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The study of climate change: the need to “bring the state back in” 气候变化研究:"让国家回归 "的必要性
Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00122-4
Mariana Chudnovsky, José Carlos Fernandez
How to address a “super wicked problem” like climate change is not only a policy sciences discussion but also a public administration one. Surprisingly, climate change has received little attention from the public administration field and public policy literature has given marginal attention to the role of the state apparatus in climate action. Especially, at the local level where it is crucial to address most of the adaptation agenda. This a serious problem since Latin America faces an especially challenging situation since the organizational capacity at the local level in the public sector is poor. State apparatuses with a low organizational capacity to process the complexity of certain public policies may distort and even ruin well-designed climate policies. Furthermore, empirical research on the role of public administrations in addressing climate change at the local level, despite its importance, remains extremely limited. Much of the discussion focuses on the design of policies to achieve this goal. If the organizational capacity of the agencies of the state is built only around specific policies to address very local challenges, we will miss the fact that they are tied up with systemic and intractable organizational practices and capacities. To examine the organizational capacity at the Latin American public sector local level to address climate challenges is as important as designing technically accurate policies and the debate on state capacity can shed light on how to do so. Finally, this article aims to open an agenda for research and a claim for local action.
如何解决像气候变化这样的 "超级棘手问题 "不仅是政策科学领域的讨论,也是公共行政领域的讨论。令人惊讶的是,气候变化很少受到公共行政领域的关注,公共政策文献也很少关注国家机器在气候行动中的作用。特别是在地方层面,因为地方层面对于解决大部分适应议程至关重要。这是一个严重的问题,因为拉丁美洲面临着特别具有挑战性的局面,因为地方一级公共部门的组织能力很差。组织能力低下的国家机构在处理某些复杂的公共政策时,可能会扭曲甚至破坏精心设计的气候政策。此外,尽管公共行政部门在地方一级应对气候变化方面的作用十分重要,但有关这方面的实证研究仍然极为有限。大部分讨论都集中在实现这一目标的政策设计上。如果国家机构的组织能力仅仅围绕着应对地方挑战的具体政策而建立,我们就会忽略这样一个事实,即它们与系统性的、棘手的组织实践和能力息息相关。研究拉丁美洲公共部门在地方层面应对气候挑战的组织能力,与设计技术上准确的政策同样重要,而关于国家能力的讨论可以为如何做到这一点提供启示。最后,本文旨在为地方行动提出研究议程和主张。
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引用次数: 0
Author Correction: How does public perception of climate protest influence support for climate action? 作者更正:公众对气候抗议的看法如何影响对气候行动的支持?
Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00129-x
N. Badullovich, D. Tucker, R. Amoako, P. Ansah, B. Davis, U. Horoszko, H. Zakiyyah, E. Maibach
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引用次数: 0
Facing the storm: Developing corporate adaptation and resilience action plans amid climate uncertainty 面对风暴:在气候不确定的情况下制定企业适应和抗灾行动计划
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00116-2
Katharina Hennes, David Bendig, Andreas Löschel
Climate hazards disrupt global value chains and business operations, leading to €52 billion in losses for the European Union in 2022 alone. In response to this escalating crisis, there is a need for corporate climate adaptation and resilience strategies (henceforth: CCAR) to effectively integrate climate risk challenges into strategic planning. Despite this urgency, there is a shortfall of research synthesising the drivers, strategies, and outcomes of corporate adaptation and resilience. Our study addresses this gap by conducting a systematic literature review to elucidate the academic status quo. From an initial dataset of over 3000 publications, we narrowed the sample to 66 papers, which specifically focus on these topics in the private sector. Grounded in this comprehensive review and regulatory observations, we delineate a CCAR typology to define the key elements required for a corporate approach to physical climate risks. This typology is translated into an actionable business adaptation framework, offering a clear path to begin the adaptation journey. Our in-depth content analysis contributes to the existing literature by identifying two main themes and several gaps: Current research covers the drivers, detailing why companies embark on such initiatives. Another stream focuses on how companies adapt, examining strategies to overcome these climate risks. However, work on the effectiveness and outcomes thereof is scarce. Consequently, our study delineates six trajectories for future research, the outcomes of which can serve as catalysts for advancing future CCAR efforts.
