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Successes in climate action 气候行动的成功
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02546-0
Climate action clearly needs greater ambition in the face of increasing physical, biological and social impacts. However, it is important to acknowledge successes, including safeguards that protect action so far, and there are initiatives being implemented across scales that are effective.
面对日益严重的自然、生物和社会影响,气候行动显然需要更大的雄心。然而,重要的是要承认成功,包括迄今为止保护行动的保障措施,以及跨规模实施的有效举措。
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引用次数: 0
Communicating the need for climate action 传达采取气候行动的必要性
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02503-x
Joris Lammers, Felix Johannes Formanski
It is essential to understand the best way to frame a persuasive message aimed at increasing concern about climate change and support for pro-environmental action. Now a Registered Report presents a large-scale study that tests and compares the effectiveness of ten widely cited messaging strategies.
重要的是要了解如何以最好的方式来组织一个有说服力的信息,以增加对气候变化的关注和对环保行动的支持。现在,一份注册报告提出了一项大规模的研究,测试并比较了十种被广泛引用的消息传递策略的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A registered report megastudy on the persuasiveness of the most-cited climate messages 一份关于最常被引用的气候信息的说服力的注册报告
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02536-2
Jan G. Voelkel, Ashwini Ashokkumar, Adina T. Abeles, Jarret T. Crawford, Kylie Fuller, Chrystal Redekopp, Renata Bongiorno, Troy H. Campbell, Ullrich K. H. Ecker, Matthew Feinberg, P. Sol Hart, Matthew J. Hornsey, John T. Jost, Aaron C. Kay, Anthony Leiserowitz, Stephan Lewandowsky, Edward Maibach, Erik C. Nisbet, Nick F. Pidgeon, Alexa Spence, Sander van der Linden, Christopher V. Wolsko, Jane K. Willenbring, Neil Malhotra, Robb Willer
It is important to understand how persuasive the most-cited climate change messaging strategies are. In five replication studies, we found limited evidence of persuasive effects of three highly cited strategies (N = 3,216). We then conducted a registered report megastudy (N = 13,544) testing the effects of the 10 most-cited climate change messaging strategies on Americans’ pro-environmental attitudes and behaviour. Six messages significantly affected multiple preregistered attitudes, with effects ranging from 1 to 4 percentage points. Persuasiveness varied little across party lines, inconsistent with theories predicting heterogeneous effects for targeted messages. No message increased pro-environmental donations, suggesting costly behaviours are difficult to influence with messaging alone. Inference of mechanisms driving effects was limited as the most impactful messages influenced multiple mediating variables. Taken together, these results identify several persuasive strategies, while also highlighting the limits of short-form messages for increasing Americans’ support for action to address climate change. The Stage 1 protocol for this Registered Report was accepted in principle on 7 August 2023. The protocol, as accepted by the journal, can be found at https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.25807429 . How to effectively communicate climate change to the public has long been studied and debated. Through a registered report megastudy, researchers tested the ten most-cited climate change messaging strategies published, finding that many had significant, but small, effects on climate change attitudes.
了解最常被引用的气候变化信息策略的说服力是很重要的。在五项重复研究中,我们发现三种高引用策略的说服力效果证据有限(N = 3216)。然后,我们进行了一项注册报告大型研究(N = 13,544),测试了10种最常被引用的气候变化信息传递策略对美国人亲环境态度和行为的影响。6条信息显著影响了多个预先登记的态度,影响幅度从1到4个百分点不等。不同党派的说服力差异不大,这与预测目标信息的异质效应的理论不一致。没有信息会增加环保捐款,这表明仅靠信息很难影响昂贵的行为。对机制驱动效应的推断是有限的,因为最具影响力的信息影响多个中介变量。综上所述,这些结果确定了几种有说服力的策略,同时也强调了简短信息在增加美国人对应对气候变化行动的支持方面的局限性。本注册报告的第一阶段议定书于2023年8月7日原则上获得接受。该协议已被该杂志接受,可在https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.25807429上找到。如何有效地向公众传达气候变化是长期以来研究和争论的问题。通过一项注册报告的大型研究,研究人员测试了10个被引用最多的气候变化信息传递策略,发现其中许多对气候变化态度有显著但很小的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Building material stock drives embodied carbon emissions and risks future climate goals in China 中国建筑材料库存驱动隐含碳排放,对未来气候目标构成风险
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02527-3
Chaoqun Zhang, Lin Yang, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Jianping Guo, Ziyue Chen, Shaoying Li, Zhen Wang, Mei-po Kwan, Yuyu Zhou, Lu Lin, Liqiang Zhang, Manchun Li, Qiqi Zhu, Bailang Yu, Bin Chen, Xing Yan, Xiaoqi Wang, Bingbo Gao, Ying Liang, Jianqiang Hu, Yuheng Fu, Qiancheng Lv, Jing Yang, Yanzhao Wang, Qianqian Wang, Qiao Wang
Long-term effects of massive building material use in China, which experienced intense urbanization in the past two decades, remain insufficiently explored. Here, to fill these gaps, we developed a high-resolution time-series database of building material stocks from 2000 to 2019 and found that China held 15% of the global stock, which accounted for 19% of the country’s total carbon emissions. Although rapid urbanization generally increased per capita building material stock, the extent of this increase varied across cities and building types. We show that the growth rate has slowed since 2016; however, it remains challenging to simultaneously achieve both carbon-neutrality and urbanization goals. Future urbanization in China is projected to consume 12.5% of the nation’s total 1.5 °C carbon budget and 37.4% of its average annual budget allocation. Addressing these challenges requires targeted urban interventions, such as aligning low-carbon material production with projected regional demand and strategically planning materials recycling from future building demolitions. Reducing the embodied carbon emissions of building material stock is essential for mitigation. Using a high-resolution multiyear dataset in China, researchers show the historically massive contributions of these emissions during past decades of rapid urbanization and the potential risks for future climate goals.
