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CO2 utilization for H2-rich syngas production in a combined system: Bi-objective optimization and machine learning analysis 联合系统中富h2合成气生产的CO2利用:双目标优化和机器学习分析
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101588
Parisa Mojaver
This study aimed to mitigate environmental risks in energy production through the design of a system that generates high-quality syngas from a blend of poplar wood and polyethylene terephthalate waste. CO2 was employed as the gasifying agent, an approach that both eliminates nitrogen dilution in the syngas stream and offers a practical pathway for CO2 utilization from industrial emissions, thereby linking clean energy production with greenhouse gas reduction. To assess the validity and robustness of the developed models, a residual analysis was performed. Subsequently, a bi-objective optimization was conducted to simultaneously maximize cold gas efficiency and the H2/CO ratio. The reliability of the machine learning model was evaluated by comparing its predictions with the outcomes derived from thermodynamic simulations. The results demonstrated that the optimal operating range was within a gasifier agent to fuel of 1.95–2.15 and a water gas shift reactor agent to fuel of 1.75–1.90. In this range, the system achieved cold gas efficiencies between 97% and 98%, along with H2/CO ratio percentage ranging from 80% to 90%. The comparative analysis indicated that the results predicted by machine learning models showed strong agreement with those obtained from the engineering equation solver simulation software.
这项研究旨在通过设计一种系统,从杨木和聚对苯二甲酸乙二醇酯废物的混合物中产生高质量的合成气,从而减轻能源生产中的环境风险。采用二氧化碳作为气化剂,既消除了合成气流程中的氮稀释,又为工业排放的二氧化碳利用提供了切实可行的途径,从而将清洁能源生产与温室气体减排联系起来。为了评估所开发模型的有效性和稳健性,进行了残差分析。随后,进行了双目标优化,以同时最大化冷气效率和H2/CO比。通过将机器学习模型的预测结果与热力学模拟结果进行比较,评估了机器学习模型的可靠性。结果表明,气化炉药剂与燃料的比值为1.95 ~ 2.15,水煤气转移反应器药剂与燃料的比值为1.75 ~ 1.90。在此范围内,系统的冷气效率在97%至98%之间,H2/CO比率在80%至90%之间。对比分析表明,机器学习模型的预测结果与工程方程求解器仿真软件的预测结果吻合较好。
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引用次数: 0
Industry-adaptable explainable AI based methodology for forecasting electricity prices 基于行业适应性、可解释的人工智能的电价预测方法
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101583
Bence Biró , Csaba Kiss , Roland Molontay , Attila Aszódi
The COVID-19 pandemic and the volatility of the energy market triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the critical importance of the reliability and transparency of electricity price forecasting. The use of artificial intelligence models based on explainable AI has become essential for market participants to develop more efficient and informed strategies by making predictions more meaningful. Within the framework of this study, we developed artificial intelligence models based on open-source data and models for forecasting the day-ahead electricity prices in 19 European countries and analyzed the importance of different features in the models for the forecasting using SHAP values. Our results showed that for both 2015–2020 and 2020–2024 periods, the tree-based machine learning models performed best in price forecasting. By analyzing our models using SHAP, we show how much feature importance has changed from 2020 to 2024, demonstrating the increased complexity of electricity price forecasting due to the energy crisis and structural changes in the electricity system. Using Germany and France as case studies, we present detailed results for the two distinct electricity markets across both modelled periods.
