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Experimental study of electric field combined nanofluid to enhance vapor generation in the solar steam generator 电场结合纳米流体提高太阳能蒸汽发生器蒸汽生成量的实验研究
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121819
Chaofan Li , Dongzhi Liu , Yalei Zhang , Shuangfei Li , Deqiang He , Yanjun Chen
Volumetric solar steam generation has a wide range of applications in many fields such as electricity generation, water purification, seawater desalination, and wastewater treatment. However, the efficiency of volumetric evaporation using nanofluids as photothermal conversion materials is still low. In this paper, electric field is applied to the volumetric solar steam generation system to enhance steam generation efficiency by utilizing the effect of electric field on nanoparticle resuspension as well as the formation and escape of nanobubbles. The results show that the electric field promotes steam generation at high solar radiation intensities and the promotion is enhanced with the increase of voltage. The steam generation of 0.09 vol% TiN-water nanofluid at 10 kV and solar radiation intensity of 3 sun significantly increases by 21.71 % than that without electric field. Electric field provides an external force for the movement of nanobubble-particle complexes, accelerating the process of rise, fusion, and escape of nanobubbles, and accelerating the resuspension as well as upward and downward circulation of nanoparticles in the cavity. Thus, the vapor generation efficiency is enhanced. The research in this paper provides theoretical guidance to enhance vapor generation in the solar steam generator.
体积式太阳能蒸汽发电在发电、水净化、海水淡化和废水处理等多个领域有着广泛的应用。然而,使用纳米流体作为光热转换材料进行体积蒸发的效率仍然很低。本文将电场应用于体积式太阳能蒸汽发生系统,利用电场对纳米粒子再悬浮以及纳米气泡的形成和逸散的影响来提高蒸汽发生效率。结果表明,在太阳辐射强度较高的情况下,电场能促进蒸汽的产生,而且随着电压的增加,促进作用会增强。在 10 kV 和太阳辐射强度为 3 个太阳的条件下,0.09 vol% TiN-水纳米流体的蒸汽产生量比无电场条件下显著增加了 21.71%。电场为纳米气泡-颗粒复合物的运动提供了外力,加速了纳米气泡的上升、融合和逃逸过程,并加速了纳米颗粒在腔体内的再悬浮以及上下循环。因此,蒸汽生成效率得到了提高。本文的研究为提高太阳能蒸汽发生器的蒸汽发生率提供了理论指导。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the uncertainty in the technical performance level assessment for wave energy 了解波浪能技术性能水平评估的不确定性
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121832
Ali Trueworthy , Aeron Roach , Bryony DuPont , Thomas Mathai , Jesse Roberts , Jochem Weber , Robert Preus , Benjamin D. Maurer
The design of wave energy converters (WECs) has been explored with interest, with varying design concepts emerging across both research and industry. One critical element that governs the speed of adoption is the performance of a WEC concept. WEC performance has been assessed using the Technology Performance Level (TPL) assessment, which provides designers with a quantitative score, situating a grid-scale WEC concept on a scale from 1 to 9. The TPL assessment is designed to be used during design iteration, when a WEC concept is fully ideated, to enable designers to consider potential means of improving the downstream performance of the concept. One concern that may be slowing developers’ adoption of TPL is the inherent uncertainty in the assessment, and how uncertainty in the individual questions may contribute to the final score. In this work, we quantify the uncertainty present in the assessment using both traditional mathematical operations and a Monte Carlo simulation. Results show areas of improvement of the TPL assessment, enabling TPL practitioners and users to understand with more accuracy those design elements that can be improved to impact device performance.
