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Guiding sustainable land use planning in Ethiopia: A decision support framework using analytic hierarchy process 指导埃塞俄比亚可持续土地利用规划:使用层次分析法的决策支持框架
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101106
Shibire Bekele Eshetu , Katharina Löhr , Mahlet Degefu Awoke , Marcos Lana , Stefan Sieber
Land use planning in countries like Ethiopia faces persistent challenges, including outdated technical standards, fragmented institutional coordination, and limited community participation. These issues are particularly pronounced in land use and watershed development initiatives. In the implementation of Forest Landscape Restoration (FLR), emphasis is often placed on restoring ecological functions, mitigating land degradation, reducing soil erosion, and enhancing carbon sequestration than local community well-being. Therefore, adopting a holistic approach is essential when approaching land use decisions, carefully considering various factors that influence land use decisions. This study seeks to develop a multi-stakeholder land use decision support framework that integrates environmental, social, and economic dimensions to inform land use planning decision-making processes in Ethiopia. To achieve this objective, the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) model, a Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) method, is applied. We organized four workshops with different stakeholders, including farmers and experts from woreda, zonal, and federal levels. In the workshops, land use decision factors at the indicator and sub-indicator levels were developed, and a ranking of these decision factors was applied using the AHP matrix. Results show that a higher degree of consistency is achieved in the matrix with a Consistency Ratio (CR) of 0.01, as determined by federal-level experts. A tolerable CR of 0.01 is also achieved with farmers’ criteria ranking. Although respective stakeholders have varying priorities, in general, climatic, economic, and environmental factors are among the top three, showing high priority weights above 0.4. A sensitivity analysis of the priority weights is conducted, and sensitive factors are identified, which are then used to develop a decision support tree for land use factor prioritization. The decision tree highlights seven critical sub-factors that hold a priority weight above 0.4 and are sensitive at the threshold level of 0.01. Selecting well-defined and compelling indicators will help align stakeholder perspectives and foster consensus in decision-making.
埃塞俄比亚等国的土地利用规划面临着持续的挑战,包括过时的技术标准、支离破碎的机构协调和有限的社区参与。这些问题在土地利用和流域发展倡议中尤为突出。在实施森林景观恢复(FLR)时,重点往往放在恢复生态功能、减轻土地退化、减少土壤侵蚀和加强碳固存而不是当地社区福祉。因此,在作出土地使用决定时,必须采取整体方法,仔细考虑影响土地使用决定的各种因素。本研究旨在开发一个多利益相关者土地利用决策支持框架,该框架整合了环境、社会和经济层面,为埃塞俄比亚的土地利用规划决策过程提供信息。为了实现这一目标,应用了层次分析法(AHP)模型,一种多准则决策(MCDM)方法。我们组织了四次与不同利益相关者的研讨会,包括农民和来自州、地区和联邦各级的专家。在讲习班上,制定了指标和子指标水平上的土地利用决策因素,并使用层次分析法矩阵对这些决策因素进行了排序。结果表明,由联邦专家确定的一致性比(CR)为0.01,该矩阵具有较高的一致性。农民标准排序也达到了0.01的可容忍CR。尽管各利益相关者的优先级不同,但总体而言,气候、经济和环境因素排在前三位,优先级权重高于0.4。对优先级权重进行敏感性分析,识别出敏感因子,并利用敏感因子构建土地利用因子优先级决策支持树。决策树突出了7个关键子因素,这些子因素的优先级权重高于0.4,并且在0.01的阈值水平下敏感。选择定义明确和引人注目的指标将有助于协调利益相关者的观点并促进决策中的共识。
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引用次数: 0
N-fixing species outperform non-N-fixing species in promoting soil organic carbon stability via enhancing edaphic-litter nitrogen availability in Eucalyptus plantations 在桉树人工林中,固氮树种通过提高土壤凋落物氮素有效性来促进土壤有机碳稳定性的作用优于非固氮树种
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101108
Daihan Fu , Angang Ming , Haoyang Cao , Runxia Huang , Hao Fu , Weiwei Shu , Zhichao Wang , Wankuan Zhu , Apeng Du , Yuxing Xu

Aims

Mixed planting is a more favorable approach than monocultures for soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration; however, due to the diversity in mixed-species assemblages, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear, hindering afforestation schemes that protect SOC stocks.