气候灾害扰乱了全球价值链和企业运营,仅 2022 年就会给欧盟造成 520 亿欧元的损失。为应对这一不断升级的危机,需要制定企业气候适应和恢复战略(以下简称:CCAR),以有效地将气候风险挑战纳入战略规划。尽管存在这种紧迫性,但对企业适应性和复原力的驱动因素、战略和结果进行综合的研究却十分匮乏。我们的研究通过系统的文献综述来阐明学术现状,从而弥补了这一不足。从最初的 3000 多篇论文数据集中,我们将样本缩小到 66 篇论文,这些论文特别关注私营部门的这些主题。在全面回顾和监管观察的基础上,我们划分了一个 CCAR 类型,以确定企业应对实际气候风险所需的关键要素。这一类型学被转化为可操作的企业适应框架,为开始适应之旅提供了清晰的路径。我们的深入内容分析确定了两大主题和若干差距,为现有文献做出了贡献:当前的研究涉及驱动因素,详细说明了企业为何要采取此类举措。另一项研究则关注企业如何适应,探讨克服这些气候风险的策略。然而,有关其有效性和成果的研究却很少。因此,我们的研究为未来研究划定了六条轨迹,其成果可作为推动未来 CCAR 工作的催化剂。
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引用次数: 0
Is renewable energy sustainable? Potential relationships between renewable energy production and the Sustainable Development Goals 可再生能源是可持续的吗?可再生能源生产与可持续发展目标之间的潜在关系
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00120-6
Jing Tian, Sam Anthony Culley, Holger Robert Maier, Aaron Carlo Zecchin
Given the key role renewable energy plays in averting the impending climate crisis, assessments of the sustainability of renewable energy systems (RESs) are often heavily skewed towards their environmental benefits, such as reductions in carbon emissions. However, RES projects also have the potential to actively harm progress towards other aspects of sustainability, particularly when hidden within the energy generation process. Given the growing understanding of the ’dark side‘ of renewables, we must ask the question: Is renewable energy sustainable? To gain a better understanding of this issue, we analyzed the degree of alignment of seven aspects of the renewable energy production process with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and their targets for six renewable energy types categorizing the relationships as either enablers or inhibitors. This information makes it possible for decision- and policy- makers to move beyond carbon tunnel vision to consider the wider impacts of RESs on sustainable development.
鉴于可再生能源在避免迫在眉睫的气候危机方面发挥着关键作用,对可再生能源系统(RES)可持续性的评估往往偏重于其环境效益,如减少碳排放。然而,可再生能源项目也有可能对可持续发展的其他方面造成积极损害,尤其是在能源生产过程中隐藏的情况下。鉴于人们对可再生能源 "阴暗面 "的认识日益加深,我们必须提出这样一个问题:可再生能源是可持续的吗?可再生能源是可持续的吗?为了更好地理解这个问题,我们分析了可再生能源生产过程中七个方面与可持续发展目标(SDGs)及其六种可再生能源类型的具体目标的吻合程度,并将两者之间的关系归类为促进因素或抑制因素。这些信息使决策者和政策制定者有可能超越碳隧道视野,考虑可再生能源对可持续发展的更广泛影响。
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引用次数: 0
Landing a global report on national territories: the reception of AR6 in France and Switzerland 将全球报告落地到国家领土:法国和瑞士对第六次评估报告的接受情况
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00112-6
Adèle Gaveau
This article explores the reception of the IPCC reports on a national scale, focusing on the case of the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) in France and Switzerland. It sheds light on the orchestration processes of national reception by the actors involved in the two science-policy interfaces, and introduces the theoretical concept of “landing” for the comparative analysis. Using mixed qualitative methods, it reveals that in both case studies, the domestic science-policy interactions stemming from the landing deviated significantly from expectations. Unusual actors different from the IPCC National Focal Points got involved in framing the conditions of the report’s domestic reception, and AR6 faced challenges when entering national Parliament. The results are discussed within the broader context of a global reflection on the imperative to enhance the dissemination channels of the IPCC scientific results to political audiences.
本文以法国和瑞士对《第六次评估报告》(AR6)的接受情况为重点,探讨了各国对 IPCC 报告的接受情况。文章揭示了参与这两个科学政策界面的行动者对国家接收的协调过程,并为比较分析引入了 "落地 "的理论概念。该报告采用混合定性方法,揭示了在两个案例研究中,由 "落地 "产生的国内科学政策互动与预期大相径庭。不同于 IPCC 国家协调中心的不寻常参与者参与了报告国内接收条件的制定,《第六次评估报告》在进入国家议会时面临挑战。这些结果将在更广泛的背景下进行讨论,即对加强 IPCC 科学成果向政治受众传播渠道的必要性进行全球反思。
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引用次数: 0
The importance of distinguishing climate science from climate activism 区分气候科学与气候激进主义的重要性
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00126-0
Ulf Büntgen
I am concerned by climate scientists becoming climate activists, because scholars should not have a priori interests in the outcome of their studies. Likewise, I am worried about activists who pretend to be scientists, as this can be a misleading form of instrumentalization.