2019冠状病毒病大流行和俄罗斯入侵乌克兰引发的能源市场波动凸显了电价预测的可靠性和透明度的至关重要性。使用基于可解释的人工智能的人工智能模型,对于市场参与者通过使预测更有意义来制定更有效和更明智的策略至关重要。在本研究的框架内,我们开发了基于开源数据的人工智能模型和模型,用于预测19个欧洲国家的日前电价,并分析了模型中不同特征对使用SHAP值进行预测的重要性。我们的研究结果表明,在2015-2020年和2020-2024年期间,基于树的机器学习模型在价格预测中表现最好。通过使用SHAP分析我们的模型,我们显示了从2020年到2024年特征重要性的变化,表明由于能源危机和电力系统的结构变化,电价预测的复杂性增加。以德国和法国为案例研究,我们给出了两个不同的电力市场在两个模型时期的详细结果。
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引用次数: 0
Kinetics and deactivation modelling of fibrous silica-supported Ni-Ga catalysts for COx-free hydrogen production via methane splitting 二氧化硅纤维负载Ni-Ga催化剂甲烷裂解制氢动力学及失活模拟
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101662
Rizwan Ali , Sadiya Mushtaq , Chin Kui Cheng , Mohammad Abu Haija , Maryam Khaleel , Khalid Al-Ali
Thermocatalytic methane splitting offers a viable route for hydrogen production without greenhouse gas emissions. In this study, a detailed kinetic and deactivation analysis was conducted for methane splitting over a Ni–Ga/KCC1 catalyst using a fixed-bed reactor at temperatures ranging from 600 to 650 °C and varying methane partial pressures (0.2–0.8 atm). Structure–activity correlations were explored via characterization of fresh and spent catalysts using X-ray diffraction (XRD), nitrogen physisorption, hydrogen temperature-programmed reduction (H2-TPR), Transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and thermogravimetric analysis (TGA). The intrinsic reaction kinetics revealed a reaction order of 0.56 and an activation energy of 62.16  kJ mol−1. Catalyst deactivation behavior was systematically investigated using two modeling approaches: the Power-Law Model (PLM) and the Exponential Decay Model (EDM). However, EDM provided an overall better fit compared to PLM. Based on decay model parameters (A and τ), the activity factor was quantitatively modeled as a function of methane partial pressure and reaction temperature, showing strong agreement with experimental data. This work establishes a comprehensive kinetic and deactivation framework for Ni–Ga/KCC1-catalyzed methane splitting, providing predictive insights for hydrogen production under varied process conditions.
热催化甲烷裂解为不排放温室气体的制氢提供了一条可行的途径。在本研究中,使用固定床反应器,在温度600 ~ 650℃、甲烷分压(0.2 ~ 0.8 atm)变化范围内,对Ni-Ga /KCC1催化剂上的甲烷裂解进行了详细的动力学和失活分析。通过x射线衍射(XRD)、氮气物理吸附、氢程序升温还原(H2-TPR)、透射电子显微镜(TEM)和热重分析(TGA)对新鲜催化剂和废催化剂进行了构效关系分析。反应级数为0.56,活化能为62.16 kJ mol−1。采用幂律模型(PLM)和指数衰减模型(EDM)两种建模方法系统地研究了催化剂的失活行为。然而,与PLM相比,EDM提供了更好的整体契合度。基于衰变模型参数(A和τ),将活度因子定量建模为甲烷分压和反应温度的函数,与实验数据吻合较好。这项工作建立了Ni-Ga / kcc1催化甲烷裂解的综合动力学和失活框架,为不同工艺条件下的制氢提供了预测性见解。
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引用次数: 0
Floating offshore wind in the Nordic synchronous area: Resource potential, geographical smoothing, and storage integration 北欧同步区海上浮式风电:资源潜力、地理平滑和存储整合
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101657
Izabella Simonsson, Erik Jonasson, Irina Temiz, Hans Bernhoff
The Nordic synchronous area strives to achieve a fossil-free energy system, requiring significant expansion of renewable electricity generation. While onshore wind power is technologically mature, offshore wind, particularly floating installations, offers access to stronger and more consistent wind resources in deeper waters. In this study, the potential of floating offshore wind power in the Nordic synchronous area is evaluated through a 21-year (2004–2024) wind resource analysis using ERA5 reanalysis data for 11 geographically distributed sites across several seas. A MATLAB-based model was developed to simulate the wind power generation. Simulating local compressed air energy storage at each site and centralized hydropower storage, the total losses and curtailments of the proposed system are determined. A system with both local and centralized storage demonstrates greater reliability in providing a baseload to the grid than a system with only local storage. Additionally, the geographical smoothing significantly reduces variability, with correlation between sites decaying exponentially with distance. The system has the potential to provide 187.3 TWh annually. Furthermore, the seasonal variation in the Nordic synchronous area was integrated into the model. It showed higher demand during the winter and lower demand during the summer, and demonstrated reliability in providing a baseload to the grid, with an annual output of 189.5 TWh. Floating offshore wind, combined with local storage and existing hydropower flexibility, can contribute to the Nordic synchronous area for baseload supply and enhance system reliability while expanding generation and supporting the region’s decarbonization goals.