Methods

A 13-year mixed-species experiment was conducted in a subtropical region, focusing on a Eucalyptus urophylla × E. grandis pure plantation (PP), a Eucalyptus and nitrogen-fixer Erythrophleum fordii mixed plantation (EE), and Eucalyptus and non-nitrogen-fixer Castanopsis hystrix mixed plantation (EC), by measuring SOC in bulk soil and aggregates, followed by partitioning SOC into active carbon pools (labile carbon pool I [LPI-C] and labile carbon pool II [LPII-C]) and a recalcitrant carbon pool (RP-C). The present study considered various environmental factors, including plants, soil, microflora, and enzyme activities, to analyze the processes and factors underlying SOC sequestration within different mixed plantation modes.

Results

Mixed forests improved SOC sequestration by optimizing soil aggregate stability, increasing fertility, relieving phosphorus limitation, and stimulating microbial activity. SOC sequestration in EE soils was driven by both fine root biomass and litter quality, whereas SOC sequestration in EC soils relied on fine root elongation. Only nitrogen-fixing mixtures enhanced SOC stability, favoring long-term carbon storage. The high carbon (C)/nitrogen (N) ratio in the soil and the nitrogen-rich environment promoted an increase in Gram-negative bacteria, achieving stable SOC storage by forming large aggregates.

Conclusion

The present study highlights the advantages of mixed-species afforestation in SOC sequestration and reveals the unique value of nitrogen-fixing species in long-term carbon storage. The present findings offer theoretical and practical guidance for scientific afforestation and enhancing the carbon sink function of forest ecosystems.
混合种植比单一种植更有利于土壤有机碳的固存;然而,由于混合物种组合的多样性,其潜在机制尚不清楚,阻碍了保护有机碳资源的造林计划。方法在亚热带地区以尾巨桉纯人工林(PP)、桉树与固氮剂fordii红壤混交林(EE)和桉树与不固氮剂Castanopsis hystrix混交林(EC)为研究对象,进行了为期13年的混种试验,测定了土壤和团聚体的有机碳含量。然后将SOC划分为活性碳库(稳定碳库I [LPI-C]和稳定碳库II [LPI-C])和顽固性碳库(RP-C)。本文综合考虑植物、土壤、微生物区系和酶活性等环境因素,分析了不同混交林模式下土壤有机碳固存的过程和影响因素。结果混交林通过优化土壤团聚体稳定性、提高肥力、缓解磷限制和刺激微生物活性等途径促进土壤有机碳的固存。EE土壤有机碳固存主要受细根生物量和凋落物质量驱动,而EC土壤有机碳固存主要受细根伸长驱动。只有固氮混合物能提高土壤有机碳的稳定性,有利于碳的长期储存。土壤中较高的碳氮比和富氮环境促进了革兰氏阴性菌的增加,通过形成大团聚体实现稳定的有机碳储量。结论本研究突出了混合树种造林在固碳方面的优势,揭示了固氮树种在长期碳储存方面的独特价值。研究结果为科学造林和增强森林生态系统碳汇功能提供了理论和实践指导。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of orchard and forest management on rainfall-induced landslides: A study of Hiraenoki Community in southwestern Japan 果园和森林管理对降雨诱发滑坡的影响——以日本西南部平野木社区为例
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101103
Ken-ichiro Shimizu , Kazuo Asahiro
Landslides triggered by heavy rainfall pose significant risks to mountainous communities worldwide, and their frequency is expected to increase due to climate change. Vegetation and land management are known to influence slope stability, but their effects in rural landscapes remain understudied. This study evaluates the influence of forest and orchard vegetation, along with topography, rainfall, and geology, on shallow landslide occurrence in the Hiraenoki Community, Asakura City, southwestern Japan, which experienced severe rainfall-induced disasters in July 2017. Landslide areas were identified using pre- and post-disaster digital elevation models, and vegetation and orchard data were compiled from forest registers, aerial photographs, and local interviews. Binary logistic regression analysis was conducted with landslide presence as the dependent variable and explanatory variables including vegetation type, orchard type, slope angle, slope aspect, elevation, rainfall, surface geology, and topographic position index (TPI). The final model revealed that mixed secondary forests and 50–59-year-old sugi cedar (Cryptomeria japonica) plantations exhibited higher landslide probabilities. Rainfall, slope angle, elevation, and TPI also significantly influenced landslide occurrence, with valleys and lower elevations being particularly vulnerable. The results suggest that overtopped arakashi (Quercus glauca) and sudajii (Castanopsis sieboldii) in mixed secondary forests and old sugi cedar are considered to have acted as triggers that increased the probability of landslides. Periodic thinning of canopy trees is proposed to enhance root anchorage and promote natural regeneration. These findings provide guidance for the conservation of satoyama landscapes with consideration of disaster risk.
