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Physics-coupled machine learning toolset for geological carbon storage evaluation and performance analysis 用于地质碳储量评估和性能分析的物理耦合机器学习工具集
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104538
Guoxiang Liu , Xiongjun Wu , Chung-Yan Shih , Veronika Vasylkivska , Hema Siriwandane , Grant Bromhal
A comprehensive toolset that can provide fast and accurate design, survey, planning, monitoring, and evaluation of behaviors and responses in the reservoir field is essential to achieve successful geological carbon capture and storage (CCS) development and operations, with or without enhanced hydrocarbon recovery. Based on the physics of material balance between injection and extraction, the Capacitance Resistance Model (CRM) method can perform rapid history matching (HM), forecasting, and optimizations in operational scale. Such capabilities provide key operational guidance to users with insights of an individual well regarding its injection/extraction and bottom hole pressure (BHP), as well as inter-well connectivity of multiple wells in the field along with its flexible time-window capability for operation planning and development. Moreover, advanced artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning (ML) models developed for the virtual learning environment (VLE) are also coupled with the workflow to provide detailed three-dimensional reservoir field responses that are essential to the geological CCS monitoring and evaluation of the optimal reservoir management and risk reduction. The proposed approach with physics-informed ML demonstrates the value for emerging “SMART” field operations and reservoir management with three to four orders of magnitude speed-up in computational time in a real-time and near real-time fashion. Innovatively coupling CRM and virtual learning together brings a dual benefit for both rapid operational focus in field applications and drilling down to the detailed three-dimensional of reservoir evolutions. Such provides insights and comprehensive understanding for CO2 storage and other application potentials such as oil & gas, geothermal, and hydrogen applications.
无论是否提高油气采收率,能够提供快速、准确的设计、调查、规划、监测和评估储层行为和响应的综合工具集对于实现地质碳捕集与封存(CCS)开发和操作的成功至关重要。基于注入和萃取之间物质平衡的物理特性,电容电阻模型(CRM)方法可以在操作规模上进行快速历史匹配(HM)、预测和优化。这种能力为用户提供了关键的操作指导,可以了解单口井的注入/提取和井底压力(BHP),以及油田中多口井的井间连通性,并具有灵活的时间窗口能力,可以进行作业规划和开发。此外,为虚拟学习环境(VLE)开发的先进人工智能(AI)/机器学习(ML)模型也与工作流程相结合,提供详细的三维油藏现场响应,这对于地质CCS监测和评估最佳油藏管理和降低风险至关重要。基于物理信息的机器学习方法展示了新兴的“SMART”现场作业和油藏管理的价值,实时和接近实时的计算时间加快了3到4个数量级。创新地将CRM和虚拟学习结合在一起,为现场应用的快速操作重点和深入到油藏演化的详细三维钻井带来双重好处。这为二氧化碳储存和其他应用潜力(如石油和天然气、地热和氢应用)提供了见解和全面的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Enhanced hydrogeochemical baseline of a CO2 injection facility in southern Alberta, Canada 加拿大阿尔伯塔省南部二氧化碳注入设施的水文地球化学基线增强
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104545
Nicholas Utting , Kirk G. Osadetz , Bernhard Mayer , Tiago Morais , Stuart M.V. Gilfillan , Michael Nightingale , Thomas Darrah , Emma Martin-Roberts , Don Lawton
Geological storage of CO2 is anticipated to play a significant role in the management and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Monitoring of CO₂ injection facilities is essential to provide reassurance of the containment of the injected CO2. Here, we report results over six years (2018–2023) for a hydrogeological and geochemical (gas compositions, δ13CCH4, δ13CCO2, δ2HCH4 and noble gas concentration and isotopes) monitoring program at a small-scale CO2 injection facility located near Brooks, Alberta, Canada with injection ∼300 m below ground. The results provide a comprehensive record of the subsurface hydrological and geochemical conditions over the six-year period. Injected CO2 was not detected in samples from the injection zone. There was also no indication of injected CO2 in samples collected from surface casing vents of the three ∼300 m deep wells, nor was injected CO2 observed in samples from the six shallow groundwater wells (<105 m deep). Various compositional and isotopic changes have been observed over time which are interpreted to either be indirectly related to CO2 injection or completely unrelated indicating non-CO2 injection related variability in the baseline conditions of the site. Additionally, a progressive reduction in hydraulic head has been observed in some shallow aquifers consistent with drought conditions in the region. Our study implies that complex subsurface changes may occur at CO2 storage sites which may be unrelated to human activity, complicating the monitoring of CO2 injection.
