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Solar irradiance component separation benchmarking: The critical role of dynamically-constrained sky conditions 太阳辐照分量分离基准:动态受限天空条件的关键作用
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114678
José A. Ruiz-Arias , Christian A. Gueymard

The decomposition of global horizontal irradiance into its direct and diffuse components is critical in many applications. To guarantee accurate results in practice, the existing separation techniques need to be validated against reference ground measurements from a variety of stations. Here, four versions of the recent GISPLIT model are compared to a strong benchmark constituted from nine leading models of the literature. The validation database includes ≈24 million data points and is constituted of one calendar year of 1-min high-quality data from 118 research-class world stations covering all continents and all five major Köppen-Geiger climates. The results are analyzed with various statistical metrics to be as generalizable and explicative as possible. It is found that even the simpler GISPLIT version reduces the mean site RMSE of the best benchmark model by ≈11 % for the direct component and ≈17 % for the diffuse component. The improvement reaches ≈17 % and ≈25 %, respectively, when using the best GISPLIT version. The improvements are more important in cases of highly variable sky cloudiness, per the CAELUS sky classification scheme. A ranking analysis shows that all four versions of GISPLIT ranked higher than the benchmark models, and that the use of machine learning significantly improves the separation performance. In contrast, only marginal improvements are obtained through preliminary conditioning by Köppen-Geiger climate class. Overall, it is concluded that GISPLITv3, which is not dependent on climate class but makes use of machine learning for the most challenging sky conditions, can be asserted as the new high-performance quasi-universal separation model.

在许多应用中,将全球水平辐照度分解为直接辐照度和漫射辐照度至关重要。为了保证实际结果的准确性,现有的分离技术需要根据不同站点的参考地面测量结果进行验证。在这里,最新 GISPLIT 模型的四个版本与文献中九个主要模型组成的强大基准进行了比较。验证数据库包括≈2400 万个数据点,由 118 个世界级研究台站提供的一个日历年的 1 分钟高质量数据组成,涵盖各大洲和所有五大柯本-盖革气候区。分析结果采用了各种统计指标,以尽可能具有普遍性和解释性。结果发现,即使是较简单的 GISPLIT 版本,也能将最佳基准模型的平均站点均方根误差(RMSE)直接部分降低≈11%,扩散部分降低≈17%。在使用最佳 GISPLIT 版本时,改进幅度分别达到 ≈17 % 和 ≈25 %。根据 CAELUS 天空分类方案,在天空云量变化很大的情况下,改进幅度更大。排名分析表明,所有四个 GISPLIT 版本的排名都高于基准模型,而且机器学习的使用显著提高了分离性能。相比之下,通过 Köppen-Geiger 气候类别的初步调节只能获得微弱的改进。总之,结论是 GISPLITv3 不依赖于气候类别,而是利用机器学习来应对最具挑战性的天空条件,可以断言它是新的高性能准通用分离模型。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning for advanced characterisation of silicon photovoltaics: A comprehensive review of techniques and applications 用于硅光电高级表征的机器学习:技术与应用综述
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114617
Yoann Buratti , Gaia M.N. Javier , Zubair Abdullah-Vetter , Priya Dwivedi, Ziv Hameiri

Accurate and efficient characterisation techniques are essential to ensure the optimal performance and reliability of photovoltaic devices, especially given the large number of silicon solar cells produced each day. To unlock valuable insights from the amount of data generated during the characterisation process, researchers have increasingly turned to different machine learning (ML) techniques. In this review, advances in ML applications for silicon photovoltaic (PV) characterisation from 2018 to 2023, including device investigation, process optimisation, and manufacturing line assessment are examined. Additionally, studies on deep learning techniques for luminescence-based measurements, such as defect classification, detection, and segmentation, which can help manufacturers identify potential reliability issues are explored. Despite the abundance of ML applications, it is emphasised that the lack of both publicly available datasets and the uniform use of ML metrics poses a significant challenge for researchers to benchmark their frameworks and achieve consistent and accurate results. In advancing ML applications in PV, future research should focus on improving model interpretability, balancing speed and accuracy, understanding computational demands, and integrating niche applications into a unified framework. Lastly, industry involvement and interdisciplinary collaboration among experts in solar energy, data science, and engineering are vital in tailoring ML solutions and enhancing innovation in addressing various challenges in the PV field.

