Pub Date : 2024-12-04DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02211-y
Danyang Cheng
{"title":"Socioeconomic and political interactions","authors":"Danyang Cheng","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02211-y","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02211-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"14 12","pages":"1223-1223"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142777236","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-04DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02212-x
Tegan Armarego-Marriott
{"title":"The costs of flexible sale of reserves","authors":"Tegan Armarego-Marriott","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02212-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02212-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"14 12","pages":"1223-1223"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142777235","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-03DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02196-8
Robert E. Kopp, Elisabeth A. Gilmore, Rachael L. Shwom, Helen Adams, Carolina Adler, Michael Oppenheimer, Anand Patwardhan, Chris Russill, Daniela N. Schmidt, Richard York
Tipping points have gained substantial traction in climate change discourses. Here we critique the ‘tipping point’ framing for oversimplifying the diverse dynamics of complex natural and human systems and for conveying urgency without fostering a meaningful basis for climate action. Multiple social scientific frameworks suggest that the deep uncertainty and perceived abstractness of climate tipping points render them ineffective for triggering action and setting governance goals. The framing also promotes confusion between temperature-based policy benchmarks and properties of the climate system. In both natural and human systems, we advocate for clearer, more specific language to describe the phenomena labelled as tipping points and for critical evaluation of whether, how and why different framings can support scientific understanding and climate risk management. The tipping points framing is widely used in climate discussions but receives mixed feedback. This Perspective critiques it for oversimplifying the complexities of natural and social systems and failing to drive effective action, and offers recommendations for future improvements.
{"title":"‘Tipping points’ confuse and can distract from urgent climate action","authors":"Robert E. Kopp, Elisabeth A. Gilmore, Rachael L. Shwom, Helen Adams, Carolina Adler, Michael Oppenheimer, Anand Patwardhan, Chris Russill, Daniela N. Schmidt, Richard York","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02196-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02196-8","url":null,"abstract":"Tipping points have gained substantial traction in climate change discourses. Here we critique the ‘tipping point’ framing for oversimplifying the diverse dynamics of complex natural and human systems and for conveying urgency without fostering a meaningful basis for climate action. Multiple social scientific frameworks suggest that the deep uncertainty and perceived abstractness of climate tipping points render them ineffective for triggering action and setting governance goals. The framing also promotes confusion between temperature-based policy benchmarks and properties of the climate system. In both natural and human systems, we advocate for clearer, more specific language to describe the phenomena labelled as tipping points and for critical evaluation of whether, how and why different framings can support scientific understanding and climate risk management. The tipping points framing is widely used in climate discussions but receives mixed feedback. This Perspective critiques it for oversimplifying the complexities of natural and social systems and failing to drive effective action, and offers recommendations for future improvements.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 1","pages":"29-36"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142760223","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-29DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02181-1
A rigorous analysis of twenty-first-century multi-hazard exposure for US Southeast Atlantic coastal communities indicates that up to 70% of residents will be exposed daily to shallow and emerging groundwater by approximately 2100. This threat further exacerbates the impacts of other coastal stressors, such as flooding, beach erosion and subsidence, under expected future climate change scenarios.
{"title":"Predicted exposure of communities in southeastern United States to climate-related coastal hazards","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02181-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02181-1","url":null,"abstract":"A rigorous analysis of twenty-first-century multi-hazard exposure for US Southeast Atlantic coastal communities indicates that up to 70% of residents will be exposed daily to shallow and emerging groundwater by approximately 2100. This threat further exacerbates the impacts of other coastal stressors, such as flooding, beach erosion and subsidence, under expected future climate change scenarios.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 1","pages":"25-26"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142742704","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-29DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02202-z
Raquel S. Peixoto, Christian R. Voolstra, Iliana B. Baums, Emma F. Camp, James Guest, Peter L. Harrison, Phanor H. Montoya-Maya, F. Joseph Pollock, David J. Smith, Daniel Wangpraseurt, Anastazia T. Banaszak, Apple P. Y. Chui, Nirmal Shah, Tom Moore, Katharina E. Fabricius, Tali Vardi, David J. Suggett
Recent discussions have raised concerns about the long-term effectiveness of coral reef restoration efforts, questioning whether current interventions can effectively address the ongoing loss of reef ecosystems. However, details matter and vary greatly with respect to scale, social context and benefits, and diverse approaches are needed to maintain functional coral reef ecosystems.