北欧同步区努力实现无化石能源系统,这需要显著扩大可再生能源发电。虽然陆上风力发电在技术上已经成熟,但海上风力发电,特别是浮动装置,可以在更深的水域提供更强大、更稳定的风力资源。在这项研究中,通过使用ERA5再分析数据对几个海域的11个地理分布站点进行21年(2004-2024)的风资源分析,评估了北欧同步地区浮式海上风电的潜力。建立了基于matlab的风力发电仿真模型。模拟各场址局部压缩空气蓄能和集中水电蓄能,确定了系统的总损耗和总缩减量。具有本地存储和集中式存储的系统在向电网提供基本负载方面比仅具有本地存储的系统表现出更高的可靠性。此外,地理平滑显著降低了变异,站点之间的相关性随距离呈指数衰减。该系统每年可提供187.3太瓦时的电力。此外,将北欧同步区的季节变化纳入模型。它显示出冬季需求较高,夏季需求较低,并证明了为电网提供基本负荷的可靠性,年发电量为189.5太瓦时。浮动海上风电与当地储能和现有水电的灵活性相结合,可以为北欧同步地区的基本负荷供应做出贡献,提高系统可靠性,同时扩大发电量并支持该地区的脱碳目标。
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引用次数: 0
Characterization of new and used Lithium-Ion electric motorcycle batteries degradation through cycle testing and surface temperature evaluation for second-life applications 通过循环测试和二次寿命应用的表面温度评估来表征新旧锂离子电动摩托车电池的退化
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101640
Suroso , Triyogi Yuwono , Alief Wikarta , Widyastuti , Surya Putra Andrianto , Anugrah Andisetiawan , Romel Hidayat , Masytha Ramdhiny , Rifdah Adya Salsabila , Liyana Labiba Zulfa , Sikandar Aftab
The growth of electric vehicles (EVs) has driven an increase in the number of used lithium-ion batteries (LiBs). The used LiBs still have the potential to be reused in second-life battery (SLB) applications. Characterization of the used LiB performance is necessary to ensure its suitability for second-life battery (SLB) applications. This study aims to obtain the optimum C-rate for used online motorcycle taxi batteries. The analysis of the impact of C-rate on battery capacity and surface temperature was conducted over 50 cycles at C-rates of 1C, 0.5C, and 0.3C. The study results show that a high C-rate has a significant impact on the capacity and efficiency of used batteries in the charging-discharging process. The obtained data suggest that used batteries are more stable at a lower C-rate (0.3C). A high C-rate also affects the temperature increase of used batteries during charging and discharging. At a C-rate of 1C, the temperature increase can reach approximately 6 – 10 ℃, whereas at a low C-rate of 0.3C, the temperature increase is only around 2 – 3.5 ℃. To reduce safety risks in the second-life application of used batteries, it is recommended to operate at low C-rates.
