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Global disparities in CO2 emissions from mobility sectors of diverse economies: A macroscopic exploration across 188 countries/regions 不同经济体交通部门二氧化碳排放量的全球差异:跨越 188 个国家/地区的宏观探索
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100455
Bailing Zhang , Jing Kang , Tao Feng

Reducing CO2 emissions represents a global challenge, and the mobility sectors account for a considerable portion of total emissions, with marked disparities across diverse economies. Viewed from a macroscopic perspective, countries and regions around the world can be categorized in various ways. However, relying on a single or a few indicators often proves inadequate to meet the classification requirements for carbon reduction and sustainable development. In this study, employing machine learning and guided by 10 economic indicators, we classified 188 countries/regions into 6 identifiable clusters. Subsequently, by applying ratio analysis and random forest methodologies, we conducted a matrix-based analysis that elucidates the distinct emission characteristics of each mobility sector. Feature importance analysis revealed that for highly developed economies, the total population's contribution was significant, especially in domestic and international aviation, accounting for 50% and 25% of emissions, respectively. In contrast, for lower-middle-income countries and regions, while the total population still played a pivotal role, its influence was most pronounced in railway transportation, reaching 67%. For rapidly developing economies, domestic aviation emissions reached a peak influence of 61%. These insights emphasize the necessity for strategies tailored to the unique attributes of economic entities.

减少二氧化碳排放是一项全球性挑战,而交通部门的排放量在总排放量中占相当大的比重,不同经济体之间存在明显差异。从宏观角度看,世界各国和各地区可以有不同的分类方法。然而,依靠单一或少数几个指标往往无法满足碳减排和可持续发展的分类要求。在本研究中,我们利用机器学习,以 10 个经济指标为指导,将 188 个国家/地区划分为 6 个可识别的群组。随后,我们运用比率分析和随机森林方法,进行了基于矩阵的分析,阐明了每个交通部门的独特排放特征。特征重要性分析表明,对于高度发达经济体,总人口的贡献很大,尤其是在国内和国际航空领域,分别占排放量的 50%和 25%。相比之下,对于中低收入国家和地区,虽然人口总数仍然起着关键作用,但其影响在铁路运输中最为明显,达到 67%。对于快速发展的经济体,国内航空排放的影响达到顶峰,占 61%。这些见解强调了根据经济实体的独特属性制定战略的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the impact of Land Use Land Cover changes on land surface temperature over Kigali, Rwanda in the past three decades 评估过去三十年卢旺达基加利上空土地利用和土地覆盖变化对地表温度的影响
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100452
Abdou Safari Kagabo , Bonfils Safari , Jimmy Gasore , Bethwel Kipkoech Mutai , Joseph Ndakize Sebaziga

Land use changes and urban activities cause environmental degradation and climate change. This study aims to assess the impacts of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) changes on land surface temperature (LST) in Kigali, Rwanda over the past three decades. The combined techniques of remote sensing and GIS were applied to generate good quality Landsat images, categorize land use classes and retrieve urban indices. The modified Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator were used to analyze trends in LST. The results indicate that between 1990 and 2020, the extent of builtup and forest areas have increased at an average rate of 3.39 km2/year and 2.42 km2/year respectively, while open land has decreased at an average rate of 5.81 km2/year. In the same period, water bodies and wetlands showed minimal changes with an increase of 1.56 km2 and a decrease of 1.66 km2 for water bodies and wetlands respectively. The slope magnitudes of LST are predominantly positive (p ≤ 0.05) with a high increase observed in dry seasons (0.51 °C per decade for Tmin in JJA and 0.49 °C per decade for Tmax in JF). The positive correlations between LST and urban indices were observed in all studied subregions (all values are above 0.61, p ≤ 0.05). The findings of this study are useful for the development of future urban land use schemes and the adoption of mitigation and adaptation strategies in response to climate change.

