Pub Date : 2025-09-01Epub Date: 2025-08-06DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100254
Yuanchao Hu , Prajal Pradhan , Haoran Zhang , Zhen Wang , Qianyuan Huang , Qiqi Jia , Xihong Lian , Chao Xu , Rui Yang , Yuxi Tian , Zhibang Xu , Limin Jiao , Jürgen P. Kropp
Measuring the production potential and environmental sustainability of urban agriculture in developing countries highlights the value of promoting it. We constructed a new dataset of urban productive spaces for 124 large Chinese cities, which includes indoor balconies, rooftops, urban open spaces, and courtyards. In particular, if moderately exploited, approximately 18% of the 13 million rooftops could be planted, considering factors such as building height, age, rooftop slope, occupation, and other restrictions. Applying both greenhouse and open-air cultivation techniques in all the spaces, about 30% (7%–198% across cities) of urban vegetable demand could be met. However, urban agriculture has little potential in greenhouse gas emission mitigation, with the average intensity (0.30 kgCO2e/kg) being similar to traditional agriculture (0.31 kgCO2e/kg), even if several system-wide benefits, such as reduced food miles, were considered. Despite the multiple benefits, conducting urban agriculture requires massive water, substrate, metal, and plastic inputs. We demonstrate that high-tech urban agriculture can have a lower GHG intensity, but it is essential to consider agroclimatic conditions and promote more sustainable practices.
{"title":"Urban agriculture supports China’s vegetable supply without raising greenhouse gas emissions","authors":"Yuanchao Hu , Prajal Pradhan , Haoran Zhang , Zhen Wang , Qianyuan Huang , Qiqi Jia , Xihong Lian , Chao Xu , Rui Yang , Yuxi Tian , Zhibang Xu , Limin Jiao , Jürgen P. Kropp","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100254","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100254","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Measuring the production potential and environmental sustainability of urban agriculture in developing countries highlights the value of promoting it. We constructed a new dataset of urban productive spaces for 124 large Chinese cities, which includes indoor balconies, rooftops, urban open spaces, and courtyards. In particular, if moderately exploited, approximately 18% of the 13 million rooftops could be planted, considering factors such as building height, age, rooftop slope, occupation, and other restrictions. Applying both greenhouse and open-air cultivation techniques in all the spaces, about 30% (7%–198% across cities) of urban vegetable demand could be met. However, urban agriculture has little potential in greenhouse gas emission mitigation, with the average intensity (0.30 kgCO<sub>2</sub>e/kg) being similar to traditional agriculture (0.31 kgCO<sub>2</sub>e/kg), even if several system-wide benefits, such as reduced food miles, were considered. Despite the multiple benefits, conducting urban agriculture requires massive water, substrate, metal, and plastic inputs. We demonstrate that high-tech urban agriculture can have a lower GHG intensity, but it is essential to consider agroclimatic conditions and promote more sustainable practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"21 ","pages":"Article 100254"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144810585","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-01Epub Date: 2025-06-04DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100240
Kaiyue Luo , Alim Samat , Peijun Du , Sicong Liu , Jiaxi Liang , Jilili Abuduwaili , Dana Shokparova , Mukhiddin Juliev
Addressing escalating land use conflicts (LUCs) is critical for sustainable development in resource-scarce, transboundary regions. The Aral Sea Basin (ASB), Central Asia’s largest transboundary basin characterized by arid conditions and vulnerable ecosystems, serves as a crucial case study. This research introduces an innovative framework, integrating multi-scale spatial assessments with interpretable machine learning (XGBoost-SHAP), to overcome limitations of previous fragmented analyses and provide deeper insights into LUCs dynamics. We systematically evaluated land suitability for ecological preservation, agriculture, and urban construction, quantified conflict intensity, and identified key drivers across the entire ASB, including its Amu Darya and Syr Darya sub-basins. Quantitative results reveal profound spatial heterogeneity in land use potential, with 56.29% of the basin suitable for ecological preservation, only 6.54% for agriculture, and 72.67% for urban construction—indicating dominant ecological value, limited agricultural suitability, and high urban development pressure. Conflicts were found to be pervasive and intense, driven by a complex interplay of natural factors and socio-economic pressures, with distinct upstream-downstream patterns across sub-basins. Crucially, this study provides spatially explicit evidence highlighting the urgent need for integrated, transboundary land management. The results offer actionable, data-driven insights essential for designing targeted strategies, fostering collaborative resource governance, and ultimately promoting sustainable development pathways that balance ecological integrity with human needs in the ASB and similar complex transboundary basins worldwide.
