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2013 IEEE Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (PHM)最新文献

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Sampling schedule optimization of embedded wireless sensors for degradation monitoring 用于退化监测的嵌入式无线传感器采样调度优化
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621414
Petek Yontay, R. Pan, O. A. Vanli
Inexpensive wireless sensors can be embedded in structural materials to detect defects. These sensors provide in-situ diagnosis of the system's health, thus invaluable information to decision makers for system maintenance and repair. For example, lamb wave sensors that are embedded in carbon fiber composites can monitor the material integrity by detecting and quantifying fiber delaminations and breakages. Although they are relatively easy to be deployed, their lifetimes are limited due to power consumption and they cannot be replaced without interrupting the operation of system. In this paper, we discuss a sampling method that is based on the material's degradation model for activating sensors and collecting health information. We are interested in predicting the time of failure with a few numbers of signals and with statistical efficiency. Our method is good for the in-situ health monitoring, where the system's failure time is of concern and the sensor's power conservation is required.
廉价的无线传感器可以嵌入到结构材料中来检测缺陷。这些传感器提供系统健康状况的现场诊断,从而为系统维护和维修的决策者提供宝贵的信息。例如,嵌入碳纤维复合材料的lamb波传感器可以通过检测和量化纤维分层和断裂来监测材料的完整性。虽然相对容易部署,但由于功耗的限制,其使用寿命有限,并且在不中断系统运行的情况下无法更换。在本文中,我们讨论了一种基于材料降解模型的采样方法,用于激活传感器和收集健康信息。我们感兴趣的是用少量的信号和统计效率来预测故障时间。该方法适用于对系统故障时间要求高、对传感器功耗要求低的现场健康监测。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive maintenance policy optimization by discrimination of marginally distinct signals 基于边际差异信号判别的预测性维修策略优化
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621437
Y. Langer, A. Urmanov, Anton A. Bougaev
The necessity of discrimination of marginally distinct measured signals is one of the main problems in the creation of maintenance policies. Applying classical methods of statistical classification of observations to the solution of this problem entails considerable difficulties caused by the need to discriminate signals in a gray area between absolutely healthy and fully degraded system. In the gray area, the difference between population parameters inferred from samples is hardly noticeable. Instead of the classical discrimination criteria, a discriminant function that minimizes the expected sum of losses (for example, losses of time) relevant to system preventive maintenance and recovering of the system after its failure is used. This discriminant function is developed on the basis of the representation of the observed system degradation process as a Discrete Parameter Markov chain. The extremum of this function determines the discrimination boundary and the optimal time for maintenance. The requirements for the possible deviation of the experimentally obtained Markov process parameters that do not invalidate the obtained optimal rule of maintenance are specified. The developed methods are illustrated on synthetic data reminiscent of the operation of a database management system.
在维护策略的制定中,需要对边际差异测量信号进行判别是一个主要问题。应用经典的观测数据统计分类方法来解决这个问题会带来相当大的困难,因为需要在绝对健康和完全退化的系统之间的灰色地带区分信号。在灰色区域,从样本推断的总体参数之间的差异几乎不明显。代替经典的判别标准,判别函数使用最小化与系统预防性维护和系统故障后恢复相关的损失(例如,时间损失)的预期总和。该判别函数是在将观测到的系统退化过程表示为离散参数马尔可夫链的基础上建立起来的。该函数的极值决定了判别边界和最优维护时间。给出了实验得到的马尔可夫过程参数在不使所得到的最优维护规则失效的情况下可能出现偏差的要求。以综合数据为例说明了所开发的方法,使人联想到数据库管理系统的操作。
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引用次数: 2
Data mining based fault isolation with FMEA rank: A case study of APU fault identification 基于FMEA等级的数据挖掘故障隔离——以APU故障识别为例
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621454
Chunsheng Yang, S. Létourneau, Yubin Yang, Jie Liu
FMEA (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis), which was developed to enhance the reliability of complex systems, is a standard method to characterize and document product and process problems and a systematic method for fault identification/isolation in maintenance industry. Fault identification for a given failure effect or mode is a reactive process. Usually, a failure has occurred and it needs to identify which component is the root cause or to isolate the fault to a specific contributing component. Traditional method is to conduct TSM (Trouble Shooting Manuals)-based fault isolation, which is complicated, expensive, and time-consuming. To efficiently perform fault isolation, this paper proposed data mining-based framework for fault isolation by using FMEA information to rank data-driven models. In this paper, we present the proposed framework along with a case study for APU fault identification.
