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Uncovering the evolution of vanadium cycle in China during 2000–2022
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100188
Dong Wu , Yong Geng , Ziyan Gao , Yifan Wu
Vanadium has been classified as one critical metal by multiple countries. China has the largest vanadium reserve and production capacity in the world and plays a vital role in the global vanadium supply chain. This study aims to uncover China’s vanadium cycle and market features for the period of 2000–2022 by applying dynamic material flow analysis method. The results show that the supply of vanadium had increased more than tenfold from 2000 to 2022, with an accumulated amount of 856 Kt. The majority of vanadium were used for meeting with the domestic demand (679 Kt). Vanadium-containing steel alloys dominated the largest share (87%), while the demand for vanadium redox flow battery increased rapidly, with an average annual growth rate of 21%. Secondary vanadium resources were predominantly recovered from the slags generated from the production stage, with a smaller share from the old scraps collected from end-of-life vanadium-containing products. China mainly imported primary vanadium resources from developing countries and exported intermediate products to developed countries. However, vanadium trade was seriously disrupted by the global financial crisis in 2008 and the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Several policies are proposed to promote stable supply and sustainable utilization of vanadium resources from the perspectives of economic incentives, technological development, industrial adjustment, trade structure and strategic reserve.
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引用次数: 0
Knowledge-guided machine learning for improving crop yield projections of waterlogging effects under climate change
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100185
Linchao Li , Qinsi He , Matthew Tom Harrison , Yu Shi , Puyu Feng , Bin Wang , Yajie Zhang , Yi Li , De Li Liu , Guijun Yang , Meixue Zhou , Qiang Yu , Ke Liu
Extreme precipitation poses a significant threat to crop production, often underestimated by process-based models. State-of-the-art models also struggle with high-resolution spatial applications due to process complexity. Here, we developed a Knowledge-Guided Machine Learning (KGML) framework that integrates machine learning with a waterlogging-enabled APSIM (Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator) to simulate wheat yield change under climate change in the Yangtze River Basin, China. Using transfer learning, this KGML framework transferred waterlogging processes to eight gridded crop models, enabling more accurate yield projections. We found that KGML could accurately replicate the behavior of the improved APSIM model under waterlogging conditions, achieving an R2 of 0.83 and an RMSE of 272.3 kg/ha for yield loss simulations. Soil properties were identified as the primary factors influencing yield losses under waterlogging, highlighting the importance of optimizing soil conditions to mitigate the adverse impacts of excessive water. Across different scenarios, the improved crop model ensembles projected greater crop yield losses compared to the original simulated outputs, with additional losses (compared to the historical period) around 5.9%–7.3% during the two periods. Although global climate models were the primary source of uncertainty in T1 (2029–2059), crop models contributed more to uncertainty in T2 (2069–2099). The improved ensemble reduced uncertainty from crop models compared to the original. This study highlights the potential of KGML to improve crop models, offering valuable insights for climate impact assessments and resource management. We believe our results can help national and local authorities make informed crop yield decisions under climate change.
