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A methodology of roll pass design calculation for rails rolling using regression equations 基于回归方程的钢轨轧制轧辊孔型设计计算方法
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1161-1167
V. Rubtsov, I. Novozhilov, V. A. Cherednikov, K. A. Ulegin, P. A. Alypov
In process of shaped profiles experimental rolling, it is often necessary to make adjustments to new roll pass design to ensure their physical filling, control between gaps in the values of real broadenings and reductions. In order to reduce number of possible adjustments in roll pass design process and mastering new profiles, the task of developing a model for calculating roll passes becomes actual. A model for calculating roll pass design for rolling railway rails presented. This model based on roll pass design for rolling R65 rails. The regression equations of deformation logarithmic degree were derived using example of two pre-finishing and finishing roll passes, which were used to calculate UIC60E1 rail roll pass design. A high degree of convergence of the geometry of the calculated and operating roll pass has been established. The maximum deviations from geometry of existing roll pass and calculated ones according to proposed method did not exceed 1-2 mm on each of them. It was shown that the developed model calculates exact roll pass geometry, which can be loaded into the program of a processing machine. The proposed calculation methodology can be used at roll pass design of shaped profiles of the same type of different profile sizes of the same mill, resulting in significant reduction of roll pass designed development time and number of adjustments.
在异型型材实验轧制过程中,经常需要对新辊道设计进行调整,以保证其物理填充,控制间隙之间的实际加宽和缩小值。为了减少轧辊孔型设计过程中可能的调整次数和掌握新的型态,开发轧辊孔型计算模型的任务成为现实。提出了一种轧钢钢轨滚道设计计算模型。本模型基于轧制R65钢轨的轧辊孔型设计。以UIC60E1型钢轨的预精加工和精加工两道次为例,推导了变形对数度的回归方程,并将其应用于UIC60E1型钢轨的轧制道次设计计算。计算出的轧制孔型与实际轧制孔型具有高度的几何收敛性。现有轧辊孔型与计算孔型的最大偏差均不超过1 ~ 2mm。结果表明,所建立的模型能准确地计算出滚道几何形状,并可装入加工机床的程序中。所提出的计算方法可用于同一轧机不同型径的同类型异型型材的辊道设计,大大减少了辊道设计的开发时间和调整次数。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of particles size distribution on the carbon content throughout sinter bed height 粒度分布对整个烧结床高度含碳量的影响
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1136-1141
V. Kobelev, G. A. Nechkin, G. Isaenko, V. Kirsanov
By the previous studies it was established that the character of solid fuel distribution throughout the bed height considerably effects the sintering machines productivity and the sinter quality. The purpose of the study was assessment of solid fuel distribution in the agglomerated burden throughout the height of bed at sintering machine. Sinter mix samples were taken from three sections of the bed: 150 mm - top part, 150 mm - middle part and 170 mm - bottom part at the sintering machines of NLMK. After screening the samples, particle size distribution was determined, as well as carbon content throughout the bed height and in the particles of different sizes. It was found that all solid fuel, irrespective of the size, gets balled into sinter mix granules, fine fuel (fraction -0.63 mm) was almost evenly distributed over the granules of different sizes, while coarse fuel (+3 mm) is mainly picked up by large granules. Solid fuel of -3 mm +0.63 mm fraction is mostly balled into 3-5 mm granules. Such nature of solid fuel distribution in the granules of the pelletized mix results in suboptimal distribution of fuel throughout the bed height at sintering machines No. 1, 2, despite satisfactory size segregation of the mix: it changes from low content in the top part to a higher content at the bottom of the bed. At sintering machines No. 3, 4 where there was no size segregation of the mix, fuel distribution throughout the bed height changes from optimal to non-optimal (low content in the top part). To optimize solid fuel distribution throughout the bed height with both good and poor segregation of the mix, it is necessary to reduce the content of 0-0.5 mm particles fraction in coke breeze.
