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Development of an advanced numerical simulation program considering debris flow and driftwood behavior
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106366
T. Kang , S. Lee , H. An , M. Kim , I. Kimura
This study introduces Deb2D, an advanced predictive model that combines Eulerian flow dynamics with Lagrangian driftwood movement to accurately simulate debris flows. It enhances the existing Deb2D framework (An et al., 2019) by integrating a driftwood dynamics module rewritten in C++ (Kang et al., 2020) and a user-friendly Graphical User Interface developed with QtCreator for setup and visualization of simulations. This improvement enables precise two-way interactions between driftwood and debris flows, ensuring detailed visualization of their dynamics. When applied to the 2011 Mt. Umyeon debris flow in South Korea, the model demonstrated high accuracy in replicating observed phenomena. Future developments will focus on adapting this model into a QGIS plugin to broaden its applicability and user base.
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引用次数: 0
ExMAD (Expert-based Multitemporal AI Detector): An open-source methodological framework for remote and field landslide inventory
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106363
Michele Licata, Stefano Faga , Giandomenico Fubelli
Landslides threaten lives and infrastructure, making accurate inventories crucial for risk management. This study combines expert methods with machine learning to automate and validate landslide detection and timing using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. We developed ExMAD (Expert-based Multi-temporal AI Detector), an open-source methodological framework (https://github.com/NewGeoProjects/ExMAD) to integrate artificial intelligence with human expertise to detect occurrence timing of a targeted landslide. A U-Net neural network was chosen to effectively test ExMAD in landslide detection over Sentinel-2 worldwide multitemporal satellite imagery sequences, and the model was tested through five evaluations. ExMAD was able to effectively extract timing of target landslides on Sentinel-2 images and was able to correctly detect the presence/absence of landslide, proving the suitability of AI systems in landslide temporal mapping task.
This research proves the potential of hybrid AI-human approaches for landslide risk assessment, integrate human expertise with machine learning offers promising advancements for remote and field mapping of landslide. Furthermore, the ExMAD methodology adheres to the European Union's Artificial Intelligence Act, stressing human oversight in high-risk AI applications to enhance trust, control, and efficiency in landslide inventory creation and risk management.
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引用次数: 0
SWMManywhere: A workflow for generation and sensitivity analysis of synthetic urban drainage models, anywhere
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106358
Barnaby Dobson , Tijana Jovanovic , Diego Alonso-Álvarez , Taher Chegini
Improvements in public geospatial datasets provide opportunities for deriving urban drainage networks and simulation models of these networks (UDMs). We present SWMManywhere, which leverages such datasets for generating synthetic UDMs and creating a Storm Water Management Model for any urban area globally. SWMManywhere's modular and parameterised approach enables customisation to explore hydraulicly feasible network configurations. Key novelties of our workflow are in network topology derivation that accounts for combined effects of impervious area and pipe slope. We assess SWMManywhere by comparing pluvial flooding, drainage network outflows, and design with known networks. The results demonstrate high quality simulations are achievable with a synthetic approach even for large networks. Our sensitivity analysis shows that manholes locations, outfalls, and underlying street network are the most sensitive parameters. We find widespread sensitivity across all parameters without clearly defined values that they should take, thus, recommending an uncertainty driven approach to synthetic drainage network modelling.
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引用次数: 0
An explicit robust optimization framework for multipurpose cascade reservoir operation considering inflow uncertainty 考虑流入量不确定性的多用途梯级水库运行显式稳健优化框架
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106301
Shaokun He , YiBo Wang , Dimitri Solomatine , Xiao Li
Long-term water resource management involving multipurpose coordination requires robust decision-making in water infrastructure cases to cope with various types of uncertainties. Traditional robust optimization methods generally do not explicitly propagate input or parametric uncertainties into estimates of the robustness of solutions, which limits their ability to address uncertainty comprehensively across solution spaces. In this study, we introduce an explicit robust decision-making framework that blends multiobjective search, probabilistic analysis of robustness, and diagnostic verification tools to identify robust optimal solutions to external uncertainty. The proposed framework is illustrated on four diverse robustness formulations, which capture a wide variety of stakeholder attitudes from highly risk-averse to risk-neutral, for the primary operating objectives (hydropower production, water diversion, and hydrological alteration degree) in China's Hanjiang cascade reservoir system. By analyzing the Pareto front propagated from inflow uncertainty, it is found that optimal robust policies with a significantly higher degree of hydrological alteration are preferred in most formulations to achieve relatively lower joint uncertainty of hydropower and water diversion. These policies also yield sufficiently stable model performance in the case of an out-of-sample streamflow set during diagnostic verification. Furthermore, a comparative analysis of four different formulations suggests that a composite normalized robustness indicator (NRI) developed in this study to integrate various robustness metrics can achieve an effective balance for all considered objectives. These findings highlight the benefits of explicit robust optimization for managing hydrological uncertainties in multipurpose cascade reservoirs.