{"title":"Knowledge-guided machine learning for improving crop yield projections of waterlogging effects under climate change","authors":"Linchao Li ,&nbsp;Qinsi He ,&nbsp;Matthew Tom Harrison ,&nbsp;Yu Shi ,&nbsp;Puyu Feng ,&nbsp;Bin Wang ,&nbsp;Yajie Zhang ,&nbsp;Yi Li ,&nbsp;De Li Liu ,&nbsp;Guijun Yang ,&nbsp;Meixue Zhou ,&nbsp;Qiang Yu ,&nbsp;Ke Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100185","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100185","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Extreme precipitation poses a significant threat to crop production, often underestimated by process-based models. State-of-the-art models also struggle with high-resolution spatial applications due to process complexity. Here, we developed a Knowledge-Guided Machine Learning (KGML) framework that integrates machine learning with a waterlogging-enabled APSIM (Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator) to simulate wheat yield change under climate change in the Yangtze River Basin, China. Using transfer learning, this KGML framework transferred waterlogging processes to eight gridded crop models, enabling more accurate yield projections. We found that KGML could accurately replicate the behavior of the improved APSIM model under waterlogging conditions, achieving an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.83 and an RMSE of 272.3 kg/ha for yield loss simulations. Soil properties were identified as the primary factors influencing yield losses under waterlogging, highlighting the importance of optimizing soil conditions to mitigate the adverse impacts of excessive water. Across different scenarios, the improved crop model ensembles projected greater crop yield losses compared to the original simulated outputs, with additional losses (compared to the historical period) around 5.9%–7.3% during the two periods. Although global climate models were the primary source of uncertainty in T1 (2029–2059), crop models contributed more to uncertainty in T2 (2069–2099). The improved ensemble reduced uncertainty from crop models compared to the original. This study highlights the potential of KGML to improve crop models, offering valuable insights for climate impact assessments and resource management. We believe our results can help national and local authorities make informed crop yield decisions under climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"19 ","pages":"Article 100185"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143168540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Agrivoltaics as an SDG enabler: Trade-offs and co-benefits for food security, energy generation and emissions mitigation
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100186
Ganesh Pandey , Sarah Lyden , Evan Franklin , Matthew Tom Harrison
Agrivoltaic systems (AVS) – wherein solar photovoltaics (PV) and agriculture are co-located on the same land parcel – offer a sustainable approach to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by enabling concurrent renewable electricity and agri-food production. Here, we elucidate plausible co-benefits and trade-offs of agri-food production and electricity generation in AVS across manifold socio-enviro-economic contexts, with the aim of understanding the contextualized interplay between AVS implementation and progress towards the SDGs. We modeled three AVS designs with varying solar panel densities (high, mid, low) at case study locations in Australia, Chad, and Iran using various models (System Advisor Model for PV and GrassGro for livestock systems). The findings suggest that in regions conducive to high biomass production per unit area, such as in parts of Australia, AVS design with high solar panel density can reduce meat production by almost 50%, which can jeopardize food security and impede achieving SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). In these regions, AVS design with low solar panel density enables meeting SDGs aligned with agri-food production and renewable energy generation. In contrast, in semi-arid regions, such as Iran, AVS design with a high density of solar panels can improve agricultural production via the alleviation of water deficit, thereby supporting the prioritization of solar power generation, with food production as a co-benefit. In developing countries such as Chad, AVS can enhance economic development by providing electricity, food, and financial benefits. We call for policymakers to incentivize AVS deployment in such regions and stimulate public and private investment to enable progress towards SDGs.
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引用次数: 0
A review on the industrial waste based adsorbents for the removal of pollutants from water: Modification methods and adsorption study
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100183
Guofei Liu , Ye Li , Jie Hou , Yajun Wang , Dasong Lin
Human activities have discharged large quantities of pollutants into the water body. Industrial wastes have demonstrated potential for water remediation, and further modifications can enhance their sorption capacities for pollutants. Over the past few decades, various modification techniques have been conducted to improve the sorption performance of industrial wastes and achieved encouraging results. However, the limited availability of relevant summaries hinders our ability to gain a deeper and more detailed understanding of the advantages of modification methods, restricting the advancement of industrial wastes modification. Therefore, an extensive list of various modification techniques for industrial waste materials were compiled and their adsorption capacities under optimal conditions for the removal of pollutants were presented in this review. Modification categories and their effects on the adsorption mechanism were introduced in detail along with discussing the key advancement on the preparation of adsorbents. Furthermore, knowledge gaps, uncertainties, and future challenges involved in the fabrication of modified industrial wastes based adsorbents are also identified. This review provides an important insight on using industrial waste materials for preparing adsorbents in water remediation, which will give quite valuable information for developing industrial waste based adsorbents.
