The changes of hydrodynamic conditions and the related eutrophication have been observed among reservoir-impacted regions. However, the evolution and impacts of the hydrodynamic characteristics of tributaries under the interference of the reservoir still need further explanation. The three-dimensional Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code (EFDC) model coupling with the watershed hydrological model was built to explore the special flow field of the tributaries in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region. The results showed that there was significant laminar flow pattern driven by water temperature, except during low level and storage periods. During the rising level period, the difference in response to temperature changes between the main stream and tributaries caused the invading flow to converge in bottom layer. The convergence of cold and warm peaks resulted in water masses flowing out in opposite directions from surface layer. During this process, there existed transition from horizontal circulation to vertical circulation, breaking up vertical differences of 0.40 mg/L of nitrogen, aggravating eutrophication in surface layer during the low level period. Instead, the low velocities in stagnant areas did not lead to significant accumulation of nutrients. However, the variation of nutrients in the annular section exhibited a short-term lag compared to the longitudinal profile. Finally, the stepped tides by interrupting the continuous raise processes of water level was more efficient for controlling eutrophication than general regulating rules during the impoundment period. The results could be used for managing eutrophication in similar regions.
{"title":"The synergistic response between temperature, flow field and nutrients in the tributary disturbed by the Three Gorges reservoir","authors":"Xiaosha Zhi , Yanzhe Xu , Lei Chen , Shibo Chen , Ziqi Zhang , Xinyi Meng , Zhenyao Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131636","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131636","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The changes of hydrodynamic conditions and the related eutrophication have been observed among reservoir-impacted regions. However, the evolution and impacts of the hydrodynamic characteristics of tributaries under the interference of the reservoir still need further explanation. The three-dimensional Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code (EFDC) model coupling with the watershed hydrological model was built to explore the special flow field of the tributaries in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region. The results showed that there was significant laminar flow pattern driven by water temperature, except during low level and storage periods. During the rising level period, the difference in response to temperature changes between the main stream and tributaries caused the invading flow to converge in bottom layer. The convergence of cold and warm peaks resulted in water masses flowing out in opposite directions from surface layer. During this process, there existed transition from horizontal circulation to vertical circulation, breaking up vertical differences of 0.40 mg/L of nitrogen, aggravating eutrophication in surface layer during the low level period. Instead, the low velocities in stagnant areas did not lead to significant accumulation of nutrients. However, the variation of nutrients in the annular section exhibited a short-term lag compared to the longitudinal profile. Finally, the stepped tides by interrupting the continuous raise processes of water level was more efficient for controlling eutrophication than general regulating rules during the impoundment period. The results could be used for managing eutrophication in similar regions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141540780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131595
Menglin Su , Ke Yan , Xiangfu Wang , Jiaxin Jin , Yuanhui Li , Wenting Dong , Haikui Li , Jun Lu , Chuanchuan Zhao , Weifeng Wang
Water use efficiency (WUE), which is strongly related to carbon and water cycles, is crucial for maintaining fragile and sensitive alpine ecosystems. An accurate assessment of the spatial and temporal variations in WUE among alpine shrubs under different aridity levels is essential for quantifying the carbon and water balance in alpine environments. We calibrated the Biome-BGC model using the parameter estimation (PEST) approach with one year of data from an eddy covariance tower and validated the model against three years of carbon–water flux and carbon storage data from 80 biomass sampling sites in Qinghai Province, China. We then simulated the carbon and water cycles of alpine shrubs in Qinghai Province from 1980 to 2019. Using meteorological data from the study area, we analyzed the spatiotemporal variations and factors influencing WUE in regions with different aridity levels. The results showed that after optimization using the PEST approach, the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of gross primary productivity (GPP) decreased by 0.58 and 1.05 g C m−2 d−1, respectively, and those of evapotranspiration (ET) decreased by 0.41 and 0.77 mm d−1, respectively. Spatial distribution analysis revealed that the annual mean GPP and ET generally decreased from southeast to northwest in the order of humid, subhumid, semi-arid, arid, and hyper-arid climate regions. In other regions, WUE exhibited a biphasic trend with the aridity index, decreasing under severe dryness but increasing as aridity increased. The primary controlling factor in humid and sub-humid regions is the mean annual temperature, whereas in arid and semi-arid regions it is the mean annual precipitation. These findings are critical for improving the prediction of carbon sequestration and water-holding capacity of alpine shrublands under drought conditions.