涉及多用途协调的长期水资源管理要求在水利基础设施案例中进行稳健决策,以应对各种类型的不确定性。传统的稳健优化方法一般不会明确地将输入或参数的不确定性传播到对解决方案稳健性的估计中,这限制了其在解决方案空间中全面应对不确定性的能力。在本研究中,我们引入了一个明确的稳健决策框架,该框架融合了多目标搜索、稳健性概率分析和诊断验证工具,可识别外部不确定性的稳健最优解。针对中国汉江梯级水库系统的主要运行目标(水电生产、引水和水文变化程度),提出了四种不同的稳健性公式,反映了从高度规避风险到风险中性的各种利益相关者态度。通过分析流入量不确定性所传播的帕累托前沿,发现在大多数公式中,水文改变程度明显较高的最优稳健政策更受青睐,从而实现相对较低的水电和引水联合不确定性。在诊断验证过程中出现样本外流量集的情况下,这些策略也能产生足够稳定的模型性能。此外,对四种不同方案的比较分析表明,本研究开发的综合归一化鲁棒性指标(NRI)整合了各种鲁棒性指标,可以有效平衡所有考虑的目标。这些发现凸显了显式鲁棒性优化在管理多用途梯级水库水文不确定性方面的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis and comparison of the flood simulations with the routing model CaMa-Flood at different spatial resolutions in the CONUS CONUS中不同空间分辨率下CaMa-Flood路由模型的洪水模拟分析与比较
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106305
Ruijie Jiang , Hui Lu , Kun Yang , Hiroshi Cho , Dai Yamazaki
Accurate flood modelling is crucial for disaster prevention. Fine-resolution global routing models can offer more detailed flood information, but balancing model efficiency with accuracy remains challenging. This study examines the conditions under which a fine-resolution model outperforms a coarser one, using the CaMa-Flood model at 0.05°, 0.083°, 0.1°, and 0.25° resolutions across the contiguous United States. The results indicate finer resolution does not improve the simulation of flood timing, but better simulates the daily river discharge and flood peak flow due to better representation of the river network in small rivers. Notably, the improvement in daily discharge simulation is greater than that in peak flow. Nevertheless, uncertainties in channel parameters mean that a more detailed river network does not necessarily yield better flood simulations. For rivers with upstream drainage areas greater than 500 km2, a 0.25° model is sufficient if high-precision channel parameters are unavailable.
准确的洪水模型对防灾至关重要。精细分辨率的全局路由模型可以提供更详细的洪水信息,但平衡模型的效率和准确性仍然是一个挑战。本研究考察了精细分辨率模型优于粗分辨率模型的条件,在美国各地使用了0.05°、0.083°、0.1°和0.25°分辨率的CaMa-Flood模型。结果表明,更精细的分辨率并没有改善洪水时间的模拟,但由于更好地代表了小河流的河网,因此可以更好地模拟河流的日流量和洪峰流量。值得注意的是,日流量模拟的改进大于峰值流量模拟。然而,河道参数的不确定性意味着更详细的河网不一定能产生更好的洪水模拟。对于上游流域面积大于500 km2的河流,如果无法获得高精度的河道参数,0.25°模型就足够了。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating landslide trigger factors using distributed lag nonlinear models
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106259
Aadityan Sridharan , Meerna Thomas , Georg Gutjahr , Sundararaman Gopalan
Earthquake events that are often accompanied by prolonged rainfall before, during, or after the mainshock, usually result in thousands of landslides. To estimate landslide trigger factors in such scenarios, we propose a hybrid model combining a statistical model for cumulative rainfall with a physical model for coseismic landslide displacement. The statistical model is a Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model (DLNM) and the physical model is a rigorous Newmark's analysis. The chain of events that led to landsliding following the 2011 Sikkim earthquake is used as a case study. Trigger information of 164 landslide points from field investigations were used to train the model and predict the trigger for 1196 satellite-based landslide points. The hybrid model significantly improves predictions over generalized additive models. Cumulative rainfall shows a significant spatial correlation with trigger factors and heavy rainfall three weeks before the earthquake played a key role in preparing the ground for landslides.