{"title":"A review on the industrial waste based adsorbents for the removal of pollutants from water: Modification methods and adsorption study","authors":"Guofei Liu ,&nbsp;Ye Li ,&nbsp;Jie Hou ,&nbsp;Yajun Wang ,&nbsp;Dasong Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100183","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100183","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Human activities have discharged large quantities of pollutants into the water body. Industrial wastes have demonstrated potential for water remediation, and further modifications can enhance their sorption capacities for pollutants. Over the past few decades, various modification techniques have been conducted to improve the sorption performance of industrial wastes and achieved encouraging results. However, the limited availability of relevant summaries hinders our ability to gain a deeper and more detailed understanding of the advantages of modification methods, restricting the advancement of industrial wastes modification. Therefore, an extensive list of various modification techniques for industrial waste materials were compiled and their adsorption capacities under optimal conditions for the removal of pollutants were presented in this review. Modification categories and their effects on the adsorption mechanism were introduced in detail along with discussing the key advancement on the preparation of adsorbents. Furthermore, knowledge gaps, uncertainties, and future challenges involved in the fabrication of modified industrial wastes based adsorbents are also identified. This review provides an important insight on using industrial waste materials for preparing adsorbents in water remediation, which will give quite valuable information for developing industrial waste based adsorbents.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"19 ","pages":"Article 100183"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143167193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Insights into carbon and nitrogen footprints of large-scale intensive pig production with different feedstuffs in China
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100181
Huijun Wu , Yongxin Liu , Ling Zhang , Huimin Zhu , Weixin Fang , Wei Mei
Through the whole process of large-scale pig production, feed production puts great environmental pressure in terms of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and nitrogen (N) emission. Additionally, different feedstuffs will have different results. While previous studies seldom analyzed carbon footprint and nitrogen footprint from feed components or diet choices. Thus, we selected China, the largest producer and consumer of pork in the world, to analyze both nitrogen footprint and carbon footprint through the life cycle of pig production with different feed components. We used life-cycle environmental footprint and scenario analysis to compare carbon footprints, nitrogen footprints, and feed prices of large-scale pig production with different feedstuffs in China. The life cycle of the pig production includes feed crop cultivation, feed processing, pig raising, and manure management. The functional unit is the weight of 1 kg of live pig. The results showed that the carbon footprints, nitrogen footprints, and feed prices ranged from 1.67 kg CO2-eq FU−1 to 1.70 kg CO2-eq FU−1, 35.3 g Nr FU−1 to 38.9 g Nr FU−1, and 1.42 CNY kg −1 to 2.15 CNY kg −1, respectively. Feed crop production and manure management contributed the largest carbon footprint (54%) and the largest nitrogen footprint (64%), respectively. The four scenarios exhibited various results. Scenario 3 (S3), substituting soybean meal in the original feed with distillers dried grains with soluble (DDGS), presented a more favorable outcome with respect to carbon and nitrogen footprints as well as feed prices. This was mainly attributed to feed crop cultivation, manure management, crude protein contents of feeds, and prices of the feed crops. Concerning the uneven feed crop production, number of pig farrowed, feed consumption, and inter-provincial transportation across China, we conducted the spatial analysis under the optimal S3. It revealed that the northern provinces in China exhibited both higher carbon and nitrogen footprints than the southern provinces, due to the northern regions cultivating the crop feed. Finally, we proposed recommendations from perspectives of cultivation practice, feed adjustment, manure management, and strategic zoning. The study not only highlighted the importance of environmental footprint for analyzing environmental impacts of pig production, but also provided the implications for enhancing the sector’s environmental sustainability from perspective of feed adjustment.
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引用次数: 0
Electrochemical recycling of recycled concrete powder: Selective recovery of calcium and silica to enable sustainable construction materials 回收混凝土粉末的电化学再循环:选择性回收钙和硅,实现可持续建筑材料
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100182
Zheng Fang , Guangqi Xiong , Zongxuan Shao , Shuai Zhou , Guangfeng Ou , Lei Liu , Michio Suzuki , Chong Wang , Yuya Sakai
Rapid urbanization produces billions of tons of concrete waste annually, with recycled concrete powder (RCP) posing significant challenges due to its high porosity and limited reusability. To overcome RCP’s inherent limitations and maximize resource utilization, we developed a novel “Recycled Concrete Powder Electrolyzer” for selective recovery of key components. This electrochemical method efficiently extracted Ca2+ ions from RCP, achieving a 96% calcium extraction efficiency comparable to acid leaching. The process produced high-purity portlandite (94% purity; 65.58% yield) with crystal sizes below 30μm, ideal for cement manufacturing, while also recovering fine sand powder and silica-containing products. A Ca(NO3)2 electrolyte enhanced Ca2+ migration and prevented membrane fouling, resulting in lower energy consumption compared to the NaNO3 system. By converting RCP into a carbon-free cement precursor and recovering valuable components, this approach demonstrates the feasibility of transforming problematic waste into sustainable construction materials. It offers a circular economy solution for concrete waste recycling, reducing landfill burden while providing a low-emission alternative for cement production.