暴雨引发的山体滑坡对世界各地的山区社区构成了重大威胁,而且由于气候变化,山体滑坡的发生频率预计会增加。众所周知,植被和土地管理会影响斜坡的稳定性,但它们对农村景观的影响仍未得到充分研究。本研究评估了森林和果园植被以及地形、降雨和地质对日本西南部浅仓市平野木社区浅层滑坡发生的影响,该社区在2017年7月经历了严重的降雨灾害。利用灾前和灾后数字高程模型确定滑坡区域,并根据森林登记、航空照片和当地采访汇编植被和果园数据。以滑坡存在为因变量,植被类型、果园类型、坡角、坡向、高程、降雨量、地表地质、地形位置指数(TPI)为解释变量,进行二元logistic回归分析。最终模型显示,混合次生林和50 - 59年树龄杉木人工林具有较高的滑坡概率。降雨、坡角、高程和TPI对滑坡的发生也有显著影响,其中山谷和低海拔地区尤为脆弱。结果表明,混合次生林和老杉木中被覆盖的栎(Quercus glauca)和杉(sudajii)被认为是增加滑坡发生概率的触发因素。建议对冠层树木进行周期性间伐,以增强根系的固结,促进自然更新。这些发现为考虑灾害风险的中山景观保护提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
A comprehensive analysis of the use of modelling and remote sensing techniques for monitoring and managing rangelands 综合分析利用模型和遥感技术监测和管理牧场
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101102
Renaud Kévin Houinato , Rodrigue Idohou , Romain Lucas Glèlè Kakaï , Yves Brostaux
Sustainable rangeland management supports livestock production, food security, and key ecological services such as carbon sequestration and water regulation. However, rangelands face increasing pressure from climate change, land degradation, and agricultural expansion, requiring effective management strategies. This review follows the PRISMA guidelines and systematically examines 102 peer-reviewed publications selected from 511 initially identified studies across multiple databases, including Scopus, Google Scholar, ScienceDirect, AJOL and Web of Science. This review explores the latest tools enabling accurate monitoring and prediction of rangeland dynamics. The results show that key technologies include machine learning algorithms, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and multispectral sensors, all of which have revolutionized biomass estimation. Satellite remote sensing, particularly Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8/9, represents a transformative advancement by delivering consistent, scalable, and repeatable observations from regional to global scales. Methods such as Deep Neural Networks (DNN), Random Forest (RF), and Object-Based Image Analysis (OBIA) have outperformed conventional algorithms, achieving performance metrics such as R2>0.85. Generalized Linear Models (GLM) have also been widely applied, particularly for environmental impact assessment. The development of multispectral sensors, especially bands such as NIR and red-edge, has improved vegetation index calculations, while LiDAR technology has enhanced biomass prediction by incorporating terrain structure and canopy height data. Despite these advances, challenges remain, including issues related to data quality, sensor integration, and harmonizing datasets for predictive modelling. This review highlights both the strengths and limitations of current approaches and emphasizes the need for further integration of advanced technologies such as hyperspectral sensors.