人们对波浪能转换器(WECs)的设计进行了饶有兴趣的探索,在研究和工业领域都出现了不同的设计理念。影响采用速度的一个关键因素是波浪能转换器概念的性能。WEC 性能的评估采用技术性能等级 (TPL) 评估,该评估为设计人员提供了一个量化分数,将电网规模的 WEC 概念置于 1 到 9 的等级中。TPL 评估的目的是在设计迭代过程中,即在充分构思水力发电概念时使用,使设计人员能够考虑改善概念下游性能的潜在方法。可能阻碍开发人员采用 TPL 的一个问题是评估中固有的不确定性,以及单个问题的不确定性对最终得分的影响。在这项工作中,我们使用传统数学运算和蒙特卡罗模拟对评估中存在的不确定性进行了量化。结果显示了 TPL 评估的改进领域,使 TPL 从业人员和用户能够更准确地了解那些可以改进以影响设备性能的设计元素。
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引用次数: 0
Short-term interval prediction strategy of photovoltaic power based on meteorological reconstruction with spatiotemporal correlation and multi-factor interval constraints 基于时空相关气象重构和多因素区间约束的光伏发电短期区间预测策略
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121834
Mao Yang, Yue Jiang, Wei Zhang, Yi Li, Xin Su
Short-term photovoltaic (PV) power interval prediction provides a basis for day-ahead power dispatching and generation planning. However, the current gridded numerical weather prediction (NWP) has poor matching in specific PV stations, and the lack of consideration of PV power mutation characteristics and historical correlation in interval prediction, which further limit the improvement of PV power prediction accuracy. In this regard, this paper proposes a novel short-term interval prediction strategy for PV power. Based on the second-order extended hidden Markov model (HMM), the key meteorological elements of the PV station with poor matching are reconstructed. In the interval prediction, the trend mutation and historical correlation characteristics of the PV sequence are fully considered, and a PV power interval prediction method that combines three factors such as trend change, time correlation and numerical mutation is proposed. The proposed method is applied to a PV station in Jilin, China. The results show that compared with other methods, the RMSE of the proposed method is reduced by 5.3 % on average, and the CWC is reduced by at least 2.1 %, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method.
短期光伏(PV)功率区间预测为日前电力调度和发电规划提供了依据。然而,目前的网格化数值天气预报(NWP)对特定光伏电站的匹配性较差,且在区间预测中缺乏对光伏功率突变特性和历史相关性的考虑,这进一步限制了光伏功率预测精度的提高。为此,本文提出了一种新颖的光伏功率短期区间预测策略。基于二阶扩展隐马尔可夫模型(HMM),对匹配度较差的光伏电站的关键气象要素进行重构。在区间预测中,充分考虑了光伏序列的趋势突变和历史相关性特征,提出了一种结合趋势变化、时间相关性和数值突变三个因素的光伏功率区间预测方法。将所提出的方法应用于中国吉林的一个光伏电站。结果表明,与其他方法相比,所提方法的 RMSE 平均降低了 5.3%,CWC 至少降低了 2.1%,验证了所提方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Ocean energy enabling a sustainable energy-industry transition for Hawaiʻi 海洋能源促进夏威夷能源产业的可持续转型
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121831
Gabriel Lopez, Rasul Satymov, Arman Aghahosseini, Dmitrii Bogdanov, Ayobami Solomon Oyewo, Christian Breyer
Global transitions to highly sustainable energy-industry systems imply shifts to high shares of variable renewable energy sources. While onshore solar photovoltaics and wind power can be expected to be the lowest cost electricity sources around the world, land-constrained regions and islands may have limited onshore renewable potential. Thus, offshore energy technologies, including floating solar photovoltaics, offshore wind turbines, and wave power, may become essential. Furthermore, for Hawaiʻi, offshore energy may provide increased supply diversity and avoid land conflicts as electricity generation is expected to increase. The LUT Energy System Transition Model was employed to investigate the techno-economic implications of high technological diversity through integration of offshore energy technologies compared to full cost-optimisation under both self-supply and electricity-based fuel import scenarios. Limiting solar electricity leads to 0–2.3 GW of offshore electricity and 0–4.1 GW of wave power by 2050, but at 3.5–28.0% increased system costs. Under self-supply conditions and an 80% solar photovoltaics limit, a novel interaction between the key offshore technologies was identified with 0.6–1.1 GW of offshore floating photovoltaics, which contribute 12.3% of all electricity generation by 2050. Due to the limited land availability in Hawaiʻi and island regions, ocean energy technologies may significantly contribute to energy-industry system defossilisation.