水分利用效率(WUE)与碳和水循环密切相关,对于维持脆弱而敏感的高山生态系统至关重要。准确评估不同干旱程度下高山灌木水分利用效率的时空变化对于量化高山环境的碳水平衡至关重要。我们利用涡度协方差塔一年的数据,采用参数估计(PEST)方法校准了Biome-BGC模型,并根据中国青海省80个生物量采样点三年的碳-水通量和碳储量数据对模型进行了验证。然后,我们模拟了 1980 年至 2019 年青海省高山灌木的碳循环和水循环。利用研究地区的气象数据,我们分析了不同干旱程度地区的时空变化和影响水分利用效率的因素。结果表明,采用PEST方法优化后,总初级生产力(GPP)的平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)分别减少了0.58和1.05 g C m-2 d-1,蒸散量(ET)的平均绝对误差和均方根误差分别减少了0.41和0.77 mm d-1。空间分布分析表明,按照湿润、亚湿润、半干旱、干旱和超干旱气候区的顺序,年均 GPP 和 ET 从东南向西北普遍下降。在其他地区,WUE 与干旱指数呈双相趋势,在严重干旱时减少,但随着干旱程度的增加而增加。湿润和亚湿润地区的主要控制因素是年平均气温,而干旱和半干旱地区的主要控制因素是年平均降水量。这些发现对于改进干旱条件下高山灌木林地碳封存和持水能力的预测至关重要。
{"title":"Contrasting responses of water use efficiency to increasing aridity in alpine shrubs: A modelling perspective","authors":"Menglin Su , Ke Yan , Xiangfu Wang , Jiaxin Jin , Yuanhui Li , Wenting Dong , Haikui Li , Jun Lu , Chuanchuan Zhao , Weifeng Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131595","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131595","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Water use efficiency (WUE), which is strongly related to carbon and water cycles, is crucial for maintaining fragile and sensitive alpine ecosystems. An accurate assessment of the spatial and temporal variations in WUE among alpine shrubs under different aridity levels is essential for quantifying the carbon and water balance in alpine environments. We calibrated the Biome-BGC model using the parameter estimation (PEST) approach with one year of data from an eddy covariance tower and validated the model against three years of carbon–water flux and carbon storage data from 80 biomass sampling sites in Qinghai Province, China. We then simulated the carbon and water cycles of alpine shrubs in Qinghai Province from 1980 to 2019. Using meteorological data from the study area, we analyzed the spatiotemporal variations and factors influencing WUE in regions with different aridity levels. The results showed that after optimization using the PEST approach, the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of gross primary productivity (GPP) decreased by 0.58 and 1.05 g C m<sup>−2</sup> d<sup>−1</sup>, respectively, and those of evapotranspiration (ET) decreased by 0.41 and 0.77 mm d<sup>−1</sup>, respectively. Spatial distribution analysis revealed that the annual mean GPP and ET generally decreased from southeast to northwest in the order of humid, subhumid, semi-arid, arid, and hyper-arid climate regions. In other regions, WUE exhibited a biphasic trend with the aridity index, decreasing under severe dryness but increasing as aridity increased. The primary controlling factor in humid and sub-humid regions is the mean annual temperature, whereas in arid and semi-arid regions it is the mean annual precipitation. These findings are critical for improving the prediction of carbon sequestration and water-holding capacity of alpine shrublands under drought conditions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141540788","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131599
Yifeng Yu , Qinglong You , Yuqing Zhang , Zheng Jin , Shichang Kang , Panmao Zhai
The integrated warm-wet trends over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) have posed a vital influence on human society and natural ecosystem in recent decades. However, there is currently a lack of in-depth research on the trends over the TP. In this study, CN05.1 high-resolution grid data and ERA5 reanalysis data were analyzed to explore temporal and spatial changes of the integrated warm-wet trends over the TP during 1961-2020 based on temperature, precipitation and the new defined Warm-Wet index (WWI). The results are shown as follow: (1) Temporally, annual surface mean temperature (0.34°C per decade), precipitation (0.73% per decade), latent heat flux (0.08W·m-2 per decade), and sensible heat flux (0.19W·m-2 per decade) have overall increased over the TP. Further, defined by the above climate variables, WWI has increased in the most regions from 1960s to 1980s, then the variations have become relatively mild in the following two decades. (2) Spatially, WWI has finally formed a pattern of significant increase in the semi-humid region and eastern semi-arid region and significant decrease in the humid region, which is similar to precipitation. Noticeably, arid region, semi-arid region, and semi-humid region have all experienced significant increase of WWI but humid regions have experienced decrease. That is, the relatively dry regions over the TP have become warmer-wetter but the relatively wet regions have become warmer-drier. (3) In addition, seasonal asymmetric has been revealed, and winter has experienced the most significant warming-wetting in spite of the smallest values of temperature and precipitation in climatology. (4) Finally, among all independent variables, precipitation contributes the most to the variations of WWI over the entire TP, while temperature is crucial in the arid region and surface heat flux plays an important role in the humid region. Our findings may provide additional insights regarding the risk evaluation over the TP, and the proposed framework to evaluate the trends over different climate zones could also offer a meaningful guide to other regions.