{"title":"Integrative analysis of transboundary land use conflicts in the Aral Sea Basin: A multi-scale assessment of drivers and strategies for sustainable management","authors":"Kaiyue Luo , Alim Samat , Peijun Du , Sicong Liu , Jiaxi Liang , Jilili Abuduwaili , Dana Shokparova , Mukhiddin Juliev","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100240","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100240","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Addressing escalating land use conflicts (LUCs) is critical for sustainable development in resource-scarce, transboundary regions. The Aral Sea Basin (ASB), Central Asia’s largest transboundary basin characterized by arid conditions and vulnerable ecosystems, serves as a crucial case study. This research introduces an innovative framework, integrating multi-scale spatial assessments with interpretable machine learning (XGBoost-SHAP), to overcome limitations of previous fragmented analyses and provide deeper insights into LUCs dynamics. We systematically evaluated land suitability for ecological preservation, agriculture, and urban construction, quantified conflict intensity, and identified key drivers across the entire ASB, including its Amu Darya and Syr Darya sub-basins. Quantitative results reveal profound spatial heterogeneity in land use potential, with 56.29% of the basin suitable for ecological preservation, only 6.54% for agriculture, and 72.67% for urban construction—indicating dominant ecological value, limited agricultural suitability, and high urban development pressure. Conflicts were found to be pervasive and intense, driven by a complex interplay of natural factors and socio-economic pressures, with distinct upstream-downstream patterns across sub-basins. Crucially, this study provides spatially explicit evidence highlighting the urgent need for integrated, transboundary land management. The results offer actionable, data-driven insights essential for designing targeted strategies, fostering collaborative resource governance, and ultimately promoting sustainable development pathways that balance ecological integrity with human needs in the ASB and similar complex transboundary basins worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"21 ","pages":"Article 100240"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144288869","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-01Epub Date: 2025-04-17DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100227
Shuangzhi Li , Xiaoling Zhang , Zhongci Deng , Kang Liu , Jing Wang , Jin Fan
Chinese cities face escalating tensions between pollution mitigation and economic equity. Using an environmentally extended multi-regional input–output (EE-MRIO) model, we quantified the carbon and air pollutant footprints of 309 cities from 2012 to 2017 and applied structural decomposition analysis (SDA) to identify key emission drivers. The results indicate that inequality in air pollutant emissions, with a Gini coefficient of 0.31–0.53, is significantly higher than that of CO2 (0.33–0.41). Developed cities generate 3.1 times more economic output per unit of CO2 emissions than less developed cities, with the disparity widening over time. While intermediate input optimization contributed to a 1.94 Gt reduction in CO2 emissions, its benefits were largely concentrated in developed regions and were accompanied by increased emissions of PM, BC, OC, and CO. Although reductions in emission intensity played a crucial role in mitigating pollutants, they paradoxically contributed to CO2 growth in energy-intensive cities. Additionally, population growth and per capita final demand were the primary drivers of emission increases, and population growth had a greater impact on developed regions. These findings underscore the need for regionally differentiated policies, including carbon quota reallocation, industrial transformation in energy-dependent cities, and the promotion of green industries in less developed areas, to achieve a balance between environmental sustainability and economic development.
