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Beyond imagination? Examining practitioners’ perceptions of the feasibility of transformative governance futures for sustainable land use in the Dutch peatlands 超乎想象的吗?考察实践者对荷兰泥炭地可持续土地利用的变革性治理未来可行性的看法
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104258
Mandy A. Van Den Ende, Heleen L.P. Mees, Peter P.J. Driessen, Dries L.T. Hegger
The ongoing accumulation of environmental problems worldwide has increasingly raised scholarly calls for beyond technological environmental governance. Although such alternative, more transformative approaches have been proposed in the literature, their imaginability in practice has lagged behind, especially in the presence of a technological path dependency. This research seeks to address the so-called “crisis of the imagination” by exploring transformative futures for environmental governance and examining practitioners’ perceptions of the feasibility of these futures. We conducted this research in the context of the Dutch Western peatlands, an area where the accumulation of environmental land use problems has increased the need for governance with more potential effect than the technological approaches applied to date. The findings demonstrate an “imagination gap” with regard to transformative governance futures: practitioners generally perceived governance approaches focused on economic governance reform as feasible, while overlooking those that address the underlying sociocultural, institutional, and political structures perpetuating unsustainable land use. We attribute the imagination gap to the difficulty of challenging deep core beliefs such as widespread neoliberal, individualist, and anthropocentric logics. The paper concludes by empirically challenging the perception that certain transformative governance futures are beyond imagination. It underscores the vital role of education and research in reshaping the deep core beliefs that underlie unsustainability. In the policy sphere, policy entrepreneurs can begin to address the “crisis of the imagination” by reframing (un)sustainability in terms of widely shared societal values and advocating for a more inclusive representation of deep core beliefs within policymaking.
世界范围内环境问题的不断积累,越来越多地提出了超越技术环境治理的学术呼吁。虽然这种替代性的、更具变革性的方法已经在文献中提出,但它们在实践中的可想象性落后了,特别是在存在技术路径依赖的情况下。本研究试图通过探索环境治理的变革未来,并考察实践者对这些未来可行性的看法,来解决所谓的“想象危机”。我们在荷兰西部泥炭地的背景下进行了这项研究,在这个地区,环境土地使用问题的积累增加了对治理的需求,其潜在影响比迄今为止应用的技术方法更大。研究结果表明,对于未来的变革性治理存在“想象差距”:实践者普遍认为,专注于经济治理改革的治理方法是可行的,而忽视了那些解决导致土地不可持续使用的潜在社会文化、制度和政治结构的方法。我们将想象力的差距归因于挑战深层核心信念的困难,如广泛传播的新自由主义、个人主义和人类中心主义逻辑。最后,本文从经验上挑战了这样一种看法,即某些变革性治理的未来是超出想象的。它强调了教育和研究在重塑作为不可持续性基础的深层核心信念方面的重要作用。在政策领域,政策企业家可以开始解决“想象危机”,方法是根据广泛共享的社会价值观重新构建(非)可持续性,并倡导在政策制定过程中更包容地体现深层核心信念。
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引用次数: 0
Social Accounts for the ocean: A path to inclusive and equitable ocean decision-making 海洋社会账户:一条包容和公平的海洋决策之路
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104221
R.J. Shellock , R.E. Thoms , P.A.S. James , T.G. Loureiro , C. Rosado , M. Swaleh , E. Kurniati , O. Lecuyer , C. Contreras , R. Arinda , K.L.L. Oleson , E.A. Buchary , A. Rosdiana , K.M. Grimsrud , W. Chen , G. Finau , J.J. Chambo , M. Granada Alarcon Blazquez , N. de Wolf , J.A. Quijozaca Quijosaca , R. Cappabianca
Progress towards equitable ocean sustainability will only be achieved when decision-makers engage with, invest in and use social data. This information is required for decision-makers to identify trade-offs and leverage points to make informed, just, purposeful and defensible decisions that bolster rather than undermine a sustainable ocean economy and human well-being. The Ocean Accounts Framework presents an opportunity to integrate social, cultural and equity data in ocean decision-making. Ocean Accounts organize economic, environmental and social information to enable coherent measurement of progress towards the sustainable development of the ocean. In this article, we draw on the collective views of the Global Ocean Accounts Partnership Social Accounts Working Group to explore (i) how Social Accounts can be conceptualized, (ii) an action agenda for progressing the development and integration of Social Accounts into ocean accounting and decision-making and (iii) key principles that should be considered during the development of Social Accounts (including strategic partnerships, stakeholder alignment, inclusive design, transparency and respect for rights). We provide concrete and ambitious actions, which include: (i) developing a flexible and adaptable Social Accounts definition, (ii) undertaking pilot studies using existing data, (iii) developing a standardized structure for Social Accounts and (iv) communicating and advocating for the use of Social Accounts globally. Progress on Social Accounts has the potential to increase the visibility of communities and human-ocean relationships in decision-making and may aid progress towards achieving international commitments.