{"title":"The critical role of coral reef restoration in a changing world","authors":"Raquel S. Peixoto, Christian R. Voolstra, Iliana B. Baums, Emma F. Camp, James Guest, Peter L. Harrison, Phanor H. Montoya-Maya, F. Joseph Pollock, David J. Smith, Daniel Wangpraseurt, Anastazia T. Banaszak, Apple P. Y. Chui, Nirmal Shah, Tom Moore, Katharina E. Fabricius, Tali Vardi, David J. Suggett","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02202-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02202-z","url":null,"abstract":"Recent discussions have raised concerns about the long-term effectiveness of coral reef restoration efforts, questioning whether current interventions can effectively address the ongoing loss of reef ecosystems. However, details matter and vary greatly with respect to scale, social context and benefits, and diverse approaches are needed to maintain functional coral reef ecosystems.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"14 12","pages":"1219-1222"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142742448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-22DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02190-0
Siri H. Eriksen, Nicholas P. Simpson, Bruce Glavovic, Debora Ley, Edward R. Carr, Luis Fernández-Carril, Bronwyn Hayward, Mike D. Morecroft, Minal Pathak, Joy Jacqueline Pereira, Hans-Otto Pörtner, Debra C. Roberts, Alex C. Ruane, Roberto Sánchez-Rodríguez, E. Lisa F. Schipper, William Solecki, Lindsay C. Stringer, Edmond Totin, Arlene Birt, Frode Degvold
There is a closing window of opportunity to ensure a sustainable future for all, with deep and rapid action needed this decade. Inclusive and just climate resilient development advances sustainable development and keeps open pathways to a liveable planet but requires urgent and fundamental shifts in prevailing development politics and practice.
{"title":"Pathways for urgent action towards climate resilient development","authors":"Siri H. Eriksen, Nicholas P. Simpson, Bruce Glavovic, Debora Ley, Edward R. Carr, Luis Fernández-Carril, Bronwyn Hayward, Mike D. Morecroft, Minal Pathak, Joy Jacqueline Pereira, Hans-Otto Pörtner, Debra C. Roberts, Alex C. Ruane, Roberto Sánchez-Rodríguez, E. Lisa F. Schipper, William Solecki, Lindsay C. Stringer, Edmond Totin, Arlene Birt, Frode Degvold","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02190-0","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02190-0","url":null,"abstract":"There is a closing window of opportunity to ensure a sustainable future for all, with deep and rapid action needed this decade. Inclusive and just climate resilient development advances sustainable development and keeps open pathways to a liveable planet but requires urgent and fundamental shifts in prevailing development politics and practice.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"14 12","pages":"1212-1215"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142684380","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-21DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02180-2
Patrick L. Barnard, Kevin M. Befus, Jeffrey J. Danielson, Anita C. Engelstad, Li H. Erikson, Amy C. Foxgrover, Maya K. Hayden, Daniel J. Hoover, Tim W. B. Leijnse, Chris Massey, Robert McCall, Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo, Kees Nederhoff, Andrea C. O’Neill, Kai A. Parker, Manoochehr Shirzaei, Leonard O. Ohenhen, Peter W. Swarzenski, Jennifer A. Thomas, Maarten van Ormondt, Sean Vitousek, Kilian Vos, Nathan J. Wood, Jeanne M. Jones, Jamie L. Jones
Faced with accelerating sea level rise and changing ocean storm conditions, coastal communities require comprehensive assessments of climate-driven hazard impacts to inform adaptation measures. Previous studies have focused on flooding but rarely on other climate-related coastal hazards, such as subsidence, beach erosion and groundwater. Here, we project societal exposure to multiple hazards along the Southeast Atlantic coast of the United States. Assuming 1 m of sea level rise, more than 70% of the coastal residents and US$1 trillion in property are in areas projected to experience shallow and emerging groundwater, 15 times higher than daily flooding. Storms increase flooding exposure by an order of magnitude over daily flooding, which could impact up to ~50% of all coastal residents and US$770 billion in property value. The loss of up to ~80% of present-day beaches and high subsidence rates that currently affect over 1 million residents will exacerbate flooding and groundwater hazard risks. Multiple climate-related coastal hazards could impact people, infrastructure and ecosystems, yet previous works often focused on flooding only. By analysing the future exposure to four types of hazard along the US Southeast Atlantic coast, this research emphasizes the risks beyond flooding.
