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The value of unrealistic targets: why some climate activists are unwilling to abandon the 1.5 °C target 不切实际的目标的价值:为何一些气候活动家不愿放弃 1.5 ℃ 目标
Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00118-0
Jennifer Hadden, Aseem Prakash
Evidence is mounting that the 1.5 °C goal of the Paris Agreement is unrealistic. But, contrary to many in the scientific community, major NGOs have remained steadfast in their support for this target. We argue that this is because “unrealistic” or aspirational targets can serve important political objectives, including becoming focal points for coalition-building and broad-based mobilization and allowing for effective naming and shaming.
越来越多的证据表明,《巴黎协定》中 1.5 °C 的目标是不现实的。但是,与科学界的许多人相反,主要的非政府组织仍然坚定地支持这一目标。我们认为,这是因为 "不现实 "或有抱负的目标可以达到重要的政治目的,包括成为建立联盟和广泛动员的焦点,并允许有效的点名和羞辱。
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引用次数: 0
Mainstreaming systematic climate action in energy infrastructure to support the sustainable development goals 将系统的气候行动纳入能源基础设施的主流,以支持可持续发展目标
Pub Date : 2024-04-19 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00108-2
Louise Wernersson, Simon Román, Francesco Fuso Nerini, Robert Mutyaba, Samantha Stratton-Short, Daniel Adshead
The energy sector is the largest emitter of greenhouse gas emissions, accounting for 37% of the world’s combined emissions, and plays a key role in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. However, there is no systematic means for planners and practitioners to integrate climate considerations throughout the lifecycle of energy infrastructure projects. Using a thematic document analysis, we provide a comprehensive list of activities related to climate mitigation and adaptation which can be systematically mainstreamed into the energy sector project lifecycle to support a range of sustainable development outcomes. Two renewable energy projects were used to integrate the results into a practical context and demonstrate the range of potential SDG target synergies. The case studies demonstrate the varied means by which climate action can be integrated through mainstreaming in project lifecycle stages, holistically achieving wider SDG impacts. This work provides a practical means to maximise progress within the framework of climate-compatible development.
能源行业是最大的温室气体排放者,占全球总排放量的 37%,在实现可持续发展目标方面发挥着关键作用。然而,目前还没有系统的方法让规划者和从业者将气候因素纳入能源基础设施项目的整个生命周期。通过专题文件分析,我们提供了一份与气候减缓和适应相关的活动综合清单,这些活动可以系统地纳入能源行业项目生命周期的主流,以支持一系列可持续发展成果。我们利用两个可再生能源项目将结果融入实际环境中,并展示了一系列潜在的可持续发展目标协同作用。案例研究展示了通过将气候行动纳入项目生命周期各阶段的主流,从而全面实现更广泛的可持续发展目标影响的各种方法。这项工作为在气候兼容发展框架内取得最大进展提供了切实可行的方法。
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引用次数: 0
The case for longtermism: concern for the far future as a catalyst for pro-climate action 长期主义的理由:关注遥远的未来,促进支持气候的行动
Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00110-8
Stylianos Syropoulos, Kyle Fiore Law, Liane Young
Amid escalating climate challenges, we examine relationships between longtermism beliefs with policy-level and grassroots climate-protective attitudes and actions. Across four primary pre-registered studies (N = 4451) and two supplementary pilots (N = 1858), we find that a significant portion, approximately 25% of our participants, who endorse the longtermism ethical philosophy, report heightened climate change concerns. Furthermore, longtermists show stronger support for pro-climate policies, advocate for initiatives in line with climate justice for future generations and present-day minoritized groups and make proactive contributions to environmental causes and initiatives. Moreover, we find that responsibility to distant future generations drives these associations. Through a targeted intervention, we boosted intergenerational responsibility and increased donations to an environmental charity. These findings highlight how longtermism beliefs shape pro-environmental attitudes and actions, offering valuable insights for climate advocacy strategies and cultivating more widespread support for comprehensive environmental policies.