通过以往的研究表明,整个床层高度的固体燃料分布特性对烧结机的生产率和烧结质量有很大的影响。研究的目的是评估固体燃料在烧结机整个床层高度的结块料中的分布。在NLMK的烧结机上,从床床顶部150mm、中间150mm和底部170mm三段取了烧结混合料样品。筛选样品后,确定粒度分布,以及整个床层高度和不同粒径颗粒中的碳含量。结果表明,固体燃料不论粒径大小,均被球化成烧结混合颗粒,细粒燃料(-0.63 mm)几乎均匀分布在不同粒径的颗粒上,粗粒燃料(+ 3mm)主要被大颗粒吸收。-3 mm +0.63 mm馏分的固体燃料大多成3-5 mm的颗粒。这种固体燃料在球团混合料颗粒中的分布性质导致1号、2号烧结机在整个床层高度上的燃料分布不理想,尽管混合料的粒度偏析令人满意:它从顶部的低含量转变为床层底部的高含量。在3号和4号烧结机中,混合物没有粒度偏析,燃料在整个床层高度的分布从最佳到非最佳(顶部含量低)。在混合料离析好坏的情况下,为了优化固体燃料在整个床层高度的分布,有必要降低焦渣中0-0.5 mm颗粒馏分的含量。
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引用次数: 1
Recognition of surface defects of rolled steel in sheets by application micro-X-ray spectral analysis 应用微x射线光谱分析识别轧制钢板表面缺陷
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1168-1176
A. B. Sychkov, N. Koptseva, Y. Efimova, G. Y. Atangulova (Kamalova)
Surface defects of sheet rolled products have a significant impact on its quality, performance and further processing of products, for example, on application of a protective anticorrosive coating. Therefore, the elimination of such defects and their accurate identification is an important aspect of sheet rolling production. Reducing the rejection of metal for surface defects enables to get a significant technical and economic effect. Investigation of the causes of defectiveness of the surface of sheet rolled products will make it possible to determine the source of the appearance of the defects and methods to prevent them. Determination of the nature and morphology of surface defects, the sources of which being metallic and non-metallic inclusions, as well as remnants of slag surface layer, scales from metallurgical and rolling stages, rolled into the surface of a hot-rolled sheet, is often difficult, since the appearance of the defects is very similar. It was shown that application of a scanning electron microscope (SEM) with micro-X-ray spectral analysis (MXSA), thermodynamic analysis makes it possible to determine the chemical composition of micro-areas and associate it with the end-to-end technology of sheet production. The article presents the results of identifying surface defects of cold-rolled sheet steel.
薄板轧制产品的表面缺陷对其质量、性能和产品的进一步加工有重大影响,例如对防护防腐涂层的应用。因此,消除这些缺陷并对其进行准确识别是薄板轧制生产的一个重要方面。减少因表面缺陷而产生的金属废品率可以获得显著的技术和经济效果。对薄板轧制产品表面缺陷的原因进行调查,将有可能确定缺陷出现的根源和防止缺陷的方法。表面缺陷的来源是金属和非金属夹杂物,以及炉渣表面层的残余,冶金和轧制阶段的鳞屑,轧制到热轧薄板的表面,由于缺陷的外观非常相似,因此确定表面缺陷的性质和形态通常是困难的。结果表明,应用扫描电子显微镜(SEM)、微x射线光谱分析(MXSA)、热力学分析可以确定微区域的化学成分,并将其与板材生产的端到端技术联系起来。本文介绍了冷轧薄板表面缺陷的识别结果。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation of technology schemes for the production of cast composite functional materials 铸造复合功能材料生产工艺方案研究
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1156-1160
S. Knyazev, A. Kutsenko, A. A. Usol’tsev, R. Gizatulin, N. V. Oznobikhina
Obtaining and using ligatures, modifiers and deoxidizers to obtain structural alloys of a given composition and properties in metallurgy and foundry is an important production task. One of the existing developments in the field of technologies for the preparation of functional composites on a matrix basis for non-ferrous and ferrous alloys is the combination of solid filler with a melt of an active metal binder. At that, from the filler material, which is selected from the group comprising iron, nickel, titanium, silicon, boron, manganese, first a porous workpiece of a given geometric shape with a technological total pore volume is formed, then it is heated to a temperature corresponding to the liquidus temperature of the active binder, the heating