预计二氧化碳的地质储存将在管理和减少温室气体排放方面发挥重要作用。对二氧化碳注入设施的监测对于确保注入的二氧化碳的密封至关重要。在这里,我们报告了在加拿大阿尔伯塔省布鲁克斯附近的一个小型二氧化碳注入设施进行的六年(2018-2023)水文地质和地球化学(气体成分,δ13CCH4, δ13CCO2, δ2HCH4和惰性气体浓度和同位素)监测计划的结果,该设施位于地下约300 m处。研究结果提供了六年来地下水文和地球化学条件的综合记录。注入区样品中未检测到注入的二氧化碳。从3 ~ 300米深井的地表套管喷口采集的样品中也没有发现注入的二氧化碳,从6口浅层地下水井(105米深)采集的样品中也没有观察到注入的二氧化碳。随着时间的推移,已经观察到各种成分和同位素的变化,这些变化被解释为与二氧化碳注入间接相关或完全无关,表明该地点基线条件下与二氧化碳注入无关的变化。此外,在一些浅层含水层观察到水力水头逐渐减少,这与该地区的干旱条件相一致。我们的研究表明,二氧化碳储存地点可能发生复杂的地下变化,这些变化可能与人类活动无关,从而使二氧化碳注入的监测复杂化。
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引用次数: 0
Feasibility of subsurface storage of hydrochar in the Netherlands as carbon dioxide removal technique 荷兰地下储存碳氢化合物作为二氧化碳去除技术的可行性
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104539
Timothy F. Baars , Hemmo A. Abels , Anne-Catherine A.M. Dieudonné , Joachim B. Hanssler , Sebastian Geiger
Hydrothermal carbonisation enables the conversion of wet biomass into hydrochar, a carbon-rich solid with potential for durable carbon dioxide removal (CDR). While hydrochar has been studied extensively for topics as soil application or wastewater treatment, its role in subsurface storage remains underexplored. This study examines the feasibility of hydrochar-based biomass carbon removal and storage (BiCRS) in the Netherlands, where abundant wet biomass and well-developed subsurface infrastructure offer a promising deployment context. We characterise the chemical and mechanical properties of manure-derived hydrochar and evaluate seven potential storage configurations, from abandoned coal mines to quarry lakes and lightweight fill applications, based on technical feasibility, environmental risk, and long-term containment. Our findings identify two priority pathways: storage in salt caverns and use as lightweight filling material for land elevation. A third pathway, storage in sand quarry lakes, also holds potential, though additional safeguards and site-specific assessments are needed to ensure environmental integrity and carbon retention. Hydrochar’s compatibility with wet, low-value feedstocks and potential for decentralised implementation position it as a flexible addition to the CDR portfolio. However, realising this potential will depend on further field validation, material optimisation, and regulatory alignment. Key uncertainties remain regarding long-term degradation, leachate behaviour, and performance under representative subsurface conditions. This study highlights hydrochar as a scalable, technically viable CDR approach. If supported by robust containment, monitoring, and governance frameworks, it could play a meaningful role in national and regional climate mitigation strategies.
