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A comprehensive consumption-based carbon accounting framework for power system towards low-carbon transition 电力系统向低碳转型的基于消耗的综合碳核算框架
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114866

Nearly 40 % current global annual energy-related CO2 emissions come from the fossil fuel-dominated power sector. Accurately accounting for carbon emissions in power systems from the consumption-based perspective is crucial for achieving the low-carbon power transition. Consumption-based carbon accounting has emerged as a major research focus, which aids in the implementation of targeted measures such as low-carbon demand response and dispatch. Choosing an appropriate method to account carbon emission needs thorough consideration of characteristics of various methods. There still lacks a systematic review that concludes the essence and application status of these methods, as well as comparing their advantages and disadvantages. To address this gap, a consumption-based carbon accounting framework for power systems is proposed. This framework groups four typical methods into two perspectives: Attributional methods and consequential methods. The principles, calculation approaches, and research application status of these methods are comprehensively summarized in a transparent, integrated and comparative manner, which makes progress in two critical limitations: (i) temporal and spatial granularity, and (ii) consideration of the actual topology and operational constraints of the power grid. As improvements in the transparency and quality of electricity data and expansion of application scenarios, the flexibility and applicability of the framework will continue to improve to achieve the unity of efficiency and fairness. The proposed framework can serve as a valuable guide to conducting research and exploration on low-carbon energy management, policy and regulatory decisions and to inform the development of effective strategies for the low-carbon transition of power systems.

目前,全球每年近 40% 的能源相关二氧化碳排放来自以化石燃料为主的电力部门。从消费角度准确核算电力系统中的碳排放量,对于实现低碳电力转型至关重要。基于消耗的碳核算已成为研究重点,有助于实施低碳需求响应和调度等有针对性的措施。选择合适的碳排放核算方法需要全面考虑各种方法的特点。目前还缺乏对这些方法的本质、应用现状以及优缺点进行比较的系统综述。为弥补这一不足,本文提出了基于消耗的电力系统碳核算框架。该框架将四种典型方法分为两个视角:归因法和结果法。以透明、综合和比较的方式全面总结了这些方法的原理、计算方法和研究应用现状,在两个关键限制方面取得了进展:(i) 时间和空间粒度;(ii) 对电网实际拓扑结构和运行限制的考虑。随着电力数据透明度和质量的提高以及应用场景的扩展,该框架的灵活性和适用性将不断提高,以实现效率和公平的统一。所提出的框架可以为开展低碳能源管理、政策和监管决策的研究和探索提供有价值的指导,并为制定电力系统低碳转型的有效战略提供依据。
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引用次数: 0
Life cycle assessment of lithium-based batteries: Review of sustainability dimensions 锂电池的生命周期评估:可持续性方面的审查
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114860

Lithium-based batteries are essential because of their increasing importance across several industries, particularly when it comes to electric vehicles and renewable energy storage. Sustainable batteries throughout their entire life cycle represent a key enabling technology for the zero pollution objectives of the European Green Deal. The EU's (European Union) new regulatory framework for batteries is setting sustainability requirements along the whole battery, including value chains. For a comprehensive assessment of battery technologies, it is necessary to include a life cycle thinking approach into consideration from the beginning.

This review offers a comprehensive study of Environmental Life Cycle Assessment (E-LCA), Life Cycle Costing (LCC), Social Life Cycle Assessment (S-LCA), and Life Cycle Sustainability Assessment (LCSA) methodologies in the context of lithium-based batteries. Notably, the study distinguishes itself by integrating not only environmental considerations but also social and economic dimensions, encapsulating the holistic concept of sustainability. Challenges unique to each assessment method are outlined, including data availability (with 35 % of the reviewed studies having openly accessible inventory data), methodological inconsistencies, uncertainty around future costs and social impacts. Difficulties such as data uncertainty, challenges in cost comparison, and the lack of standardized measures are underscored. The research identifies critical future directions for LCA, including the need for better data quality, adaptation to new technologies, and alignment with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Future research directions are suggested -including the standardization of methodologies, and fostering interdisciplinary collaboration. Overcoming these challenges holds the potential to advance sustainable practices in the battery industry and contribute to a cleaner energy future.

