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Strategic Planning of the Development of Manufacturing Industries in the Russian Federation 俄罗斯联邦制造业发展战略规划
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-75-104
E. Sibirskaya, L. Oveshnikova, D. Shakirova
Strategic planning for the development of manufacturing industries in the Russian Federation should be based on the results of a comprehensive analysis of the existing level of industrial development of the regional and national economy, prospects and mechanisms for the development of industrial potential, including the definition of the industry specifics of the subjects of the Russian Federation, planned statistical indicators in terms of the growth of high-tech products and taking into account the implementation of import substitution programs. The article considers the current state of strategic planning in the practice of manufacturing industries of the Russian Federation. The review of the main directions of the state industrial policy in relation to manufacturing industries in the field of strategic planning is given, as well as the key challenges and opportunities for the development of this activity in Russia are considered, the state of the manufacturing industry at the national level is assessed on the basis of statistical reports. The proposals for expanding the presence of manufacturing products on the Russian market under import substitution programs are considered and the prospects and necessary conditions for the development of manufacturing industries in the Russian Federation until 2024 and for the period up to 2035 are predicted.
在俄罗斯联邦发展制造业的战略规划应以全面分析区域和国民经济现有工业发展水平的结果、发展工业潜力的前景和机制,包括确定俄罗斯联邦各主体的工业特点的结果为基础;规划统计指标方面的高新技术产品增长,并考虑实施进口替代方案。本文考察了俄罗斯联邦制造业实践中战略规划的现状。在战略规划领域,对与制造业有关的国家工业政策的主要方向进行了审查,并考虑了俄罗斯发展这一活动的主要挑战和机遇,并在统计报告的基础上评估了国家一级制造业的状况。审议了根据进口替代方案扩大俄罗斯市场上制造业产品的建议,并预测了到2024年和到2035年期间俄罗斯联邦制造业发展的前景和必要条件。
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引用次数: 1
Consolidated Budgets of the Subjects of the Russian Federation in the First Half of 2021: is the Crisis Ended? 俄罗斯联邦各主体2021年上半年综合预算:危机结束了吗?
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-105-120
L. V. Lykova
In the first half of 2021, positive trends in the economy led to a pronounced increase in revenues of the consolidated budgets of RF subjects. Corporate income tax and personal income tax receipts increased most significantly. In most subjects of the Russian Federation, this year’s revenue growth has compensated for last year’s drop, but in a number of regions whose economies have a raw material orientation, the 2019 pre-crisis year indicators have not yet been exceeded. The total amount of the federal transfers remained practically at the level of 2020. At the same time, the structure of this aid has changed significantly. Unconditional grants receipts have decreased and subsidy receipts have increased significantly. The growth of expenditures of sub-federal budgets lags behind the dynamics of revenues, ensuring a pronounced budget surplus. The main areas of spending remain social policy, education and the national economy. Federal subsidies account for a significant portion of the increase in spending on social policy. The high growth rate of expenditures on the national economy is largely ensured by one subject of the Russian Federation Moscow. Health care spending, which grew ahead of schedule in 2020, has declined this year, but remained above precrisis 2019 levels. While in general all subjects of the Russian Federation executed their consolidated budgets in the first half of the year with a surplus, in a number of regions there is a budget deficit. In several regions, the surplus values turned out to be very significant due to the growth of income, which was not predicted.
