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Результаты изменения социальной структуры общества при социализации земельной ренты как альтернативы налогообложения (A Socialized Land Rent As Alternative to Taxation and the Change of Social Structure) 社会结构变化的结果是土地租赁作为税收的替代选择(A社会主义土地选择税收)
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.22394/1726-1139-2018-12-118-127
O. Antoncheva, Tatiana Fpanasenko
Russian Abstract: Предположим, земельная рента была переведена в общественное достояние. Этого хватило для покрытия расходов государственного бюджета, и налоги были отменены. Очевидно, что социальная структура общества вследствие этого изменится. Автор проекта социализации земельной ренты и замены ею налогов Генри Джордж считал, что произойдёт повышение удельного веса частных собственников. Или же только утвердится представление, что повышение удельного веса частных собственников произойдет. Результатом и реального, и только потенциального увеличения количества частных собственников станет сокращение числа безработных. Удельный вес бедных понизится до уровня, диктуемого рыночным равновесием. Количество бедных, чья бедность связана с искаженем рыночного равновесия, сократится до нуля.
В статье, таким образом, акцентируется внимание на парадоксе. Поскольку Джордж предлагал перевести капитализируемый объект в общественное достояние, его логично считать социалистом. Однако социальные последствия проекта Джорджа описывались как идеальные общественные условия в доктринах laissez-faire, либертарианства и солидаризма.
Провести эмпирическое симуляционное исследование с целью проверки, действительно ли социализация земельной ренты приведет к обществу совершенной конкуренции с преобладанием среднего класса, затруднительно по двум причинам. Во-первых, существуют слишком разные методики измерения земельной ренты. Во-вторых, если проверить эмпирически, достаточно ли социализированной земельной ренты для покрытия всех налогов еще возможно, то предсказать социальную мобильность вследствие понижения барьеров перехода в социальный слой частных предпринимателей, практически нереально.
Однако выход есть. Уникальные исторические условия эпохи Перестройки (земля все еще в общественной собственности; механизма ценообразования на землю еще не существует; часть земель уже приватизирована, и сдается новыми земельными собственниками в аренду; механизм ценообразования на аренду земель уже существует) позволили ряду исследователей измерить земельную ренту строго в соответствии с определениями Джорджа. Эти исследователи пришли к выводам, что если заменить налоги социализированной земельной рентой, этого будет достаточно для покрытия расходов государственного бюджета. Проект Джорджа, таким образом, был реализован симуляционным образом в условиях, близких к современным. Следовательно, выводы Джорджа об изменениях в социальной структуре общества вследствие социализации земельной ренты можно экстраполировать на современные условия. Однако с поправками на изменения, обусловленные спецификой постиндустриального общества.
В настоящей работе мы ввели в теорию Джорджа новый параметр, обусловленный современными реалиями. Затем мы рассмотрели, как возникшая проблема решается современной экономической теорией, т.е. искажает ли решение проблемы ценности Джорджа или же вписывается в них. В случае положительного ответа на данный вопрос можно было бы сделать вывод о воз
由于乔治和科斯在对私有财产权利规范的辩护中并不相互矛盾,因此,由于地租社会化导致的社会结构变化,如私有者比重的增加,就有可能被认为是理所当然的。
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引用次数: 0
Making the Most Out of Your Factorial Survey. Alternative Methods for the Presenting and Analyzing Data Gathered in Within- and Between-Subjects Design Factorial Surveys 充分利用你的因子调查。展示和分析在受试者内部和受试者之间设计因子调查中收集的数据的替代方法
Pub Date : 2019-11-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3493536
Peter Kotzian
Factorial surveys became an increasingly popular method in various disciplines of social research, ranging from psychology to sociology to behavioral economics. By combining elements of experiments and surveys, the method allows to study more complex relationships, combining experimental stimuli, personal features, and situational elements. There is a range of established statistical methods to analyze the data obtained from such studies, which focus on drivers of individual reactions to the vignette and its features. We offer and discuss alternative approaches, which allow for a different view on the information obtained from factorial surveys by focusing on the level of the vignette. These approaches allow to identify the latent dimensions underlying the multitude of situational facets chosen by the researcher when designing the vignette universe, to see which vignettes are actually similar to each other, regardless of their content, and to identify factors which structure the underlying space of the vignette universe, which may or may not correspond to the intentions underlying the construction of the vignette universe. Practical cases which construct an ethical space underlying a factorial survey from compliance and ethics research illustrate the alternative methods and their results.