being carried out in a gas inert medium, after which the heated workpiece is impregnated with the melt of this binder by forced infiltration of the melt into the pores of the workpiece under pressure, mainly by the method of liquid stamping. The task of the study was to expand the scope of use of composites, to create a single flexible universal, and at the same time, simplified technology that will provide an opportunity to obtain a wide range of diverse in composition and service characteristics of deoxidizers, modifiers and ligatures for non-ferrous and ferrous alloys. The developed technology, based on vacuum impregnation (suction) of the matrix alloy through porous filler, makes it possible to obtain new functional metal-matrix composite materials of a given composition for use as inexpensive ligatures, modifiers and deoxidizers in metallurgical processes, as well as to simplify and make their use safe. The proposed method for obtaining ligatures, modifiers and deoxidizers provides a possibility of their industrial serial production and is easy to perform, and also reduces the cost of the metallurgy product obtained with their application by increasing the effective content of active components and their more complete assimilation, which reduces the consumption of scarce and expensive materials.
获得和使用结扎剂、改性剂和脱氧剂来获得具有特定成分和性能的结构合金是冶金和铸造的一项重要生产任务。在以有色金属和铁合金为基体的功能性复合材料制备技术领域的现有发展之一是固体填料与活性金属粘结剂熔体的结合。此时,从包含铁、镍、钛、硅、硼、锰的基团中选择填充材料,首先形成具有一定工艺总孔容的给定几何形状的多孔工件,然后将其加热到与活性粘结剂的液相温度相对应的温度,加热过程在气体惰性介质中进行;然后,在压力下,通过将熔体强制渗透到工件的孔隙中,主要采用液体冲压的方法,将这种粘合剂的熔体浸渍在加热的工件上。这项研究的任务是扩大复合材料的使用范围,创造一个单一的灵活的通用,同时,简化的技术,将提供一个机会,以获得广泛的不同组成和使用特性的脱氧剂,改性剂和结扎有色金属和铁合金。所开发的技术是通过多孔填料对基体合金进行真空浸渍(吸入),使获得具有特定成分的新型功能金属基复合材料成为可能,这些材料可在冶金过程中用作廉价的结合力、改性剂和脱氧剂,并简化和安全使用。所提出的结束剂、改性剂和脱氧剂的制备方法为其工业化批量生产提供了可能,并且易于操作,并且通过增加有效成分的有效含量和更完全的同化,减少了稀缺和昂贵材料的消耗,从而降低了使用它们获得的冶金产品的成本。
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引用次数: 0
Study of possibility of obtaining alternative binders from production wastes for filling man-caused voids 从生产废料中获取替代粘合剂以填补人为空洞的可能性研究
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1115-11123
V. Golik, Y. Razorenov, V. Vagin, V. Lyashenko
Basic scientific and practical results of the study of possibility of obtaining alternative binders from production wastes to fill man-made voids at underground ore mining are presented. The objective of the study was to determine the technological possibility and economic feasibility of using available low-active substances as substitutes for expensive and scarce cement. It was shown that it is possible to obtain a binder from dolomite wastes, equivalent in properties to cement, which makes it possible to meet the demands of environmentally correct ore mining technologies. It has been established that hardening mixtures based on dolomites and enrichment tailings are only 8-22% inferior in strength to mixtures with standard cement and are suitable without restrictions for the construction of nature protection massifs in mine workings. Recommended activation of wastes increases the strength of the hardening filling mixture by 15-20% in comparison with the basic technology. With additional preparation in activators, a fundamental change in the quality of dolomite products is possible. The use of wastes in the production of a hardening mixture will free up the land occupied by storage facilities and organize the production of competitive products. Alternative binders and inert materials are recommended for use.
