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Forest degradation and its economic and employment consequences: Evidence from Indonesia 森林退化及其经济和就业后果:来自印度尼西亚的证据
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2026.101147
Eny Sulistyaningrum , Prayudi Ibrahim Nasution
This study aims to analyse the current development of the Forestry Sector regarding the impact of forest degradation in Indonesia on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), income, and employment, and also the consequences on the relationship between employment status and the welfare of forestry sector workers. The main findings show that forest degradation at around IDR 683 billion leads to an estimated loss of IDR 882 billion in GDP, reduction of IDR 261 billion in income, and the loss of approximately 4735 workforce in 2022. On the micro level, the study finds that informal workers are less likely to have access to financial services and are more likely to experience food insecurity, but it is not show a statistically significant access to healthcare.
本研究旨在分析印度尼西亚森林退化对国内生产总值(GDP)、收入和就业的影响,以及对林业部门工人的就业状况和福利之间关系的影响,林业部门目前的发展。主要研究结果显示,到2022年,森林退化将导致约6830亿印尼盾的国内生产总值损失8820亿印尼盾,收入减少2610亿印尼盾,并损失约4735名劳动力。在微观层面上,研究发现,非正规工人获得金融服务的可能性较小,更有可能经历粮食不安全,但在获得医疗保健方面却没有统计学上的显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Valuing ecosystem services in Sudan: a participatory study of the Okalma reserved forest 评价苏丹的生态系统服务:对Okalma保留林的参与性研究
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101139
Fatima Salaheldin Mohamad Ali , Ahmed A.H. Siddig , Jan Henning Sommer , Christian Borgemeister , Lisa Biber-Freudenberger
Gum arabic forests in Sudan are significant and biodiverse habitats, providing various ecosystem services (ES) that support both rural livelihoods and the national economy. However, effectively protecting and managing these forests is challenging, as the government's primary objective of producing gum for export often conflicts with local communities' reliance on forests for other ES. In this study, we explored the valuation of ES in the Okalma Reserved Forest using a participatory approach.
We surveyed 150 households in two villages bordering the Okalma buffer zone at varying distances from the forest. Participants valued 12 different forest ES based on their perceived contribution to livelihoods, using a scale from zero to five. We employed descriptive statistics, feature selection, and Generalized Linear Models (GLM) to analyze the data and explore the impact of socioeconomic factors on ES valuation by community members.
Our results indicate that regulating ES received the highest values, followed by provisioning and cultural ES. Despite its national economic importance, gum arabic was assigned a lower local value than other ES, highlighting a conflict between state and community priorities. However, people with forest-based livelihoods, diversified livelihoods, and those in distant villages assigned the highest value to gum arabic.
For other ES, we observed distinct patterns: households with forest-based livelihoods and those relying on motorbikes or traditional carts for access assigned higher-than-average values to combined and provisioning services. Regulating ES were highly valued by individuals with a single livelihood source, and even more so by those with diversified livelihoods. For cultural ES, respondents with forest-based livelihoods and any formal education showed significantly higher valuation than those with no education. Finally, men valued tangible ES significantly less than women, a pattern that was particularly clear for wood ES.
Collectively, these findings demonstrate that ES valuation depends on the specific ES type, forest users’ characteristics, and forest governance context. Moreover, they provide empirical insights for global commodity–oriented forest management in Sudan and Africa, highlighting the need to balance export-driven production with local livelihoods and biodiversity conservation and restoration.