从心理学到社会学再到行为经济学,阶乘调查在社会研究的各个学科中越来越受欢迎。通过结合实验和调查的元素,该方法可以研究更复杂的关系,结合实验刺激、个人特征和情境因素。有一系列既定的统计方法来分析从这些研究中获得的数据,这些研究侧重于对小插曲及其特征的个人反应的驱动因素。我们提供并讨论了不同的方法,这些方法通过关注小插曲的水平,允许对从析因调查中获得的信息有不同的看法。这些方法可以识别研究者在设计小情节世界时所选择的众多情境因素背后的潜在维度,看看哪些小情节实际上彼此相似,而不管它们的内容如何,并识别构成小情节世界潜在空间的因素,这些因素可能符合或不符合小情节世界构建背后的意图。从依从性和伦理研究的析因调查中构建伦理空间的实际案例说明了替代方法及其结果。
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引用次数: 0
On Pigou’s 1950 Reassessment of Keynes’s General Theory: Correct Conclusion, but All of the Premises Are Completely Wrong 论庇古1950年对凯恩斯通论的重新评价:正确的结论,但所有的前提都是完全错误的
Pub Date : 2019-10-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3477664
M. E. Brady
Pigou’s 1950 reassessment of the major contribution made by Keynes’s General Theory is surprisingly accurate. Unfortunately, none of the supporting materials ha cites from the General Theory to buttress and support his conclusion is correct. Pigou’s main support for his conclusion comes from a reliance on chapters 13,18,and 23,with pages 246-247 of chapter 18 and pages 167-171 of chapter 13 serving as the major sources supporting his conclusion. The only correct foundation for Pigou’s reassessment consists of the appendix to chapter 19, where Keynes demonstrated to Pigou that he had no IS-LM model to determine the rate of interest and hence no way of dealing with the amount of investment or investment multiplier. Pigou also failed to grasp Keynes's chapter 20 and chapter 21, section Four, which contains Keynes’s formal analysis of his IS-LM model on pages 298-299, followed by Keynes’s own critique of his model on pp. 300-303 and his mathematical extension on pages 304-306 that integrated liquidity preference into the Aggregate demand (D)-Aggregate Supply (Z) model of chapter 20 that supported the IS-LM model of chapter 21’s section four.

Pigou’s decision to ignore the appendix to chapter 19, chapter 20 and chapter 21 of the General Theory in his 1950 reassessment, which is the material that actually supports his reassessment on page 65, were probably a result of his recognition that it would just be too intellectually painful for him to have to reconsider material once more that demonstrated Keynes’s complete, absolute and total intellectual superiority over him in the time period of 1935 to 1940.

Pigou appeared to show his grasp of Keynes’s IS-LM(LP) model in section four of chapter 21 with his famous 1950 reassessment that presented a revision of his earlier 1936 review of the GT that made no mention of any such thing as an IS-LP(LM) model:

“Nobody before him, so far as I know, had brought all the relevant factors, real and monetary at once, together in a single formal scheme, through which their interplay could be coherently investigated.” However, this conclusion can’t possibly follow from pp.246-247 of the GT as claimed by Pigou: “The kernel of Keynes’s contribution to economic thinking is to be found, as I have already said, in the short passage quoted from page 246 of his book.”

Pigou’s 1950 reassessment, then, while correct, is supported only by Keynes’s analysis in chapter 21 on pp.298-306 of the GT and has absolutely nothing to do with pp. 246-247 of the GT. There is no formal model of the interplay between the real and monetary factors that can be investigated on pp.246-247 of the GT. Pigou’s supporting analysis for his claim is very misleading because chapter 18 has no formal presentation of Keynes’s IS-LM (LP) model. Only chapter 21 makes such a formal presentation.