由于锂电池在多个行业中的重要性与日俱增,特别是在电动汽车和可再生能源储存领域,因此锂电池至关重要。贯穿整个生命周期的可持续电池是实现欧洲绿色交易零污染目标的关键技术。欧盟(EU)新的电池监管框架对整个电池(包括价值链)的可持续性提出了要求。为了对电池技术进行全面评估,有必要从一开始就将生命周期思维方法纳入考虑范围。本综述以锂基电池为背景,对环境生命周期评估(E-LCA)、生命周期成本计算(LCC)、社会生命周期评估(S-LCA)和生命周期可持续性评估(LCSA)方法进行了全面研究。值得注意的是,这项研究不仅将环境因素纳入考虑范围,还将社会和经济因素纳入考虑范围,体现了可持续发展的整体概念。研究概述了每种评估方法所面临的独特挑战,包括数据可用性(35% 的受评研究拥有可公开获取的清单数据)、方法不一致、未来成本的不确定性以及社会影响。研究还强调了数据不确定性、成本比较方面的挑战以及缺乏标准化措施等困难。研究确定了生命周期评估未来的关键方向,包括需要提高数据质量、适应新技术以及与可持续发展目标(SDGs)保持一致。研究还提出了未来的研究方向,包括方法标准化和促进跨学科合作。克服这些挑战有可能推动电池行业的可持续发展实践,并为更清洁的能源未来做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Geospatial characterization of low-temperature heating and cooling demand in residential, commercial, manufacturing, agricultural, and data center sectors for potential geothermal applications in the United States 美国住宅、商业、制造业、农业和数据中心部门低温供暖和制冷需求的地理空间特征,以挖掘地热应用潜力
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114875

Thermal demand for heating and cooling has been predominantly supplied by fossil fuel combustion in the United States, although low-carbon alternatives are extensively available including geothermal, solar thermal, and waste heat. This study analyzed end-use energy consumption, fuel expenditure, and data center commissioned power data to geospatially characterize the U.S. low-temperature heating and cooling demand at the county level in residential, commercial, manufacturing, agricultural, and data center sectors and understand potential opportunities for geothermal applications. In the analysis, the regional-scale energy consumption data was incorporated with system efficiencies to address actual demand and was then disaggregated with weighting factors to the county level. The results indicated that total low-temperature heating and cooling demand is 16.7 EJ, combining heating demand of 10.8 EJ and cooling demand of 5.9 EJ. Overall, 59.9 % (10 EJ) of the low-temperature heating and cooling demand occurred in the residential sector. The heating and cooling demand visualized in maps represented that the geospatial distribution of heating and cooling demand in the residential and commercial sectors is governed by the number of housing units and climate zone designations, while heating and cooling demand in the manufacturing, agricultural, and data center sectors is dependent on the number and location of facilities. The results also demonstrated that geothermal heat pumps are broadly used in the residential and commercial sectors for heating and cooling in the U.S. Midwest, South, and Northeast regions but are limited in the West, implying great decarbonization potential in the future.

在美国,供暖和制冷的热需求主要由化石燃料燃烧提供,尽管低碳替代品广泛存在,包括地热、太阳能热和废热。本研究分析了终端能源消耗、燃料支出和数据中心委托电力数据,从地理空间上描述了美国县级住宅、商业、制造业、农业和数据中心部门的低温加热和冷却需求,并了解了地热应用的潜在机会。在分析中,区域范围的能源消耗数据与系统效率相结合,以满足实际需求,然后根据加权系数分解到县一级。结果显示,低温供暖和制冷总需求为 16.7 EJ,其中供暖需求为 10.8 EJ,制冷需求为 5.9 EJ。总体而言,59.9%(10 EJ)的低温供暖和制冷需求发生在住宅部门。通过地图直观显示的供热和制冷需求表明,住宅和商业部门的供热和制冷需求的地理空间分布取决于住房单元的数量和气候区的划分,而制造业、农业和数据中心部门的供热和制冷需求则取决于设施的数量和位置。研究结果还表明,在美国中西部、南部和东北部地区,地源热泵被广泛用于住宅和商业领域的供暖和制冷,但在西部地区却很有限,这意味着未来有巨大的脱碳潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Syngas production by biomass gasification: A meta-analysis 生物质气化生产合成气:荟萃分析
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114824