苏丹的阿拉伯胶林是重要的生物多样性栖息地,提供各种生态系统服务,支持农村生计和国民经济。然而,有效地保护和管理这些森林是具有挑战性的,因为政府的主要目标是生产出口口香糖,这往往与当地社区依赖森林生产其他经济效益相冲突。在本研究中,我们采用参与式方法探讨了奥卡玛保护区生态系统的价值评估。我们调查了奥卡玛缓冲区附近两个村庄的150户家庭,他们距离森林的距离不同。参与者根据对生计的贡献对12种不同的森林生态系统进行了评估,评分范围从0到5。我们采用描述性统计、特征选择和广义线性模型(GLM)对数据进行分析,探讨社会经济因素对社区成员ES评价的影响。我们的研究结果表明,调节ES的值最高,其次是供给ES和培养ES。尽管阿拉伯胶具有国家经济重要性,但其在当地的价值却低于其他ES,这凸显了国家和社区优先事项之间的冲突。然而,以森林为基础的生计、多样化的生计和偏远村庄的人认为阿拉伯胶的价值最高。对于其他可持续能源,我们观察到不同的模式:以森林为生计的家庭和依赖摩托车或传统手推车的家庭对综合和供应服务的分配值高于平均水平。单一生计来源的个人高度重视规范ES,而多样化生计来源的个人更是如此。对于文化ES,以森林为生计和受过正规教育的受访者的价值明显高于没有受过教育的受访者。最后,男性对有形ES的重视程度明显低于女性,这一模式在木质ES中尤为明显。总的来说,这些发现表明,生态系统的价值取决于具体的生态系统类型、森林用户的特征和森林治理背景。此外,它们为苏丹和非洲面向商品的全球森林管理提供了经验见解,突出了平衡出口驱动型生产与当地生计和生物多样性保护和恢复的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Equity of cooling services of urban green spaces from the perspective of community life circles: Integrating cooling effects, service quality, and resident preferences 社区生活圈视角下的城市绿地降温服务公平性——综合降温效果、服务质量和居民偏好
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101132
Zhenfan Liu , Yiwei Han , Hanqing Zheng , Wenjuan Wu , Ming Chen , Donghui Peng
Urban green spaces help mitigate urban heat, yet the equity of their cooling services remains insufficiently examined. Existing equity assessments often emphasize the quantity of green space while overlooking qualitative attributes and resident preferences. This study analyzes 52 green spaces in Fuzhou and develops an integrated framework to assess the equity of cooling services by combining cooling performance, service quality, and user preferences. The evaluation covers cooling intensity, accessibility, and spatial equity. The results show that: (1) cooling performance varies substantially across the city, with large peripheral parks providing strong cooling effects, whereas many small centrally located green spaces offer limited cooling; (2) cooling accessibility exhibits a “core clusters—peripheral gaps—local hotspots” pattern, indicating pronounced disparities at the urban–rural interface; and (3) overall cooling equity remains low as high-quality cooling services are unevenly allocated relative to population needs, and extending travel-time thresholds does little to correct this imbalance. The study’s primary contribution is integrating cooling effects, service quality, and resident preferences into a comprehensive equity assessment framework, offering valuable guidance for green space planning and promoting environmental justice.
城市绿地有助于缓解城市热量,但其冷却服务的公平性仍未得到充分研究。现有的公平评估往往强调绿色空间的数量,而忽略了质量属性和居民偏好。本研究对福州的52个绿地进行了分析,并结合制冷性能、服务质量和用户偏好,开发了一个综合框架来评估制冷服务的公平性。评估包括冷却强度、可达性和空间公平性。结果表明:(1)城市不同区域的降温效果差异较大,大型外围公园降温效果较好,而许多位于中心的小型绿地降温效果有限;②降温可达性呈现“核心集群—外围缺口—局部热点”的格局,城乡结合部差异明显;(3)由于高质量制冷服务相对于人口需求的分配不均匀,总体制冷公平仍然很低,而延长出行时间阈值对纠正这种不平衡作用不大。该研究的主要贡献是将降温效果、服务质量和居民偏好整合到一个综合的公平评估框架中,为绿色空间规划和促进环境正义提供有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Mask R-CNN-based detection and segmentation of Mangrove ecosystems in Lantau Island, Hong Kong 基于r - cnn的香港大屿山红树林生态系统检测与分割
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2026.101146
Renjie Wu , Zhijun Dai , Xuefei Mei , Chuqi Long , Diankai Wang , Jie Wang , Jinping Cheng
Mangroves play a crucial role in coastal protection and biodiversity but face escalating threats from anthropogenic pressures and climate-driven disturbances. Long-term monitoring remains challenging due to mangrove fragmentation and limited high-resolution historical data. This study presents a deep learning–based approach for mangrove identification, leveraging cloud-free Sentinel-2 MSI imagery (10 m resolution) and Mask R-CNN to map and analyze mangrove dynamics on Lantau Island, Hong Kong, from 2016 to 2024. The model integrates surface reflectance bands, spectral indices (EVI, LSWI, MVI), and elevation data, achieving high accuracy (mean absolute percentage error: 6.91%; root mean square error: 0.04 × 10⁴ ha). Multi-source validation demonstrated its strong generalization capacity across global mangrove ecosystems. Spatiotemporal analysis revealed divergent trends in two key mangrove stands. In Shui Hau, mangrove area declined continuously from 0.77 ha in 2016 to 0.39 ha in 2024, accompanied by shoreline erosion at a rate of 3.07 m/yr. This loss was associated with reduced suspended sediment concentration and persistent high wave energy. In contrast, Tung Chung’s mangrove area expanded from 3.28 ha to 3.59 ha, with shoreline accretion at 0.85 m/yr, supported by moderate wave dynamics and higher sediment availability. These findings underscore the value of 10 m resolution Sentinel-2 MSI imagery for historical mangrove mapping, providing critical insights for targeted conservation and management strategies.