准确高效的表征技术对于确保光伏设备的最佳性能和可靠性至关重要,尤其是考虑到每天生产的硅太阳能电池数量巨大。为了从表征过程中产生的大量数据中获得有价值的见解,研究人员越来越多地转向不同的机器学习(ML)技术。在这篇综述中,研究了 2018 年至 2023 年硅光伏(PV)表征的 ML 应用进展,包括设备调查、工艺优化和生产线评估。此外,还探讨了基于发光测量的深度学习技术研究,如缺陷分类、检测和分割,这些技术可以帮助制造商识别潜在的可靠性问题。尽管有大量的 ML 应用,但需要强调的是,缺乏公开可用的数据集和统一使用的 ML 指标,对研究人员基准测试其框架并获得一致、准确的结果构成了重大挑战。在推进光伏领域的 ML 应用方面,未来的研究应侧重于提高模型的可解释性、平衡速度和准确性、了解计算需求以及将利基应用集成到统一框架中。最后,太阳能、数据科学和工程领域专家的行业参与和跨学科合作对于定制 ML 解决方案和加强创新以应对光伏领域的各种挑战至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Defining characteristics of peer-to-peer energy trading, transactive energy, and community self-consumption: A review of literature and expert perspectives 界定点对点能源交易、交互式能源和社区自我消费的特征:文献综述和专家观点
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114672
Anna Gorbatcheva , Nicole Watson , Alexandra Schneiders, David Shipworth, Michael J. Fell

To facilitate a successful integration of distributed energy resources into the electricity generation mix, new forms of energy markets must be considered. Concepts such as Peer-to-peer energy trading (P2P), transactive energy (TE) and community/collective self-consumption (CSC) are frequently mentioned as solutions to this challenge. Despite increasing interest from industry, policy, and academia, the field lacks a shared understanding of this class of models. This need is addressed by presenting sets of shared and distinct characteristics which define P2P, TE and CSC. Our analysis is based on a series of expert group interviews with regulators, industry, and academics across 13 countries, and a systematic and targeted literature review of 133 papers. Findings show that P2P/TE/CSC models can be described as sub-markets that operate within or alongside traditional energy markets and enable trading or sharing of energy using an automated approach. They focus on promoting and supporting local energy generation and consumption using price negotiation mechanisms that reflect the aims of the market. The paper also presents sets of characteristics which differentiate P2P, TE, and CSC from one another and sets out guiding definitions to be used as a reference point. The main differences between these models stem from the goal they are trying to achieve and the contexts they are deployed in. Findings from this analysis can support development of a shared understanding of this class of models across multiple disciplinary perspectives and applications.

为促进将分布式能源成功融入发电组合,必须考虑新形式的能源市场。点对点能源交易 (P2P)、交互式能源 (TE) 和社区/集体自我消费 (CSC) 等概念作为应对这一挑战的解决方案经常被提及。尽管行业、政策和学术界对此越来越感兴趣,但该领域对这类模式缺乏共同的理解。为了满足这一需求,我们提出了一系列界定 P2P、TE 和 CSC 的共同特征和不同特征。我们的分析基于对 13 个国家的监管机构、行业和学术界进行的一系列专家组访谈,以及对 133 篇论文进行的系统性和有针对性的文献综述。研究结果表明,P2P/TE/CSC 模式可被描述为在传统能源市场内或与传统能源市场并行运作的子市场,通过自动化方法实现能源交易或共享。它们的重点是利用反映市场目标的价格谈判机制,促进和支持本地能源生产和消费。本文还介绍了 P2P、TE 和 CSC 的不同特点,并提出了指导性定义作为参考。这些模式之间的主要差异源于它们试图实现的目标和部署的环境。分析结果有助于从多个学科视角和应用领域共同理解这一类模式。
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引用次数: 0
Eco-labels as a communication and policy tool: A comprehensive review of academic literature and global label initiatives 作为交流和政策工具的生态标签:对学术文献和全球标签倡议的全面回顾
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114708
Tomoaki Nakaishi , Andrew Chapman

