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Word-of-Mouth Networks and Adoption Cascades 口碑网络和采用级联
Pub Date : 2009-12-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1081528
Vincent Mak
We examine how word-of-mouth learning may lead to uniform and possibly inefficient actions in finite time among a network of agents. In our model, agents are identically informed a priori and observe network neighbors’ actions as well as the payoffs of some or all of those actions (a stylization of word-of-mouth communication of product choice and consumption experience). We identify conditions under which actions become uniform in finite time, in which agents disregard observed payoffs and imitate observed actions. Our results also allow us to interpret critical mass and network brokerage effects through word-of-mouth learning without invoking extraneous utility assumptions.
我们研究了口碑学习如何在有限时间内导致代理网络中的统一和可能低效的行为。在我们的模型中,代理被告知相同的先验,并观察网络邻居的行为以及部分或全部这些行为的回报(产品选择和消费体验的口碑传播的风格化)。我们确定了行为在有限时间内变得一致的条件,在这种条件下,代理无视观察到的收益并模仿观察到的行为。我们的研究结果还允许我们通过口碑学习来解释临界质量和网络经纪效应,而无需调用无关的效用假设。
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引用次数: 1
The Sealed-Bid Abstraction in Online Auctions 在线拍卖中的密封竞价抽象
Pub Date : 2009-12-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1028063
Robert Zeithammer, C. Adams
This paper presents five empirical tests of the popular modeling abstraction that assumes bids from online auctions with proxy bidding can be analyzed “as if” they were bids from a second-price sealed-bid auction. The tests rely on observations of the magnitudes and timings of the top two proxy bids, with the different tests stemming from different regularity assumptions about the underlying distribution of valuation signals. We apply the tests to data from three eBay markets---MP3 players, DVDs, and used cars---and we reject the sealed-bid abstraction in all three data sets. A closer examination of these rejections suggests that they are driven by less experienced bidders. This consistent rejection casts doubt on several existing theories of online auction behavior and suggests some demand estimates based on the abstraction can be biased. To assess the direction and magnitude of this bias, we propose and estimate a new model in which some bidders conform to the abstraction while other bidders bid in a reactive fashion. Because reactive bidding can be at least partially detected from the data, we are able to estimate the underlying distribution of demand and compare it to what the sealed-bid abstraction implies. We find that our proposed model fits the data better, and our demand estimates reveal a large potential downward bias were we to assume the second-price sealed-bid model instead.
本文提出了流行的建模抽象的五个实证检验,假设代理竞价的在线拍卖出价可以“像”分析来自第二价格密封竞价拍卖的出价一样。这些测试依赖于对前两个代理出价的幅度和时间的观察,不同的测试源于对估值信号潜在分布的不同规律性假设。我们将测试应用于来自三个eBay市场的数据——MP3播放器、dvd和二手车——并且我们拒绝在所有三个数据集中使用密封投标抽象。对这些拒绝的更仔细研究表明,它们是由经验不足的竞标者推动的。这种一致的拒绝使人们对一些现有的在线拍卖行为理论产生了怀疑,并表明一些基于抽象的需求估计可能存在偏见。为了评估这种偏差的方向和程度,我们提出并估计了一个新的模型,其中一些投标人符合抽象,而其他投标人以被动的方式投标。因为反应式投标至少可以从数据中部分检测到,我们能够估计需求的潜在分布,并将其与密封投标抽象所暗示的进行比较。我们发现,我们提出的模型更符合数据,我们的需求估计显示,如果我们假设第二价格密封投标模型,那么潜在的向下偏差很大。
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引用次数: 60
Blogs and the Economics of Reciprocal Attention 博客和互惠关注的经济学
Pub Date : 2009-10-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1291376
Alexia Gaudeul, L. Mathieu, C. Peroni
Blogs differ from other media in that authors are usually not remunerated and inscribe themselves in communities of similarly minded individuals. Bloggers value reciprocal attention, interaction with other bloggers and information from reading other blogs; they value being read but also writing itself, irrespective of an audience. A novel dataset from a major blogging community, LiveJournal, is used to verify predictions from a model of social networking. Content production and blogging activity are found to be related to the size and degree of asymmetry of the relational networks in which bloggers are inscribed.
