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Analyzing and Measuring the Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on Economic Growth in Iraq for The Period (2004-2022) 分析和衡量2004-2022年期间汇率波动对伊拉克经济增长的影响
Pub Date : 2023-02-26 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi2.225
Haawre Latif Majee
This study investigated the exchange rate on Iraq’s economic growth situation. It examined the exchange rate’s effect on GDP, GNP, and INF. An ex-post facto research design was used to collect secondary data from the Central Bank of Iraq and macro trends Statistical Bulletin from 1 January 2004 to 30 November 2022. Hypoth- esis analysis used Least Squares. Exchange rates affect GDP, GNP, and INF. As a result, GDP can be used as an essential basis for economic development, and the GNP is a vital factor for economic infrastructure to change people’s living conditions. The exchange rate positively and significantly impacted GDP, and the analysis sug- gests a significant association between the independent and dependent variables, except for GNP. The study rec- ommends that Iraq’s currency authority manage exchange rates in response to the U.S. dollar to boost economic growth. Price stability can also boost Iraqi economic growth, boosting the dinar’s value.
本研究调查了汇率对伊拉克经济增长情况的影响。它检查了汇率对国内生产总值、国民生产总值和国际货币基金组织的影响。采用事后研究设计,收集了2004年1月1日至2022年11月30日伊拉克中央银行和宏观趋势统计公报的二手数据。假设分析采用最小二乘法。汇率影响GDP、GNP和INF,因此GDP可以作为经济发展的重要基础,GNP是经济基础设施改变人们生活条件的重要因素。汇率对GDP产生积极而显著的影响,分析表明,除GNP外,自变量和因变量之间存在显著的关联。该研究建议伊拉克货币当局管理汇率,以应对美元,以促进经济增长。物价稳定也能促进伊拉克经济增长,提振第纳尔的价值。
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引用次数: 1
Barriers to the development of interrelationships between Iraq and Turkey in the years (2014 – 2020) 2014 - 2020年伊拉克与土耳其相互关系发展的障碍
Pub Date : 2023-02-26 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi2.221
Xelan Awakalaey, Salih Omer Issa
National security has become a fundamental factor in Turkey's foreign policy Problems between the two countries. Therefore, grief has become an influential factor in the emergence of a number of problems between the two countries. Therefore, the research is based on this argument. In order to prove the research's grievances about the main question, the research is based on this argument.  In general, the problems of this reflect the nature of relations between Iraq and Turkey over a period of time. In general, the recent conflicts between Iraq and Turkey can be classified into three groups: First, the recent security problems between Iraq and Turkey can be divided into three groups: The first is the security problem, which is an important part of the presence of PKK fighters in Iraq and the security instability, which is an important part of the presence of PKK fighters in Iraq and the security deterioration of the region in general. The second is the lack of trust between the two countries in the region in general and inside Iraq in particular. These are some of the findings of the study and the crises in the region, especially in relation to the Arab Spring process. These are some of the findings of the study. We have received it.
国家安全已成为土耳其外交政策的根本因素。因此,悲伤已经成为两国之间出现一些问题的一个影响因素。因此,这项研究是基于这一论点。为了证明本研究对主要问题的不满,本研究是基于这一论点进行的。总的来说,这方面的问题反映了伊拉克和土耳其在一段时间内关系的性质。总的来说,最近伊拉克和土耳其之间的冲突可以分为三组:一是伊拉克和土耳其之间最近的安全问题可以分为三组:第一是安全问题,这是伊拉克库尔德工人党武装分子存在的重要组成部分,安全不稳定,这是伊拉克库尔德工人党武装分子存在的重要组成部分,整个地区的安全恶化。第二是两国在整个地区,特别是在伊拉克境内缺乏信任。这些是研究的一些发现和该地区的危机,特别是与阿拉伯之春进程有关的危机。以下是该研究的一些发现。我们已经收到了。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrological Estimation for the Runoff of Qalachwalan Basin Using Hydrological Estimation for the Runoff of Qalachwalan Basin Using (SCS – CN) Method (2000 – 2020) 基于(SCS - CN)方法的Qalachwalan流域径流水文估算(2000 - 2020)
Pub Date : 2023-02-26 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi2.218
Aram Dawood Abbas, Khalel Karim Muhammed
The surface water is a reflection of the climatic and topographical conditions of the basin in the study area, and affects the estimation of the amount of runoff water on the surface inside the basin. It is also possible to measure the amount of running water in the basin and know the periods of increase, and water scarcity in this quantity, on the other hand, take advantage from water for all fields and uses. Qalachwalan basin is one of the water basins located at north of the city of Sulaymaniyah with an area of (876.1) km2, and all of its water sources are within the borders of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Due to unsteady rain and heavy precipitation in the recent years, therefore, it was necessary to conduct some researches to know the size and amount of runoff, besides, to see if it is possible to benefit from it for the development and investment of the study areas. Accordingly, Soil Conservation Service- Curve Number (SCS – CN) Method has been used used to estimate the depth and amount of the annual runoff. From this study it became clear to us that the area has seven uses )Bodies of water, dense forests, agricultural lands, grasslands, residential lands, barren lands, paved roads. Besides, it appeared that the greatest amount of runoff, which lies in the grassland equals to (588523320) m3, and the smallest amount with (4442480) m3 lies in the forest area. So, we discover that the total amount of the basin water reached about (700141140) m3. Finally, our data are very vital for the local government and stakeholders in the future to how to deal with this water basin especially with unsteady precipitations.