This study comprehensively reviews biomass gasification and its empirical correlations for syngas production. The types of biomass, reactors, gasification agents, and gasification operating conditions were evaluated thoroughly using PRISMA and meta-analysis approach. Decreasing syngas production was observed in air gasification with increasing ER, but increasing syngas was observed in steam gasification with increasing S/B, both at a constant temperature. Biomass properties dictate syngas production in air gasification, whereas the optimum syngas production is effectively driven by the S/B value. The predicted total syngas yield may have the global maximum, the global minimum and the saddle-point optimisation form, depending on the gasification agents and the reactor types. Air gasification of MSW and wood pellets, and steam gasification of wood pellets might be performed using a fluidised-bed or updraft reactor because their mean syngas productions are not significantly different. Steam gasification with sawdust resulted in significantly different syngas production in downdraft, updraft, and fluidised-bed reactors. This study is concluded by providing guidelines for selecting the most appropriate biomass for gasification, the required operating parameters according to the type of gasification agent and the gasifier reactor.

本研究全面回顾了生物质气化及其合成气生产的经验相关性。采用 PRISMA 和荟萃分析方法对生物质类型、反应器、气化剂和气化操作条件进行了全面评估。在恒温条件下,空气气化的合成气产量随着 ER 的增加而减少,但蒸汽气化的合成气产量随着 S/B 的增加而增加。生物质的特性决定了空气气化的合成气产量,而最佳合成气产量实际上是由 S/B 值决定的。根据气化剂和反应器类型的不同,预测的合成气总产量可能具有全局最大值、全局最小值和鞍点优化形式。城市固体废弃物和木质颗粒的空气气化以及木质颗粒的蒸汽气化可以使用流化床反应器或上升气流反应器,因为它们的平均合成气产量没有显著差异。使用锯屑进行蒸汽气化时,下行反应器、上行反应器和流化床反应器的合成气产量有显著差异。本研究的结论是,根据气化剂类型和气化炉反应器,为选择最合适的气化生物质、所需的操作参数提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
Battery state estimation methods and management system under vehicle–cloud collaboration: A Survey 车云协同下的电池状态估计方法与管理系统调查
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114857

With the development of new energy vehicles, EVs have received ever-increasing research attention as an essential strategic orientation for the world to face climate change and energy issues. EVs have significant energy-saving and emission-reduction advantages, but power battery state estimation accuracy has always been a bottleneck restricting its promotion. Centered on power battery cloud management and control methodology, this work systematically examines the development of battery cloud models, formulates battery life and safety management strategies, and investigates the integration of cloud management technology within advanced electronic and electrical architectures. Firstly, the overall framework of the device–cloud fusion technology is introduced. Secondly, aiming at the complex problem of power battery state estimation, the models and fusion estimation methods of the cloud and vehicle battery models are summarized. Then, the joint estimation method is outlined for the power battery states, including the state of charge and state of health. Finally, a viable cloud-based management solution is elucidated through a comprehensive comparison and analysis of the current battery management technologies’ strengths and limitations. This offers a theoretical framework for advancing power battery cloud management and control technology.

随着新能源汽车的发展,电动汽车作为全球应对气候变化和能源问题的重要战略方向,受到越来越多的研究关注。电动汽车具有显著的节能减排优势,但动力电池状态估计精度一直是制约其推广的瓶颈。本研究以动力电池云管理和控制方法为中心,系统地研究了电池云模型的开发,制定了电池寿命和安全管理策略,并探讨了云管理技术在先进电子电气架构中的集成。首先,介绍了设备-云融合技术的总体框架。其次,针对动力电池状态估计这一复杂问题,总结了云电池模型和车辆电池模型的模型和融合估计方法。然后,概述了动力电池状态(包括充电状态和健康状态)的联合估算方法。最后,通过全面比较和分析当前电池管理技术的优势和局限性,阐明了可行的基于云的管理解决方案。这为推进动力电池云管理和控制技术提供了一个理论框架。
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引用次数: 0
Generating synthetic energy time series: A review 生成合成能源时间序列:综述
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114842