红树林在沿海保护和生物多样性方面发挥着至关重要的作用,但面临着来自人为压力和气候驱动干扰的日益严重的威胁。由于红树林破碎化和有限的高分辨率历史数据,长期监测仍然具有挑战性。本研究提出了一种基于深度学习的红树林识别方法,利用无云Sentinel-2 MSI图像(10米分辨率)和Mask R-CNN来绘制和分析2016年至2024年香港大屿山红树林动态。该模型集成了地表反射率波段、光谱指数(EVI、LSWI、MVI)和高程数据,实现了较高的精度(平均绝对百分比误差为6.91%,均方根误差为0.04 × 10⁴ha)。多源验证表明,该方法具有较强的全球红树林生态系统泛化能力。时空分析揭示了两个主要红树林林分的不同趋势。在水口,红树林面积从2016年的0.77 ha持续减少到2024年的0.39 ha,海岸线侵蚀速度为3.07 m/年。这种损失与悬浮沉积物浓度降低和持续的高波能有关。相比之下,东涌的红树林面积从3.28公顷扩大到3.59公顷,海岸线以0.85米/年的速度增加,波浪动力学适中,沉积物可利用性较高。这些发现强调了10米分辨率Sentinel-2 MSI图像在历史红树林制图中的价值,为有针对性的保护和管理策略提供了重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
Disturbance gradients reshape biodiversity, structure, and regeneration in Sal (Shorea robusta) forests of Dharmapur National Park, Bangladesh 干扰梯度重塑了孟加拉国达玛普尔国家公园萨尔(Shorea robusta)森林的生物多样性、结构和再生
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2026.101148
Niamjit Das
Disturbance gradients strongly influence tropical forest dynamics, shaping biodiversity, structure, and regeneration. This study provides the first empirical assessment of disturbance effects on Sal (Shorea robusta) forests in Dharmapur National Park, Bangladesh, part of the Indo-Burma biodiversity hotspot. Across 105 plots, species richness declined from 35 in low-disturbance stands to 17 in highly disturbed stands, while Shannon diversity decreased from 2.4 to 2.1. Stand structure was similarly eroded, with basal area reduced by ∼50% and tree density halved. Although regeneration of S. robusta remained relatively resilient, late-successional and shade-tolerant associates declined sharply, indicating vulnerability to disturbance. Ordination analyses revealed significant compositional turnover, with highly disturbed plots dominated by S. robusta and disturbance-tolerant taxa. These findings demonstrate that disturbance simplifies forest structure, reduces diversity, and constrains regeneration of non-Sal species, increasing the risk of long-term homogenization into Sal-dominated stands. Disturbance-sensitive management, enrichment planting of vulnerable associates, and community-based conservation are critical to sustain biodiversity and ecosystem services, while supporting Bangladesh’s forest policy priorities, REDD+ commitments, and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.