在2021年上半年,经济的积极趋势导致RF主题的综合预算收入显著增加。企业所得税和个人所得税收入增长最为明显。在俄罗斯联邦的大多数科目中,今年的收入增长弥补了去年的下降,但在一些经济以原材料为导向的地区,2019年的危机前年度指标尚未超过。联邦转移支付的总额实际上保持在2020年的水平。与此同时,这种援助的结构发生了重大变化。无条件补助金的收入减少,而补助金的收入则大幅增加。地方预算支出增长滞后于收入增长,财政出现明显盈余。支出的主要领域仍然是社会政策、教育和国民经济。联邦补贴占社会政策支出增加的很大一部分。国民经济支出的高增长率在很大程度上是由俄罗斯联邦的一个主体莫斯科保证的。医疗保健支出在2020年提前增长,今年有所下降,但仍高于2019年危机前的水平。总的说来,俄罗斯联邦所有主体在上半年执行其综合预算时都有盈余,但在一些区域却出现预算赤字。在一些地区,由于收入的增长,剩余价值变得非常显著,这是没有预料到的。
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引用次数: 0
Levels and Hierarchy of Goals of the Modern Regional Socio-Economic Policy of Russia 俄罗斯现代区域社会经济政策的层次与目标层次
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-50-62
N. Sorokina
The complexity of the implementation of regional policy in federal states, due, on the one hand, to the diversity of regions and their features, on the other the presence of several levels of its impleme
联邦制国家执行区域政策的复杂性,一方面是由于区域及其特征的多样性,另一方面是由于区域政策的执行存在几个层次,这决定了专门研究这一公共行政工具的相关性。这篇文章提出了一种方法,允许按其水平区分区域社会经济政策的目标。明确了俄罗斯区域社会经济政策的构成,并发展了俄罗斯区域社会经济政策的目标层次。事实证明,在当前条件下,联邦中央区域政策的优先目标应该是确保国家在区域发展方面的完整性和经济安全,联邦主体的区域政策:
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引用次数: 1
Stress Testing the Impact of Esg-Factors on Companies in the Metals Industry 压力测试:esg因素对金属行业公司的影响
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-63-74
E. Emelyanova, L. S. Vasiliev
Stress testing as an effective method of risk management and crisis management can serve as an effective tool for predicting financial stability, particularly under the impact of ESG risks for
压力测试作为风险管理和危机管理的有效方法,可以作为预测金融稳定性的有效工具,特别是在环境、社会和治理风险对在俄罗斯联邦境内开展业务的各行业公司的影响下。本文提出了一种金属行业压力测试算法开发的方法。在第一阶段,考虑金属工业的现状和分析人员观察到的进一步发展趋势,分析国内最大的冶金代表,并强调其环境项目的主要目标和成本。此外,还介绍了在金属行业开展业务的组织的行业风险驱动因素。在确定风险驱动因素后,评估方法
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引用次数: 1
China: Decarbonising the Economy and Adhering to the ESG Principles 中国:经济脱碳,坚持ESG原则
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-192-205
S. Lukonin, B. Anosov
In China, as in other countries, ESG factors are becoming more and more important in the investment discourse and, in particular, in the reporting of public companies. However, if factor E (environmental) is actively discussed both within public companies and by the Chinese government, then reporting on factors S (social) and G (governance) is still in its infancy, since it must be borne in mind that the Chinese private sector is in in conjunction with the official rhetoric of the Chinese government, and the difference in the perception of social and managerial factors between Chinese business and Western companies determines the inconsistency of Chinese reporting with Western standards. This article analyzes the use of ESG principles by Chinese companies, the impact of decarbonization on China’s Belt and Road investment project, as well as China’s international cooperation on decarbonization and ESG principles.