介绍了从生产废弃物中获取替代粘结剂来充填地下采矿人工空洞的可行性研究的基本科学和实际结果。这项研究的目的是确定使用现有的低活性物质作为昂贵和稀缺水泥的替代品的技术可能性和经济可行性。研究表明,从白云石废料中获得一种与水泥性能相当的粘结剂是可能的,这使得它有可能满足对环境正确的采矿技术的要求。研究表明,以白云石和富集尾砂为基础的硬化混合料强度仅比标准水泥混合料低8-22%,不受任何限制地适用于矿山作业中自然保护体的施工。与基本技术相比,推荐的废物活化使硬化填充混合物的强度提高了15-20%。随着活化剂的额外制备,白云石产品质量的根本改变是可能的。利用废物生产硬化混合物,可以腾出储存设施占用的土地,组织生产有竞争力的产品。建议使用其他粘合剂和惰性材料。
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引用次数: 0
Phases and workup order of pre-investment stage of projects in metallurgy by the example of OJSC “BMZ - managing company of holding “BMK” 以OJSC“BMZ”控股公司为例探讨冶金项目投资前阶段的阶段及后续工作
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1186-1193
A. V. Mantsevich, A. V. Karmanovich, S. A. Mozgov
Preparation, organization and managing by investment projects are efficient mechanism of increasing efficiency of investment activity of an enterprise. OJSC “BMZ - managing company of holding “BMK” accumulated practical experience on preinvestment workup in the sphere of implementation of investment projects in the industry. It was noted that before the industrial production of a new for an enterprise products, it is necessary to pass a unique way from the project idea to the implementation of equipment, division, shop or creation of a new plant at all, using definite knowledge, methodology and instruments of managing by the projects. Theoretical fundamentals were presented to accomplish a pre-investment workup on a project, as well as requirements of legislation of Republic of Belarus' to the content and order of work on pre-investment stage of a project, phases and order of development of the pre-project (pre-investment) documentation for projects in the industry by the example of OJSC “BMZ - managing company of holding “BMK”.
投资项目的准备、组织和管理是提高企业投资活动效率的有效机制。OJSC“BMZ”是BMK控股公司的管理公司,在行业投资项目实施领域积累了投资前工作的实践经验。有人指出,在工业生产一种新的企业产品之前,有必要通过一种独特的方式,从项目的想法到设备的实施,部门,车间或创建一个新的工厂,利用项目管理的明确知识,方法和工具。以OJSC“BMZ”-控股“BMK”的管理公司为例,介绍了完成项目投资前工作的理论基础,以及白俄罗斯共和国立法对项目投资前阶段工作的内容和顺序的要求,以及项目(投资前)文件的阶段和发展顺序。
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引用次数: 1
Forecasting of industrial coke quality at JSC EVRAZ NTMK based on data of passive industrial experiment. Report 1. Forecasting of CSR and CRI of industrial coke 基于被动工业试验数据的JSC EVRAZ NTMK工业焦炭质量预测报告1。工业焦炭的CSR和CRI预测
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1124-1135
Y. Zolotukhin, N. A. Berkutov, V. V. Kuprygin, S. Kupriyanova
A forecast of coke quality takes a special place in the coke production, since it enables to increase efficiency of management of batching process of various by composition and properties coals and production of coke of stably high and required quality with minimal costs. Description of a methodological approach to processing of passive industrial experiment data of blends coking at Coke production department of JSC EVRAZ NTMK presented by application selective (general) matrix. The matrix accounts various multilevel values of influence factor CSR and CRI of coke - a complex index of coking ability of blends K.п.к.Vo. It was shown that the proposed approach provides wide variations of response function (CSR/CRI) at symmetrical enough matrix, excluding predominance of any particular area of values of indices K.п.к.Vo and CSR/CRI. By applying the passive industrial experiment, based on processing of actual report data of industrial blends coking at the coke batteries No. 5-6 (wet quenching) and No. 9-10 (dry quenching) by selective matrix, mathematical models of forecast of quality of industrial coke by wet and dry quenching (CSR/CRI) were elaborated depending on coal charges properties (K.п.к.Vo) at the existing modes of their preparation and coking at the coke batteries No. 5-6 and 9-10. Verification of accuracy of the mathematical models of coke quality forecast at wet and dry quenching (CSR/CRI) processing a large actual material of industrial coking (62 coking operations in the coke batteries No. 5-6 and 58 coking operations in the coke batteries No. 9-10 showed accuracy good enough for practical application of forecasting indices CSR and CRI of industrial coke of wet and dry quenching.