{"title":"Widening inequality: Diverging trends in CO2 and air pollutant emissions across Chinese cities","authors":"Shuangzhi Li , Xiaoling Zhang , Zhongci Deng , Kang Liu , Jing Wang , Jin Fan","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100227","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100227","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Chinese cities face escalating tensions between pollution mitigation and economic equity. Using an environmentally extended multi-regional input–output (EE-MRIO) model, we quantified the carbon and air pollutant footprints of 309 cities from 2012 to 2017 and applied structural decomposition analysis (SDA) to identify key emission drivers. The results indicate that inequality in air pollutant emissions, with a Gini coefficient of 0.31–0.53, is significantly higher than that of CO<sub>2</sub> (0.33–0.41). Developed cities generate 3.1 times more economic output per unit of CO<sub>2</sub> emissions than less developed cities, with the disparity widening over time. While intermediate input optimization contributed to a 1.94 Gt reduction in CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, its benefits were largely concentrated in developed regions and were accompanied by increased emissions of PM<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mrow><mi>2.5</mi></mrow></msub></math></span>, BC, OC, and CO. Although reductions in emission intensity played a crucial role in mitigating pollutants, they paradoxically contributed to CO<sub>2</sub> growth in energy-intensive cities. Additionally, population growth and per capita final demand were the primary drivers of emission increases, and population growth had a greater impact on developed regions. These findings underscore the need for regionally differentiated policies, including carbon quota reallocation, industrial transformation in energy-dependent cities, and the promotion of green industries in less developed areas, to achieve a balance between environmental sustainability and economic development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"21 ","pages":"Article 100227"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143865017","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-01Epub Date: 2025-02-24DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100204
Uwe Grewer , Peter de Voil , Dilys S. MacCarthy , Daniel Rodriguez
The adoption of suitable crop cultivars is central to the sustainable intensification of smallholder cropping systems across Sub-Saharan Africa and plays a crucial role in improving smallholder incomes and food security. Breeding programmes have significantly increased the availability of early-, mid-, and late-maturing crop cultivars tailored to the Target Population of Environments in Sub-Saharan Africa. However, there is a substantial lack of data-driven maturity group recommendations at a detailed spatial scale. The absence of targeted guidance on the suitability of maturity groups limits the ability of smallholder farmers to make optimal cultivar adoption decisions. Here, we propose a framework using gridded crop modelling to identify locally relevant maturity group recommendations at a high spatial resolution for field crops. Implementing the framework for maize in Ghana, we employ the APSIM crop model across 3927 point locations and weather records for recent thirty years. We show that mid-maturing cultivars consistently provide the highest yields across all national production locations in the major growing season. In the minor growing season, we find that early- and mid-maturing cultivars provide the highest yields across distinct spatial suitability clusters. Specifically, in the minor growing season, mid-maturing cultivars provide the highest yields in high-yielding environments, while early-maturing varieties provide the highest yields in low-yielding environments. We identify specific environment-by-management combinations for which different maturity groups are optimal. The proposed framework enables the development of spatially and seasonally tailored maturity group recommendations that take advantage of prevailing genotype-by-environment-by-management interactions. The approach can readily be scaled to other crops and countries.
{"title":"Guiding cultivar choice in smallholder agriculture: Identifying suitability hotspots for maturity groups of field crops","authors":"Uwe Grewer , Peter de Voil , Dilys S. MacCarthy , Daniel Rodriguez","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100204","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100204","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The adoption of suitable crop cultivars is central to the sustainable intensification of smallholder cropping systems across Sub-Saharan Africa and plays a crucial role in improving smallholder incomes and food security. Breeding programmes have significantly increased the availability of early-, mid-, and late-maturing crop cultivars tailored to the Target Population of Environments in Sub-Saharan Africa. However, there is a substantial lack of data-driven maturity group recommendations at a detailed spatial scale. The absence of targeted guidance on the suitability of maturity groups limits the ability of smallholder farmers to make optimal cultivar adoption decisions. Here, we propose a framework using gridded crop modelling to identify locally relevant maturity group recommendations at a high spatial resolution for field crops. Implementing the framework for maize in Ghana, we employ the APSIM crop model across 3927 point locations and weather records for recent thirty years. We show that mid-maturing cultivars consistently provide the highest yields across all national production locations in the major growing season. In the minor growing season, we find that early- and mid-maturing cultivars provide the highest yields across distinct spatial suitability clusters. Specifically, in the minor growing season, mid-maturing cultivars provide the highest yields in high-yielding environments, while early-maturing varieties provide the highest yields in low-yielding environments. We identify specific environment-by-management combinations for which different maturity groups are optimal. The proposed framework enables the development of spatially and seasonally tailored maturity group recommendations that take advantage of prevailing genotype-by-environment-by-management interactions. The approach can readily be scaled to other crops and countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"20 ","pages":"Article 100204"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143518961","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-01Epub Date: 2025-03-07DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100214
Zhuhong Yu, Yi Yang
Cotton constitutes one-quarter of the global fiber market. With growing global attention to the carbon footprint and net-zero pathways of the fashion and textile industries, it is essential to quantify the life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, or carbon footprint, of cotton production and develop effective emission reduction strategies. Based on life-cycle assessment, we estimate that global GHG emissions from cotton production in 2020 amounts to approximately 63 Mt CO2e, with substantial regional variability observed. Emissions intensity ranges from 0.3 to 1.4 t CO2e per t of cotton produced, with an average of 0.9 t CO2e per t or 1.9 t CO2e per t of fiber produced. Across the countries evaluated, India has the most GHG emissions and, hence, the largest reduction potential, highlighting the need for prioritized localized strategies in that region. Nitrogen fertilizer is identified as the main driver of cotton’s carbon footprint, due to direct O emissions and indirect GHG emissions from production. In some regions, phosphorus (O5) fertilizer and diesel use are also important sources of emissions. Scenario analysis indicates that cotton’s carbon footprint can be reduced by 37% through improving nitrogen use efficiency and increasing manure application, and an additional 12% reduction is possible by powering farm equipment with renewable energy. Our study provides important information for decision makers regarding how to make global cotton production more sustainable and climate friendly.