可持续牧场管理支持畜牧生产、粮食安全以及碳固存和水调节等关键生态服务。然而,放牧地面临着气候变化、土地退化和农业扩张带来的越来越大的压力,需要有效的管理策略。本综述遵循PRISMA指南,系统地检查了102篇同行评议的出版物,这些出版物从多个数据库(包括Scopus、b谷歌Scholar、ScienceDirect、AJOL和Web of Science)的511项初步确定的研究中选出。本文综述了能够精确监测和预测牧场动态的最新工具。结果表明,关键技术包括机器学习算法、无人机(uav)和多光谱传感器,所有这些都彻底改变了生物量估算。卫星遥感,特别是Sentinel-2和Landsat 8/9,通过提供从区域到全球范围的一致、可扩展和可重复的观测,代表了一种变革性的进步。深度神经网络(DNN)、随机森林(RF)和基于对象的图像分析(OBIA)等方法优于传统算法,实现了R2>;0.85等性能指标。广义线性模型(GLM)也得到了广泛的应用,特别是在环境影响评价方面。多光谱传感器的发展,特别是近红外和红边等波段的发展,改善了植被指数的计算,而激光雷达技术通过结合地形结构和冠层高度数据,增强了生物量预测。尽管取得了这些进步,但挑战依然存在,包括与数据质量、传感器集成和协调预测建模数据集相关的问题。这篇综述强调了当前方法的优势和局限性,并强调了进一步整合高光谱传感器等先进技术的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Local Ecological Knowledge and forest inventories reveal Afzelia africana Sm. decline in Benin, West Africa 当地生态知识和森林调查揭示了非洲南部非洲。西非贝宁的人口下降
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101097
Agbatan Marc Koutchoro , Laurent Gbenato Houessou , Amah Akodewou , Narcisse Yehouenou , Ogoudje Isidore Amahowe
Afzelia africana is a key forest species in West Africa, particularly in Benin, where it supports both ecological stability and local livelihoods. However, the species has been listed as Vulnerable on the IUCN Red List since 2019 due to increasing human pressure. This study combines Local Ecological Knowledge (LEK) with forest inventory data to provide a comprehensive assessment of its conservation status in Benin. LEK revealed that the species is declining mainly due to logging, with additional pressures from branch pruning, agricultural expansion, vegetation fires, and drought. Forest inventories confirmed these perceptions, showing populations dominated by small-diameter trees (5–30 cm) and very few large individuals (>60 cm). Adults were present in about 74.55 % of plots, while regenerating and subadult trees occurred in fewer plots (<38.79 % and 23.03 %, respectively), indicating an overall imbalance in life stages and limited successful recruitment. Communities reported several traditional conservation measures, including assisted natural regeneration, targeted reforestation, planting A. africana as a shade tree in house courtyards, and preserving it as a sacred species. Integrating LEK with quantitative data yields a nuanced understanding of threats to A. africana. It not only confirms its population decline but also reveals regeneration bottlenecks and highlights community-led strategies that support its persistence. It provides critical added value by uncovering the complex social-ecological drivers behind observed trends. This biocultural approach represents the first assessment of A. africana in Benin that explicitly links population structure with local conservation practices, offering a transferable framework for managing threatened tree species in tropical regions.