快速的城市化进程每年会产生数十亿吨混凝土废料,而再生混凝土粉(RCP)因其孔隙率高、可再利用性有限而面临巨大挑战。为了克服回收混凝土粉的固有局限性并最大限度地提高资源利用率,我们开发了一种新型 "回收混凝土粉电解器",用于选择性回收关键成分。这种电化学方法可有效提取 RCP 中的 Ca2+ 离子,钙提取效率高达 96%,与酸浸法相当。该工艺生产出晶体尺寸小于 30μm 的高纯度硅灰石(纯度 94%;产率 65.58%),是水泥生产的理想原料,同时还回收了细砂粉末和含硅产品。与 NaNO3 系统相比,Ca(NO3)2 电解质增强了 Ca2+ 的迁移,防止了膜堵塞,从而降低了能耗。通过将 RCP 转化为无碳水泥前体并回收有价值的成分,这种方法证明了将问题废物转化为可持续建筑材料的可行性。它为混凝土废物回收提供了一种循环经济解决方案,在减少垃圾填埋负担的同时,还为水泥生产提供了一种低排放替代品。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of asymmetric policies to achieve emissions reduction on energy trade: A North American perspective 实现减排的不对称政策对能源贸易的影响:北美视角
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100179
Sara Giarola , Iván García Kerdan , Peter Johnston , Nick Macaluso , Baltazar Solano Rodriguez , Ilkka Keppo , Adam Hawkes , David Daniels
The implementation of asymmetric emission reduction policies can not only increase the cost of reducing emissions but also reduce the effectiveness of climate policies themselves, leading to policy inefficiencies such as carbon leakage. This paper investigates the impact of asymmetric emission reduction policies on the cost-effectiveness and efficiency of climate strategies in North America. Using a model inter-comparison approach, which combines two bottom-up global models and one top-down global model, this study assesses the effects of such policies on fuel substitution, global fossil fuel trade, and emissions in North America and globally. It is the first work where a multi-model approach is used for exploring how different energy systems react to asymmetric carbon policies. This provides critical insights into regional policy design within a global emissions framework. Quantitatively, the study reveals that asymmetric carbon pricing can lead to more than 60% global emissions reduction in certain models, but can also drive trade distortions, where U.S. exemptions result in emissions rising by more than 10% compared to reference scenarios. Qualitatively, significant fuel substitution patterns across Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. demonstrate increased coal consumption when carbon prices are unevenly applied. While no global emission increase was observed, asymmetric policies result in inefficiencies between local policy costs and emissions reduction outcomes, such as rising fossil fuel trade in non-abating regions. The findings suggest that harmonising carbon policies across regions would reduce inefficiencies and minimise carbon leakage.
不对称减排政策的实施不仅会增加减排成本,还会降低气候政策本身的有效性,导致碳泄漏等政策低效。本文研究了非对称减排政策对北美气候战略成本效益和效率的影响。本研究采用模型相互比较的方法,结合两个自下而上的全球模型和一个自上而下的全球模型,评估了此类政策对燃料替代、全球化石燃料贸易以及北美和全球排放的影响。这是首次使用多模型方法探讨不同能源系统如何对不对称碳政策做出反应。这为全球排放框架内的地区政策设计提供了重要见解。定量研究显示,在某些模型中,非对称碳定价可使全球排放量减少 60% 以上,但也会导致贸易扭曲,其中美国的豁免会使排放量比参考方案增加 10% 以上。从定性角度看,加拿大、墨西哥和美国的重要燃料替代模式表明,当碳价格应用不均衡时,煤炭消费会增加。虽然没有观察到全球排放增加,但不对称政策导致地方政策成本与减排结果之间的低效率,例如非减排地区化石燃料贸易的增加。研究结果表明,协调各地区的碳政策将减少低效率,最大限度地减少碳泄漏。
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引用次数: 0
An efficient strategy to promote food waste composting by adding black soldier fly (Hermetia illucens) larvae during the compost maturation phase 在堆肥成熟阶段添加黑兵蝇(Hermetia illucens)幼虫以促进厨余堆肥的有效策略
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100180
Jiawei Quan , Yumei Wang , Yu Wang , Chunxing Li , Zengwei Yuan