As the energy system transitions to an intelligent smart grid with a mostly renewable energy supply, synthetic energy time series are required to facilitate the development and improvement of methods for smart grid applications. These synthetic energy time series must exhibit characteristics similar to the real energy time series and applicable to specific use cases. Furthermore, evaluation methods must be applied to verify that synthetic energy time series have the desired characteristics. Whilst many methods exist in the literature to generate synthetic energy time series, up until now, no work has focused on analysing and comparing these methods. Therefore, this study provides a structured literature review of generating synthetic energy time series. The review focuses on five aspects: (1) Identifying methods used to generate synthetic energy time series, (2) categorising these methods according to the generation approach taken, (3) analysing the characteristics of these generated synthetic energy time series, (4) identifying the uses cases for which the time series are generated, and (5) considering how the generated synthetic energy time series are evaluated. In total, this study reviews 169 articles focusing on generating synthetic energy time series and identifies several key research gaps leading to multiple open research fields. The most important open research fields include the need for a standardised evaluation, more generation methods for synthetic time series from generation and battery storage systems, and a stronger focus on further use cases.

Word count: 11395

随着能源系统向以可再生能源为主的智能电网过渡,需要合成能源时间序列来促进智能电网应用方法的开发和改进。这些合成能源时间序列必须表现出与真实能源时间序列相似的特征,并适用于特定的使用案例。此外,还必须采用评估方法来验证合成能源时间序列是否具有所需的特征。虽然文献中有许多生成合成能源时间序列的方法,但到目前为止,还没有任何研究对这些方法进行分析和比较。因此,本研究对生成合成能源时间序列进行了结构化的文献综述。综述重点关注五个方面:(1) 确定用于生成合成能源时间序列的方法;(2) 根据生成方法对这些方法进行分类;(3) 分析这些生成的合成能源时间序列的特征;(4) 确定生成时间序列的用途;(5) 考虑如何对生成的合成能源时间序列进行评估。本研究共回顾了 169 篇关于生成合成能源时间序列的文章,并确定了几个关键的研究空白,从而形成了多个开放研究领域。最重要的开放研究领域包括需要标准化评估、更多发电和电池存储系统合成时间序列的生成方法,以及更加关注进一步的使用案例:11395
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引用次数: 0
Decoding the transport policy maze towards climate neutrality: Cross-sectoral policy landscapes 解密运输政策迷宫,实现气候中和:跨部门政策景观
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114865

Making transport sustainable is one of the grand global challenges. Numerous policies are currently underway, particularly in the European Union, to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions substantially. Germany has set ambitious targets, aiming for a 65% reduction in emissions by 2030 and becoming climate neutral by 2045. Unlike other sectors, Germany and the European Union have struggled to reduce emissions in the transport sector. Thus, the effectiveness of the current policy framework has been questioned. This study presents the outcomes of a comprehensive policy review across multiple sectors with direct or indirect implications for the sustainable transition in the transport sector. For this purpose, 44 policies were identified in the fields of transport, energy, agriculture, bioeconomy, and climate change. A mixed method content analysis approach was used to scrutinize policy documents, examining targets, fuel alternatives, transport modes, and coherence among policies. The findings underscore Germany’s commitment to meet the climate targets through different pathways regulated by national and European policies. Electrification has been the predominant pathway for the decarbonization of the transport sector, followed by renewable fuels, e.g., Power-to-X fuels. Although well-designed plans exist for the electrification of road passenger transport, findings indicate low policy support for renewable fuels, especially for parts of the transport sector not well-suited for electrification, e.g., aviation and maritime.