博客与其他媒体的不同之处在于,作者通常没有报酬,并将自己写在志同道合的人的社区中。博主重视相互关注、与其他博主的互动以及阅读其他博客获得的信息;他们看重的是被阅读,也看重写作本身,不管读者是谁。一个来自主要博客社区LiveJournal的新数据集被用来验证来自社交网络模型的预测。内容生产和博客活动被发现与博客所处的关系网络的大小和不对称程度有关。
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引用次数: 3
Acceptable Risk in a Two-Asset Game 双资产博弈中的可接受风险
Pub Date : 2009-10-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1320993
Matjaž Steinbacher
A social network model has been used to simulate how agents of different levels of risk aversion and the level of suspiciousness behave on a two-asset market when deciding between risk-free and a risky asset. The developments of the games are path-dependent. A significant feature of the paper is that mean returns of assets are a key determinant of the decision-making, while the variance as such is not. It has been demonstrated that the level of suspiciousness has a significant effect on the decision-making. Under most of the circumstances, pure risk-loving turns out to dominate over risk-aversion.
一个社会网络模型已经被用来模拟不同程度的风险厌恶和怀疑水平的代理人在两种资产市场上如何在无风险和风险资产之间做出决定。游戏的发展依赖于路径。本文的一个重要特征是,资产的平均收益是决策的关键决定因素,而方差则不是。研究表明,怀疑程度对决策有显著影响。在大多数情况下,纯粹的风险偏好压倒了风险厌恶。
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引用次数: 0
Internet Penetration and Capacity Utilization in the US Airline Industry 美国航空业的互联网普及率和运力利用率
Pub Date : 2009-09-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1297341
James D Dana, Eugene Orlov
Airline capacity utilization increased dramatically between 1993 and 2007, after staying fairly level following deregulation. We argue that consumers' use of the Internet to investigate and purchase airline tickets reduces market frictions and allows airlines to meet demand with less capacity and higher load factors. We find that differences in the rate of change of metropolitan area Internet penetration are positively correlated with differences in the rate of change of airlines' airport-pair load factors. Consistent with our explanation, this correlation is greater on flights in more competitive markets and on flights with fewer total passengers.
1993年至2007年间,航空公司的运力利用率急剧上升,此前在放松管制后一直保持在相当水平。我们认为,消费者使用互联网调查和购买机票减少了市场摩擦,并允许航空公司以更低的运力和更高的载客率来满足需求。研究发现,都市圈互联网普及率的变化率差异与航空公司机场对客座率的变化率差异呈正相关。与我们的解释一致,在竞争更激烈的市场和总乘客较少的航班上,这种相关性更大。
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引用次数: 68
'Innovation Profiler' - Identification and Prioritisation of Innovation Factors Based on Social Network Analysis “创新剖析器”-基于社会网络分析的创新因素识别和优先排序
Pub Date : 2009-07-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1433784
Tobias Müller-Prothmann, Holger Rhinow
Innovation is essential for both economies and companies to ensure competitiveness in today’s global markets. While many companies struggle with this task, others seem to take maximum advantage of their resources. The difference between innovation leaders and less innovative organisations can be ascribed to a variety of factors such as innovation infrastructure or corporate culture. Given limited resources, companies need to prioritise their efforts to become and remain innovative. The ‘Innovation Profiler’ is a tool to undertaking an individual analysis of a company’s innovation infrastructure and behaviour. It takes into account not only success factors but identifies disruptive factors for the development of a robust innovation management. The ‘Innovation Profiler’ provides insights into interrelations between various factors in order to understand their individual impact on the innovation capability. Analytical measures to analyse complex interrelations are based on methods of social network analysis (SNA). As a result, organisations are enabled to leverage their innovative potential by focusing on selected factors that are identified as highly relevant for their specific innovation management.
创新对于经济体和企业在当今全球市场上确保竞争力至关重要。虽然许多公司都在努力完成这项任务,但其他公司似乎最大限度地利用了他们的资源。创新领导者和不那么创新的组织之间的差异可以归因于创新基础设施或企业文化等多种因素。鉴于资源有限,企业需要优先努力成为并保持创新。“创新分析器”是一种对公司的创新基础设施和行为进行单独分析的工具。它不仅考虑了成功因素,而且确定了稳健创新管理发展的破坏性因素。“创新分析”提供了各种因素之间的相互关系,以便了解它们对创新能力的个别影响。分析复杂相互关系的分析方法是基于社会网络分析(SNA)的方法。因此,组织能够通过专注于被确定为与其特定创新管理高度相关的选定因素来利用其创新潜力。
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引用次数: 2
The Impact of Networking on Bank Financing: The Case of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in Vietnam 网络对银行融资的影响:以越南中小企业为例
Pub Date : 2009-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6520.2009.00330.x
Ngoc-Thang B. Le, Thang V. Nguyen
It is argued that networking is crucial for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), particularly in emerging economies as they seek to access resources for development. One key resource in emerging economies is bank financing. In this paper, we develop a model that examines the net effect of different network ties on bank financing to private SMEs. The results support our hypothesis that different network ties influence SMEs' use of bank loans in different ways. Specifically, networking with customers and government officials promotes the use of bank loans, while networking with suppliers and social ties reduces the need for bank loans. This study provides a number of research and managerial implications, which are discussed at the end of the paper.
