Accurate and rapid forecasting of CO2 trapping, mobility, and plume evolution under dynamic injection conditions is crucial for effective planning, operational optimization, and regulatory compliance in geological carbon storage (GCS) projects. Traditional analytical methods often rely on oversimplified assumptions, compromising accuracy, while numerical simulations, though precise, require extensive computational resources, limiting their utility for real-time scenario analysis.
To overcome these challenges, this study proposes an advanced deep learning framework for forecasting trapped and movable CO2 fractions and plume extent. An enhanced sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) neural network with a composite loss function robustly predicts CO2 volumetrics, while a hybrid Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) model forecasts CO2 plume extent. The models incorporate nine static geological and reservoir characteristics and dynamic injection profiles, capturing real-world injection complexities, including varying rates and intermittent schedules with multiple start-stop events. Training utilized several hundred high-fidelity numerical simulation realizations covering diverse geological and operational scenarios.
The enhanced Seq2Seq model achieved an average Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.016 for trapped and movable CO2 fractions, while the LSTM-MLP model attained an average MAE of 42 meters for plume diameter. These deep learning-driven surrogates drastically reduce computational time, providing accurate forecasts within seconds per scenario compared to conventional methods requiring hours. This significant advancement facilitates rapid, reliable decision-making, optimized storage strategies, and rigorous regulatory compliance in GCS initiatives.
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