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Social Contracts on Social Networks: Local Patterns of Interaction, Local Strategy Dynamics and the Emergence of Reciprocity 社会网络中的社会契约:互动的局部模式、局部策略动态和互惠的出现
Pub Date : 2009-04-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1376804
G. Jones, S. Brosnan
Cooperation has been vital to the evolution of all living things, including single-celled organisms (Velicer, 2005, 2003; Velicer and Stredwick, 2002; Crespi, 2001; Velicer et al., 2000; Boorman and Levitt, 1980), fish (Brosnan et al., 2003; Dugatkin, 1991, 1992, 1997; Milinski, 1987), birds (Brown and Brown, 1996; Faaborg et al., 1995), canines (Creel and Creel, 2002; Courchamp and Macdonald, 2001; Fentress and Ryon, 1986), felines (Caro, 1994; Packer and Pusey, 1982), non-human primates (Brosnan and de Waal, 2003; de Waal, 1996, 1982; Harcourt and de Waal, 1992; Chapais, 1992), and humans (Ostrom et al., 1999; Fehr and Fischbacher, 2003; Johnson et al., 2003).Even so, the evolution of cooperative, prosocial behavior under circumstances in which individual interests are at odds with common interests, (circumstances characterized as social dilemmas (Gotts et al., 2003; Dawes and Messick, 2000)), remains a largely unsolved, multidisciplinary puzzle (Hammerstein, 2003). Approaches to these types of problems have, for the most part, been applications of evolutionary game theory (Gintis, 2000; Hofbauer and Sigmund, 1998; Maynard-Smith, 1982; Maynard-Smith and Price, 1973; Trivers, 1971; Hamilton, 1967; von Neumann and Morgenstern, 1944) and due to their importance as generalized models of many important socio-economic situations (Tomassini, 2006), iconic games such as the Prisoner’s Dilemma have been widely employed as metaphors (Doebeli and Hauert, 2005; Axelrod and Hamilton, 1981; Axelrod, 1984; Nowak and Sigmund, 1992, 2004; Nowak and May, 1992; Maynard-Smith, 1982; Sugden, 1986).
合作对包括单细胞生物在内的所有生物的进化都至关重要(Velicer, 2005, 2003;Velicer and Stredwick, 2002;Crespi, 2001;Velicer et al., 2000;Boorman and Levitt, 1980), fish (Brosnan et al., 2003;Dugatkin, 1991,1992,1997;Milinski, 1987),鸟类(Brown and Brown, 1996;Faaborg et al., 1995),犬科动物(Creel and Creel, 2002;Courchamp and Macdonald, 2001;Fentress和Ryon, 1986),猫科动物(Caro, 1994;Packer and Pusey, 1982),非人类灵长类动物(Brosnan and de Waal, 2003;de Waal, 1996,1982;Harcourt and de Waal, 1992;Chapais, 1992)和人类(Ostrom et al., 1999;Fehr and Fischbacher, 2003;Johnson et al., 2003)。即便如此,在个人利益与共同利益不一致的情况下(这种情况被称为社会困境),合作、亲社会行为的进化(Gotts et al., 2003;Dawes和Messick, 2000)),仍然是一个很大程度上未解决的多学科难题(Hammerstein, 2003)。解决这类问题的方法在很大程度上是进化博弈论的应用(Gintis, 2000;Hofbauer and Sigmund, 1998;梅纳德,1982;梅纳德-史密斯和普莱斯,1973;特里弗斯,1971;汉密尔顿,1967;von Neumann和Morgenstern, 1944),并且由于它们作为许多重要社会经济情况的广义模型的重要性(Tomassini, 2006),诸如囚徒困境之类的标志性游戏被广泛用作隐喻(Doebeli和Hauert, 2005;阿克塞尔罗德和汉密尔顿,1981;阿克塞尔罗德,1984;诺瓦克和西格蒙德,1992,2004;Nowak and May, 1992;梅纳德,1982;爱丁堡,1986)。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical Analysis of Mobile Voice and SMS Service: A Structural Model 移动语音和短信服务的实证分析:一个结构模型
Pub Date : 2009-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1085285
Youngsoo Kim, William B. Vogt, R. Krishnan, Rahul Telang
In addition to wireless telephony boom, a similar exponential increasing trend in wireless data service -for example, short message service (SMS) – is visible as technology advances. We develop a structural model to examine user demand for voice and SMS services. Specifically, we measure the own- and the cross-price elasticities of these services. The cross-price elasticity is of significant importance because marketing activities are critically influenced by whether the goods are substitutes or complements. The research context poses significant econometric challenges due to three-part tariffs, and sequential discrete plan choice and continuous quantity choice decisions. Using detailed individual consumption data of more than 6000 customers, we find that SMS and voice services are small substitutes. A 10% increase in the price of voice minutes will induce about 0.8% increase in the demand for SMS. The own price elasticity of voice is also low, to the order of approximately -0.1. Younger users’ demand is far more inelastic than that of older users. We then conduct counterfactual policy experiments that fully capture the effects of change in key parameters on the firm revenues. Finally, we discuss the generalizability of our framework.