庇古在1950年对凯恩斯《通论》的主要贡献所作的重新评估是惊人的准确。不幸的是,从《通论》中引用的支持他的结论的材料没有一个是正确的。庇古对其结论的主要支持来自于对第13、18和23章的依赖,其中第18章的246-247页和第13章的167-171页是支持其结论的主要来源。庇古重新评估的唯一正确基础是第19章的附录,凯恩斯向庇古证明,他没有IS-LM模型来确定利率,因此没有办法处理投资额或投资乘数。庇古也没能理解凯恩斯的第20章和第21章第四节,其中包含凯恩斯在298-299页对他的IS-LM模型的正式分析,随后是凯恩斯自己在300-303页对他的模型的批评,以及他在304-306页的数学扩展,将流动性偏好整合到第20章的总需求(D)-总供给(Z)模型中,该模型支持第21章第四节的IS-LM模型。庇古决定忽略通论第19章,第20章和第21章的附录在他1950年的重新评估中,这些材料实际上支持了他在65页的重新评估,这可能是因为他认识到,对他来说,重新考虑那些证明了凯恩斯在1935年到1940年期间完全,绝对,全面的智力优势的材料对他来说太痛苦了。庇古似乎在第21章的第四节展示了他对凯恩斯的IS-LM(LP)模型的理解,他在1950年进行了著名的重新评估,对他1936年早期对GT的评论进行了修订,其中没有提到任何IS-LP(LM)模型:“据我所知,在他之前,没有人把所有相关因素,真实的和货币的,同时放在一个正式的方案中,通过这个方案,它们的相互作用可以被连贯地研究。”然而,这个结论不可能像庇古所说的那样,从《GT》第246-247页得出:“凯恩斯对经济思想贡献的核心,正如我已经说过的,可以在他的书第246页引用的一小段话中找到。”因此,庇古1950年的重新评估虽然是正确的,但只得到凯恩斯在第21章第298-306页的分析的支持,与第246-247页的分析完全没有关系。没有可以在第246-247页调查的真实因素和货币因素之间相互作用的正式模型。庇古对他的主张的支持分析非常具有误导性,因为第18章没有凯恩斯的is - lm (LP)模型的正式呈现。只有第21章做了这样正式的介绍。
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引用次数: 0
‘Openness’ as a Methodological Principle of Sraffa’s Economic Thinking “开放”:斯拉法经济思想的方法论原则
Pub Date : 2019-10-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3476662
John B. Davis
Piero Sraffa’s Production of Commodities by Means of Commodities (1960) was path-breaking as a contribution to political economy and penetrating as a critique of the orthodox economics of the twentieth century. As Ajit Sinha recently put it, the book produced a ‘revolution in economic theory’ (Sinha, A Revolution in Economic Theory: The Economics of Piero Sraffa, London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2016; cf. Martins, “The Sraffian Methodenstreit and the Revolution in Economic Theory,” Cambridge Journal of Economics 43 (2): 507–525, 2019), the impact and significance of which continues to be investigated. At the same time, despite the depth and far-reaching implications of Sraffa’s critique of orthodox economics it was ignored by the great majority of economists, and this not only complicates our understanding of its impact on economic theory, but also creates a paradox regarding our interpretation of ‘the’ history of economics. For Sraffa, ‘the’ history of economics dates back at least to Adam Smith and David Ricardo as founders of a subject specifically understood as political economy. Yet economics today is no longer identified as political economy by most people in the field, but is conventionally said to be a science independent of history, politics, and social values, and thus makes little reference to how the social organization of the economy was a distinctive characteristic of the thinking of Smith, Ricardo, Marx, and others in the history of political economy.
皮耶罗·斯拉法的《以商品为手段的商品生产》(1960)是对政治经济学的开创性贡献,也是对20世纪正统经济学的深刻批判。正如阿吉特·辛哈(Ajit Sinha)最近所说,这本书引发了一场“经济理论革命”(辛哈,《经济理论革命:皮耶罗·斯拉法经济学》,伦敦:帕尔格雷夫·麦克米伦出版社,2016;参见Martins,“The raffian Methodenstreit and The Revolution in Economic Theory”,《剑桥经济学杂志》(Cambridge Journal of Economics) 43(2): 507-525, 2019),其影响和意义仍在研究中。与此同时,尽管斯拉法对正统经济学的批判具有深刻而深远的影响,但它却被绝大多数经济学家所忽视,这不仅使我们对其对经济理论的影响的理解变得复杂,而且在我们对经济学“历史”的解释上造成了一个悖论。对斯拉法来说,经济学的“历史”至少可以追溯到亚当·斯密和大卫·李嘉图,他们是专门被理解为政治经济学的学科的创始人。然而,今天的经济学不再被该领域的大多数人认定为政治经济学,而是传统上被认为是一门独立于历史、政治和社会价值的科学,因此很少提及经济的社会组织如何成为斯密、李嘉图、马克思和政治经济学史上其他人思想的一个显著特征。
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引用次数: 1
Assessing External Validity 外部效度评估
Pub Date : 2019-10-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3474280
Hao Bo, Sebastian Galiani
Abstract In designing any causal study, steps must be taken to address both internal and external threats to its validity. Researchers tend to focus primarily on dealing with threats to internal validity. However, once they have conducted an internally valid analysis, that analysis yields an established set of findings for the specific case in question. As for the future usefulness of that result, however, what matters is its degree of external validity. In this paper we provide a formal, general exploration of the question of external validity and propose a simple and generally applicable method for evaluating the external validity of randomized controlled trials. Although our method applies only to RCTs, the issue of external validity is general and not restricted to RCTs, as shown in our formal analysis.