非洲梧桐是西非的一种重要森林物种,特别是在贝宁,它支持着当地的生态稳定和生计。然而,由于人类压力的增加,自2019年以来,该物种已被列为世界自然保护联盟红色名录中的易危物种。本研究将当地生态知识(LEK)与森林清查数据相结合,对贝宁的森林保护状况进行了全面评估。LEK显示,该物种的减少主要是由于伐木,以及来自树枝修剪、农业扩张、植被火灾和干旱的额外压力。森林调查证实了这些看法,显示种群以小直径树木(5-30厘米)为主,大个体(60厘米)很少。成虫生长在74.55%的样地,而再生树和亚成虫生长在较少的样地(分别为38.79%和23.03%),表明成虫生长阶段总体上不平衡,成功繁殖有限。社区报告了一些传统的保护措施,包括协助自然再生,有针对性的重新造林,在家庭庭院种植非洲古树作为遮荫树,并将其作为神圣的物种保存下来。将LEK与定量数据相结合,可以对非洲古猿所面临的威胁有细致的了解。它不仅证实了其人口的下降,而且揭示了再生瓶颈,并突出了支持其持续存在的社区主导战略。它通过揭示观察到的趋势背后复杂的社会生态驱动因素,提供了重要的附加价值。这种生物栽培方法是对贝宁非洲古树的首次评估,它明确地将种群结构与当地保护实践联系起来,为管理热带地区受威胁树种提供了一个可转移的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying tree species effects on soil organic carbon using machine learning algorithm: A case study in tropical agroforestry system of gayo coffee, Indonesia 用机器学习算法量化树种对土壤有机碳的影响——以印度尼西亚加约咖啡热带农林复合系统为例
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101098
Rahmat Pramulya , Rahmat Asy’Ari , Nihawa Hajar Pudjawati , Abd Malik A Madinu , Azelia Dwi Rahmawati , Fachruddin Fachruddin , Muhammad Reza Aulia , Dahlan Dahlan , Tarmizi Tarmizi , Fakhruddin Fakhruddin , Elida Novita , Adi Sutrisno , Devi Maulida Rahmah , Moh Zulfajrin , Heru Bagus Pulunggono , Fitria Yuliasmara , Rika Ratna Sari , Danny Dwi Saputra , Yudi Setiawan
Gayo coffee based on tropical agroforestry systems in Aceh plays an ecological role in mitigating climate change and a socio-economic role as a social livelihood in Indonesia. Ecologically, coffee agroforestry systems can increase soil carbon stocks through complex vegetation that produces litter as a source of nutrients. However, studies on measuring the contribution of vegetation to soil carbon dynamics in agroforestry lands using advanced machine learning-based statistical models in Indonesia are still very rare. Therefore, this study involved 18 complex vegetation variables to prove their contribution to soil organic carbon (SOC) dynamics using machine learning-based predictions with the random forest (RF) algorithm and hyperparameter tuning settings. The SOC available in the study area reached 173.46 ± 60.34 Mg ha-1, with 9.20 % ± 3.87 % organic C, in agroforestry systems characterized by vegetation density of 1752.94 ± 459.20 trees ha-1 (range: 850–2850 trees ha-1), and consisted of 11 overstory species. Based on two RF model tests (rf and ranger model), SOC dynamics were influenced by vegetation by 95 % (R-squared) with an error rate of 0.05 (RMSE) and 0.04 (MAE). The contribution of vegetation focuses on the variable of agroforestry richness as the most important factor in predicting SOC, even though the species Leucaena leucocephala dominates around 88 % of the species composition. These results recommend that increasing agroforestry species diversity is key to increasing SOC in coffee agroforestry. This information is expected to strengthen the implementation of SFA policies and enhance the sustainability of climate change mitigation-based social livelihoods in tropical Indonesia.