电动汽车(ev)的增长推动了二手锂离子电池(LiBs)数量的增加。使用过的lib仍有可能在二次电池(SLB)应用中重复使用。对废旧锂电池性能进行表征是确保其适用于二次寿命电池(SLB)应用的必要条件。本研究的目的是获得在线摩托车出租车用电池的最佳c倍率。在1C、0.5C和0.3C的C-rate下进行了50次循环,分析了C-rate对电池容量和表面温度的影响。研究结果表明,高c率对废旧电池充放电过程中的容量和效率有显著影响。获得的数据表明,废旧电池在较低的C-rate (0.3C)下更稳定。高倍率也会影响废旧电池在充放电过程中的温升。升温速率为1C时,升温幅度可达6 ~ 10℃左右,而在低升温速率为0.3C时,升温幅度仅为2 ~ 3.5℃左右。为降低废旧电池二次使用的安全风险,建议在低倍率下运行。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid degradation prediction method for PEMFC integrating model-based degradation index extraction and Bayesian-optimized Bi-directional long short-term memory 基于模型的降解指标提取与贝叶斯优化双向长短期记忆相结合的PEMFC混合降解预测方法
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101593
Chang Ke , Kai Han , Yongzhen Wang , Rongrong Zhang , Xuanyu Wang , Ziqian Yang , Xiaolong Li
Accurately estimating the state of health of proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) and predicting the degradation trend are essential prerequisites for effective health management to enhance durability. This paper proposes a generalized hybrid degradation prediction method for PEMFC that is applicable to diverse operating conditions. Firstly, the internal polarization dynamics are characterized via the distribution of relaxation times method, and a third-order equivalent circuit model is established to quantify the polarization losses. The voltage losses are quantified using a polarization curve model. Degradation characteristic analysis from both approaches consistently reveals that deterioration in mass transfer kinetics and charge transfer kinetics is the primary cause of performance degradation. Subsequently, component-level degradation indexes are extracted based on degradation models, and a novel weighted fusion method is proposed to construct a hybrid degradation index characterizing the overall degradation state of PEMFC. Finally, the Bayesian-optimized Bi-directional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) model is employed to predict PEMFC degradation trend under various prediction horizons, enabling accurate estimation of remaining useful life (RUL). The results show that the optimized Bi-LSTM achieves higher RUL estimation accuracy than the baseline Bi-LSTM, and the hybrid method outperforms the AutoML-based method and the cascaded echo state network reported in previous studies. For the first stack, the estimation error remains below 7.78%, with a minimum error of 0.50%. For the second stack, the estimation error does not exceed 12.28% overall and drops below 10% when the prediction horizon is within 300 h, with a minimum error of 2.67%.
准确估计质子交换膜燃料电池(PEMFC)的健康状态并预测其降解趋势是进行有效健康管理以提高耐久性的必要前提。提出了一种适用于多种工况的PEMFC混合降解广义预测方法。首先,利用弛豫时间分布法对内部极化动力学进行表征,建立三阶等效电路模型量化极化损耗;用极化曲线模型对电压损失进行了量化。两种方法的降解特性分析一致表明,传质动力学和电荷传递动力学的恶化是性能退化的主要原因。随后,基于降解模型提取组分级降解指标,并提出一种新的加权融合方法,构建表征PEMFC整体降解状态的混合降解指标。最后,利用贝叶斯优化的双向长短期记忆(Bi-LSTM)模型预测不同预测层下PEMFC的退化趋势,实现对剩余使用寿命(RUL)的准确估计。结果表明,优化后的Bi-LSTM比基线Bi-LSTM具有更高的RUL估计精度,混合方法优于基于automl的方法和以往研究的级联回波状态网络。对于第一叠,估计误差保持在7.78%以下,最小误差为0.50%。对于第二叠,总体估计误差不超过12.28%,在300 h内,估计误差降至10%以下,最小误差为2.67%。
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引用次数: 0
A quasi-2D multiphase flow proton exchange membrane fuel cell model for efficient distributed cell state prediction 基于准二维多相流质子交换膜燃料电池模型的高效分布式电池状态预测
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101584
Florian Altmann , Dominik Kuzdas , Dominik Murschenhofer , Johanna Bartlechner , Christoph Hametner , Stefan Jakubek , Stefan Braun
To enhance the durability and performance of proton exchange membrane fuel cells, it is essential to capture both spatial and temporal variations of internal states during dynamic operation. While existing reduced-order models (0D/1D) lack spatial resolution, 3D models are often too computationally expensive for transient simulations. To bridge this gap, we present a quasi-2D, time-dependent multiphase model capable of predicting distributed cell states with high computational efficiency. The model accounts for key transport phenomena, including convection, multicomponent diffusion, capillary effects, and membrane water dynamics via electro-osmotic drag and diffusion. It also includes nitrogen crossover, finite-rate sorption/desorption at membrane interfaces, and heat generation from electrochemical reactions, proton conduction, and phase change. A linearisation scheme combined with Chebyshev collocation ensures low computational cost and near real-time capability. Validation against high-resolution 3D computational fluid dynamics simulations confirms the model’s accuracy in predicting polarisation curves, gas species distributions, liquid water accumulation, and temperature profiles. Dynamic simulations under load transients further demonstrate its ability to capture key physical processes, underpinning the importance of spatially resolved water transport. By enabling fast and accurate simulations of both steady-state and dynamic fuel cell behaviour, the proposed model supports extensive parametric studies, control system development, and predictive diagnostics. Its computational efficiency makes it a valuable tool for improving fuel cell efficiency, longevity, and system-level control strategies.