{"title":"Carbon footprint of global cotton production","authors":"Zhuhong Yu, Yi Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100214","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100214","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cotton constitutes one-quarter of the global fiber market. With growing global attention to the carbon footprint and net-zero pathways of the fashion and textile industries, it is essential to quantify the life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, or carbon footprint, of cotton production and develop effective emission reduction strategies. Based on life-cycle assessment, we estimate that global GHG emissions from cotton production in 2020 amounts to approximately 63 Mt CO<sub>2</sub>e, with substantial regional variability observed. Emissions intensity ranges from 0.3 to 1.4 t CO<sub>2</sub>e per t of cotton produced, with an average of 0.9 t CO<sub>2</sub>e per t or 1.9 t CO<sub>2</sub>e per t of fiber produced. Across the countries evaluated, India has the most GHG emissions and, hence, the largest reduction potential, highlighting the need for prioritized localized strategies in that region. Nitrogen fertilizer is identified as the main driver of cotton’s carbon footprint, due to direct <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>N</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msub></math></span>O emissions and indirect GHG emissions from production. In some regions, phosphorus (<span><math><msub><mrow><mi>P</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msub></math></span>O<sub>5</sub>) fertilizer and diesel use are also important sources of emissions. Scenario analysis indicates that cotton’s carbon footprint can be reduced by <span><math><mo>∼</mo></math></span>37% through improving nitrogen use efficiency and increasing manure application, and an additional <span><math><mo>∼</mo></math></span>12% reduction is possible by powering farm equipment with renewable energy. Our study provides important information for decision makers regarding how to make global cotton production more sustainable and climate friendly.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"20 ","pages":"Article 100214"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143791347","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-01Epub Date: 2025-04-01DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100219
Feifeng Jiang , Jun Ma
Pedestrians are particularly vulnerable to air pollution due to their proximity to pollutant sources and elevated respiratory rates during physical activity, amplifying cumulative health risks. However, existing studies focus on concentration- or residence-based exposure assessment, overlooking the dynamic interaction between pollution patterns and pedestrian activity. This study therefore introduces a novel methodological framework to assess pedestrian-specific exposure to PM2.5 in diverse urban environments. Applied to New York City, the framework leverages graph-based machine learning to predict street-level PM2.5 concentrations from vehicle-sensed pollution data, while estimating high-resolution pedestrian volume derived from street view imagery and ground-truth count data. The results reveal significant divergences between traditional exposure assessments and pedestrian-specific exposure patterns, uncovering previously overlooked high-risk zones. High-exposure hotspots are not limited to areas with elevated pollution levels but also include locations where moderate pollution coincides with high pedestrian activity. This study also explores the spatial relationship between exposure patterns and urban vegetation coverage, providing actionable insights for targeted interventions. By bridging the gap between pollution dynamics and pedestrian activity, this research provides urban planners and policymakers with new insights for developing pedestrian-centered air quality management strategies, contributing to healthier and more sustainable urban environments.