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引用次数: 0
A novel operational water quality mobile prediction system with LSTM-Seq2Seq model 采用 LSTM-Seq2Seq 模型的新型运行水质移动预测系统
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106290
Lizi Xie , Yanxin Zhao , Pan Fang , Meiling Cheng , Zhuo Chen , Yonggui Wang
An adequate water quality prediction mobile system is crucial for real-time, proactive, and convenient water environment monitoring through mobile devices to reduce or prevent water environmental threats. After exploring the feasibility and superiority of the LSTM-seq2seq model for predicting various water quality indicators, the optimal time step range for different length predictions was proposed. To verify the generalizability and reusability of the model, the performance differences of migrating models was investigated. Based on the entire process, we have developed a cost-effective, widely applicable, and sustainable operational prediction system framework. It was successfully applied in the Huangshui River Basin for two years. Results indicated that the model can achieve an NSE of above 0.5 for indicators with high coefficient of variation and above 0.75 for more stable indicators. When carrying out transfer applications, the model can achieve an NSE performance of above 0.5 for most sites in short to medium-term forecasting.
通过移动设备实时、主动、便捷地监测水环境,减少或预防水环境威胁,一个完善的水质预测移动系统至关重要。在探索LSTM-seq2seq模型预测各种水质指标的可行性和优越性的基础上,提出了不同长度预测的最佳时间步长范围。为了验证模型的通用性和可重用性,研究了迁移模型的性能差异。基于整个过程,我们开发了一个具有成本效益,广泛适用,可持续发展的业务预测系统框架。该方法在湟水河流域已成功应用两年。结果表明,对于变异系数较高的指标,模型的NSE可以达到0.5以上,对于较为稳定的指标,模型的NSE可以达到0.75以上。在进行迁移应用时,该模型对大多数站点的中短期预测NSE性能均在0.5以上。
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引用次数: 0
Cascading effect modelling of integrating geographic factors in interdependent systems 相互依存系统中整合地理因素的级联效应建模
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106316
Yong Ge , Mo Zhang , Rongtian Zhao , Die Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang , Daoping Wang , Qiuming Cheng , Yuxue Cui , Jian Liu
Cascading effects from global disruptions such as natural disasters and pandemics have attracted significant research attention. Current approaches face challenges in adequately integrating geographic and systemic factors, limiting their ability to simulate the intricate dynamics of interdependent systems. Here, we proposed a novel Interdependency Network-based Geographic Cascade (INGC) model, coupling geographic factors to capture cascading shocks across global interdependent networks. By integrating macro-level interdependencies and typical dynamic network modelling approaches, the INGC enables more accurate simulations of hazard damage and shock propagation, highlighting critical nodes and pathways essential for informed policy-making. Through the global lockdown case analysis, the INGC model demonstrated its advantages in identifying critical sectors and regions by revealing heterogenous cascading patterns and their details robustly. This approach offers a scalable framework for future research and policy, ensuring greater resilience in the face of complex global extreme events.