在印度尼西亚,基于亚齐热带农林复合系统的加约咖啡在减缓气候变化方面发挥着生态作用,并作为一种社会生计发挥着社会经济作用。从生态学上讲,咖啡农林复合系统可以通过产生凋落物作为营养来源的复杂植被来增加土壤碳储量。然而,在印度尼西亚,利用先进的基于机器学习的统计模型测量农林业用地植被对土壤碳动态的贡献的研究仍然非常罕见。因此,本研究涉及18个复杂植被变量,使用基于机器学习的预测与随机森林(RF)算法和超参数调整设置来证明它们对土壤有机碳(SOC)动态的贡献。研究区植被密度为1752.94±459.20株ha-1(范围:850 ~ 2850株ha-1),由11种林分组成的农林业系统,土壤有机碳含量为173.46±60.34 Mg ha-1,有机碳含量为9.20%±3.87%。基于两个RF模型(RF和ranger模型),植被对土壤有机碳动态的影响为95% (r²),错误率分别为0.05 (RMSE)和0.04 (MAE)。植被的贡献主要集中在农林业丰富度变量上,作为预测有机碳的最重要因子,尽管Leucaena leucocephala在物种组成中占88%左右。这些结果表明,增加农林业物种多样性是提高咖啡农林业有机碳的关键。预计这些信息将加强国家林业局政策的执行,并提高印度尼西亚热带地区以减缓气候变化为基础的社会生计的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Perceptions of international forest certification in ejidos of Durango, Mexico: Between continuity and non-renewal 墨西哥杜兰戈ejidos对国际森林认证的看法:在连续性和不更新之间
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101100
Aide Heredia Telles , Christian Wehenkel , Gustavo Perez-Verdin
This study analyzes perceptions of the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) international certification system, specifically knowledge of the scheme and perceptions of social, economic, and environmental benefits among members of currently certified ejidos and ejidos that have discontinued certification in Durango, Mexico. Two hundred surveys were administered in 20 ejidos in order to compare the two groups. The results show that there are no significant differences in knowledge of the international FSC system between the two groups. However, certified ejidos reported more favorable perceptions of social and environmental benefits. In contrast, the perception of economic benefits was low and did not differ between groups, suggesting a limited perceived economic value of certification. Classification accuracy by Random Forest identified property size as the main predictor of certification status. These findings highlight the need to strengthen community knowledge about international certification, address economic barriers, and delve deeper into the factors that influence the continuity of the process in community forest management contexts.
本研究分析了森林管理委员会(FSC)国际认证体系的认知,特别是在墨西哥杜兰戈,目前已获得认证的联合农场和已停止认证的联合农场成员对该体系的认知,以及对社会、经济和环境效益的认知。为了比较这两组,在20个社区进行了200次调查。结果显示,两组学生对国际FSC体系的认知没有显著差异。然而,获得认证的农民对社会和环境效益的看法更有利。相比之下,对经济利益的看法很低,在不同群体之间没有差异,这表明对认证的经济价值的看法有限。随机森林识别属性大小作为认证状态的主要预测指标。这些调查结果突出表明,需要加强社区对国际认证的了解,解决经济障碍,并深入研究影响社区森林管理过程连续性的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying climate and topographic factors for Korean Fir (Abies koreana) of Mt. Hallasan using machine learning under projected climate change scenarios 在预测的气候变化情景下,利用机器学习识别汉罗山韩国冷杉的气候和地形因素
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101099
Ah Reum Han , Kim Jong-gap , Minwoo Oh , Jieun Oh , Seungbum Hong
The Korean fir (Abies koreana), an endemic species that exists in isolated populations on certain high-elevation mountains in South Korea, has been experiencing a steady decline in recent years. This study aimed to predict future suitable habitats of Korean fir on Mt. Hallasan, which marks the southernmost limit of the species’ distribution, and to identify the key environmental factors influencing its presence and spatial distribution. A total of 36 variables, including bioclimatic, topographic, and soil characteristics, were utilized to predict species occurrence and density at a spatial resolution of 100 meters. The analytical methods employed comprised logistic or lasso regression, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, LightGBM, and an ensemble modeling approach. Furthermore, a hurdle model was constructed using these variables. The relative importance of each predictor and its influence on the response variables were evaluated through Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis. Among the models tested, XGBoost showed the best performance for predicting species occurrence (AUC>0.9), while LightGBM was most effective for modeling density (R2=0.69). Projections under future climate scenarios, specifically SSP3–7.0 and more severe pathways, more than half of the suitable habitat and over 90 % of the population will be lost by the end of the 21st century, with faster declines occurring in areas of higher population density. Both the presence and density models were primarily influenced by the Snow Average, a derived variable, preceding the start of growth, showing a marked increase once a critical threshold of 290 mm, which is the insulation standard, was surpassed. The second key variable, bio03, was associated with values below this critical threshold. Other important predictors in the presence model included bio15 and Positive Openness, while the density model was more strongly affected by topographic variables. The research highlights that successful conservation and management of Korean fir populations depend on minimizing drought stress before the growth season and enhancing the physical stability of their habitats. Achieving this necessitates ongoing habitat monitoring and thorough observation to identify critical thresholds for essential environmental factors, particularly microtopographic characteristics and snow cover patterns.