FMEA (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis)是为了提高复杂系统的可靠性而发展起来的,是表征和记录产品和过程问题的标准方法,也是维修行业故障识别/隔离的系统方法。对于给定的故障效果或模式,故障识别是一个反应过程。通常,故障已经发生,它需要确定哪个组件是根本原因,或者将故障隔离到特定的贡献组件。传统的方法是基于TSM (Trouble Shooting manual)进行故障隔离,这种方法复杂、成本高、耗时长。为了有效地进行故障隔离,本文提出了基于数据挖掘的故障隔离框架,利用FMEA信息对数据驱动模型进行排序。在本文中,我们提出了该框架,并对APU故障识别进行了实例研究。
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引用次数: 9
The application of multi-model ensemble approach as a prognostic method to predict patient health status 应用多模型集成方法预测患者健康状况
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621422
P. Ghavami, K. Kapur
Prognostic methods promise to improve patient healthcare if predictions of adverse disease and medical complications for each patient can be predicted in advance. Prognostics and prediction of patients' physiological health status are getting attention in medicine because they provide insight that can be used for medical interventions that prevent adverse medical complications. While various predictive analytics have been developed for detection and prediction of certain diseases, efforts to combine the predictive power of multiple algorithms have gone mostly unnoticed. This study proposes a prognostics engine using multiple models to predict patient physiological status. Given the diversity of clinical data and disease conditions, no single model can be the ideal prediction algorithm to cover all medical cases. Certain algorithms are more accurate than others depending on input data available, the type, amount and diversity of possible outcomes. In this study four different neural network algorithms were used for the prognostics engine and their accuracy on a dataset were compared. The study proposes using an ensemble of algorithms and an oracle, an overseer program to select the most accurate combination of the predictive models that is most suited for a particular disease prediction. The feasibility of this approach is tested using a clinical data set of 1,073 patient cases including 255 patients presented with Deep Vein Pulmonary Embolism. The study compared accuracy of five different schemas for constructing ensembles of various neural networks. The multiple schema approach combined with multi-model ensembles showed to improve accuracy of prediction for this case and promises to be a robust approach to other clinical prediction problems.
如果可以提前预测每个患者的不良疾病和医疗并发症,预后方法有望改善患者的医疗保健。预后和患者生理健康状况的预测正在引起医学界的关注,因为它们可以为预防不良医疗并发症的医疗干预提供见解。虽然已经开发了各种预测分析来检测和预测某些疾病,但将多种算法的预测能力结合起来的努力却大多被忽视。本研究提出了一种使用多种模型来预测患者生理状态的预后引擎。由于临床数据和疾病情况的多样性,没有一个单一的模型可以作为理想的预测算法来覆盖所有的医疗病例。某些算法比其他算法更准确,这取决于可用的输入数据、可能结果的类型、数量和多样性。在这项研究中,预测引擎使用了四种不同的神经网络算法,并比较了它们在数据集上的准确性。该研究建议使用一套算法和一个神谕(一个监督程序)来选择最适合特定疾病预测的最准确的预测模型组合。该方法的可行性使用1073例患者的临床数据集进行了测试,其中包括255例深静脉肺栓塞患者。研究比较了五种不同模式构建不同神经网络集合的准确性。多模式方法与多模型集成相结合,提高了该病例预测的准确性,并有望成为解决其他临床预测问题的可靠方法。
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引用次数: 2
A feature extraction procedure based on trigonometric functions and cumulative descriptors to enhance prognostics modeling 基于三角函数和累积描述符的特征提取程序,以增强预测建模
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621413
Kamran Javed, R. Gouriveau, N. Zerhouni, P. Nectoux
Performances of data-driven approaches are closely related to the form and trend of extracted features (that can be seen as time series health indicators). (1) Even if much of data-driven approaches are suitable to catch non-linearity in signals, features with monotonic trends (which is not always the case!) are likely to lead to better estimates. (2) Also, some classical extracted features do not show variation until a few time before failure occurs, which prevents performing RUL predictions in a timely manner to plan maintenance task. The aim of this paper is to present a novel feature extraction procedure to face with these two problems. Two aspects are considered. Firstly, the paper focuses on feature extraction in a new manner by utilizing trigonometric functions to extract features (health indicators) rather than typical statistic measures like RMS, etc. The proposed approach is applied on time-frequency analysis with Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT). Secondly, a simple way of building new features based on cumulative functions is also proposed in order to transform time series into descriptors that depict accumulated wear. This approach can be extended to other types of features. The main idea of both developments is to map raw data with monotonic features with early trends, i.e., with descriptors that can be easily predicted. This methodology can enhance prognostics modeling and RUL prediction. The whole proposition is illustrated and discussed thanks to tests performed on vibration datasets from PRONOSTIA, an experimental platform that enables accelerated degradation of bearings.