地表水是研究区流域气候和地形条件的反映,影响着流域内地表径流量的估算。也有可能测量盆地中流动水量并知道增加的时期,以及这一数量的水资源短缺,另一方面,利用所有领域和用途的水。Qalachwalan盆地是位于苏莱曼尼亚市北部的一个盆地,面积为876.1平方公里,其所有水源都在伊拉克库尔德斯坦地区的边界内。因此,由于近年来降雨不稳定和强降水,有必要进行一些研究,了解径流的大小和数量,并看看是否有可能从中受益,为研究区域的开发和投资。因此,采用土壤保持服务曲线数(SCS - CN)方法估算年径流深度和流量。从这项研究中,我们清楚地看到,该地区有七种用途:水体、茂密的森林、农田、草原、住宅用地、荒地、铺砌的道路。径流量最大的地区为草地,为588523320 m3,最小的地区为森林,为4442480 m3。因此,我们发现流域水量总量约为(700141140)m3。最后,我们的数据对当地政府和利益相关者未来如何处理该流域特别是不稳定降水非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Iraqi Neighbors’ Stance on Kurdish Independence Referendum of 2017: Iran and Turkey 伊拉克邻国对2017年库尔德独立公投的立场:伊朗和土耳其
Pub Date : 2023-02-26 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi2.227
Hoshang Dara Hama Ameen
This paper is to evaluate the stance of both Iran and Turkey on the independence referendum of the Iraqi Kurds, 2017. This has been done by reviewing several articles that have, partly, highlighted the stance of Iraqi neighboring countries on the issue. It is, therefore, a survey-like study to find out why and how these states were against the step. While the Kurdish attempt for independence was backed by several historical reasons and realistic opportunities, it faced failure. Iran and Turkey, as two Iraqi neighbors that have a considerable number of Kurdish populations inside their borders, played a crucial role in defeating the step. The point here is that, globally, while Western powers were against Iran’s behavior, agreed with it in facing the referendum. Besides, regionally, while Iran and Turkey had lots of issues regarding the Syrian crisis, they agreed on taking joint steps against the referendum. This means that the regional powers and the international community agreed on protecting Iraqi territorial integrity by violating the Kurdish right to self-determination. The fact is that Iran and Turkey’s fear of spillover effects of the referendum on their population was a realistic one, to an extent. However, the unaddressed question is that nulling the referendum did not solve the Kurdish dilemma in the Middle East. Additionally, the referendum has become another issue to challenge the new world order which, in theory, is based on international law and principles; and, in practice, it is based on the interest of great powers. The Kurdish issue, in both theory and practice, is a problematique one for the international community. Here, the conflict of interests is between the stateless nations who want to become independent and the current states who want to protect their territorial integrity.