实现运输的可持续发展是全球面临的重大挑战之一。目前,许多政策正在实施之中,特别是在欧盟,以大幅减少温室气体排放。德国制定了雄心勃勃的目标,力争到 2030 年减排 65%,到 2045 年实现气候中立。与其他部门不同,德国和欧盟一直在努力减少交通部门的排放量。因此,现行政策框架的有效性受到质疑。本研究介绍了对多个部门进行全面政策审查的结果,这些政策对交通部门的可持续转型有着直接或间接的影响。为此,研究人员在交通、能源、农业、生物经济和气候变化等领域确定了 44 项政策。我们采用了混合内容分析法来仔细研究政策文件,审查目标、燃料替代品、运输模式以及政策之间的一致性。研究结果表明,德国致力于通过国家和欧洲政策规定的不同途径实现气候目标。电气化一直是交通部门去碳化的主要途径,其次是可再生燃料,如 Power-to-X 燃料。虽然公路客运电气化有精心设计的计划,但研究结果表明,对可再生燃料的政策支持较少,特别是对运输部门中不适合电气化的部分,如航空和海运。
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引用次数: 0
A model for energy predictions and diagnostics of large-scale photovoltaic systems based on electric data and thermal imaging of the PV fields 基于电气数据和光伏场热成像的大型光伏系统能量预测和诊断模型
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114858

The aim of this investigation is the development of robust models for the performance prediction and automatic monitoring of large photovoltaic systems, based on historical and real-time electric and thermal data. This issue is increasingly important due to the worldwide diffusion of large photovoltaic systems and their need to identify and predict failures and malfunctions, in order to promptly assess the convenience of maintenance actions. The present model describes the response to irradiance and temperature conditions of both modules and inverters and also it is able to predict shading conditions able to affect the energy yield. The model has been validated against real electric measurements in 6 large PV plants located in southern Italy and it demonstrated to be able to predict the real time power production within a 4.1 % error. Even more importantly, the model and its comparison with subhourly measurements over several years has demonstrated its effectiveness in detecting downtime conditions caused by inverter or string problems. Simulations and measurements revealed that missed energy production due to electrical grid coupling downtime can exceed 50 % on certain days and that the shading conditions (up to 5 % of the daily energy production) can be easily detected and separated from component problems, thus avoiding false alarms. Finally, the analysis of aerial infrared images allowed to further test the model in failure detection capability, assess the relationship between thermal anomalies and underperformance conditions and in predicting the yearly deterioration rate at the PV plants.

这项研究的目的是根据历史和实时电热数据,为大型光伏系统的性能预测和自动监测开发稳健的模型。由于大型光伏系统在全球范围内的普及,以及需要识别和预测故障和失灵,以便及时评估维护行动的便利性,这个问题变得越来越重要。本模型描述了组件和逆变器对辐照度和温度条件的响应,还能预测影响发电量的遮阳条件。该模型已通过对意大利南部 6 个大型光伏电站的实际电力测量进行了验证,结果表明,该模型能够预测实时发电量,误差在 4.1% 以内。更重要的是,该模型及其与几年来每小时次测量结果的比较显示,该模型在检测逆变器或组串问题导致的停机条件方面非常有效。模拟和测量结果表明,电网耦合停机导致的漏发电量在某些日子会超过 50%,而遮光情况(最多占日发电量的 5%)可以很容易地检测出来,并与组件问题区分开来,从而避免误报。最后,通过对空中红外图像的分析,进一步检验了模型的故障检测能力,评估了热异常与性能不佳情况之间的关系,并预测了光伏电站的年损耗率。
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引用次数: 0
Recent advancements in utilizing biomass materials for aqueous electrolytes in rechargeable batteries 将生物质材料用作充电电池水性电解质的最新进展
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114867