水热碳化可以将湿生物质转化为碳氢化合物,这是一种富含碳的固体,具有持久去除二氧化碳(CDR)的潜力。虽然碳氢化合物在土壤应用或废水处理等方面已被广泛研究,但其在地下储存中的作用仍未得到充分探索。本研究探讨了在荷兰采用基于碳氢化合物的生物质碳去除和储存(BiCRS)的可行性,荷兰丰富的湿生物质和发达的地下基础设施提供了一个有前景的部署环境。我们描述了粪便衍生碳氢化合物的化学和机械特性,并基于技术可行性、环境风险和长期控制,评估了七种潜在的储存配置,从废弃的煤矿到采石场湖泊和轻质填料应用。我们的研究结果确定了两种优先途径:在盐洞中储存和作为陆地高程的轻质填充材料使用。第三种途径,即储存在采石场湖泊中,也有潜力,尽管需要额外的保障措施和特定地点的评估,以确保环境的完整性和碳保留。碳氢化合物与湿的、低价值的原料的兼容性以及分散实施的潜力使其成为CDR组合中灵活的补充。然而,实现这一潜力将取决于进一步的现场验证、材料优化和法规一致性。主要的不确定性仍然存在于长期降解、渗滤液行为和代表性地下条件下的性能。这项研究强调了碳氢化合物是一种可扩展的、技术上可行的CDR方法。如果得到强有力的遏制、监测和治理框架的支持,它可以在国家和区域减缓气候变化战略中发挥有意义的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated CO2-EOR and post-EOR dedicated CO2 storage: Demonstrating the value of coupled system and optimal incentive structures 集成二氧化碳- eor和eor后专用二氧化碳储存:展示耦合系统和最佳激励结构的价值
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104543
Abouzar Mirzaei-Paiaman , Larry W. Lake , Lorena G. Moscardelli
<div><div>Injecting anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> into oil reservoirs provides the dual benefits of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and reduced atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> levels. After a CO<sub>2</sub>-EOR project ends, operations can transition into dedicated CO<sub>2</sub> storage, wherein CO<sub>2</sub> injection continues without further oil production. However, most prior studies have treated CO<sub>2</sub>-EOR and dedicated storage as separate processes, potentially overlooking important interdependencies. This separation may limit the optimization of both economic and environmental outcomes. In this study, we adopt an integrated approach that jointly considers the EOR and post-EOR phases, with the objective of maximizing benefits across the entire project timeline. We demonstrate the value of the integrated system using a case study from a San Andres reservoir in the Permian Basin, West Texas, and also use it to provide first-order estimates of optimal carbon storage incentives for both phases. Optimality is defined as the level of incentive that aligns economic returns with environmental gains. Using a compositional simulation model, we compared two integrated strategies under identical conditions: (1) continuous CO<sub>2</sub> injection and (2) CO<sub>2</sub>-WAG (Water-Alternating-Gas), each followed by a post-EOR CO<sub>2</sub> storage phase. The CO<sub>2</sub>-WAG approach yielded higher oil production but resulted in lower CO<sub>2</sub> storage compared to continuous injection, with the reduction in CO<sub>2</sub> storage observed during both the EOR and post-EOR phases. A similar trend was observed in terms of net CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, further reinforcing that CO<sub>2</sub>-WAG is less favorable from climate perspective. Economically, the relative attractiveness of each strategy was highly dependent on the level of incentives. At lower incentive levels, the CO<sub>2</sub>-WAG strategy was more profitable, both during the EOR phase and over the entire integrated system. However, as incentives increased, certain scenarios emerged where CO<sub>2</sub>-WAG remained more profitable only during the EOR phase, while the strategy involving continuous CO<sub>2</sub> injection became economically superior over the full integrated system. In some cases, continuous injection was consistently more profitable in both the EOR phase and the integrated context. These findings underscore the importance of evaluating CO<sub>2</sub>-EOR and post-EOR storage as a single, integrated system. Economic superiority during the EOR phase alone does not guarantee optimal outcomes across the full project period. Moreover, compromising CO<sub>2</sub> storage during the EOR phase can make it implausible to achieve maximum storage potential in the integrated system. These results also highlight the critical role of well-designed incentive structures in aligning economic and environmental goals, ensuring that the most economically beneficial strategy also delivers
向油藏中注入人为二氧化碳具有提高采收率(EOR)和降低大气二氧化碳水平的双重好处。在CO2- eor项目结束后,作业可以过渡到专用的CO2储存,其中CO2注入继续进行,而无需进一步生产石油。然而,大多数先前的研究都将CO2-EOR和专用存储视为独立的过程,可能忽略了重要的相互依赖性。这种分离可能会限制经济和环境结果的优化。在这项研究中,我们采用了一种综合方法,共同考虑了EOR和EOR后阶段,目标是在整个项目时间内实现效益最大化。我们通过德克萨斯州西部二叠纪盆地San Andres油藏的案例研究证明了集成系统的价值,并使用它来提供两个阶段的最佳碳储存激励的一阶估计。最优性被定义为使经济回报与环境收益相一致的激励水平。利用成分模拟模型,我们在相同的条件下比较了两种综合策略:(1)连续注入二氧化碳和(2)CO2- wag(水-气交替),每一种策略都有一个提高采收率后的二氧化碳储存阶段。与连续注入相比,CO2- wag方法的产油量更高,但二氧化碳储存量更低,在EOR和EOR后阶段都观察到二氧化碳储存量的降低。在CO2净排放量方面也观察到类似的趋势,进一步强化了CO2- wag从气候角度来看不太有利的观点。在经济上,每项战略的相对吸引力高度依赖于激励的水平。在较低的激励水平下,无论是在提高采收率阶段还是在整个集成系统中,CO2-WAG策略都更有利可图。然而,随着激励措施的增加,出现了某些情况,即CO2- wag仅在EOR阶段更有利可图,而持续注入CO2的策略在经济上优于完整的集成系统。在某些情况下,连续注入在EOR阶段和综合环境中都具有更高的利润。这些发现强调了将CO2-EOR和eor后存储作为一个单一的综合系统进行评估的重要性。仅在提高采收率阶段的经济优势并不能保证整个项目期间的最佳结果。此外,在提高采收率阶段降低二氧化碳的储存可能会使集成系统难以实现最大的储存潜力。这些结果还强调了设计良好的激励结构在协调经济和环境目标方面的关键作用,确保最具经济效益的战略也能带来最大的气候效益。
