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Algorithm Aversion: People Erroneously Avoid Algorithms after Seeing Them Err 算法厌恶:人们在看到算法出错后错误地避免算法
Pub Date : 2014-07-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2466040
Berkeley J. Dietvorst, J. Simmons, Cade Massey
Research shows that evidence-based algorithms more accurately predict the future than do human forecasters. Yet when forecasters are deciding whether to use a human forecaster or a statistical algorithm, they often choose the human forecaster. This phenomenon, which we call algorithm aversion, is costly, and it is important to understand its causes. We show that people are especially averse to algorithmic forecasters after seeing them perform, even when they see them outperform a human forecaster. This is because people more quickly lose confidence in algorithmic than human forecasters after seeing them make the same mistake. In 5 studies, participants either saw an algorithm make forecasts, a human make forecasts, both, or neither. They then decided whether to tie their incentives to the future predictions of the algorithm or the human. Participants who saw the algorithm perform were less confident in it, and less likely to choose it over an inferior human forecaster. This was true even among those who saw the algorithm outperform the human.
研究表明,基于证据的算法比人类预测者更准确地预测未来。然而,当预测者决定是使用人类预测员还是统计算法时,他们通常会选择人类预测员。这种现象,我们称之为算法厌恶,是代价高昂的,了解其原因很重要。我们的研究表明,人们在看到算法预测者的表现后,尤其反感它们,即使他们看到它们比人类预测者表现得更好。这是因为在看到人类预测者犯同样的错误后,人们比人类预测者更快地对算法失去信心。在5项研究中,参与者要么看到算法做出预测,要么看到人类做出预测,要么两者都看到,要么两者都看不到。然后,他们决定是否将自己的动机与算法或人类的未来预测联系起来。看到算法表现的参与者对它不太有信心,也不太可能选择它而不是一个较差的人类预测者。即使在那些认为算法优于人类的人身上也是如此。
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引用次数: 1086
The (Relative and Absolute) Subjective Value of Money 货币的(相对与绝对)主观价值
Pub Date : 2014-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2518576
Eva C. Buechel, Carey K. Morewedge
Money is often used as a proxy for utility in economic and psychological research. Monetary sums are easily calculated and compared, and money is a stimulus with which almost all people are familiar. Even so, hedonic responses to monetary gains and losses are relatively insensitive to the absolute size of those gains and losses, and the subjective utility of gains and losses is surprisingly labile. We propose that the difficulty of evaluating the value of money stems from the abstract nature of its value and nearly infinite range. As a result, money is not evaluated on a single monetary scale, but instead on subscales composed of comparison standards that are selected at the time of judgment. Using a dual-process account, we describe how such monetary subscales are generated and when they result in more or less sensitivity to its absolute value. We identify factors that influence sensitivity to the value of money and bias its evaluation. We close with a discussion of implications for science and practice.
在经济和心理学研究中,金钱经常被用作效用的代表。货币数量很容易计算和比较,而且货币是一种几乎所有人都熟悉的刺激。即便如此,对货币收益和损失的享乐反应相对而言对这些收益和损失的绝对规模不敏感,而且收益和损失的主观效用也令人惊讶地不稳定。我们认为,评估货币价值的困难源于其价值的抽象性和几乎无限的范围。因此,货币不是在单一的货币尺度上进行评估,而是在判断时选择由比较标准组成的子尺度。使用双过程帐户,我们描述了这些货币子尺度是如何产生的,以及它们何时导致对其绝对值或多或少的敏感性。我们确定了影响对金钱价值敏感性的因素,并对其进行了评估。最后,我们将讨论对科学和实践的影响。
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引用次数: 10
Total Participation Management: Toward Psychological Determinants of Subjective Well-Being at Work 全面参与管理:工作主观幸福感的心理决定因素
Pub Date : 2014-03-17 DOI: 10.7341/2013942
Katarzyna Mika, Ryszard Stocki, A. Bożek
Aiming to determine which management practice has the strongest influence on the subjective well-being (SWB) of employees, three workplaces were assessed with reference to different levels of total participation management (TPM), an innovative approach to human resource management. The study examined whether the level of TPM is positively related with SWB, defined according to Diener’s (1984) affective and cognitive facets of work. The psychological explanation of the predicted dependence was the level of satisfaction of three basic needs (autonomy, competence and relatedness) distinguished by Deci and Ryan (2000a). The hypothesis about a positive relationship between SWB and TPM was confirmed. Results indicate that the least participative company has employees with the lowest subjective well-being and with the lowest satisfaction of basic psychological needs.