土地利用变化和城市活动导致环境退化和气候变化。本研究旨在评估过去三十年卢旺达基加利土地利用和土地覆盖(LULC)变化对地表温度(LST)的影响。研究采用遥感和地理信息系统(GIS)相结合的技术,生成高质量的大地遥感卫星图像,划分土地利用等级,并检索城市指数。使用修正的 Mann-Kendall 检验法和 Sen 的斜率估计法分析 LST 的变化趋势。结果表明,1990 年至 2020 年间,建成区和森林面积分别以平均每年 3.39 平方公里和 2.42 平方公里的速度增加,而空地则以平均每年 5.81 平方公里的速度减少。同期,水体和湿地的变化极小,水体和湿地分别增加了 1.56 平方公里和减少了 1.66 平方公里。LST 的斜率幅度主要为正(p ≤ 0.05),旱季的增幅较大(JJA 的 Tmin 为每十年 0.51 °C,JF 的 Tmax 为每十年 0.49 °C)。在所有研究的次区域都观察到了 LST 与城市指数之间的正相关(所有值都高于 0.61,P ≤ 0.05)。这项研究的结果有助于制定未来的城市土地利用方案,以及采取减缓和适应气候变化的战略。
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引用次数: 0
The eLTER research infrastructure: Current design and coverage of environmental and socio-ecological gradients eLTER 研究基础设施:环境和社会生态梯度的现有设计和覆盖范围
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100456
Thomas Ohnemus , Steffen Zacharias , Thomas Dirnböck , Jaana Bäck , Werner Brack , Martin Forsius , Ulf Mallast , Nikolaos P. Nikolaidis , Johannes Peterseil , Christophe Piscart , Francisco Pando , Christian Poppe Terán , Michael Mirtl

Addressing global change requires standardised observations across all ecosystem spheres. To that end, the distributed Integrated European Long-Term Ecosystem, critical zone and socio-ecological Research Infrastructure (eLTER RI) strives for an optimal observational design of its over 200 in-situ facilities. Their spatial distribution should be unbiased to scale local data to its continental target region.

Therefore, we assessed biases in the emerging eLTER RI in-situ facility network. We (i) conducted a survey describing the emerging eLTER RI, (ii) detected critical gaps in its coverage of Reference Parameters by identifying biases in a six-dimensional thematic space and determined regions, where these biases cluster spatially, and (iii) derived recommendations to further develop the eLTER RI network.

Three distinct gaps were identified: the Iberian, Eastern and Nordic Gap. They resulted mainly from underrepresentation of agricultural lands, mesic and dry regions with low economic density and the Mediterranean, Continental and Boreal biogeoregions. The patterns of underrepresentation are driven by various factors including the thematic context of site establishment over the past decades, operations logistics and funding constraints. We consider closing these gaps of highest priority for spatial network development.

Mitigating the biases in the eLTER RI network is crucial to enable confident scaling of local data to the European scale. This will allow the eLTER RI to provide a comprehensive foundation for scientists, policy and decision makers to face global change. Next, a comprehensive dataset of possible additional research sites over Europe must be analysed to derive site- and country-specific recommendations for cost-efficient gap mitigation.

应对全球变化需要对所有生态系统领域进行标准化观测。为此,分布式综合欧洲长期生态系统、临界区和社会生态研究基础设施(eLTER RI)努力对其 200 多个原位设施进行最佳观测设计。因此,我们对正在形成的 eLTER RI 实地设施网络的偏差进行了评估。我们(i) 对新兴的 eLTER RI 进行了调查,(ii) 通过识别六维主题空间中的偏差,发现其在参考参数覆盖方面的关键差距,并确定了这些偏差在空间上的聚集区域,(iii) 提出了进一步发展 eLTER RI 网络的建议。这些差距主要是由于农业用地、经济密度较低的中温带和干旱地区以及地中海、大陆和北 寒带生物地理区域的代表性不足造成的。造成代表性不足的因素有很多,包括过去几十年来建立遗址的主题背景、运行后勤和资金限制。我们认为缩小这些差距是空间网络发展的重中之重。减少 eLTER RI 网络中的偏差对于将本地数据可靠地扩展到欧洲尺度至关重要。这将使 eLTER RI 为科学家、政策制定者和决策者面对全球变化提供一个全面的基础。下一步,必须对欧洲可能增加的研究地点的综合数据集进行分析,以得出针对具体地点和国家的具有成本效益的缩小差距建议。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of urban households’ preparedness and municipal interventions to build flood resilience in Durban, South Africa: Implications for SDG 11 分析南非德班城市家庭的防洪准备情况和市政当局为提高抗洪能力而采取的干预措施:对可持续发展目标 11 的影响
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100454
Eromose E. Ebhuoma, Noma Julia Nene, Llewellyn Leonard