只有决策者参与、投资和使用社会数据,才能实现公平的海洋可持续性。决策者需要这些信息来确定权衡和杠杆点,以做出明智、公正、有目的和可辩护的决策,从而促进而不是破坏可持续的海洋经济和人类福祉。海洋账户框架提供了一个将社会、文化和公平数据整合到海洋决策中的机会。海洋账户组织经济、环境和社会信息,以便连贯地衡量海洋可持续发展的进展情况。在本文中,我们借鉴全球海洋账户伙伴关系社会账户工作组的集体观点,探讨(i)如何将社会账户概念化,(ii)推动社会账户发展并将其整合到海洋会计和决策中的行动议程,以及(iii)在社会账户发展过程中应考虑的关键原则(包括战略合作伙伴关系、利益相关者协调、包容性设计、可持续发展和可持续发展)。透明度和尊重权利)。我们提供了具体而雄心勃勃的行动,其中包括:(i)制定灵活且适应性强的社交账户定义;(ii)利用现有数据开展试点研究;(iii)制定社交账户的标准化结构;(iv)在全球范围内沟通和倡导使用社交账户。社会帐户方面的进展有可能提高社区和人海关系在决策中的可见度,并可能有助于在实现国际承诺方面取得进展。
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引用次数: 0
Lifestyle change modelling for climate change mitigation: Complementary strengths, policy support, and research avenues 缓解气候变化的生活方式变化建模:互补优势、政策支持和研究途径
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104256
Laura Scherer , Mariësse A.E. van Sluisveld , Nicole J. van den Berg , Stephanie Cap , Agnese Fuortes , Lynn de Jager , Ryu Koide , Arjan de Koning , Giacomo Marangoni , Francesca Rubiconto , Anne M. van Valkengoed
Lifestyle changes are an essential, complementary measure for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and, therefore, also an important ingredient to climate policy. Computational models of lifestyle changes and their contribution to climate change mitigation can provide valuable insights in support of decision-making by individuals and policymaking. In this Perspective, we examine four modelling approaches with this in mind: input-output analysis, life cycle assessment, integrated assessment models, and agent-based models. They have different strengths and weaknesses related to spatial and temporal scales, sector representation, consumer heterogeneity, and impact assessment. Despite their differences, all are ultimately suitable for modelling different types of climate-friendly lifestyle changes – from sufficiency over efficiency to modal shift measures. Each modelling approach provides useful, albeit partial, insights into lifestyle changes. The identified challenges call for both continual refinements within individual model frameworks and hybrid methods that bridge their respective strengths and allow for representing lifestyle changes more comprehensively. Together, they inform about the theoretical mitigation potential, initiative feasibility, behavioural plasticity, and policy effectiveness of lifestyle changes. Ultimately, cross-disciplinary collaboration will be key to designing lifestyle-focused policies that are both impactful and acceptable.