自然灾害和流行病等全球性破坏的级联效应吸引了大量的研究关注。目前的方法在充分整合地理和系统因素方面面临挑战,限制了它们模拟相互依赖系统的复杂动态的能力。在这里,我们提出了一个新的基于相互依赖网络的地理级联(INGC)模型,通过耦合地理因素来捕捉全球相互依赖网络中的级联冲击。通过整合宏观层面的相互依赖关系和典型的动态网络建模方法,INGC能够更准确地模拟危险损害和冲击传播,突出关键节点和路径,对知情决策至关重要。通过对全球封锁案例的分析,INGC模型通过稳健地揭示异质级联模式及其细节,在识别关键部门和地区方面具有优势。这种方法为未来的研究和政策提供了一个可扩展的框架,确保在面对复杂的全球极端事件时具有更大的弹性。
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引用次数: 0
A process-based framework for validating forest landscape modeling outcomes 用于验证森林景观建模结果的基于过程的框架
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106327
Mia M. Wu , Yu Liang , Hong S. He , Jian Yang , Bo Liu , Tianxiao Ma
Forest landscape models (FLMs) simulate forest dynamics by integrating stand- and landscape-scale processes. Thus, evaluating FLMs simulations necessitates including both processes. Thus far, stand-scale processes were evaluated in some FLMs, whereas landscape-scale processes were rarely evaluated. This study presents a framework that evaluates both stand- and landscape-scale processes. For the stand-scale processes, we proposed using stand density management diagrams to evaluate the simulated stand development trajectories that encapsulate the interplay of tree growth, competition, and mortality. For the landscape-scale processes, we evaluated seed dispersal, the basic spatial process driving forest landscape dynamics and not evaluated previously, through comparing simulated tree species colonization pattern against tree age distribution data from inventory data. We demonstrated the applicability of the framework to a 300-year historical forest landscape reconstructed using LANDIS. Given the common features, the framework is applicable to other FLMs or terrestrial ecosystem models operating at large scales.
森林景观模型(FLMs)通过整合林分尺度和景观尺度过程来模拟森林动态。因此,评估flm模拟需要包括这两个过程。迄今为止,林分尺度的过程在一些生态系统中得到了评价,而景观尺度的过程很少得到评价。本研究提出了一个评估林分尺度和景观尺度过程的框架。对于林分尺度的过程,我们建议使用林分密度管理图来评估包含树木生长、竞争和死亡相互作用的模拟林分发展轨迹。对于景观尺度的过程,我们通过比较模拟树种定植模式和清查数据中的树龄分布数据,评估了种子传播这一驱动森林景观动态的基本空间过程。我们展示了该框架对使用LANDIS重建的300年历史森林景观的适用性。鉴于这些共同特征,该框架适用于其他大尺度的陆地生态系统模型或陆地生态系统模型。
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引用次数: 0
EarthObsNet: A comprehensive Benchmark dataset for data-driven earth observation image synthesis EarthObsNet:用于数据驱动的地球观测图像合成的综合基准数据集
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106292
Zhouyayan Li , Yusuf Sermet , Ibrahim Demir
Recently, there are attempts to expand the current usage of satellite Earth surface observation images to forward-looking applications to support decision-making and fast response against future natural hazards. Specifically, deep learning techniques were employed to synthesize Earth surface images at the pixel level. Those studies found that precipitation and soil moisture play non-trivial roles in Earth surface condition prediction tasks. However, unlike many well-defined and well-studied topics, such as change detection, for which many benchmark datasets are openly available, there are limited public datasets for the abovementioned topic for fast prototyping and comparison. To close this gap, we introduced a comprehensive dataset containing SAR images, precipitation, soil moisture, land cover, Height Above Nearest Drainage (HAND), DEM, and slope data collected during the 2019 Central US Flooding events. Deep-learning-based SAR image synthesis and flood mapping with the synthesized images were presented as sample use cases of the dataset.
最近,有人试图将卫星地球表面观测图像的现有用途扩展到前瞻性应用,以支持决策和对未来自然灾害的快速反应。具体而言,深度学习技术被用来合成像素级的地球表面图像。这些研究发现,降水和土壤湿度在地球表面状况预测任务中发挥着非同小可的作用。然而,与许多定义明确、研究深入的课题不同,例如变化检测,许多基准数据集都是公开的,但上述课题用于快速原型开发和比较的公开数据集却很有限。为了填补这一空白,我们引入了一个综合数据集,其中包含在 2019 年美国中部洪灾事件中收集的合成孔径雷达图像、降水、土壤水分、土地覆盖、最近排水沟以上高度(HAND)、DEM 和坡度数据。作为数据集的示例用例,介绍了基于深度学习的合成孔径雷达图像合成和使用合成图像绘制洪水地图。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Modelling & Software
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