Pub Date : 2025-12-04DOI: 10.1037/pspa0000475.supp
{"title":"Supplemental Material for Self-Essentialism Underlies Social Projection to Unfamiliar Similar Others","authors":"","doi":"10.1037/pspa0000475.supp","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/pspa0000475.supp","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145689104","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-04DOI: 10.1037/pspa0000474.supp
{"title":"Supplemental Material for What We Owe to Ourselves: Investigating People’s Sense of Obligations to the Self","authors":"","doi":"10.1037/pspa0000474.supp","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/pspa0000474.supp","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":"2 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145689049","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-04DOI: 10.1037/pspi0000509.supp
{"title":"Supplemental Material for Allocator-Recipient Asymmetries in Resource Allocation Preferences: A Focus on Bequests","authors":"","doi":"10.1037/pspi0000509.supp","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/pspi0000509.supp","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":"138 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145689050","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2024-11-14DOI: 10.1037/pspi0000470
Aleta Pleasant, Pat Barclay
Why do we care so much for friends-much more than one might predict from reciprocity alone? According to a recent theory, organisms who cooperate with each other come to have a stake in each other's well-being: A good cooperator is worth protecting-even anonymously if necessary-so they can be available to cooperate in the future. Here, we present three experiments showing that reciprocity creates a stake in a partner's well-being, such that people are willing to secretly pay to protect good cooperative partners, if doing so keeps those partners available for future interaction. Participants played five rounds of a cooperative game (Prisoner's Dilemma) and then received an opportunity to help their partner, without the partner ever knowing. In Experiments 1 and 2, participants were more willing to help a cooperative partner if doing so kept that partner available for future rounds, compared to when the help simply raised the partner's earnings. This effect was specific to cooperative partners: The type of help mattered less for uncooperative partners or for recipients that participants did not directly interact with. In other words, an ongoing history of reciprocity gave people a stake in their partner's good condition but not their partner's payoff. Experiment 3 showed that participants had less stake in their partners if those partners could be easily replaced by another cooperator. These findings show that reciprocity and stake are not separate processes. Instead, even shallow reciprocity creates a deeper stake in a partner's well-being, including a willingness to help with zero expectation of recognition. Future work should examine how one's stake in partners is affected by ecological factors that affect the gains of cooperation and the ease of finding new partners. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
{"title":"Mutual cooperation gives you a stake in your partner's welfare, especially if they are irreplaceable.","authors":"Aleta Pleasant, Pat Barclay","doi":"10.1037/pspi0000470","DOIUrl":"10.1037/pspi0000470","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Why do we care so much for friends-much more than one might predict from reciprocity alone? According to a recent theory, organisms who cooperate with each other come to have a stake in each other's well-being: A good cooperator is worth protecting-even anonymously if necessary-so they can be available to cooperate in the future. Here, we present three experiments showing that reciprocity creates a stake in a partner's well-being, such that people are willing to secretly pay to protect good cooperative partners, if doing so keeps those partners available for future interaction. Participants played five rounds of a cooperative game (Prisoner's Dilemma) and then received an opportunity to help their partner, without the partner ever knowing. In Experiments 1 and 2, participants were more willing to help a cooperative partner if doing so kept that partner available for future rounds, compared to when the help simply raised the partner's earnings. This effect was specific to cooperative partners: The type of help mattered less for uncooperative partners or for recipients that participants did not directly interact with. In other words, an ongoing history of reciprocity gave people a stake in their partner's good condition but not their partner's payoff. Experiment 3 showed that participants had less stake in their partners if those partners could be easily replaced by another cooperator. These findings show that reciprocity and stake are not separate processes. Instead, even shallow reciprocity creates a deeper stake in a partner's well-being, including a willingness to help with zero expectation of recognition. Future work should examine how one's stake in partners is affected by ecological factors that affect the gains of cooperation and the ease of finding new partners. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":" ","pages":"1151-1162"},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142622611","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-06-09DOI: 10.1037/pspa0000455
Zachariah Berry, Brian J Lucas, Jon M Jachimowicz
The call to pursue one's passion is ubiquitous advice, and prior research highlights the many upsides to doing so. To pursue one's passion sustainably, people need to try different pursuits-and, critically, drop those that are not tenable for them. However, disengaging from a passion is seemingly antithetical to the stereotypical expectations people hold of how passion should be pursued, which is commonly depicted as persevering through challenges. These expectations, we suggest, lead people to perceive disengaging from a passion as a negative event that myopically focuses their attention on the decision to disengage rather than future opportunities to (re-)engage in a new passion. As a result, when people consider giving up on a passion, we hypothesize that they overestimate how harshly their character will be judged by others and that this occurs because others-from their distant vantage point-see disengaging from a passion as an opportunity to (re-)engage in other passions more than passion pursuers expect they will. These misperceptions, we argue, are consequential because they reduce passion pursuers' willingness to speak out against challenging working conditions or pursue other opportunities. We find evidence for these predictions across seven main and three supplemental studies in the lab and field (N = 4,825), including samples of PhD students, nurses, and teachers. Our theory and results uncover a critical social impediment to the pursuit of passion: By overestimating how harshly they are judged for giving up, people may struggle to sustainably pursue their passion. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
追求自己的激情是无处不在的建议,之前的研究强调了这样做的许多好处。为了持续地追求自己的激情,人们需要尝试不同的追求——而且,重要的是,放弃那些对他们来说站不住脚的追求。然而,放弃激情似乎与人们对追求激情的刻板印象是对立的,这种刻板印象通常被描述为坚持不懈地迎接挑战。我们认为,这些期望导致人们将脱离激情视为一件负面事件,目光短浅地将注意力集中在放弃激情的决定上,而不是未来(重新)投入新激情的机会上。因此,当人们考虑放弃一种激情时,我们假设他们高估了别人对他们性格的评判有多苛刻,而这是因为其他人——从遥远的角度来看——把放弃一种激情看作是一个(重新)从事其他激情的机会,而不是激情追求者所期望的那样。我们认为,这些误解是必然的,因为它们降低了激情追求者公开反对具有挑战性的工作条件或追求其他机会的意愿。我们在实验室和现场的七项主要研究和三项补充研究(N = 4,825)中发现了这些预测的证据,包括博士生、护士和教师的样本。我们的理论和结果揭示了追求激情的一个关键的社会障碍:由于高估了自己放弃的程度,人们可能难以持续地追求自己的激情。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
{"title":"People overestimate how harshly they are evaluated for disengaging from passion pursuit.","authors":"Zachariah Berry, Brian J Lucas, Jon M Jachimowicz","doi":"10.1037/pspa0000455","DOIUrl":"10.1037/pspa0000455","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The call to pursue one's passion is ubiquitous advice, and prior research highlights the many upsides to doing so. To pursue one's passion sustainably, people need to try different pursuits-and, critically, drop those that are not tenable for them. However, disengaging from a passion is seemingly antithetical to the stereotypical expectations people hold of how passion should be pursued, which is commonly depicted as persevering through challenges. These expectations, we suggest, lead people to perceive disengaging from a passion as a negative event that myopically focuses their attention on the decision to disengage rather than future opportunities to (re-)engage in a new passion. As a result, when people consider giving up on a passion, we hypothesize that they overestimate how harshly their character will be judged by others and that this occurs because others-from their distant vantage point-see disengaging from a passion as an opportunity to (re-)engage in other passions more than passion pursuers expect they will. These misperceptions, we argue, are consequential because they reduce passion pursuers' willingness to speak out against challenging working conditions or pursue other opportunities. We find evidence for these predictions across seven main and three supplemental studies in the lab and field (<i>N</i> = 4,825), including samples of PhD students, nurses, and teachers. Our theory and results uncover a critical social impediment to the pursuit of passion: By overestimating how harshly they are judged for giving up, people may struggle to sustainably pursue their passion. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":" ","pages":"1102-1129"},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144248325","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-08-18DOI: 10.1037/pspa0000459