Eco-labels are one potential tool to facilitate communication between producers and consumers and to promote environmental and social policies. The main objective of this study is to investigate the successes and limitations of eco-labels through a comprehensive review of the academic literature and the label programs themselves, and to discuss the potential and directions for future academic research and eco-labels. The initial literature review examined the definition, characteristics, objectives, successes, and challenges of eco-labels and identified essential elements of successful labeling, such as consumer awareness and acceptance. The subsequent review of label programs examined the characteristics and trends of 456 label programs in 199 countries based on a large eco-label database. Several additional analyses comprehensively synthesized the results of these two studies and provided specific suggestions for future academic research and label programs. In conclusion, at this time there is limited evidence that eco-labels can serve as effective communication and policy tools. However, there also remain significant improvement opportunities for many label programs to realize their potential.

生态标签是促进生产者和消费者之间的沟通以及推动环境和社会政策的一种潜在工具。本研究的主要目的是通过对学术文献和标签项目本身的全面回顾,研究生态标签的成功之处和局限性,并讨论未来学术研究和生态标签的潜力和方向。最初的文献综述研究了生态标签的定义、特点、目标、成功经验和挑战,并确定了成功标签的基本要素,如消费者的意识和接受程度。随后的标签计划综述以大型生态标签数据库为基础,研究了 199 个国家 456 个标签计划的特点和趋势。另外几项分析全面综合了这两项研究的结果,并对未来的学术研究和标签计划提出了具体建议。总之,目前有有限的证据表明,生态标签可以作为有效的沟通和政策工具。然而,许多标签项目仍有很大的改进机会,以实现其潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Green separation of azeotropes in dimethyl carbonate synthesis by transesterification 通过酯交换反应绿色分离碳酸二甲酯合成过程中的共沸物
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114687
Min Yan, Yuanyuan Shen, Shuai Wang, Zhaoyou Zhu, Peizhe Cui, Yinglong Wang

Dimethyl carbonate, a pivotal organic solvent, has experienced significant growth in consumption and an expansion of production capacity in China in recent years. The primary industrial production methods, including transesterification, carbonylation, and urea alcoholysis, are accompanied by dedicated production facilities. This study conducts a comparative assessment of these processes, scrutinizing their technical merits and associated challenges to provide strategic guidance for dimethyl carbonate production within the nation. The review provides a comprehensive summary of dimethyl carbonate synthesis methods. Focusing on the separation of azeotropes during dimethyl carbonate synthesis via transesterification, it suggests the potential integration of conventional energy-saving technology with pervaporation separation to separate dimethyl carbonate and methanol. The review culminates in a concise summary and analysis of forthcoming prospects and obstacles inherent to this hybrid strategy. Realizing the effective integration of pervaporation technology with established energy-saving techniques for the efficient and ecologically sustainable separation necessitates further exploration and practical implementation.

碳酸二甲酯是一种重要的有机溶剂,近年来在中国的消费量大幅增长,产能也在不断扩大。主要的工业生产方法包括酯交换、羰基化和尿素醇解,并配有专门的生产设施。本研究对这些工艺进行了比较评估,仔细研究了它们的技术优势和相关挑战,为国内碳酸二甲酯生产提供战略指导。综述全面总结了碳酸二甲酯的合成方法。它重点介绍了通过酯交换反应合成碳酸二甲酯过程中的共沸物分离,并提出了将传统节能技术与渗透汽化分离技术相结合以分离碳酸二甲酯和甲醇的可能性。综述最后对这一混合战略即将面临的前景和固有障碍进行了简明扼要的总结和分析。要实现渗透蒸发技术与现有节能技术的有效整合,以实现高效和生态可持续的分离,还需要进一步的探索和实际应用。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrogen storage systems performance and design parameters using response surface methods and sensitivity analysis 利用响应面方法和敏感性分析确定储氢系统的性能和设计参数
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114628
Saurabh Tiwari , Akshay Kumar , Nandlal Gupta , Gaurav Tiwari , Pratibha Sharma