为了提高质子交换膜燃料电池的耐久性和性能,有必要在动态运行过程中捕捉到内部状态的时空变化。虽然现有的降阶模型(0D/1D)缺乏空间分辨率,但对于瞬态模拟来说,3D模型的计算成本往往太高。为了弥补这一差距,我们提出了一种准2d,时间相关的多相模型,能够以高计算效率预测分布式细胞状态。该模型考虑了关键的输运现象,包括对流、多组分扩散、毛细效应和通过电渗透阻力和扩散的膜水动力学。它还包括氮交叉,膜界面上的有限速率吸附/解吸,电化学反应,质子传导和相变产生的热量。线性化方案与切比雪夫配置相结合,保证了较低的计算成本和接近实时的性能。高分辨率3D计算流体动力学模拟验证了该模型在预测极化曲线、气体种类分布、液态水聚集和温度剖面方面的准确性。负载瞬态下的动态模拟进一步证明了其捕捉关键物理过程的能力,支持了空间分辨水输送的重要性。通过快速准确地模拟稳态和动态燃料电池的行为,该模型支持广泛的参数研究、控制系统开发和预测诊断。它的计算效率使其成为提高燃料电池效率、寿命和系统级控制策略的有价值的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Chilled water-based hybrid cooling solution for data centers: A comprehensive survey of technologies, developments, and regenerative energy transitions 数据中心的冷冻水基混合冷却解决方案:技术、发展和可再生能源转换的综合调查
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101612
Majid J. Almheiri , Haris M. Khalid , Abdulla Ismail , Asif Gulraiz , Zafar Said
Data centers face new cooling challenges due to the growth of digital infrastructure as well the rise in computing needs. This makes it urgent to find more sustainable ways to manage heat. To address this challenge, this proposed study surveys the chilled water-based hybrid cooling systems as a practical way to meet higher cooling demands while being environmentally responsible. To achieve this, the proposed research uses several methods: 1) it reviews cooling basics, 2) looks at recent technology, 3) studies control systems, and 4) examines real-world case studies. By reviewing current literature and industry examples, the proposed study highlights key performance and sustainability measures that could show the benefits of this choice towards hybrid cooling. Results show that combining water and air cooling with smart sensors, the Internet of Things (IoT), and artificial intelligence (AI) control can greatly improve energy efficiency. This would also make operations more resilient to climate change. The utilization of advanced chillers (chilled water-based hybrid cooling), heat exchangers, and phase-change materials helps transfer heat more efficiently, while using renewable energy can lower carbon emissions. Though there are challenges, such as saving water and working with older systems, the long-term savings and environmental gains make these hybrid systems more important for sustainable data centers. This proposed paper also offers useful insights for industry professionals who are working to adopt greener cooling solutions while keeping data centers reliable and high-performing.