焦炭质量预测在焦炭生产中占有特殊的地位,因为它可以提高不同成分和性质煤的配料过程管理效率,以最小的成本生产出稳定的高质量焦炭。介绍了用应用选择(一般)矩阵法处理JSC EVRAZ NTMK焦炭生产部共混焦化被动工业实验数据的方法方法。该矩阵计算了影响因素CSR和焦炭的CRI(共混物焦化能力的复杂指标K.п.к.Vo)的各种多级值。结果表明,该方法在足够对称的矩阵上提供了广泛的响应函数(CSR/CRI)变化,排除了指标值的任何特定区域的优势K.п.к。Vo和CSR/CRI。通过被动工业实验,在对5-6号(湿淬)和9-10号(干淬)工业焦混合料实际报告数据进行选择性矩阵处理的基础上,在5-6号和9-10号焦炭电池现有制备模式和焦化模式下,根据煤料性质,建立了工业焦湿、干淬质量预测的数学模型(CSR/CRI) (K.п.к.Vo)。对大量工业焦化实际材料(5-6号焦化电池62个焦化操作和9-10号焦化电池58个焦化操作)的干湿淬火焦炭质量预测数学模型(CSR/CRI)的精度验证表明,湿淬火和干湿淬火工业焦炭质量预测指标CSR和CRI的精度足以用于实际应用。
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引用次数: 1
Choice of a method of carbon wire drawing 选择一种碳素拉丝的方法
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1177-1185
V. Kharitonov, M. Y. Usanov
At present for wire production various methods of drawing are used. To choose an effective drawing method or their combination, a methodology is needed to estimate existing and new methods of drawing. A methodology of simultaneous estimation of strain-stress state of carbon wire in the area of deformation and force conditions of drawing presented. Based on it an analysis of drawing in monolith dies, roller dies of radial-shear broach, classic two- and multi-roller dies was carried out. A module-combined method of drawing was also considered. Recommended modes of reduction for drawing in monolith dies presented. It was shown that to obtain a wire of 4.0 mm diameter max, the drawing in monolith dies is most effective. For production of wire of larger diameters, roller dies are more advisable. Application of the technology of radial-shear deformation enables to obtain a fine-grained structure in the surface layers of wire. It was shown that application of a module comprising a roller die and a monolith die is most effective. An example of drawing of a round wire from 8.0 mm diameter to 3.0 mm diameter by a route developed with their application considered. Recommendations on application of various methods of drawing for wires of diameter from 0.007 mm to 15.0 mm presented.