本文旨在评估伊朗和土耳其在2017年伊拉克库尔德人独立公投中的立场。这是通过审查几篇文章来完成的,这些文章部分地强调了伊拉克邻国在这个问题上的立场。因此,这是一项类似调查的研究,旨在找出这些州为什么以及如何反对这一步骤。虽然库尔德人争取独立的努力有几个历史原因和现实机遇的支持,但它面临失败。伊朗和土耳其作为伊拉克的两个邻国,在其境内有相当数量的库尔德人,在挫败这一步骤中发挥了关键作用。这里的重点是,在全球范围内,虽然西方大国反对伊朗的行为,但他们同意伊朗面对公投。此外,在地区层面,尽管伊朗和土耳其在叙利亚危机问题上存在诸多分歧,但两国一致同意采取联合措施反对公投。这意味着地区大国和国际社会同意通过侵犯库尔德人的自决权来保护伊拉克的领土完整。事实是,伊朗和土耳其担心公投对本国民众的溢出效应,这在一定程度上是现实的。然而,尚未解决的问题是,公投无效并没有解决中东库尔德人的困境。此外,全民投票已成为挑战新世界秩序的另一个问题,新世界秩序在理论上是以国际法和原则为基础的;而且,在实践中,它是以大国的利益为基础的。库尔德问题在理论和实践上都是国际社会的难题。在这里,利益冲突发生在想要独立的无国籍国家和想要保护其领土完整的现有国家之间。
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引用次数: 0
Contribution to the Historical Geography of Erbil Province in the Second Millennium BC 对公元前2000年埃尔比勒省历史地理的贡献
Pub Date : 2023-02-26 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi2.226
Kozad M. Ahmed
The historical geography of the Erbil Province in the second millennium BC remains obscure, although nu- merous inscriptional data –compared to other periods- exist. This article is an attempt to reconstruct the geo- graphical setting of the region in a specific short time, when king Šamšī-Adad I expanded his sway to the east Tigris region in the early second millennium BC. From this time we have data from Mari and Shemshara in which many GNs have been mentioned and this has been used as a basis to locate the cities, settlements, and routes mentioned.
公元前第二个千年埃尔比勒省的历史地理仍然模糊不清,尽管与其他时期相比,存在着大量的铭文数据。本文试图在一个特定的短时间内重建该地区的地理环境,当国王Šamšī-Adad一世在公元前2000年早期将他的势力扩展到东底格里斯河地区时。从那时起,我们有了来自马里和舍姆沙拉的数据,其中提到了许多gn,这已被用作定位所提到的城市,定居点和路线的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Political and Social Obstacles to the Nation-Building Process in Kurdistan Region 库尔德斯坦地区国家建设进程中的政治和社会障碍
Pub Date : 2023-02-26 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi2.220
Samih Sabr Sdiq, Admin Faraj Sharif
The process of integrating people into the political, social, and cultural assimilation of individuals of a nation is known as nation-building, which has caused a number of obstacles for this extensive and multidimensional process. In order to return to the position and policies of the ruling elite and the institutions of the Kurdistan Region, the researcher depends on the qualitative approach in the current study, which focuses on the political and social barriers to the nation-building process in the Kurdistan Region. The key inquiry is therefore: What are the political and social impediments to the process of nation-building in the Kurdistan Region? In order to respond to this question, this research takes into account a number of factors, including the partisan clash and civil war between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, as well as the absence of a comprehensive national strategy that united the nation before it resulted in the emergence of two utterly distinct administrations in the Kurdistan Region. On the other hand, Kurdistan’s nation-building efforts are hampered, according to the researcher, by the use of the two dialects policy, tribal culture, the fragility of civil society, the separation of the nation, and the predominance of foreign languages and cultures in private educational institutions. As a result of these barriers, there is a sharp divide between identity and common culture as well as a division between politics and culture. As a result, in order for the nation-building process in the Kurdistan Region to be successful, it must be kept as a unified political entity free from dual administration, the institution of forces, and the building of a unified language )standard language(, while also requiring private educational institutions to promote Kurdish culture and language in their curricula. It means that the Kurdish language and culture must be emphasized in the curricula of private educational institutions. 
将人们融入一个国家的政治、社会和文化同化的过程被称为国家建设,这给这一广泛和多方面的进程造成了一些障碍。为了回归到库尔德斯坦地区统治精英和机构的立场和政策,研究者在目前的研究中依赖于定性的方法,主要关注库尔德斯坦地区国家建设过程中的政治和社会障碍。因此,关键的问题是:库尔德斯坦地区国家建设进程的政治和社会障碍是什么?为了回答这个问题,本研究考虑了许多因素,包括库尔德斯坦民主党和库尔德斯坦爱国联盟之间的党派冲突和内战,以及在导致库尔德斯坦地区出现两个完全不同的政府之前缺乏统一国家的全面国家战略。另一方面,根据研究者的说法,库尔德斯坦的国家建设努力受到了两种方言政策、部落文化、公民社会的脆弱性、民族的分离以及私立教育机构中外语和文化的主导地位的阻碍。由于这些障碍,身份与共同文化之间存在着尖锐的分歧,政治与文化之间也存在着分歧。因此,为了使库尔德斯坦地区的国家建设进程取得成功,它必须保持为一个统一的政治实体,不受双重管理、部队制度和统一语言(标准语言)建设的影响,同时还要求私立教育机构在其课程中推广库尔德文化和语言。这意味着在私立教育机构的课程中必须强调库尔德语和文化。