{"title":"Integrated warm-wet trends over the Tibetan Plateau in recent decades","authors":"Yifeng Yu , Qinglong You , Yuqing Zhang , Zheng Jin , Shichang Kang , Panmao Zhai","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131599","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131599","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The integrated warm-wet trends over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) have posed a vital influence on human society and natural ecosystem in recent decades. However, there is currently a lack of in-depth research on the trends over the TP. In this study, CN05.1 high-resolution grid data and ERA5 reanalysis data were analyzed to explore temporal and spatial changes of the integrated warm-wet trends over the TP during 1961-2020 based on temperature, precipitation and the new defined Warm-Wet index (WWI). The results are shown as follow: (1) Temporally, annual surface mean temperature (0.34°C per decade), precipitation (0.73% per decade), latent heat flux (0.08W·m<sup>-2</sup> per decade), and sensible heat flux (0.19W·m<sup>-2</sup> per decade) have overall increased over the TP. Further, defined by the above climate variables, WWI has increased in the most regions from 1960s to 1980s, then the variations have become relatively mild in the following two decades. (2) Spatially, WWI has finally formed a pattern of significant increase in the semi-humid region and eastern semi-arid region and significant decrease in the humid region, which is similar to precipitation. Noticeably, arid region, semi-arid region, and semi-humid region have all experienced significant increase of WWI but humid regions have experienced decrease. That is, the relatively dry regions over the TP have become warmer-wetter but the relatively wet regions have become warmer-drier. (3) In addition, seasonal asymmetric has been revealed, and winter has experienced the most significant warming-wetting in spite of the smallest values of temperature and precipitation in climatology. (4) Finally, among all independent variables, precipitation contributes the most to the variations of WWI over the entire TP, while temperature is crucial in the arid region and surface heat flux plays an important role in the humid region. Our findings may provide additional insights regarding the risk evaluation over the TP, and the proposed framework to evaluate the trends over different climate zones could also offer a meaningful guide to other regions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141539190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131612
Hyunwoo Kang , Ryan P. Cole , Lorrayne Miralha , Jana E. Compton , Kevin D. Bladon
Wildfires can dramatically alter vegetation cover and soil properties across large scales, resulting in substantial shifts in runoff generation, streamflow, and water quality. In September 2020, extensive and high-severity wildfires burned more than 490,000 ha of forest land on the westside of the Cascade Mountain Range in the Pacific Northwest. Much of the area impacted by these fires is critical for the provision of water for downstream aquatic ecosystems, agriculture, hydropower, recreation, and municipal drinking water. We undertook a study to evaluate the effects of four of the large high severity wildfires from 2020 (Riverside, Beachie Creek, Lionshead, and Holiday Farm) on streamflow in nine burned catchments in western Oregon. We also included four unburned, reference catchments in our analysis to enable us to assess post-fire streamflow changes in the burned catchments. To quantify the effects of wildfire on the catchment water balance we used publicly available streamflow data and estimated precipitation, potential evapotranspiration (PET), and actual evapotranspiration (ET), using satellite-based meteorological data. We quantified catchment area burned and burn severity with the average differenced normalized burn ratio (dNBR). We compared hydrologic conditions for the pre-fire (2001–2020) and post-fire (2021–2022) periods by analyzing catchment runoff ratios, ET ratios (evaporative index: quotient of ET divided by precipitation, referred to as EI hereafter), and Budyko curves. We also used random forest models to explore factors influencing the variability in EI. During the post-fire period, we observed decreases in EI and increases in runoff ratio in the burned catchments. Post-fire declines in EI were positively related to burn severity (R2 = 0.70 in 2021; 0.76 in 2022) and area burned (R2 = 0.91 in 2021; 0.95 in 2022), and were primarily driven by decreases in ET. Declines in ET were highly variable, ranging from 10.7–40.2 % in the first year after the fires and 6.1–32.0 % in the second year after the fires, and were generally related to catchment burn severity and area burned. The greatest increases in runoff (16.1 % in 2021 and 19.8 % in 2022) occurred in the same catchment. These results were reinforced by the random forest analysis, which illustrated the importance of burn severity as a predictor of EI. Interestingly, the variability in changes in EI during the post-fire period was also associated with other geomorphic factors such as catchment slope, elevation, geology, aspect, and pre-fire vegetation type. Since the duration and seasonality of post-fire impacts on hydrology remain uncertain, our findings bring new insights and guide future studies into the post-fire responses on hydrology that are crucial for water and forest management.