数据驱动方法的性能与提取特征的形式和趋势密切相关(可视为时间序列健康指标)。(1)即使许多数据驱动的方法适合捕捉信号中的非线性,具有单调趋势的特征(并非总是如此!)可能会导致更好的估计。(2)此外,一些经典提取的特征直到故障发生前一段时间才显示出变化,这阻碍了及时执行RUL预测来计划维护任务。本文的目的是提出一种新的特征提取方法来解决这两个问题。考虑了两个方面。首先,本文重点研究了一种新的特征提取方法,即利用三角函数来提取特征(健康指标),而不是像RMS等典型的统计度量。将该方法应用于离散小波变换的时频分析。其次,提出了一种基于累积函数构建新特征的简单方法,将时间序列转化为描述累积磨损的描述符。这种方法可以扩展到其他类型的特性。这两种发展的主要思想都是将具有单调特征的原始数据与早期趋势进行映射,即使用易于预测的描述符。该方法可以增强预测建模和RUL预测。通过对PRONOSTIA(一个加速轴承退化的实验平台)的振动数据集进行测试,对整个命题进行了说明和讨论。
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引用次数: 56
Building asset monitoring and prognostics systems using cost effective technologies for power generation applications 为发电应用建立资产监测和预测系统,采用具有成本效益的技术
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621446
P. Johnson
Cost effective smart industrial data recorders promise to automate the collection of condition indicating sensor data. Automatic and pervasive data recording creates a wealth of condition assessment data that couples with operational history to yield a data store rich in opportunity for data driven prognostics as well as model development. Storing, managing, scoring, and otherwise utilizing this new found wealth of machinery condition indicators challenges the prognostics designer. Implementation of new and existing prognostic algorithms and techniques in an automated and useful way are the challenge of the day. While the application is not yet complete, this paper describes the motivation, the tools, the vision, and the current state of the power generation prognostics application with over 300 “balance of plant” machines under automatic surveillance.
具有成本效益的智能工业数据记录仪有望自动收集状态指示传感器数据。自动和普遍的数据记录创建了大量的状态评估数据,这些数据与操作历史相结合,为数据驱动的预测和模型开发提供了丰富的数据存储机会。存储、管理、评分以及如何利用这些新发现的丰富的机器状态指标对预测设计者提出了挑战。以自动化和有用的方式实施新的和现有的预测算法和技术是当今的挑战。虽然应用尚未完成,但本文描述了300多台“电厂平衡”机器在自动监控下发电预测应用的动机、工具、愿景和现状。
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引用次数: 2
Prognosis of wind turbine gearbox failures by utilising robust multivariate statistical techniques 利用鲁棒多元统计技术预测风力发电机齿轮箱故障
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621428
Jamie L. Godwin, Peter C. Matthews
In this paper we present a new methodology for the prognosis of a wind turbine gearbox. The statistically robust Mahalanobis distance was used to determine multivariate outliers within low frequency SCADA data without the need for manual labelling. Domain knowledge (meta-knowledge) was used to determine the multivariate vectors which encapsulate the condition of the wind turbine gearbox, providing a means to model anomalous gearbox behaviour whilst quantifying the severity of a monitored fault. A prognostic horizon of over 146 days was achieved using a new 3 degrees of freedom model, with a strong trend observed within the presented prognostic. This allowed for the quantification of fault severity, an estimation of the rate of fault development and also a means to quantify the quality and effectiveness of maintenance. In order to reduce noise inherent within SCADA data, an expert system was developed to transform the prognostic capability into actionable intelligence. This reduced the potential cognitive load placed upon the maintenance operator, whilst providing the knowledge required to optimise available maintenance resources. Due to the statistically robust nature of the approach, no gearbox fault data was required for training, enabling prognostic capability without the capital expense incurred through destructive testing. Furthermore, no additional capital expenditure is required due to data being collected from the pre-existing SCADA system available on all of the latest generation of wind turbines.