改变生活方式是减少温室气体排放必不可少的补充措施,因此也是气候政策的重要组成部分。生活方式变化的计算模型及其对减缓气候变化的贡献可以提供宝贵的见解,支持个人和政策制定。在这个视角中,我们考察了四种建模方法:投入产出分析、生命周期评估、综合评估模型和基于主体的模型。它们在空间和时间尺度、部门代表性、消费者异质性和影响评估方面具有不同的优势和劣势。尽管它们存在差异,但它们最终都适用于模拟不同类型的气候友好型生活方式变化——从效率的充足到模式转变措施。每种建模方法都对生活方式的变化提供了有用的(尽管是部分的)见解。已确定的挑战要求在单个模型框架和混合方法中不断改进,以桥接各自的优势,并允许更全面地表示生活方式的变化。总之,他们提供了有关理论缓解潜力、倡议可行性、行为可塑性和生活方式改变的政策有效性的信息。最终,跨学科合作将是设计既有效又可接受的以生活方式为重点的政策的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Reclaiming glocal: Toward a post-extractivist, sovereign Chile beyond green growth 复兴全球:走向后采掘主义,超越绿色增长的主权智利
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104255
Matías Vaccarezza Sevilla
Global trade has long enabled countries in the Global North to appropriate resources from the Global South, perpetuating a system of ecologically unequal exchange. In Latin America, this exploitation has been enforced through institutions like the IMF and World Bank, embedding structural dependence and extractivism. Today, the rise of "green growth"—a last-ditch effort to sustain capitalism amid the current socioecological polycrisis—has repackaged old extractivist models under a new banner, deepening socioecological damage in resource-rich countries like Chile. I critically examine Chile’s role as a supplier of green transition materials (copper, lithium, and green hydrogen), arguing that the green growth paradigm perpetuates colonial trade patterns. Using post-extractivist frameworks and Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), I explore alternative economic visions centered on sovereignty and well-being. By outlining specific policy pathways and the challenges of such a transition, I aim to contribute to debates on decolonial transitions and post-capitalist futures in Latin America.
长期以来,全球贸易使全球北方国家能够从全球南方获得资源,使生态上不平等的交换制度永久化。在拉丁美洲,这种剥削是通过国际货币基金组织和世界银行等机构实施的,嵌入了结构性依赖和榨取主义。今天,“绿色增长”的兴起——在当前的社会生态多重危机中维持资本主义的最后努力——在新的旗帜下重新包装了旧的采掘模式,加深了智利等资源丰富国家的社会生态破坏。我批判性地考察了智利作为绿色过渡材料(铜、锂和绿色氢)供应国的角色,认为绿色增长范式延续了殖民贸易模式。利用后榨取主义框架和现代货币理论(MMT),我探索了以主权和福祉为中心的其他经济愿景。通过概述这种过渡的具体政策途径和挑战,我的目标是促进关于拉丁美洲非殖民化过渡和后资本主义未来的辩论。
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引用次数: 0
Local-global linkages in biodiversity governance: The regime complex of the convention on biological diversity agenda for nature pledges 生物多样性治理中的地方-全球联系:生物多样性公约自然认捐议程的制度综合体
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104246
Van Thi Hai Nguyen , Truc-Ly Le-Huynh , Simon Gadola , Quynh Nguyen , Gretchen Walters , Margaret Awuor Owuor
The trajectory of global biodiversity governance, culminating in the 2022 Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (KMGBF), reflects a pivot toward transformative change through a “whole-of-society” (WoS) approach. This approach integrates traditional multilateral negotiations with various self-organizing governance initiatives across the public, civil, and business spheres, forming additional layers within a biodiversity regime complex. While praised for its flexibility, horizontal linkages, and adaptability, an open question remains: Has this regime complex effectively delivered on its transformative promises? Using 718 biodiversity pledges submitted to the Action Agenda for Nature under the Convention on Biological Diversity—representing 1086 actors and 4109 connections—we applied social network and discourse analysis to map dynamic actor interactions and examine how they shape regime dynamics. Our findings reveal the emergence of a “middle-out” governance space, where non-state and sub-national actors act as intermediaries linking global commitments to local implementation. By visualizing the diffusion of participation, we identify potential leverage points where these actors can step forward as agents of change within the biodiversity regime. Yet despite these advances, network fragmentation persists—marked by duplication, misalignment, and weak cross-scale connectivity. Divergent discourses and weak ties between biodiversity status and actions further hinder systemic coherence. We argue that the regime complex must be reconceptualized beyond horizontal linkages to include vertical dimensions of governance. This study contributes to emerging network approaches in global biodiversity governance by identifying governance gaps and highlighting opportunities for systemic transformation. Strengthening alignment across levels and empowering middle-out actors are essential steps toward translating ambitious global biodiversity goals into effective, inclusive, and locally grounded actions.