野火会极大地改变大范围内的植被覆盖和土壤特性,导致径流生成、溪流和水质发生重大变化。2020 年 9 月,太平洋西北部喀斯喀特山脉西侧发生了大面积的严重野火,烧毁了超过 49 万公顷的林地。受火灾影响的大部分地区对于为下游水生生态系统、农业、水电、娱乐和市政饮用水提供水源至关重要。我们开展了一项研究,以评估 2020 年的四次大规模高严重性野火(河滨、Beachie Creek、狮子头和假日农场)对俄勒冈州西部九个烧毁集水区的溪流的影响。我们还在分析中纳入了四个未烧毁的参考集水区,以便评估烧毁集水区火灾后的溪流变化。为了量化野火对集水区水平衡的影响,我们使用了公开的溪流数据,并利用卫星气象数据估算了降水量、潜在蒸散量 (PET) 和实际蒸散量 (ET)。我们用平均差分归一化燃烧比 (dNBR) 量化了集水区的燃烧面积和燃烧严重程度。我们通过分析集水区径流比、蒸散发比(蒸发指数:蒸散发除以降水量的商,以下简称 EI)和布迪科曲线,比较了火灾前(2001-2020 年)和火灾后(2021-2022 年)的水文条件。我们还使用随机森林模型探讨了影响蒸发指数变化的因素。在火灾后期间,我们观察到被烧毁的集水区 EI 下降,径流比上升。火灾后 EI 的下降与燃烧严重程度(R2 = 0.70,2021 年;0.76,2022 年)和燃烧面积(R2 = 0.91,2021 年;0.95,2022 年)呈正相关,主要是由蒸散发减少引起的。蒸散发的下降变化很大,火灾后第一年的下降幅度为 10.7-40.2%,火灾后第二年的下降幅度为 6.1-32.0%,一般与集水区的燃烧严重程度和燃烧面积有关。同一流域的径流量增幅最大(2021 年为 16.1%,2022 年为 19.8%)。随机森林分析进一步证实了这些结果,说明了燃烧严重程度对预测 EI 的重要性。有趣的是,火灾后 EI 变化的差异性还与其他地貌因素有关,如流域坡度、海拔、地质、地势和火灾前植被类型。由于火灾后对水文影响的持续时间和季节性仍不确定,我们的研究结果为今后研究火灾后对水文的影响提供了新的见解和指导,这对水和森林管理至关重要。
{"title":"Hydrologic responses to wildfires in western Oregon, USA","authors":"Hyunwoo Kang , Ryan P. Cole , Lorrayne Miralha , Jana E. Compton , Kevin D. Bladon","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131612","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131612","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Wildfires can dramatically alter vegetation cover and soil properties across large scales, resulting in substantial shifts in runoff generation, streamflow, and water quality. In September 2020, extensive and high-severity wildfires burned more than 490,000 ha of forest land on the westside of the Cascade Mountain Range in the Pacific Northwest. Much of the area impacted by these fires is critical for the provision of water for downstream aquatic ecosystems, agriculture, hydropower, recreation, and municipal drinking water. We undertook a study to evaluate the effects of four of the large high severity wildfires from 2020 (Riverside, Beachie Creek, Lionshead, and Holiday Farm) on streamflow in nine burned catchments in western Oregon. We also included four unburned, reference catchments in our analysis to enable us to assess post-fire streamflow changes in the burned catchments. To quantify the effects of wildfire on the catchment water balance we used publicly available streamflow data and estimated precipitation, potential evapotranspiration (PET), and actual evapotranspiration (ET), using satellite-based meteorological data. We quantified catchment area burned and burn severity with the average differenced normalized burn ratio (dNBR). We compared hydrologic conditions for the pre-fire (2001–2020) and post-fire (2021–2022) periods by analyzing catchment runoff ratios, ET ratios (evaporative index: quotient of ET divided by precipitation, referred to as EI hereafter), and Budyko curves. We also used random forest models to explore factors influencing the variability in EI. During the post-fire period, we observed decreases in EI and increases in runoff ratio in the burned catchments. Post-fire declines in EI were positively related to burn severity (<em>R</em><sup>2</sup> = 0.70 in 2021; 0.76 in 2022) and area burned (<em>R</em><sup>2</sup> = 0.91 in 2021; 0.95 in 2022), and were primarily driven by decreases in ET. Declines in ET were highly variable, ranging from 10.7–40.2 % in the first year after the fires and 6.1–32.0 % in the second year after the fires, and were generally related to catchment burn severity and area burned. The greatest increases in runoff (16.1 % in 2021 and 19.8 % in 2022) occurred in the same catchment. These results were reinforced by the random forest analysis, which illustrated the importance of burn severity as a predictor of EI. Interestingly, the variability in changes in EI during the post-fire period was also associated with other geomorphic factors such as catchment slope, elevation, geology, aspect, and pre-fire vegetation type. Since the duration and seasonality of post-fire impacts on hydrology remain uncertain, our findings bring new insights and guide future studies into the post-fire responses on hydrology that are crucial for water and forest management.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141539189","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hydrograph separation assessment is crucial to understand stormflow generation at catchments worldwide. Tracer-based methods provide robust estimations of event (or new) and pre-event (or old) water fractions as they account for external and internal catchment hydrological behavior. While models of different mathematical and computational complexity are often used in tracer-based hydrograph separation studies, direct comparisons between those models are limited. Here, we compare hydrograph separation results yielded by the simplest Two-Component Mixing Model (TCMM) and a Tracer-based Streamflow Partitioning ANalysis model (TraSPAN) assumed to provide robust results as it combines conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling with tracers’ mass balance. We carried out the analysis using high temporal frequency (sub-daily to sub-hourly) data of two tracers, Oxygen-18 and Electrical Conductivity (EC), monitored during 37 rainfall-runoff events with different hydrometeorological conditions in a high-Andean páramo catchment located at the Zhurucay Ecohydrological Observatory in southern Ecuador. Both approaches yield similar estimations of event and pre-event water fractions regardless of the tracer used as long as appropriate concentrations of event (Ce) and pre-event (Cp) water for the TCMM are determined. Although the estimate of Ce has little influence with one rainfall sample collected during the event being sufficient to obtain reliable results, results hinge heavily on the estimate of Cp. We found that the TCMM yields similar results than TraSPAN when Cp is represented by the stream water concentration corresponding to a sample collected prior to the beginning of each of the events. We conclude that the combination of a simple framework (TCMM) with sub-hourly EC measurements provides reliable hydrograph separation results when representative Cp samples are used. These findings will allow to lower the logistical and economical resources needed to adequately assess hydrograph separation and to carry out quasi-continuous assessments of flow partitioning with high accuracy in high-Andean páramo catchments.