为了确定哪种管理实践对员工主观幸福感(SWB)的影响最大,我们参照不同水平的全面参与管理(TPM)对三个工作场所进行了评估,TPM是一种创新的人力资源管理方法。本研究考察了TPM水平是否与主观幸福感呈正相关,主观幸福感是根据Diener(1984)的工作的情感和认知层面定义的。预测依赖的心理学解释是Deci和Ryan(2000)区分的三种基本需求(自主性、能力和亲缘性)的满足水平。幸福感与TPM呈正相关的假设得到了证实。结果表明,参与最少的公司员工主观幸福感最低,基本心理需求满意度最低。
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引用次数: 3
What is Coworking? A Theoretical Study on the Concept of Coworking 什么是联合办公?共同工作概念的理论研究
Pub Date : 2013-12-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2937194
T. Uda
The purpose of this paper is to examine the concept of coworking on the basis of reviewing discussions related to this concept and to demonstrate issues for theoretical development. Specifically, first an overview is made on the practical unfolding of coworking, which is the subject of increasing attention in Japan and overseas in recent years. Next, questions that have so far largely been untouched such as what kind of concept coworking is and how it differs from existing related issues, are examined utilizing the two concepts of coworker, i.e. working individual, and coworking space, i.e. workplace. On that foundation, three points are presented as issues for theoretical development. First, to systematically consider coworking based on the knowledge of previous research on working individuals and workplaces. Second, to construct an elaborate theoretical framework based on the review of related previous research. And lastly, to grasp the actual conditions and mechanisms of coworking by focusing on actors that strive to invoke the concepts of coworking while redefining the way of working and associated practices.
本文的目的是在回顾与这一概念相关的讨论的基础上研究共同工作的概念,并展示理论发展的问题。具体来说,首先概述了近年来在日本和海外越来越受关注的共同工作的实践展开。接下来,到目前为止基本上没有触及的问题,例如共同工作是什么样的概念以及它与现有相关问题有何不同,将利用同事(即工作个体)和共同工作空间(即工作场所)这两个概念进行检查。在此基础上,提出了三个有待理论发展的问题。首先,基于先前对工作个体和工作场所的研究知识,系统地考虑共同工作。其次,在回顾前人研究成果的基础上,构建了较为详尽的理论框架。最后,通过关注在重新定义工作方式和相关实践的同时努力调用共同工作概念的参与者,掌握共同工作的实际条件和机制。
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引用次数: 28
Interdependency in the Relationship of Project Partners: How Can it Work? 项目合作伙伴关系中的相互依赖:它是如何工作的?
Pub Date : 2013-10-28 DOI: 10.14707/ajbr.130002
Z. Veres, József Hack-Handa
Success of a project transaction is uncertain until it is completed. Information on a particular project supplier’s competence profile reduces the buyers’ uncertainty. In the first phase we used expert mini focus groups to explore general views of project buyers and suppliers on project characteristics and their expectations and risk perception throughout the project. In the second phase structured in-depth interviews with project managers were undertaken. In the last step we had taken a larger sample that permitted us to apply multivariate statistical methods. The results of our qualitative research and quantitative analyses revealed that there are areas that both buyers and suppliers pay attention to, which means that these are considered as risk factors by managers. Findings from the qualitative interviews helped us understand the pattern of competences and activities that most likely to have an impact on risk and/or value perception. The quantitative research could also uncover the activities of which impact is resistant to contradiction. As a next step of our study we aim to test the impact of the presence or absence of the most important competences.