由于数字基础设施的增长以及计算需求的增加,数据中心面临着新的冷却挑战。这就迫切需要找到更可持续的方式来管理热量。为了应对这一挑战,本研究将冷冻水基混合冷却系统作为一种实用的方式来满足更高的冷却需求,同时对环境负责。为了实现这一目标,拟议的研究使用了几种方法:1)回顾冷却基础知识,2)着眼于最新技术,3)研究控制系统,以及4)检查现实世界的案例研究。通过回顾当前的文献和行业实例,该研究强调了关键性能和可持续性措施,可以显示选择混合冷却的好处。结果表明,将水冷、风冷与智能传感器、物联网(IoT)和人工智能(AI)控制相结合,可以大大提高能源效率。这也将使企业更能适应气候变化。利用先进的冷却器(冷冻水基混合冷却)、热交换器和相变材料有助于更有效地传递热量,同时使用可再生能源可以降低碳排放。尽管存在一些挑战,比如节水和使用旧系统,但长期的节约和环境收益使得这些混合系统对于可持续的数据中心更加重要。本文还为正在努力采用更环保的冷却解决方案的行业专业人士提供了有用的见解,同时保持数据中心的可靠性和高性能。
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引用次数: 0
Design and utilisation of a multi-criteria decision support tool to analyse power-to-heat technologies for advancing industrial electrification 设计和利用多标准决策支持工具来分析推进工业电气化的动力到热技术
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101631
Arman Ashabi , Mohamed Mostafa , Andriy Hryshchenko , Ken Bruton , Dominic T.J. O’sullivan
Transitioning industrial processes towards sustainability necessitates robust decision-support solutions. This paper introduces FlexiHeat-DST, a cutting-edge web-based tool dedicated to power-to-heat applications. The platform comprises three core functionalities: technology selection, multi-criteria decision analysis, and scenario exploration, offering an integrated approach to identifying optimal electrification pathways. It incorporates eight techno-economic and environmental parameters within a normalization framework to ensure fair comparisons, while an intuitive dashboard allows stakeholders to readily customize applications, adjust parameters, and dynamically visualize outcomes. A practical validation in the steel industry compared four electric-based alternatives for replacing fossil-fuel-intensive furnaces. The results indicated Induction and Resistance furnaces as top performers, scoring 0.669 and 0.578, followed by Plasma and Electric Arc furnaces, which scored 0.500 and 0.367, respectively. Scenario analyses revealed that while Induction and Resistance furnaces excelled under criteria such as technology maturity and installation simplicity, Electric Arc and Plasma furnaces were superior in scenarios prioritising efficiency and decarbonisation. In addition, sensitivity analyses recognised strong correlations between electrification stages, installation complexity, and overall technology rankings. Also, technologies superior in efficiency and carbon reduction typically incurred higher expenditures, adversely affecting their overall scores due to lower ratings in other critical areas such as Technology Readiness Level and lifespan. Finally, the analysis of energy costs and carbon emissions indicated that, despite significant environmental advantages, electrification remains economically challenging under prevailing electricity pricing structures. This underscores the necessity for strategic policy shifts and comprehensive decarbonisation plans within industrial sectors to achieve economically viable and efficient heat decarbonisation.
将工业过程向可持续性转变需要强大的决策支持解决方案。本文介绍了FlexiHeat-DST,这是一种致力于电到热应用的基于网络的尖端工具。该平台包括三个核心功能:技术选择、多标准决策分析和场景探索,提供了一种确定最佳电气化路径的综合方法。它将八个技术经济和环境参数纳入标准化框架,以确保公平比较,而直观的仪表板允许利益相关者随时定制应用程序,调整参数并动态可视化结果。钢铁行业的一项实际验证比较了四种替代化石燃料密集型熔炉的电力替代方案。结果显示,感应炉和电阻炉表现最好,得分分别为0.669和0.578,其次是等离子炉和电弧炉,得分分别为0.500和0.367。情景分析显示,虽然感应炉和电阻炉在技术成熟度和安装简单性等标准方面表现出色,但电弧炉和等离子炉在优先考虑效率和脱碳的情景中表现优异。此外,敏感性分析发现,电气化阶段、安装复杂性和整体技术排名之间存在很强的相关性。此外,在效率和碳减排方面的技术优势通常会招致更高的支出,由于在其他关键领域(如技术就绪水平和寿命)的评分较低,这对他们的总体得分产生了不利影响。最后,对能源成本和碳排放的分析表明,尽管电气化具有显著的环境优势,但在现行的电价结构下,电气化在经济上仍然具有挑战性。这强调了战略政策转变和工业部门全面脱碳计划的必要性,以实现经济上可行和高效的热脱碳。
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引用次数: 0
Dual-porosity model for harmonic pulse testing in fractured geothermal reservoir 裂缝性地热储层谐波脉冲测试双孔隙度模型
IF 7.6 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101624
Peter A. Fokker , Eloisa Salina Borello , Francesca Verga , Dario Viberti
Well testing and conventional Pressure Transient Analysis (PTA) are fundamental and well-established methodologies for characterizing well and reservoir parameters. However, the applicability of PTA is limited during production or injection operations, since it requires a shut-in of the tested well, and it is significantly affected by interferences from neighboring wells.