In Durban, South Africa, heavy rainfall leading to flooding has become more frequent over the past decade, resulting in devastating consequences for households. However, studies in South Africa have predominantly focused on understanding the impacts of flooding on rural livelihoods. With intense rainfall events that could result in localized flash flooding to be expected to increase in Durban in the near future, failure to understand how households prepare for flooding and the interventions implemented by local authorities could jeopardize the achievement of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 11 – resilient and sustainable cities. To address this gap, primary data were collected from purposively selected residents of the Amanzimtoti community in Durban using questionnaires that comprised both closed and open-ended questions. Additionally, secondary data were analyzed to determine the measures implemented by the eThekwini Municipality to mitigate the adverse effects of flooding. The findings indicate that flooding has triggered psychological trauma among residents. Regarding interventions to mitigate flooding impacts, some homeowners and business owners purchased insurance. Despite the municipality providing early warnings, a severe flood event in 2019 had a significant negative impact on households partly due to the municipality's failure to utilize preferred communication channels – such as X (formally known as Twitter) – that resonate with residents. The study also found that adoption of early warnings may be partly hinged on the extent to which they remember the last flood episode that resulted in disaster. The findings are discussed in terms of their implications for achieving SDG 11 in Durban.

在南非德班,暴雨导致洪水泛滥的情况在过去十年中越来越频繁,给家庭造成了毁灭性的后果。然而,南非的研究主要侧重于了解洪水对农村生计的影响。预计在不久的将来,可能导致德班局部地区山洪暴发的强降雨事件将会增加,如果不了解家庭如何为洪水做好准备以及地方当局实施的干预措施,可能会危及可持续发展目标(SDG)11--具有抗灾能力和可持续发展的城市--的实现。为了弥补这一不足,我们使用由封闭式和开放式问题组成的调查问卷,有目的性地向德班 Amanzimtoti 社区的居民收集原始数据。此外,还对二手数据进行了分析,以确定特克维尼市政府为减轻洪水的不利影响而采取的措施。研究结果表明,洪水引发了居民的心理创伤。关于减轻洪水影响的干预措施,一些房主和企业主购买了保险。尽管市政当局提供了预警,但 2019 年的一次严重洪灾还是对家庭造成了严重的负面影响,部分原因是市政当局未能利用居民喜欢的沟通渠道,如 X(正式名称为 Twitter)。研究还发现,预警的采用可能在一定程度上取决于他们对上一次导致灾难的洪水事件的记忆程度。研究结果对德班实现可持续发展目标 11 的影响进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
A sensitivity analysis of composite indicators: Min/max thresholds 综合指标的敏感性分析:最小/最大阈值
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100453
Adél Kelemen , Zsuzsanna Katalin Szabó , Sándor Bozóki , Zsombor Szádoczki , Áron Dénes Hartvig

The aim of composite indicators is to express the overall performance of countries/regions with respect to a complex goal including sustainability, competitiveness, and innovation. Some of the indices play an important role in real governmental and strategic decisions on allocating sources. Sensitivity analyses usually include the changes in weights (of importance), the evaluations with respect to the criteria and the aggregating functions. In contrast, we investigate the effect of setting the minimal and maximal thresholds of the scoring functions used in the assessment. Thus, only the effect of this transformation is investigated, while the input data and criteria weights are not modified or stochastic. It is demonstrated that even such a seemingly innocent modification of the min/max thresholds might lead to remarkable changes in the ranking. Results are presented in detail on the examples of the Environmental Performance Index (EPI) and the Digital Economy and Society Index (DESI). However, the phenomenon is general: further 15 composite indices, applying the min/max threshold, have also been collected. The choice of min/max threshold is functionating as an implicit (re-)weighting of the criteria: criteria with smaller min/max ranges are overweighted. Thus, the steps of weighting and assessment are not independent. This research provides an alternative sensitivity analysis to test the robustness of the rankings.

综合指标的目的是表达国家/地区在可持续发展、竞争力和创新等复杂目标方面的总体表现。有些指标在政府实际决策和分配资源的战略决策中发挥着重要作用。敏感性分析通常包括权重(重要性)的变化、与标准有关的评估以及汇总函数。相比之下,我们研究的是设定评估中使用的评分函数的最小和最大阈值的影响。因此,我们只研究了这种转换的效果,而输入数据和标准权重并没有被修改或随机化。结果表明,即使对最小/最大阈值进行这种看似无害的修改,也可能导致排名发生显著变化。研究结果以环境绩效指数(EPI)和数字经济与社会指数(DESI)为例进行了详细介绍。然而,这种现象是普遍的:我们还收集了 15 个采用最小/最大阈值的综合指数。最低/最高阈值的选择可以说是对标准的隐性(重新)加权:最低/最高范围较小的标准被加权。因此,加权和评估步骤并不是独立的。本研究提供了另一种敏感性分析,以测试排名的稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of multilevel governance on land use change in China's rapidly urbanizing metropolitan from low-carbon perspective 从低碳视角看多层次治理对中国快速城市化大都市土地利用变化的影响
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100450
Mingyu Zhang , Weicheng Gu , Dongye Yang , Yichen Ruan