The increasing generation of food waste (FW) poses a significant challenge to global food security and environmental sustainability. Composting is an effective way to recycle FW, while the disease risk of immature compost and the long durations needed for mature compost restrict the application. To address these concerns, black soldier fly larvae (BSFL) were applied in the maturation phase to improve composting efficiency. The results demonstrated that adding BSFL expedited the composting process, achieving the fully mature compost within 25 days. This was evidenced by the elevated nitrate content (1057.52–1475.58 mg/kg) and germination index (GI) (100.2%–107.03%), along with a decreased nitrification index (0.19–0.24) of the BSFL-treated composts. Microbial analysis revealed a discernible elevation in the relative abundance of Ureibacillus, Lysinibacillus, Paneibacills, and Brevibacillus within the compost attributed to the addition of BSFL. Furthermore, BSFL introduction might enhance metabolic functions such as glycolysis, inosine monophosphate biosynthesis, gluconeogenesis, and lysine biosynthesis. As composting progressed, the relative abundance of certain bacteria, like Moheibacter and Actinomadura (initially more prevalent in the compost pile), gradually increased in the gut of BSFL. These findings suggest the existence of complex microbial interactions between the BSFL gut and compost, reshaping the mutual bacterial community and exerting some influence on the compost’s metabolic functions. Furthermore, redundancy analysis indicated significant associations between compost’s physiochemical properties (i.e., electrical conductivity, moisture content, GI, pH, and NH4+-N) and microbial community across all experimental groups. The discoveries provide valuable insights for the further evolution and functional research of BSFL gut microbiota.
日益增多的食物垃圾(FW)对全球粮食安全和环境可持续性构成了重大挑战。堆肥是回收利用厨余垃圾的有效方法,但不成熟堆肥的疾病风险和成熟堆肥所需的长时间限制了堆肥的应用。为了解决这些问题,我们在成熟阶段添加了黑实蝇幼虫(BSFL),以提高堆肥效率。结果表明,添加 BSFL 加快了堆肥过程,使堆肥在 25 天内完全成熟。经 BSFL 处理的堆肥中硝酸盐含量(1057.52-1475.58 毫克/千克)和发芽指数(GI)(100.2%-107.03%)升高,硝化指数(0.19-0.24)降低,都证明了这一点。微生物分析表明,添加 BSFL 后,堆肥中 Ureibacillus、Lysinibacillus、Paneibacills 和 Brevibacillus 的相对丰度明显提高。此外,BSFL 的引入可能会增强新陈代谢功能,如糖酵解、单磷酸肌苷的生物合成、葡萄糖生成和赖氨酸的生物合成。随着堆肥过程的进行,BSFL 肠道中某些细菌(如 Moheibacter 和 Actinomadura,最初在堆肥中较为普遍)的相对丰度逐渐增加。这些发现表明,BSFL 肠道与堆肥之间存在复杂的微生物相互作用,重塑了相互间的细菌群落,并对堆肥的代谢功能产生了一定影响。此外,冗余分析表明,在所有实验组中,堆肥的理化性质(即导电率、含水量、GI、pH 值和 NH4+-N)与微生物群落之间存在显著关联。这些发现为进一步研究 BSFL 肠道微生物群的进化和功能提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Household energy use and barriers in clean transition in the Tibetan Plateau 青藏高原家庭能源使用和清洁转型的障碍
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100178
Ran Xing , Yaojie Li , Zhihan Luo , Rui Xiong , Jiaqi Liu , Ke Jiang , Yatai Men , Huizhong Shen , Guofeng Shen , Shu Tao
The inefficient combustion of traditional biomass fuels in the Tibetan Plateau, the world’s highest region, impacts both local ecosystems and global climate change despite the substantial renewable energy potential and ongoing economic growth of the area. However, the utilization of clean household energy sources and the enablers supporting their sustained use in this region remain underexplored. Through the regional household survey and fuel-weighing campaign, we observed that clean modern energy sources, such as gas and electricity, were used for over 85% of the year in urban areas but only 25% in rural areas. Approximately 3.98 million residents still predominantly rely on traditional solid fuels for daily cooking and/or heating. A substantial energy inequality was identified, with Gini coefficients of 0.65 and 0.55 for cooking and heating, respectively. Despite the disparity in clean energy adoption across income groups being relatively small, the regional utilization of clean energy is severely constrained by limited accessibility and affordability. This has minimized the impact of household characteristics, such as gender, age, and education level, and diminished the effect of rising incomes on accelerating clean cooking practices. The findings highlight the urgent need for targeted residential energy interventions and incentives to promote a clean energy transition in the Tibetan Plateau, as achieving universal clean energy access by 2030 is unlikely without significant efforts.