Design

Design of metal hydride-based hydrogen storage reactors is often performed using numerical/experimental modelling which is computationally/economically difficult. This paper investigates the applicability of Response Surface Methodology (RSM) coupled Local/Global Sensitivity Analysis (L/GSA) to investigate – i) the applicability of advanced RSMs in predicting the responses for storage systems efficiently, ii) the applicability of advanced RSMs to perform L/GSA to identify the sensitive input design parameters based on their effect on the Outputs of Interests (OIs), i.e., reaction fraction (i.e., C) and bed temperature (i.e., T), and iii) the dependence of importance ranking of design parameters on the employed L/GSA methodology. The study is conducted in two stages. In the first stage, the most accurate RSM was identified among fourteen traditional and advanced RSMs, i.e., radial basis, kriging, quadratic, moving least square, support vector machine etc., employing a measure of precision, i.e., Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE). RSMs were constructed based on the values of OIs estimated using finite element simulation using COMSOL software for random realizations of inputs generated via Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS). In the second stage, the importance ranking of design parameters was estimated for both OIs using six different L/GSAs based on the input-output relationships estimated in stage one. All the codes of RSMs and L/GSAs were written and validated in MATLAB. Finite element simulations of the random realizations were performed using COMSOL software. For the present study, NSEs of the considered RSMs were ranging between 0.6262-0.8544 and 0.4652–0.8081 for C and T respectively, indicating the importance of selection of appropriate RSM. RBF-augmented Compact-I and kriging were the most accurate RSMs with NSEs approximately 10%–20 % higher to those of frequently used polynomial RSM. Time (t) and mass of hydrogen to be stored (MH) were the most; and external temperature (Text) and porosity (E) were the least sensitive inputs corresponding to C and T, with differences of 80–90 % in the sensitivity indices respectively. The ranking prediction was highly dependent upon the employed L/GSA methodology, with Morris's screening observed to be the least accurate. The RSM methods described in this study help to design and investigate the metal hydride reactors for various a

基于金属氢化物的储氢反应器的设计通常使用数值/实验建模,这在计算/经济上都很困难。本文研究了响应面方法 (RSM) 结合局部/全局敏感性分析 (L/GSA) 的适用性,以调查 - i) 高级 RSM 在有效预测储氢系统响应方面的适用性,ii) 高级 RSM 在执行 L/GSA 方面的适用性,以根据其对相关输出 (OIs) 的影响确定敏感的输入设计参数,即反应分数(即 C)和床层温度(即 C)、(iii) 设计参数的重要性排序与所采用的 L/GSA 方法的关系。研究分两个阶段进行。在第一阶段,从 14 种传统和先进的 RSM(即径向基、克里金、二次方、移动最小平方、支持向量机等)中确定了最精确的 RSM,并采用了一种精度测量方法,即纳什-苏特克利夫效率(NSE)。RSM 是根据使用 COMSOL 软件对拉丁超立方采样(LHS)生成的随机输入现实进行有限元模拟估算的 OIs 值构建的。在第二阶段,根据第一阶段估算的输入输出关系,使用六种不同的 L/GSA 对两个 OI 估算设计参数的重要性排序。所有 RSM 和 L/GSA 的代码都是在 MATLAB 中编写和验证的。使用 COMSOL 软件对随机实现进行了有限元模拟。在本研究中,所考虑的 RSM 对 C 和 T 的 NSE 分别为 0.6262-0.8544 和 0.4652-0.8081 之间,这表明选择合适的 RSM 非常重要。RBF-augmented Compact-I 和克里金法是最精确的 RSM,其净现值比常用的多项式 RSM 高出约 10%-20%。与 C 和 T 相对应,时间 (t) 和待存储氢的质量 (MH) 是最敏感的输入;外部温度 (Text) 和孔隙度 (E) 是最不敏感的输入,敏感度指数分别相差 80%-90% 。排序预测在很大程度上取决于所采用的 L/GSA 方法,其中莫里斯筛选法的准确性最低。本研究中描述的 RSM 方法有助于设计和研究各种应用(空间加热、氢存储、车辆应用存储、金属氢化物压缩机)的金属氢化物反应器,而无需对系统进行详细的数学建模。所提出的方法可以极大地帮助设计人员在对系统进行物理建模时只关注(或改变)敏感输入,以提高系统性能。这种灵敏度分析有助于找出最先进的灵敏度分析方法,可用于找出最灵敏的参数,根据这些参数的排名进行更改,以达到特定应用所需的金属氢化物反应器性能。先进的 RSM 可以在有限的数值模拟基础上提供精确的输入-输出关系,从而减少 L/GSA 中的数学工作量,帮助快速确定这些敏感输入。这将大大节省工业界在物理建模/数值模拟方面所需的资源和时间,而这些资源和时间本可以用于研究非敏感输入。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping circular economy practices for steel, cement, glass, brick, insulation, and wood – A review for climate mitigation modeling 绘制钢铁、水泥、玻璃、砖、隔热材料和木材的循环经济实践图--气候减缓建模回顾
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114697
Ana T. Lima , Gunvor M. Kirkelund , Zheng Lu , Ruichang Mao , Wolfgang Kunther , Carsten Rode , Simon Slabik , Annette Hafner , Husam Sameer , Hans H. Dürr , Martina Flörke , Benjamin H. Lowe , Davide Aloini , Pierluigi Zerbino , Sofia G. Simoes