{"title":"A simple mixing model using electrical conductivity yields robust hydrograph separation in a tropical montane catchment","authors":"Patricio X. Lazo , Giovanny M. Mosquera , Irene Cárdenas , Catalina Segura , Patricio Crespo","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131632","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131632","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Hydrograph separation assessment is crucial to understand stormflow generation at catchments worldwide. Tracer-based methods provide robust estimations of event (or new) and pre-event (or old) water fractions as they account for external and internal catchment hydrological behavior. While models of different mathematical and computational complexity are often used in tracer-based hydrograph separation studies, direct comparisons between those models are limited. Here, we compare hydrograph separation results yielded by the simplest Two-Component Mixing Model (TCMM) and a Tracer-based Streamflow Partitioning ANalysis model (TraSPAN) assumed to provide robust results as it combines conceptual rainfall-runoff modelling with tracers’ mass balance. We carried out the analysis using high temporal frequency (sub-daily to sub-hourly) data of two tracers, Oxygen-18 and Electrical Conductivity (EC), monitored during 37 rainfall-runoff events with different hydrometeorological conditions in a high-Andean páramo catchment located at the Zhurucay Ecohydrological Observatory in southern Ecuador. Both approaches yield similar estimations of event and pre-event water fractions regardless of the tracer used as long as appropriate concentrations of event (C<sub>e</sub>) and pre-event (C<sub>p</sub>) water for the TCMM are determined. Although the estimate of C<sub>e</sub> has little influence with one rainfall sample collected during the event being sufficient to obtain reliable results, results hinge heavily on the estimate of C<sub>p</sub>. We found that the TCMM yields similar results than TraSPAN when C<sub>p</sub> is represented by the stream water concentration corresponding to a sample collected prior to the beginning of each of the events. We conclude that the combination of a simple framework (TCMM) with sub-hourly EC measurements provides reliable hydrograph separation results when representative C<sub>p</sub> samples are used. These findings will allow to lower the logistical and economical resources needed to adequately assess hydrograph separation and to carry out quasi-continuous assessments of flow partitioning with high accuracy in high-Andean páramo catchments.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141540793","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131640
Yue Pan , Hao Tian , Muhammad Arsalan Farid , Xinlin He , Tong Heng , Cecilie Hermansen , Lis Wollesen de Jonge , Fadong Li , Yongli Gao , Lijun Tian , Guang Yang
Irrigated arid oasis areas experience shortages in water resources and imbalances between supply and demand. A rational water resources allocation strategy must be devised to solve such problems; however, this remains a challenging issue to overcome. In this study, a multi-objective water resources optimization model based on a metaheuristic algorithm was established for the Manas River irrigation area in Xinjiang. First, considering future population growth and the development of the ecological environment in arid oasis irrigation areas, a multi-objective water resource optimization allocation model was established. This model was developed to derive the maximum economic benefits from water supply allocation to users, improve the degree to which ecological water demand is met for ecological environmental restoration, and reduce water shortages. The model adheres to the constraints of the total water resources in this area and can be used to effectively solve future water resources supply and demand imbalances in the Manas River irrigation area. Second, a multi-objective beluga whale optimization algorithm was selected to solve multi-objective problems. In contrast to traditional optimization algorithms, the multi-objective beluga whale optimization algorithm does not rely on the knowledge of a specific problem domain, representing a more generalized approach. Instead, this algorithm provides a general framework for searching for solutions, finding an approximate optimal solution, and generating a multi-objective solution set, taking into account the model computation time and domain. Finally, the target solution set obtained after 100 iterations is used as the basis for identifying the optimal solution. The key findings of this study are as follows: (1) The solution sets obtained by applying the multi-objective beluga whale optimization algorithm to solve the multi-objective optimal allocation model for irrigation water resources in each subirrigation district (Shihezi, Mosouwan, and Xiayedi irrigation districts), for four distinct user categories (agriculture, industry, household, and ecological water), consistently adhered to the comprehensive water resources index of the irrigation district. (2) After employing the 2030 projections for the Shihezi irrigation district as an example, the binary comparison methodology helped ascertain the objective weights (0.43, 0.35, and 0.22). The multi-objective fuzzy preference model was then used to shift through the solution set, highlighting the solution with the highest degree of superiority ( = 0.979) as the optimal solution. (3) Under this scenario, the economic objective of the optimal solution for the Shihezi irrigation district for 2030 is 14,912.91 million yuan, with social and ecological objectives of 1186.77 and 1.22 million m3, respectively. The results of this scenario can serve as a reference for decisi