除了无线电话的繁荣之外,随着技术的进步,无线数据服务(例如短消息服务(SMS))也出现了类似的指数增长趋势。我们开发了一个结构模型来检查用户对语音和短信服务的需求。具体来说,我们衡量了这些服务的自身价格弹性和交叉价格弹性。交叉价格弹性非常重要,因为市场营销活动受到商品是替代品还是互补品的严重影响。由于三部分关税、顺序离散计划选择和连续数量选择决策,研究背景提出了重大的计量经济学挑战。利用6000多名客户的详细个人消费数据,我们发现短信和语音服务是小的替代品。话费每上涨10%,短讯的需求就会增加0.8%左右。语音本身的价格弹性也很低,约为-0.1的数量级。年轻用户的需求远比年长用户的需求缺乏弹性。然后,我们进行反事实政策实验,充分捕捉关键参数变化对公司收入的影响。最后,我们讨论了我们的框架的泛化性。
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引用次数: 4
Asymmetric Network Effects 非对称网络效应
Pub Date : 2009-03-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1303624
E. Cantillon, Pai-Ling Yin
When platforms compete for consumers, two types of consumer heterogeneity will matter: consumers value the presence of other consumers on a platform differently, and consumers contribute to the value of the platform differently. The optimal discriminatory pricing policy for platforms will depend on whether those two dimensions of consumer heterogeneity are positively or negatively correlated, which is an empirical question. In a companion paper (Cantillon & Yin, 2008), we study membership decisions of trading firms for two competing exchanges: LIFFE and DTB. Our analysis shows that different traders care about liquidity differently. In this paper, we estimate the heterogeneous contribution to liquidity by different types. We combine the estimates from both papers of heterogeneous preferences and contributions to liquidity. We find that valuations of liquidity tend to be correlated with contributions to liquidity in this setting.
当平台争夺消费者时,两种类型的消费者异质性很重要:消费者对平台上其他消费者的存在的价值不同,消费者对平台价值的贡献不同。平台的最优歧视性定价政策将取决于消费者异质性的这两个维度是正相关还是负相关,这是一个实证问题。在另一篇论文(Cantillon & Yin, 2008)中,我们研究了两家竞争交易所(LIFFE和DTB)交易公司的会员决策。我们的分析表明,不同的交易者对流动性的关注是不同的。在本文中,我们估计了不同类型对流动性的异质贡献。我们结合了对异质性偏好和流动性贡献的两篇论文的估计。我们发现,在这种情况下,流动性的估值往往与对流动性的贡献相关。
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引用次数: 2
The Dimensions of Reputation in Electronic Markets 电子市场中声誉的维度
Pub Date : 2009-03-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.885568
A. Ghose, Panagiotis G. Ipeirotis, A. Sundararajan
In this paper, we analyze how different dimensions of a seller's reputation affect pricing power in electronic markets. Given the interplay between buyers' trust and sellers' pricing power, we use text mining techniques to identify and structure dimensions of importance from feedback posted on reputation systems. By aggregating and scoring these dimensions based on the sentiment they contain, we use them to estimate a series of econometric models associating reputation with price premiums. We find that different dimensions do indeed affect pricing power differentially, and that a negative reputation hurts more than a positive one helps on some dimensions but not on others. We provide evidence that sellers of identical products in electronic markets differentiate themselves based on a distinguishing dimension of strength, and that buyers vary in the relative importance they place on different fulfillment characteristics. We highlight the importance of textual reputation feedback further by demonstrating that it substantially improves the performance of a classifier we have trained to predict future sales. Our results also suggest that online sellers distinguish themselves on specific and varying fulfillment characteristics that resemble the unique selling points highlighted by successful brands. We conclude by providing explicit examples of IT artifacts (buyer and seller tools) that use our interdisciplinary approach to enhance buyer trust and seller efficiency in online environments. This paper is the first study that integrates econometric, text mining and predictive modeling techniques toward a more complete analysis of the information captured by reputation systems, and it presents new evidence of the importance of their effective and judicious design in online markets.