Circular economy (CE) practices pave the way for the construction sector to become less material- and carbon-intensive. However, for CE quantification by climate mitigation models, one must first identify the CE practices along a product (or material) value chain. In this review, CE practices are mapped for the value chain of 6 construction materials to understand how these practices influence and can be considered in climate mitigation modelling. The main sub-categories of steel, cement, glass, clay-brick, insulation materials, and wood were used to identify which Rs are currently addressed at the lab and industrial scales: refuse, reduce, rethink, repair, reuse, remanufacture, refurbish, repurpose, recycle, and recover. The CE practices were reviewed using scientific repositories and grey literature, validated by European-wide stakeholders, and mapped across the life-cycle stages of the six materials – extraction, manufacturing, use, and end-of-life (EoL). The mapping was limited to the manufacturing and EoL stages because materials could be identified at these stages (the extraction phase pertains to resources, and the use phase to a product, for example, buildings). All reviewed CE practices identified at the industrial scale were quantified at the European level. For example, EoL reinforcement steel is 1–11 % reused and 70–95 % recycled; manufacturing CEM I is up to 60 % reduced; remanufacturing flat glass is 26 % remanufactured while less than 5 % EoL flat glass is recycled. A major barrier to closed-loop recycling is the need for sorting and separation technologies. Open-loop recycling synergies are found at the industrial scale between, for example, flat glass and glass wool value chains. Climate mitigation models are proposed to be augmented to include these practices requiring an explicit link between building use and the other construction materials' value chain stages.

循环经济(CE)实践为建筑行业降低材料和碳密集度铺平了道路。然而,要通过气候减缓模型对循环经济进行量化,首先必须确定产品(或材料)价值链上的循环经济实践。在本综述中,我们对 6 种建筑材料价值链上的碳排放权实践进行了映射,以了解这些实践如何影响气候减缓模型,以及如何在气候减缓模型中加以考虑。通过钢材、水泥、玻璃、粘土砖、绝缘材料和木材这几个主要子类别,确定了目前在实验室和工业规模上所采取的应对措施:拒绝、减少、反思、修理、再利用、再制造、翻新、再利用、再循环和回收。利用科学资料库和灰色文献对 CE 实践进行了审查,由全欧洲的利益相关者进行了验证,并在六种材料的生命周期各阶段--提取、制造、使用和报废(EoL)--进行了映射。绘制仅限于制造阶段和生命周期终结阶段,因为可以在这些阶段确定材料(提取阶段涉及资源,使用阶段涉及产品,例如建筑物)。所有经审查确定的工业规模的 CE 实践都在欧洲层面进行了量化。例如,EoL 钢筋的再利用率为 1-11%,再循环率为 70-95%;CEM I 的生产量最多可减少 60%;平板玻璃的再制造率为 26%,而 EoL 平板玻璃的再循环率不到 5%。闭环回收的一个主要障碍是需要分类和分离技术。在平板玻璃和玻璃棉价值链等工业规模上,可以发现开环回收的协同作用。建议对气候减缓模型进行扩充,以纳入这些需要在建筑使用和其他建筑材料价值链阶段之间建立明确联系的做法。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling centrifugal-granulation-assisted thermal energy recovery from molten slag at high temperatures 高温熔渣离心造粒辅助热能回收建模
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114702
Junjun Wu , Hong Wang , Xun Zhu , Qiang Liao