全球向高度可持续的能源工业系统转型意味着向高比例的可变可再生能源转变。虽然陆上太阳能光伏发电和风力发电有望成为全球成本最低的电力来源,但陆地受限地区和岛屿的陆上可再生能源潜力可能有限。因此,包括浮动太阳能光伏发电、海上风力涡轮机和波浪发电在内的海上能源技术可能变得至关重要。此外,对于夏威夷来说,随着发电量的增加,近海能源可增加供应多样性,避免土地冲突。我们采用 LUT 能源系统过渡模型,研究了在自给自足和电力燃料进口两种情况下,通过整合近海能源技术实现高度技术多样性与完全成本优化的技术经济影响。到 2050 年,限制太阳能发电将导致 0-2.3 GW 的近海发电和 0-4.1 GW 的波浪发电,但系统成本将增加 3.5-28.0%。在自给条件和 80% 太阳能光伏限制条件下,关键离岸技术之间的新型互动被确定为 0.6-1.1 GW 的离岸浮动光伏发电,到 2050 年占全部发电量的 12.3%。由于夏威夷和岛屿地区的可用土地有限,海洋能源技术可为能源工业系统的化石能源化做出重大贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Risk assessment through feature, event, and process for repurposing suspended oil and gas wells for geothermal purposes 通过特征、事件和流程进行风险评估,将悬浮油气井重新用于地热目的
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121720
Khizar Abid, Andres Felipe Baena Velasquez, Aditya Sharma, Alex Neil McSheridan, Saket Srivastava, Catalin Teodoriu
Many countries have set the goal of net zero carbon emission and are diverting their energy source towards renewables. In that respect, geothermal energy is a continuous renewable energy source that is not affected by any metrological conditions. However, geothermal energy is not used to its full potential, and at present, less than 1 % of renewable energy is produced by geothermal sources. One of the biggest reasons that hinder its adoption is the cost of drilling and completion associated with the geothermal well, which almost takes 50 % of the project budget. Therefore, it is important that, where possible (with conducive geothermal conditions), conventional oil and gas wells that are old or temporarily suspended should be retrofitted into geothermal wells. In this way, the initial cost of the geothermal project can be reduced, which is mainly due to the drilling operations. However, before repurposing old retired wells, conducting a proper risk assessment is important to avoid any well integrity issues in the long run. Therefore, this paper presents a concept of accessing the risk using Feature, Event, and Process (FEP) that have been integrated with the interaction matrix, incident potential matrix (IPM), and cause-effect plot diagram. This risk assessment technique identifies the well components that might be susceptible to failure, and remedial work should be conducted on such elements. However, geothermal wells have no specific FEPs; hence, the FEPs from CCS wells have been used, which have their limitation when used for geothermal systems. Nonetheless, to show the feasibility of this approach in assessing the risk, two case studies of the fictitious tubingless geothermal well are presented in this paper.
许多国家已经设定了碳净零排放的目标,并正在将能源转向可再生能源。在这方面,地热能是一种不受任何气象条件影响的持续性可再生能源。然而,地热能并没有得到充分利用,目前,由地热资源生产的可再生能源不到 1%。阻碍地热能应用的最大原因之一是与地热井相关的钻井和完井费用,这几乎占了项目预算的 50%。因此,重要的是,在可能的情况下(在有利的地热条件下),应将老旧或暂时停用的常规油气井改造成地热井。这样,地热项目的初始成本(主要是钻井作业成本)就可以降低。然而,在重新利用已报废的旧井之前,必须进行适当的风险评估,以避免出现任何长期的井完整性问题。因此,本文提出了一种利用特征、事件和过程(FEP)来获取风险的概念,并将其与交互矩阵、事故隐患矩阵(IPM)和因果关系图进行了整合。这种风险评估技术可确定可能容易发生故障的油井部件,并应针对这些部件开展补救工作。然而,地热井没有特定的 FEPs;因此,使用了 CCS 井的 FEPs,但这些 FEPs 在用于地热系统时有其局限性。不过,为了说明这种方法在评估风险方面的可行性,本文介绍了两个虚构的无管地热井案例研究。
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引用次数: 0
Dual-objective optimization of solar driven alkaline electrolyzer system for on-site hydrogen production and storage: Current and future scenarios 用于现场制氢和储氢的太阳能驱动碱性电解槽系统的双目标优化:当前和未来方案
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121784
H. Tebibel
Achieving cost competitiveness of renewable hydrogen could accelerate the transition to the deeply decarbonized energy system. In this article, we develop and apply a dual-objective optimization model to explore the photovoltaic (PV) hydrogen production pathway and costs development from the present through 2050. The model is applied for optimal capacity allocation of the megawatt-scale off-grid PV-Hydrogen system to achieve maximum production at the minimal levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). Methodology includes a smoothing control strategy. Simulation is performed utilizing measured meteorological data for one year with hourly resolution and considering electrolyzer's load flexibility constraint. It has been found that the smoothing control strategy is indispensable for maximizing PV energy utilization, enhancing the electrolyzer's capacity factor and reducing the power curtailments. The analysis shows that the off-grid solar hydrogen in Algeria lacks economic competitiveness currently. Components CAPEX reduction turns out to be the fundamental condition towards the future LCOH decrease. LCOH could decline from 4.2 $/kg in 2025 to 2.24 $/kg in 2050 under central assumptions and to roughly 1.4 $/kg under optimistic assumptions. Alkaline electrolysis step cost could reduce by 0.28 $/kg every decade. Hydrogen storage autonomy could rise the LCOH by 7.1 c$ per day of autonomy in 2050.