扰动梯度强烈影响热带森林动态,塑造生物多样性、结构和更新。本研究首次对印度-缅甸生物多样性热点地区孟加拉国Dharmapur国家公园萨尔(Shorea robusta)森林的干扰效应进行了实证评估。105个样地的物种丰富度从低干扰林分的35个下降到高干扰林分的17个,Shannon多样性从2.4个下降到2.1个。林分结构同样受到侵蚀,基底面积减少约50%,树木密度减半。尽管红毛杨的再生仍然保持相对的弹性,但后期演替和耐阴的伴生体急剧下降,表明易受干扰。排序分析表明,群落结构发生了明显的变化,受干扰程度高的样地主要为罗布斯塔和耐干扰类群。这些发现表明,干扰简化了森林结构,减少了多样性,限制了非盐物种的更新,增加了长期同质化为盐优势林分的风险。对干扰敏感的管理、对脆弱群落的丰富化种植和基于社区的保护对于维持生物多样性和生态系统服务至关重要,同时支持孟加拉国的森林政策重点、REDD+承诺和联合国可持续发展目标。
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引用次数: 0
Converting Chinese fir plantations into mixed stands: Effects of density on soil organic carbon mineralization and its temperature sensitivity 杉木人工林混交林:密度对土壤有机碳矿化及其温度敏感性的影响
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2026.101160
Xiulan Zhang , Xiaocheng Song , Yongfeng Lou , Chunhui Leng , Jingjing Huang , Xingbin Cheng , Peng Yin , Xinchuan Zhu , Fuming Xiao
Converting monoculture plantations into mixed stands is a key strategy for enhancing soil carbon sequestration. The mechanisms behind soil organic carbon (SOC) turnover and its temperature response at different mixed densities are unclear. This limits the design of targeted carbon management strategies for plantations. In the study we used incubation experiments across temperatures (15, 25, and 35 °C), investigated different mixed density affect SOC fractions, enzyme activities, and mineralization. Results showed that low-density mixed stands significantly increased microbial biomass carbon (MBC) and β-1,4-glucosidase (BG) activity and showed the highest mineralization rate and cumulative release at 25 -35 °C in surface soil (0–20 cm). Potential mineralization of SOC (C0) decreased with depth but increased with temperature, and Chinese fir plantations exhibited the highest C0 at 25 -35 °C. Moreover, temperature sensitivity (Q10) was higher in Chinese fir plantations at 15–25 °C but greater in mixed stands–especially under high density–at 25–35 °C. Regression analysis indicated Q10 (15–25°C) and Q10 (25–35°C) were significantly positively correlated with readily oxidizable organic carbon (ROC) and phenol oxidase (PPO) activity in topsoil (0-20cm). The variance partitioning analysis (VPA) showed that the factors of SOC mineralization shifted from ROC and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) (explaining 81.7% of variance) at lower temperatures to ROC and combined available phosphorus (aP) (explaining 80.8% of variance) under high temperature. Moreover, the labile C (ROC or DOC, explaining 74.2%∼89% of variance) and AN (explaining 47.1%∼87.9% of variance) were the primary factors regulated Q10 in topsoil and subsoil, respectively. These results provided data on how converting Chinese fir plantations to mixed stands affects soil mineralization when temperature rises and suggested that low-density mixed stands should be considered for management to enhance soil carbon sequestration under warming.