It remains a longstanding challenge to recover the waste heat from molten slags in pursuit of lower energy and carbon intensity in the metallurgical industry. To tap the heat from molten slag, the enabling technology i.e. centrifugal-granulation-assisted thermal energy recovery (CGATER) has been proposed and evolved from the laboratory concept into technological embodiment. Further development and deployment of CGATER necessitate a thorough, informative understanding of the multiscale CGATER physics; this is often enabled by modelling. Yet, the availability of informative CGATER physics is very limited due to the insufficiency and complexity of CGATER models. It is thus nontrivial to understand the current CGATER models and most importantly, the challenges and opportunities in future CGATER development. Herein, we first introduce the fundamental physics of CGATER. Second, we provide an overview of the CGATER models in the recent decade. Finally, we further analyze the missing pieces in current CGATER models and suggest future development of the CGATER models. According to the authors’ opinion, revisiting current CGATER models is essential. In the future, joint efforts from academia and industry are advocated to develop multiscale, multiphase CGATER models which are expected to accelerate the large-scale implementation of CGATER in the metallurgical industry.

为降低冶金工业的能耗和碳强度,从熔渣中回收余热仍是一项长期挑战。为了从熔渣中获取热量,人们提出了离心造粒辅助热能回收技术(CGATER),并将其从实验室概念发展为技术实施。要进一步开发和应用 CGATER,就必须对 CGATER 的多尺度物理特性有透彻、翔实的了解;这通常需要通过建模来实现。然而,由于 CGATER 模型的不足和复杂性,能提供的 CGATER 物理信息非常有限。因此,了解当前的 CGATER 模型并非易事,最重要的是了解 CGATER 未来发展的挑战和机遇。在此,我们首先介绍 CGATER 的基本物理原理。其次,我们概述了近十年来的 CGATER 模型。最后,我们进一步分析了当前 CGATER 模型中缺失的部分,并对 CGATER 模型的未来发展提出了建议。作者认为,重新审视当前的 CGATER 模型至关重要。未来,学术界和工业界将共同努力开发多尺度、多相 CGATER 模型,这有望加速 CGATER 在冶金工业中的大规模应用。
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引用次数: 0
Comprehensive analysis of carbon emission reduction technologies (CRTs) in China's coal-fired power sector: A bottom-up approach 全面分析中国燃煤发电行业的碳减排技术(CRTs):自下而上的方法
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114696
Xutao Wang , Xinxu Zhao , Yang Yang , Yuhao Shao , Li Zhang , Yu Ni , Jun Pan , Yongxin Zhang , Chenghang Zheng , Xiang Gao

Carbon dioxide (CO2) reduction technologies (CRTs) in the coal-fired power sector play an imperative role in the mitigation of environmental challenges and reducing CO2 emissions to help achieve the 2 °C target. However, a compelling necessity persists for a unified framework that can effectively and accurately estimate the costs and potentials associated with CRTs, arising from the diversity of technologies and unit types. Therefore, this study employs a bottom-up approach to analyze the costs and potential of 25 advanced CRTs in the coal-fired power sector, excluding CO2 capture, utilization and storage (CCUS), across 19 types of coal-fired power units. This analysis amalgamates the CO2 reduction supply curve (CRSC) approach with levelized cost of CO2 reduction (LCOC) and a broken-even analysis which could reflect the sector's average carbon reduction cost. The outcomes reveal the following key insights: (1) These technologies collectively harbor a substantial CO2 conservation potential amounting to 925.61 Mt CO2, with a broken-even price of CNY 410.1/tCO2. This reduction could potentially lower 20%–25 % of CO2 emissions in China's power system in 2022, highlighting the crucial role of CRTs in achieving a low-carbon transition and national climate targets; (2)Steam turbine flow path retrofit (T8) not only offers a relatively high CO2 reduction potential (>60 Mt CO2), but also features a low cost (<CNY 150/tCO2) and high profit (>CNY 0.85/MWh). Prioritizing the development of this technology can significantly accelerate the low-carbon transition of coal power; (3) Carbon price have a paramount influence on the cost-effectiveness of CRTs and driving their adoption.