中国在过去二十年经历了剧烈的城市化,大量使用建筑材料的长期影响仍未得到充分探讨。在这里,为了填补这些空白,我们开发了一个2000年至2019年建筑材料库存的高分辨率时间序列数据库,发现中国拥有全球15%的库存,占该国碳排放总量的19%。虽然快速城市化总体上增加了人均建筑材料库存,但这种增加的程度因城市和建筑类型而异。我们显示,自2016年以来,增长速度有所放缓;然而,同时实现碳中和和城市化目标仍然具有挑战性。中国未来的城市化预计将消耗全国1.5°C碳预算总额的12.5%和年均预算分配的37.4%。应对这些挑战需要有针对性的城市干预措施,例如将低碳材料生产与预计的区域需求相结合,并战略性地规划未来拆除建筑的材料回收。
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引用次数: 0
Barents Sea atlantification driven by a shift in atmospheric synoptic timescale 大气天气时标变化驱动的巴伦支海大西洋化
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02535-3
Robinson Hordoir, Vahidreza Jahanmard, Pål Erik Isachsen, Ulrike Löptien, Heiner Dietze, Anne Britt Sandø, Vidar S. Lien
Climate change impinges on the Arctic Ocean, leading to sea-ice loss and potentially drastic cascading ecosystem changes. A recent process is atlantification, the growing influence of warm and salty waters from the Atlantic on the Arctic with increasing ocean volume transport from the Nordic Seas to the Barents Sea playing a key role. Despite its importance and a multitude of hypotheses that have been tested, this trend remains mainly unexplained. Here we explore nonlinear effects and successfully link the flow trend through the Barents Sea Opening to a frequency shift of atmospheric synoptic. We show that a part of the flow through Barents Sea Opening is driven by topographic Rossby waves, and that they have a very sensitive response to atmospheric frequency over the Nordic Seas. These findings highlight how anthropogenic changes to the atmosphere are altering ocean processes, with implications for sea-ice extent and ecosystems in the Arctic. The Atlantic Ocean is having an increasing influence on the Arctic but the drivers of this are unclear. By combining ocean modelling and deep learning methods, the authors show that the increased flow through the Barents Sea Opening is driven by spectral changes of atmospheric variability.
气候变化影响着北冰洋,导致海冰减少和潜在的剧烈连锁生态系统变化。最近的一个过程是大西洋化,即来自大西洋的暖水和咸水对北极的影响越来越大,从北欧海到巴伦支海的海洋运输量增加起着关键作用。尽管这一趋势很重要,也有许多假说得到了验证,但它在很大程度上仍无法解释。本文探讨了非线性效应,并成功地将巴伦支海口的气流趋势与大气天气系统的频移联系起来。我们表明,通过巴伦支海开口的一部分流动是由地形上的罗斯比波驱动的,并且它们对北欧海域的大气频率有非常敏感的响应。这些发现强调了人为对大气的改变是如何改变海洋过程的,并对北极的海冰范围和生态系统产生了影响。
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引用次数: 0
Greening schools for climate-resilient, inclusive and liveable cities 绿化学校,打造气候适应型、包容性和宜居城市
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02519-3
Isabel Ruiz-Mallén, Francesc Baró, Hayat Bentouhami, Nathalie Blanc, Lidia Casas, Céline Clauzel, Raquel Colacios, Elsa Gallez, Amy Phillips, Paula Presser, Diana Reckien, Filka Sekulova
Transforming school environments into nature-based climate shelters not only promotes cooling and greening under extreme heat, but also fosters quality education, ecological restoration, empowerment and reconnection with nature, and provides children with healthier, safer, more playful, equitable and climate-proof spaces.