我对气候科学家成为气候活动家感到担忧,因为学者不应该先验地对他们的研究结果感兴趣。同样,我也担心积极分子假扮科学家,因为这可能是一种误导性的工具化形式。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of agricultural credit on the cattle inventory and deforestation in Colombia: a spatial analysis 农业信贷对哥伦比亚牛存栏量和森林砍伐的影响:空间分析
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00107-3
Daniela Mejía Tejada, Manuel Francisco Díaz Baca, Karen Johanna Enciso Valencia, Aura María Bravo Parra, Jesús Fernando Flórez, John Jairo Junca Paredes, Stefan Burkart
The relationship between agricultural credit and agricultural production as well as the impacts on sustainable development (i.e., poverty alleviation, reduction of inequalities, food and nutrition security, and stimulation of economic growth) have been widely documented. The objective of this study is to analyze the impact of credit on cattle production and deforestation in Colombia through spatial panel data models. For this purpose, a departmental data panel for the period 2011–2020 was built, based on available information from public entities. The results suggest that in Colombia, the relationship between access to credit and cattle production is significant and can be either negative or positive. In addition, there is evidence of spatial dependence, meaning that cattle production in one department is being affected by cattle production in a neighboring department or by all the departments that make up the national territory. Regarding deforestation, results show that, although the number of cattle present in a department does affect its annual deforestation rate due to a poor coverage of sustainably intensified cattle ranching systems, there is no relationship between deforestation and the access to credit nor any spatial correlations.
农业信贷与农业生产之间的关系以及对可持续发展的影响(即减贫、减少不平等、食品和营养安全以及刺激经济增长)已被广泛记录。本研究的目的是通过空间面板数据模型分析信贷对哥伦比亚养牛生产和森林砍伐的影响。为此,根据公共实体提供的现有信息,建立了 2011-2020 年期间的部门数据面板。结果表明,在哥伦比亚,获得信贷与养牛生产之间的关系显著,既可以是负相关,也可以是正相关。此外,有证据表明存在空间依赖性,即一个省的养牛生产受到邻省或全国所有省份养牛生产的影响。关于森林砍伐,结果表明,尽管由于可持续集约化养牛系统覆盖率低,一个省的牛群数量确实影响到其每年的森林砍伐率,但森林砍伐与获得信贷之间没有关系,也没有任何空间相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Living sustainably in a Danish eco-community: how social and physical infrastructures affect carbon footprints 丹麦生态社区的可持续生活:社会和物质基础设施如何影响碳足迹
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00113-5
Quentin Gausset, Pia Duus Jensen
The Self-Sustaining Village is a Danish eco-community whose mission is to develop communal sustainable living. This paper evaluates its sustainable living through a questionnaire survey of residents that measures their carbon footprint based on self-reported consumption. The survey also measures their life satisfaction. Results show that residents have a carbon footprint that is 60% below the national average and have a higher life satisfaction than the national average. Results from long-term participant observation explain the lower carbon footprints relating to energy, transport, food and other material items by the existence of particular physical and social infrastructures that shape life in the Self-Sustaining Village. Residents live more sustainably because their collective decisions make sustainable choices the standard or default options. They do so without having to make conscious choices individually and without sacrificing their private comfort for the environment and the climate. These villagers live up to their sustainable ideals and enjoy a richer social life that provides a higher life satisfaction than if they lived separately as independent households. The Self-Sustaining Village provides us with a model in which people live happier with less.
