, particularly in pediatric populations. However, its utility is limited during sustained pandemic waves. Future surveillance systems must incorporate adaptive models, dynamic thresholds, and multiple data streams to remain effective under evolving epidemiological baselines.
目的评价基于急诊科(ED)的综合征监测(SyS)模型在COVID-19大流行之前和期间检测韩国不同年龄组和流行病学背景下呼吸道感染暴发的性能和局限性。方法采用2017年1月至2022年12月期间全国一级和二级医疗机构的数据进行回顾性时间序列分析。综合征就诊定义为有发热(≥38.0°C)或呼吸道症状的患者。使用年龄分层自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型对2017年1月至2018年12月和2020年1月至2021年12月的数据进行训练,分别预测2019年1月至12月和2022年1月至12月的综合征性ED就诊情况。当观察到的访问量超过模型的第95个百分位数预测区间和历史的周数阈值时,警报就会触发。以急诊科的呼吸道传染病出院诊断为对照,评价报警效果。结果该系统在大流行前的稳定条件下表现良好,特别是在0-4岁儿童中(3天警报灵敏度为1.000,特异性为0.964),在65岁及以上的成年人中表现中等。相比之下,2022年在大流行条件下,模型性能下降,特别是在20-64岁的成年人中,警报灵敏度降至0.300以下。下降的原因是在欧米克隆波期间持续升高的综合征活动,超过了ARIMA模型的静态阈值。结论基于数据的系统可为季节性呼吸道疫情提供及时、有针对性的预警,特别是在儿科人群中。然而,在持续的大流行期间,其效用有限。未来的监测系统必须结合自适应模型、动态阈值和多种数据流,以便在不断变化的流行病学基线下保持有效性。
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引用次数: 0
How does hypervirulent Klebsiella pneumoniae influence the risk and visual outcomes of endogenous endophthalmitis in Klebsiella pneumoniae pyogenic liver abscess? A systematic review and meta analysis 高毒力肺炎克雷伯菌如何影响肺炎克雷伯菌化脓性肝脓肿并发内源性眼内炎的风险和视力结果?系统回顾和荟萃分析
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2025.103090
Kai-Yang Chen , Hoi-Chun Chan , Chi-Ming Chan

Background

Klebsiella pneumoniae pyogenic liver abscess (KP-PLA) is increasingly recognized as a cause of endogenous endophthalmitis (EE), particularly in East and Southeast Asia. Hypervirulent K. pneumoniae (hvKP) strains have been implicated in severe ocular complications, yet comprehensive data on incidence, risk factors, and visual outcomes are limited.

Methods

A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted following PRISMA guidelines. We searched PubMed, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, Science Direct for studies reporting KP-PLA-associated EE up to March 2025. Data on patient demographics, comorbidities, microbiological features, treatments, and visual outcomes were extracted. Pooled event rates and odds ratios (OR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using random-effects models.

Results

Seventeen studies encompassing 219 patients met inclusion criteria. Diabetes mellitus was common among KP PLA associated EE cases (pooled event rate 0.674; 95 % CI: 0.585–0.751; p < 0.001). hvKP strains, identified by positive string tests and virulence genes including rmpA, magA, and aerobactin, predominated in EE cases. Regional differences were observed, with higher prevalence in East and Southeast Asia. Despite aggressive systemic and ocular treatment, visual prognosis was poor: 77.9 % of patients had final visual acuity worse than 3/60. Early pars plana vitrectomy with silicone oil tamponade was associated with fewer postoperative interventions (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