在本文中,我们分析了卖家声誉的不同维度如何影响电子市场中的定价权。考虑到买方信任和卖方定价权之间的相互作用,我们使用文本挖掘技术从发布在声誉系统上的反馈中识别和构建重要性维度。通过基于它们包含的情绪对这些维度进行汇总和评分,我们使用它们来估计一系列将声誉与价格溢价联系起来的计量经济模型。我们发现,不同的维度确实会对定价权产生不同的影响,在某些维度上,负面声誉的伤害大于正面声誉的帮助,但在其他维度上则没有。我们提供的证据表明,在电子市场上,相同产品的卖家根据不同的强度维度来区分自己,而买家对不同履行特征的相对重要性也有所不同。我们进一步强调了文本声誉反馈的重要性,证明它大大提高了我们训练的分类器预测未来销售的性能。我们的研究结果还表明,在线卖家在具体和不同的履行特征上与成功品牌突出的独特卖点相似。我们通过提供IT工件(买方和卖方工具)的明确示例来总结,这些工件使用我们的跨学科方法来增强在线环境中的买方信任和卖方效率。本文首次将计量经济学、文本挖掘和预测建模技术结合起来,对声誉系统捕获的信息进行了更全面的分析,并提供了新的证据,证明了声誉系统在在线市场中有效和明智的设计的重要性。
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引用次数: 109
Costs and Benefits of Parsimony - Measuring Egocentric Social Networks and Social Support in Survey Research [Kosten und Nutzen der Sparsamkeit - Zur Erhebung sozialer Netzwerke und sozialer Unterstuetzungspotentiale in der Umfrageforschung] 在调查研究中
Pub Date : 2009-03-13 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1358760
S. Sattler, M. Diewald
Measuring ego-centered networks is an especially time-expensive endeavor. However, to be included in multi-thematic surveys, parsimony is needed instead of following a maximizing strategy. Therefore, one pressing questions is, whether and which type of parsimonious data collection produces what losses of information. We address these questions by comparing three different, but closely related operationalizations of ego-centered networks in three different surveys: the German Socio-Economic Panel Study as a multi-thematic large-scale survey, IDUN as a small study designed as a single-purpose instrument to measure egocentered networks in great detail, and the "Minipanel" as something in between these two. Different setup parameters are the number and type of name generators and descriptors of alteri and a numerical limitation of naming ties. We look specifically whether there are effects on the size of the networks, the composition of networks, and the sociostructural differences with regard to availability of positive aspects of social networks, especially different types of social support. Additionally, we examine the differences between effects of network variables on perceived satisfaction in the surveys. Among others, and above the highly expectable differences in network size, we find an effect of different operationalizations on the network composition. Compared to IDUN, GSOEP produces a considerable overestimation of family ties and a considerable underestimation of relations stemming from school, vocational training and leisure time. We show that specific strategies of parsimony not only lead to losses of information and distortions of network characteristics but can lead in addition to different conclusions about the availability of social capital.
衡量以自我为中心的网络是一项特别耗时的努力。然而,要纳入多主题调查,就需要节俭,而不是遵循最大化战略。因此,一个紧迫的问题是,是否以及哪种类型的数据收集会造成什么样的信息损失。我们通过比较三种不同但密切相关的自我中心网络在三种不同调查中的运作方式来解决这些问题:德国社会经济小组研究是一项多主题的大规模调查,IDUN是一项小型研究,旨在详细测量以自我为中心的网络,而“迷你小组”是介于两者之间的东西。不同的设置参数是名称生成器和描述符的数量和类型,以及命名关系的数量限制。我们特别关注的是,在社交网络的积极方面,尤其是不同类型的社会支持方面,是否会对网络的规模、网络的构成以及社会结构差异产生影响。此外,我们在调查中检查网络变量对感知满意度的影响之间的差异。除此之外,在网络大小的高度可预期的差异之上,我们发现不同的操作方式对网络组成的影响。与IDUN相比,GSOEP大大高估了家庭关系,大大低估了源于学校、职业培训和休闲时间的关系。我们表明,特定的节俭策略不仅会导致信息的损失和网络特征的扭曲,而且还会导致关于社会资本可用性的不同结论。
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引用次数: 0
The Voting Paradox and Social Networks: An Empirical Analysis 投票悖论与社会网络:一个实证分析
Pub Date : 2009-03-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1354790
J. Amaro de Matos, P. Barros, Inacia Pacheco Pereira
The level of abstention in elections has been increasing over the years in the majority of democratic countries, whether compulsory voting exists or not. We provide empirical evidence for the role of social networks as a main factor of influence in the turnout of an election. More intense social networks and wider social networks are associated with a lower abstention rate.