本文提出了一种风电齿轮箱故障预测的新方法。统计上稳健的马氏距离用于确定低频SCADA数据中的多变量异常值,而无需手动标记。领域知识(元知识)用于确定包含风力涡轮机齿轮箱状况的多变量向量,提供了一种方法来模拟异常齿轮箱行为,同时量化监测故障的严重程度。使用新的3自由度模型实现了超过146天的预测范围,在提出的预测范围内观察到强烈的趋势。这允许对故障严重性进行量化,对故障发展的速度进行估计,同时也是对维护的质量和有效性进行量化的一种方法。为了降低SCADA数据中固有的噪声,开发了一个专家系统,将预测能力转化为可操作的情报。这减少了维护操作员的潜在认知负荷,同时提供了优化可用维护资源所需的知识。由于该方法的统计鲁棒性,不需要齿轮箱故障数据进行训练,从而实现了预测能力,而无需通过破坏性测试产生资本支出。此外,由于数据是从所有最新一代风力涡轮机上现有的SCADA系统收集的,因此不需要额外的资本支出。
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引用次数: 17
Detection of under-lubricated ball bearings using vibration signals 利用振动信号检测润滑不足的球轴承
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621431
Ranjith-Kumar Sreenilayam-Raveendran, M. Azarian, M. Pecht, E. Rhem
Reduction in the lubricant level of a bearing will reduce the operating life of the bearing. This condition is a concern in lightly loaded bearings, such as cooling fans in electronics applications, whose life is dependent on the service life of the lubricant. If these bearings are manufactured with a sub-optimal amount of lubricant, the degradation of lubricant as well as the wear processes in the bearing can be accelerated, thereby leading to early failures of the fans. Measurements were carried out on bearings containing varying amounts of grease, ranging from none to the nominal amount specified by the manufacturer. Features were extracted from vibration signals that were obtained using an accelerometer mounted on the cooling fan. Measurements were performed on fans operated at various temperatures and speeds. The changes observed in the vibration signals as a function of the operating speed and temperature were utilized to develop features which enable the classification of the bearings according to the amount of grease in the bearing. Finally, a classification method for the detection of under-lubricated bearings was developed using the dependence between the features, temperature, and operating speed. This method can be used as a rapid method for acceptance testing of bearings.
轴承润滑油水平的降低将降低轴承的使用寿命。这种情况在轻负荷轴承中是一个问题,例如电子应用中的冷却风扇,其寿命取决于润滑剂的使用寿命。如果这些轴承使用次优量的润滑剂制造,则润滑剂的降解以及轴承中的磨损过程可能会加速,从而导致风扇的早期故障。对含有不同油脂量的轴承进行测量,从无油脂到制造商指定的标称油脂量不等。从安装在冷却风扇上的加速度计获得的振动信号中提取特征。对在不同温度和速度下运行的风扇进行了测量。在振动信号中观察到的变化作为运行速度和温度的函数被用来开发特征,使轴承能够根据轴承中的润滑脂量进行分类。最后,利用特征、温度和运行速度之间的相关性,提出了一种检测欠润滑轴承的分类方法。该方法可作为轴承验收试验的快速方法。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a new acoustic emission based fault diagnosis tool for gearbox 基于声发射的齿轮箱故障诊断工具的研制
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621418
Yongzhi Qu, Junda Zhu, D. He, Bin Qiu, Eric Bechhoefer
Acoustic emission (AE) has been studied as a potential information source for machine fault diagnosis for a long time. However, AE sensors have not yet been applied widely in real applications. Firstly, in comparison with other sensors such as vibration, AE sensors require much higher sampling rate. The characteristic frequency of AE signals generally falls into the range of 100 kHz to several MHz, which requires a sampling system with at least 5MHz sampling rate. Secondly, the storage and computational burden for large volume of AE data is tremendous. Thirdly, AE signal generally contains certain nonstationary behaviors which make traditional frequency analysis ineffective. In this paper, a frequency reduction technique and a modified time synchronous average (TSA) based signal processing method are proposed to identify gear fault using AE signals. Heterodyne technique commonly used in communication is employed to preprocess the AE signals before sampling. By heterodyning, the AE signal frequency is down shifted from several hundred kHz to below 50 kHz. Then a low sampling rate comparable to that of vibration sensors could be applied to sample the AE signals. After that, a modified tachometer less TSA method is adopted to further analyze the AE signal feature. Instead of performing TSA on the raw signals, the time synchronous averaging of the first order harmonic signal is obtained and analyzed. With the presented method, no tachometer or real time phase reference signal is required. The TSA reference signal is directly obtained from AE signals. By examining the smoothness of obtained wave form, a noticeable discontinuity or irregularity could be easily observed for gear fault diagnosis. AE data collected from seeded fault tests on a gearbox are used to validate the proposed method. The analysis results of the tests have shown that the proposed method could reliably and accurately detect the tooth fault.