Bastian Jaeger, Gabriele Paolacci, Johannes Boegershausen
Discrimination remains a key challenge for social equity. A prerequisite for effective individual and societal responses to discrimination is that instances of it are detected. Yet, prejudice and discriminatory intent are rarely directly observable and the presence of discrimination has to be inferred from circumstantial evidence, such as the over- or underrepresentation of certain individuals (i.e., statistical bias). Here, we study how people judge outcomes that are statistically biased along different dimensions. Six primary and two supplemental studies with Dutch and U.S. participants (total N = 3,591, six preregistered) show that gender- and race-biased outcomes are perceived as much less fair than unbiased outcomes, but we do not observe the same for attractiveness-biased outcomes. While this pattern is partly explained by differences in the perceived legitimacy of different biases (i.e., people judge attractiveness bias as more acceptable than gender and race bias), we also find consistent evidence for an additional mechanism. People spontaneously pay attention to a few salient dimensions, such as gender and race, when scrutinizing decision outcomes for bias. Statistical bias along less salient dimensions, such as physical attractiveness, is more likely to go undetected. Our findings suggest that the (seeming) tolerance of attractiveness-biased outcomes is partly explained by people's failure to spontaneously notice that the outcome is attractiveness-biased in the first place. In other words, it is possible that people show muted responses to a biased outcome not because they actually approve of it, but because they fail to notice the bias. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
歧视仍然是对社会公平的一个重大挑战。个人和社会对歧视作出有效反应的先决条件是发现歧视事例。然而,偏见和歧视意图很少能直接观察到,歧视的存在必须从间接证据中推断出来,例如某些人的代表性过高或不足(即统计偏差)。在这里,我们研究人们如何判断在不同维度上有统计偏差的结果。荷兰和美国参与者的六项主要研究和两项补充研究(总N = 3,591,六项预登记)表明,性别和种族偏见的结果被认为比无偏见的结果更不公平,但我们没有观察到吸引力偏见的结果也是如此。虽然这种模式可以部分解释为不同偏见的感知合法性的差异(即,人们认为吸引力偏见比性别和种族偏见更容易接受),但我们也发现了另一种机制的一致证据。在审视决策结果是否存在偏见时,人们会自然而然地关注一些突出的维度,比如性别和种族。统计偏差在不太突出的维度上,比如身体吸引力,更有可能被忽视。我们的研究结果表明,人们之所以(表面上)容忍有吸引力的结果,部分原因是他们一开始就没有自发地注意到结果是有吸引力的。换句话说,人们对有偏见的结果表现出沉默的反应,可能不是因为他们实际上赞成它,而是因为他们没有注意到偏见。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
{"title":"Social bias blind spots: Attractiveness bias is seemingly tolerated because people fail to notice the bias.","authors":"Bastian Jaeger, Gabriele Paolacci, Johannes Boegershausen","doi":"10.1037/pspa0000459","DOIUrl":"10.1037/pspa0000459","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Discrimination remains a key challenge for social equity. A prerequisite for effective individual and societal responses to discrimination is that instances of it are detected. Yet, prejudice and discriminatory intent are rarely directly observable and the presence of discrimination has to be inferred from circumstantial evidence, such as the over- or underrepresentation of certain individuals (i.e., statistical bias). Here, we study how people judge outcomes that are statistically biased along different dimensions. Six primary and two supplemental studies with Dutch and U.S. participants (total <i>N</i> = 3,591, six preregistered) show that gender- and race-biased outcomes are perceived as much less fair than unbiased outcomes, but we do not observe the same for attractiveness-biased outcomes. While this pattern is partly explained by differences in the perceived legitimacy of different biases (i.e., people judge attractiveness bias as more acceptable than gender and race bias), we also find consistent evidence for an additional mechanism. People spontaneously pay attention to a few salient dimensions, such as gender and race, when scrutinizing decision outcomes for bias. Statistical bias along less salient dimensions, such as physical attractiveness, is more likely to go undetected. Our findings suggest that the (seeming) tolerance of attractiveness-biased outcomes is partly explained by people's failure to spontaneously notice that the outcome is attractiveness-biased in the first place. In other words, it is possible that people show muted responses to a biased outcome not because they actually approve of it, but because they fail to notice the bias. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":" ","pages":"1037-1053"},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144873693","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Big Five personality traits and states are positively associated with each other. However, most of this knowledge is based on intrapersonal perception (i.e., either self- or partner reports), and little is known about the associations based on interpersonal perception (i.e., combining self- and partner reports). Such knowledge, however, would be crucial in understanding how accurately close others (e.g., romantic partners) perceive each other's personality in general and daily life. Therefore, the goal of this study was to comprehensively test the trait-state associations, using self- and partner reports, to better understand accuracy of personality judgment among couples. Moreover, to learn about the conditions of better or worse accuracy in personality judgment, we examined the moderating roles of relationship satisfaction and situational factors. Data came from 292 recently cohabiting couple members (M = 25.41 years) who participated in a preregistered experience-sampling study, providing up to 50 personality-state assessments over 10 days. The findings from multilevel models supported previous knowledge on intrapersonal perception and significantly expanded the knowledge on interpersonal perception. Specifically, the findings suggested the most robust pattern for conscientiousness and neuroticism, ascribing these Big Five domains a significant role among recently cohabiting couples. Interestingly, accuracy was not enhanced among more satisfied couple members, but it was largely facilitated when partners were exclusively together as a couple (vs. with other people). Overall, this research shows that the use of multiple sources allows for a more comprehensive understanding of personality, especially when the aim is to understand the accuracy of personality judgment in couples. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
五大人格特征和状态彼此呈正相关。然而,这些知识大多是基于个人感知(即自我或伴侣报告),而对基于人际感知(即结合自我和伴侣报告)的关联知之甚少。然而,这些知识对于理解亲密的人(例如,浪漫的伴侣)在一般和日常生活中如何准确地感知彼此的个性至关重要。因此,本研究的目的是综合测试特质-状态的关联,使用自我和伴侣报告,以更好地了解夫妻之间人格判断的准确性。此外,为了了解人格判断准确性好坏的条件,我们考察了关系满意度和情境因素的调节作用。数据来自292名最近同居的夫妇(年龄25.41岁),他们参加了一项预先登记的经验抽样研究,在10天内提供了多达50项人格状态评估。多层次模型的研究结果支持了以往对人际感知的认识,并显著扩展了对人际感知的认识。具体来说,研究结果表明,尽责性和神经质是最强大的模式,这五大领域在最近的同居伴侣中起着重要作用。有趣的是,在满意度更高的夫妻中,准确率并没有提高,但当伴侣完全以夫妻的身份在一起时(相对于与其他人在一起),准确率在很大程度上得到了提高。总的来说,这项研究表明,使用多种来源可以更全面地了解性格,特别是当目的是了解夫妻性格判断的准确性时。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
{"title":"Knowing yourself and your partner: Accuracy of personality judgment in recently cohabiting couples.","authors":"Janina Larissa Bühler, Louisa Scheling, Cornelia Wrzus","doi":"10.1037/pspp0000579","DOIUrl":"10.1037/pspp0000579","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Big Five personality traits and states are positively associated with each other. However, most of this knowledge is based on intrapersonal perception (i.e., either self- or partner reports), and little is known about the associations based on interpersonal perception (i.e., combining self- and partner reports). Such knowledge, however, would be crucial in understanding how accurately close others (e.g., romantic partners) perceive each other's personality in general and daily life. Therefore, the goal of this study was to comprehensively test the trait-state associations, using self- and partner reports, to better understand accuracy of personality judgment among couples. Moreover, to learn about the conditions of better or worse accuracy in personality judgment, we examined the moderating roles of relationship satisfaction and situational factors. Data came from 292 recently cohabiting couple members (<i>M</i> = 25.41 years) who participated in a preregistered experience-sampling study, providing up to 50 personality-state assessments over 10 days. The findings from multilevel models supported previous knowledge on intrapersonal perception and significantly expanded the knowledge on interpersonal perception. Specifically, the findings suggested the most robust pattern for conscientiousness and neuroticism, ascribing these Big Five domains a significant role among recently cohabiting couples. Interestingly, accuracy was not enhanced among more satisfied couple members, but it was largely facilitated when partners were exclusively together as a couple (vs. with other people). Overall, this research shows that the use of multiple sources allows for a more comprehensive understanding of personality, especially when the aim is to understand the accuracy of personality judgment in couples. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":" ","pages":"1218-1239"},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145191157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Acknowledgment","authors":"","doi":"10.1037/pspa0000471","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/pspa0000471","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1281-1284"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145651563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Expressing equivalence of responsibility and victimhood: How message directionality affects perception of speakers’ willingness to reconcile.","authors":"Alice Kasper, Stéphanie Demoulin","doi":"10.1037/pspi0000508","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1037/pspi0000508","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145651572","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-06-12DOI: 10.1037/pspp0000567
Chris Dawson
Almost all formal models of decision making under uncertainty require agents to judge the likelihood of relevant uncertainties. Typically, decisions are best made when these judgments are accurate. In the context of probabilistic subjective survival expectations, from a nationally representative English sample of participants aged over 50 (N = 3,946), we test whether IQ is associated with calibration. We find strong evidence that high-IQ respondents make substantially lower forecast errors and produce less noise in their predictions than low-IQ respondents. These results are confirmed when we leverage the randomness in genetic variants linked to IQ as an instrumental variable (Mendelian randomization) and when directly using participants' genetic variants related to educational attainment-that captures IQ as well as other cognitive and noncognitive traits relevant to educational success. These results highlight important channels through which IQ contributes to beliefs about the world and may explain why low IQ is often linked to poor financial decision making, lower economic growth and economic welfare, and judgmental biases. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
几乎所有不确定性下的正式决策模型都要求主体判断相关不确定性的可能性。通常,当这些判断是准确的时候,决策是最好的。在概率主观生存期望的背景下,从50岁以上的全国代表性英语参与者样本(N = 3946)中,我们测试了智商是否与校准相关。我们发现强有力的证据表明,高智商的受访者比低智商的受访者在预测中产生的误差和噪音要少得多。当我们利用与智商相关的基因变异的随机性作为工具变量(孟德尔随机化),以及直接使用参与者与教育程度相关的基因变异(捕获智商以及与教育成功相关的其他认知和非认知特征)时,这些结果得到证实。这些结果强调了智商影响人们对世界看法的重要渠道,也解释了为什么低智商往往与糟糕的财务决策、较低的经济增长和经济福利以及判断偏见有关。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
{"title":"IQ, genes, and miscalibrated expectations.","authors":"Chris Dawson","doi":"10.1037/pspp0000567","DOIUrl":"10.1037/pspp0000567","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Almost all formal models of decision making under uncertainty require agents to judge the likelihood of relevant uncertainties. Typically, decisions are best made when these judgments are accurate. In the context of probabilistic subjective survival expectations, from a nationally representative English sample of participants aged over 50 (<i>N</i> = 3,946), we test whether IQ is associated with calibration. We find strong evidence that high-IQ respondents make substantially lower forecast errors and produce less noise in their predictions than low-IQ respondents. These results are confirmed when we leverage the randomness in genetic variants linked to IQ as an instrumental variable (Mendelian randomization) and when directly using participants' genetic variants related to educational attainment-that captures IQ as well as other cognitive and noncognitive traits relevant to educational success. These results highlight important channels through which IQ contributes to beliefs about the world and may explain why low IQ is often linked to poor financial decision making, lower economic growth and economic welfare, and judgmental biases. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":16691,"journal":{"name":"Journal of personality and social psychology","volume":" ","pages":"1185-1201"},"PeriodicalIF":6.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144284946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}