将单一人工林转变为混交林是提高土壤固碳能力的关键策略。不同混合密度下土壤有机碳(SOC)周转及其温度响应机制尚不清楚。这限制了有针对性的人工林碳管理策略的设计。在研究中,我们使用了不同温度(15、25和35℃)的孵育实验,研究了不同混合密度对有机碳组分、酶活性和矿化的影响。结果表明:低密度混交林显著提高了微生物生物量碳(MBC)和β-1,4-葡萄糖苷酶(BG)活性,在表层土壤(0 ~ 20 cm) 25 ~ 35℃时矿化率和累积释放量最高;土壤有机碳(C0)矿化电位随深度降低而随温度升高,杉木人工林在25 ~ 35℃时C0最高。15 ~ 25℃时杉木人工林的温度敏感性(Q10)较高,而25 ~ 35℃时混交林的温度敏感性(Q10)较高,特别是在高密度条件下。回归分析表明,Q10(15-25°C)和Q10(25-35°C)与表层土壤(0-20cm)的易氧化有机碳(ROC)和酚氧化酶(PPO)活性呈显著正相关。方差划分分析(VPA)表明,土壤有机碳矿化因子由低温下的ROC和溶解有机碳(DOC)(解释方差的81.7%)向高温下的ROC和速效磷(aP)(解释方差的80.8%)转移。此外,不稳定的C (ROC或DOC,解释74.2% ~ 89%的方差)和AN(解释47.1% ~ 87.9%的方差)分别是表土和底土中Q10的主要调节因子。这些结果提供了温度升高时杉木人工林转变为混交林对土壤矿化影响的数据,并提示在变暖条件下应考虑采用低密度混交林进行管理,以增强土壤固碳能力。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of forest management and climate change on carbon emissions in Mediterranean forests 森林管理和气候变化对地中海森林碳排放的影响
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101141
Arnaldo Marques , Teresa Cervera , Teresa Baiges , Pere Casals , Mario Beltrán , Lluís Coll , Miquel de Cáceres , Alejandra Morán-Ordóñez , Aitor Ameztegui
Forest management is crucial for climate change mitigation, particularly in Mediterranean forests, which serve as significant carbon pools but face increasing climate threats. This study assesses the impact of different forest management strategies on the carbon balance of Mediterranean forests in Catalonia (NE Spain) under two climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). We simulate forest dynamics over 100 years and apply a Life Cycle Assessment approach to quantify carbon fluxes associated with four contrasting management strategies: (i) Business-as-usual, (ii) Promotion of wood energy, (iii) Carbon storage, and (iv) Ecohydrological-based management. Our results indicate that management strongly influences the carbon balance, often outweighing the effect of climate change. The carbon storage scenario exhibited the highest net sequestration due to extended rotations and the production of long-lived wood products, while the Promotion of wood energy scenario led to higher emissions, resulting in carbon losses in low-productivity Pinus nigra forests. Manufacturing dominated emissions (50–75%), while forest growth accounted for most uptake (77%). Our findings indicate that climate-smart forestry in Mediterranean landscapes should prioritize strategies that balance productivity, resilience, and carbon storage. Ecohydrological management stands out as a scalable pathway for the fragmented private forests typical of the region, while carbon-storage practices may be selectively applied in productive and well-protected stands.
森林管理对减缓气候变化至关重要,地中海森林尤其如此,地中海森林是重要的碳库,但面临越来越大的气候威胁。本研究评估了两种气候情景(RCP 4.5和RCP 8.5)下不同森林经营策略对西班牙加泰罗尼亚地中海森林碳平衡的影响。我们模拟了100多年的森林动态,并应用生命周期评估方法来量化与四种不同管理策略相关的碳通量:(i)一切照旧,(ii)促进木材能源,(iii)碳储存,(iv)基于生态水文的管理。我们的研究结果表明,管理对碳平衡的影响很大,往往超过了气候变化的影响。由于轮作时间延长和长寿命木材产品的生产,碳储存情景表现出最高的净固存,而促进木材能源情景导致更高的排放,导致低生产力黑松林的碳损失。制造业主导了排放(50-75%),而森林生长占了吸收的大部分(77%)。我们的研究结果表明,地中海景观中的气候智能型林业应优先考虑平衡生产力、恢复力和碳储存的战略。生态水文管理作为一种可扩展的途径在该地区典型的破碎的私人森林中脱颖而出,而碳储存实践可以选择性地应用于生产和保护良好的林分。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal variations and driving mechanisms of carbon sinks in Populus euphratica Oliv. forests in China from 2000 to 2023 胡杨碳汇时空变化及驱动机制从2000年到2023年中国的森林
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101115
Zhikun Yang , Houji Liu , Lijun Zhu , Jie Wang , Juntuan Zhai , Xuefei Guo , Zhijun Li
It is essential to accurately assess the carbon sink of Populus euphratica Oliv. (P. euphratica) forests, given their long-term sequestration ability, to understand the carbon balance in arid zones, yet quantitative studies are still lacking globally. This study applied an optimised Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) incorporating biomass and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data to examine the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the net ecosystem productivity (NEP) in China’s P. euphratica forests during 2000–2023 and to analyse the impacts of climatic factors, Ecological Water Conveyance (EWC) and land-use changes. Results show that: (1) overall, NEP demonstrated a volatile upward trend notwithstanding a post-2017 downturn, with seasonal maxima in summer and minima in winter; (2) significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity in NEP was observed, with contrasting trends of increase in the Tarim, Aksu, and Heihe River basins but decrease in the lower Qarqan River; (3) human activities have now surpassed climatic factors as the primary driver of increased NEP in poplar forests, with EWC benefiting 90 % of the implementation areas; (4) the cumulative NEP of China's P. euphratica forests increased by 1200.38 Gg C over the last 20 years, largely attributable to land-use change from unused land to P. euphratica forests and cropland. This research provides a robust NEP estimation, clarifies its spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms, and demonstrates that poplar forests serve as significant carbon sinks in arid regions. These findings support the development of evidence-based conservation strategies and China’s ‘dual carbon’ goals.