{"title":"Integrated CO2-EOR and post-EOR dedicated CO2 storage: Demonstrating the value of coupled system and optimal incentive structures","authors":"Abouzar Mirzaei-Paiaman ,&nbsp;Larry W. Lake ,&nbsp;Lorena G. Moscardelli","doi":"10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104543","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104543","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;div&gt;Injecting anthropogenic CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; into oil reservoirs provides the dual benefits of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and reduced atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; levels. After a CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-EOR project ends, operations can transition into dedicated CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; storage, wherein CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; injection continues without further oil production. However, most prior studies have treated CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-EOR and dedicated storage as separate processes, potentially overlooking important interdependencies. This separation may limit the optimization of both economic and environmental outcomes. In this study, we adopt an integrated approach that jointly considers the EOR and post-EOR phases, with the objective of maximizing benefits across the entire project timeline. We demonstrate the value of the integrated system using a case study from a San Andres reservoir in the Permian Basin, West Texas, and also use it to provide first-order estimates of optimal carbon storage incentives for both phases. Optimality is defined as the level of incentive that aligns economic returns with environmental gains. Using a compositional simulation model, we compared two integrated strategies under identical conditions: (1) continuous CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; injection and (2) CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-WAG (Water-Alternating-Gas), each followed by a post-EOR CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; storage phase. The CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-WAG approach yielded higher oil production but resulted in lower CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; storage compared to continuous injection, with the reduction in CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; storage observed during both the EOR and post-EOR phases. A similar trend was observed in terms of net CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions, further reinforcing that CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-WAG is less favorable from climate perspective. Economically, the relative attractiveness of each strategy was highly dependent on the level of incentives. At lower incentive levels, the CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-WAG strategy was more profitable, both during the EOR phase and over the entire integrated system. However, as incentives increased, certain scenarios emerged where CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-WAG remained more profitable only during the EOR phase, while the strategy involving continuous CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; injection became economically superior over the full integrated system. In some cases, continuous injection was consistently more profitable in both the EOR phase and the integrated context. These findings underscore the importance of evaluating CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-EOR and post-EOR storage as a single, integrated system. Economic superiority during the EOR phase alone does not guarantee optimal outcomes across the full project period. Moreover, compromising CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; storage during the EOR phase can make it implausible to achieve maximum storage potential in the integrated system. These results also highlight the critical role of well-designed incentive structures in aligning economic and environmental goals, ensuring that the most economically beneficial strategy also delivers ","PeriodicalId":334,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control","volume":"149 ","pages":"Article 104543"},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145692543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does the release of toxic metals due to subsurface CO2 storage in basalts pose an environmental hazard? 由于玄武岩地下二氧化碳储存而释放的有毒金属是否会对环境造成危害?
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104526
Deirdre E. Clark , Iwona M. Galeczka , Sigurður R. Gíslason , Sandra Ó. Snæbjörnsdóttir , Ingvi Gunnarsson , Eric H. Oelkers
Carbon dioxide storage through the carbonation of subsurface basaltic rocks is currently being explored to limit carbon emissions to the atmosphere. Basaltic rocks, however, contain trace and toxic metals that could potentially be mobilized by the carbonation process. This study reports the degree to which selected trace and toxic metals were mobilized during CarbFix1 and CarbFix2 projects. CarbFix1 injected 175 tons of CO2-charged water followed by 73 tons of CO2/H2S-charged water into basalts at 35 °C, whereas CarbFix2 continuously injected CO2/H2S-charged water into basalts at >250 °C. In most cases dissolved concentrations of Ba, Sr, Mo, Cu, Cr, Ni, Cd, and Pb in monitoring well fluids remained low. Although these fluids are not intended for human consumption, the aqueous trace element concentrations were generally below the WHO, EU, and Iceland drinking water standards, except for Fe and Mn in CarbFix1. Aluminum and As concentrations exceeded these standards during CarbFix2, but were elevated before injection. The low concentrations of most trace and toxic metals are consistent with their removal by secondary processes, particularly co-precipitation into carbonate and sulfide minerals formed during gas-water-basalt interaction. Solid precipitates recovered from CarbFix1 show strong enrichment of transition metals in calcite, consistent with natural and engineered analogues. As the two CarbFix injections bound the lower and upper temperature ranges of likely mineral carbon storage efforts, these results suggest limited risk of water contamination due to toxic and trace element release from subsurface basalts due to the injection of dissolved CO2 and H2S.