在气候挑战不断升级的情况下,我们研究了长期主义信念与政策层面和基层气候保护态度和行动之间的关系。通过四项主要的预注册研究(N = 4451)和两项补充试点研究(N = 1858),我们发现,在赞同长期主义伦理理念的参与者中,有相当一部分(约 25%)报告了对气候变化的高度关注。此外,长期主义者对有利于气候的政策表现出更大的支持,主张为子孙后代和当今的少数群体提供符合气候正义的倡议,并对环保事业和倡议做出积极贡献。此外,我们还发现,对遥远后代的责任感也推动了这些关联。通过有针对性的干预,我们增强了代际责任感,增加了对环保慈善机构的捐款。这些发现凸显了长期主义信念是如何塑造亲环境态度和行动的,为气候倡导战略和培养对全面环境政策的更广泛支持提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Pope Francis the Roman Catholic Church and citizen attitudes towards climate change in Latin America 教皇弗朗西斯、罗马天主教会和拉丁美洲公民对气候变化的态度
Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00109-1
Alejandro Ecker, Friederike Nüssel, Jale Tosun
Studies on the relationship between religious attitudes and attitudes towards climate change and other environmental issues have tended to focus on the United States. While there is good reason to expect such a relationship to exist, our understanding of it is limited first and foremost by the limited number of country-comparative studies. This study aims to reduce this gap by investigating how trust in the Church and evaluations of Pope Francis affect the views of Latin Americans on anthropogenic climate change. Our study is based on data from the 2017 Latinobarómetro with 13,472 respondents based in 18 Latin American countries. Our findings reveal that Roman Catholics are less likely to believe in manmade climate change as compared to evangelical Christians and respondents belonging to no or any other denomination. We obtain the same negative relationship between trust in the (Catholic) Church and belief in anthropogenic climate change. However, favourable assessments of Pope Francis have a positive effect, and this assessment also has a positive moderating effect on the impact of trust in the Church on the outcome variable. These findings have important implications for climate policies, as they suggest that the public demand for climate action might increase if the Roman Catholic Church in their regional dioceses, rather than mostly the Pope, were to take and communicate a more coherent, affirmative position on climate change.
关于宗教态度与对气候变化和其他环境问题的态度之间关系的研究往往集中在美国。虽然我们有充分的理由期待这种关系的存在,但我们对这种关系的理解首先受到了国家比较研究数量有限的限制。本研究旨在通过调查对教会的信任和对教皇方济各的评价如何影响拉美人对人为气候变化的看法来缩小这一差距。我们的研究基于 2017 年拉丁美洲调查(Latinobarómetro)的数据,受访者来自 18 个拉丁美洲国家的 13,472 人。我们的研究结果显示,与福音派基督徒和不属于任何教派或其他教派的受访者相比,罗马天主教徒不太可能相信人为气候变化。我们发现,对(天主教)教会的信任与对人为气候变化的信念之间存在同样的负相关关系。然而,对教皇弗朗西斯的积极评价却产生了积极影响,而且这种评价对教会信任对结果变量的影响也产生了积极的调节作用。这些发现对气候政策具有重要意义,因为它们表明,如果罗马天主教会在其地区教区,而不是主要是教皇,在气候变化问题上采取更一致、更积极的立场并进行沟通,那么公众对气候行动的需求可能会增加。
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引用次数: 0
Discrepancies in academic perceptions of climate change and implications for climate change education 学术界对气候变化认识的差异及其对气候变化教育的影响
Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00105-5
Marcellus Forh Mbah
Climate change is arguably the most severe threat faced by humanity today. In an attempt to understand how humanity can manage this phenomenon for planetary health, it is fundamental to have an understanding of what it is. This aligns with a critical gap in the extant literature, that is, how different perceptions of climate change among facilitators of learning (in this case, academics) can enable the establishment of a framework of critical consciousness that could boost climate change education and contribute to climate change management. To this end, the study that underpins this paper set out to capture the perceptions of climate change among a selection of academics at a local university in Cameroon. Following a comprehensive analysis of the data, different views on the subject emerged, aligning with scientific, observational, and cultural definitions. Drawing on theoretical insights into critical consciousness, the findings of this study have wider implications for climate change education at universities. A framework is suggested to support educators as they foster critical thinking among learners, as this can facilitate their ability and the wider community to make informed decisions on mitigation and adaptation strategies in light of climate change and the threats it carries.