以2022年《昆明-蒙特利尔全球生物多样性框架》(KMGBF)为高潮的全球生物多样性治理轨迹,反映了通过“全社会”(WoS)方法实现变革性变革的核心。这种方法将传统的多边谈判与公共、民间和商业领域的各种自组织治理倡议相结合,在生物多样性制度综合体中形成额外的层次。虽然它的灵活性、横向联系和适应性受到称赞,但一个悬而未决的问题仍然存在:这个政权综合体是否有效地兑现了它的变革承诺?利用《生物多样性公约》下提交给《自然行动议程》的718项生物多样性承诺——代表1086个行动者和4109个联系——我们应用社会网络和话语分析来绘制动态行动者互动图,并研究它们如何塑造制度动态。我们的研究结果揭示了一个“中间”治理空间的出现,在这个空间中,非国家和次国家行为体充当了将全球承诺与地方实施联系起来的中介。通过可视化参与的扩散,我们确定了潜在的杠杆点,这些行动者可以在生物多样性制度中作为变革的推动者向前迈进。然而,尽管取得了这些进步,网络碎片化仍然存在,其特征是重复、不对齐和跨规模连接薄弱。不同的话语和生物多样性状况与行动之间的弱联系进一步阻碍了系统的一致性。我们认为,体制复合体必须重新概念化,超越水平联系,包括治理的垂直维度。本研究通过识别治理差距和强调系统转型的机会,为全球生物多样性治理中的新兴网络方法做出了贡献。加强各层面的协调,增强中间行为体的权能,是将雄心勃勃的全球生物多样性目标转化为有效、包容和立足地方的行动的关键步骤。
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引用次数: 0
Protected areas as zones of paradoxical composition. The case of an area “strictly protected for science”: The Lauvitel integral reserve (France) 保护区是构成矛盾的区域。“科学严格保护”地区的案例:Lauvitel整体保护区(法国)
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104257
Isabelle Arpin , Quentin Bouchu , Kewan Mertens
This article adopts a spatial perspective to reconceptualise protected areas. We analyse protected areas as zones of paradoxical composition, that is, spaces where an objective of de-inhabitation and an objective of the selective reintroduction of human activities (re-inhabitation) are placed together —composed, in its etymological sense— in often complex and contested ways. Specifically, we examine the close association of conservation with scientific knowledge production, an activity historically intertwined with conservation efforts. Using a longitudinal case study of the Lauvitel integral reserve in France, an area ‘strictly protected for science’, we explore the devices enabling this composition through documentary analysis, semi-structured interviews, and participant observation. Our findings identify three interconnected, spatially distributed devices shaping this composition process: a filtering device at the reserve’s boundary, which regulates selective access; a discretion device within the reserve, maintaining the illusion of an untouched landscape; and a (re)presentation device beyond the reserve, fostering mediated access while sustaining the reserve’s exclusivity. We thus illuminate how protected areas are not simply exclusionary spaces but are shaped by negotiated and spatially differentiated forms of human presence. Our approach to protected areas as zones of paradoxical composition sheds new light on scientific presence in protected areas, engages with questions of Earth’s habitability, and opens avenues for future research on environmental justice.
本文采用空间视角对保护区进行重新定义。我们将保护区分析为矛盾构成的区域,也就是说,在这些空间中,减少居住的目标和选择性重新引入人类活动(重新居住)的目标被放在一起——从词源的意义上讲,它们通常以复杂和有争议的方式组成。具体来说,我们研究了保护与科学知识生产的密切联系,这是一项历史上与保护努力交织在一起的活动。通过对法国Lauvitel整体保护区(一个“严格保护科学”的地区)的纵向案例研究,我们通过文献分析、半结构化访谈和参与者观察来探索实现这种组合的设备。我们的研究结果确定了三个相互连接的、空间分布的设备,形成了这一组成过程:一个在保护区边界的过滤设备,它调节了选择性进入;保护区内的自由裁量装置,保持未受破坏景观的假象;以及一个超越保护区的(重新)展示装置,在保持保护区的排他性的同时,促进中介访问。因此,我们阐明了保护区不是简单的排他性空间,而是由协商和空间差异化的人类存在形式塑造的。我们将保护区作为矛盾组成区域的方法,为保护区的科学存在提供了新的视角,涉及地球的可居住性问题,并为未来的环境正义研究开辟了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating deep uncertainty tools for complex decision problems 评估复杂决策问题的深度不确定性工具
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104225
Patrick H. Curran , Charlotte Brown , Andrew P. Robinson , Anita Wreford , Tom M. Logan
Decision-making methods have been developed to support planning under deep uncertainty, but their suitability for complex decision problems has not been systematically assessed. We define complex decision problems as those in which decision-makers must navigate multiple interacting uncertain conditions and evaluate how interventions perform across these conditions, including potential synergies, trade-offs, and unintended consequences. This paper proposes two structural criteria for addressing such problems and evaluates a representative set of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) methods against them, using a stylised case to assess each method’s capabilities. The results extend the established taxonomy of DMDU methods to include complexity of the decision problem as an explicit evaluative dimension and add classifications for two additional methods. The updated taxonomy provides decision-makers with a clearer basis for selecting or adapting tools to address the increasingly complex and uncertain decision problems they face.