项目交易的成功是不确定的,直到它完成。关于特定项目供应商能力概况的信息减少了买方的不确定性。在第一阶段,我们使用专家小型焦点小组来探讨项目买方和供应商对项目特征的一般看法,以及他们在整个项目中的期望和风险感知。在第二阶段,对项目经理进行了结构化的深入访谈。在最后一步中,我们采用了更大的样本,允许我们应用多元统计方法。我们的定性研究和定量分析的结果表明,有一些领域是买家和供应商都关注的,这意味着这些领域被管理者视为风险因素。定性访谈的结果帮助我们理解最有可能对风险和/或价值感知产生影响的能力和活动的模式。定量研究还可以揭示哪些活动的影响是抵抗矛盾的。作为我们研究的下一步,我们的目标是测试最重要的能力的存在或不存在的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Factors Defining Shopping Experience: An Analytical Study of Dubai 决定购物体验的因素:对迪拜的分析研究
Pub Date : 2013-10-28 DOI: 10.14707/ajbr.130003
H. Singh, S. Prashar
This paper explains the composition of shopping experience for mall shoppers of Dubai. The study assumes significance because Dubai is a prominent destination attracting shoppers from all over the globe. An attempt has been made to portray shopper’s expectations from shopping malls. The research uses data reduction with the help of Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) on a sample of 200 respondents from city of Dubai and condenses a set of twenty-two mall attributes into a list of five comprehensible factors. Results of the study shows that mall shoppers of Dubai view shopping experience as blend of five factors: ambiance, physical infrastructure, marketing focus, convenience, and safety and security. Shoppers assign differential weight to these factors. Composition of these factors in terms of its constituents reveals distinct patterns. Findings of this research may be used as guidelines for development and management of shopping malls in Dubai. Shopping malls making appropriate use of these insights are more likely to attract and sustain a higher level of footfalls. Capital intensive projects like shopping malls cannot afford to fail. This application-oriented study proposes new benchmarks for mall development and management and reduces the probability of taking wrong decisions. This paper is also a significant addition to the body of knowledge in the area of mall management and consumer behavior in Dubai.
本文阐述了迪拜购物中心购物者购物体验的构成。这项研究具有重要意义,因为迪拜是吸引全球购物者的重要目的地。人们试图从购物中心描绘购物者的期望。该研究在探索性因素分析(EFA)的帮助下,对来自迪拜市的200名受访者的样本进行了数据缩减,并将一组22个商场属性浓缩为五个可理解的因素。研究结果显示,迪拜的购物中心购物者将购物体验视为五个因素的混合体:氛围、物理基础设施、营销重点、便利性和安全性。消费者对这些因素分配不同的权重。这些因素的组成就其成分而言显示出不同的模式。本研究的结果可以作为迪拜购物中心开发和管理的指导方针。适当利用这些见解的购物中心更有可能吸引和维持更高水平的客流量。像购物中心这样的资本密集型项目不能失败。这一面向应用的研究为商场开发和管理提供了新的基准,减少了错误决策的可能性。这篇论文也是对迪拜商场管理和消费者行为领域知识的重要补充。
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引用次数: 20
Brain Activity Follow Up of Stock Market Financial Variables 股票市场金融变量的脑活动跟踪
Pub Date : 2013-09-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2329873
A. D. da Rocha, J. Vieito, F. Rocha
Efficiency Market hypothesis assume that all investors reason in the same way to make their financial decisions. In contrast, Neurosciences have provided strong evidences that cognitive diversity is the hallmark of human intelligence. Neurofinances has shown that volunteers learned different profitable financial decision-making strategies depending on the kind of market they begun to trade. Here, we decide to further explore this hypothesis by studying a possible correlation between brain activity and the financial variables in a stock market game and to test if this correlation differ between experimental groups that trade in different market conditions. Present results show that volunteers had different perceptions of the studied financial variables depending if they initially traded in a bear or a bull market. Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that different neural circuits were learned to monitor the different financial variables studied here, depending on market conditions.