在设计任何因果研究时,必须采取措施解决内部和外部对其有效性的威胁。研究人员倾向于主要关注内部效度威胁的处理。但是,一旦他们进行了内部有效的分析,该分析就会为所讨论的具体案件产生一套既定的调查结果。然而,至于这一结果在未来的有用性,重要的是其外部有效性的程度。在本文中,我们提供了一个正式的,一般的探讨外部效度的问题,并提出了一个简单的和普遍适用的方法来评估随机对照试验的外部效度。虽然我们的方法只适用于随机对照试验,但外部效度的问题是普遍的,并不局限于随机对照试验,如我们的形式分析所示。
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引用次数: 12
El irrealismo en la disciplina Economía (Unrealistic Assumptions in Economics) 经济学中的不现实假设(经济学中的不现实假设)
Pub Date : 2019-10-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3466129
J. Vergés
Spanish Abstract: La Economía (o Teoría Económica) ortodoxa o convencional está en gran parte centrada en el entramado de definiciones y marco teórico-neoclásico-matemático que culmina en el paradigma del equilibrio general de mercados competitivos. El conjunto podríamos calificarlo de ‘Modelo estándar’ de la Economía dominante (muy decantada hacia la microeconomía). Y un postulado clave de ésta es, expresado brevemente, el de que «sin intervención alguna por parte de los poderes públicos, el libre mercado en general lleva a que el mercado para cada bien o servicio sea perfectamente competitivo , con empresas eficientes, y en equilibrio. Esto es aplicable a cada bien, servicio o factor. Y el resultado global constituye un óptimo de bienestar social».

El punto de partida del presente ensayo es subrayar que tal paradigma o modelo económico estándar (MEe) descansa sobre unos supuestos deductivos, aparentemente de carácter técnico. Concretamente una determinada teoría deductiva sobre el funcionamiento de las empresas, la pauta general sobre los rendimientos de escala, la fijación de los precios, y las características de los mercados de bienes y servicios. Lo que se suele etiquetar en los manuales como ‘teoría neoclásica de la producción’ y/o ‘teoría de la empresa’ (‘theory of the firm).

Y el objetivo principal es mostrar que tales supuestos deductivos, y consecuentemente la teoría explicativa que se deriva de ellos, resultan claramente irreales al ser confrontados con las extensivas evidencias empíricas fácilmente disponibles al respecto. Es decir, que no vienen sustentados por la observación de la realidad de las economías de mercado; presentes e históricas. Y no en cuestiones de detalle o técnicas sino fundamentales. Una constatación que –y este es un punto decisivo– que ya hace tiempo fue ‘denunciada’ por prestigiosos economistas; pero que viene siendo ignorada por la economía dominante. Con la consecuencia de que ésta, el MEe, no explica propiamente la realidad de cómo funciona una economía de mercado basada en empresas privadas; o capitalista. O no la explica bien para la inmensa mayoría de los casos, bienes, sectores o mercados.

El problema adicional es que esa ‘deficiencia científica’ tiene consecuencias más allá de la Economía. Se trata de algo más que una pura cuestión teórica: Ese MEe (Análisis Económico, centrado en microeconomía, para precisar más) que lleva al postulado resumido arriba, se toma regularmente como marco conceptual de referencia para debatir y definir medidas de política económica. Y en la arena política el neoliberalismo se apoya en ese postulado para defender sus principios de no (o mínima) intervención de los gobiernos en la economía, de no (o mínima) regulación de los mercados, y, en definitiva, para defender lo que está detrás de la conocida máxima de ‘cuanto menos Estado mejor’: mínimo gasto público, mínimos impuestos.