决策方法已经发展到支持深度不确定性下的规划,但其对复杂决策问题的适用性尚未得到系统的评估。我们将复杂决策问题定义为决策者必须驾驭多种相互作用的不确定条件,并评估干预措施在这些条件下的表现,包括潜在的协同作用、权衡和意外后果。本文提出了解决此类问题的两个结构标准,并针对它们评估了深度不确定性(DMDU)方法下决策制定的代表集,使用一个程式化的案例来评估每种方法的能力。结果扩展了DMDU方法的既定分类,将决策问题的复杂性作为显式评估维度,并为另外两种方法添加了分类。更新后的分类法为决策者选择或调整工具以解决他们所面临的日益复杂和不确定的决策问题提供了更清晰的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating credibility, legitimacy, and salience in a participatory modeling project in the food, energy, water nexus 评估食品、能源、水关系中参与式建模项目的可信度、合法性和显著性
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104249
Kaustubh Kumar , Douglas Jackson-Smith , Jeffrey M. Bielicki
Credibility, legitimacy, and salience (CLS) in co-producing knowledge are considered critical properties of successful participatory modeling (PM) projects. We use a large PM project focused on projecting alternative futures in the FEW nexus of the US Midwest to assess whether the scenarios, models, and projections had high perceived CLS. Assessments of CLS in PM projects in the context of FEW nexuses are relatively uncommon. Specifically, we explore two key questions: (1) Were the PM project outputs perceived as credible, legitimate, and salient? and (2) To what extent do perceptions of CLS between researchers and participant stakeholders align? Findings suggest that our PM process had positive impacts on the CLS of these outputs from the perspective of both groups of participants. However, achieving internal CLS was a necessary but not sufficient condition to ensure the CLS of these boundary objects from the point of view of societal actors external to the project. Without accessible and useful translation of results for external audience, the project outputs may be perceived as low on salience. We also found that participant stakeholders rated CLS higher than researchers. Researchers were more self-critical of model limitations, while participant stakeholders focused on the quality of interactions and responsiveness to suggestions. Future assessments of CLS in PM projects should use measures to capture both internal PM processes, internal perceptions of project outputs, and assessment of project outputs from the perspective of external societal stakeholders and decision-makers.