准确评估胡杨的碳汇是至关重要的。胡杨(P. euphratica)森林具有长期的固碳能力,对了解干旱区的碳平衡具有重要意义,但目前在全球范围内还缺乏定量研究。本研究采用优化的卡耐基-艾姆斯-斯坦福方法(CASA),结合生物量和无人机(UAV)数据,研究了2000-2023年中国胡杨林净生态系统生产力(NEP)的时空异质性,并分析了气候因素、生态输水(EWC)和土地利用变化对胡杨林净生态系统生产力的影响。结果表明:(1)总体而言,2017年以后,中国新能源政策总体呈波动上升趋势,夏季最高,冬季最低;(2)塔里木、阿克苏和黑河流域的新能源经济总量呈上升趋势,而喀尔干河下游则呈下降趋势;(3)人类活动已超过气候因素,成为白杨林新生态环境价值增加的主要驱动因素,90%的实施区域受益于生态环境价值;(4)近20 a来,中国胡杨林累积NEP增加了1200.38 Gg C,主要原因是由未利用地向胡杨林和耕地的转变。本研究提供了稳健的NEP估算,阐明了其时空格局和驱动机制,并证明了白杨林在干旱区具有重要的碳汇作用。这些发现为基于证据的保护策略和中国的“双碳”目标的发展提供了支持。
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引用次数: 0
Drought-wildfire synergy drives carbon-source transition and amplifies carbon budget uncertainty of boreal forests in Northeast China 干旱-野火协同效应驱动东北北方寒带森林碳源转换并放大碳收支不确定性
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101135
Shun Li , Guowei He , Wenru Xu , Yuanyuan Fu , Chao Huang , Zhichao Huang , Ting Wu , Hong S. He , Zhiwei Wu , Fusheng Chen
Droughts are increasing in frequency and intensity, reducing photosynthesis and causing tree mortality, thereby weakening the boreal forest’s ability to act as a carbon sink. They also indirectly amplify the frequency and severity of wildfires, further affecting the carbon dynamics of boreal forests. We developed a model-coupling framework integrating species-specific drought sensitivity, wildfire dynamics, and forest succession to simulate the carbon dynamics of boreal forests in Northeast China over the 21st century. Our results show that drought substantially increases tree mortality and limits carbon sequestration. Accumulated fuel loads expand burned area and elevate fire severity. Drought-fire synergy offsets carbon sink gains from vegetation recovery and fire suppression, and they double interannual variability in the regional carbon budget. Under the ssp5–8.5 scenarios, boreal forests intermittently shift from a carbon sink to a source in the late 21st century. This study emphasizes the importance of considering synergistic drought-fire interactions explicitly when examining the effects of climate change on carbon dynamics of boreal forests. To mitigate these synergies, adaptive forest management should prioritize fuel load reduction measures (e.g., thinning or prescribed burning) and the promotion of drought-resistant tree species, thereby effectively reducing the probability of catastrophic wildfires and enhancing the long-term stability and carbon sequestration of boreal forests.