目前正在探索通过地下玄武岩的碳酸化来储存二氧化碳,以限制碳排放到大气中。然而,玄武岩中含有微量和有毒的金属,这些金属可能会通过碳化过程被动员起来。本研究报告了在CarbFix1和CarbFix2项目中选定的痕量和有毒金属的动员程度。CarbFix1先向玄武岩注入175吨含二氧化碳的水,然后在35℃下注入73吨含二氧化碳/硫化氢的水,而CarbFix2则在250℃下连续向玄武岩注入含二氧化碳/硫化氢的水。在大多数情况下,监测井流体中Ba、Sr、Mo、Cu、Cr、Ni、Cd和Pb的溶解浓度仍然很低。虽然这些液体不是供人类饮用的,但水中微量元素的浓度普遍低于世界卫生组织、欧盟和冰岛的饮用水标准,除了CarbFix1中的铁和锰。在CarbFix2期间,铝和砷的浓度超过了这些标准,但在注射前升高。大多数微量和有毒金属的低浓度与它们通过二次过程去除一致,特别是在气-水-玄武岩相互作用过程中形成的碳酸盐和硫化物矿物中共沉淀。从CarbFix1中回收的固体沉淀物显示方解石中过渡金属的富集,与天然和工程类似物一致。由于两次CarbFix注入限制了可能的矿物碳储存工作的上下温度范围,因此这些结果表明,由于注入溶解的CO2和H2S,地下玄武岩释放出有毒和微量元素,因此水污染的风险有限。
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引用次数: 0
Scaling carbon capture and storage (CCS) to gigaton capacity: A multi-dimensional and critical review 将碳捕集与封存(CCS)规模扩大到千兆吨容量:多维度和批判性回顾
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104531
Benjamin Mitterrutzner , Benjamin K. Sovacool , Brage Rugstad Knudsen , Morgan D. Bazilian , Jinsoo Kim , Simon Roussanaly , Asgeir Tomasgard , Steven Griffiths
This Review examines the role of carbon capture and storage (CCS) in achieving net-zero emissions by 2050, focusing on its scale-up and integration across energy systems and hard-to-abate industries. Its interdisciplinary approach provides a comprehensive review of the state-of-the-art in CCS research, evaluating its potential role in achieving net-zero emissions. It assesses not only technological advancements and characteristics but also the critical costs and energy requirements of various CCS technologies. Based on modelling insights from the International Energy Agency Net Zero Emissions pathway, it highlights the need to scale CCS deployment to 1 Gt CO₂ annually by 2030 to stay on track for climate goals. This review piece underscores the urgency of rapid CCS scale-up this decade, complementing other measures across energy and industry. Furthermore, it assesses the recent advancements in CO₂ capture, transport, and storage technologies, along with their techno-economic characteristics and results in energy system models. The study concludes by identifying key challenges and providing a strategy roadmap for decision-makers for accelerating CCS deployment.