{"title":"Graph-based machine learning for high-resolution assessment of pedestrian-weighted exposure to air pollution","authors":"Feifeng Jiang , Jun Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100219","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100219","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Pedestrians are particularly vulnerable to air pollution due to their proximity to pollutant sources and elevated respiratory rates during physical activity, amplifying cumulative health risks. However, existing studies focus on concentration- or residence-based exposure assessment, overlooking the dynamic interaction between pollution patterns and pedestrian activity. This study therefore introduces a novel methodological framework to assess pedestrian-specific exposure to PM2.5 in diverse urban environments. Applied to New York City, the framework leverages graph-based machine learning to predict street-level PM2.5 concentrations from vehicle-sensed pollution data, while estimating high-resolution pedestrian volume derived from street view imagery and ground-truth count data. The results reveal significant divergences between traditional exposure assessments and pedestrian-specific exposure patterns, uncovering previously overlooked high-risk zones. High-exposure hotspots are not limited to areas with elevated pollution levels but also include locations where moderate pollution coincides with high pedestrian activity. This study also explores the spatial relationship between exposure patterns and urban vegetation coverage, providing actionable insights for targeted interventions. By bridging the gap between pollution dynamics and pedestrian activity, this research provides urban planners and policymakers with new insights for developing pedestrian-centered air quality management strategies, contributing to healthier and more sustainable urban environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"20 ","pages":"Article 100219"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143790750","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-01Epub Date: 2025-03-06DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100200
Yonglin Jia , Yi Li , Asim Biswas , Jiayin Pang , Xiaoyan Song , Guang Yang , Zhen’an Hou , Honghai Luo , Xiangwen Xie , Javlonbek Ishchanov , Ji Chen , Juanli Ju , Kadambot H.M. Siddique
Cotton is the world’s most widely cultivated fiber crop and holds great significance in Xinjiang. However, unsuitable planting environments can hinder farmer income and result in a substantial waste of agricultural resources.This study explores suitability of cotton planting areas in Xinjiang to reduce agricultural inputs and pollution. The goal is to promote sustainable agricultural development by considering both climate change and soil fertility, factors often overlooked in previous research. We analyzed climate change trends in Xinjiang and used machine learning-transfer component analysis to build a transferable coupling model for total nitrogen (TN) and soil organic carbon (SOC) indicators, resulting in a cotton suitability zoning that accounts for climate and soil fertility factors. Xinjiang has seen an overall increase in cumulative temperature and rainfall, with southern Xinjiang showing the most significant rise (4.02% in temperature and 16.26% in rainfall). The random forest model (RF) outperformed multivariate linear regression (MLR) and support vector machines (SVM) in predicting soil fertility indicators (TN: R, SOC: R). The RF-TCA coupling model enhanced adaptability, with better performance in TN prediction compared to SOC. The Xinjiang cotton suitability zoning, based on meteorological and soil data, indicates a northward shift in suitable cotton planting areas in northern Xinjiang, while southern Xinjiang continues to maintain a substantial number of suitable planting zones. Notably, the disparity in suitability between the two regions has been narrowing over time. The research offers valuable insights for optimizing cotton planting locations, enhancing resource efficiency, and promoting sustainable development in Xinjiang.
{"title":"Evaluation of cotton planting suitability in Xinjiang based on climate change and soil fertility factors simulated by coupled machine learning model","authors":"Yonglin Jia , Yi Li , Asim Biswas , Jiayin Pang , Xiaoyan Song , Guang Yang , Zhen’an Hou , Honghai Luo , Xiangwen Xie , Javlonbek Ishchanov , Ji Chen , Juanli Ju , Kadambot H.M. Siddique","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100200","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100200","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cotton is the world’s most widely cultivated fiber crop and holds great significance in Xinjiang. However, unsuitable planting environments can hinder farmer income and result in a substantial waste of agricultural resources.This study explores suitability of cotton planting areas in Xinjiang to reduce agricultural inputs and pollution. The goal is to promote sustainable agricultural development by considering both climate change and soil fertility, factors often overlooked in previous research. We analyzed climate