干旱的频率和强度都在增加,减少了光合作用,导致树木死亡,从而削弱了北方森林作为碳汇的能力。它们还间接地放大了野火的频率和严重程度,进一步影响了北方森林的碳动态。基于不同物种的干旱敏感性、野火动态和森林演替,建立了一个模型耦合框架,模拟了21世纪中国东北北方针叶林的碳动态。我们的研究结果表明,干旱大大增加了树木的死亡率,并限制了碳的固存。累积的燃油负荷扩大了燃烧面积,提高了火灾的严重程度。旱火协同效应抵消了植被恢复和灭火带来的碳汇收益,并使区域碳收支年际变化加倍。在ssp5-8.5情景下,北方森林在21世纪后期间歇性地从碳汇转变为碳源。本研究强调了在研究气候变化对北方森林碳动态的影响时,明确考虑协同干旱-火灾相互作用的重要性。为了减轻这些协同作用,适应性森林管理应优先考虑减少燃料负荷的措施(例如,疏林或规定燃烧)和促进抗旱树种,从而有效减少灾难性野火的可能性,增强北方森林的长期稳定性和碳固存能力。
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引用次数: 0
Physical presence, practical absence: Accessibility of timber inventory in the eastern US 实际存在,实际缺失:美国东部木材库存的可及性
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2026.101155
Gaurav Dhungel , Justin Baker , Jesse D. Henderson
Forest resources in the eastern US are located on heterogeneous landscapes with widely varying biophysical, social, and market characteristics. As such, the total inventory is rarely available for harvest within a region. Understanding the distinction between physical timber inventory and accessible inventory is crucial for conducting market analyses, developing forward-looking resource assessments, estimating the extractive (“active”) resource base, and, in general, ensuring the continued, sustainable flow of timber. To this end, we employ a mix of regression and spatial analysis to estimate and visualize timber and carbon accessibility on eastern forest land in the US – and how species-specific estimates vary, in our case, white oak (Quercus alba). The logistic regression shows that all seven biophysical and social characteristics, i.e., site physiography, productivity, slope, road distance, amenity value, ownership, and past harvest experience, significantly explain the lack of harvest/management decisions on forested lands in the eastern US. The subsequent spatial analysis illustrates that the higher timber accessibility spots/timber basins are mostly concentrated in the coastal Atlantic plains, gulf coast of the Southeast, and most of Maine, whereas the lower timber accessibility spots/timber basins are largely concentrated along the mountainous region of the Appalachia, the Ozarks, Ouachita, parts of the upper Midwest, and drier parts of west Texas. Results of this study have important applications and implications for timber supply models, policies, programs, and services that affect eastern forest land, and the benefits accrued from these forests, particularly concerns related to timber accessibility, white oak sustainability, and carbon additionality.
美国东部的森林资源分布在异质性景观上,具有广泛不同的生物物理、社会和市场特征。因此,在一个地区内,总库存很少可用于收获。了解实际木材盘存和可获得的木材盘存之间的区别,对于进行市场分析、发展前瞻性资源评价、估计采掘(“活跃”)资源基础以及总体上确保木材的持续、可持续流动至关重要。为此,我们采用回归和空间分析相结合的方法来估计和可视化美国东部林地的木材和碳可及性,以及物种特异性估计的差异,在我们的案例中,白栎树(Quercus alba)。逻辑回归显示,所有7个生物物理和社会特征,即场地地貌、生产力、坡度、道路距离、舒适价值、所有权和过去的收获经验,都显著地解释了美国东部林地缺乏收获/管理决策的原因。随后的空间分析表明,较高的木材可达性点/木材盆地主要集中在大西洋沿岸平原、东南部墨西哥湾沿岸和缅因州的大部分地区,而较低的木材可达性点/木材盆地主要集中在阿巴拉契亚山区、奥扎克、瓦希塔、中西部上部部分地区和德克萨斯州西部的干旱地区。本研究的结果对影响东部林地的木材供应模式、政策、项目和服务,以及这些森林产生的效益,特别是与木材可及性、白栎可持续性和碳附加性有关的问题具有重要的应用和意义。
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Trees, Forests and People
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