韩国冷杉(Abies koreana)是一种特有的物种,存在于韩国某些高海拔山区的孤立种群中,近年来一直在稳步下降。本研究旨在预测汉罗山杉木分布最南端的适宜生境,并确定影响其存在和空间分布的关键环境因子。利用生物气候、地形和土壤特征等36个变量,在100米的空间分辨率上预测物种的发生和密度。采用的分析方法包括逻辑或套索回归、随机森林、梯度增强、XGBoost、LightGBM和集成建模方法。并利用这些变量构建了障碍模型。通过Shapley加性解释(SHAP)分析评估各预测因子的相对重要性及其对响应变量的影响。其中,XGBoost模型对物种发生的预测效果最好(AUC>0.9),而LightGBM模型对密度的预测效果最好(R2=0.69)。在未来气候情景下,特别是在SSP3-7.0和更严重的路径下,到21世纪末,超过一半的适宜栖息地和90%以上的人口将消失,人口密度较高的地区下降速度更快。存在和密度模型都主要受到雪平均的影响,雪平均是一个衍生变量,在增长开始之前,一旦超过290毫米的临界阈值,即绝缘标准,就会显着增加。第二个关键变量bio03与低于这个临界阈值的值相关。存在模型中的其他重要预测因子包括bio15和Positive Openness,而密度模型受地形变量的影响更大。该研究强调,红杉种群的成功保护和管理取决于在生长季节之前最大限度地减少干旱胁迫,并提高其栖息地的物理稳定性。要实现这一目标,就必须不断监测生境并进行彻底观察,以确定基本环境因素的临界阈值,特别是微观地形特征和积雪模式。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive strategies of Rhododendron campanulatum and Rhododendron anthopogon subsp. hypenanthum in the alpine ecosystem of Central Himalaya, India 钟叶杜鹃和人齿杜鹃的适应策略。在印度喜马拉雅山脉中部的高山生态系统中生长的一种超生植物
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101095
Swati Naidu, Kiran Bargali, Archana Fartyal, Surendra Singh Bargali
Rhododendron campanulatum and Rhododendron anthopogon subsp. hypenanthum are significant species of the alpine ecosystem of the Central Himalaya, India where they not only constitute the important ecological associations but have also been integrated within the culture of the local residential population. This study investigated their adaptive strategies against the alpine environmental stress through ecological and morphological assessments along an altitudinal gradient. Ecological data were collected from 10 quadrats (plot size 10 m x 10 m each) laid per site, while morphological traits were measured from 100 healthy and mature leaves (10 from each of 10 randomly selected individuals) from each sampling site of the study area. Results of Importance Value Index and Provenance Value showed that both species became increasingly dominant at higher altitudes. R. campanulatum exhibited IVI of 62.7 at Site 2, 193.3 at Site 3 and 268.1 at Site 4. R. anthopogon subsp. hypenanthum showed PV of 35.7 at Site 2, 55.5 at Site 3 and 98.4 at Site 4 confirming their dominancy in upper zones. Leaf morphology analyses, based on 10 mature leaves collected from each site, showed Leaf area (r= -0.93⁎⁎), Specific leaf area (r = -0.88⁎⁎) and Leaf shape index (r= -0.812⁎⁎) significantly decreased with increasing altitude and varied along the altitude at p < 0.05 level of significance. It was also observed that R. campanulatum was shrinking in size and transforming to woody thickets with increasing altitude. The obtained results showed the survival of both the species of Rhododendron L. in the study area as an attribute of their plasticity against the tough environmental conditions of the alpine ecosystem.