change trends in Xinjiang and used machine learning-transfer component analysis to build a transferable coupling model for total nitrogen (TN) and soil organic carbon (SOC) indicators, resulting in a cotton suitability zoning that accounts for climate and soil fertility factors. Xinjiang has seen an overall increase in cumulative temperature and rainfall, with southern Xinjiang showing the most significant rise (4.02% in temperature and 16.26% in rainfall). The random forest model (RF) outperformed multivariate linear regression (MLR) and support vector machines (SVM) in predicting soil fertility indicators (TN: R<span><math><mrow><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup><mo>=</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>80</mn></mrow></math></span>, SOC: R<span><math><mrow><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup><mo>=</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>77</mn></mrow></math></span>). The RF-TCA coupling model enhanced adaptability, with better performance in TN prediction compared to SOC. The Xinjiang cotton suitability zoning, based on meteorological and soil data, indicates a northward shift in suitable cotton planting areas in northern Xinjiang, while southern Xinjiang continues to maintain a substantial number of suitable planting zones. Notably, the disparity in suitability between the two regions has been narrowing over time. The research offers valuable insights for optimizing cotton planting locations, enhancing resource efficiency, and promoting sustainable development in Xinjiang.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"20 ","pages":"Article 100200"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143629105","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-01Epub Date: 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100201
George Bishop , Carmen Girón-Domínguez , James Gaffey , Maeve Henchion , Réamonn Fealy , Jesko Zimmermann , Wriju Kargupta , David Styles
Understanding the environmental impacts of bio-based feedstock production is essential for sustainable bioeconomy development. Consequential life cycle assessment (LCA) evaluates environmental sustainability, often identifying “hidden” impacts incurred through market displacements. However, it is often impractical to screen multiple bioeconomy feedstocks and value chains using full consequential LCA early in project conceptualisation, owing to high requirements in terms of time, data, and expertise. As a result, critical environmental risks may not be discovered until too late in project development to redirect investment towards more sustainable options. This paper introduces the Bio-based feedstock Environmental Risk Assessment (Bio-ERA) Framework, designed to support early screening of potential upstream environmental risks associated with increased demand for bio-based feedstocks. The Bio-ERA Framework comprises a decision tree that systematically guides stakeholders through consequential life cycle thinking, elucidating sometimes hidden (indirect) pathways of impact among feedstock sourcing decisions. Seven important environmental aspects are addressed: Finite Resource Inputs, Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions, Air Quality, Water Quality, Ecosystem Diversity, Terrestrial Carbon Storage, and Indirect Land Use Change. Criteria are proposed to structure evaluation of (i) probability and (ii) severity of environmental impact, in relation to four categories of feedstock: primary (determining product), high-value by-product, low-value by-product, and waste. Example applications demonstrate how the framework can generate an environmental risk profile for specific feedstocks sourced in specific contexts. Bio-ERA does not avoid the need for detailed LCA evaluation of full bioeconomy value chains, but promotes deeper interrogation and awareness of potential environmental risks associated with feedstock sourcing, in a manner that is accessible to all stakeholders. This could support earlier screening of strategic investment decisions necessary to develop a sustainable bioeconomy.
{"title":"A life cycle thinking-based environmental risk framework for screening sustainable feedstocks in early-stage bioeconomy projects","authors":"George Bishop , Carmen Girón-Domínguez , James Gaffey , Maeve Henchion , Réamonn Fealy , Jesko Zimmermann , Wriju Kargupta , David Styles","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100201","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100201","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the environmental impacts of bio-based feedstock production is essential for sustainable bioeconomy development. Consequential life cycle assessment (LCA) evaluates environmental sustainability, often identifying “hidden” impacts incurred through market displacements. However, it is often impractical to screen multiple bioeconomy feedstocks and value chains using full consequential LCA early in project conceptualisation, owing to high requirements in terms of time, data, and expertise. As a result, critical environmental risks may not be discovered until too late in project development to redirect