实现可再生氢气的成本竞争力可加快向深度去碳化能源系统的过渡。在本文中,我们开发并应用了一个双目标优化模型,以探索从现在到 2050 年的光伏制氢途径和成本发展。该模型用于优化兆瓦级离网光伏制氢系统的产能分配,以最小的氢气平准化成本(LCOH)实现最大产量。该方法包括平滑控制策略。仿真利用了一年的气象测量数据,以小时为分辨率,并考虑了电解槽的负载灵活性约束。结果发现,平滑控制策略对于最大化光伏能源利用率、提高电解槽容量因数和减少电力削减是不可或缺的。分析表明,阿尔及利亚的离网太阳能制氢目前缺乏经济竞争力。降低组件 CAPEX 是未来降低 LCOH 的基本条件。根据中心假设,LCOH 可从 2025 年的 4.2 美元/千克降至 2050 年的 2.24 美元/千克,而根据乐观假设,LCOH 可降至大约 1.4 美元/千克。碱性电解步骤成本每十年可降低 0.28 美元/千克。到 2050 年,氢储存自主化可使 LCOH 每天增加 7.1 c$。
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引用次数: 0
Utilizing electrooxidation for textile effluent wastewater treatment and simultaneous electrocatalytic hydrogen production: Transforming waste into energy and promoting water reuse in a circular economy context 利用电氧化法处理纺织废水并同时进行电催化制氢:在循环经济背景下将废物转化为能源并促进水的再利用
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121733
Vibhuti Prajapati , Ayushi Shah , Rahul Patel , Nandini A. Trivedi , Narayan N. Som , Divesh N. Srivastava , Pratik M. Pataniya , C.K. Sumesh
Textile effluent wastewater poses a serious environmental risk because of its high concentration of pollutants, which include organic compounds, heavy metals, and dyes. The present study investigates the technical and economic feasibility of hybrid water electrolysis performances. Specifically, real textile effluent wastewater was utilised to examine simultaneous abatement and electrochemical hydrogen production. The treated water can be recycled in the textile mill, offering the benefits of trash-to-treasure and cost savings through the circular economy. In addition to reducing the environmental impact of textile wastewater, the synergistic approach seeks to maximise its potential for producing hydrogen as clean energy. Here, the commercially available stainless sheet was used as the anode in the electrochemical setup system and the two-dimensional Ti3C2TX MXene was used as the catalyst embedded cathode. The optimal electrode-electrolyte parameter settings resulted in an 83 % decrease in COD level and a degradation efficiency of about 88 %. The potential for widespread adoption in the textile industry is highlighted by the discussion of the economic viability and environmental advantages of using wastewater from textile effluents for pollutant degradation and hydrogen production. Hence, the energy estimation was looked at and estimated in order to evaluate the process viability. For instance, the hybrid electrolysis process uses a very small amount of electricity (0.825 kWh m−3 order−1) and has an apparent operating current (30 mA/cm2). This work could serve as a guide for the methodical assessment and choice of hybrid water electrolysis using actual wastewater. The electrode's recyclability and reuse were proven for possible commercial applications. The stability of the Ti3C2TX electrode over a wide pH range was investigated in order to produce hydrogen on a big scale at a reasonable cost.