与其他国家一样,在中国,ESG因素在投资话语中,尤其是在上市公司的报告中变得越来越重要。然而,如果E因素(环境)在上市公司和中国政府内部都得到了积极讨论,那么关于S因素(社会)和G因素(治理)的报告仍处于起步阶段,因为必须记住,中国私营部门与中国政府的官方言论是一致的。中国企业和西方企业对社会和管理因素的认知差异决定了中国报告与西方标准的不一致。本文分析了中国企业对ESG原则的运用,脱碳对中国“一带一路”投资项目的影响,以及中国在脱碳和ESG原则方面的国际合作。
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引用次数: 2
The Sectoral Structure of the Economy of Russian Regions as a Factor of their Development in 2020 2020年俄罗斯地区经济部门结构作为其发展因素
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-5-28
O. Kuznetsova, R. Babkin
The dynamics of development and the structure of the economy of Russian regions are considered in the article on the basis of data on the volume of goods shipped, works performed and services performed by own forces for a full range of organizations in 2019 and 2020, as well as industrial production indices; the “shift and share” method is used. It is shown that, as in
文章根据2019年和2020年各种组织的货物运输量、完成的工作和自己的力量提供的服务以及工业生产指数的数据,考虑了俄罗斯地区的发展动态和经济结构;使用“移位和共享”方法。报告显示,同以往所有危机一样,区域经济的部门结构是其经济动态的一个重要因素。尽管COVID-19大流行造成的危机具有特殊性(某些类型的服务以及燃料和能源资源的开采下降速度最大;相反,2020年医疗保健(药品和医疗材料的生产以及信息技术部门)的显著增长,出现了所有经济危机的典型模式。这是对经济动态产生积极影响的区域经济高度多样化和可获得高技术工业、高素质人才;因此,在
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引用次数: 1
Far East Location in the Prospective Development Model of the Russian Federation 俄罗斯联邦未来发展模式中的远东定位
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-29-49
N. Stepanov, E. A. Sokolovskaya
The need to transform economic and social policies into more effective policies requires the special attention of the authorities and the expert community to the Far East as a region with significant potential for economic growth. The article, through the prism of historical events, examines the place of the Far East in the world economy within the framework of the current system of international political, foreign trade and financial relations against the background of a decrease in the level of confidence in these areas, which largely depends on excessive regulation of the most significant regional entities and tightening of various kinds of sanctions by the most developed states. The reason for the turn of Russia to the east is justified. Historical milestones of the development and development of the Far East over a 300-year period and its potential, place in the economic activity of the Russian Federation and its foreign economic relations are analyzed in detail. Examples are given to a certain extent confirming the emerging transition from a purely subsidized policy of past decades to an investment strategy for the future development of the region. Optimal forms and mechanisms of interaction aimed at improving the investment climate, developing transport, energy, industrial and tourism infrastructure, as well as ensuring a high level of environmental safety of the region are identified.
必须将经济和社会政策转变为更有效的政策,这就要求当局和专家团体特别注意远东这个具有巨大经济增长潜力的区域。本文通过历史事件的棱镜,在当前国际政治、对外贸易和金融关系体系的框架内,考察远东在世界经济中的地位,背景是这些领域的信心水平下降,这在很大程度上取决于对最重要的区域实体的过度管制和最发达国家加强各种制裁。俄罗斯转向东方的理由是正当的。详细分析了远东300多年来发展和发展的历史里程碑及其在俄罗斯联邦经济活动和对外经济关系中的潜力和地位。文中列举的例子在一定程度上证实了正在出现的从过去几十年的纯补贴政策向该区域未来发展的投资战略的转变。确定了旨在改善投资环境、发展运输、能源、工业和旅游基础设施以及确保本区域高水平环境安全的最佳互动形式和机制。
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引用次数: 0
Debt Burden of the Subjects of the Russian Federation 俄罗斯联邦主体的债务负担
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-121-141
I. S. Bukina
The growth of regional debts produces risks both at the regional level and in the sphere of intergovernmental relations. The article shows that with a low debt burden at a long-term level, the subjects of the Russian Federation are highly differentiated by the level of debt, and even with a decrease in overall debt, a variation of debt load is growing. On the basis of cluster analysis, four groups of the subjects of the Russian Federation were allocated, depending on the variation of the debt burden and the share of social spending in total regional expenditures. It is concluded that the level of debt burden and its dynamics are explained both by the socio-economic factors for the regional development and the quality of budget management in any subject of the Russian Federation. Accordingly, the procedure for the distribution of intergovernmental transfers and budgetary rules should be agreed with the accounting of objective relationships and institutional effects.