Low-carbon oriented land use change is crucial to tackling climate change issues in rapidly urbanizing metropolitans. Previous studies lacked to consider how the cross-level interaction within multilevel governance of metropolitan areas affect the land use change. In order to simulate multilevel governance interaction, this study proposes a land use simulation model, facilitating a comparative analysis of simulated results under different scenarios. Taking Hangzhou as the empirical study area, the results show that the predicted scale of construction land with high carbon emissions is smallest in interactive governance scenario. Its overall low-carbon performance of land use is the best among all scenarios, with a Polycentric Degree of 0.7856 (N = 4) and 0.9142 (N = 6), and Cohesion Degree and Land-Use Degree Index are 101.8320 and 101.7944 respectively. This study revealed that the interactive governance effectively curbs the growth of land with high-carbon emissions, promoting the spatial carbon efficiency and the low-carbon oriented spatial layout. Multi-level governance provides a framework for effective implantation of low-carbon oriented land use change objective and plays an important role in promoting its low-carbon performance. This study innovatively incorporates governance parameters into the land use prediction model, providing guidance for optimizing land use governance in metropolitan areas.

在快速城市化的大都市中,以低碳为导向的土地利用变化对于应对气候变化问题至关重要。以往的研究缺乏考虑大都市区多级治理中的跨级互动如何影响土地利用变化。为了模拟多级治理的相互作用,本研究提出了一个土地利用模拟模型,便于对不同情景下的模拟结果进行比较分析。以杭州为实证研究区域,结果表明,在互动治理情景下,高碳排放建设用地的预测规模最小。其土地利用的整体低碳绩效是所有情景中最好的,多中心度分别为 0.7856(N = 4)和 0.9142(N = 6),凝聚度和土地利用度指数分别为 101.8320 和 101.7944。研究表明,互动治理有效抑制了高碳排放土地的增长,促进了空间碳效率的提高和以低碳为导向的空间布局。多层次治理为低碳导向的土地利用变化目标的有效实施提供了框架,对促进其低碳绩效发挥了重要作用。本研究创新性地将治理参数纳入土地利用预测模型,为优化大都市区土地利用治理提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
Study on the guidelines for the efficient and sustainable management of groundwater usage revenue collection in relation to groundwater usage fees and groundwater preservation fees in the groundwater crisis areas of Thailand 关于泰国地下水危机地区地下水使用费和地下水保护费的地下水使用收入的高效和可持续管理准则的研究
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100449
Vijitsri Sanguanwongse , Mana Luksamee-Arunothai , Supanee Harnphattananusorn , Kanokon Seemanon , Wasin Siwasarit , Setthabut Ittithumwinit

This study attempts to examine the cost and benefits of shifting the collection process of groundwater revenue and groundwater preservation fees from a manual to automatic meter reading (AMR) system, utilizing marginal cost and marginal benefit. The methodology is based on a benefit-cost analysis, taking into account the monetary value of time. The following specific results are revealed: (1) Changing to an AMR system can provide additional benefits in terms of time-savings for current personnel since the administrative work relating to the collection of groundwater usage fees and groundwater preservation fees can be reduced by 70%. This study is based on two personnel per province, calculated using the rate of 26,397.46 baht (or 792.95 USD) per person per month, 70% of which equates to an opportunity cost of 18,000 baht (or 540.70 USD) per person per month. (2) The accident rate can be reduced if personnel do not need to travel to examine the groundwater usage of licensees. However, because the AMR system is complicated and customizable, transitioning from manual to AMR systems is not a one-size-fits-all proposition. We propose that a pilot project be carried out to properly implement the AMR installation process.