{"title":"Metaheuristic optimization of water resources: A case study of the Manas River irrigation district","authors":"Yue Pan , Hao Tian , Muhammad Arsalan Farid , Xinlin He , Tong Heng , Cecilie Hermansen , Lis Wollesen de Jonge , Fadong Li , Yongli Gao , Lijun Tian , Guang Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131640","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131640","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Irrigated arid oasis areas experience shortages in water resources and imbalances between supply and demand. A rational water resources allocation strategy must be devised to solve such problems; however, this remains a challenging issue to overcome. In this study, a multi-objective water resources optimization model based on a metaheuristic algorithm was established for the Manas River irrigation area in Xinjiang. First, considering future population growth and the development of the ecological environment in arid oasis irrigation areas, a multi-objective water resource optimization allocation model was established. This model was developed to derive the maximum economic benefits from water supply allocation to users, improve the degree to which ecological water demand is met for ecological environmental restoration, and reduce water shortages. The model adheres to the constraints of the total water resources in this area and can be used to effectively solve future water resources supply and demand imbalances in the Manas River irrigation area. Second, a multi-objective beluga whale optimization algorithm was selected to solve multi-objective problems. In contrast to traditional optimization algorithms, the multi-objective beluga whale optimization algorithm does not rely on the knowledge of a specific problem domain, representing a more generalized approach. Instead, this algorithm provides a general framework for searching for solutions, finding an approximate optimal solution, and generating a multi-objective solution set, taking into account the model computation time and domain. Finally, the target solution set obtained after 100 iterations is used as the basis for identifying the optimal solution. The key findings of this study are as follows: (1) The solution sets obtained by applying the multi-objective beluga whale optimization algorithm to solve the multi-objective optimal allocation model for irrigation water resources in each subirrigation district (Shihezi, Mosouwan, and Xiayedi irrigation districts), for four distinct user categories (agriculture, industry, household, and ecological water), consistently adhered to the comprehensive water resources index of the irrigation district. (2) After employing the 2030 projections for the Shihezi irrigation district as an example, the binary comparison methodology helped ascertain the objective weights (0.43, 0.35, and 0.22). The multi-objective fuzzy preference model was then used to shift through the solution set, highlighting the solution with the highest degree of superiority (<span><math><mrow><msub><mi>u</mi><mi>i</mi></msub></mrow></math></span> = 0.979) as the optimal solution. (3) Under this scenario, the economic objective of the optimal solution for the Shihezi irrigation district for 2030 is 14,912.91 million yuan, with social and ecological objectives of 1186.77 and 1.22 million m<sup>3</sup>, respectively. The results of this scenario can serve as a reference for decisi","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169424010369/pdfft?md5=5545b72f9192f4354d795b48630ecff3&pid=1-s2.0-S0022169424010369-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141540792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131593
Xianqi Jiang, Ji Chen, Xunlai Chen, Wai-kin Wong, Mingjie Wang, Shuxin Wang
It is a critical need to provide timely and valuable alerts of rainstorms and floods to the public. However, it still remains a world-class challenge to achieve serviceable nowcasting rainstorms with even a short lead time of one hour. Different deep learning algorithms have been adopted to improve nowcasting accuracy. Unfortunately, it is still a question which algorithm is more suitable and how to interpret the rainstorm nowcasting results from deep learning. To this end, this paper focuses on modelling the evolution of rainstorm clouds using deep learning algorithms that can be applied to nowcast rainstorms for the next few hours. Adopting three deep learning algorithms, the study provides a detailed analysis of the nowcasting results of three typical cases of different rainfall intensities from a radar echo mosaic image dataset. The dataset was collected in Guangdong, China, and the analysis interprets the performance differences. The analysis further discloses that an AI-based method can provide more skilful nowcasting for medium and strong rainfall cases than for weak ones. Moreover, a deep learning algorithm trained by the dataset for one region can be skilfully used to nowcast rainfall for another region with a similar weather system. This explains the nowcasting capability of deep learning algorithms as well as their robustness. Besides, experiments on the number of iterations reveal that more iterations do not achieve higher nowcasting accuracy. With improved interpretability of deep learning from the perspective of real-world application in the study, it is expected that the algorithms producing higher accuracy and longer lead time nowcasts will be made possible.