区域债务的增长在区域一级和在政府间关系领域都产生了风险。该条表明,由于长期债务负担较低,俄罗斯联邦各主体的债务水平差别很大,即使总债务有所减少,债务负担的变化也在增加。在聚类分析的基础上,根据债务负担的变化和社会支出在区域支出总额中所占的份额,分配了俄罗斯联邦的四组科目。结论是,债务负担的水平及其动态可以用促进区域发展的社会经济因素和俄罗斯联邦任何主题的预算管理质量来解释。因此,分配政府间转移和预算规则的程序应符合对客观关系和体制影响的核算。
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引用次数: 1
Regionalization of Human Capital Development and US Regional Innovation Policy 人力资本开发区域化与美国区域创新政策
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-169-191
V. Minat
Over the past 70 years, human capital, which is the most important factor in the innovation process and innovation activity in the United States, has acquired spatial forms corresponding to territorial innovation systems. Under the influence of the instruments of the state regional innovation policy, the regionalization of the development of human capital in the United States has gone through its own evolutionary path, dialectically coupled with the cyclical processes of socio-economic and technological development of society. The tendencies of human capital regionalization revealed on the basis of the systemic and evolutionary approaches reveal the subject-object essence of the research. The phenomenon of regionalization of human capital development investigated in the work is reflected in the dynamics of average annual growth rates, under the influence of the unambiguous in its direction, but having subregional differences in the instruments of selective equalization and proactive regional innovation policy, as well as differences at the level of the leading states of the United States.
在过去的70年里,人力资本作为美国创新过程和创新活动中最重要的因素,已经形成了与地域创新系统相对应的空间形态。在国家区域创新政策工具的影响下,美国人力资本发展的区域化经历了自己的演化路径,与社会经济和技术发展的周期性过程辩证耦合。在系统方法和演化方法的基础上揭示的人力资本区域化趋势揭示了研究的主客体本质。工作中调查的人力资本发展区域化现象反映在平均年增长率的动态上,在其方向明确的影响下,但在选择性均衡和积极的区域创新政策的手段上存在分区域差异,以及在美国主要州的层面上存在差异。
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引用次数: 3
Democracy in America? 美国的民主?
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.21686/2073-1051-2021-3-142-168
M. V. Gligich-Zolotareva, K. S. Kirjuhin
It is officially known that democracy in the United States of America became the main idea more than two hundred years old. For a long time, it was considered the most progressive and standard for the whole world. But now people are increasingly asking questions about whether there really is a democracy in America. Is United States is really a democratic state? This article examines various aspects of the democratic structure of the state, including theoretical, historical and legal, as well as the current political situation in the United States. Based on the analysis of the US electoral legislation and the work of the American electoral system, it is concluded that, on the one hand, the citizens of the country are not guaranteed the exercise of their active and passive electoral rights. And on the other hand, key laws and political decisions are made without relying on the opinion of the citizens of the country, which does not allow us to classify such a way of governing the country as unambiguously democratic. The presidential election-2020, with its numerous violations and mass riots, was particularly criticized. To a large extent, this situation in the American electoral system is explained by fact, that the orientation of The Founding Fathers of the United States was not to ensure democratic governance of the country. They argued for strengthen American federalism, which reflected the complexity and archaic nature of the electoral system. Its allows us to conclude that neither formallyconstitutionally, nor in fact, the United States is not a democracy. The system of power that has historically developed in the United States is most accurately described by the term “oligarchy”, which generates a number of both political and constitutional-legal consequences.
据官方消息,两百多年前,民主成为美国的主要思想。在很长一段时间里,它被认为是全世界最先进和最标准的。但现在人们越来越多地质疑美国是否真的存在民主。美国真的是一个民主国家吗?本文考察了国家民主结构的各个方面,包括理论、历史和法律,以及美国当前的政治形势。通过对美国选举立法和美国选举制度工作的分析,得出结论:一方面,美国公民的主动和被动选举权的行使没有得到保障;另一方面,关键法律和政治决策的制定并不依赖于该国公民的意见,这使我们无法将这种治理国家的方式归类为明确的民主。尤其受到批评的是2020年总统选举,其中有许多违法行为和大规模骚乱。在很大程度上,美国选举制度的这种情况可以用事实来解释,即美国开国元勋的取向并不是确保国家的民主治理。他们主张加强美国的联邦制,这反映了选举制度的复杂性和过时性。它让我们得出结论,无论是从形式上还是实际上,美国都不是一个民主国家。“寡头政治”一词最准确地描述了美国历史上发展起来的权力体系,它产生了许多政治和宪法法律后果。
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引用次数: 0
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Perspectives on Federalism
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