本综述探讨了碳捕集与封存(CCS)在到2050年实现净零排放方面的作用,重点关注其在能源系统和难以减排的行业中的扩大和整合。它的跨学科方法对CCS研究的最新进展进行了全面回顾,评估了其在实现净零排放方面的潜在作用。它不仅评估了技术的进步和特点,而且还评估了各种CCS技术的关键成本和能源需求。基于国际能源机构净零排放路径的建模见解,该报告强调了到2030年将CCS部署规模扩大到每年1亿吨二氧化碳的必要性,以保持气候目标的正轨。这篇综述文章强调了在这十年内迅速扩大CCS规模的紧迫性,并补充了能源和工业领域的其他措施。此外,它还评估了CO₂捕获、运输和储存技术的最新进展,以及它们的技术经济特征和能源系统模型的结果。该研究通过确定关键挑战并为决策者提供加速CCS部署的战略路线图来结束。
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引用次数: 0
AI-driven rapid forecasting of CO2 plume migration and trapping efficiency in geological carbon storage 人工智能驱动的地质储碳中CO2羽流迁移和捕集效率快速预测
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104535
Oluwasanmi Talabi , Guodong Ren , Siddharth Misra
Accurate and rapid forecasting of CO2 trapping, mobility, and plume evolution under dynamic injection conditions is crucial for effective planning, operational optimization, and regulatory compliance in geological carbon storage (GCS) projects. Traditional analytical methods often rely on oversimplified assumptions, compromising accuracy, while numerical simulations, though precise, require extensive computational resources, limiting their utility for real-time scenario analysis.
To overcome these challenges, this study proposes an advanced deep learning framework for forecasting trapped and movable CO2 fractions and plume extent. An enhanced sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) neural network with a composite loss function robustly predicts CO2 volumetrics, while a hybrid Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) model forecasts CO2 plume extent. The models incorporate nine static geological and reservoir characteristics and dynamic injection profiles, capturing real-world injection complexities, including varying rates and intermittent schedules with multiple start-stop events. Training utilized several hundred high-fidelity numerical simulation realizations covering diverse geological and operational scenarios.
The enhanced Seq2Seq model achieved an average Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.016 for trapped and movable CO2 fractions, while the LSTM-MLP model attained an average MAE of 42 meters for plume diameter. These deep learning-driven surrogates drastically reduce computational time, providing accurate forecasts within seconds per scenario compared to conventional methods requiring hours. This significant advancement facilitates rapid, reliable decision-making, optimized storage strategies, and rigorous regulatory compliance in GCS initiatives.
准确、快速地预测动态注入条件下的CO2捕集、流动性和烟羽演化,对于地质碳封存(GCS)项目的有效规划、操作优化和监管合规至关重要。传统的分析方法往往依赖于过于简化的假设,影响了准确性,而数值模拟虽然精确,但需要大量的计算资源,限制了它们在实时情景分析中的实用性。为了克服这些挑战,本研究提出了一种先进的深度学习框架,用于预测捕获和可移动的CO2组分和羽流范围。基于复合损失函数的增强型序列对序列(Seq2Seq)神经网络稳健地预测CO2体积,而长短期记忆(LSTM)和多层感知器(MLP)混合模型预测CO2羽流程度。该模型结合了9种静态地质和油藏特征以及动态注入剖面,捕捉了实际注入的复杂性,包括不同的速率和具有多个启停事件的间歇时间表。培训使用了数百个高保真数值模拟实现,涵盖了不同的地质和操作场景。增强型Seq2Seq模型对捕获和可移动CO2馏分的平均平均绝对误差(MAE)为0.016,而LSTM-MLP模型对羽流直径的平均MAE为42米。这些深度学习驱动的替代品大大减少了计算时间,与需要数小时的传统方法相比,每个场景在几秒钟内提供准确的预测。这一重大进步促进了快速、可靠的决策、优化的存储策略和严格的GCS计划法规遵从性。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling atmospheric impacts of amine emissions from post-combustion carbon capture systems 模拟燃烧后碳捕获系统排放的胺对大气的影响
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104532
Prakash Karamchandani , Tianyu Gao , Pradeepa Vennam , Greg Yarwood , Eladio Knipping , Abhoyjit S. Bhown
This paper describes the application of a photochemical puff model, the Second-Order Closure Integrated Puff Model with Chemistry (SCICHEM), to simulate the impacts of air emissions associated with amine-based post-combustion CO2 capture. Amines react in the atmosphere with the hydroxyl (OH) radical and other oxidants to form potentially harmful products, such as nitrosamines and nitramines. Amines can also form particles with sulfuric acid that may be present in the amine absorber or in the atmosphere. Nitrosamines can photolyze back to the amino radical. Simulating these processes requires the use of a photochemical model that can provide concentrations of the oxidants that influence amine chemistry. In this work, SCICHEM was adapted to include the chemistry of three amines: monoethanolamine (MEA), 2-amino-2-methylpropanol (AMP) and piperazine (PZ). These solvents were chosen since more thermodynamic and kinetic data are available for these amines than for other proprietary amines. The model was applied to the Midwest and Gulf Coast regions in the United States to evaluate the air quality impacts of amine-based post-combustion carbon capture (PCCC) systems applied to natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) and coal-fired power plants. Three representative amine solvents (PZ, MEA, and CESAR 1, a blend of PZ and AMP) were studied, and configurations with water wash and with acid wash were used in the modeling. The results show that with water wash, the long-term annual average air concentrations of nitrosamines + nitramines for all three solvents are well below the exposure limit of 0.3 ng/m3 established by the Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NIPH). However, the 98th percentile of the 24 h averages of nitrosamine + nitramine are above the exposure limit, indicating some health concern from short-term exposure. Using acid wash resulted in significant reductions in nitrosamine + nitramine concentrations, as well as in total PM2.5. For PZ and MEA, using acid wash reduced the peak 24 h and 98th percentile 24 h nitrosamine + nitramine concentrations to below the limit. However, for some of the CESAR 1 solvent scenarios, the threshold is still exceeded when acid wash is used.