将学校环境转变为以自然为基础的气候庇护所,不仅可以促进极端高温下的降温和绿化,还可以促进优质教育、生态恢复、赋权和与自然的重新联系,并为儿童提供更健康、更安全、更有趣、更公平和不受气候影响的空间。
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引用次数: 0
Deforestation-induced emissions from mining energy transition minerals 由采伐森林引起的能源转换矿物的排放
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02520-w
Yifei Quan, Jie-Sheng Tan-Soo
The global transition to low-carbon energy depends on energy transition minerals (ETMs). Yet, the extraction of these minerals often occurs in biodiverse and carbon-rich forests, potentially undermining their climate benefits. Here we provide global, causally identified estimates of deforestation and related GHG emissions attributable to ETM mining, combining nearly 3,000 projects with satellite-based forest-change data. Using a staggered difference-in-differences design, we find that ETM mining causes sustained forest loss—averaging ~20% within 10-km buffers over 15 years—comparable in magnitude to traditional minerals such as coal and gold. These losses are disproportionately concentrated in tropical forests with high climate mitigation potential. Incorporating deforestation-related emissions increases the mining-stage carbon footprint of ETMs by 63% on average and up to 98% for certain minerals. Our findings reveal mining-induced land-use change as a major but overlooked source of emissions in global energy transition. Energy transition minerals (ETM) are essential for decarbonization, yet extractions often occur in carbon-rich forests and lands of Indigenous peoples and local communities. Here the authors provide global analysis showing how ETM mining causes sustained forest loss and GHG emissions.
全球向低碳能源的转型依赖于能源转型矿物(etm)。然而,这些矿物的开采往往发生在生物多样性和富含碳的森林中,这可能会破坏它们的气候效益。在这里,我们将近3000个项目与基于卫星的森林变化数据结合起来,提供了全球的、因果确定的毁林和归因于ETM采矿的相关温室气体排放估计。使用交错差中差设计,我们发现ETM采矿导致持续的森林损失-在15年内平均约20%的10公里缓冲带内-与煤和黄金等传统矿物相当。这些损失不成比例地集中在具有高气候缓解潜力的热带森林。考虑到与森林砍伐有关的排放,etm采矿阶段的碳足迹平均增加63%,某些矿物的碳足迹最高可达98%。我们的研究结果表明,采矿引起的土地利用变化是全球能源转型中一个主要但被忽视的排放源。
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引用次数: 0
Resolving the changing pace of Arctic rivers 解决北极河流变化的速度
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02512-w
Emily C. Geyman, Michael P. Lamb
Arctic rivers mobilize vast stocks of permafrost carbon as they migrate across floodplains. However, there is no consensus about whether Arctic rivers are responding to regional warming by speeding up or slowing down. Here we reconstruct migration rates over the period 1972–2020 for Arctic and sub-Arctic rivers spanning approximately 1,500 km of distance and a variety of channel sizes and floodplain environments. We find that rivers in warmer, discontinuous permafrost settings experienced a systematic acceleration over the past 50 years, whereas rivers in colder, continuous permafrost regions experienced a systematic slowdown. We identify two competing mechanisms responsible for this bifurcating behaviour: thaw of permafrost floodplains has driven faster migration, whereas a decline in the intensity of river-ice breakup has slowed migration. Using a mechanistic model, we find that the relative balance of these two controls is well described by air temperature, revealing a simple organizing framework for how Arctic rivers respond to warming. Whether rivers are speeding up or slowing down in a warming Arctic is unclear, but has implications for carbon cycling and infrastructure. This study finds divergent behaviour in migration rates for rivers in discontinuous versus continuous permafrost, driven by changes in permafrost thaw and river ice.
北极河流在穿越洪泛平原的过程中调动了大量永久冻土中的碳。然而,关于北极河流对区域变暖的反应是加速还是减缓,目前还没有达成共识。在这里,我们重建了1972-2020年期间北极和亚北极河流的迁移率,这些河流跨越了大约1500公里的距离,以及各种渠道大小和洪泛平原环境。我们发现,在过去50年里,温暖的、不连续的永久冻土区的河流经历了系统的加速,而寒冷的、连续的永久冻土区的河流经历了系统的减缓。我们确定了造成这种分岔行为的两种相互竞争的机制:永久冻土洪泛平原的融化推动了更快的迁移,而河冰破裂强度的下降减缓了迁移。使用一个机制模型,我们发现这两种控制的相对平衡很好地描述了空气温度,揭示了北极河流如何响应变暖的简单组织框架。
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引用次数: 0
Overlooked toll of climate change on migrant children in the Americas 气候变化对美洲移民儿童造成的影响被忽视
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02525-5
Sebastian Pintea, Ava Acevedo, Juliet Horenziak, Anissa Kurani, Khushi Kohli, Stephanie Wang, Eugene T. Richardson, David Introcaso, Abrania Marrero
Climate change drives displacement and migration across the Americas, particularly exposing Latin American and Caribbean children to compounded health risks. We explore these health impacts, identify gaps in related US healthcare and health policy, and propose recommendations for how they can respond.
气候变化推动了整个美洲的流离失所和移徙,特别是使拉丁美洲和加勒比儿童面临复杂的健康风险。我们探讨了这些健康影响,确定了美国相关医疗保健和卫生政策的差距,并就如何应对提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Inequalities in resilience and preparedness 韧性和准备方面的不平等
IF 27.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02531-7
Danyang Cheng
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Nature Climate Change
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