{"title":"Comparative study of cloud evolution for rainfall nowcasting using AI-based deep learning algorithms","authors":"Xianqi Jiang, Ji Chen, Xunlai Chen, Wai-kin Wong, Mingjie Wang, Shuxin Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131593","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131593","url":null,"abstract":"It is a critical need to provide timely and valuable alerts of rainstorms and floods to the public. However, it still remains a world-class challenge to achieve serviceable nowcasting rainstorms with even a short lead time of one hour. Different deep learning algorithms have been adopted to improve nowcasting accuracy. Unfortunately, it is still a question which algorithm is more suitable and how to interpret the rainstorm nowcasting results from deep learning. To this end, this paper focuses on modelling the evolution of rainstorm clouds using deep learning algorithms that can be applied to nowcast rainstorms for the next few hours. Adopting three deep learning algorithms, the study provides a detailed analysis of the nowcasting results of three typical cases of different rainfall intensities from a radar echo mosaic image dataset. The dataset was collected in Guangdong, China, and the analysis interprets the performance differences. The analysis further discloses that an AI-based method can provide more skilful nowcasting for medium and strong rainfall cases than for weak ones. Moreover, a deep learning algorithm trained by the dataset for one region can be skilfully used to nowcast rainfall for another region with a similar weather system. This explains the nowcasting capability of deep learning algorithms as well as their robustness. Besides, experiments on the number of iterations reveal that more iterations do not achieve higher nowcasting accuracy. With improved interpretability of deep learning from the perspective of real-world application in the study, it is expected that the algorithms producing higher accuracy and longer lead time nowcasts will be made possible.","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141557109","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131623
Qiongying Liu, Shunyun Chen, Bo Zhou
Heat has become an increasingly utilized hydrological tracer for quantifying groundwater flow due to its universal distribution and environmental friendliness. Estimating time-varying groundwater flux is of great significance for understanding the transient behavior of the groundwater system. Most heat tracing models for acquiring transient water flux were specially designed for the near-surface medium that rely on periodic temperature signals, but few can be applicable to deep groundwater flux estimates. Models estimating flux in deep aquifers usually assume constant flow velocity over time, which cannot delineate the temporal patterns of groundwater flow. Here, we propose a numerical approach for automatically quantifying transient vertical groundwater flux from temperature time series at multiple depths. The approach can be applied to deep as well as near-surface homogeneous and heterogeneous media with flexible boundary conditions. The accuracy of the approach is demonstrated through three synthetic experiments and one real case test using data from a field site. Our approach shows fine temporal resolution for rapidly changing flow under various conditions and accurate estimates for a wide range of flow velocities. We conduct analyses to investigate the influence of different strategies to give an initial temperature profile on flux estimates. The results highlight the necessity of accurately giving an initial temperature profile under transient conditions. This study improves the heat tracing approach for estimating time-varying water fluxes, especially in a deep well, which would be beneficial to monitoring and managing groundwater flows with the development of high-resolution temperature observation technology.
{"title":"Estimating temporal patterns of vertical groundwater flux using multidepth temperature time series: A numerical method","authors":"Qiongying Liu, Shunyun Chen, Bo Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131623","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131623","url":null,"abstract":"Heat has become an increasingly utilized hydrological tracer for quantifying groundwater flow due to its universal distribution and environmental friendliness. Estimating time-varying groundwater flux is of great significance for understanding the transient behavior of the groundwater system. Most heat tracing models for acquiring transient water flux were specially designed for the near-surface medium that rely on periodic temperature signals, but few can be applicable to deep groundwater flux estimates. Models estimating flux in deep aquifers usually assume constant flow velocity over time, which cannot delineate the temporal patterns of groundwater flow. Here, we propose a numerical approach for automatically quantifying transient vertical groundwater flux from temperature time series at multiple depths. The approach can be applied to deep as well as near-surface homogeneous and heterogeneous media with flexible boundary conditions. The accuracy of the approach is demonstrated through three synthetic experiments and one real case test using data from a field site. Our approach shows fine temporal resolution for rapidly changing flow under various conditions and accurate estimates for a wide range of flow velocities. We conduct analyses to investigate the influence of different strategies to give an initial temperature profile on flux estimates. The results highlight the necessity of accurately giving an initial temperature profile under transient conditions. This study improves the heat tracing approach for estimating time-varying water fluxes, especially in a deep well, which would be beneficial to monitoring and managing groundwater flows with the development of high-resolution temperature observation technology.","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141557108","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Land surface models have facilitated the estimation of soil moisture over a range of spatiotemporal scales. However, limitations in model parameterization and under-representation of anthropogenic processes restrict their ability to estimate local-scale soil moisture variability, especially over irrigated areas. Assimilation of satellite-based soil moisture retrievals into land surface models can be a viable approach to overcome these constraints, specially over highly irrigated countries such as India, where such applications are rare. Additionally, large-scale validation of modeled soil moisture has been limited over India till now due to lack of a representative station network. By assimilating Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP)-based estimates into the state-of-the-art Indian Land Data Assimilation System (ILDAS) and combining with a new soil moisture station network of more than 200 stations, this study demonstrates improved soil moisture estimations and capture of irrigation signals over the region. The Noah-MP land surface model is forced by multiple local and global meteorological datasets and Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is used for assimilation of soil moisture. Comparison of open-loop and data assimilated soil moisture against station soil moisture data shows relative spatial mean improvement of 0.0178 in correlation and 0.0029 m3/m3 in RMSE. Further statistical comparison with in-situ data has also shown better results over most of the stations, as evident from improved correlations and reduced unbiased RMSE after assimilation. Finally, the climatology of soil moisture over the different irrigation fractions reveals that data assimilated outputs over irrigated grid cells tend to have higher soil moisture during dry winter season, demonstrating the ability to capture irrigation signals. These findings quantify the value of data assimilation in improving soil moisture estimates and the ability to capture unmodeled processes such as irrigation, which lays the science groundwork for upcoming space missions such as NASA ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR).