investment towards more sustainable options. This paper introduces the Bio-based feedstock Environmental Risk Assessment (Bio-ERA) Framework, designed to support early screening of potential upstream environmental risks associated with increased demand for bio-based feedstocks. The Bio-ERA Framework comprises a decision tree that systematically guides stakeholders through consequential life cycle thinking, elucidating sometimes hidden (indirect) pathways of impact among feedstock sourcing decisions. Seven important environmental aspects are addressed: Finite Resource Inputs, Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions, Air Quality, Water Quality, Ecosystem Diversity, Terrestrial Carbon Storage, and Indirect Land Use Change. Criteria are proposed to structure evaluation of (i) probability and (ii) severity of environmental impact, in relation to four categories of feedstock: primary (determining product), high-value by-product, low-value by-product, and waste. Example applications demonstrate how the framework can generate an environmental risk profile for specific feedstocks sourced in specific contexts. Bio-ERA does not avoid the need for detailed LCA evaluation of full bioeconomy value chains, but promotes deeper interrogation and awareness of potential environmental risks associated with feedstock sourcing, in a manner that is accessible to all stakeholders. This could support <u>earlier</u> screening of strategic investment decisions necessary to develop a sustainable bioeconomy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"20 ","pages":"Article 100201"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143480224","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Straw return with optimizing nitrogen fertilizer is an important way to achieve sustainable cotton farming. However, quantitative analysis of joint fertilization efficacy (JFE) of straw return and nitrogen fertilizer on soil quality and seedcotton yield remains uncertain. Herein, based on a 7-year field experiment, we evaluated the dynamic characteristics of JFE of straw return and nitrogen rates (75, 150 and 300 kg N ha−1, denote as N75, N150 and N300, respectively) on soil quality index (JFE-SQI) and seedcotton yield (JFE-Y) in a cotton–wheat cropping system of East China. The results showed that straw return with moderate nitrogen rate (i.e.N150) improved soil quality by reducing bulk density, increasing soil carbon and nitrogen sequestration, promoting nutrient availability, stimulating microbial growth and enhancing soil enzyme activities, thereby improving seedcotton yield and its stability. Straw return with N150 could also achieve higher JFE-SQI and JFE-Y synergistically. Meanwhile, JFE-SQI and JFE-Y at N150 had a synergistic effect (JFE > 10%) in the first 5 year while a summing effect (−10% JFE 10%) from the sixth year. And the highest JFE-Y could be reached when moderate JFE-SQI was achieved, indicating that there was a nitrogen-driven tradeoff between JFE-SQI and JFE-Y. Moreover, Climatic factor exerted a significant contribution to seedcotton yield and JFE-Y. In conclusion, reasonable straw return and nitrogen fertilizer management strategy is an effective way to realize sustainable cotton planting under the global climate change.
秸秆还田配氮肥优化是实现棉花可持续生产的重要途径。然而,秸秆还田与氮肥联合施肥对土壤质量和籽棉产量的定量分析仍不确定。基于7年的大田试验,研究了秸秆还田和施氮量(分别为75、150和300 kg N ha−1,分别为N75、N150和N300)对华东棉麦种植体系土壤质量指数(JFE- sqi)和籽棉产量(JFE- y)的动态特征。结果表明,中等施氮量(即n150)秸秆还田可通过降低容重、增加土壤固碳和固氮、促进养分有效性、刺激微生物生长和提高土壤酶活性等方式改善土壤质量,从而提高棉籽产量及其稳定性。秸秆还田N150也能协同提高JFE-SQI和JFE-Y。同时,N150时JFE- sqi和JFE- y具有协同效应(JFE >;前5年为10%),第6年为累加效应(- 10%≤JFE≤10%)。当JFE-SQI适中时,JFE-Y最高,说明JFE-SQI和JFE-Y之间存在氮驱动的权衡。此外,气候因子对籽棉产量和JFE-Y均有显著影响。综上所述,合理的秸秆还田和氮肥管理策略是在全球气候变化下实现棉花可持续种植的有效途径。
{"title":"Enhancement joint fertilization efficacy of straw and nitrogen fertilizer on soil quality and seedcotton yield for sustainable cotton farming","authors":"Qiang Li , Zhitao Liu , Li’an Wang, Ying Zhang, Mengyao Guo, Wen Jin, Wei Hu, Yali Meng, Haishui Yang, Zhiguo Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100218","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100218","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Straw return with optimizing nitrogen fertilizer is an important way to achieve sustainable cotton farming. However, quantitative analysis of joint fertilization efficacy (JFE) of straw return and nitrogen fertilizer on soil quality and seedcotton yield remains uncertain. Herein, based on a 7-year field experiment, we evaluated the dynamic characteristics of JFE of straw return and nitrogen rates (75, 150 and 300 kg N ha<sup>−1</sup>, denote as N75, N150 and N300, respectively) on soil quality index (JFE-SQI) and seedcotton yield (JFE-Y) in a cotton–wheat cropping system of East China. The results showed that straw return with moderate nitrogen rate (i.e.N150) improved soil quality by reducing bulk density, increasing soil carbon and nitrogen sequestration, promoting nutrient availability, stimulating microbial growth and enhancing soil enzyme activities, thereby improving seedcotton yield and its stability. Straw return with N150 could also achieve higher JFE-SQI and JFE-Y