气候变化可以说是当今人类面临的最严重威胁。要了解人类如何管理这一现象以促进地球健康,最根本的是要了解什么是气候变化。这与现有文献中的一个重要空白相吻合,即学习促进者(这里指学术界)对气候变化的不同认识如何能够建立一个批判意识框架,从而推动气候变化教育并促进气候变化管理。为此,本文所依据的研究旨在了解喀麦隆当地一所大学的部分学者对气候变化的看法。在对数据进行全面分析之后,我们发现了对这一主题的不同看法,这些看法与科学、观察和文化定义相吻合。借鉴批判意识的理论见解,本研究的结果对大学的气候变化教育具有更广泛的影响。本研究提出了一个框架,以支持教育者培养学生的批判性思维,因为这有助于提高他们的能力,也有助于更广泛的社会根据气候变化及其带来的威胁,就减缓和适应战略做出明智的决策。
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引用次数: 0
Author Correction: Strategies for monitoring and evaluation of climate change adaptation: localizing global approaches into Andean realities 作者更正:气候变化适应监测和评估战略:将全球方法本地化,融入安第斯现实
Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00111-7
Emilie Dupuits, Alexandra Garcés, Luis Daniel Llambí, Macarena Bustamante
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引用次数: 0
The paradox of collective climate action in rural U.S. ecovillages: ethnographic reflections and perspectives 美国农村生态村集体气候行动的悖论:人种学反思与视角
Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00100-w
Chelsea Schelly, Zach Rubin, Joshua Lockyer
Are ecovillages suited to the challenge of climate change and radical social transformation? While often framed as social experiments with the potential to support dramatic social change, we argue that ecovillages should be seen as more than that - complicated sites which both enable and constrain social action in the fight to stem the effects of climate change. As ethnographic researchers with a variety of experiences researching ecovillages, we critically examine some of the factors that affect the power of ecovillages to accomplish this mission, including governance modes that support reduced individual consumption patterns and impact; a commons infrastructure with decreased socioeconomic demands on members, and differing geographic locales with varying socio-political limitations. We conclude this piece by discussing how these factors should inform future research on the transformative nature of ecovillages.
生态村适合应对气候变化和激进社会变革的挑战吗?虽然生态村通常被视为具有支持社会巨变潜力的社会实验,但我们认为,生态村应被视为不仅如此--在遏制气候变化影响的斗争中,生态村既是促进社会行动的复杂场所,也是制约社会行动的复杂场所。作为拥有各种生态村研究经验的人种学研究者,我们批判性地审视了影响生态村完成这一使命的力量的一些因素,包括支持减少个人消费模式和影响的治理模式;对成员的社会经济要求降低的公共基础设施,以及具有不同社会政治限制的不同地理位置。最后,我们将讨论这些因素应如何为未来有关生态村变革性质的研究提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
How does public perception of climate protest influence support for climate action? 公众对气候抗议的看法如何影响对气候行动的支持?
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-023-00096-9
N. Badullovich, D. Tucker, R. Amoako, P. Ansah, B. Davis, U. Horoszko, L. Zakiyyah, E. Maibach
Increasingly, climate activists use nonviolent civil disobedience (NVCD) to raise awareness about the need to end fossil fuel use. In two small studies we explored the potential of NVCD to enhance U.S. public support for this goal. Study 1 showed that some NVCD actions (e.g., marches and sit-ins) and some targets of those actions (e.g., fossil fuel companies) are seen as more acceptable than other targets (e.g., ordinary people). Study 2 suggested that perceived acceptable NVCD actions against perceived acceptable targets may be more effective than other forms of NVCD. We provide some potential directions for future research to better elucidate understanding on this topic.
越来越多的气候活动家利用非暴力非暴力反抗(NVCD)来提高人们对停止使用化石燃料必要性的认识。在两项小型研究中,我们探讨了非暴力公民抗争在加强美国公众对这一目标的支持方面的潜力。研究 1 表明,一些非暴力反抗行动(如游行和静坐示威)和这些行动的一些目标(如化石燃料公司)比其他目标(如普通民众)更容易被接受。研究 2 表明,针对可接受的目标采取可接受的非自愿减排行动可能比其他形式的非自愿减排行动更有效。我们提供了一些未来研究的潜在方向,以更好地阐明对这一主题的理解。
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引用次数: 0
The future is local? Contextualizing municipal agendas on climate change in Chile 未来在地方?智利气候变化市政议程的背景分析
Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-023-00095-w
Rosa Lehmann, Alejandra Irigoyen Rios
Social science literature on the political strategies used to mitigate and adapt to climate change has discussed the possibilities of local administrations and the multifaceted obstacles in their path. This case study looks at Chile, where debates about local climate agendas and policies have gained political relevance in recent years. It considers municipal administrations, with a focus on their agendas and the (potential) challenges they face. Building on the evaluation of literature, policy documents, and semi-structured interviews, the study concludes that local administrations have gained leeway for action due to changes in national regulation and integration into wider networks, but tight budgets for dedicated climate policies persist. The governance structures in which local climate agendas are embedded, as well as contextual constraints, reflect Chile’s institutional and neoliberal politeconomic arrangements.