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引用次数: 0
Residential Structure in the City of Sulaymaniyah (A Study in the Geography of Cities) 苏莱曼尼亚市住宅结构研究(城市地理学研究)
Pub Date : 2023-02-26 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi2.223
Bayan Ali Hussain
This study aims to delve into the housing structure in the city of Sulaymaniyah, and due to the lack of data on the housing structure about the city of Sulaymaniyah, the researcher conducted a questionnaire process by distributing 150 forms regarding information about the housing structure in the city and they were randomly distributed in order to collect information about the status of the unit The housing units in terms of the area of housing units, the ownership of housing units and the density of housing of all kinds. The results of the re- search were also compared with some of the studies that studied the housing structure in some Iraqi cities. The results of the study were also compared with some planning standards or with the standards of the Ministry of Housing and Construction in Iraq, and in terms of The per capita share of the residential use area in the city of Sulaymaniyah amounted to (28 m²) per person in 2022, which indicates the high density of residential use. The Urban Planning Commission in Iraq has set the standard (50 m²) as a share per person of the space allocated for housing, as for the urban situation For the housing unit, which is very important to know the nature and size of the housing problem, it was found in the study area and according to the data of the field study that 24 % of the housing units are unfit for habitation for many reasons, including the lack of potable water, the lack of electricity, the absence of a sewage network, or because of the age of construction or because of the location of the housing unit is not suitable.The study also reached several recommendations, the most important of which is to build a database in statistical centers for information and data related to housing in order to improve the level of housing and also to follow a housing policy in order to provide appropriate housing for families and provide facilities for investors to establish housing projects for people with limited income.
本研究旨在深入研究苏莱曼尼亚市的住房结构,由于缺乏关于苏莱曼尼亚市住房结构的数据,研究人员通过分发150份关于该市住房结构信息的表格进行了问卷调查过程,这些表格是随机分发的,以收集有关住房单位的状况的信息。住房单位所有权和各类住房密度。研究结果还与伊拉克一些城市住房结构的研究结果进行了比较。研究结果还与一些规划标准或伊拉克住房和建设部的标准进行了比较,并在2022年苏莱曼尼亚市人均住宅使用面积达到人均(28 m²)方面进行了比较,这表明住宅使用密度很高。城市规划委员会在伊拉克设立标准(50 m²)作为一个共享空间的人均住房分配,至于城市住房单元的情况下,这是非常重要的知道住房问题的性质和大小,它被发现在研究区域,根据实地调查的数据,24%的住房是不适合居住的原因很多,包括饮用水的缺乏,缺乏电力,没有污水网络的情况下,或者因为建筑的年龄或者因为住房单元的位置不合适。研究还提出了几项建议,其中最重要的是在统计中心建立与住房有关的信息和数据数据库,以提高住房水平,并遵循住房政策,以便为家庭提供适当的住房,并为投资者提供设施,为收入有限的人建立住房项目。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporation and Marginalization at the Level of Characters in a Book Dove Collar 《鸽子项圈》中人物层面的融合与边缘化
Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi1.211
Srwa Abdulmajid Mahmud, Isaeel Ibrahim Mustafa
Tawq Al-Hamamah is a book that written by Ibn Hazm on love and for love. It is a literary book that combines poetry and prose, And it contain stories. He often cites a story appropriate to the topic of the door and begins with the word )khabar(, to tell us a story that he lived through himself or transmitted from trustworthy people, and in which he is one of the most responsive to the feelings of others. How did Ibn Hazm choose his characters, and does the cultural heritage have a role in that? How does a person fall in love? Do we fall into it, or do we walk to it with steady steps? What does this have to do with customs and traditions?
Tawq Al-Hamamah是伊本·哈兹姆写的一本关于爱和为爱而爱的书。这是一本结合了诗歌和散文的文学书籍,里面有故事。他经常引用一个适合于门的话题的故事,并以“khabar”开头,告诉我们一个他亲身经历或从值得信赖的人那里听到的故事,在这个故事中,他是对别人的感受最敏感的人之一。伊本·哈兹姆是如何选择他的人物的,文化遗产在其中起作用吗?一个人是如何坠入爱河的?我们是陷入困境,还是迈着稳健的步伐走向困境?这和习俗和传统有什么关系?