synergistically. Meanwhile, JFE-SQI and JFE-Y at N150 had a synergistic effect (JFE > 10%) in the first 5 year while a summing effect (−10% <span><math><mo>≤</mo></math></span> JFE <span><math><mo>≤</mo></math></span> 10%) from the sixth year. And the highest JFE-Y could be reached when moderate JFE-SQI was achieved, indicating that there was a nitrogen-driven tradeoff between JFE-SQI and JFE-Y. Moreover, Climatic factor exerted a significant contribution to seedcotton yield and JFE-Y. In conclusion, reasonable straw return and nitrogen fertilizer management strategy is an effective way to realize sustainable cotton planting under the global climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"20 ","pages":"Article 100218"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143791349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-01Epub Date: 2025-03-07DOI: 10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100209
Vanessa Burg , Hamidreza Solgi , Farzaneh Rezaei , Stephan Pfister , Ramin Roshandel , Stefanie Hellweg
Sustainable agricultural practices are essential to mitigate environmental impacts. Greenhouse cultivation offers potential solutions for enhancing crop yields and reducing the impacts on land and water resources. However, reliance on fossil-based heating systems poses challenges regarding carbon footprint. This study provides a comparative life cycle assessment (LCA) of the carbon and water footprints of imported and locally produced greenhouse crops in Switzerland, considering the local climatic conditions and the predominant production systems in different regions. The findings reveal that the carbon footprint is primarily driven by heating, supplementary lighting, and CO2 fertilization, while transportation emissions are relatively minor. A key insight is that using waste heat for greenhouse heating in Switzerland can reduce the carbon footprint to less than one-third (e.g., 0.6 CO2-eq/kg for tomatoes) compared to local natural-gas-based heating systems. However, imports from warmer locations still show a slightly lower carbon footprint (0.4-0.5 CO2-eq/kg) due to the absence of heating, lighting, and CO2 enrichment, but often come with trade-offs concerning the water footprint. Seasonal variations also strongly influence the carbon footprint: early winter cultivation can result in up to five times higher carbon footprint than summer cultivation, while waste-heat systems reduce but do not eliminate this effect. These findings highlight the potential of waste-heat-based greenhouses as a lower-carbon alternative to fossil-fueled domestic production and imports from less favorable climates while underscoring the environmental benefits of seasonal diets.
{"title":"Is ‘local food’ best? Evaluating agricultural greenhouses in Switzerland as an alternative to imports for reducing carbon footprint","authors":"Vanessa Burg , Hamidreza Solgi , Farzaneh Rezaei , Stephan Pfister , Ramin Roshandel , Stefanie Hellweg","doi":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100209","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100209","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Sustainable agricultural practices are essential to mitigate environmental impacts. Greenhouse cultivation offers potential solutions for enhancing crop yields and reducing the impacts on land and water resources. However, reliance on fossil-based heating systems poses challenges regarding carbon footprint. This study provides a comparative life cycle assessment (LCA) of the carbon and water footprints of imported and locally produced greenhouse crops in Switzerland, considering the local climatic conditions and the predominant production systems in different regions. The findings reveal that the carbon footprint is primarily driven by heating, supplementary lighting, and CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization, while transportation emissions are relatively minor. A key insight is that using waste heat for greenhouse heating in Switzerland can reduce the carbon footprint to less than one-third (e.g., 0.6 CO<sub>2</sub>-eq/kg for tomatoes) compared to local natural-gas-based heating systems. However, imports from warmer locations still show a slightly lower carbon footprint (0.4-0.5 CO<sub>2</sub>-eq/kg) due to the absence of heating, lighting, and CO<sub>2</sub> enrichment, but often come with trade-offs concerning the water footprint. Seasonal variations also strongly influence the carbon footprint: early winter cultivation can result in up to five times higher carbon footprint than summer cultivation, while waste-heat systems reduce but do not eliminate this effect. These findings highlight the potential of waste-heat-based greenhouses as a lower-carbon alternative to fossil-fueled domestic production and imports from less favorable climates while underscoring the environmental benefits of seasonal diets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34479,"journal":{"name":"Resources Environment and Sustainability","volume":"20 ","pages":"Article 100209"},"PeriodicalIF":12.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143600458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}