燃煤发电领域的二氧化碳(CO2)减排技术(CRTs)在缓解环境挑战和减少 CO2 排放以帮助实现 2 °C 目标方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,由于技术和机组类型的多样性,仍然迫切需要一个统一的框架来有效、准确地估算与 CRTs 相关的成本和潜力。因此,本研究采用自下而上的方法,分析了燃煤发电行业中 25 种先进 CRT 的成本和潜力(不包括二氧化碳捕集、利用和封存 (CCUS)),涉及 19 种类型的燃煤发电机组。该分析将二氧化碳减排供应曲线 (CRSC) 方法与二氧化碳减排平准化成本 (LCOC) 和盈亏平衡分析相结合,可反映该行业的平均碳减排成本。研究结果揭示了以下重要启示:(1)这些技术共同蕴藏着巨大的二氧化碳减排潜力,总计达 9.2561 亿吨二氧化碳,盈亏平衡价格为 410.1 元人民币/吨二氧化碳。(2) 汽轮机流道改造(T8)不仅具有较高的二氧化碳减排潜力(6000 万吨 CO2),而且成本低(150 元/吨 CO2)、利润高(0.85 元/兆瓦时)。优先发展该技术可大大加快煤电的低碳转型;(3)碳价格对 CRT 的成本效益和推广应用具有至关重要的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Operational optimisation of a microgrid using non-stationary hybrid switched model predictive control with virtual storage-based demand management 利用基于虚拟存储的需求管理的非稳态混合开关模型预测控制优化微电网的运行
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114685
Grzegorz Maślak , Przemysław Orłowski

Demand-shaping mechanisms are a key component of modern energy management systems, although not unproblematic. The degree of social acceptance of interference with demand or generation and the ease of integration of various types of non-critical loads depends on the method of their implementation. In addition, the critical load pool typically includes devices with different response times. The energy management systems currently in use often cannot meet user expectations. Especially when considering other vital aspects, such as energy market spread, storage wear, or connection to the utility grid and neighbouring microgrids. The authors adopted an approach of unifying demand side management and response in the form of virtual energy storage. Said store allows for the accommodation of loads operating under differing scheduling horizons. Such a new concept allows management not only in terms of quantity but also in terms of time. The storage is the focal point of a comprehensive energy management system based on switched model predictive control. The receding horizon algorithm relies on a non-stationary hybrid microgrid model. The study compares the operating costs of microgrids with virtual storage, allowing only demand postponement, preponement or bidirectional operation. The energy management system is also examined for sensitivity to changes in the weight matrices of the cost function, horizon length and forecast inaccuracy. Introducing virtual energy storage reduces microgrid operating costs by up to 16%. The decrease in control performance is proportional to the prediction accuracy, and the sensitivity allows for customisation.

需求调节机制是现代能源管理系统的关键组成部分,但并非没有问题。社会对需求或发电干扰的接受程度以及各类非关键负荷的整合难易程度取决于其实施方法。此外,关键负载池通常包括具有不同响应时间的设备。目前使用的能源管理系统往往无法满足用户的期望。特别是在考虑到其他重要方面时,如能源市场价差、存储损耗或与公用电网和邻近微电网的连接。作者采用了一种以虚拟储能形式统一需求侧管理和响应的方法。虚拟储能可以容纳在不同调度范围内运行的负载。这种新概念不仅可以在数量上进行管理,还可以在时间上进行管理。存储是基于开关模型预测控制的综合能源管理系统的核心。后退视界算法依赖于非稳态混合微电网模型。研究比较了带有虚拟储能的微电网的运行成本,只允许需求延迟、预延迟或双向运行。研究还考察了能源管理系统对成本函数权重矩阵变化、跨度长度和预测误差的敏感性。引入虚拟储能后,微电网运行成本最多可降低 16%。控制性能的降低与预测精度成正比,而灵敏度则允许进行定制。
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Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
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