有人认为,网络对中小型企业至关重要,特别是在新兴经济体中,因为它们寻求获得发展资源。新兴经济体的一个关键资源是银行融资。在本文中,我们开发了一个模型来检验不同网络关系对银行向民营中小企业融资的净效应。研究结果支持了我们的假设,即不同的网络关系以不同的方式影响中小企业对银行贷款的使用。具体来说,与客户和政府官员的联系促进了银行贷款的使用,而与供应商和社会关系的联系减少了对银行贷款的需求。本研究提供了一些研究和管理意义,这是在论文的最后讨论。
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引用次数: 230
Pricing Banner Advertisements in an Online Social Network 在线社交网络中横幅广告的定价
Pub Date : 2009-06-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1418625
S. Hunter
This paper examines the impact of social capital on advertisement prices in an online social network. Specifically, I show that a widely-employed measure of social capital - network constraint - explains variation in prices of 846 banner advertisements appearing within a social network formed by 89 'Liberal' and 84 'Conservative' weblogs. As predicted, weblogs that bridge 'structural holes' between otherwise disconnected segments of the network command significantly higher prices for their advertisements.
本文考察了在线社交网络中社会资本对广告价格的影响。具体来说,我展示了一种广泛使用的社会资本衡量标准——网络约束——解释了出现在由89个“自由派”和84个“保守派”博客组成的社会网络中的846条横幅广告的价格变化。正如预测的那样,在网络中不相连的部分之间架起“结构性漏洞”的博客的广告价格要高得多。
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引用次数: 1
New Developments in Media Economics: The Concept of Multisided Markets (Neuere Entwicklungen in Der Medienökonomik: Das Konzept Der Mehrseitigen Märkte) 媒体经济中的新发展中国家:媒体经济的最新发展:多学科市场
Pub Date : 2009-05-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1403137
Oliver Budzinski, Nadine Lindstädt
The economic analysis of media markets has recently been enriched by the application of the theory framework of multisided markets, which has led to new insights and changes in the assessment of pricing strategies from a welfare and a competition perspective. This paper reviews the basic elements of the theory of multisided markets and its application to media markets.
最近,多边市场理论框架的应用丰富了媒体市场的经济分析,从福利和竞争的角度对定价策略的评估产生了新的见解和变化。本文综述了多边市场理论的基本要素及其在媒体市场中的应用。
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引用次数: 2
Spread of (Mis)Information in Social Networks 社交网络中(错误)信息的传播
Pub Date : 2009-05-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1401648
D. Acemoglu, A. Ozdaglar, Ali ParandehGheibi
We provide a model to investigate the tension between information aggregation and spread of misinformation. Individuals meet pairwise and exchange information, which is modeled as both individuals adopting the average of their pre-meeting beliefs. "Forceful" agents influence the beliefs of (some of) the other individuals they meet, but do not change their own opinions. We characterize how the presence of forceful agents interferes with information aggregation. Under the assumption that even forceful agents obtain some information from others, we first show that all beliefs converge to a stochastic consensus. Our main results quantify the extent of misinformation by providing bounds or exact results on the gap between the consensus value and the benchmark without forceful agents (where there is efficient information aggregation). The worst outcomes obtain when there are several forceful agents who update their beliefs only on the basis of information from individuals that have been influenced by them.
我们提供了一个模型来研究信息聚集和错误信息传播之间的紧张关系。个体两两会面并交换信息,这被建模为两个个体采用他们会前信念的平均值。“强势”行为者会影响他们遇到的(一些)其他个体的信仰,但不会改变他们自己的观点。我们描述了强力代理的存在如何干扰信息聚合。在假设强力主体也能从其他主体那里获得一些信息的前提下,我们首先证明了所有的信念都收敛于随机共识。我们的主要结果通过提供共识值和基准之间的差距的界限或精确结果来量化错误信息的程度,而不需要强制代理(其中存在有效的信息聚合)。当有几个强势的行动者仅仅根据受其影响的个人提供的信息更新自己的信念时,就会出现最糟糕的结果。
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引用次数: 448
期刊
Economics of Networks
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