{"title":"Projections of multiple climate-related coastal hazards for the US Southeast Atlantic","authors":"Patrick L. Barnard, Kevin M. Befus, Jeffrey J. Danielson, Anita C. Engelstad, Li H. Erikson, Amy C. Foxgrover, Maya K. Hayden, Daniel J. Hoover, Tim W. B. Leijnse, Chris Massey, Robert McCall, Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo, Kees Nederhoff, Andrea C. O’Neill, Kai A. Parker, Manoochehr Shirzaei, Leonard O. Ohenhen, Peter W. Swarzenski, Jennifer A. Thomas, Maarten van Ormondt, Sean Vitousek, Kilian Vos, Nathan J. Wood, Jeanne M. Jones, Jamie L. Jones","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02180-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02180-2","url":null,"abstract":"Faced with accelerating sea level rise and changing ocean storm conditions, coastal communities require comprehensive assessments of climate-driven hazard impacts to inform adaptation measures. Previous studies have focused on flooding but rarely on other climate-related coastal hazards, such as subsidence, beach erosion and groundwater. Here, we project societal exposure to multiple hazards along the Southeast Atlantic coast of the United States. Assuming 1 m of sea level rise, more than 70% of the coastal residents and US$1 trillion in property are in areas projected to experience shallow and emerging groundwater, 15 times higher than daily flooding. Storms increase flooding exposure by an order of magnitude over daily flooding, which could impact up to ~50% of all coastal residents and US$770 billion in property value. The loss of up to ~80% of present-day beaches and high subsidence rates that currently affect over 1 million residents will exacerbate flooding and groundwater hazard risks. Multiple climate-related coastal hazards could impact people, infrastructure and ecosystems, yet previous works often focused on flooding only. By analysing the future exposure to four types of hazard along the US Southeast Atlantic coast, this research emphasizes the risks beyond flooding.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 1","pages":"101-109"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142678210","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-18DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02183-z
Patricia DeRepentigny
Wildfires are raging around the globe with increasing intensity and frequency, transforming ecosystems and affecting the climate of regions far beyond. Now, a study shows that boreal forest fires are amplifying Arctic warming due to increased local solar absorption from biomass burning aerosols.
{"title":"When fire and ice meet","authors":"Patricia DeRepentigny","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02183-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02183-z","url":null,"abstract":"Wildfires are raging around the globe with increasing intensity and frequency, transforming ecosystems and affecting the climate of regions far beyond. Now, a study shows that boreal forest fires are amplifying Arctic warming due to increased local solar absorption from biomass burning aerosols.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"14 12","pages":"1224-1225"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142665289","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-18DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02175-z
A novel type of climate oscillation might emerge in the Arctic Ocean owing to sea-ice melting. The air–sea coupling feedbacks occurring in the ice-free Arctic Ocean would trigger periodic warm–cold temperature oscillations, similar to El Niño and La Niña in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
{"title":"‘Arctic Niño’ might emerge in an ice-free world","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02175-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02175-z","url":null,"abstract":"A novel type of climate oscillation might emerge in the Arctic Ocean owing to sea-ice melting. The air–sea coupling feedbacks occurring in the ice-free Arctic Ocean would trigger periodic warm–cold temperature oscillations, similar to El Niño and La Niña in the tropical Pacific Ocean.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"14 12","pages":"1232-1233"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142665284","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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