效率市场假说认为,所有投资者都以同样的方式进行财务决策。相反,神经科学提供了强有力的证据,证明认知多样性是人类智力的标志。神经金融表明,志愿者根据他们开始交易的市场类型,学会了不同的盈利财务决策策略。在这里,我们决定通过研究大脑活动与股票市场游戏中的金融变量之间可能的相关性来进一步探索这一假设,并检验在不同市场条件下交易的实验组之间是否存在这种相关性。目前的结果表明,志愿者对所研究的金融变量有不同的看法,这取决于他们最初是在熊市还是牛市中交易。我们的发现与假设是一致的,即不同的神经回路被学习来监控不同的金融变量,这取决于市场条件。
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引用次数: 1
Giving Behaviors in Indonesia: Motives and Marketing Implications for Islamic Charities 印度尼西亚的捐赠行为:伊斯兰慈善机构的动机和营销含义
Pub Date : 2013-08-01 DOI: 10.1108/JIMA-05-2011-0044
R. Kasri
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the motives and giving behaviours of donors towards Islamic charities in Indonesia by using various demographic, socio-economic, psychographic and motivational/situational characteristics. Based on these analyses, relevant marketing implications are also discussed. The study hopes to enrich Islamic marketing literature and contribute further to the understanding of marketing within the context of the Islamic voluntary sector. Design/methodology/approach – This empirical paper primarily employs a quantitative approach in analysing the giving behaviours. The primary data is gathered through a survey conducted in January 2011 involving 300 Indonesian Muslim donors. The results are analysed with descriptive and correlation statistics. Findings – First, the analysis highlights that the main causes for charitable giving are to help the poor/needy and support religious causes. Second, most of the donors provide funds through “informal” Islamic charities. Third, m...
目的-本文的目的是通过使用各种人口,社会经济,心理和动机/情境特征来检查印度尼西亚伊斯兰慈善机构捐助者的动机和捐赠行为。在此基础上,本文还讨论了相关的营销启示。这项研究希望丰富伊斯兰营销文献,并进一步有助于理解伊斯兰志愿部门背景下的营销。设计/方法/方法-这篇实证论文主要采用定量方法来分析捐赠行为。主要数据是通过2011年1月对300名印尼穆斯林捐赠者进行的一项调查收集的。用描述性统计和相关统计对结果进行了分析。调查结果-首先,分析强调慈善捐赠的主要原因是帮助穷人/有需要的人和支持宗教事业。其次,大多数捐助者通过“非正式的”伊斯兰慈善机构提供资金。第三,米……
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引用次数: 75
Reconnoitering Effects of Emotional Intelligence on Work Experience in Education 情绪智力对教育工作经验的影响
Pub Date : 2013-07-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2800963
Meeta Mandaviya, Dr. Vashisthdhar Dwivedi
In recent years, emotional intelligence (EI) has been a popular topic of debate in the field of management. It has been praised as a successful predictor of job performance and leadership ability. A little empirical research has been conducted to test this statement and academic performance were examined in a sample of Management faculty of 158 out of 170. The finding indicates that Emotional intelligence was found to be positively associated with work experience
近年来,情绪智力(EI)一直是管理领域争论的热门话题。它被认为是工作表现和领导能力的成功预测指标。为了验证这一说法,我们进行了一些实证研究,并对170名管理学院中的158名进行了学术表现测试。这一发现表明,情商与工作经验呈正相关
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引用次数: 0
Level of Job Satisfaction and its Association with Demographic Variables 工作满意度水平及其与人口统计学变量的关系
Pub Date : 2013-03-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2229712
V. Thusyanthy, S. Senthilnathan
The study mainly focuses on assessing (a) the level job satisfaction and (b) whether the groups of a demographic factor have mean difference between them. The main objective of this study is to provide a basic idea of using T-test and ANOVA test. However, the survey results show that overall job satisfaction is at high level of attribute and little diluted with working environment. However, the results also show that demographic variables age, and qualification have no mean differences between the groups of each of them, except the gender, which implies that there is significant gender based difference in job satisfaction of teachers in the Eastern University, Sri Lanka.
本研究主要侧重于评估(a)工作满意度水平和(b)人口统计学因素的群体之间是否存在平均差异。本研究的主要目的是提供使用t检验和方差分析检验的基本思路。然而,调查结果显示,整体工作满意度处于高属性水平,工作环境对工作满意度的影响较小。然而,结果也显示,人口统计变量年龄、学历在各组之间没有平均差异,除了性别差异,这意味着斯里兰卡东部大学教师的工作满意度存在显著的性别差异。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
CSN: Business (Topic)
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