本研究试图利用边际成本和边际效益,对地下水收入和地下水保护费的征收流程从人工抄表系统转向自动抄表系统(AMR)的成本和效益进行研究。该方法基于效益成本分析,并考虑到时间的货币价值。具体结果如下:(1) 由于收取地下水使用费和地下水保护费的行政工作可减少 70%,因此改用 AMR 系统可为现有人员节省时间,带来额外收益。本研究以每个省两名工作人员为基础,按照每人每月 26,397.46 泰铢(或 792.95 美元)的费率计算,其中 70% 的费率相当于每人每月 18,000 泰铢(或 540.70 美元)的机会成本。(2)如果工作人员不需要出差检查持证人的地下水使用情况,事故率就会降低。然而,由于 AMR 系统复杂且可定制,从人工系统过渡到 AMR 系统并非一劳永逸。我们建议开展一个试点项目,以正确实施 AMR 安装程序。
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引用次数: 0
Smallholder farmers’ coping and adaptation strategies to climate change: Evidence from a bibliometric analysis 小农应对和适应气候变化的策略:文献计量分析的证据
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100451
Collins C. Okolie , Oluwasola T. Ogunleye , Gideon Danso-Abbeam , Abiodun A. Ogundeji , Ágoston Restás

Climate change threatens smallholder farmers' productivity, revenue generation, and increases household food insecurity. Thus, adaptation and coping strategies are paramount for smallholder farming households to mitigate these impacts of climate change. This study used a bibliometric analysis to examine smallholder farmers’ coping and adaptation strategies to climate change (SFCA-SCC) research trends from 2010 to 2022. A total of 1635 papers were analysed from Scopus and Web of Science (WoS) databases to characterize the field and observe research trends. The articles from these databases demonstrate an upward trend in publications (54–300) over the period under study, signifying the importance of research on adaptation and coping strategies of climate change. The research findings showed that majority of studies originated from institutions in industrialized countries, while very few did so from emerging economies. According to the findings, smallholder farmers have embraced a range of adaptation and coping mechanisms to mitigate the impacts of climate change, such as altering planting schedules, and diversifying crop varieties among others. It is imperative for African researchers and institutions to engage in more research aimed at developing strategies to mitigate the risks posed by climate change.

气候变化威胁着小农的生产力和创收,并加剧了家庭粮食不安全。因此,适应和应对策略对于小农家庭减轻气候变化的影响至关重要。本研究采用文献计量学分析方法,考察了 2010 年至 2022 年期间小农应对和适应气候变化战略(SFCA-SCC)的研究趋势。研究人员对 Scopus 和 Web of Science(WoS)数据库中的 1635 篇论文进行了分析,以了解该领域的特点并观察研究趋势。这些数据库中的文章显示,在研究期间,论文数量呈上升趋势(54-300 篇),这表明气候变化适应和应对策略研究的重要性。研究结果表明,大多数研究都来自工业化国家的机构,而新兴经济体的机构很少。研究结果表明,小农采用了一系列适应和应对机制来减轻气候变化的影响,如改变种植计划、作物品种多样化等。非洲的研究人员和机构必须开展更多的研究,以制定减轻气候变化风险的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental governance in Pakistan: Perspectives and implications for the China-Pakistan economic corridor plan 巴基斯坦的环境治理:中巴经济走廊计划的视角和影响
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100443
Abdul Waheed , Sajida Kousar , Muhammad Irfan Khan , Thomas Bernward Fischer

Environmental governance (EG), climate-resilient development, and environmental sustainability are interlinked phenomena. It is in this context that an evaluation of Pakistan's EG was carried out in order to establish policy insights into the environmental sustainability of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) Plan 2017–2030. A questionnaire survey approach (targeting various stakeholder groups), using a multi-criteria decision analysis of ‘Best’ and ‘Worst’ method and an integrated EG framework were used. An important finding is that responsiveness was ranked as best and equity as worst EG themes for CPEC sustainability. Similarly, criteria transparency is considered to be the best aspect and criteria access to information/knowledge the worst. Other aspects scoring highly included e.g. monitoring and evaluation; stakeholder's communication and collaboration in governance processes; mechanisms to ensure that means and rationales of decisions making are transparent for eco-friendly development under the CPEC Plan; stakeholders' input integration in planning and policy implementation; stakeholders capacity building to deal with environmental and CC concerns of CPEC development. Criteria scoring poorly included e.g., effective mechanisms to resolve conflicts between federal and provincial Environmental Protection Agencies and implementation of environmental laws in letter and spirit, as well as marginalized stakeholders' participation in the decision-making process. In this context, the Government needs to establish an effective EG system to ensure environmentally friendly and climate-resilient development (CRD) in the country.