声发射作为机械故障诊断的潜在信息源已经被研究了很长时间。然而,声发射传感器在实际应用中尚未得到广泛应用。首先,与振动等其他传感器相比,声发射传感器需要更高的采样率。声发射信号的特征频率一般在100khz到几MHz之间,这就要求采样率至少为5MHz的采样系统。其次,大量声发射数据的存储和计算负担巨大。第三,声发射信号通常具有一定的非平稳特性,使得传统的频率分析方法失效。提出了一种基于频率降频技术和改进时间同步平均(TSA)的信号处理方法,利用声发射信号识别齿轮故障。采用通信中常用的外差技术对声发射信号在采样前进行预处理。通过外差,声发射信号的频率从几百kHz下降到50 kHz以下。这样就可以采用与振动传感器相当的低采样率对声发射信号进行采样。然后,采用改进的少TSA法进一步分析声发射信号特征。代替对原始信号进行TSA,获得并分析了一阶谐波信号的时间同步平均。该方法不需要转速表和实时相位参考信号。TSA参考信号直接从AE信号中获得。通过检测所得波形的平滑度,可以很容易地观察到明显的不连续或不规则现象,用于齿轮故障诊断。从齿轮箱种子故障试验中收集的声发射数据用于验证所提出的方法。试验分析结果表明,该方法能够可靠、准确地检测出齿故障。
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引用次数: 13
GFRBS-PHM: A Genetic Fuzzy Rule-Based System for PHM with improved interpretability 基于遗传模糊规则的PHM可解释性改进系统
Pub Date : 2013-06-24 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM.2013.6621419
Rogério Ishibashi, Cairo Lúcio Nascimento Júnior
This paper presents an approach to predict the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a generic system when a higher level of interpretability of the prediction model is desired. A set of well known computational intelligence techniques such as Decision Trees, Fuzzy Logic, and Genetic Algorithms is used to generate a hybrid model which is called Genetic Fuzzy Rule-Based System (GFRBS) supported by a Decision Tree. The proposed method automatically generates fuzzy rules and tunes the associated membership functions. Accuracy and improved interpretability are achieved during training since they are coded in the fitness function used by the genetic algorithm. The proposed approach is applied to a case study of degradation of aeronautical engines. The task is to estimate the remaining useful life of a commercial aircraft engine using only historical data gathered by the sensors embedded in the engine.
本文提出了一种预测通用系统剩余使用寿命(RUL)的方法,该方法对预测模型的可解释性要求较高。利用决策树、模糊逻辑和遗传算法等计算智能技术生成决策树支持的遗传模糊规则系统(GFRBS)。该方法自动生成模糊规则,并对关联隶属函数进行调整。由于在遗传算法使用的适应度函数中编码,因此在训练过程中实现了准确性和改进的可解释性。将该方法应用于航空发动机退化问题的实例研究。任务是仅使用嵌入在发动机中的传感器收集的历史数据来估计商用飞机发动机的剩余使用寿命。
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引用次数: 22
期刊
2013 IEEE Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (PHM)
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