EE is a devastating complication of KP-PLA, particularly in diabetic patients infected with hvKP. Early recognition of at-risk patients and prompt intervention, including early vitrectomy, are crucial to improve visual outcomes. These findings highlight the clinical importance of hvKP in the pathogenesis of EE and reinforce the need for vigilant ophthalmic monitoring in KP-PLA cases.
背景肺炎克雷伯菌化脓性肝脓肿(KP-PLA)越来越被认为是内源性眼内炎(EE)的原因,特别是在东亚和东南亚。高毒力肺炎克雷伯菌(hvKP)菌株与严重的眼部并发症有关,但有关发病率、危险因素和视力结果的综合数据有限。方法按照PRISMA指南进行系统评价和荟萃分析。我们检索了PubMed, b谷歌Scholar, Cochrane Library, Science Direct,检索了截至2025年3月报告与kp - pla相关的EE的研究。提取了患者人口统计学、合并症、微生物学特征、治疗和视觉结果的数据。使用随机效应模型计算95 %置信区间(CI)的合并事件发生率和优势比(OR)。结果17项研究219例患者符合纳入标准。糖尿病在KP - PLA相关EE病例中较为常见(合并事件率0.674;95 % CI: 0.585-0.751; p <; 0.001)。hvKP菌株,通过阳性串试验和毒力基因(包括rmpA、magA和有氧肌动蛋白)鉴定,在EE病例中占主导地位。观察到区域差异,东亚和东南亚的患病率较高。尽管进行了积极的全身和眼部治疗,但视力预后较差:77.9% %的患者最终视力低于3/60。早期玻璃体睫状体切除加硅油填塞与较少的术后干预相关(p <; 0.05)。结论see是KP-PLA的一种破坏性并发症,尤其是糖尿病患者感染hvKP时。早期识别高危患者并及时干预,包括早期玻璃体切除术,对改善视力至关重要。这些发现强调了hvKP在EE发病机制中的临床重要性,并加强了KP-PLA病例警惕眼科监测的必要性。
{"title":"How does hypervirulent Klebsiella pneumoniae influence the risk and visual outcomes of endogenous endophthalmitis in Klebsiella pneumoniae pyogenic liver abscess? A systematic review and meta analysis","authors":"Kai-Yang Chen ,&nbsp;Hoi-Chun Chan ,&nbsp;Chi-Ming Chan","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2025.103090","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2025.103090","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Klebsiella pneumoniae pyogenic liver abscess (KP-PLA) is increasingly recognized as a cause of endogenous endophthalmitis (EE), particularly in East and Southeast Asia. Hypervirulent K. pneumoniae (hvKP) strains have been implicated in severe ocular complications, yet comprehensive data on incidence, risk factors, and visual outcomes are limited.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted following PRISMA guidelines. We searched PubMed, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, Science Direct for studies reporting KP-PLA-associated EE up to March 2025. Data on patient demographics, comorbidities, microbiological features, treatments, and visual outcomes were extracted. Pooled event rates and odds ratios (OR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using random-effects models.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Seventeen studies encompassing 219 patients met inclusion criteria. Diabetes mellitus was common among KP PLA associated EE cases (pooled event rate 0.674; 95 % CI: 0.585–0.751; p &lt; 0.001). hvKP strains, identified by positive string tests and virulence genes including rmpA, magA, and aerobactin, predominated in EE cases. Regional differences were observed, with higher prevalence in East and Southeast Asia. Despite aggressive systemic and ocular treatment, visual prognosis was poor: 77.9 % of patients had final visual acuity worse than 3/60. Early pars plana vitrectomy with silicone oil tamponade was associated with fewer postoperative interventions (p &lt; 0.05).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>EE is a devastating complication of KP-PLA, particularly in diabetic patients infected with hvKP. Early recognition of at-risk patients and prompt intervention, including early vitrectomy, are crucial to improve visual outcomes. These findings highlight the clinical importance of hvKP in the pathogenesis of EE and reinforce the need for vigilant ophthalmic monitoring in KP-PLA cases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 3","pages":"Article 103090"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145882189","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
What makes contact tracing successful? An empirical analysis of COVID-19 data from 38 OECD countries 是什么让接触者追踪成功?对38个经合组织国家COVID-19数据的实证分析
IF 4 3区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2025.103112
BongGyun Kim , Okyu Kwon , Jae-Suk Yang

Background

Despite widespread adoption of contact tracing during the COVID-19 pandemic, countries exhibited marked differences in tracing performance. Existing studies have documented policy variation but lack standardized, comparable outcome indicators of tracing effectiveness. Recent reviews emphasize the need for quantitative, cross-national, outcome-based measures and broader frameworks that account for contextual factors such as governance, education, and culture. To address this gap, this study aims to validate the time lag (τ) between peaks in confirmed cases and testing as a proxy for tracing responsiveness and examines how government policies, socioeconomic conditions, and cultural dimensions jointly shape τ across OECD countries.

Methods

Panel data for 38 OECD countries (Jan 2020–Jun 2022) were analyzed. τ was computed through rolling cross-correlation between daily cases and tests. We estimated fixed-effects and pooled OLS models to identify policy and contextual effects and ran mixed-effects models as a robustness extension. Additional robustness tests included two-way fixed effects, exclusion of high-incidence periods, and winsorization of τ, alongside variance-inflation and residual diagnostics, to ensure results were not driven by outliers or specification bias.