本文描述了光化学烟雾模型的应用,即二阶封闭化学综合烟雾模型(SCICHEM),以模拟与胺基燃烧后二氧化碳捕获相关的空气排放的影响。胺在大气中与羟基(OH)自由基和其他氧化剂发生反应,形成潜在的有害产物,如亚硝胺和硝胺。胺也可以与可能存在于胺吸收剂或大气中的硫酸形成颗粒。亚硝胺可以光解回氨基基。模拟这些过程需要使用光化学模型,该模型可以提供影响胺化学的氧化剂浓度。在这项工作中,scihem被改编为包括三种胺的化学:单乙醇胺(MEA), 2-氨基-2-甲基丙醇(AMP)和哌嗪(PZ)。选择这些溶剂是因为这些胺比其他专有胺有更多的热力学和动力学数据。该模型应用于美国中西部和墨西哥湾沿岸地区,以评估天然气联合循环(NGCC)和燃煤电厂应用胺基燃烧后碳捕集(PCCC)系统对空气质量的影响。研究了三种代表性的胺溶剂(PZ, MEA和CESAR 1, PZ和AMP的混合物),并采用水洗和酸洗配置进行建模。结果表明,用水洗涤时,所有三种溶剂的亚硝胺+硝胺的长期年平均空气浓度远低于挪威公共卫生研究所(NIPH)确定的0.3纳克/立方米的暴露限值。然而,亚硝胺+硝胺的24小时平均值中有98个百分位高于暴露限值,表明短期暴露会带来一些健康问题。使用酸洗可以显著降低亚硝胺+硝胺浓度,以及PM2.5总量。对于PZ和MEA,酸洗使24 h峰值和第98百分位24 h亚硝胺+硝胺浓度降至限值以下。然而,对于一些CESAR 1溶剂场景,当使用酸洗时仍然超过阈值。
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引用次数: 0
Enhanced imaging of multi-layer CO2 plumes using full-waveform inversion: Insights from the Sleipner storage site 利用全波形反演增强多层CO2羽流成像:来自Sleipner存储站点的见解
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104517
Ricardo Martinez , Vetle Vinje , Joachim Mispel , Philip Ringrose , Alexey Stovas , Martin Landrø
In this study, we demonstrate the benefits of applying full-waveform inversion (FWI), for the imaging of multi-layer CO2 plumes. We apply 3D FWI, up to 42 Hz, using the 2010 towed-streamer data from the Sleipner storage site offshore Norway. While the 3D FWI method does not aim to replace 4D FWI for CO2 migration monitoring, the properties of the Utsira aquifer at Sleipner, with low stiffness and shallow burial depth, enable effective mapping of the CO2 without the need of a repeated FWI application. Our FWI model and associated images offer a significant imaging improvement in the lower half of the plume compared with the legacy seismic data, revealing vertical CO2 migration routes that have not been observed previously at the site. We show the limitations of reflection-based migration methods for imaging CO2 migration pathways and demonstrate that FWI can improve their detection. The FWI model can support conventional time-lapse analyses by improving the interpretation of known CO2 migration routes, by highlighting CO2 layers with low reflectivity, and by attenuating multiples better. Our analysis suggests that CO2 migration at Sleipner is likely controlled by several vertical communication routes, including chimneys, and linear structures, several hundreds of meters long, that connect multiple accumulations of CO2. Within each layer, our analysis suggests buoyancy-driven, fill-to-spill migration, constrained by the topography of the sealing units. Finally, we conclude that, while simple CO2 accumulations can be monitored successfully using reflection-based migration methods and analyses, multi-layered CO2 plumes will greatly benefit from complementary analyses using FWI.