多年来,在大多数民主国家,不管是否存在强制投票,在选举中弃权的人数一直在增加。我们为社会网络在选举投票率中的主要影响因素的作用提供了经验证据。更紧密的社交网络和更广泛的社交网络与更低的弃权率相关。
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引用次数: 1
The Need for Speed: The Importance of Next-Generation Broadband Networks 对速度的需求:下一代宽带网络的重要性
Pub Date : 2009-03-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1354032
Stephen Ezell, R. Atkinson, Daniel Castro, George Ou
In this report, ITIF argues that supporting the deployment of faster broadband networks will be crucial to enabling next-generation Web-based applications and services that will play important roles in improving quality of life and boosting economic growth. While getting broadband service to the Americans who lack it is an important policy target, next-generation broadband will deliver a wave of new benefits to consumers, society, businesses, and the economy.
在这份报告中,ITIF认为,支持部署更快的宽带网络对于实现下一代基于网络的应用和服务至关重要,这些应用和服务将在提高生活质量和促进经济增长方面发挥重要作用。虽然为没有宽带的美国人提供宽带服务是一个重要的政策目标,但下一代宽带将为消费者、社会、企业和经济带来一系列新的好处。
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引用次数: 49
Do Friends Influence Purchases in a Social Network? 朋友会影响社交网络中的购买行为吗?
Pub Date : 2009-02-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1392172
R. Iyengar, Sangman Han, Sunil Gupta
Social networks, such as Facebook and Myspace have witnessed a rapid growth in their membership. Some of these businesses have tried an advertising-based model with very limited success. However, these businesses have not fully explored the power of their members to influence each other’s behavior. This potential viral or social effect can have significant impact on the success of these companies as well as provide a unique new marketing opportunity for traditional companies. However, this potential is predicated on the assumption that friends influence user’s behavior. In this study we empirically examine this issue. Specifically we address three questions - do friends influence purchases of users in an online social network; which users are more influenced by this social pressure; and can we quantify this social influence in terms of increase in sales and revenue. To address these questions we use data from Cyworld, an online social networking site in Korea. Cyworld users create mini-homepages to interact with their friends. These mini-homepages, which become a way of self-expression for members, are decorated with items (e.g., wallpaper, music), many of which are sold by Cyworld. Using 10 weeks of purchase and non-purchase data from 208 users, we build an individual level model of choice (buy - no-buy) and quantity (how much money to spend). We estimate this model using Bayesian approach and MCMC method. Our results show that there are three distinct groups of users with very different behavior. The low-status group (48% of users) are not well connected, show limited interaction with other members and are unaffected by social pressure. The middle-status group (40% users) is moderately connected, show reasonable non-purchase activity on the site and have a strong and positive effect due to friends’ purchases. In other words, this group exhibits “keeping up with the Joneses” behavior. On average, their revenue increases by 5% due to this social influence. The high-status group (12% users) is well connected and very active on the site, and shows a significant negative effect due to friends’ purchases. In other words, this group differentiates itself from others by lowering their purchase and strongly pursuing non-purchase related activities. This social influence leads to almost 14% drop in the revenue of this group. We discuss the theoretical and managerial implications of our results.