纺织废水由于含有高浓度的污染物(包括有机化合物、重金属和染料)而对环境构成严重威胁。本研究探讨了混合水电解性能的技术和经济可行性。具体而言,本研究利用真实的纺织废水来研究同时减排和电化学制氢的问题。处理后的水可在纺织厂循环使用,实现变废为宝,并通过循环经济节约成本。除了减少纺织废水对环境的影响,这种协同方法还力求最大限度地发挥其作为清洁能源生产氢气的潜力。在这里,市售的不锈钢板被用作电化学装置系统中的阳极,二维 Ti3C2TX MXene 被用作嵌入式阴极催化剂。最佳的电极-电解质参数设置使 COD 水平下降了 83%,降解效率约为 88%。通过讨论利用纺织废水进行污染物降解和制氢的经济可行性和环境优势,凸显了在纺织行业广泛应用的潜力。因此,对能源估算进行了研究和估算,以评估工艺的可行性。例如,混合电解工艺的耗电量非常小(0.825 kWh m-3 order-1),工作电流也很小(30 mA/cm2)。这项工作可以为利用实际废水进行混合电解水的方法评估和选择提供指导。该电极的可回收性和再利用性得到了证实,可用于商业应用。为了以合理的成本大规模生产氢气,研究了 Ti3C2TX 电极在较宽 pH 值范围内的稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
New approach to agro-industrial solid and liquid waste management: Performance of an EGSB reactor at different hydraulic retention times for methane production 农用工业固体和液体废物管理的新方法:不同水力停留时间下 EGSB 反应器生产甲烷的性能
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121822
Caroline Varella Rodrigues , Leonardo Matias de Oliveira Filho , Franciele Pereira Camargo , Henrique de Souza Dornelles , Isabel Kimiko Sakamoto , Sandra Imaculada Maintinguer , Edson Luiz Silva , Maria Bernadete Amâncio Varesche
This study investigated the removal of agro-industrial wastes (5 g COD L⁻1 from coffee and 0.5 g COD L⁻1 from brewery wastewater, plus 1 g L⁻1 of coffee pulp and husk) in a continuous Expanded Granular Sludge Bed (EGSB) reactor at 35 °C. The effect of Hydraulic Retention Times (HRTs) of 72h, 48h, and 24h on CH₄ yield was examined using a mixed culture of cattle manure and granular sludge. Methane yields were 201, 124.5, and 113.8 mL CH₄ g⁻1 COD for the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd phases, respectively. Volatile fatty acids, particularly acetic acid, increased at lower HRTs. Sequencing of the 16S rRNA gene on the Illumina HiSeq platform revealed a syntrophic relationship between Syntrophorhabdus, Syntrophobacter, and Pseudomonas with methanogens Methanomassiliicoccus, Methanospirillum, and Methanobacterium, aiding in the removal of phenolic compounds. The study suggests that an HRT of 72h is optimal for maximizing CH₄ production in the EGSB reactor.
本研究调查了在 35 °C、连续式膨胀颗粒污泥床(EGSB)反应器中去除农工业废物(5 g COD L-1 来自咖啡,0.5 g COD L-1 来自酿酒厂废水,外加 1 g L-1 的咖啡浆和咖啡壳)的情况。使用牛粪和颗粒污泥混合培养,考察了 72 小时、48 小时和 24 小时水力停留时间(HRT)对甲烷产量的影响。第一、第二和第三阶段的甲烷产量分别为 201、124.5 和 113.8 mL CH₄ g-1 COD。挥发性脂肪酸,尤其是乙酸,在较低的 HRTs 条件下有所增加。在 Illumina HiSeq 平台上对 16S rRNA 基因进行测序后发现,Syntrophorhabdus、Syntrophobacter 和假单胞菌与甲烷菌 Methanomassiliicoccus、Methanospirillum 和 Methanobacterium 之间存在合成营养关系,有助于酚类化合物的去除。研究表明,72 小时的 HRT 是使 EGSB 反应器中 CH₄ 产量最大化的最佳时间。
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引用次数: 0
Point-defect-induced electronic polarization to enhance H* generation for removal of bisphenol A 通过点缺陷诱导电子极化来增强 H* 生成,从而去除双酚 A
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121814
Huajing Zhou , Tiancheng Li , Fawen Zhang , Faze Chen , Zilian Liu , Rongrong Miao , Qingqing Guan , Lingxiang Zhao , Liang He
Intrinsic point defects in metal core-shell materials can regulate electron redistribution, thereby reducing catalytic energy barriers and enhancing their ORR activity. However, their specific contributions to electron transfer and mass transport pathways remain unclear. In this study, defect-rich hollow OCo@Co3O4 nanoparticles were successfully synthesized using ZIF-67(Co) as a sacrificial template through controlled annealing and internal electric field substitution reactions. High-resolution electron microscopy analysis and density functional theory (DFT) calculations co-revealed the growth mechanism of Co and O vacancies, as well as antisite defects. The formation of oxygen vacancies significantly lowered the energy barrier for Co vacancy formation, playing a crucial bridging role in the development of antisite defects. The electric field polarization induced by Co-O atomic displacement resulted in asymmetric charge distribution, optimizing the adsorption of active hydrogen (H*) and oxygen atoms and facilitating the generation and release of reactive oxygen species (ROS). Electrocatalytic experiments demonstrated that under the combined action of singlet oxygen (1O2) and H*, bisphenol A (BPA) can be efficiently degraded. This study successfully bridges the knowledge gap between atomic defects and advanced electrocatalysis, providing a new perspective and insight for the in-depth analysis of the structure-performance relationship of electrocatalyst materials in the future.