In spite of the rising demand for rechargeable batteries and competing advancements in the field, aqueous electrolytes still hold advantage over other types of electrolytes because of their inherent safety, ease of fabrication, feasibility, and environmental friendliness. Addressing the leakage issue of liquid aqueous electrolytes, gel polymer aqueous electrolytes are attracting increasing attention. They have ionic conductivities between liquid and solid electrolytes, are mechanically and thermally stable, have high flexibility and corrosion resistance, and can accommodate volume expansion. However, the transition from synthetic polymers to natural polymers is still in the research phase. This review links biomass materials and aqueous electrolytes of rechargeable batteries by summarizing and analyzing the potential of a wide array of natural polymers (e.g., cellulose, alginate, carrageenan, natural gums, etc.) from various sources (plants, animal, algae). The properties, composites, and electrolyte fabrication techniques of each material are discussed, and future perspective is presented. Results show that the most used fabrication technique is solution casting while the highest ionic conductivity demonstrated is 96.89 mS/cm by a cellulose-based electrolyte. Additionally, natural gums show the highest capacity retentions (100 % even after 3300 cycles). By reviewing a wide range of materials and fabrication techniques, we aim to offer valuable insights into the development of innovative energy storage solutions that are sustainable, safe, and feasible.

尽管对可充电电池的需求不断增长,该领域的竞争也日趋激烈,但与其他类型的电解质相比,水基电解质仍具有固有的安全性、易制造性、可行性和环保性等优势。为了解决液态水电解质的泄漏问题,凝胶聚合物水电解质正受到越来越多的关注。凝胶聚合物水电解质的离子电导率介于液态和固态电解质之间,具有机械和热稳定性、高柔韧性和耐腐蚀性,并能适应体积膨胀。然而,从合成聚合物到天然聚合物的过渡仍处于研究阶段。本综述将生物质材料与可充电电池的水性电解质联系起来,总结并分析了各种来源(植物、动物、藻类)的天然聚合物(如纤维素、海藻酸、卡拉胶、天然胶等)的潜力。讨论了每种材料的特性、复合材料和电解质制造技术,并提出了未来展望。结果表明,最常用的制造技术是溶液浇铸,而纤维素基电解质的最高离子电导率为 96.89 mS/cm。此外,天然树胶显示出最高的容量保持率(3300 次循环后仍能保持 100%)。通过回顾各种材料和制造技术,我们希望为开发可持续、安全、可行的创新型储能解决方案提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Development and calibration of apartment building energy model based on architectural and energy consumption characteristics 基于建筑和能耗特征的公寓建筑能源模型的开发和校准
IF 16.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114874

Building energy modeling is pivotal in achieving sustainable energy goals throughout a building's design and operation. However, discrepancies often arise between actual energy consumption and predictions made by building energy models due to uncertainties in input parameters. This study addresses this challenge by calibrating building energy modeling with empirical data, focusing on apartment buildings in South Korea. Specifically, it targets public and lease apartments, which is crucial in attaining Zero Energy Building (ZEB) ratings. This study develops an apartment building model based on architectural design and energy use patterns, employing the whole building energy simulation tool, EnergyPlus. Key calibration elements were identified through systematic literature reviews, statistical analysis, architectural drawings, and monitoring data. The calibrated model achieved a prediction error of 2.7 % and a CV(RMSE) of 9.4 %, closely mirroring actual measurements. This was particularly influenced by using realistic occupancy schedules instead of generic ones. The results provide valuable insights for refining the residential building energy modeling process, especially in the context of ZEB goals. The study underscores the importance of accurate data collection and model calibration in bridging the gap between theoretical models and real-world energy consumption.

建筑能源建模对于在整个建筑设计和运行过程中实现可持续能源目标至关重要。然而,由于输入参数的不确定性,实际能耗与建筑能源模型的预测值之间经常会出现差异。本研究以韩国的公寓建筑为重点,通过利用经验数据校准建筑能耗模型来应对这一挑战。特别是针对公共和租赁公寓,这对实现零能耗建筑 (ZEB) 评级至关重要。本研究基于建筑设计和能源使用模式,利用整体建筑能源模拟工具 EnergyPlus,开发了一个公寓建筑模型。通过系统的文献综述、统计分析、建筑图纸和监测数据,确定了关键的校准要素。校准后的模型预测误差为 2.7%,CV(RMSE)为 9.4%,与实际测量结果非常接近。这主要得益于使用了现实的占用时间表而不是通用时间表。研究结果为完善住宅建筑能耗建模过程提供了宝贵的见解,尤其是在实现 ZEB 目标的背景下。这项研究强调了准确的数据收集和模型校准对于缩小理论模型与实际能耗之间差距的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
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