目前在线材生产中采用了多种拉丝方法。为了选择一种有效的绘图方法或它们的组合,需要一种方法来评估现有的和新的绘图方法。提出了一种同时估计碳丝变形区应变-应力状态和拉拔力条件的方法。在此基础上,对整体模、径向剪切拉刀滚子模、经典双滚子模和多滚子模的拉深进行了分析。并考虑了一种模块组合的绘图方法。提出了降低整体模具拉深的推荐模式。结果表明,为了获得最大直径为4.0 mm的线材,在整体模具中拉伸是最有效的。对于生产直径较大的线材,采用滚轮模具更为可取。径向剪切变形技术的应用,使线材表层具有较细的晶粒结构。结果表明,采用由滚子模和整体模组成的模组是最有效的。通过考虑其应用而开发的路线,将圆线从直径8.0 mm拉伸到直径3.0 mm的示例。提出了适用于直径为0.007 mm至15.0 mm的各种拉丝方法的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Video registration of physicochemical processes in BOF cavity at bath top blowing at application oxygen lances of various designs. Report 3. The picture of bath blowing at application two-level oxygen lances 在不同设计的氧枪的应用下,在浴顶吹风的转炉腔内的物理化学过程的视频配准。报告3。应用两级氧枪时的浴液吹气图
Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-11-1142-1155
A. G. Chernyatevich, L. Molchanov, E. Sigarev, S. Dudchenko, V. V. Vakul’chuk, P. Yushkevich, K. Chubin, A. A. Pokhvalityi, E. Chubina
Further increase of resources- and energy-saving efficiency of BOF processes is unthinkable without development of new methods of blowing and designs of blowing devices. It requires information on the real physicochemical phenomena in the converter cavity accompanying the blowing of the converter bath using new designs of oxygen lances in order to assess the possible risks in the mastering of the proposed developments in industrial conditions. The paper presents the results of video filming of the top blowing of a 80-kg converter bath by groups of multi-pulse supersonic and sonic oxygen jets formed, respectively, by Laval and cylindrical two-level nozzles of two designs equipped with double-row tips with a circular arrangement of Laval nozzles and cylindrical ones and upper block with cylindrical nozzles. Previously unknown information was obtained on the picture of the bath blowing with the formation of a reaction zone of interaction of supersonic and sonic oxygen jets with a metal melt with a flow of carbon monoxide going out the bath and afterburning of CO to CO2 under conditions of a counter-directed double curtain of sonic oxygen jets at different levels of location of the foamed slag-metal emulsions. It was established that in the initial period of blowing during slag formation most of the thermal energy of CO to CO2 combustion flares is transferred to the surface of the bath with lumps of added lime, and the rest is transferred by forced convection to the converter walls and gases escaping from the bath to the neck. In the case of the location of the foamed slag level at the upper tier of the cylindrical nozzles of the lance, heat transfer from high-temperature flares of localized afterburning of CO to CO2 within a limited in size near-lance flow of exhaust gases from the reaction zone is carried out according to the laws of submerged combustion and is completed completely in foamed slag-metal emulsion with the prevention of aggressive action of afterburning flares and volumes of overheated slag on the converter lining. Revealed and recorded by video recording modes of blowing the converter bath, contributing to the development of such undesirable phenomena during smelting as the appearance of intense emissions of slag-metal suspension from the facility, coagulation of the slag with the cessation of dephosphorization of the metal melt, the development of intense dust formation and the removal of small metal particles and slag with the formation of crust on the lance barrel. A variant of the final stage of blowing with a transition to supplying nitrogen instead of oxygen through cylindrical nozzles of two-level lances was experimentally tested, which provides an effective reduction in the level of foamed slag-metal emulsion before the converter turning down. The data obtained were used in the development of an industrial design of a two-level lance with a double-row tip, blowing and slag modes of blowing a converter bath with its use.