Results

Stricter containment and stronger tracing policies were associated with longer τ, while broader testing and higher epidemic severity shortened it. Among contextual variables, higher education lengthened τ, whereas greater urbanization reduced it. Cultural dimensions showed smaller, less stable effects. Despite modest explanatory power (R² ≈ 0.08–0.11), results were consistent across alternative specifications and model types.

Conclusion

The case–test peak lag (τ) provides a practical, comparable metric of tracing performance across countries. However, our findings suggest that its utility as an indicator of tracing responsiveness is context-dependent and should be interpreted with caution. Effective tracing depends on coherent policy coordination supported by socioeconomic and institutional environments that foster technological participation and compliance. Limitations include τ’s indirect nature and remaining unobserved heterogeneity.
尽管在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间广泛采用了接触者追踪措施,但各国在追踪绩效方面表现出明显差异。现有的研究记录了政策变化,但缺乏追踪有效性的标准化、可比较的结果指标。最近的审查强调需要定量的、跨国的、基于结果的措施和更广泛的框架,以考虑治理、教育和文化等背景因素。为了解决这一差距,本研究旨在验证确诊病例和检测峰值之间的时间滞后(τ),作为追踪响应性的代理,并研究政府政策、社会经济条件和文化维度如何共同影响经合组织国家的τ。方法分析38个经合组织国家(2020年1月- 2022年6月)的面板数据。τ是通过日常病例和试验之间的滚动互相关来计算的。我们估计了固定效应和汇总OLS模型,以确定政策和环境效应,并运行混合效应模型作为鲁棒性扩展。额外的稳健性检验包括双向固定效应、排除高发期、τ的winsorization,以及方差膨胀和剩余诊断,以确保结果不受异常值或规格偏差的影响。结果更严格的控制和更强的追踪政策与更长的τ相关,而更广泛的检测和更高的流行严重程度缩短了τ。在相关变量中,高等教育延长了τ,而更大的城市化则缩短了τ。文化维度的影响较小,稳定性较差。尽管解释能力有限(R²≈0.08-0.11),但不同规格和模型类型的结果是一致的。病例检验峰值滞后(τ)提供了一种实用的、可比较的各国追踪绩效指标。然而,我们的研究结果表明,它作为跟踪响应性指标的效用依赖于上下文,应该谨慎解释。有效的追踪依赖于连贯的政策协调,并得到社会经济和体制环境的支持,从而促进技术参与和遵守。限制包括τ的间接性质和未观察到的异质性。
{"title":"What makes contact tracing successful? An empirical analysis of COVID-19 data from 38 OECD countries","authors":"BongGyun Kim ,&nbsp;Okyu Kwon ,&nbsp;Jae-Suk Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2025.103112","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jiph.2025.103112","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Despite widespread adoption of contact tracing during the COVID-19 pandemic, countries exhibited marked differences in tracing performance. Existing studies have documented policy variation but lack standardized, comparable outcome indicators of tracing effectiveness. Recent reviews emphasize the need for quantitative, cross-national, outcome-based measures and broader frameworks that account for contextual factors such as governance, education, and culture. To address this gap, this study aims to validate the time lag (τ) between peaks in confirmed cases and testing as a proxy for tracing responsiveness and examines how government policies, socioeconomic conditions, and cultural dimensions jointly shape τ across OECD countries.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Panel data for 38 OECD countries (Jan 2020–Jun 2022) were analyzed. τ was computed through rolling cross-correlation between daily cases and tests. We estimated fixed-effects and pooled OLS models to identify policy and contextual effects and ran mixed-effects models as a robustness extension. Additional robustness tests included two-way fixed effects, exclusion of high-incidence periods, and winsorization of τ, alongside variance-inflation and residual diagnostics, to ensure results were not driven by outliers or specification bias.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Stricter containment and stronger tracing policies were associated with longer τ, while broader testing and higher epidemic severity shortened it. Among contextual variables, higher education lengthened τ, whereas greater urbanization reduced it. Cultural dimensions showed smaller, less stable effects. Despite modest explanatory power (R² ≈ 0.08–0.11), results were consistent across alternative specifications and model types.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>The case–test peak lag (τ) provides a practical, comparable metric of tracing performance across countries. However, our findings suggest that its utility as an indicator of tracing responsiveness is context-dependent and should be interpreted with caution. Effective tracing depends on coherent policy coordination supported by socioeconomic and institutional environments that foster technological participation and compliance. Limitations include τ’s indirect nature and remaining unobserved heterogeneity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"19 3","pages":"Article 103112"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145802169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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Journal of Infection and Public Health
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