在这项研究中,我们展示了应用全波形反演(FWI)对多层CO2羽流成像的好处。我们使用了3D FWI,频率高达42 Hz,使用了2010年挪威近海Sleipner存储站点的拖曳拖缆数据。虽然3D FWI方法的目标不是取代4D FWI进行二氧化碳迁移监测,但Sleipner的Utsira含水层具有低刚度和浅埋深的特性,无需重复使用FWI即可有效绘制CO2。与传统的地震数据相比,我们的FWI模型和相关图像在羽流的下半部分提供了显着的成像改进,揭示了以前在现场未观察到的二氧化碳垂直迁移路线。我们展示了基于反射的迁移方法在成像CO2迁移路径方面的局限性,并证明了FWI可以改善它们的检测。FWI模型可以通过改进对已知二氧化碳迁移路线的解释,突出低反射率的二氧化碳层,以及更好地衰减倍数,来支持传统的延时分析。我们的分析表明,Sleipner的二氧化碳迁移可能受到几条垂直通信路线的控制,包括烟囱和数百米长的线性结构,这些结构连接了多个二氧化碳的积累。我们的分析表明,在每一层中,受密封单元地形的限制,浮力驱动的溢油迁移。最后,我们得出结论,虽然使用基于反射的迁移方法和分析可以成功地监测简单的二氧化碳积累,但多层二氧化碳羽流将极大地受益于使用FWI的补充分析。
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引用次数: 0
Regional pressure response to large-scale carbon storage in the bunter sandstone formation, Silverpit Basin (Southern North Sea, UK) 英国南北海Silverpit盆地bunter砂岩组大规模碳储量的区域压力响应
IF 5.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104530
Mattia De Luca , Eric J. Mackay , Timothy R. Good , Vittorio Scisciani , Colin MacBeth , Stefano Patruno , Joseph Sutcliffe
Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technologies play a pivotal role in mitigating anthropogenic carbon emissions by enabling the long-term subsurface sequestration of CO2. These are essential for achieving international climate targets and supporting short- to mid-term mitigation strategies. Among potential storage sites, the extensive saline aquifer of the Bunter Sandstone in the Silverpit Basin has been identified as a high-capacity reservoir suitable for CCS deployment. With more CO2 injection projects planned, understanding the broader aquifer sensitivity is essential.
This study investigates the influence of geological settings and boundary transmissibility on the aquifer response to large-scale CO2 injection.
A regional model of the Silverpit was developed to simulate CO2 injection at a rate of 1 Mt/yr/well over 50 years across 14 wells, followed by a 5000-year post-injection observation period to assess plume migration and pressure behaviour.
The findings indicate that the reservoir can safely accommodate approximately 700 Mt of supercritical CO2. However, pressure footprint extends over tens of kilometres, underscoring the necessity of accurately characterising regional boundaries. Moreover, the latter significantly influences inter-regional flow dynamics, with observed inversions in flow direction. The structural setting of the Silverpit ensures effective CO2 containment within four-way dip closures. A thorough understanding of these interactions is crucial for evaluating the potential need for brine production to manage reservoir pressure and mitigate pressure interference between storage licenses.
碳捕获与封存(CCS)技术通过实现二氧化碳的长期地下封存,在减少人为碳排放方面发挥着关键作用。这对于实现国际气候目标和支持短期至中期缓解战略至关重要。在潜在的储存地点中,Silverpit盆地Bunter砂岩的广泛含盐含水层已被确定为适合CCS部署的高容量储层。随着更多的二氧化碳注入项目的计划,了解更广泛的含水层敏感性至关重要。研究了地质环境和边界透射率对含水层大规模注入CO2响应的影响。开发了Silverpit的区域模型,模拟了14口井50年内以100万吨/年/井的速度注入二氧化碳,随后进行了5000年的注入后观察期,以评估烟羽迁移和压力行为。研究结果表明,该储层可以安全容纳约700 Mt的超临界CO2。然而,压力足迹延伸超过数十公里,强调了准确描述区域边界的必要性。此外,后者显著影响区域间流动动力学,在流动方向上观察到逆温。Silverpit的结构设置确保了有效的二氧化碳遏制在四个方向的倾斜封闭。全面了解这些相互作用对于评估盐水生产的潜在需求至关重要,以管理储层压力并减轻存储许可证之间的压力干扰。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control
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