In previous works, we proposed, implemented, and validated against real data a methodology called Harmonic Pulse Testing (HPT). HPT is complementary to PTA. By specifically deploying the periodicity of rate and pressure signals, it has been designed to be applied during ongoing field operations.
In this work, we present a new analytical solution for HPT in naturally fractured reservoirs. The proposed solution is also applied to geothermal systems, as it is coupled with a radial composite model capable of approximating the thermal front. The model has been validated against well-established analytical and numerical models under different scenarios. The calculation steps for converting the numerical dual-porosity model into storativity ratio and inter-porosity flow coefficient are also provided.
The results of a validation exercise demonstrate that our model is robust against potential interference from other wells and allows the detection of the thermal front. The methodology can therefore be successfully applied during ongoing operations in naturally fractured geothermal reservoirs.
试井和常规压力瞬变分析(PTA)是表征井和储层参数的基本和成熟的方法。然而,在生产或注入作业中,PTA的适用性受到限制,因为它需要关井,并且受邻近井干扰的影响很大。在以前的工作中,我们提出、实现并验证了一种称为谐波脉冲测试(HPT)的方法。HPT是PTA的补充。通过特别部署周期性的速率和压力信号,它被设计用于正在进行的现场作业。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种新的分析方法,用于天然裂缝性储层的高温高压测试。所提出的解决方案也适用于地热系统,因为它与能够近似热锋的径向复合模型相结合。该模型已在不同情景下对已建立的解析和数值模型进行了验证。给出了将双孔隙度数值模型转化为储气比和孔隙间流动系数的计算步骤。验证结果表明,我们的模型对来自其他井的潜在干扰具有鲁棒性,并且可以检测热锋。因此,该方法可以成功地应用于自然裂缝性地热储层的持续作业中。
{"title":"Dual-porosity model for harmonic pulse testing in fractured geothermal reservoir","authors":"Peter A. Fokker ,&nbsp;Eloisa Salina Borello ,&nbsp;Francesca Verga ,&nbsp;Dario Viberti","doi":"10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101624","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecmx.2026.101624","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Well testing and conventional Pressure Transient Analysis (PTA) are fundamental and well-established methodologies for characterizing well and reservoir parameters. However, the applicability of PTA is limited during production or injection operations, since it requires a shut-in of the tested well, and it is significantly affected by interferences from neighboring wells.</div><div>In previous works, we proposed, implemented, and validated against real data a methodology called Harmonic Pulse Testing (HPT). HPT is complementary to PTA. By specifically deploying the periodicity of rate and pressure signals, it has been designed to be applied during ongoing field operations.</div><div>In this work, we present a new analytical solution for HPT in naturally fractured reservoirs. The proposed solution is also applied to geothermal systems, as it is coupled with a radial composite model capable of approximating the thermal front. The model has been validated against well-established analytical and numerical models under different scenarios. The calculation steps for converting the numerical dual-porosity model into storativity ratio and inter-porosity flow coefficient are also provided.</div><div>The results of a validation exercise demonstrate that our model is robust against potential interference from other wells and allows the detection of the thermal front. The methodology can therefore be successfully applied during ongoing operations in naturally fractured geothermal reservoirs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":37131,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management-X","volume":"30 ","pages":"Article 101624"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2026-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146080232","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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Energy Conversion and Management-X
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