环境治理(EG)、气候适应性发展和环境可持续性是相互关联的现象。正是在这种背景下,我们对巴基斯坦的环境治理进行了评估,以便为中巴经济走廊(CPEC)2017-2030 年计划的环境可持续性提供政策见解。采用问卷调查方法(针对不同利益相关者群体),使用 "最佳 "和 "最差 "的多标准决策分析方法以及综合环境治理框架。一个重要的发现是,对于 CPEC 的可持续性而言,响应性被评为最佳 EG 主题,而公平性被评为最差 EG 主题。同样,透明度标准被认为是最好的方面,而信息/知识获取标准被认为是最差的方面。其他得分较高的方面包括:监测和评估;利益攸关方在治理过程中的沟通与合作;确保决策手段和理由透明的机制,以促进《中国石化计划》下的生态友好型发展;利益攸关方在规划和政策实施中的投入整合;利益攸关方处理中国石化发展中的环境和气候变化问题的能力建设。得分较低的标准包括:解决联邦和省级环境保护机构之间冲突的有效机制、环境法在文字和精神上的执行,以及边缘化利益攸关方在决策过程中的参与。在这种情况下,政府需要建立一个有效的环境治理系统,以确保该国的环境友好型和 气候适应型发展(CRD)。
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引用次数: 0
Forest land use change effects on biodiversity ecosystem services and human well-being: A systematic analysis 林地使用变化对生物多样性、生态系统服务和人类福祉的影响:系统分析
IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.indic.2024.100445
Zeynab Hallaj , Masoud Bijani , Esmail Karamidehkordi , Rasoul Yousefpour , Hamed Yousefzadeh

Deforestation in the form of forest land use change (FLUC) increases the emission of greenhouse gases, disrupts the water cycle, dries the soil, and reduces the growth of plant products. This has a direct effect on the well-being of local communities whose livelihoods depend on the forest and threatens biodiversity. The systematic review aimed to analyze the studies conducted on the effects of FLUC on biodiversity ecosystem services (BECS) and human well-being (HWB) of local communities. The study utilized a qualitative content analysis (QCA) based on a deductive approach, which reviewed 114 scientific documents, particularly research articles, selected by searching keywords through a purposeful sampling method. The FLUC indicators in the two groups of dominant morphology (intensity, scale, pattern, and usage) and recessive morphology (function, property rights, and management mode) had 172 repetitions in the articles. Moreover, the BECS criteria (regulating, provisioning, supportive, and cultural services) and HWB (items related to Maslow's hierarchy of needs, subjective well-being, objective well-being, and preferences) had 125 and 148 repetitions, respectively. Results confirm the relationship and effects of FLUC on BECS and HWB, which emphasizes the mutual role of these variables in social, economic, and environmental studies in future research programs. An increase in FLUC can decline the performance and structure of BECS and have a negative impact on the HWB of those communities who depend on forest. Findings are presented in the form of a model that provides a comprehensive understanding of the relationships between FLUC, BECS, and HWB for relevant decision makers.

以改变林地用途(FLUC)的形式砍伐森林会增加温室气体的排放,破坏水循环,使土壤干燥,并减少植物产品的生长。这直接影响到以森林为生的当地社区的福祉,并威胁到生物多样性。本次系统性综述旨在分析就 FLUC 对生物多样性生态系统服务 (BECS) 和当地社区人类福祉 (HWB) 的影响所开展的研究。研究采用了基于演绎法的定性内容分析(QCA),通过有目的的抽样方法搜索关键词,审查了 114 篇科学文献,特别是研究文章。在显性形态(强度、规模、模式和用途)和隐性形态(功能、产权和管理模式)两组中,FLUC 指标在文章中有 172 次重复。此外,BECS 标准(调节、提供、支持和文化服务)和 HWB(与马斯洛需求层次、主观幸福感、客观幸福感和偏好相关的项目)分别有 125 和 148 次重复。研究结果证实了 FLUC 对 BECS 和 HWB 的关系和影响,这强调了这些变量在未来研究计划中的社会、经济和环境研究中的相互作用。FLUC 的增加会降低 BECS 的性能和结构,并对依赖森林的社区的 HWB 产生负面影响。研究结果以模型的形式呈现,为相关决策者提供了对 FLUC、BECS 和 HWB 之间关系的全面理解。
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Environmental and Sustainability Indicators
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