English Abstract: Mainstream or orthodox economics (or e
另一个问题是,这种“科学缺陷”的后果超出了经济学范畴。这不仅仅是一个理论问题:导致上述假设的SEM(更准确地说,关注微观经济学的经济分析)通常被视为讨论和定义经济政策措施的概念参考框架。在政治舞台上,新自由主义依靠这一假设来捍卫其政府不(或最少)干预经济、不(或最少)监管市场的原则;并最终捍卫“政府越少越好:公共支出越少,税收越少”这一著名格言背后的道理。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Methodology in the Twenty-First Century (So Far): Some Post-Reflection Reflections 21世纪的经济学方法论(至今):一些反思后的反思
Pub Date : 2019-10-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3464759
D. W. Hands
This paper provides my personal reflections on the development of economic methodology during the 21st century as well as a discussion of the methodological literature immediately preceding it. It is based on my experience – both as an editor and researcher within the field – and to some extent it reflects my own interests and concerns. It provides an interpretative history of the field and the various forces at work within it – doing so with a fairly broad brush, but at times focusing in and being much more specific.
本文提供了我个人对21世纪经济方法论发展的思考,以及对之前方法论文献的讨论。它是基于我作为一名编辑和该领域的研究人员的经验,在某种程度上反映了我自己的兴趣和关注。它提供了该领域的解释性历史,以及在其中起作用的各种力量——这样做是相当广泛的,但有时会更具体。
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引用次数: 3
The Giffen Paradox Revisited 吉芬悖论再次出现
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3480773
Haibien Nguyen
This paper aims at defending the Austrian causal-realist demand theory which refutes the existence of an upward-sloping demand curve or the Giffen good. The analysis traces back to the fundamental difference between Austrian and neo-classical microeconomics, especially in utility theory. Additionally, this paper also briefly examines and proposes a rejoinder to the criticism of Hudik (2011a).
本文旨在为奥地利因果现实主义需求理论辩护,该理论驳斥了向上倾斜的需求曲线或吉芬商品的存在。分析可以追溯到奥地利学派和新古典微观经济学之间的根本区别,特别是在效用理论方面。此外,本文还简要考察并提出了对Hudik(2011)的批评的反驳。
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引用次数: 0
Normative versus Positive Analysis in the History of the Theory of Production 生产理论历史中的规范分析与实证分析
Pub Date : 2019-09-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3445853
P. Walker
This paper looks at the history of the theory of production. Before the seventieth century, with the advent of mercantilism, the predominant mode of enquiry was a descriptive/normative one. The frameworks applied were ethical and/or religious. The questions asked were about what production or occupations would find favour with God or what production was ethically justified. The important point is that these normative frameworks did not give rise to a theory of production. Such a theory only began to emerge with the emergence of a positive approach to economic reasoning more generally.
本文考察了生产理论的历史。在70世纪之前,随着重商主义的出现,主要的调查模式是描述性/规范性的。所采用的框架是伦理和/或宗教的。被问到的问题是,什么样的生产或职业会得到上帝的青睐,什么样的生产在道德上是合理的。重要的一点是,这些规范框架并没有产生一种生产理论。这种理论只是随着一种更普遍的积极的经济推理方法的出现才开始出现。
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引用次数: 0
Collaboration, Complexity and Innovation: The Stories We Tell Matter 合作、复杂与创新:我们讲述的故事很重要
Pub Date : 2019-09-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3449732
L. W. Jerome
The world is increasingly characterized by a paradigm of interconnectivity within a complex system. The problems our global community face are complex, interconnected, dynamic and non-linear. Solutions will require boundary-spanning trilateral collaborations able to give rise to new narratives, support evidence-based decision-making and work from a systems perspective. This article integrates cross-disciplinary literature that empirically support the creation of novel platforms for collaboration between science and art. Boundary spanning between these disciplines has been habitually overlooked as a means of forging meaningful trilateral partnerships; however, research strongly points to sciart collaborations for inspiring creative knowledge exchange and expression in novel ways that are engaging for the public. Novel platforms that promote art and science collaboration within multisensory environments offer new hope for the cross-pollination of ideas and the dissemination of powerful data driven narratives able to inspire transformative learning and social change.
世界正日益以一个复杂系统内的互联互通范式为特征。全球社会面临的问题是复杂的、相互关联的、动态的和非线性的。解决方案将需要跨界的三边合作,能够产生新的叙述,支持基于证据的决策,并从系统的角度开展工作。本文整合了跨学科文献,这些文献从经验上支持创建科学与艺术之间合作的新平台。作为建立有意义的三边伙伴关系的一种手段,这些学科之间的边界跨越一直被习惯性地忽视;然而,研究强烈指出,科学合作可以激发创造性的知识交流和表达,以新颖的方式吸引公众。在多感官环境中促进艺术和科学合作的新颖平台为思想的交叉授粉和传播能够激发变革学习和社会变革的强大数据驱动叙事提供了新的希望。
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引用次数: 0
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Philosophy & Methodology of Economics eJournal
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