钟形杜鹃和人形杜鹃亚种。土蕨是印度喜马拉雅山脉中部高山生态系统的重要物种,它们不仅构成了重要的生态群落,而且已融入当地居民的文化中。本研究通过生态和形态评价,探讨了它们对高山环境胁迫的适应策略。生态数据收集自每个样点放置的10个样方(样方大小为10 m × 10 m),形态学特征测量来自研究区每个样点的100片健康和成熟叶片(每10个随机选择的个体各10片)。重要值指数和种源值结果表明,两种植物在海拔越高,优势度越高。campanulatum在Site 2、Site 3和Site 4的IVI分别为62.7、193.3和268.1。按蚊亚种在站点2、站点3和站点4的PV值分别为35.7、55.5和98.4,证实了其在上部区域的优势。对各站点采集的10片成熟叶片进行叶形态分析,叶面积(r= -0.93)、比叶面积(r= -0.88)和叶形指数(r= -0.812)随海拔升高而显著降低,且沿海拔变化在p <; 0.05水平上具有显著性。此外,随着海拔的升高,钟柳的大小逐渐缩小,向木本灌丛转变。研究结果表明,两种杜鹃花在研究区内的生存是其对高寒生态系统恶劣环境条件的可塑性的一个属性。
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引用次数: 0
Can urban forests alleviate eye strain? Evidence from eye-tracking metrics 城市森林能缓解眼睛疲劳吗?来自眼动追踪指标的证据
IF 2.9 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2025.101096
Yihao Lu , Hui Liu , Bingqing Liu , Han Diao , Jianan Wang
With the surge in digital screen use, eye strain has become a growing public health concern. While urban forests are known to support psychological and physiological restoration, their capacity to alleviate eye strain remains underexplored. This study investigates whether short-term exposure to different types of urban forests can facilitate ocular recovery from screen-induced eye strain, using objective eye-tracking metrics. A total of 30 participants were fitted with wearable eye-tracking glasses and watched a 20-minute high-intensity video to induce eye strain before spending 10 min in a designated environment (open green space, semi-open green space, enclosed green space, green space with large water area, green space with small water area, and an indoor control). Eye metrics including blink rate, pupil size, fixation count/duration, and saccade count/duration were recorded at baseline, post-stress, and post-recovery. Significant recovery was observed in participants exposed to open green spaces and water-area settings, with reductions in pupil size and blink rate (p < 0.01). In contrast, the indoor environment failed to improve and even exacerbated eye strain. Among all indicators, pupil size change emerged as the strongest correlate of composite recovery. Urban blue-green spaces, especially those that are open and feature water elements, can effectively promote ocular recovery from acute eye strain. These findings underscore the value of incorporating open and water-rich natural elements into urban forestry design and management strategies that promote public well-being.
随着数字屏幕使用的激增,眼睛疲劳已经成为一个日益严重的公共健康问题。虽然已知城市森林支持心理和生理恢复,但其缓解眼疲劳的能力仍未得到充分探索。本研究采用客观的眼动追踪指标,研究短期暴露于不同类型的城市森林是否能促进屏幕引起的眼疲劳的眼部恢复。30名参与者佩戴可穿戴眼动追踪眼镜,观看20分钟高强度视频诱导眼疲劳,然后在指定的环境(开放绿地、半开放绿地、封闭绿地、大水域绿地、小水域绿地和室内对照)中度过10分钟。在基线、应激后和恢复后分别记录眨眼率、瞳孔大小、注视次数/持续时间和扫视次数/持续时间等眼部指标。暴露在开放的绿色空间和水域环境中的参与者观察到显著的恢复,瞳孔大小和眨眼频率减少(p < 0.01)。相比之下,室内环境没有改善,甚至加剧了眼睛疲劳。在所有指标中,瞳孔大小变化与综合恢复的相关性最强。城市蓝绿空间,尤其是开放的水元素空间,可以有效地促进急性眼疲劳的恢复。这些发现强调了将开放和富含水的自然元素纳入城市林业设计和管理战略以促进公众福祉的价值。
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Trees, Forests and People
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