青藏高原是世界上海拔最高的地区,尽管该地区拥有巨大的可再生能源潜力和持续的经济增长,但传统生物质燃料的低效燃烧对当地生态系统和全球气候变化都造成了影响。然而,该地区对清洁家用能源的利用情况以及支持其持续使用的推动因素仍未进行充分探索。通过地区住户调查和燃料称重活动,我们发现城市地区一年中有 85% 以上的时间都在使用天然气和电力等现代清洁能源,而农村地区只有 25%。约 398 万居民仍主要依靠传统固体燃料进行日常烹饪和/或取暖。能源不平等现象严重,烹饪和取暖的基尼系数分别为 0.65 和 0.55。尽管不同收入群体在采用清洁能源方面的差距相对较小,但清洁能源的可获得性和可负担性有限,严重制约了该地区对清洁能源的利用。这使得性别、年龄和教育水平等家庭特征的影响最小化,并削弱了收入增加对加快清洁烹饪做法的影响。研究结果突出表明,青藏高原迫切需要有针对性的居民能源干预措施和激励机制,以促进清洁能源转型,因为如果不付出巨大努力,到 2030 年实现清洁能源普及是不可能的。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing the performance of runoff prediction in data-scarce hydrological domains using advanced transfer learning 利用高级迁移学习提高数据稀缺水文领域的径流预测性能
IF 12.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2024.100177
Songliang Chen , Qinglin Mao , Youcan Feng , Hongyan Li , Donghe Ma , Yilian Zhao , Junhui Liu , Hui Cheng
Accurate hydrological predictions are often hindered by the lack of stream gauges in data-scarce regions, where traditional transfer learning (TL) models like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks often face limitations due to reduced accuracy and adaptability. To enhance runoff prediction in such regions, we developed DAformer, a novel TL approach that integrates domain adversarial neural networks with the Informer model. Trained on comprehensive runoff data from U.S. basins, DAformer was applied to three basins in Chile and the Chaersen basin in China, demonstrating an effective transfer from data-rich to data-scarce environments. Results show that DAformer significantly outperforms LSTM-based models, improving forecast accuracy by 16.1% for 1-day lead time and by 100.5% for 5-day lead time. These improvements indicate that the DAformer model not only enhances prediction accuracy but also holds substantial practical implications for flood risk management and water resource planning in regions with limited data availability. By clustering basins based on Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) and other geographical data, we found that relying on multiple source basins further enhances the performance. DAformer, therefore, serves as a robust and scalable method for enhancing runoff prediction for regions with limited data.
在数据稀缺的地区,精确的水文预测往往受到缺乏溪流测量数据的阻碍,而传统的迁移学习(TL)模型(如长短期记忆(LSTM)网络)往往由于精度和适应性降低而面临局限。为了提高此类地区的径流预测能力,我们开发了 DAformer,这是一种将域对抗神经网络与 Informer 模型相结合的新型 TL 方法。DAformer 在美国流域的综合径流数据上进行了训练,并应用于智利的三个流域和中国的柴尔森流域,展示了从数据丰富环境到数据稀缺环境的有效转换。结果表明,DAformer 的性能明显优于基于 LSTM 的模型,1 天提前期的预测精度提高了 16.1%,5 天提前期的预测精度提高了 100.5%。这些改进表明,DAformer 模型不仅提高了预测精度,而且对数据有限地区的洪水风险管理和水资源规划具有重要的实际意义。通过基于航天飞机雷达地形图任务(SRTM)和其他地理数据对流域进行聚类,我们发现依靠多源流域可进一步提高性能。因此,DAformer 是一种稳健且可扩展的方法,可用于加强数据有限地区的径流预测。
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引用次数: 0
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