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Smartphone Applications in Activating Aitizen Journalism in the Kurdistan Region 智能手机应用程序在库尔德斯坦地区激活公民新闻中的作用
Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi1.209
Banaz Rasul Hama Amin, Kawa Abdulraza Muhammad
In this study, the researcher tries to find the relationships between social media applications and platforms such as platform technology, applications and smartphone apps, which have facilitated the emergence and played a role in the activation and development of citizen journalism in the Kurdistan Region. The research was conducted through a descriptive method through a survey by distributing ٢٠٠ forms among citizen journalism as the research example. which is filled out through ١4٧ forms, The impact of these technologies is surveyed through several issues, including: the use of smartphone applications, whether the use of applications is considered complementary to the process of producing media content, the relationship between )academic level( and the use of smartphone applications. The data on these issues were statistically analyzed. The results showed that the use of smartphone applications has played a role in activating citizen journalism by achieving )use it a lot( in )%6٠.٥( and the use of these applications has the criterion of )use it a lot( as an indicator of the completion of the media production process )%٨١.٣٣( and )%٢4.٠٥( in the field of )photography and publishing(, and )%١٥.٥١( in the field of )video editing and publishing( in smartphone applications, benefited. As academic level; bachelor’s degree holders scored the highest percentage )%4٣.٨٢(, followed by basic degree holders )%4.٠٨(. and the lowest, which explains that the higher the academic level, the better users can benefit from these applications. The recommendations of this study are to attract the attention of the media to this style of journalism and request the relevant parties to further promote them through courses, training, facilitation and confidence in citizen journalists.
在本研究中,研究者试图寻找社交媒体应用与平台技术、应用程序和智能手机应用等平台之间的关系,这些平台促进了库尔德斯坦地区公民新闻的出现,并在公民新闻的激活和发展中发挥了作用。本研究以发放٢٠٠表格的公民新闻调查为例,采用描述性的方法进行研究。这些技术的影响是通过几个问题来调查的,包括:智能手机应用程序的使用,应用程序的使用是否被认为是生产媒体内容过程的补充,学术水平(和智能手机应用程序的使用之间的关系)。对这些问题的数据进行统计分析。结果表明,智能手机应用程序的使用在激活公民新闻方面发挥了作用,实现了对公民新闻的大量使用。(和使用这些应用程序的标准)使用它很多(作为完成媒体生产过程的指标)%٨١。٣٣(和)%٢4。٠٥(在摄影和出版领域)%١٥。٥١(在领域)视频编辑和发布(在智能手机应用程序),受益。作为学术水平;持有学士学位的人得分最高。٨٢(,其次是基础学位)%4.٠٨(。最低,这说明学术水平越高,用户就越能从这些应用中受益。本研究的建议是引起媒体对这种新闻风格的关注,并要求有关方面通过课程、培训、促进和信任公民记者来进一步推广这种新闻风格。
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引用次数: 0
Technical Aspects of the Focal Topics in the Production of the Television Feature for Kurdish Satellite Channels for Kurdish Satellite Channels 为库尔德卫星频道制作电视专题的焦点议题的技术方面
Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.54809/jkss.vi1.210
Karwan Mohamad Hasan, Yohan Othman Hama
This study aims to identify the technical aspects of the content topics in the production of the TV feature for the Kurdish satellite channels. The researchers used the descriptive approach and the content analysis satellite channels )TV features broadcasted on )Rudaw and Kurdistan٢4 )٣٠( method for the contents of and after analyzing the content of the sample, the study ,٢٠٢٢/6/١ till ٢٠٢١/١/١ during the period from reached several results, the most important of which are: The most important topics of the posters presented in the two channels are )real-life story narrator and interviews about types of work(, then )lifestyle(. And )good living(, the results of the analysis showed that the majority of the characters for the topics of the personality that were presented in the two channels were ordinary people, then the artistic personality. The results also showed the different types of TV camera movements in the production of the features and showed that the )cut( effects got the largest ratio between the other transitions, and finally .the results showed that )the angle of view( is the most used among all types of angles Content of feature ,٢4 Key words: Features, Production, Feature Production, Rudaw and Kurdistan .production
本研究旨在确定内容主题的技术方面,在生产的电视功能为库尔德卫星频道。研究人员使用了描述性的方法和内容分析卫星频道(Rudaw)上播出的电视节目(Kurdistan٢4)٣٠(对内容进行分析的方法,并在分析了样本的内容后,进行了这项研究,٢٠٢٢/6/我们——直到٢٠٢١/我们——产生了几个结果,其中最重要的是:在两个频道中呈现的海报最重要的主题是:现实生活中的故事叙述者和关于工作类型的采访(然后是)生活方式的采访(我们)。和)好生活(好生活),分析结果表明,在两个频道中所呈现的人物性格题材以普通人居多,其次是文艺人格。结果还显示了不同类型的电视摄像机在制作特征时的运动情况,并表明剪切效果在其他过渡中所占的比例最大,最后结果表明,在所有类型的角度中,视角是使用最多的特征内容,٢4关键词:feature, production, feature production, Rudaw and Kurdistan production
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Kurdistani for Strategic Studies
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