Facebook和Myspace等社交网络的会员数量迅速增长。其中一些企业尝试了基于广告的模式,但收效甚微。然而,这些企业并没有充分发掘其成员影响彼此行为的力量。这种潜在的病毒式传播或社会效应对这些公司的成功有着重要的影响,同时也为传统公司提供了一个独特的新营销机会。然而,这种潜力是建立在朋友影响用户行为的假设之上的。在本研究中,我们对这一问题进行了实证研究。具体来说,我们解决了三个问题——朋友是否会影响用户在在线社交网络中的购买行为;哪些用户更容易受到这种社会压力的影响;我们能否用销售和收入的增加来量化这种社会影响。为了回答这些问题,我们使用了韩国在线社交网站赛我网的数据。赛我网用户创建迷你主页与朋友互动。这些迷你主页成为会员表达自我的一种方式,上面装饰着物品(如墙纸、音乐),其中很多都是赛我网出售的。使用来自208名用户的10周购买和不购买数据,我们构建了一个选择(购买-不购买)和数量(花多少钱)的个人层面模型。我们使用贝叶斯方法和MCMC方法对模型进行估计。我们的研究结果表明,有三种截然不同的用户群体,他们的行为非常不同。低地位群体(48%的用户)没有很好的联系,与其他成员的互动有限,不受社会压力的影响。中等状态组(40%)的用户连接程度中等,在网站上表现出合理的非购买活动,并且由于朋友的购买而产生强烈的积极影响。换句话说,这个群体表现出“攀比”的行为。由于这种社会影响,他们的收入平均增加了5%。地位高的群体(12%的用户)在网站上联系良好,非常活跃,并且由于朋友的购买而表现出显著的负面影响。换句话说,这个群体通过减少购买和强烈追求与购买无关的活动来区分自己。这种社会影响导致这一群体的收入下降了近14%。我们讨论了我们的结果的理论和管理意义。
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引用次数: 128
E-Bike - Tomorrow's Choice 电动自行车——明天的选择
Pub Date : 2009-02-13 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1342235
Mrinal Kanti Das, Swati Pal
In this fast paced modern world, it has become an utmost need to be dynamic at every point of time for every individual to run with the time. So always one needs to be mobile and fast. In this scenario the individual is left with the only solution of having at least a two-wheeler of his/her own.Of late, there has been a trend of increasing price of petrol/diesel that has left the consumers in a dilemma of whether to go for a two-wheeler or not. At this juncture, e-bike has become the most happening two-wheeler as it is run with the help of battery that gives immense opportunities to both the marketers and the consumers.This paper highlights the unique features of e-bikes in comparison to other two-wheelers run by petrol and its potential in future. Moreover it also highlights its merit to fight with the problem of global warming.
在这个快节奏的现代世界里,每个人都需要在每个时间点都保持活力,以跟上时代的步伐。所以人们总是需要移动和快速。在这种情况下,个人剩下的唯一解决方案是至少拥有自己的两轮车。最近,汽油/柴油价格有上涨的趋势,这让消费者陷入了是否要买两轮车的两难境地。在这个关键时刻,电动自行车已经成为最流行的两轮车,因为它是在电池的帮助下运行的,这给营销人员和消费者带来了巨大的机会。本文重点介绍了电动自行车与其他两轮汽油车相比的独特特点及其未来的潜力。此外,它还突出了其与全球变暖问题作斗争的优点。
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引用次数: 2
Diversity and Popularity in Social Networks 社交网络的多样性和受欢迎程度
Pub Date : 2009-02-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1336634
Y. Bramoullé, Brian W. Rogers
Homophily, the tendency of linked agents to have similar characteristics, is an important feature of social networks. We present a new model of network formation that allows the linking process to depend on individuals types and study the impact of such a bias on the network structure. Our main results fall into three categories: (i) we compare the distributions of intra- and inter-group links in terms of stochastic dominance, (ii) we show how, at the group level, homophily depends on the groups size and the details of the formation process, and (iii) we understand precisely the determinants of local homophily at the individual level. Especially, we find that popular individuals have more diverse networks. Our results are supported empirically in the AddHealth data looking at networks of social connections between boys and girls.
同质性,即关联主体具有相似特征的趋势,是社会网络的一个重要特征。我们提出了一个新的网络形成模型,该模型允许连接过程依赖于个体类型,并研究了这种偏见对网络结构的影响。我们的主要结果分为三类:(i)我们比较了群体内和群体间联系在随机优势方面的分布,(ii)我们展示了在群体层面上,同质性如何取决于群体规模和形成过程的细节,以及(iii)我们精确地理解了个体层面上局部同质性的决定因素。特别是,我们发现受欢迎的人有更多样化的网络。我们的结果得到了AddHealth数据的实证支持,该数据着眼于男孩和女孩之间的社会联系网络。
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引用次数: 41
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Economics of Networks
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