共同生产知识的可信性、合法性和显著性(CLS)被认为是成功的参与式建模(PM)项目的关键属性。我们使用一个大型的PM项目,专注于在美国中西部的少数联系中预测可选择的未来,以评估场景、模型和预测是否具有高感知的CLS。在少数关系的背景下对项目管理项目的CLS进行评估是相对罕见的。具体地说,我们探讨了两个关键问题:(1)PM项目的输出是否被认为是可信的、合法的和突出的?(2)研究人员和参与者利益相关者对CLS的看法在多大程度上一致?研究结果表明,从两组参与者的角度来看,我们的PM过程对这些产出的CLS有积极的影响。然而,从项目外部社会行为者的角度来看,实现内部CLS是确保这些边界对象的CLS的必要条件,但不是充分条件。如果不能为外部受众提供可访问和有用的结果翻译,项目产出可能会被认为不突出。我们还发现,参与者利益相关者对CLS的评价高于研究人员。研究人员更多地对模型的局限性进行自我批评,而参与者利益相关者则关注互动的质量和对建议的响应。未来对项目管理项目中CLS的评估应该使用措施来捕获内部项目管理过程、项目产出的内部感知,以及从外部社会利益相关者和决策者的角度对项目产出的评估。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change-induced threats to transhumance pastoral system in Burkina Faso, West Africa 气候变化对西非布基纳法索游牧牧区系统的威胁
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104244
Charles L. Sanou, Léonard D. Akoba
Globally, and particularly in West Africa, transhumant pastoralism sustains livelihoods through shifting equilibrium among herders, livestock, and seasonal resources. As climate change intensifies, this balance faces mounting stress, yet remains under-documented. This study examines climate trends and farmers’ perceptions in Burkina Faso’s Kompienga Province. We combined CHIRPS and ERA5-Land data with surveys of 271 farmers (55 % livestock-oriented; 45 % crop-oriented). Data preprocessing and extraction used Google Earth Engine; analyses included monthly matrix plots, annual time series, and decadal Principal Component Analysis (PCA) of climate indices in R. The PCA was also applied to farmer perception data. Results show significant shifts in monthly temperature and rainfall during 2011–2024 relative to the 1981–2010 climatology. Rainfall intensity increased, especially in August in recent years. Temperature warmed markedly from March to June, with most post-2010 observations exceeding reference means. Climate extremes indicate coherent warming across cold, hot, and wet indices suggesting that any apparent rain resumption is rapidly counterbalanced by heat stress driven by accelerated warming. Farmers report major impacts on pastoral systems: pasture scarcity, disrupted transhumance corridors, and altered mobility patterns. About twenty-three fodder species are perceived as disappeared from grazing lands. Perceptions diverge by livelihood: crop-oriented households emphasize water access, earlier departures, and longer stays in host zones; livestock-oriented households stress route changes and destination shifts. While host countries’ pastures support herd production, pastoralists face excessive taxation, reprisals, and conflicts during transhumance. These findings highlight the need for policy interventions to harmonize transhumance schedules and ease the pressures on crop- and livestock-oriented communities.
在全球范围内,特别是在西非,流动畜牧业通过牧民、牲畜和季节性资源之间的平衡转移来维持生计。随着气候变化的加剧,这种平衡面临越来越大的压力,但仍未得到充分的记录。这项研究考察了布基纳法索孔皮恩加省的气候趋势和农民的看法。我们将CHIRPS和ERA5-Land数据与271名农民(55% %以牲畜为导向;45% %以作物为导向)的调查相结合。使用谷歌Earth Engine对数据进行预处理和提取;分析包括月度矩阵图、年度时间序列和年代际主成分分析(PCA),并将PCA应用于农民感知数据。结果表明,与1981-2010年相比,2011-2024年的月气温和月降雨量发生了显著变化。近年来降雨强度增加,特别是在8月份。3月至6月气温明显升温,大部分2010年以后的观测值都超过了参考平均值。极端气候表明冷、热、湿指数持续变暖,这表明任何明显的降雨恢复都会被加速变暖导致的热应激迅速抵消。农民报告了对牧区系统的主要影响:草场稀缺、放牧走廊中断和流动模式改变。大约有23种饲料被认为从牧场上消失了。人们的看法因生计而异:以作物为导向的家庭强调取水、提早离开和在东道地区停留更长时间;以牲畜为导向的家庭强调路线的改变和目的地的转移。虽然东道国的牧场支持牧群生产,但牧民在迁移期间面临过度征税、报复和冲突。这些研究结果突出表明,需要采取政策干预措施,以协调农牧转换时间表,减轻以作物和牲畜为导向的社区所面临的压力。
{"title":"Climate change-induced threats to transhumance pastoral system in Burkina Faso, West Africa","authors":"Charles L. Sanou,&nbsp;Léonard D. Akoba","doi":"10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104244","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104244","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Globally, and particularly in West Africa, transhumant pastoralism sustains livelihoods through shifting equilibrium among herders, livestock, and seasonal resources. As climate change intensifies, this balance faces mounting stress, yet remains under-documented. This study examines climate trends and farmers’ perceptions in Burkina Faso’s Kompienga Province. We combined CHIRPS and ERA5-Land data with surveys of 271 farmers (55 % livestock-oriented; 45 % crop-oriented). Data preprocessing and extraction used Google Earth Engine; analyses included monthly matrix plots, annual time series, and decadal Principal Component Analysis (PCA) of climate indices in R. The PCA was also applied to farmer perception data. Results show significant shifts in monthly temperature and rainfall during 