金属核壳材料中的固有点缺陷可以调节电子的再分布,从而降低催化能垒并提高其 ORR 活性。然而,它们对电子转移和质量传输途径的具体贡献仍不清楚。本研究以 ZIF-67(Co)为牺牲模板,通过受控退火和内电场置换反应,成功合成了富含缺陷的中空 OCo@Co3O4 纳米颗粒。高分辨率电子显微镜分析和密度泛函理论(DFT)计算共同揭示了 Co 和 O 空位以及反位缺陷的生长机制。氧空位的形成大大降低了 Co 空位形成的能垒,在反斜方体缺陷的形成过程中起到了关键的桥接作用。Co-O 原子位移引起的电场极化导致了电荷的不对称分布,优化了活性氢(H*)和氧原子的吸附,促进了活性氧(ROS)的生成和释放。电催化实验表明,在单线态氧(1O2)和氢*的共同作用下,双酚 A(BPA)可以被有效降解。这项研究成功地填补了原子缺陷与先进电催化之间的知识空白,为今后深入分析电催化剂材料的结构-性能关系提供了新的视角和见解。
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引用次数: 0
Short-term forecast of solar irradiance components using an alternative mathematical approach for the identification of cloud features 使用另一种数学方法识别云层特征,对太阳辐照度成分进行短期预报
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121691
Manuel I. Peña-Cruz , Arturo Díaz-Ponce , César D. Sánchez-Segura , Luis Valentín-Coronado , Daniela Moctezuma
Solar energy technologies require precise solar forecasting to reduce power generation losses and protect equipment from irradiance fluctuations. This study introduces an alternative methodology for short-term forecasting of direct normal irradiance (DNI) and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) utilizing ground-based sky images captured by a single device. A low-cost all-sky imager (ASI) was developed, which implements an angular transformation and an optical flow technique to extract cloud features such as shape and velocity. A mathematical model calculates cloud transmittance based on pixel intensity, eliminating complex training steps. Results from a 30-day experimental campaign, incorporating diverse meteorological conditions, were compared against a secondary standard solarimetric station, a smart persistence model, and state-of-the-art approaches. The DNI forecast achieved an RMSE (relative error) of 46.79 W/m2 (11.99%) for 1-min intervals and 90.21 W/m2 (17.54%) for 10-min intervals, while GHI ranged from 31.73 W/m2 (4.68%) to 75.02 W/m2 (13.63%). Pearson correlation coefficients exceeded 0.9 overall, reaching 0.98 and 0.99 for the 1-min DNI and GHI forecasts, and 0.91 and 0.96 for the 10-min DNI and GHI forecasts, respectively, underscoring the system’s accuracy and robustness in complex meteorological scenarios.
太阳能技术需要精确的太阳预报,以减少发电损失并保护设备免受辐照度波动的影响。本研究介绍了一种替代方法,利用单个设备捕获的地面天空图像对直接正常辐照度(DNI)和全球水平辐照度(GHI)进行短期预测。我们开发了一种低成本的全天空成像仪(ASI),它采用角度变换和光流技术来提取云的形状和速度等特征。数学模型根据像素强度计算云的透射率,省去了复杂的训练步骤。在 30 天的实验活动中,结合不同的气象条件,将实验结果与二级标准测日站、智能持久性模型和最先进的方法进行了比较。DNI 预测 1 分钟间隔的 RMSE(相对误差)为 46.79 W/m2(11.99%),10 分钟间隔的 RMSE(相对误差)为 90.21 W/m2(17.54%),而 GHI 范围从 31.73 W/m2(4.68%)到 75.02 W/m2(13.63%)不等。皮尔逊相关系数总体超过 0.9,1 分钟 DNI 和 GHI 预报分别达到 0.98 和 0.99,10 分钟 DNI 和 GHI 预报分别达到 0.91 和 0.96,突出表明了该系统在复杂气象情况下的准确性和稳健性。
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Renewable Energy
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