自我维持村是丹麦的一个生态社区,其使命是发展社区可持续生活。本文通过对居民的问卷调查对其可持续生活进行了评估。调查还测量了他们的生活满意度。结果显示,居民的碳足迹比全国平均水平低 60%,生活满意度高于全国平均水平。长期参与观察的结果解释了与能源、交通、食品和其他物质项目相关的碳足迹较低的原因,即自我维持村存在特定的物质和社会基础设施,这些基础设施塑造了自我维持村的生活。居民的生活更加可持续,因为他们的集体决策使可持续选择成为标准或默认选项。他们无需单独做出有意识的选择,也不会为了环境和气候而牺牲个人的舒适度。这些村民践行了他们的可持续发展理想,享受到了更丰富的社会生活,比他们作为独立家庭单独生活时获得了更高的生活满意度。自我维持村为我们提供了一种模式,在这种模式中,人们用更少的钱过更快乐的生活。
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引用次数: 0
Supporting the Paris Agreement through international cooperation: potential contributions, institutional robustness, and progress of Glasgow climate initiatives 通过国际合作支持《巴黎协定》:格拉斯哥气候倡议的潜在贡献、机构稳健性和进展情况
Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00106-4
Takeshi Kuramochi, Andrew Deneault, Sander Chan, Sybrig Smit, Natalie Pelekh
Many sector-level cooperative initiatives involving both national governments and non-state actors were launched around the 2021 Glasgow climate conference (COP26). However, there have been questions about whether and to what extent these initiatives could substantially contribute to achieving the Paris Agreement’s goal to limit global warming to 1.5 °C. To this end, this paper examines the prospects of the 14 Glasgow sector initiatives by investigating their aggregate mitigation ambition under current national signatories and the institutional robustness of each initiative. We find that the additional emission reduction ambition of the current national government signatories would, even if fully implemented, only fill about a quarter of the emissions gap in 2030 between the aggregate of existing national targets (nationally determined contributions: NDCs) and the required emission levels consistent with keeping warming below 1.5 °C, while the institutional robustness varied considerably across the initiatives. We also find that most national government signatories did not mention Glasgow initiatives in their updated NDCs submitted after COP26. Expansion of the national government participation, national government signatories’ incorporation of the initiatives’ goals into their updated NDCs by setting quantifiable domestic targets, and enhanced institutional capacity are key to successful emission reduction outcomes.
围绕 2021 年格拉斯哥气候大会(COP26),各国政府和非国家行为者发起了许多部门层面的合作倡议。然而,这些倡议能否以及在多大程度上能够为实现《巴黎协定》中将全球升温控制在 1.5 ° C 的目标做出实质性贡献,一直是个问题。为此,本文研究了 14 项格拉斯哥部门倡议的前景,调查了其在当前国家签署方的总体减排目标以及每项倡议的制度稳健性。我们发现,当前国家政府签署方的额外减排目标即使得到全面实施,也只能填补 2030 年现有国家目标(国家确定的贡献:NDCs)总量与将升温控制在 1.5 °C 以下所需的排放水平之间约四分之一的排放缺口,而不同倡议的制度稳健性差异很大。我们还发现,大多数国家政府签署方在 COP26 之后提交的更新版国家减排承诺中并未提及格拉斯哥倡议。扩大国家政府的参与、国家政府签署国通过设定可量化的国内目标将倡议目标纳入其更新的国家发展计划,以及增强机构能力是减排成果取得成功的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Scaling local climate action: learning from community organizations to build a post-development agenda for Central America 扩大地方气候行动:向社区组织学习,制定中美洲后发展议程
Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00114-4
Michael Bakal, Nathan Einbinder
This article considers the possibilities and limits of reimagining international development policy by taking the values, practices, and worldviews of Indigenous communities as its starting point. Drawing on ethnographic research in Guatemala, we contrast the development industry’s overwhelming focus on economic growth as the gold standard of well-being with the perspective of Maya-Achí groups, who insist that growth and modernization must not come at the expense of the ecology, food sovereignty, or Indigenous ways of life connected to the land. We argue that the Maya-Achi organizations with whom we collaborate offer a philosophy and practice better attuned to the urgency of the climate crisis than that of the dominant model of development. To bring the international development agenda in line with local climate action, we propose reconceiving Development as Buen Vivir—an Indigenous philosophy of good living. To do so, we propose three lines of action: (1) Increasing Funding for Indigenous-led climate action; (2) Re-conceptualizing development practices to align with Buen Vivir, and (3) Transforming social and economic policies.
本文以土著社区的价值观、实践和世界观为出发点,探讨了重新构想国际发展政策的可能性和局限性。通过对危地马拉的人种学研究,我们将发展行业对经济增长作为福祉黄金标准的过度关注与玛雅-阿基团体的观点进行了对比,后者坚持认为增长和现代化不能以牺牲生态、粮食主权或与土地相连的土著生活方式为代价。我们认为,与我们合作的玛雅-阿契组织提供的理念和实践比主流发展模式更能适应气候危机的紧迫性。为了使国际发展议程与当地的气候行动保持一致,我们建议将发展重新理解为 "美好生活"(Buen Vivir)--一种原住民的美好生活哲学。为此,我们提出了三条行动路线:(1) 增加对土著主导的气候行动的资金投入;(2) 重新认识发展实践,使其与 "美好生活 "相一致;(3) 改革社会和经济政策。
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引用次数: 0
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npj Climate Action
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