如果不开发新的吹制方法和设计吹制装置,进一步提高转炉工艺的资源和节能效率是不可想象的。它需要有关使用新设计的氧气枪吹炼转炉浴时转炉腔内真实物理化学现象的信息,以便评估在工业条件下掌握拟议发展的可能风险。本文介绍了两种设计的拉瓦尔和圆柱形两级喷嘴分别形成的多脉冲超音速和音速氧射流组,采用拉瓦尔喷嘴和圆柱形喷嘴的圆形布置,采用圆柱形喷嘴的上块,分别对80公斤转炉浴顶吹进行视频拍摄的结果。在泡沫渣-金属乳状液不同位置的反定向双声速氧射流条件下,在熔池吹气过程中,形成了一个超音速和声速氧射流与金属熔体相互作用的反应区,有一氧化碳从熔池流出,CO向CO2加力燃烧。结果表明,在吹渣过程的初始阶段,CO - CO2燃烧火焰的大部分热能被转移到添加石灰块的熔池表面,其余部分通过强制对流转移到转炉壁上,气体从熔池逸出到炉颈。在泡沫渣位位于喷枪圆柱喷嘴上层的情况下,从CO局部加力燃烧的高温火炬到CO2的换热在反应区废气的有限尺寸的近喷枪流动中根据浸没燃烧规律进行,完全在泡沫渣-金属乳化液中完成,防止了加力燃烧火炬的侵蚀作用和过热的炉渣体积对转炉内衬的影响。通过吹炼转炉浴的视频记录模式揭示和记录,导致冶炼过程中出现的不良现象,如设施中出现强烈的金属渣悬浮物排放,金属熔体停止脱磷后熔渣凝固,形成强烈的粉尘,以及在枪筒上形成外壳的小金属颗粒和渣的去除。实验测试了最后一阶段的一种变体,通过两级喷枪的圆柱形喷嘴过渡到提供氮气而不是氧气,这在转炉熄火之前有效地降低了泡沫渣金属乳状液的水平。将所得数据应用于双排喷嘴双水平喷枪的工业设计,并应用于转炉熔池的吹渣方式和吹渣方式。
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引用次数: 0
Greenhouse gas emissions caused by global steel industry: the past, the present and the future 全球钢铁工业造成的温室气体排放:过去、现在和未来
Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.32339/0135-5910-2021-8-882-901
I. Bashmakov
Measures aimed at the transition of the global iron and steel industry to carbon neutrality by 2050 or beyond are in the focus of scientific, business, and political circles of many countries. If this target is to be attained, it is important to understand how demand for ferrous metals will be evolving, and when and to what extent the sector can be modernized on the low carbon basis. The paper explores the possibility and conditions for the full-scale decarbonization of the global iron and steel sector, looks into current trends in the production of key products of steel industry and related greenhouse gas emissions; estimates the contributions of all the factors behind these trends in 1900‒2019. By analyzing the relations between the economic growth and ferrous metals consumption as “services‒materials stock‒materials flow‒environment” model, the paper shows that a mechanical extrapolation of the earlier trends to 2050 and beyond may result in erroneous conclusions about the sector’s development perspectives. The factors that will eventually ensure the decoupling, i.e. a dramatic weakening or a complete rupture of the connection between economic growth and steel demand. The paper provides an analysis of the iron and steel sector decarbonization perspectives and estimates the scale and intensity of the forthcoming technological change.
到2050年或以后实现全球钢铁工业碳中和的措施是许多国家科学界、商界和政界关注的焦点。如果要实现这一目标,重要的是要了解对黑色金属的需求将如何演变,以及该行业何时以及在多大程度上可以在低碳基础上实现现代化。本文探讨了全球钢铁行业全面脱碳的可能性和条件,分析了当前钢铁行业关键产品的生产趋势和相关温室气体排放;估计1900-2019年这些趋势背后所有因素的贡献。本文以“服务-材料-库存-材料-流动-环境”模型分析了经济增长与黑色金属消费之间的关系,结果表明,机械地推断到2050年及以后的早期趋势可能会导致对该行业发展前景的错误结论。最终将确保脱钩的因素,即经济增长与钢铁需求之间的联系急剧减弱或完全断裂。本文对钢铁行业脱碳前景进行了分析,并对即将到来的技术变革的规模和强度进行了估计。
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Ferrous Metallurgy. Bulletin of Scientific , Technical and Economic Information
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