{"title":"Improved soil moisture estimation and detection of irrigation signal by incorporating SMAP soil moisture into the Indian Land Data Assimilation System (ILDAS)","authors":"Arijit Chakraborty , Manabendra Saharia , Sumedha Chakma , Dharmendra Kumar Pandey , Kondapalli Niranjan Kumar , Praveen K. Thakur , Sujay Kumar , Augusto Getirana","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131581","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131581","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Land surface models have facilitated the estimation of soil moisture over a range of spatiotemporal scales. However, limitations in model parameterization and under-representation of anthropogenic processes restrict their ability to estimate local-scale soil moisture variability, especially over irrigated areas. Assimilation of satellite-based soil moisture retrievals into land surface models can be a viable approach to overcome these constraints, specially over highly irrigated countries such as India, where such applications are rare. Additionally, large-scale validation of modeled soil moisture has been limited over India till now due to lack of a representative station network. By assimilating Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP)-based estimates into the state-of-the-art Indian Land Data Assimilation System (ILDAS) and combining with a new soil moisture station network of more than 200 stations, this study demonstrates improved soil moisture estimations and capture of irrigation signals over the region. The Noah-MP land surface model is forced by multiple local and global meteorological datasets and Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is used for assimilation of soil moisture. Comparison of open-loop and data assimilated soil moisture against station soil moisture data shows relative spatial mean improvement of 0.0178 in correlation and 0.0029 m<sup>3</sup>/m<sup>3</sup> in RMSE. Further statistical comparison with in-situ data has also shown better results over most of the stations, as evident from improved correlations and reduced unbiased RMSE after assimilation. Finally, the climatology of soil moisture over the different irrigation fractions reveals that data assimilated outputs over irrigated grid cells tend to have higher soil moisture during dry winter season, demonstrating the ability to capture irrigation signals. These findings quantify the value of data assimilation in improving soil moisture estimates and the ability to capture unmodeled processes such as irrigation, which lays the science groundwork for upcoming space missions such as NASA ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR).</p></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141463789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131487
Rafia Belhajjam , Abdelaziz Chaqdid , Naji Yebari , Mohammed Seaid , Nabil El Moçayd
This study develops a class of robust models for flood risk mapping in highly vulnerable regions by focusing on accurately depicting extreme precipitation patterns aligned with regional climates. By implementing sophisticated hydrodynamics modeling and advanced probabilistic approaches, the present work underscores the efficacy of physical-based methodologies in the flood risk assessment. We propose a machine learning based ExGAN to address the challenge of synthesizing extreme precipitation scenarios which faithfully capture the nuances of local climatology. It is expected that through refined temporal disaggregation, the ExGAN approach exhibits exceptional proficiency in replicating a diverse spectrum of extreme precipitation patterns specific to the vulnerable region under scrutiny. Therefore, using these synthesized scenarios as inputs in a meticulously calibrated hydrological model would enable a comprehensive and detailed flood risk mapping exercise. To demonstrate the robustness of the developed mode, we perform a rigorous testing and validation within the highly susceptible Martil river basin, situated in the northern Mediterranean region of Morocco. The obtained results confirm that extending return periods would provide invaluable insights into the expanding geographical expanse of at-risk areas, clarifying the evolving landscape of vulnerability rather than merely amplifying inherent risk levels. Comparisons against the conventional Monte-Carlo sampling are also carried out in this study and the obtained results highlight significant overestimations within the latter, emphasizing the imperative need to account for diverse uncertainties beyond the basic sampling strategies within the realm of hydrodynamic modeling.
{"title":"Climate-informed flood risk mapping using a GAN-based approach (ExGAN)","authors":"Rafia Belhajjam , Abdelaziz Chaqdid , Naji Yebari , Mohammed Seaid , Nabil El Moçayd","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131487","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131487","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study develops a class of robust models for flood risk mapping in highly vulnerable regions by focusing on accurately depicting extreme precipitation patterns aligned with regional climates. By implementing sophisticated hydrodynamics modeling and advanced probabilistic approaches, the present work underscores the efficacy of physical-based methodologies in the flood risk assessment. We propose a machine learning based ExGAN to address the challenge of synthesizing extreme precipitation scenarios which faithfully capture the nuances of local climatology. It is expected that through refined temporal disaggregation, the ExGAN approach exhibits exceptional proficiency in replicating a diverse spectrum of extreme precipitation patterns specific to the vulnerable region under scrutiny. Therefore, using these synthesized scenarios as inputs in a meticulously calibrated hydrological model would enable a comprehensive and detailed flood risk mapping exercise. To demonstrate the robustness of the developed mode, we perform a rigorous testing and validation within the highly susceptible Martil river basin, situated in the northern Mediterranean region of Morocco. The obtained results confirm that extending return periods would provide invaluable insights into the expanding geographical expanse of at-risk areas, clarifying the evolving landscape of vulnerability rather than merely amplifying inherent risk levels. Comparisons against the conventional Monte-Carlo sampling are also carried out in this study and the obtained results highlight significant overestimations within the latter, emphasizing the imperative need to account for diverse uncertainties beyond the basic sampling strategies within the realm of hydrodynamic modeling.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141481395","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}