有关用于减缓和适应气候变化的政治战略的社会科学文献讨论了地方行政机构的可能性及其面临的多方面障碍。本案例研究着眼于智利,近年来有关地方气候议程和政策的辩论在智利获得了政治意义。研究考虑了市政当局,重点关注其议程及其面临的(潜在)挑战。在对文献、政策文件和半结构式访谈进行评估的基础上,研究得出结论:由于国家法规的变化和融入更广泛的网络,地方行政部门获得了行动的余地,但用于专门气候政策的预算仍然紧张。地方气候议程所处的治理结构以及环境制约因素反映了智利的制度和新自由主义政治经济安排。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the sustainability of the European Green Deal and its interlin kages with the SDGs 评估欧洲绿色交易的可持续性及其与可持续发展目标的相互关系
Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00104-6
Phoebe Koundouri, Angelos Alamanos, Angelos Plataniotis, Charis Stavridis, Konstantinos Perifanos, Stathis Devves
The European Green Deal (EGD) is the growth strategy for Europe, covering multiple domains, and aiming to an equitable, climate neutral European Union by 2050. The UN Agenda 2030, encompassing 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), establishes the foundation for a global sustainability transition. The integration of the SDGs into the EGD is an overlooked issue in the literature, despite Europe’s slow progress to achieve the sustainability targets. We employed a machine-learning text-mining method to evaluate the extent of SDG integration within the 74 EGD policy documents published during 2019–2023. The findings reveal a substantial alignment of EGD policies with SDGs related to clean energy (SDG7), climate action (SDG13), and sustainable consumption and production (SDG12). In contrast, there is a significant underrepresentation in areas related to social issues such as inequalities, poverty, hunger, health, education, gender equality, decent work, and peace, as indicated by lower alignment with SDGs 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 10, and 16. Temporal trends suggest a marginal increase in the attention given to environmental health (especially water and marine life) and gender equality. Furthermore, we illustrate the alignment of EGD policies with the six essential sustainability transformations proposed by the Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN) in 2019 for the operationalization of the SDGs. The results indicate that besides the prevalence of “Energy Decarbonization and Sustainable Industry”, all areas have received attention, except for the “Health, Wellbeing and Demography”. The findings call for a more integrated approach to address the complete spectrum of sustainability in a balanced manner.
欧洲绿色协议(EGD)是欧洲的增长战略,涵盖多个领域,旨在到 2050 年建立一个公平、气候中立的欧盟。联合国 2030 年议程包括 17 个可持续发展目标(SDGs),为全球可持续发展转型奠定了基础。尽管欧洲在实现可持续发展目标方面进展缓慢,但将可持续发展目标纳入 EGD 却是文献中一个被忽视的问题。我们采用机器学习文本挖掘方法,对 2019-2023 年间发布的 74 份 EGD 政策文件中的可持续发展目标整合程度进行了评估。研究结果表明,与清洁能源(SDG7)、气候行动(SDG13)以及可持续消费和生产(SDG12)相关的可持续发展目标在很大程度上与 EGD 政策保持一致。与此相反,在与社会问题相关的领域,如不平等、贫困、饥饿、健康、教育、性别平等、体面工作与和平等,与可持续发展目标 1、2、3、4、5、8、10 和 16 的一致性较低。时间趋势表明,对环境健康(尤其是水和海洋生物)和性别平等的关注略有增加。此外,我们还说明了 EGD 政策与可持续发展解决方案网络(SDSN)为落实可持续发展目标而在 2019 年提出的六项基本可持续性变革的一致性。结果表明,除了 "能源去碳化和可持续工业 "受到普遍关注外,所有领域都受到了关注,只有 "健康、福祉和人口 "除外。研究结果呼吁采取更加综合的方法,以平衡的方式解决可持续性的所有问题。
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引用次数: 0
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npj Climate Action
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