2011–2024 relative to the 1981–2010 climatology. Rainfall intensity increased, especially in August in recent years. Temperature warmed markedly from March to June, with most post-2010 observations exceeding reference means. Climate extremes indicate coherent warming across cold, hot, and wet indices suggesting that any apparent rain resumption is rapidly counterbalanced by heat stress driven by accelerated warming. Farmers report major impacts on pastoral systems: pasture scarcity, disrupted transhumance corridors, and altered mobility patterns. About twenty-three fodder species are perceived as disappeared from grazing lands. Perceptions diverge by livelihood: crop-oriented households emphasize water access, earlier departures, and longer stays in host zones; livestock-oriented households stress route changes and destination shifts. While host countries’ pastures support herd production, pastoralists face excessive taxation, reprisals, and conflicts during transhumance. These findings highlight the need for policy interventions to harmonize transhumance schedules and ease the pressures on crop- and livestock-oriented communities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":313,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Science & Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 104244"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2025-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145321647","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bridging equity and resilience: A Systematic review of social sustainability in climate change mitigation and adaptation 衔接公平和复原力:对减缓和适应气候变化的社会可持续性的系统审查
IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104243
Yasmin Hageer
Achieving meaningful climate action requires more than technological innovation; it demands social sustainability, equity, and inclusion. This systematic review synthesises findings from 67 peer-reviewed studies (2015–2025), a period marked by the Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development Goals, when social dimensions became central to climate governance. The analysis explores four interconnected themes: climate justice and equity, social resilience, community-driven solutions, and technological strategies for inclusive climate action. Sub-themes were developed inductively through pattern-based analysis, ensuring they emerged from the data rather than being predetermined.

Findings

show that effective climate outcomes arise when local knowledge, inclusive governance, and marginalised voices are central to decision-making. Persistent challenges include institutional barriers, data inequities, and the exclusion of Indigenous and local knowledge systems. In response, this paper introduces a novel framework that integrates environmental sustainability, digital ethics, and inclusive governance. Unlike techno-centric models, this framework places justice, equity, and community participation at the core of climate strategies.
It highlights how participatory AI, GeoAI, big data, and remote sensing can support—rather than replace, local solutions when guided by ethical design and co-creation. By linking emerging technologies with grassroots innovation and traditional stewardship, the framework enables holistic, socially legitimate climate action.
Policy recommendations are derived directly from the framework, ensuring alignment between theory, evidence, and practice. These include institutional reforms, equitable financing, capacity-building, and ethically governed digital tools. Ultimately, the study calls for a paradigm shift, from top-down interventions to inclusive, community-led governance that upholds human dignity and leaves no one behind.
实现有意义的气候行动需要的不仅仅是技术创新;它要求社会的可持续性、公平性和包容性。本系统综述综合了67项同行评议研究(2015-2025年)的结果,这一时期以《巴黎协定》和可持续发展目标为标志,社会层面成为气候治理的核心。该分析探讨了四个相互关联的主题:气候正义与公平、社会复原力、社区驱动的解决方案以及包容性气候行动的技术战略。次级主题是通过基于模式的分析归纳出来的,确保它们是从数据中产生的,而不是预先确定的。研究结果表明,当地方知识、包容性治理和边缘化声音成为决策的核心时,有效的气候结果就会出现。持续存在的挑战包括制度障碍、数据不平等以及土著和地方知识系统被排除在外。为此,本文引入了一个整合环境可持续性、数字伦理和包容性治理的新框架。与以技术为中心的模式不同,该框架将正义、公平和社区参与置于气候战略的核心。它强调了参与式人工智能、地理人工智能、大数据和遥感如何在道德设计和共同创造的指导下支持而不是取代地方解决方案。通过将新兴技术与基层创新和传统管理联系起来,该框架实现了全面的、具有社会合法性的气候行动。政策建议直接来自框架,确保理论、证据和实践之间的一致性。其中包括机构改革、公平融资、能力建设和道德治理的数字工具。最后,该研究呼吁转变模式,从自上而下的干预转向包容性的、社区主导的治理,以维护人类尊严,不让任何一个人掉队。
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Environmental Science & Policy
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